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Energy Crisis in Bangladesh
   Short and Long Term Solutions




             April 30, 2009

       Compiled by Shawkat Haider
Electricity Generation Worldwide




                                           Current production costs :
                                           1.76 cents per kWh for nuclear,
                                           2.47 cents for coal,
                                           6.78 cents for natural gas and
                                           10.26 cents for petroleum.

Coal accounts for 39% of global energy
                                                  World Nuclear Association
                                                  IAEA.
Electricity Generation in Bangladesh


Peak demand is catered by:                            Demand from:
Natural gas     85%
                                                      DESA, DESCO 1800MW
Liquid fuel     6.76%
                                                      REB         2200MW
Coal            5.41%
                                                      PDB itself  1500MW
Hydropower      2.45%



    1 TCF Coal (37MT) can produce 14000-94000 MW
    1 TCF Gas can produce 22000 MW

    3.5 barrels of oil = 17000 cubic feet gas = 1780 pound coal
                 (in terms of energy production)


                   Coal Mining Challenges in Bangladesh Khondkar Abdus Saleque, energybangla, April 2009
                   Solution lies in gas supply, Sharier Khan, The Daily Star
                   Dr. Khalequzzaman, The Daily Star
                   World Nuclear Association
Energy Sector Snapshots

TOTAL INSTALLED CAPACITY                      5453 MW (105 Unit)                 December - 2008
BPDB                                          3812 MW (59 Unit)                  December - 2008
IPP                                           1330 MW (39 Unit)                  December - 2008
SIPP & Rental                                   311 MW (7 Unit)                  December - 2008
Present generation capacity                         4931 MW                      December - 2008
Current demand                                      5500 MW                          April- 2009
Average generation                               3700-3800 MW                        April- 2009
Maximum generation in history                      4146.9 MW                          April-2009
Load shedding                                    1000-1500 MW                         April-2009
Access to electricity                                  45%                            FY- 2008
Per capita generation                                149 kWh                          FY- 2008

Distribution lines (33 KV & below)             47,479 Route KM                         FY-2007

                                          Bangladesh power development board, BPDB; Power Cell, Energybangla
Power Sector Structure in Bangladesh
Gas Sector Scenario in Bangladesh


Total recoverable gas                   : 21 TCF
(proven and probable)
Reserve remaining                        : 13 TCF

National demand of natural gas : 2200 MMCFD
Production capacity            : 1880 MMCFD

Power sector requirement                 : 921 MMCFD
Power sector gets                        : 800 MMCFD




              PetroBangla
              Coal Mining Challenges in Bangladesh, Khondkar Abdus Saleque, Energybangla
GAS PRODUCTON CAPACITY 2009
                                                        Capacity

Company                  Field        Producing Wells   (mmscfd)

 1.BGFCL      TITAS                         14            405

              BAKHRABAD                     4              34

              HABIGANJ                      9             240
                                                                        Category Wise Gas
              NARSHINGDI                    2              35

                                                                        Consumption (2007)
              MEGHNA                        1              0

                      Sub Total             30            714

 2.SGFL       SYLHET                        1              2
                                                                        Power             44%
              KAILASHTILA                   6              97
                                                                        Fertilizer        13%
              RASHIDPUR                     5              53

                                                                        Captive Power     13%
              BEANIBAZAR                    2              18

                                                                        Industrial        16%
                      Sub Total             14            170

 3.BAPEX      SALDANADI                     2              11
                                                                        Domestic          11%
              FENCHUGANJ                    2              32
                                                                        Others             3%
                      Sub Total             4              43

          SUBTOTAL (1+2+3)                  48            927

CAIRN         SANGU                         6              35

                                                                                        Titas Gas, Petrobangla
              JALALABAD                     4             230

              MOULOVIBAZAR                  4              75

CHEVRON       BIBIYANA                      12            500

NIKO          FENI                          3              3

TULLOW        BANGURA                       2             100

                                            31            943
             Sub Total
               TOTAL                        79            1870

                                                          PetroBangla
Coal Sector Scenario in Bangladesh

                     The total coal reserves in 5 coal fields
                                         =
                             2.9 billion metric tons
                                         =
                      energy equivalent to 67 TCF of gas



Only Baropukuria Coal Mine is operational from where 1.73 mill MT of coal has
        been extracted up to December 2008 for 250MW power plant

