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Fundamental Analysis &
Analyst Recommendations
Top 50 Gold Miners - Gold BUGS
September 2012
Q M S Advisors
. .
Q.M.S Advisors | Avenue de la Gare, 1 1003 Lausanne | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
5. 07.09.2012
Barrick Gold Corp
Barrick Gold Corporation is an international gold company with operating mines Price/Volume
and development projects in the United States, Canada, South America, Australia,
60 30.0 M
and Africa.
50 25.0 M
40 20.0 M
30 15.0 M
Valuation Analysis
Latest Fiscal Year: 12/2011 20 10.0 M
LTM as of: 06/yy 10 5.0 M
52-Week High (08.09.2011) 55.95
0 .0 M
52-Week Low (26.07.2012) 31.00 s-11 o-11 n-11 d-11 j-12 f-12 m-12 a-12 m-12 j-12 j-12 a-12 s-12
Daily Volume 4'437'927.00
Current Price (9/dd/yy) 40.16 Market Data
52-Week High % Change -28.26% Dividend Yield 1.54
52-Week Low % Change 29.55% Beta 0.74
% 52 Week Price Range High/Low 32.06% Equity Float 998.18
Shares Out 31.08.2012 1'000.6 Short Int 4.53
Market Capitalization 40'183.76 1 Yr Total Return -25.05%
Total Debt 13'369.00 YTD Return -10.03%
Preferred Stock 0.0 Adjusted BETA 0.737
Minority Interest 2'191.0 Analyst Recs 31
Cash and Equivalents 2'745.00 Consensus Rating 4.355
Enterprise Value 54'222.76 Average Daily Trading Volume
Relative Stock Price Performance Average Volume 5 Day 7'255'844
ABX US EQUITY YTD Change - Average Volume 30 Day 8'244'159
ABX US EQUITY YTD % CHANGE - Average Volume 3 Month 8'801'476
Valuation Multiples
Fiscal Year Ended LTM-4Q LTM FY+1 FY+2 FQ+1 FQ+2
31.12.2007 31.12.2008 31.12.2009 31.12.2010 31.12.2011 06/yy 06/yy 12/12 Y 12/13 Y 09/12 Q3 12/12 Q4
Total Revenue 6'332.0 7'613.0 8'136.0 11'001.0 14'312.0 12'302.0 14'718.0 14'622.2 16'789.4 3'704.5 4'146.9
TEV/Revenue 5.99x 4.64x 5.27x 5.25x 4.06x 18.00x 15.35x 3.67x 3.10x 14.61x 13.01x
EBITDA 2'461.0 3'010.0 3'589.0 6'211.0 8'327.0 7'149.0 8'109.0 7'996.6 9'446.1 2'072.3 2'399.7
TEV/EBITDA 15.41x 11.75x 11.95x 9.30x 6.98x 8.09x 6.37x 6.77x 5.73x 5.77x 5.53x
Net Income 1'119.0 785.0 (4'274.0) 3'582.0 4'484.0 4'063.0 4'103.0 4'167.0 5'105.5 1'016.4 1'266.7
P/E 33.19x 20.18x 16.56x 15.62x 9.74x 11.41x 8.78x 9.55x 8.09x 8.57x 8.20x
Profitability S&P Issuer Ratings
EBITDA 8'327.00 Long-Term Rating Date 30.07.2012
EBIT 6'908.00 Long-Term Rating BBB+
Operating Margin 48.27% Long-Term Outlook NEG
Pretax Margin 47.68% Short-Term Rating Date 19.05.2011
Return on Assets 10.74% Short-Term Rating A-2
Return on Common Equity 20.94% Credit Ratios
Return on Capital 13.98% EBITDA/Interest Exp. 13.72
Asset Turnover 0.34% (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. 5.53
Margin Analysis Net Debt/EBITDA 1.28
Gross Margin 55.9% Total Debt/EBITDA 1.61
EBITDA Margin 58.2% Reference
EBIT Margin 48.3% Total Debt/Equity 57.2%
Net Income Margin 31.3% Total Debt/Capital 34.3%
Structure Asset Turnover 0.34
Current Ratio 2.25 Net Fixed Asset Turnover 0.61
Quick Ratio 1.09 Accounts receivable turnover-days 10.15
Debt to Assets 27.35% Inventory Days 124.13
Tot Debt to Common Equity 57.22% Accounts Payable Turnover Day 93.49
Accounts Receivable Turnover 35.96 Cash Conversion Cycle 40.80
Inventory Turnover 2.94
20.00
Price/ Cash Flow 16'000.0
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
18.00 14'000.0
16.00
12'000.0
14.00
10'000.0
12.00
10.00 8'000.0
8.00 6'000.0
6.00
4'000.0
4.00
2'000.0
2.00
0.00
0.0
02.01.2009 02.07.2009 02.01.2010 02.07.2010 02.01.2011 02.07.2011 02.01.2012 02.07.2012 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
6. 07.09.2012
Barrick Gold Corp
Holdings By: All
Holder Name Portfolio Name Source Amt Held % Out Latest Chg File Dt Inst Type
CAPITAL WORLD INVEST CAPITAL WORLD INVEST 13F 42'200'500 4.22 - 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor
VAN ECK ASSOCIATES C VAN ECK ASSOCIATES C 13F 36'012'128 3.6 430'389 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor
BLACKROCK INC BLACKROCK INC 13F 28'102'877 2.81 2'272'613 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor
BMO FINANCIAL CORP BMO FINANCIAL CORP 13F 23'928'196 2.39 1'010'233 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor
RBC GLOBAL ASSET MAN RBC GLOBAL ASSET MGM 13F 20'326'495 2.03 1'164'738 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor
CI INVESTMENTS INC Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 17'157'397 1.71 (1'712'742) 30.12.2011 Hedge Fund Manager
BLACKROCK GROUP LIMI BLACKROCK GROUP LIMI 13F 16'067'551 1.61 (1'393'380) 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor
BANK OF NEW YORK MEL BANK OF NEW YORK MEL 13F 15'480'628 1.55 257'334 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor
CIBC WORLD MARKETS I CIBC WORLD MARKETS I 13F 14'509'450 1.45 14'509'450 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor
FIDELITY MANAGEMENT FIDELITY MANAGEMENT 13F 14'506'021 1.45 (1'661'298) 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor
TD ASSET MANAGEMENT TD ASSET MANAGEMENT 13F 14'498'703 1.45 776'841 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor
PYRAMIS GLOBAL ADVIS PYRAMIS GLOBAL ADVIS 13F 13'321'640 1.33 (22'838) 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor
TORONTO DOMINION BAN TORONTO DOMINION BAN 13F 12'399'538 1.24 388'663 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor
BLACKROCK INSTITUTIO BLACKROCK INSTITUTIO 13F 12'317'823 1.23 658'668 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor
WELLINGTON MANAGEMEN WELLINGTON MANAGEMEN 13F 12'080'958 1.21 (2'090'644) 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor
INSTITUTIONAL CAPITA INSTITUTIONAL CAPITA 13F 11'536'461 1.15 11'536'461 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor
IA CLARINGTON INVEST Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 10'758'354 1.08 247'000 31.03.2012 Investment Advisor
TRADEWINDS GLOBAL IN TRADEWINDS GLOBAL IN 13F 10'122'371 1.01 (9'626'364) 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor
CARMIGNAC GESTION Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 9'908'000 0.99 - 29.06.2012 Investment Advisor
CAPITAL RESEARCH GLO CAPITAL RESEARCH GLO 13F 9'871'000 0.99 - 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor
Analyst Recommendations
Firm Name Analyst Recommendation Weighting Change Target Price Date Date
Macquarie TONY LESIAK neutral 3 M 42 12 month 07.09.2012
Deutsche Bank JORGE M BERISTAIN buy 5 M 50 12 month 06.09.2012
CIBC World Markets ALEC KODATSKY sector perform 3 M 57 Not Provided 06.09.2012
RBC Capital Markets STEPHEN D WALKER sector perform 3 M 44 12 month 05.09.2012
Stifel Nicolaus GEORGE TOPPING buy 5 M 58 12 month 04.09.2012
Canaccord Genuity Corp STEVEN BUTLER hold 3 M 39 12 month 04.09.2012
Sterne, Agee & Leach MICHAEL S DUDAS neutral 3 M #N/A N/A Not Provided 22.08.2012
Credit Suisse ANITA SONI outperform 5 M 46 Not Provided 21.08.2012
Dundee Securities Corp RON STEWART buy 5 M 42 12 month 17.08.2012
TD Securities GREG BARNES buy 5 M 42 12 month 17.08.2012
Salman Partners DAVID WEST buy 5 M 49 12 month 16.08.2012
Scotia Capital TANYA M JAKUSCONEK sector outperform 5 M 53 12 month 16.08.2012
BMO Capital Markets DAVID HAUGHTON outperform 5 M 44 Not Provided 14.08.2012
Argus Research Corp WILLIAM V SELESKY buy 5 M #N/A N/A Not Provided 14.08.2012
Dahlman Rose & Co ADAM P GRAF hold 3 M #N/A N/A Not Provided 13.08.2012
EVA Dimensions TEAM COVERAGE overweight 5 D #N/A N/A Not Provided 11.08.2012
GMP GEORGE V ALBINO buy 5 M 65 Not Provided 08.08.2012
JPMorgan JOHN BRIDGES overweight 5 M 45 3 month 01.08.2012
Cormark Securities Inc. RICHARD GRAY market perform 3 M 36 12 month 31.07.2012
Morgan Stanley PARETOSH MISRA Overwt/In-Line 5 M 52 12 month 30.07.2012
HSBC PATRICK CHIDLEY overweight 5 M 63 Not Provided 27.07.2012
Davenport & Co LLOYD T O'CARROLL buy 5 M 50 Not Provided 27.07.2012
Haywood Securities Inc. KERRY SMITH sector outperform 5 M 50 Not Provided 27.07.2012
Mackie Research Capital Corp. BARRY D ALLAN hold 3 M 45 Not Provided 27.07.2012
Veritas Investment Research Co PAWEL RAJSZEL sell 1 M 34 Not Provided 27.07.2012
Jefferies PETER WARD buy 5 M 43 12 month 26.07.2012
S&P Capital IQ LEO LARKIN strong buy 5 M 52 12 month 26.07.2012
Hamburger Sparkasse INGO SCHMIDT buy 5 M #N/A N/A Not Provided 21.05.2012
Investec PIETER MARAIS hold 3 M 48 Not Provided 18.03.2011
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |