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inside the in-store experience




                                   ISSUE 4.10 | SHOPPING LISTS

                                        IN THIS ISSUE

                                   Shopping lists: How shoppers are using
                                   traditional tools in the new economy
                                   • Two out of three shoppers regularly shop without a
                                   list

                                   • The person making the shopping list and the shopper
                                   are not always one and the same

                                   • Shoppers have significantly disparate levels of
                                   receptivity when it comes to media influence on the
                                   shopping list

                                   • Having a shopping list doesn’t prevent most shoppers
                                   from making impulse purchases

                                   Continued recessionary conditions have prompted
                                   shoppers to develop various coping mechanisms to
                                   stretch the family budget. These new behaviors af-
                                   fect the way they become aware, research, plan, and
                                   ultimately shop for groceries and CPG products. Not
                                   surprisingly, these changes in behavior are largely
                                   focused in the Pre-TailTM phase of the shopping pro-
                                   cess.

                                   This issue of The Checkout examines the shopping
                                   list and its role in guiding the shopper throughout the
                                   Shopper ContinuumTM (page 8). As a shopping aid, lists
                                   have been traditionally used to rein in impulse purchas-
                                   es, navigate the store, and keep household spending
                                   under control. But, given the increased pressure of a
                                   prolonged recession, are modern shoppers still using
                                   shopping lists the same way?




Issue   4.10                           powered by The Integer Group® and M/A/R/C® Research
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The focal point of product decision-making is
gradually shifting from store to home
                               Despite a slight uptick in leading economic indicators, residual economic pressures on house-
                               hold budgets and discretionary spending will most likely affect the wallets and psyches of the
                               American shopping public for the near-term.




                    !
                                                        On the tail of the worst recession in the last 15 years, beleaguered shoppers
                                                        have dramatically altered the way they consume, plan, and shop for grocer-
  ITS NO SURPRISE THAT THE ECONOMY HAS
                                                        ies and basic household goods. A prominent effect of prolonged recessionary
  CHANGED THE WAY PEOPLE SHOP
                                                        pressures has been a shift to a home-centric and self-sufficient lifestyle, trading
                                                                         3
                                                                           page
  PEOPLE ARE DEVELOPING MONEY-SAVING
  BEHAVIORS TO STRETCH THEIR BUDGETS
                                                        nights at the movies for DVD rentals, restaurants for home cooked meals, and
  MOST OF WHICH INVOLVE PREPLANNING
                                                        specialty treatments for home remedies. From the kitchen and the living room
  ENTER THE
                                                        to the garage and closet, brands and retailers alike are challenged with bringing
  THE SHOPPING LIST                                     consumer-driven solutions to micro-economic realities. The prevailing shopper
                                                        mind-set has shifted to one of conservation and retrenchment, exemplified by
                                                        a greater emphasis on premeditated shopping behaviors and increased in-
                                                        volvement in channel, retail, and at-shelf decision-making. The most significant
                                                        change is that households are making more shopping decisions at home. For
                                       retailers and brands, the question is: Where is the critical point where the consumer becomes a
                                       shopper and is most receptive to a marketing message?

                               The First Moment of Truth (FMOT),        Graphic 1: Segment Definitions
                               a term originally coined by Procter
                               & Gamble, is defined as the critical                                   Demographic Translation

                               three-second decision interval where            Attached Couples      Married; Living together; other
                               shoppers are exposed to brand
                                                                               Female Shoppers       Gender: Female
                               messaging and can potentially be
                               converted from a shopper to a buyer.            Anglo America         Ethnicity: Caucasian

                               It is at this moment that shoppers              Focused Boomers       Age: 46 - 64

                               consciously and unconsciously as-
                                                                               Generation X          Age: 39 - 49
                               semble a mental consideration set of
                               competitive and substitute products;            Hispanic Thrivers     Ethnicity: Hispanic/Latino

                               weigh pros and cons; and suc-                   Unattached Singles    Status: Single, divorced, widowed

                               cumb to emotional reactions, which              Networked Millennials Age: 18 - 24
                               ultimately lead to one brand being
                               selected over another. Given the vast
                                                                            Source: The Integer Group | M/A/R/C Research 2010 February Checkout Study N = 1,203   www.shopperculture.com
                               amount of information available to
                               the general public, the lines between
                               Pre-TailTM and Retail are blurring.
                               This, coupled with economic pressures placed on most American households, has caused a
                               shift in aspects of decision-making from store to home. Many marketers have dubbed this shift
                               the emerging “Zero Moment of Truth.” As the decision-making process evolves, brands and
                               retailers that decipher the emerging Zero Moment of Truth will be best positioned to reap the
                               rewards now and, more important, when the economy recovers.



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For one out of four men, shopping and list-
making duties are split
                      In-store marketing takes the lead Graphic 2: How Often Shoppers Use Shopping Lists                                                      [% of all shoppers]



                      Penetration of the shopping list is
                      fairly substantial, with 43% of general        Attached Couples                52                              %



                      market shoppers reporting that they
                                                                      Female Shoppers             46                             %

                      “always” rely on a shopping list. Still,
                      more than half of consumers (57%)                  Anglo America            46                             %



                      are shopping-list-free at least some
                                                                     Focused Boomers             44                             %

                      of the time making impulse buy-
                      ing and in-store promotion a larger                        Gen X        38                            %


                      part of the buying decision. Though
                                                                                              37                            %
                      it’s good for shoppers, list usage
                                                                      Hispanic Thrivers


                      can potentially have negative effects         Unattached Singles      35                          %


                      on retailers and brands by limiting
                      time in store, reducing exposure to                                  32
                                                                   Networked Millenials                               %




                      in-store marketing materials, the         Source: The Integer Group | M/A/R/C Research 2010 March Checkout Study N = 1,203      www.shopperculture.com