Place/ Field (Discovery)                Depth (Meter)                 Proven Reserve (Mill Ton)
Barapukuria, Dinajpur (1985)            119-506                       390
Khalashpeer, Rangpur (1995)             257-483                       143 (GSB), 685 (Hosaf)
Phulbari, Dinajpur (1997)               150-240                       572
Jamalganj, Jaipurhat (1965)             900-1000                      1050
Dighirpar, Dinajpur (1995)              327                           200 (partly evaluated)
                                                                                                  Petrobangla

                 Coal Mining Challenges in Bangladesh, Khondkar Abdus Saleque, April 26, 2009, Energybangla.com
Power Plant Status in Bangladesh

Years in operation            No. of power                 Capacity (MW)
                              plants

40 +                          7                            140
31 - 40                       6                            318
21 – 30                       26                           1399
11 - 20                       10                           1113
01 - 10                       50                           2483
                                                           5453

Power Crisis: Issues and Challenges Md. Mizanur Rahman, March 26, 2009, Energybangla
Causes of Power Crisis


                   •     The demand for around 5,500MW of electricity is not
                         met by an avg supply of only 3,800MW.

                   •     High gas dependence. Many power plants are idle
                         due to shortage of gas supply and poor
                         maintenance.

                   •     An inefficient transmission and distribution system
                         operated by state owned companies are the main
                         factor behind huge system loss (15-20%).

                   •     Unprecedented delay in finalizing a coal policy. We
                         have a probable coal reserve of 3.3 billion tones,
                         which is around 5 times higher than our current
                         proven gas reserve in terms of its heating value.

                   •     A lack of transparency in power generation
                         procurement and tendering in the past. Highly
                         inefficient decision making process



Maximizing Growth for Bangladesh: A Private Sector Vision, Ifty Islam, Asian Tiger Capital Partners
Short Term Solutions

• Shutting down of all the government owned urea plants. This the only immediate source of
additional gas to be used for power generation. Most of these fertilizer factories use old fuel
inefficient process which already have outlived their effective economic life.

• Going for long term agreements to import urea right now as international price of urea is low.
The availability of urea must be assured but the price should be appropriate; a subsidy is
possible but undesirable. At least the subsidy should be linked to the price of rice.

• More Rental Power Plants need to be installed to overcome the short term power crisis.

• Reducing system loss in the power sector should be a priority as a reduction of 1% system
loss can save around 45 MW of power. The government should implement the merchant
power policy immediately

• The government can set up some small coal fired power plants and can import coal from
India on a temporary basis before developing our own coal mines

• Several large barge mounted power plants can be contracted on short term basis which can
supply additional 600 MW by the end of the year. This will ease the power crisis for a few
years while other fuel sources are developed and the required power plants constructed

                      Solving the energy crisis Salman F Rahman and Forrest Cookson
                      Maximizing Growth for Bangladesh: A Private Sector Vision, Ifty Islam, Asian Tiger Capital Partners
                      Power Crisis: Issues and Challenges Md. Mizanur Rahman, Energybangla.com
                      Bangladesh Power System Master Plan Review, Engr Khondkar Abdus Saleque, Feb 2009, Enerybangla.com
Short Term Solutions

• Captive power generation by the private sector is around 1800-2000 MW; 20-25% of this
capacity remains unutilized which can be added to the national gridline. Provide incentive
to the standby captive generators to run their machine without taking power from grid.

The improvement of the gas pipelines and installation of compressors to increase pipeline
pressure - should be implemented immediately.

• Daylight energy saving. Changing the office timetable to 8 am - 2 pm can save more
electricity for using in the evening peak hours. 350 MW at Dhaka and Chittagong can be
saved daily

• Using energy efficient appliances and immediate removal of taxes on them

• Importing Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) from gas exporting countries like Indonesia, Qatar
to meet urgent need

• Nation-wide power conservation awareness program




                   Solving the energy crisis Salman F Rahman and Forrest Cookson
                   Maximizing Growth for Bangladesh: A Private Sector Vision, Ifty Islam, Asian Tiger Capital Partners
                   Power Crisis: Issues and Challenges Md. Mizanur Rahman, Energybangla.com
                   Bangladesh Power System Master Plan Review, Engr Khondkar Abdus Saleque, Feb 2009, Enerybangla.com
Mid to Long Term Solution

• Accelerate the exploration for gas. The recoverable proven remaining reserve of gas is
will start depleting after 2012. The maritime boundary dispute with India and Myanmar is a
major barrier to offshore gas exploration, and should be resolved as soon as possible.

