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Chapter 11

            Artificial Intelligence and
                  Expert Systems

ITEC 1010         Information and Organizations
Overview of Artificial
                   Intelligence (1)
      Artificial intelligence (AI)
             Computers with the ability to mimic or
             duplicate the functions of the human brain
      Artificial intelligence systems
             The people, procedures, hardware, software,
             data, and knowledge needed to develop
             computer systems and machines that
             demonstrate the characteristics of intelligence
ITEC 1010              Information and Organizations
Overview of Artificial
                Intelligence (2)
      Intelligent behaviour
         Learn from experience
         Apply knowledge acquired from experience
         Handle complex situations
         Solve problems when important information is missing
         Determine what is important
         React quickly and correctly to a new situation
         Understand visual images
         Process and manipulate symbols
         Be creative and imaginative
         Use heuristics
ITEC 1010             Information and Organizations
Major Branches of AI (1)
             Perceptive system
                 • A system that approximates the way a human sees, hears, and
                   feels objects
             Vision system
                 • Capture, store, and manipulate visual images and pictures
               Robotics
                 • Mechanical and computer devices that perform tedious tasks
                   with high precision
             Expert system
                 • Stores knowledge and makes inferences

ITEC 1010                     Information and Organizations
Major Branches of AI (2)
             Learning system
               • Computer changes how it functions or reacts to situations
                 based on feedback
             Natural language processing
               • Computers understand and react to statements and commands
                 made in a “natural” language, such as English
             Neural network
               • Computer system that can act like or simulate the functioning
                 of the human brain

                                                                    Schematic

ITEC 1010                  Information and Organizations
Artificial
                    intelligence




                   Vision            Learning
                  systems            systems

       Robotics
                                                                  Expert systems



                                                Neural networks
                       Natural language
                         processing



ITEC 1010                   Information and Organizations
r   1
                ap te
           Ch
  F ro m              Artificial Intelligence (1)
 The branch of computer science concerned with making computers
behave like humans. The term was coined in 1956 by John McCarthy
at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Artificial intelligence
includes
        games playing: programming computers to play games such as
            chess and checkers
           expert systems : programming computers to make decisions in real-life
            situations (for example, some expert systems help doctors diagnose
            diseases based on symptoms)
           natural language : programming computers to understand natural
            human languages
ITEC 1010                     Information and Organizations
r   1
                ap te
           Ch
  F ro m              Artificial Intelligence (2)
           neural networks : Systems that simulate intelligence by attempting
            to reproduce the types of physical connections that occur in animal
            brains
           robotics : programming computers to see and hear and react to
            other sensory stimuli


Currently, no computers exhibit full artificial intelligence (that is, are
able to simulate human behavior). The greatest advances have
occurred in the field of games playing. The best computer chess
programs are now capable of beating humans. In May, 1997, an IBM
super-computer called Deep Blue defeated world chess champion

ITEC 1010                     Information and Organizations
r   1
                ap te
           Ch
  F ro m              Artificial Intelligence (3)
Gary Kasparov in a chess match.

In the area of robotics, computers are now widely used in assembly
plants, but they are capable only of very limited tasks. Robots have
great difficulty identifying objects based on appearance or feel, and
they still move and handle objects clumsily.

Natural-language processing offers the greatest potential rewards
because it would allow people to interact with computers without
needing any specialized knowledge. You could simply walk up to a
ITEC 1010                     Information and Organizations
r   1
                ap te
           Ch
  F ro m              Artificial Intelligence (4)
computer and talk to it. Unfortunately, programming computers to
understand natural languages has proved to be more difficult than
originally thought. Some rudimentary translation systems that
translate from one human language to another are in existence, but
they are not nearly as good as human translators. There are also
voice recognition systems that can convert spoken sounds into
written words, but they do not understand what they are writing;
they simply take dictation. Even these systems are quite limited --
you must speak slowly and distinctly.
ITEC 1010                     Information and Organizations
r   1
                ap te
           Ch
  F ro m              Artificial Intelligence (5)
In the early 1980s, expert systems were believed to represent the
future of artificial intelligence and of computers in general. To date,
however, they have not lived up to expectations. Many expert
systems help human experts in such fields as medicine and
engineering, but they are very expensive to produce and are helpful
only in special situations.