   1 in 4
                      number of items in the basket per         * Statistical significance indicated by outline



                      trip, and the number of shopping
                      trips– especially the one-bag or impulse-trip types. However, some retailers, such as Whole
                      Foods, have responded in clever ways by supporting shoppers’ use of lists via digital applica-
The number of men     tions that provide recipe-driven ingredient lists, in-store specials, and coupon support, which
who shop off a list   serve to guide shoppers through the store and extend the amount of time they spend there.
made by someone
else
                      Men “flying blind” more often              Graphic 3: Mens’ Weekly Chores
                      Though in many instances, the shop-
                      per and list-maker are one and the
                      same, when it comes to attached
                      male shoppers, there is a slight dis-
                      parity. Nearly one out of four (23%)
                      male shoppers report that while they
                      are the primary grocery shopper, they
                      are not the primary grocery shop-
                      ping list maker as shown in graphic 3
                      (right). For retailers and brand manu-
                      facturers alike, this highlights one of
                      the main tenets of shopper market-
                      ing–having a clear understanding of
                      the differences between the shopper
                      and the consumer–indicating that          Source: The Integer Group | M/A/R/C Research 2010 February Checkout Study N = 1,203
                                                                * Note: Due to rounding, percentages may not add up to 100%
                                                                                                                                                       www.shopperculture.com



                      male




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The Zero Moment of Truth?

                grocery shoppers may present a greater opportunity to be influenced by in-store marketing ma-
                terials. Because two-thirds of list-makers (66%) do not record specific brands on their shopping
                lists, marketers can use this opportunity to provide assistance to male shoppers facing at-shelf
                confusion due to vague shopping lists written by someone else.

                It is clear that lists are a popular shopping aid and that shoppers are using them to guide their
                predetermined purchases in store. However, to what extent are they using their lists to make
                brand-level decisions?


                Product buy planned–brand not so much
                When creating a shopping list, more shoppers (81%) include the type of product, and not the
                brand, leaving the door open for brands and retailers to drive brand switching in-store via com-
                pelling marketing materials at-shelf. Respondents also report that their shopping lists also typi-
                cally include the quantity needed (67%), but not details like the size of an item or its price. This
                may indicate that most price-based decisions (price and/or price-per-unit valuations) are being
                made at shelf. Because the majority of brand (66%) and unit size (73%) decisions are being
                made at shelf, there is a substantial opportunity for shopper marketing programs to persuade
                value-concerned shoppers to reconsider brand-name products and entice unit size trade-up
                in that location. This can be especially potent when considering that most name brands will be
                compared to their private-label counterpart a few inches away.


                Brand inertia carries from home           Graphic 4: Details Shoppers Write on Their Lists                                                   [% of list makers]


                to store
                When building their shopping lists,                          Product types                                                                   81%

                most shoppers (74%) are influenced
                primarily by the brand of the product                     Number of items                                                       67%
                currently in use. However, one in four
                list makers is not brand-driven and
                                                                             Brand names                                 34%
                makes the decision of what goes on
                their shopping list based on other
                factors such as price, advertisement,                     Size of package                         27%


                or word-of-mouth recommenda-
                tion. While it is not surprising that                         Store names                         27%

                discounting plays a significant role in
                list development, roughly a third of                                  Prices                  22%

                all list-making shoppers are influ-
                                                          Source: The Integer Group | M/A/R/C Research 2010 February Checkout Study N = 1,122         www.shopperculture.com
                enced by recipes (34%) and product
                recommendations (31%) from friends
                and family.




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When it comes to list-making, shoppers are
creatures of habit
                This finding presents retailers and brand manufacturers with yet another opportunity to en-
                gage shoppers with more experiential shopper marketing tools built around meal solutions and
                occasion-based product assortments – other than margin-eroding price promotions.


                TV and Internet ads not making “the list”
                While the influence on list-making from the Internet and mobile phones is relatively small (11%)
                when compared to other factors, the explosive growth in shopping-list Web sites and mobile
                applications will have a sizeable impact on shoppers’ list-making habits in the near-term. The
                proliferation of mobile devices and technologies will only serve to redefine shopping-list making
                and usage as brands and retailers begin coordinating their marketing campaigns both in and
                out of the store–aisle-based shopping lists, anyone? Some retailers have already been making
                substantial headway into the list-making space, Whole Foods, Kroger, Safeway, King Soopers.
                Not to mention the proliferation of shopping-list Web sites like grocerywiz.com and grocerylists.
                org and applications such as Ziplist, GroceryIQ, and Epicurious.

