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GD573: Graduate seminaR
Trend Diagram & Essays

 Errors in Reasoning
 The Dangers of a Mindset
 Jumping to Conclusions
 Misconceptions
 Wrong Generalizations
 Mistaking Evidence for Proof
 Circular Reasoning
 False Analogies
 Misusing Statistics
 Relative Versus Absolute
 Extreme Judgments
GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays


Errors in Reasoning

   Dangers of a Mindset




                   to wear a seat belt
GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays


Errors in Reasoning

   Dangers of a Mindset




   personal experiences influence
                                              the development of

                    our beliefs and values
GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays


Errors in Reasoning

   Dangers of a Mindset




                            mindets are
                        patterns of thinking
                                              that guide the way

                     we react to situations
GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays


Errors in Reasoning

   Dangers of a Mindset




                                             mindsets determine

                         what we notice and
                          what we ignore
GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays


Errors in Reasoning

   Dangers of a Mindset




                               we see and hear
                               what we want to
GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays


Errors in Reasoning

   Dangers of a Mindset




                         we select facts that
                         reinforce our ideas
GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays


Errors in Reasoning

   Dangers of a Mindset




                ... but mindsets perform
                    important functions
GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays


Errors in Reasoning

   Dangers of a Mindset




                                                      checks and balances:




                     examine assumptions
                                                              &

                        play devil’s advocate
GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays


Errors in Reasoning

   Jumping to Conclusions




                                      you did it
GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays


Errors in Reasoning

   Jumping to Conclusions




                  don’t have all the facts
                  and closed to new facts
GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays


Errors in Reasoning

   Jumping to Conclusions




           didn’t see it happen
       don’t know why it happened
GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays


Errors in Reasoning

   Jumping to Conclusions




                   judgment based on
                circumstantial evidence
GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays


Errors in Reasoning

   Jumping to Conclusions




                                                      checks and balances:




                       assume benevolence
                                                              &

                          ask open questions
                                                              &

     have the courage to be wrong
GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays


Errors in Reasoning

   Misconceptions




                  national tests
               predict performance
GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays


Errors in Reasoning

   Misconceptions




                 confuse the meaning of
                    a relational word
                                                      i.e. average
GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays


Errors in Reasoning

   Misconceptions




                          the glass is
                    half full or half empty
GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays


Errors in Reasoning

   Misconceptions




                                    stereotypes,
                                   prejudices, and
                                   discrimination
GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays


Errors in Reasoning

   Misconceptions




                                                      checks and balances:




                                        define terms
                                                              &

             support conclusion with
            direct facts (not inference)
GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays


Errors in Reasoning

   Wrong Generalizations




                          pit bulls are
                        aggressive dogs
GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays


Errors in Reasoning

   Wrong Generalizations




                      too many exceptions
                           to the rule
GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays


Errors in Reasoning

   Wrong Generalizations




                                biased selection
                                 of information
GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays


Errors in Reasoning

   Wrong Generalizations




                           overgeneralization
                       applied beyond its proper limits and
                       likely to produce wrong conclusions
GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays


Errors in Reasoning

   Wrong Generalizations




                                                      checks and balances:




                              define limitations
                                                              &

             contextualize statements
GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays


Errors in Reasoning

   Mistaking Evidence for Proof




                  belief that women
                  are inferior to men
GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays


Errors in Reasoning

   Mistaking Evidence for Proof




                            absolutely sure
                          of generalized facts
GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays


Errors in Reasoning

   Mistaking Evidence for Proof




                    beliefs become
              self-fulfilling prophecies
GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays


Errors in Reasoning

   Mistaking Evidence for Proof




                                    testimonies
                                   are not reliable
GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays


Errors in Reasoning

   Mistaking Evidence for Proof




                                                      checks and balances:




                           identify exceptions
                                                              &

evidence must be overwhelming
GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays


Errors in Reasoning

   Circular Reasoning




           Taxation of income
       is for the common good.
                                Why do you say that?