Today, the hottest area of artificial intelligence is neural networks,
which are proving successful in a number of disciplines such as voice
recognition and natural-language processing.
ITEC 1010                     Information and Organizations
r   1
                ap te
           Ch
  F ro m              Artificial Intelligence (6)
There are several programming languages that are known as AI
languages because they are used almost exclusively for AI
applications. The two most common are LISP and Prolog.




ITEC 1010                     Information and Organizations
Overview of Expert Systems
      Can…
        Explain their reasoning or suggested decisions
        Display intelligent behavior
        Draw conclusions from complex relationships
        Provide portable knowledge
      Expert system shell
        A collection of software packages and tools
             used to develop expert systems

ITEC 1010             Information and Organizations
Limitations of Expert Systems
        Not widely used or tested
        Limited to relatively narrow problems
        Cannot readily deal with “mixed” knowledge
        Possibility of error
        Cannot refine own knowledge base
        Difficult to maintain
        May have high development costs
        Raise legal and ethical concerns
ITEC 1010           Information and Organizations
Capabilities of Expert Systems
            Strategic goal setting       Explore impact of strategic goals


                  Planning               Impact of plans on resources

                                          Integrate general design principles and
                   Design
                                          manufacturing limitations

              Decision making             Provide advise on decisions


      Quality control and monitoring      Monitor quality and assist in finding solutions


                 Diagnosis                Look for causes and suggest solutions

ITEC 1010                     Information and Organizations
When to Use an Expert System (1)
      Provide a high potential payoff or
       significantly reduced downside risk
      Capture and preserve irreplaceable human
       expertise
      Provide expertise needed at a number of
       locations at the same time or in a hostile
       environment that is dangerous to human
       health
ITEC 1010         Information and Organizations
When to Use an Expert System (2)
      Provide expertise that is expensive or rare
      Develop a solution faster than human
       experts can
      Provide expertise needed for training and
       development to share the wisdom of human
       experts with a large number of people


ITEC 1010         Information and Organizations
Components of an
                   Expert System (1)
      Knowledge base
        Stores all relevant information, data, rules, cases, and
            relationships used by the expert system
      Inference engine
         Seeks information and relationships from the
            knowledge base and provides answers, predictions,
            and suggestions in the way a human expert would
      Rule
        A conditional statement that links given conditions to
            actions or outcomes

ITEC 1010              Information and Organizations
Components of an
                   Expert System (2)
      Fuzzy logic
         A specialty research area in computer science that
            allows shades of gray and does not require everything
            to be simply yes/no, or true/false
      Backward chaining
        A method of reasoning that starts with conclusions and
            works backward to the supporting facts
      Forward chaining
         A method of reasoning that starts with the facts and
            works forward to the conclusions                Schematic

ITEC 1010              Information and Organizations
Explanation            Inference
              facility              engine




                                  Knowledge
            Knowledge                base                   User
              base                acquisition             interface
                                    facility




                                    Experts                 User


ITEC 1010                 Information and Organizations
Rules for a Credit Application
            Mortgage application for a loan for $100,000 to $200,000


            If there are no previous credits problems, and
            If month net income is greater than 4x monthly loan payment, and
            If down payment is 15% of total value of property, and
            If net income of borrower is > $25,000, and
            If employment is > 3 years at same company


            Then accept the applications


            Else check other credit rules

ITEC 1010                     Information and Organizations
Explanation Facility
      Explanation facility
             A part of the expert system that allows a user
              or decision maker to understand how the
              expert system arrived at certain conclusions or
              results




