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Building a local Ecosystem
by John Sechrest
@sechrest
Mapping the Clusters
Including non-tech Clusters
Life cycle of a business
Outside Investment Stages
Angel Conference Model
20-60 companies apply

20-40 investors join LLC

$5500 for each investor

10 weeks of due diligence

Workshops for Angels and Entrepreneurs

Large Final Event

How does Angel Investing work?
Company Pitches
Due Diligence Feedback
Detailed Event Program
Select an investment
Angel Investing Distribution of Returns
60

50

40

Percent of Exits

US: Overall Multiple: 2.6X
UK: Overall Multiple: 2.2X
30

20

10

<1X

1X to 5X

5X to 10X

Exit Multiple

10X to 30X

>30X
Distribution of Returns by Venture Investment

60

Hold: 3.0 yrs.
50

$80M

Percent of Total Exits

40

Hold: 3.3 yrs.

Overall Multiple: 2.6X
Avg. Holding Period: 3.5 years

30

$60M

20

$40M

10

$20M

Hold: 4.6 yrs.
Hold: 4.9 yrs.

Hold: 6.0 yrs.

0
< 1X

1X to 5X

Blue bars: % of exits in that Category
Green Bars: $’s returned in that Category

5X to 10X

Exit Multiples

10X to 30X

> 30X
Economic Impact of Angel Oregon Alumni
90

600

80

500

70
60

400

50

300

40
30

200

20

100

10
0

0

Revenue in (current portfolio): $84.6M

+47% from 2011

FTE’s in (current portfolio):

+16%

Rev/FTE

(current portfolio):

Raised $7.1M

535
$158K

+27%

$88M cumulative
As a reminder: Angel Investor Performance Project
More than half fail to return
capital
Wins take longer to exit than
losses
“Asset Class” return of approx
2.6X
10% of exits = 90% of cash
returned
www.AngelResourceInstitute.org
Estimated Multiple of AO as a Portfolio
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
2006

2007

2008

Multiple by year, if portfolio were cut off after that year
Assumes even investment in every presenting company
Underspecified Terms/Dilution as an imaginary portfolio

2009

2010

2012

AIPP
5 Types of Angel Groups









Angel Networks 98%
Managed Angel
Funds - Founders
Coop
Passive Angel Funds
– Side car funds
Active Angel Funds
– Oregon Angel Fund
Angel Conference
Cities with Angel Conferences


Portland ( Since 2003 )



Bend



Corvallis/Eugene ( Since 2009 )



The Gorge



Medford



Seattle ( Since 2012 )
WWW.SEATTLEANGEL.COM
Where are they now?
Tracking the Angel Oregon Alumni

Willamette University Angel Fund
Median Early Stage Pre-Money Valuation

$2.5M
$1.5M

Median

$3.7M

3rd Quartile

$6.6M

1st Quartile

$0.11M

*Including all rounds with angel groups before Series A

6/2/13

*
Robert E Wiltbank, Ph.D.
wiltbank@willamette.edu

www.Willamette.edu/~Wiltbank
Angel Investing Distribution of Returns
60

50

40

Percent of Exits

US: Overall Multiple: 2.6X
UK: Overall Multiple: 2.2X
30

20

10

<1X

1X to 5X

5X to 10X

Exit Multiple

10X to 30X

>30X
Distribution of Returns by Venture Investment

60

Hold: 3.0 yrs.
50

$80M

Percent of Total Exits

40

Hold: 3.3 yrs.

Overall Multiple: 2.6X
Avg. Holding Period: 3.5 years

30

$60M

20

$40M

10

$20M

Hold: 4.6 yrs.
Hold: 4.9 yrs.

Hold: 6.0 yrs.

0
< 1X

1X to 5X

Blue bars: % of exits in that Category
Green Bars: $’s returned in that Category

5X to 10X

Exit Multiples

10X to 30X

> 30X
60

50

Percent of Exits

40

2X better multiple for
20+ due diligence

30

20

10

<1X

1X to 5X

5X to 10X

Exit Multiple

10X to 30X

>30X
60

50

60% better multiple for deals
related to industry expertise

Percent of Exits

40

30

20

10

<1X

1X to 5X

5X to 10X

Exit Multiple

10X to 30X

>30X
Follow-On Investment from Same Angel Investor

60

50

30% of deals had follow on
investments.

Percent of Exits

40

3X better multiple in deals
where the investor did not make
a follow-on investment.

30

20

10

<1X

1X to 5X

5X to 10X

Exit Multiple

10X to 30X

>30X
Diminishing Marginal Returns to Raising Capital

6/2/13
Diminishing Returns to Invested Capital
Private Acquisition Size from ‘96 to ‘06

Only 15%> $50M

6/2/13
… But Trending Up at Year End
Median Angel Round Size Reaches Five Quarter High in Q4 2012

$M
$1.50

$1.25M
$950K

$950K

$900K

$850K

$1.00

$500K

$550K

$550K

$620K

$690K

$0.50

$0.00

Q4 2011

Q1 2012

Q2 2012

Q3 2012

Q4 2012

*Angel rounds include angels & angel groups only

*
Median Early Stage Pre-Money Valuation Stays the Same in 2012

$2.5M
$1.5M

Median

$3.7M
3rd Quartile

$6.6M

1st Quartile

$0.11M

*Including all rounds with angel groups before Series A

*

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Building the Startup Ecosystem - Startup Iceland 2013 Talk by John Sechrest