                Graphic 5: Influence on Making the Shopping List                                                                                                        [% of list makers]



                     80%
                                                                                                                                                    Brands
                                                                                                                                                             in use


                     70%



                     60%
                                                                                                                                                                ons
                                                                                                                                                        Coup


                     50%



                     40%



                     30%



                     20%
                                                                                                                                                   Mobil
                                                                                                                                                        e/Int
                                                                                                                                                              ernet

                     10%



                       0%
                                    Female                New                 Focused                  Anglo    Attached   Gen X    Unattached   Hispanic       General
                                   Shoppers             Millenials            Boomers                 America   Couples              Singles     Thrivers       Market

                Source: The Integer Group | M/A/R/C Research 2010 February Checkout Study N = 1,122                                                             www.shopperculture.com




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Shopping basket bulk-up still common

                Despite pre-planning, most shoppers           Graphic 6: Number of “Off-List” Purchases                                                                                           [% of list makers, per trip]



                still make “off-list” purchases
                It is no surprise that when properly de-
                signed and executed, in-store marketing
                is an effective way to communicate with       10 or more items;
                                                                     3
                                                                                      None; 10
                                                                                                                  %
                                                                                                                                                         %




                the shopper and drive incremental pur-
                chase. Nine out of ten shoppers routinely
                                                                                 7-9 items; 5                                                        %

                make impulse purchases with nearly a                                                 1-3 items; 61                                                                          %



                third (30%) adding four or more items to
                their basket per trip. The magnitude of                         4-6 items; 21                                                        %



                the implication is tremendous, consider-
                ing that the average shopper makes 6.9
                grocery-shopping trips per month and
                that most large-format grocers only real-
                ize meaningful economic benefit when                                                   Source: The Integer Group | M/A/R/C Research 2010 February Checkout Study N = 1,122       www.shopperculture.com

                consumers make three or more addi-
                tional purchases. For a leading retailer
                like Safeway, getting an additional 10% of existing shoppers to add three more items could amount
                to more than $1.5 billion in banner sales a year.

                The shopping list is not a barrier to impulse purchases
                Shoppers were most often (78%) driven to make “off-list” purchases by sales, indicating that the old
                adage of “priced too low to resist” is even more relevant in today’s economic environment. However,
                even the staunchest of penny pinchers were receptive to in-store marketing efforts with nearly a
                fourth of all shoppers citing that their purchase was driven by something they saw or read at-shelf.
                The visual appeal for 17% of shoppers was rooted in fun and/or attractive packaging and signage. In
                                                                             terms of effective messaging platforms,
                                                                             communications playing to entitlement
                Graphic 7: Primary Reasons for “off list” Purchases                                            [% of list makers]

                                                                             and pampering drove three out of ten
                   Was on sale or special promotion                   78
                                                                             shoppers to make an impulse purchase.        %


                                                                             Interestingly, the strongest factors linked
                         Found a good coupon for it                33        to off-list purchases–sales information,
                                                                                          %



                                                                             promotion messaging, and coupons–can
                          Wanted to pamper myself               28                   %

                                                                             be specially tailored to each shopper
                  Something on shelf convinced me            24              and delivered to digital shopping lists
                                                                                 %


                                                                             on mobile devices. This provides retail-
                          Looked fun and attractive       17              %
                                                                             ers using branded shopping lists with a
                 Thought someone else would like it
                                                                             way to encourage impulse shopping by
                                                         16              %
                                (gift)
                                                                             promoting smarter shopping. Ultimately,
                  Didn't buy anything not on the list  7        %            the shopping list is not a barrier but an in-
                                                                             cremental touchpoint to promote further
                                              Other   6        %
                                                                             engagement among the retailer, brand,
                                                                             and shopper.
                Source: The Integer Group | M/A/R/C Research 2010 February Checkout Study N = 1,122   www.shopperculture.com




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 issue   4.10                                                                                                               powered by The Integer Group® and M/A/R/C® Research
                                                                                                                                   powered by The Integer Group ® and M/A/R/C ® Research
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Shopper summary tables
                Graphic 8: Data Summary by Shopper Segment
                                                                                             Lower income                                                           Millennials
                                                                                         >$25k personal income/annum                                               18-24 years of age

                                                                     DATA                                SHOPPER BEHAVIOR                   DATA                             SHOPPER BEHAVIOR


                                                                                                         Increased preplanning,                                              Much higher incidence of
                                         Shopping-list               Shopping-list usage                                                    Shopping-list usage
                                                                                                         price-watching, and                                                 preplanning and shopping
                                         usage                       slightly above average                                                 greatly below average
                                                                                                         shopping involvement                                                involvement


                                                                                                                                                                             While much more brand
                                                                     Higher emphasis on                  Retrenchment into basics-                                           loyal, will remain
                                         List                                                                                               Slightly higher emphasis
                                                                     package size and prices,            only mode with package                                              experimental but within
                                         components                                                                                         on brand
                                                                     and less on brands                  downsizing                                                          existing brand tiering


                                                                                                                                                                             Social shopping and group
                                                                                                                                            Higher influence exerted
                                                                                                                                                                             decision-making will be
                                                                                                         Refocus on value brands            by existing brand, word-
                                         Influences                   Less brand loyal
                                                                                                         and private-label offerings        of-mouth, mobile/Internet,
                                                                                                                                                                             bolstered by in-store
                                                                                                                                                                             usage of digital shopping
                                                                                                                                            and TV commercials.
                                                                                                                                                                             aids


                                                                                                                                            Significantly higher
                                                                                                         Stringent adherence to
                                                                     Significantly less impulse                                              frequency of impulse             Emphasis on fun, and
                                                                                                         shopping list and meal
                                         Off-list                    purchases; purchases                                                   purchasing, but less items       instant gratification, with
                                                                                                         planning with increased
                                         shopping                    driven by coupons with                                                 per trip; driven largely by      higher emphasis on self-
                                                                                                         receptivity to in-store
                                                                     less “indulgences”                                                     attractive packaging and         identification with brand
                                                                                                         marketing vehicles
                                                                                                                                            at-shelf messaging