ITEC 1010               Information and Organizations
Knowledge Acquisition Facility
             Knowledge acquisition facility
              • Provides a convenient and efficient means of
                capturing and storing all components of the
                knowledge base


                                Knowledge
      Knowledge                 acquisition
        base                      facility


                                                         Joe Expert
ITEC 1010               Information and Organizations
Expert Systems Development
                Determining requirements


                    Identifying experts

                                                    Domain
            Construct expert system components      • The area of knowledge
                                                      addressed by the
                                                      expert system.
                   Implementing results


             Maintaining and reviewing system

ITEC 1010                Information and Organizations
Participants in Expert Systems
            Development and Use
      Domain expert
        The individual or group whose expertise and
            knowledge is captured for use in an expert system
      Knowledge user
        The individual or group who uses and benefits from
            the expert system
      Knowledge engineer
        Someone trained or experienced in the design,
            development, implementation, and maintenance of an
            expert system                                Schematic

ITEC 1010              Information and Organizations
Expert
                                 system




                          Knowledge engineer
      Domain expert                                   Knowledge user

ITEC 1010             Information and Organizations
Evolution of Expert Systems
                              Software
      Expert system shell
         Collection of software packages & tools to design,
                      develop, implement, and maintain expert systems

                     high
                                                                   Expert system
                                                                   shells
       Ease of use




                                              Special and 4th
                                              generation
                            Traditional
                                              languages
                            programming
                            languages
                      low
                            Before 1980            1980s              1990s

ITEC 1010                          Information and Organizations
Advantages of Expert Systems
      Easy to develop and modify
      The use of satisficing
      The use of heuristics
      Development by knowledge engineers and
       users



ITEC 1010        Information and Organizations
Expert Systems Development
                    Alternatives
              high
                                                        Develop
                                                         from
                                                        scratch
                                       Develop
    Development                         from
       costs                            shell
                       Use
                     existing
              low    package

                     low                                    high
                            Time to develop expert system

ITEC 1010             Information and Organizations
Applications of Expert Systems
         and Artificial Intelligence
            •   Credit granting
            •   Information management and retrieval
            •   AI and expert systems embedded in products
            •   Plant layout
            •   Hospitals and medical facilities
            •   Help desks and assistance
            •   Employee performance evaluation
            •   Loan analysis
            •   Virus detection
            •   Repair and maintenance
            •   Shipping
            •   Marketing
            •   Warehouse optimization

ITEC 1010                Information and Organizations
End of Chapter 11


                    Chapter 12


ITEC 1010     Information and Organizations

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Chapter6 artificila intelligence_and_information

  • 1. Chapter 11 Artificial Intelligence and Expert Systems ITEC 1010 Information and Organizations
  • 2. Overview of Artificial Intelligence (1)  Artificial intelligence (AI)  Computers with the ability to mimic or duplicate the functions of the human brain  Artificial intelligence systems  The people, procedures, hardware, software, data, and knowledge needed to develop computer systems and machines that demonstrate the characteristics of intelligence ITEC 1010 Information and Organizations
  • 3. Overview of Artificial Intelligence (2)  Intelligent behaviour  Learn from experience  Apply knowledge acquired from experience  Handle complex situations  Solve problems when important information is missing  Determine what is important  React quickly and correctly to a new situation  Understand visual images  Process and manipulate symbols  Be creative and imaginative  Use heuristics ITEC 1010 Information and Organizations
  • 4. Major Branches of AI (1)  Perceptive system • A system that approximates the way a human sees, hears, and feels objects  Vision system • Capture, store, and manipulate visual images and pictures  Robotics • Mechanical and computer devices that perform tedious tasks with high precision  Expert system • Stores knowledge and makes inferences ITEC 1010 Information and Organizations
  • 5. Major Branches of AI (2)  Learning system • Computer changes how it functions or reacts to situations based on feedback  Natural language processing • Computers understand and react to statements and commands made in a “natural” language, such as English  Neural network • Computer system that can act like or simulate the functioning of the human brain Schematic ITEC 1010 Information and Organizations
  • 6. Artificial intelligence Vision Learning systems systems Robotics Expert systems Neural networks Natural language processing ITEC 1010 Information and Organizations
  • 7. r 1 ap te Ch F ro m Artificial Intelligence (1) The branch of computer science concerned with making computers behave like humans. The term was coined in 1956 by John McCarthy at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Artificial intelligence includes  games playing: programming computers to play games such as chess and checkers  expert systems : programming computers to make decisions in real-life situations (for example, some expert systems help doctors diagnose diseases based on symptoms)  natural language : programming computers to understand natural human languages ITEC 1010 Information and Organizations
  • 8. r 1 ap te Ch F ro m Artificial Intelligence (2)  neural networks : Systems that simulate intelligence by attempting to reproduce the types of physical connections that occur in animal brains  robotics : programming computers to see and hear and react to other sensory stimuli Currently, no computers exhibit full artificial intelligence (that is, are able to simulate human behavior). The greatest advances have occurred in the field of games playing. The best computer chess programs are now capable of beating humans. In May, 1997, an IBM super-computer called Deep Blue defeated world chess champion ITEC 1010 Information and Organizations
  • 9. r 1 ap te Ch F ro m Artificial Intelligence (3) Gary Kasparov in a chess match. In the area of robotics, computers are now widely used in assembly plants, but they are capable only of very limited tasks. Robots have great difficulty identifying objects based on appearance or feel, and they still move and handle objects clumsily. Natural-language processing offers the greatest potential rewards because it would allow people to interact with computers without needing any specialized knowledge. You could simply walk up to a ITEC 1010 Information and Organizations
  • 10. r 1 ap te Ch F ro m Artificial Intelligence (4) computer and talk to it. Unfortunately, programming computers to understand natural languages has proved to be more difficult than originally thought. Some rudimentary translation systems that translate from one human language to another are in existence, but they are not nearly as good as human translators. There are also voice recognition systems that can convert spoken sounds into written words, but they do not understand what they are writing; they simply take dictation. Even these systems are quite limited -- you must speak slowly and distinctly. ITEC 1010 Information and Organizations
  • 11. r 1 ap te Ch F ro m Artificial Intelligence (5) In the early 1980s, expert systems were believed to represent the future of artificial intelligence and of computers in general. To date, however, they have not lived up to expectations. Many expert systems help human experts in such fields as medicine and engineering, but they are very expensive to produce and are helpful only in special situations. Today, the hottest area of artificial intelligence is neural networks, which are proving successful in a number of disciplines such as voice recognition and natural-language processing. ITEC 1010 Information and Organizations
  • 12. r 1 ap te Ch F ro m Artificial Intelligence (6) There are several programming languages that are known as AI languages because they are used almost exclusively for AI applications. The two most common are LISP and Prolog. ITEC 1010 Information and Organizations
  • 13. Overview of Expert Systems  Can…  Explain their reasoning or suggested decisions  Display intelligent behavior  Draw conclusions from complex relationships  Provide portable knowledge  Expert system shell  A collection of software packages and tools used to develop expert systems ITEC 1010 Information and Organizations