         Because in the long run,
          taxation of income is
           in the best interest
              of all citizens.
GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays


Errors in Reasoning

   Circular Reasoning




               rephrase
      the statement you’re proving
                                                      and then

                use a similar statement
                as proof for the original
GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays


Errors in Reasoning

   Circular Reasoning




                             “because”
                          makes it seem as if
                          you’re saying why
GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays


Errors in Reasoning

   Circular Reasoning




                                                      checks and balances:




                             “5 Why’s” activity
                                                              &

                          list multiple effects
GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays


Errors in Reasoning

   False Analogies




                                there are
                             plenty of fish
                               in the sea
GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays


Errors in Reasoning

   False Analogies




                        if two things are
                       similar in one way,
                        they may also be
                      similar in other ways
GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays


Errors in Reasoning

   False Analogies




                               “maybe”
                          gets converted into
                                 “is”
GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays


Errors in Reasoning

   False Analogies




                            omit
                     important differences
GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays


Errors in Reasoning

   False Analogies




                       an analogies is only a
                            hypothesis
GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays


Errors in Reasoning

   False Analogies




                      proverbs
              appear to be sage advice,
              but can support any side
                                                      i.e.

                     “Make hay while the sun shines” (buy)
                       “Haste makes waste” (don’t buy)
GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays


Errors in Reasoning

   False Analogies




                                                      checks and balances:




                      identify assumptions
                                                              &

        identify concrete similarities
GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays


Errors in Reasoning

   Misusing Statistics




                  the modern plague
                       of ADHD
     http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_
              embedded&v=zDZFcDGpL4U
GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays


Errors in Reasoning

   Misusing Statistics




                   makes the information
                      seem accurate
GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays


Errors in Reasoning

   Misusing Statistics




                             used to argue
                         for special interests
GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays


Errors in Reasoning

   Misusing Statistics




                      does not include
                    outliers or discounted
GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays


Errors in Reasoning

   Misusing Statistics




                                        misinterpret
                                         “average”

                                   does not give any indication
                                  of the distribution of numbers
GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays


Errors in Reasoning

   Misusing Statistics




                                                      checks and balances:




  learn basic statistical principles
                                                              &

verify the population & methods
                                                              &

             look at the whole data set
GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays


Errors in Reasoning

   Relative Versus Absolute
GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays


Errors in Reasoning

   Relative Versus Absolute




                                subjective words
                                  are relative

                                       lack established standards
GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays


Errors in Reasoning

   Relative Versus Absolute




                                                      checks and balances:




                avoid absolutes (yes/no)
                                                              &

      relation to multiple examples
                                                              &

 plot examples along a spectrum
GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays


Errors in Reasoning

   Extreme Judgments




                       legalized in 1967
GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays


Errors in Reasoning

   Extreme Judgments




                                 black and white
                                 interpretations
GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays


Errors in Reasoning

   Extreme Judgments




                            convinced beyond
                            a shadow of doubt
GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays


Errors in Reasoning

   Extreme Judgments




                               seeking
                         justice and/or revenge
GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays


Errors in Reasoning

   Extreme Judgments




                                                      checks and balances:




              investigate the backstory
                                                              &

                  see from multiple sides
                                                              &