                                                                     Lower shopping
                                                                     frequency but higher
                                                                                                         Higher incidence of cross-         Lower shopping
                                         Shopping                    spend* at:
                                                                                                         channel substitution and           frequency and spend
                                         frequency                   Walmart: +$25.64
                                                                                                         stock-up trip types                across all channels
                                                                     Grocery: +$22.48
                                                                     C-store: +$19.12


                *Per trip spend differential compared to sample average Source: The Integer Group | M/A/R/C Research 2010 February Checkout Study N = 1,203                                                  www.shopperculture.com




                Graphic 9: Data Summary by Shopper Segment
                                                                                                 Hispanic                                                             Boomer
                                                                                                                                                                   46-64 years of age

                                                                     DATA                                SHOPPER BEHAVIOR                   DATA                             SHOPPER BEHAVIOR



                                                                     Shopping-list usage                 Increased in-store                                                  Casual usage of the
                                         Shopping-list                                                                                      Shopping-list usage on
                                                                     significantly below                  shopping involvement                                                shopping list with slightly
                                         usage                                                                                              par with average
                                                                     average                             with less preplanning                                               higher preplanning


                                                                                                                                                                             Higher brand loyalty and
                                                                                                         Retrenchment into basics-          Slightly higher emphasis
                                         List                                                                                                                                overall shopping inertia will
                                                                     On par with average                 only mode with package             on brand, price, and
                                         components                                                      downsizing                         retailer
                                                                                                                                                                             keep this segment stable



                                                                     Greatly influenced by TV
                                                                                                         Slight refocus on value
                                                                     commercials, word-of-                                                  Slightly higher influence         Stick with familiar brands
                                         Influences                   mouth, and existing
                                                                                                         brands and private-label
                                                                                                                                            from store ad or circular        but will seek the best price
                                                                                                         offerings
                                                                     brands


                                                                                                         Longer time spent in store
                                                                     Average impulse purchase            and more frequent                  Disciplined shopper with         Accustomed to fluctuating
                                         Off-list                    frequency; significantly             shopping trips will                slightly less impulse            economic conditions less
                                         shopping                    driven by at-shelf                  translate into even greater        purchasing – except when         likely to trade down and
                                                                     messaging                           shopper marketing                  coupons are involved             more likely to buy bulk
                                                                                                         receptivity


                                                                                                                                            Average shopping
                                                                     Higher shopping                                                                                         While slightly more prone
                                                                                                         More frequent fill-in trips         frequency but higher
                                                                     frequency and greater                                                                                   to channel switching, bulk
                                         Shopping                                                        to mass and C-stores               spend* at:
                                                                     spend* at:                                                                                              buying will keep much of
                                         frequency                                                       with much of the stock-up          Walmart: +$45.86
                                                                     Club: +$53.04                                                                                           their spending at usual
                                                                                                         done at club stores                Grocery: +$27.39
                                                                     Drug: -$9.86                                                                                            retailers
                                                                                                                                            Drug: +$32.71


                *Per trip spend differential compared to sample average Source: The Integer Group | M/A/R/C Research 2010 February Checkout Study N = 1,203                                                  www.shopperculture.com




Issue
 issue   4.10                                                                                                                  powered by The Integer Group® and M/A/R/C® Research
                                                                                                                                      powered by The Integer Group ® and M/A/R/C ® Research
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Shopper mind-sets and behaviors
change along the path to purchase
                The shopping process has changed dramatically in the last decade. Our sources of product and
                brand information have multiplied exponentially. We trust the opinions of complete strangers,
                shop online with our social network, and even become “fans” of brands. We watch commercials
                on YouTube®, then skip over them with TiVo® and satellite radio. We read reviews on Amazon®,
                then go and play with the products in-store, check in on FourSquareTM, take a vote of Face-
                book® friends, buy them with our mobile phones, and then Tweet about our experiences with
                our friends. Where, then, is the First Moment of Truth?

                The Shopper ContinuumTM is           Illustration 1.0 The Shopper ContinuumTM

                a proprietary Integer framework                                            Pre-Tail™
                that helps us understand and                                                                  Entering a store or
                                                                                                                  Web site
                articulate the role of communi-
                cation and marketing actions
                during three distinct phases of
                shopping behavior.                                                                                                     Browsing,




                                                                                                                                                    Retail
                                                                                                                                      comparing,
                                                                                                                                     researching
                                                                                                                                    and selecting

                     Pre-Tail™ includes all the
                                                                                                                                            items


                     actions people take when
                     preparing to shop and se-
                     lecting a retailer, including
                     how we respond to all the
                     things brands and retailers          = points of action, behaviors
                                                                                          Post-Tail™   Using the
                                                                                                          ing t
                                                                                                            g th
                                                                                                        product
                                                                                                                     Purchase
                                                                                                                       rch
                                                                                                                         h
                                                                                                                     moment
                     do to influence us.
                                                     Copyright © 2010 The Integer Group

                     Retail is all the activities
                     that take place in a real
                     or virtual retail environment. This includes the behavior of the shopper and the actions of
                     the retailer and brands on the shelves (real or virtual).

                     Post-Tail™ encompasses what happens after a purchase. It includes what retailers
                     and brands can do to reinforce and celebrate the purchase and encourage shoppers to
                     repeat their behavior.

                The Shopper ContinuumTM framework is one of the tools employed by The Integer Group
                to identify the questions we need to ask about our shoppers, how we go about getting those
                answers (the data), and then what we do to improve our strategy (the analytics).