  • 14. Limitations of Expert Systems  Not widely used or tested  Limited to relatively narrow problems  Cannot readily deal with “mixed” knowledge  Possibility of error  Cannot refine own knowledge base  Difficult to maintain  May have high development costs  Raise legal and ethical concerns ITEC 1010 Information and Organizations
  • 15. Capabilities of Expert Systems Strategic goal setting Explore impact of strategic goals Planning Impact of plans on resources Integrate general design principles and Design manufacturing limitations Decision making Provide advise on decisions Quality control and monitoring Monitor quality and assist in finding solutions Diagnosis Look for causes and suggest solutions ITEC 1010 Information and Organizations
  • 16. When to Use an Expert System (1)  Provide a high potential payoff or significantly reduced downside risk  Capture and preserve irreplaceable human expertise  Provide expertise needed at a number of locations at the same time or in a hostile environment that is dangerous to human health ITEC 1010 Information and Organizations
  • 17. When to Use an Expert System (2)  Provide expertise that is expensive or rare  Develop a solution faster than human experts can  Provide expertise needed for training and development to share the wisdom of human experts with a large number of people ITEC 1010 Information and Organizations
  • 18. Components of an Expert System (1)  Knowledge base  Stores all relevant information, data, rules, cases, and relationships used by the expert system  Inference engine  Seeks information and relationships from the knowledge base and provides answers, predictions, and suggestions in the way a human expert would  Rule  A conditional statement that links given conditions to actions or outcomes ITEC 1010 Information and Organizations
  • 19. Components of an Expert System (2)  Fuzzy logic  A specialty research area in computer science that allows shades of gray and does not require everything to be simply yes/no, or true/false  Backward chaining  A method of reasoning that starts with conclusions and works backward to the supporting facts  Forward chaining  A method of reasoning that starts with the facts and works forward to the conclusions Schematic ITEC 1010 Information and Organizations
  • 20. Explanation Inference facility engine Knowledge Knowledge base User base acquisition interface facility Experts User ITEC 1010 Information and Organizations
  • 21. Rules for a Credit Application Mortgage application for a loan for $100,000 to $200,000 If there are no previous credits problems, and If month net income is greater than 4x monthly loan payment, and If down payment is 15% of total value of property, and If net income of borrower is > $25,000, and If employment is > 3 years at same company Then accept the applications Else check other credit rules ITEC 1010 Information and Organizations
  • 22. Explanation Facility  Explanation facility  A part of the expert system that allows a user or decision maker to understand how the expert system arrived at certain conclusions or results ITEC 1010 Information and Organizations
  • 23. Knowledge Acquisition Facility  Knowledge acquisition facility • Provides a convenient and efficient means of capturing and storing all components of the knowledge base Knowledge Knowledge acquisition base facility Joe Expert ITEC 1010 Information and Organizations
  • 24. Expert Systems Development Determining requirements Identifying experts Domain Construct expert system components • The area of knowledge addressed by the expert system. Implementing results Maintaining and reviewing system ITEC 1010 Information and Organizations
  • 25. Participants in Expert Systems Development and Use  Domain expert  The individual or group whose expertise and knowledge is captured for use in an expert system  Knowledge user  The individual or group who uses and benefits from the expert system  Knowledge engineer  Someone trained or experienced in the design, development, implementation, and maintenance of an expert system Schematic ITEC 1010 Information and Organizations
  • 26. Expert system Knowledge engineer Domain expert Knowledge user ITEC 1010 Information and Organizations
  • 27. Evolution of Expert Systems Software  Expert system shell  Collection of software packages & tools to design, develop, implement, and maintain expert systems high Expert system shells Ease of use Special and 4th generation Traditional languages programming languages low Before 1980 1980s 1990s ITEC 1010 Information and Organizations
  • 28. Advantages of Expert Systems  Easy to develop and modify  The use of satisficing  The use of heuristics  Development by knowledge engineers and users ITEC 1010 Information and Organizations
  • 29. Expert Systems Development Alternatives high Develop from scratch Develop Development from costs shell Use existing low package low high Time to develop expert system ITEC 1010 Information and Organizations
  • 30. Applications of Expert Systems and Artificial Intelligence • Credit granting • Information management and retrieval • AI and expert systems embedded in products • Plant layout • Hospitals and medical facilities • Help desks and assistance • Employee performance evaluation • Loan analysis • Virus detection • Repair and maintenance • Shipping • Marketing • Warehouse optimization ITEC 1010 Information and Organizations
  • 31. End of Chapter 11 Chapter 12 ITEC 1010 Information and Organizations