• Petrobangla and EMRD must do everything possible to support Bapex to make it a self
reliant exploration company.

• Install new urea plants that are more gas efficient. As coal fired power plants come on
line in five years the gas can be sold to the urea factories enabling imports of urea to be
curtailed.

• Fast-track the development of Phulbari and other coal deposits and simultaneously build
large-scale coal-fired power stations. Gradually remove coal imports (currently about 5
mill MT) and supply ultimately 18 MMT to the power plants [enough for 6000 MWs].
Contract for 3 coal fired power plants each for 1000 MWs in about 4-5 years. When these
plants are available gas is switched to new efficient urea plants and peaking plants for the
power sector and for direct industrial use.

• Public private partnership should be highly encouraged. If needed, energy bond or levies
should be charged to raise funds.

                   Solving the energy crisis Salman F Rahman and Forrest Cookson
                   Maximizing Growth for Bangladesh: A Private Sector Vision, Ifty Islam, Asian Tiger Capital Partners
                   Power Crisis: Issues and Challenges Md. Mizanur Rahman, Energybangla.com
                   Bangladesh Power System Master Plan Review, Engr Khondkar Abdus Saleque, Feb 2009, Enerybangla.com
Mid to Long Term Solution

• Government must encourage expansion of Solar, wind and bio fuel energy
generation. Efforts to use solar power on tall buildings, factories, rural areas
should be promoted with low cost loans while removing taxes on solar
equipment. Full potential of mini micro hydro generation must also be explored.
Energy from solid municipal waste in major cities can be possibility also.

• Nuclear energy is a long term solution with huge cost involvement of billion
dollar per 1000 MW plant, but essentially this would become a vital source with
highest durability and low unit cost of production.

• Many power plants set up in Ashuganj, Ghorashal, Shajibazar have outlived
their effective economic life. Further investment in those will be waste of money
and efforts. There has been considerable drainage of national resources in
maintenance of some plants. These can be replaced with fuel efficient modern
plants.

• A more efficient and faster procurement and tendering process should be
adopted for quicker implementation of any project.


             Solving the energy crisis Salman F Rahman and Forrest Cookson
             Maximizing Growth for Bangladesh: A Private Sector Vision, Ifty Islam, Asian Tiger Capital Partners
             Power Crisis: Issues and Challenges Md. Mizanur Rahman, Energybangla.com
             Bangladesh Power System Master Plan Review, Engr Khondkar Abdus Saleque, Feb 2009, Enerybangla.com

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Bangladesh Energy Crisis Solutions