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                                                                                                                                                                                     page




           The Integer Group® is one of America’s                                                      M/A/R/C® Research is a brand develop-
           largest promotional and retail marketing                                                    ment firm dedicated to helping clients create,
           agencies and a key member of the TBWA                                                      evaluate, and strengthen their brands. Our
           Marketing Services portfolio. The Integer                                                   teams design and execute qualitative and
           Group resides At the Intersection of Branding                                               quantitative, traditional, and online solutions
           and Selling® and creates strategic marketing                                                while adhering to a client-service ethic built
           solutions for clients in categories that include                                            on being easy to work with and delivering
           beverage, packaged goods, telecommunica-                                                    what is promised. Our core competency is
           tions, fast food, home and shelter, and power                                               measuring attitudes and behaviors to accu-
           sports. Join Integer® in a conversation on                                                  rately explain and predict market share,
           shopping culture and brand strategy:                                                        revenue, and bottom-line impact of a client’s
                                                                                                       actions. We help our clients address con-
           The Integer Group                                                                           sumer, channel, and B2B marketing issues to
           Craig Elston                                                                                launch better products and services attract
           Sr. VP, Insight & Strategy                                                                  and retain valuable customers, and build
           celston@integer.com                                                                         stronger brands. Our proven, marketing-is-
           7245 West Alaska Drive                                                                      sue-focused solutions support clients’ brand-
           Lakewood, CO 80226                                                                          building efforts.
           tel +1.303.393.3474
                                                                                                       M/A/R/C Research
                                                                                                       Randy Wahl
                                                                                                       EVP, Advanced Analytics
                         Visit us at www.shopperculture.com                                            Randy.Wahl@MARCresearch.com
                                                                                                       1660 North Westridge Circle
                         Download the Shopper Culture application from the                             Irving, TX 75038
                         iTunes store today


                         Join The Shopper Culture group on Linked-In                                                 Visit us at www.MARCresearch.com/thecheckout


                         Friend us on Facebook
                                                                                                                  The Checkout is based on a nationally representative survey of
                                                                                                                  1,200 U.S. adults conducted monthly by M/A/R/C Research. Please
                                                                                                                  contact us to learn more about the data we collect or additional
                         Follow us on Twitter at twitter.com/shopperculture                                       analysis.




           ©2010 by The Integer Group® and M/A/R/C® Research. All rights reserved.
           The data contained in this report may be reproduced in any form as long as the data is cited from The Integer Group and M/A/R/C Research.
           www.ShopperCulture.com.




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The Checkout 4.10 - Shopping List Issue