  • 1. Building a local Ecosystem by John Sechrest @sechrest
  • 2.
  • 5.
  • 6.
  • 7. Life cycle of a business
  • 9. Angel Conference Model 20-60 companies apply  20-40 investors join LLC  $5500 for each investor  10 weeks of due diligence  Workshops for Angels and Entrepreneurs  Large Final Event 
  • 10. How does Angel Investing work?
  • 15. Angel Investing Distribution of Returns 60 50 40 Percent of Exits US: Overall Multiple: 2.6X UK: Overall Multiple: 2.2X 30 20 10 <1X 1X to 5X 5X to 10X Exit Multiple 10X to 30X >30X
  • 16. Distribution of Returns by Venture Investment 60 Hold: 3.0 yrs. 50 $80M Percent of Total Exits 40 Hold: 3.3 yrs. Overall Multiple: 2.6X Avg. Holding Period: 3.5 years 30 $60M 20 $40M 10 $20M Hold: 4.6 yrs. Hold: 4.9 yrs. Hold: 6.0 yrs. 0 < 1X 1X to 5X Blue bars: % of exits in that Category Green Bars: $’s returned in that Category 5X to 10X Exit Multiples 10X to 30X > 30X
  • 17. Economic Impact of Angel Oregon Alumni 90 600 80 500 70 60 400 50 300 40 30 200 20 100 10 0 0 Revenue in (current portfolio): $84.6M +47% from 2011 FTE’s in (current portfolio): +16% Rev/FTE (current portfolio): Raised $7.1M 535 $158K +27% $88M cumulative
  • 18. As a reminder: Angel Investor Performance Project More than half fail to return capital Wins take longer to exit than losses “Asset Class” return of approx 2.6X 10% of exits = 90% of cash returned www.AngelResourceInstitute.org
  • 19. Estimated Multiple of AO as a Portfolio 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 2006 2007 2008 Multiple by year, if portfolio were cut off after that year Assumes even investment in every presenting company Underspecified Terms/Dilution as an imaginary portfolio 2009 2010 2012 AIPP
  • 20. 5 Types of Angel Groups      Angel Networks 98% Managed Angel Funds - Founders Coop Passive Angel Funds – Side car funds Active Angel Funds – Oregon Angel Fund Angel Conference
  • 21. Cities with Angel Conferences  Portland ( Since 2003 )  Bend  Corvallis/Eugene ( Since 2009 )  The Gorge  Medford  Seattle ( Since 2012 )
  • 23. Where are they now? Tracking the Angel Oregon Alumni Willamette University Angel Fund
  • 24. Median Early Stage Pre-Money Valuation $2.5M $1.5M Median $3.7M 3rd Quartile $6.6M 1st Quartile $0.11M *Including all rounds with angel groups before Series A 6/2/13 *
  • 25. Robert E Wiltbank, Ph.D. wiltbank@willamette.edu www.Willamette.edu/~Wiltbank
  • 26. Angel Investing Distribution of Returns 60 50 40 Percent of Exits US: Overall Multiple: 2.6X UK: Overall Multiple: 2.2X 30 20 10 <1X 1X to 5X 5X to 10X Exit Multiple 10X to 30X >30X
  • 27. Distribution of Returns by Venture Investment 60 Hold: 3.0 yrs. 50 $80M Percent of Total Exits 40 Hold: 3.3 yrs. Overall Multiple: 2.6X Avg. Holding Period: 3.5 years 30 $60M 20 $40M 10 $20M Hold: 4.6 yrs. Hold: 4.9 yrs. Hold: 6.0 yrs. 0 < 1X 1X to 5X Blue bars: % of exits in that Category Green Bars: $’s returned in that Category 5X to 10X Exit Multiples 10X to 30X > 30X
  • 28. 60 50 Percent of Exits 40 2X better multiple for 20+ due diligence 30 20 10 <1X 1X to 5X 5X to 10X Exit Multiple 10X to 30X >30X
  • 29. 60 50 60% better multiple for deals related to industry expertise Percent of Exits 40 30 20 10 <1X 1X to 5X 5X to 10X Exit Multiple 10X to 30X >30X
  • 30. Follow-On Investment from Same Angel Investor 60 50 30% of deals had follow on investments. Percent of Exits 40 3X better multiple in deals where the investor did not make a follow-on investment. 30 20 10 <1X 1X to 5X 5X to 10X Exit Multiple 10X to 30X >30X
  • 31. Diminishing Marginal Returns to Raising Capital 6/2/13
  • 32. Diminishing Returns to Invested Capital Private Acquisition Size from ‘96 to ‘06 Only 15%> $50M 6/2/13
  • 33. … But Trending Up at Year End Median Angel Round Size Reaches Five Quarter High in Q4 2012 $M $1.50 $1.25M $950K $950K $900K $850K $1.00 $500K $550K $550K $620K $690K $0.50 $0.00 Q4 2011 Q1 2012 Q2 2012 Q3 2012 Q4 2012 *Angel rounds include angels & angel groups only *
  • 34. Median Early Stage Pre-Money Valuation Stays the Same in 2012 $2.5M $1.5M Median $3.7M 3rd Quartile $6.6M 1st Quartile $0.11M *Including all rounds with angel groups before Series A *