  • 1. Energy Crisis in Bangladesh Short and Long Term Solutions April 30, 2009 Compiled by Shawkat Haider
  • 2. Electricity Generation Worldwide Current production costs : 1.76 cents per kWh for nuclear, 2.47 cents for coal, 6.78 cents for natural gas and 10.26 cents for petroleum. Coal accounts for 39% of global energy World Nuclear Association IAEA.
  • 3. Electricity Generation in Bangladesh Peak demand is catered by: Demand from: Natural gas 85% DESA, DESCO 1800MW Liquid fuel 6.76% REB 2200MW Coal 5.41% PDB itself 1500MW Hydropower 2.45% 1 TCF Coal (37MT) can produce 14000-94000 MW 1 TCF Gas can produce 22000 MW 3.5 barrels of oil = 17000 cubic feet gas = 1780 pound coal (in terms of energy production) Coal Mining Challenges in Bangladesh Khondkar Abdus Saleque, energybangla, April 2009 Solution lies in gas supply, Sharier Khan, The Daily Star Dr. Khalequzzaman, The Daily Star World Nuclear Association
  • 4. Energy Sector Snapshots TOTAL INSTALLED CAPACITY 5453 MW (105 Unit) December - 2008 BPDB 3812 MW (59 Unit) December - 2008 IPP 1330 MW (39 Unit) December - 2008 SIPP & Rental 311 MW (7 Unit) December - 2008 Present generation capacity 4931 MW December - 2008 Current demand 5500 MW April- 2009 Average generation 3700-3800 MW April- 2009 Maximum generation in history 4146.9 MW April-2009 Load shedding 1000-1500 MW April-2009 Access to electricity 45% FY- 2008 Per capita generation 149 kWh FY- 2008 Distribution lines (33 KV & below) 47,479 Route KM FY-2007 Bangladesh power development board, BPDB; Power Cell, Energybangla
  • 5. Power Sector Structure in Bangladesh
  • 6. Gas Sector Scenario in Bangladesh Total recoverable gas : 21 TCF (proven and probable) Reserve remaining : 13 TCF National demand of natural gas : 2200 MMCFD Production capacity : 1880 MMCFD Power sector requirement : 921 MMCFD Power sector gets : 800 MMCFD PetroBangla Coal Mining Challenges in Bangladesh, Khondkar Abdus Saleque, Energybangla
  • 7. GAS PRODUCTON CAPACITY 2009 Capacity Company Field Producing Wells (mmscfd) 1.BGFCL TITAS 14 405 BAKHRABAD 4 34 HABIGANJ 9 240 Category Wise Gas NARSHINGDI 2 35 Consumption (2007) MEGHNA 1 0 Sub Total 30 714 2.SGFL SYLHET 1 2 Power 44% KAILASHTILA 6 97 Fertilizer 13% RASHIDPUR 5 53 Captive Power 13% BEANIBAZAR 2 18 Industrial 16% Sub Total 14 170 3.BAPEX SALDANADI 2 11 Domestic 11% FENCHUGANJ 2 32 Others 3% Sub Total 4 43 SUBTOTAL (1+2+3) 48 927 CAIRN SANGU 6 35 Titas Gas, Petrobangla JALALABAD 4 230 MOULOVIBAZAR 4 75 CHEVRON BIBIYANA 12 500 NIKO FENI 3 3 TULLOW BANGURA 2 100 31 943 Sub Total TOTAL 79 1870 PetroBangla
  • 8. Coal Sector Scenario in Bangladesh The total coal reserves in 5 coal fields = 2.9 billion metric tons = energy equivalent to 67 TCF of gas Only Baropukuria Coal Mine is operational from where 1.73 mill MT of coal has been extracted up to December 2008 for 250MW power plant Place/ Field (Discovery) Depth (Meter) Proven Reserve (Mill Ton) Barapukuria, Dinajpur (1985) 119-506 390 Khalashpeer, Rangpur (1995) 257-483 143 (GSB), 685 (Hosaf) Phulbari, Dinajpur (1997) 150-240 572 Jamalganj, Jaipurhat (1965) 900-1000 1050 Dighirpar, Dinajpur (1995) 327 200 (partly evaluated) Petrobangla Coal Mining Challenges in Bangladesh, Khondkar Abdus Saleque, April 26, 2009, Energybangla.com
  • 9. Power Plant Status in Bangladesh Years in operation No. of power Capacity (MW) plants 40 + 7 140 31 - 40 6 318 21 – 30 26 1399 11 - 20 10 1113 01 - 10 50 2483 5453 Power Crisis: Issues and Challenges Md. Mizanur Rahman, March 26, 2009, Energybangla
  • 10. Causes of Power Crisis • The demand for around 5,500MW of electricity is not met by an avg supply of only 3,800MW. • High gas dependence. Many power plants are idle due to shortage of gas supply and poor maintenance. • An inefficient transmission and distribution system operated by state owned companies are the main factor behind huge system loss (15-20%). • Unprecedented delay in finalizing a coal policy. We have a probable coal reserve of 3.3 billion tones, which is around 5 times higher than our current proven gas reserve in terms of its heating value. • A lack of transparency in power generation procurement and tendering in the past. Highly inefficient decision making process Maximizing Growth for Bangladesh: A Private Sector Vision, Ifty Islam, Asian Tiger Capital Partners