  • 1. inside the in-store experience ISSUE 4.10 | SHOPPING LISTS IN THIS ISSUE Shopping lists: How shoppers are using traditional tools in the new economy • Two out of three shoppers regularly shop without a list • The person making the shopping list and the shopper are not always one and the same • Shoppers have significantly disparate levels of receptivity when it comes to media influence on the shopping list • Having a shopping list doesn’t prevent most shoppers from making impulse purchases Continued recessionary conditions have prompted shoppers to develop various coping mechanisms to stretch the family budget. These new behaviors af- fect the way they become aware, research, plan, and ultimately shop for groceries and CPG products. Not surprisingly, these changes in behavior are largely focused in the Pre-TailTM phase of the shopping pro- cess. This issue of The Checkout examines the shopping list and its role in guiding the shopper throughout the Shopper ContinuumTM (page 8). As a shopping aid, lists have been traditionally used to rein in impulse purchas- es, navigate the store, and keep household spending under control. But, given the increased pressure of a prolonged recession, are modern shoppers still using shopping lists the same way? Issue 4.10 powered by The Integer Group® and M/A/R/C® Research
  • 2. 2 page The focal point of product decision-making is gradually shifting from store to home Despite a slight uptick in leading economic indicators, residual economic pressures on house- hold budgets and discretionary spending will most likely affect the wallets and psyches of the American shopping public for the near-term. ! On the tail of the worst recession in the last 15 years, beleaguered shoppers have dramatically altered the way they consume, plan, and shop for grocer- ITS NO SURPRISE THAT THE ECONOMY HAS ies and basic household goods. A prominent effect of prolonged recessionary CHANGED THE WAY PEOPLE SHOP pressures has been a shift to a home-centric and self-sufficient lifestyle, trading 3 page PEOPLE ARE DEVELOPING MONEY-SAVING BEHAVIORS TO STRETCH THEIR BUDGETS nights at the movies for DVD rentals, restaurants for home cooked meals, and MOST OF WHICH INVOLVE PREPLANNING specialty treatments for home remedies. From the kitchen and the living room ENTER THE to the garage and closet, brands and retailers alike are challenged with bringing THE SHOPPING LIST consumer-driven solutions to micro-economic realities. The prevailing shopper mind-set has shifted to one of conservation and retrenchment, exemplified by a greater emphasis on premeditated shopping behaviors and increased in- volvement in channel, retail, and at-shelf decision-making. The most significant change is that households are making more shopping decisions at home. For retailers and brands, the question is: Where is the critical point where the consumer becomes a shopper and is most receptive to a marketing message? The First Moment of Truth (FMOT), Graphic 1: Segment Definitions a term originally coined by Procter & Gamble, is defined as the critical Demographic Translation three-second decision interval where Attached Couples Married; Living together; other shoppers are exposed to brand Female Shoppers Gender: Female messaging and can potentially be converted from a shopper to a buyer. Anglo America Ethnicity: Caucasian It is at this moment that shoppers Focused Boomers Age: 46 - 64 consciously and unconsciously as- Generation X Age: 39 - 49 semble a mental consideration set of competitive and substitute products; Hispanic Thrivers Ethnicity: Hispanic/Latino weigh pros and cons; and suc- Unattached Singles Status: Single, divorced, widowed cumb to emotional reactions, which Networked Millennials Age: 18 - 24 ultimately lead to one brand being selected over another. Given the vast Source: The Integer Group | M/A/R/C Research 2010 February Checkout Study N = 1,203 www.shopperculture.com amount of information available to the general public, the lines between Pre-TailTM and Retail are blurring. This, coupled with economic pressures placed on most American households, has caused a shift in aspects of decision-making from store to home. Many marketers have dubbed this shift the emerging “Zero Moment of Truth.” As the decision-making process evolves, brands and retailers that decipher the emerging Zero Moment of Truth will be best positioned to reap the rewards now and, more important, when the economy recovers. Issue issue 4.10 powered by The Integer Group® and M/A/R/C® Research powered by The Integer Group ® and M/A/R/C ® Research
  • 3. 3 page For one out of four men, shopping and list- making duties are split In-store marketing takes the lead Graphic 2: How Often Shoppers Use Shopping Lists [% of all shoppers] Penetration of the shopping list is fairly substantial, with 43% of general Attached Couples 52 % market shoppers reporting that they Female Shoppers 46 % “always” rely on a shopping list. Still, more than half of consumers (57%) Anglo America 46 % are shopping-list-free at least some Focused Boomers 44 % of the time making impulse buy- ing and in-store promotion a larger Gen X 38 % part of the buying decision. Though 37 % it’s good for shoppers, list usage Hispanic Thrivers can potentially have negative effects Unattached Singles 35 % on retailers and brands by limiting time in store, reducing exposure to 32 Networked Millenials % in-store marketing materials, the Source: The Integer Group | M/A/R/C Research 2010 March Checkout Study N = 1,203 www.shopperculture.com 1 in 4 number of items in the basket per * Statistical significance indicated by outline trip, and the number of shopping trips– especially the one-bag or impulse-trip types. However, some retailers, such as Whole Foods, have responded in clever ways by supporting shoppers’ use of lists via digital applica- The number of men tions that provide recipe-driven ingredient lists, in-store specials, and coupon support, which who shop off a list serve to guide shoppers through the store and extend the amount of time they spend there. made by someone else Men “flying blind” more often Graphic 3: Mens’ Weekly Chores Though in many instances, the shop- per and list-maker are one and the same, when it comes to attached male shoppers, there is a slight dis- parity. Nearly one out of four (23%) male shoppers report that while they are the primary grocery shopper, they are not the primary grocery shop- ping list maker as shown in graphic 3 (right). For retailers and brand manu- facturers alike, this highlights one of the main tenets of shopper market- ing–having a clear understanding of the differences between the shopper and the consumer–indicating that Source: The Integer Group | M/A/R/C Research 2010 February Checkout Study N = 1,203 * Note: Due to rounding, percentages may not add up to 100% www.shopperculture.com male Issue issue 4.10 powered by The Integer Group® and M/A/R/C® Research powered by The Integer Group ® and M/A/R/C ® Research