                        practice compassion

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Errors in Reasoning

  • 1. GD573: Graduate seminaR Trend Diagram & Essays Errors in Reasoning The Dangers of a Mindset Jumping to Conclusions Misconceptions Wrong Generalizations Mistaking Evidence for Proof Circular Reasoning False Analogies Misusing Statistics Relative Versus Absolute Extreme Judgments
  • 2. GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays Errors in Reasoning Dangers of a Mindset to wear a seat belt
  • 3. GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays Errors in Reasoning Dangers of a Mindset personal experiences influence the development of our beliefs and values
  • 4. GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays Errors in Reasoning Dangers of a Mindset mindets are patterns of thinking that guide the way we react to situations
  • 5. GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays Errors in Reasoning Dangers of a Mindset mindsets determine what we notice and what we ignore
  • 6. GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays Errors in Reasoning Dangers of a Mindset we see and hear what we want to
  • 7. GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays Errors in Reasoning Dangers of a Mindset we select facts that reinforce our ideas
  • 8. GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays Errors in Reasoning Dangers of a Mindset ... but mindsets perform important functions
  • 9. GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays Errors in Reasoning Dangers of a Mindset checks and balances: examine assumptions & play devil’s advocate
  • 10. GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays Errors in Reasoning Jumping to Conclusions you did it
  • 11. GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays Errors in Reasoning Jumping to Conclusions don’t have all the facts and closed to new facts
  • 12. GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays Errors in Reasoning Jumping to Conclusions didn’t see it happen don’t know why it happened
  • 13. GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays Errors in Reasoning Jumping to Conclusions judgment based on circumstantial evidence
  • 14. GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays Errors in Reasoning Jumping to Conclusions checks and balances: assume benevolence & ask open questions & have the courage to be wrong
  • 15. GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays Errors in Reasoning Misconceptions national tests predict performance
  • 16. GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays Errors in Reasoning Misconceptions confuse the meaning of a relational word i.e. average
  • 17. GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays Errors in Reasoning Misconceptions the glass is half full or half empty
  • 18. GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays Errors in Reasoning Misconceptions stereotypes, prejudices, and discrimination
  • 19. GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays Errors in Reasoning Misconceptions checks and balances: define terms & support conclusion with direct facts (not inference)
  • 20. GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays Errors in Reasoning Wrong Generalizations pit bulls are aggressive dogs
  • 21. GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays Errors in Reasoning Wrong Generalizations too many exceptions to the rule
  • 22. GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays Errors in Reasoning Wrong Generalizations biased selection of information
  • 23. GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays Errors in Reasoning Wrong Generalizations overgeneralization applied beyond its proper limits and likely to produce wrong conclusions
  • 24. GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays Errors in Reasoning Wrong Generalizations checks and balances: define limitations & contextualize statements
  • 25. GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays Errors in Reasoning Mistaking Evidence for Proof belief that women are inferior to men
  • 26. GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays Errors in Reasoning Mistaking Evidence for Proof absolutely sure of generalized facts
  • 27. GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays Errors in Reasoning Mistaking Evidence for Proof beliefs become self-fulfilling prophecies
  • 28. GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays Errors in Reasoning Mistaking Evidence for Proof testimonies are not reliable
  • 29. GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays Errors in Reasoning Mistaking Evidence for Proof checks and balances: identify exceptions & evidence must be overwhelming
  • 30. GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays Errors in Reasoning Circular Reasoning Taxation of income is for the common good. Why do you say that? Because in the long run, taxation of income is in the best interest of all citizens.
  • 31. GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays Errors in Reasoning Circular Reasoning rephrase the statement you’re proving and then use a similar statement as proof for the original
  • 32. GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays Errors in Reasoning Circular Reasoning “because” makes it seem as if you’re saying why
  • 33. GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays Errors in Reasoning Circular Reasoning checks and balances: “5 Why’s” activity & list multiple effects
  • 34. GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays Errors in Reasoning False Analogies there are plenty of fish in the sea
  • 35. GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays Errors in Reasoning False Analogies if two things are similar in one way, they may also be similar in other ways
  • 36. GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays Errors in Reasoning False Analogies “maybe” gets converted into “is”
  • 37. GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays Errors in Reasoning False Analogies omit important differences
  • 38. GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays Errors in Reasoning False Analogies an analogies is only a hypothesis
  • 39. GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays Errors in Reasoning False Analogies proverbs appear to be sage advice, but can support any side i.e. “Make hay while the sun shines” (buy) “Haste makes waste” (don’t buy)
  • 40. GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays Errors in Reasoning False Analogies checks and balances: identify assumptions & identify concrete similarities
  • 41. GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays Errors in Reasoning Misusing Statistics the modern plague of ADHD http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_ embedded&v=zDZFcDGpL4U
  • 42. GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays Errors in Reasoning Misusing Statistics makes the information seem accurate
  • 43. GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays Errors in Reasoning Misusing Statistics used to argue for special interests
  • 44. GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays Errors in Reasoning Misusing Statistics does not include outliers or discounted
  • 45. GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays Errors in Reasoning Misusing Statistics misinterpret “average” does not give any indication of the distribution of numbers
  • 46. GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays Errors in Reasoning Misusing Statistics checks and balances: learn basic statistical principles & verify the population & methods & look at the whole data set
  • 47. GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays Errors in Reasoning Relative Versus Absolute
  • 48. GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays Errors in Reasoning Relative Versus Absolute subjective words are relative lack established standards
  • 49. GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays Errors in Reasoning Relative Versus Absolute checks and balances: avoid absolutes (yes/no) & relation to multiple examples & plot examples along a spectrum
  • 50. GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays Errors in Reasoning Extreme Judgments legalized in 1967
  • 51. GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays Errors in Reasoning Extreme Judgments black and white interpretations
  • 52. GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays Errors in Reasoning Extreme Judgments convinced beyond a shadow of doubt
  • 53. GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays Errors in Reasoning Extreme Judgments seeking justice and/or revenge
  • 54. GD573: Graduate seminaR .:. Trend Diagrams & Essays Errors in Reasoning Extreme Judgments checks and balances: investigate the backstory & see from multiple sides & practice compassion