  • 11. Short Term Solutions • Shutting down of all the government owned urea plants. This the only immediate source of additional gas to be used for power generation. Most of these fertilizer factories use old fuel inefficient process which already have outlived their effective economic life. • Going for long term agreements to import urea right now as international price of urea is low. The availability of urea must be assured but the price should be appropriate; a subsidy is possible but undesirable. At least the subsidy should be linked to the price of rice. • More Rental Power Plants need to be installed to overcome the short term power crisis. • Reducing system loss in the power sector should be a priority as a reduction of 1% system loss can save around 45 MW of power. The government should implement the merchant power policy immediately • The government can set up some small coal fired power plants and can import coal from India on a temporary basis before developing our own coal mines • Several large barge mounted power plants can be contracted on short term basis which can supply additional 600 MW by the end of the year. This will ease the power crisis for a few years while other fuel sources are developed and the required power plants constructed Solving the energy crisis Salman F Rahman and Forrest Cookson Maximizing Growth for Bangladesh: A Private Sector Vision, Ifty Islam, Asian Tiger Capital Partners Power Crisis: Issues and Challenges Md. Mizanur Rahman, Energybangla.com Bangladesh Power System Master Plan Review, Engr Khondkar Abdus Saleque, Feb 2009, Enerybangla.com
  • 12. Short Term Solutions • Captive power generation by the private sector is around 1800-2000 MW; 20-25% of this capacity remains unutilized which can be added to the national gridline. Provide incentive to the standby captive generators to run their machine without taking power from grid. The improvement of the gas pipelines and installation of compressors to increase pipeline pressure - should be implemented immediately. • Daylight energy saving. Changing the office timetable to 8 am - 2 pm can save more electricity for using in the evening peak hours. 350 MW at Dhaka and Chittagong can be saved daily • Using energy efficient appliances and immediate removal of taxes on them • Importing Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) from gas exporting countries like Indonesia, Qatar to meet urgent need • Nation-wide power conservation awareness program Solving the energy crisis Salman F Rahman and Forrest Cookson Maximizing Growth for Bangladesh: A Private Sector Vision, Ifty Islam, Asian Tiger Capital Partners Power Crisis: Issues and Challenges Md. Mizanur Rahman, Energybangla.com Bangladesh Power System Master Plan Review, Engr Khondkar Abdus Saleque, Feb 2009, Enerybangla.com
  • 13. Mid to Long Term Solution • Accelerate the exploration for gas. The recoverable proven remaining reserve of gas is will start depleting after 2012. The maritime boundary dispute with India and Myanmar is a major barrier to offshore gas exploration, and should be resolved as soon as possible. • Petrobangla and EMRD must do everything possible to support Bapex to make it a self reliant exploration company. • Install new urea plants that are more gas efficient. As coal fired power plants come on line in five years the gas can be sold to the urea factories enabling imports of urea to be curtailed. • Fast-track the development of Phulbari and other coal deposits and simultaneously build large-scale coal-fired power stations. Gradually remove coal imports (currently about 5 mill MT) and supply ultimately 18 MMT to the power plants [enough for 6000 MWs]. Contract for 3 coal fired power plants each for 1000 MWs in about 4-5 years. When these plants are available gas is switched to new efficient urea plants and peaking plants for the power sector and for direct industrial use. • Public private partnership should be highly encouraged. If needed, energy bond or levies should be charged to raise funds. Solving the energy crisis Salman F Rahman and Forrest Cookson Maximizing Growth for Bangladesh: A Private Sector Vision, Ifty Islam, Asian Tiger Capital Partners Power Crisis: Issues and Challenges Md. Mizanur Rahman, Energybangla.com Bangladesh Power System Master Plan Review, Engr Khondkar Abdus Saleque, Feb 2009, Enerybangla.com
  • 14. Mid to Long Term Solution • Government must encourage expansion of Solar, wind and bio fuel energy generation. Efforts to use solar power on tall buildings, factories, rural areas should be promoted with low cost loans while removing taxes on solar equipment. Full potential of mini micro hydro generation must also be explored. Energy from solid municipal waste in major cities can be possibility also. • Nuclear energy is a long term solution with huge cost involvement of billion dollar per 1000 MW plant, but essentially this would become a vital source with highest durability and low unit cost of production. • Many power plants set up in Ashuganj, Ghorashal, Shajibazar have outlived their effective economic life. Further investment in those will be waste of money and efforts. There has been considerable drainage of national resources in maintenance of some plants. These can be replaced with fuel efficient modern plants. • A more efficient and faster procurement and tendering process should be adopted for quicker implementation of any project. Solving the energy crisis Salman F Rahman and Forrest Cookson Maximizing Growth for Bangladesh: A Private Sector Vision, Ifty Islam, Asian Tiger Capital Partners Power Crisis: Issues and Challenges Md. Mizanur Rahman, Energybangla.com Bangladesh Power System Master Plan Review, Engr Khondkar Abdus Saleque, Feb 2009, Enerybangla.com