  • 4. 4 page The Zero Moment of Truth? grocery shoppers may present a greater opportunity to be influenced by in-store marketing ma- terials. Because two-thirds of list-makers (66%) do not record specific brands on their shopping lists, marketers can use this opportunity to provide assistance to male shoppers facing at-shelf confusion due to vague shopping lists written by someone else. It is clear that lists are a popular shopping aid and that shoppers are using them to guide their predetermined purchases in store. However, to what extent are they using their lists to make brand-level decisions? Product buy planned–brand not so much When creating a shopping list, more shoppers (81%) include the type of product, and not the brand, leaving the door open for brands and retailers to drive brand switching in-store via com- pelling marketing materials at-shelf. Respondents also report that their shopping lists also typi- cally include the quantity needed (67%), but not details like the size of an item or its price. This may indicate that most price-based decisions (price and/or price-per-unit valuations) are being made at shelf. Because the majority of brand (66%) and unit size (73%) decisions are being made at shelf, there is a substantial opportunity for shopper marketing programs to persuade value-concerned shoppers to reconsider brand-name products and entice unit size trade-up in that location. This can be especially potent when considering that most name brands will be compared to their private-label counterpart a few inches away. Brand inertia carries from home Graphic 4: Details Shoppers Write on Their Lists [% of list makers] to store When building their shopping lists, Product types 81% most shoppers (74%) are influenced primarily by the brand of the product Number of items 67% currently in use. However, one in four list makers is not brand-driven and Brand names 34% makes the decision of what goes on their shopping list based on other factors such as price, advertisement, Size of package 27% or word-of-mouth recommenda- tion. While it is not surprising that Store names 27% discounting plays a significant role in list development, roughly a third of Prices 22% all list-making shoppers are influ- Source: The Integer Group | M/A/R/C Research 2010 February Checkout Study N = 1,122 www.shopperculture.com enced by recipes (34%) and product recommendations (31%) from friends and family. Issue issue 4.10 powered by The Integer Group® and M/A/R/C® Research powered by The Integer Group ® and M/A/R/C ® Research
  • 5. 5 page When it comes to list-making, shoppers are creatures of habit This finding presents retailers and brand manufacturers with yet another opportunity to en- gage shoppers with more experiential shopper marketing tools built around meal solutions and occasion-based product assortments – other than margin-eroding price promotions. TV and Internet ads not making “the list” While the influence on list-making from the Internet and mobile phones is relatively small (11%) when compared to other factors, the explosive growth in shopping-list Web sites and mobile applications will have a sizeable impact on shoppers’ list-making habits in the near-term. The proliferation of mobile devices and technologies will only serve to redefine shopping-list making and usage as brands and retailers begin coordinating their marketing campaigns both in and out of the store–aisle-based shopping lists, anyone? Some retailers have already been making substantial headway into the list-making space, Whole Foods, Kroger, Safeway, King Soopers. Not to mention the proliferation of shopping-list Web sites like grocerywiz.com and grocerylists. org and applications such as Ziplist, GroceryIQ, and Epicurious. Graphic 5: Influence on Making the Shopping List [% of list makers] 80% Brands in use 70% 60% ons Coup 50% 40% 30% 20% Mobil e/Int ernet 10% 0% Female New Focused Anglo Attached Gen X Unattached Hispanic General Shoppers Millenials Boomers America Couples Singles Thrivers Market Source: The Integer Group | M/A/R/C Research 2010 February Checkout Study N = 1,122 www.shopperculture.com Issue issue 4.10 powered by The Integer Group® and M/A/R/C® Research powered by The Integer Group ® and M/A/R/C ® Research
  • 6. 6 pag e Shopping basket bulk-up still common Despite pre-planning, most shoppers Graphic 6: Number of “Off-List” Purchases [% of list makers, per trip] still make “off-list” purchases It is no surprise that when properly de- signed and executed, in-store marketing is an effective way to communicate with 10 or more items; 3 None; 10 % % the shopper and drive incremental pur- chase. Nine out of ten shoppers routinely 7-9 items; 5 % make impulse purchases with nearly a 1-3 items; 61 % third (30%) adding four or more items to their basket per trip. The magnitude of 4-6 items; 21 % the implication is tremendous, consider- ing that the average shopper makes 6.9 grocery-shopping trips per month and that most large-format grocers only real- ize meaningful economic benefit when Source: The Integer Group | M/A/R/C Research 2010 February Checkout Study N = 1,122 www.shopperculture.com consumers make three or more addi- tional purchases. For a leading retailer like Safeway, getting an additional 10% of existing shoppers to add three more items could amount to more than $1.5 billion in banner sales a year. The shopping list is not a barrier to impulse purchases Shoppers were most often (78%) driven to make “off-list” purchases by sales, indicating that the old adage of “priced too low to resist” is even more relevant in today’s economic environment. However, even the staunchest of penny pinchers were receptive to in-store marketing efforts with nearly a fourth of all shoppers citing that their purchase was driven by something they saw or read at-shelf. The visual appeal for 17% of shoppers was rooted in fun and/or attractive packaging and signage. In terms of effective messaging platforms, communications playing to entitlement Graphic 7: Primary Reasons for “off list” Purchases [% of list makers] and pampering drove three out of ten Was on sale or special promotion 78 shoppers to make an impulse purchase. % Interestingly, the strongest factors linked Found a good coupon for it 33 to off-list purchases–sales information, % promotion messaging, and coupons–can Wanted to pamper myself 28 % be specially tailored to each shopper Something on shelf convinced me 24 and delivered to digital shopping lists % on mobile devices. This provides retail- Looked fun and attractive 17 % ers using branded shopping lists with a Thought someone else would like it way to encourage impulse shopping by 16 % (gift) promoting smarter shopping. Ultimately, Didn't buy anything not on the list 7 % the shopping list is not a barrier but an in- cremental touchpoint to promote further Other 6 % engagement among the retailer, brand, and shopper. Source: The Integer Group | M/A/R/C Research 2010 February Checkout Study N = 1,122 www.shopperculture.com Issue issue 4.10 powered by The Integer Group® and M/A/R/C® Research powered by The Integer Group ® and M/A/R/C ® Research
  • 7. 7 page Shopper summary tables Graphic 8: Data Summary by Shopper Segment Lower income Millennials >$25k personal income/annum 18-24 years of age DATA SHOPPER BEHAVIOR DATA SHOPPER BEHAVIOR Increased preplanning, Much higher incidence of Shopping-list Shopping-list usage Shopping-list usage price-watching, and preplanning and shopping usage slightly above average greatly below average shopping involvement involvement While much more brand Higher emphasis on Retrenchment into basics- loyal, will remain List Slightly higher emphasis package size and prices, only mode with package experimental but within components on brand and less on brands downsizing existing brand tiering Social shopping and group Higher influence exerted decision-making will be Refocus on value brands by existing brand, word- Influences Less brand loyal and private-label offerings of-mouth, mobile/Internet, bolstered by in-store usage of digital shopping and TV commercials. aids Significantly higher Stringent adherence to Significantly less impulse frequency of impulse Emphasis on fun, and shopping list and meal Off-list purchases; purchases purchasing, but less items instant gratification, with planning with increased shopping driven by coupons with per trip; driven largely by higher emphasis on self- receptivity to in-store less “indulgences” attractive packaging and identification with brand marketing vehicles at-shelf messaging Lower shopping frequency but higher Higher incidence of cross- Lower shopping Shopping spend* at: channel substitution and frequency and spend frequency Walmart: +$25.64 stock-up trip types across all channels Grocery: +$22.48 C-store: +$19.12 *Per trip spend differential compared to sample average Source: The Integer Group | M/A/R/C Research 2010 February Checkout Study N = 1,203 www.shopperculture.com Graphic 9: Data Summary by Shopper Segment Hispanic Boomer 46-64 years of age DATA SHOPPER BEHAVIOR DATA SHOPPER BEHAVIOR Shopping-list usage Increased in-store Casual usage of the Shopping-list Shopping-list usage on significantly below shopping involvement shopping list with slightly usage par with average average with less preplanning higher preplanning Higher brand loyalty and Retrenchment into basics- Slightly higher emphasis List overall shopping inertia will On par with average only mode with package on brand, price, and components downsizing retailer keep this segment stable Greatly influenced by TV Slight refocus on value commercials, word-of- Slightly higher influence Stick with familiar brands Influences mouth, and existing brands and private-label from store ad or circular but will seek the best price offerings brands Longer time spent in store Average impulse purchase and more frequent Disciplined shopper with Accustomed to fluctuating Off-list frequency; significantly shopping trips will slightly less impulse economic conditions less shopping driven by at-shelf translate into even greater purchasing – except when likely to trade down and messaging shopper marketing coupons are involved more likely to buy bulk receptivity Average shopping Higher shopping While slightly more prone More frequent fill-in trips frequency but higher frequency and greater to channel switching, bulk Shopping to mass and C-stores spend* at: spend* at: buying will keep much of frequency with much of the stock-up Walmart: +$45.86 Club: +$53.04 their spending at usual done at club stores Grocery: +$27.39 Drug: -$9.86 retailers Drug: +$32.71 *Per trip spend differential compared to sample average Source: The Integer Group | M/A/R/C Research 2010 February Checkout Study N = 1,203 www.shopperculture.com Issue issue 4.10 powered by The Integer Group® and M/A/R/C® Research powered by The Integer Group ® and M/A/R/C ® Research
  • 8. 8 page Shopper mind-sets and behaviors change along the path to purchase The shopping process has changed dramatically in the last decade. Our sources of product and brand information have multiplied exponentially. We trust the opinions of complete strangers, shop online with our social network, and even become “fans” of brands. We watch commercials on YouTube®, then skip over them with TiVo® and satellite radio. We read reviews on Amazon®, then go and play with the products in-store, check in on FourSquareTM, take a vote of Face- book® friends, buy them with our mobile phones, and then Tweet about our experiences with our friends. Where, then, is the First Moment of Truth? The Shopper ContinuumTM is Illustration 1.0 The Shopper ContinuumTM a proprietary Integer framework Pre-Tail™ that helps us understand and Entering a store or Web site articulate the role of communi- cation and marketing actions during three distinct phases of shopping behavior. Browsing, Retail comparing, researching and selecting Pre-Tail™ includes all the items actions people take when preparing to shop and se- lecting a retailer, including how we respond to all the things brands and retailers = points of action, behaviors Post-Tail™ Using the ing t g th product Purchase rch h moment do to influence us. Copyright © 2010 The Integer Group Retail is all the activities that take place in a real or virtual retail environment. This includes the behavior of the shopper and the actions of the retailer and brands on the shelves (real or virtual). Post-Tail™ encompasses what happens after a purchase. It includes what retailers and brands can do to reinforce and celebrate the purchase and encourage shoppers to repeat their behavior. The Shopper ContinuumTM framework is one of the tools employed by The Integer Group to identify the questions we need to ask about our shoppers, how we go about getting those answers (the data), and then what we do to improve our strategy (the analytics). Issue issue 4.10 powered by The Integer Group® and M/A/R/C® Research powered by The Integer Group ® and M/A/R/C ® Research
  • 9. 9 page The Integer Group® is one of America’s M/A/R/C® Research is a brand develop- largest promotional and retail marketing ment firm dedicated to helping clients create, agencies and a key member of the TBWA evaluate, and strengthen their brands. Our Marketing Services portfolio. The Integer teams design and execute qualitative and Group resides At the Intersection of Branding quantitative, traditional, and online solutions and Selling® and creates strategic marketing while adhering to a client-service ethic built solutions for clients in categories that include on being easy to work with and delivering beverage, packaged goods, telecommunica- what is promised. Our core competency is tions, fast food, home and shelter, and power measuring attitudes and behaviors to accu- sports. Join Integer® in a conversation on rately explain and predict market share, shopping culture and brand strategy: revenue, and bottom-line impact of a client’s actions. We help our clients address con- The Integer Group sumer, channel, and B2B marketing issues to Craig Elston launch better products and services attract Sr. VP, Insight & Strategy and retain valuable customers, and build celston@integer.com stronger brands. Our proven, marketing-is- 7245 West Alaska Drive sue-focused solutions support clients’ brand- Lakewood, CO 80226 building efforts. tel +1.303.393.3474 M/A/R/C Research Randy Wahl EVP, Advanced Analytics Visit us at www.shopperculture.com Randy.Wahl@MARCresearch.com 1660 North Westridge Circle Download the Shopper Culture application from the Irving, TX 75038 iTunes store today Join The Shopper Culture group on Linked-In Visit us at www.MARCresearch.com/thecheckout Friend us on Facebook The Checkout is based on a nationally representative survey of 1,200 U.S. adults conducted monthly by M/A/R/C Research. Please contact us to learn more about the data we collect or additional Follow us on Twitter at twitter.com/shopperculture analysis. ©2010 by The Integer Group® and M/A/R/C® Research. All rights reserved. The data contained in this report may be reproduced in any form as long as the data is cited from The Integer Group and M/A/R/C Research. www.ShopperCulture.com. Issue issue 4.10 powered by The Integer Group® and M/A/R/C® Research powered by The Integer Group ® and M/A/R/C ® Research