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15.03.2013



                                                                                            Company Analysis - Overview
Ticker:                    6326 JP             Kubota Corp                                                     Benchmark:                                        KUBOTA CORPORATION manufactures industrial machinery, farm machinery, and fluid
                                             Tokyo: 6326, Currency: JPY                                        TOPIX INDEX (TOKYO) (TPX)                         piping systems. The Company's products include ductile iron pipes, engines, tractors,
Currency:
                                                                                                                                                                 combine harvesters, reaper binders, rice planters, and excavators. Kubota also
                                                                                                                                                                 produces forged iron products, housing equipment, and environmental control plants.
Sector: Industrials      Industry: Machinery                                                                      Year:
Telephone         81-6-6648-2111                       Revenue (M)                                 1'008'019   Business Segments in JPY                                  Sales (M)   Geographic Segments in JPY                                     Sales (M)
Website           www.kubota.co.jp/english/index.html No of Employees                                 29'185   Machines                                                    713943    Japan                                                            498684
Address           1-2-47 Shikitsu-Higashi Naniwa-ku Osaka, 556-8601 Japan                                      Water/Environment System                                    263286    North America                                                    219929
Share Price Performance in JPY                                                                                 Other Products Manufacturing                                 30790    Asia                                                             169632
Price                              1314.00             1M Return                                      26.3%    Social Infrastructure                                                 Europe                                                            88715
52 Week High                       1324.00             6M Return                                      62.9%    Industrial Infrastructure                                             Rest of the World                                                 31059
52 Week Low                         623.69             52 Wk Return                                   64.2%    Other
52 Wk Beta                             1.12            YTD Return                                     33.3%    Environmental Engineering
Credit Ratings
Bloomberg                   -                                                                                                             3%                                                                       3%
S&P                        NR        Date                09.01.2007                  Outlook               -                                                                                               9%
Moody's                    WR        Date                -                           Outlook               -
Fitch                       -        Date                -                           Outlook               -                26%
Valuation Ratios                                                                                                                                                                                  17%
                         3/09        3/10        3/11         3/12          3/13E         3/14E       3/15E                                                                                                                                  49%
P/E                      14.2x       25.6x       18.2x        16.3x         24.1x         19.3x       17.4x
EV/EBIT                   8.2x       20.4x       15.0x        12.4x              -             -           -
EV/EBITDA                 6.3x       14.4x       11.4x        10.1x         14.3x         11.8x       10.9x
P/S                       0.6x        1.2x        1.1x         1.0x           1.5x          1.4x        1.3x                                                 71%
P/B                       1.2x        1.7x        1.6x         1.5x           2.4x          2.2x        2.0x                                                                                            22%
Div Yield                2.6%        1.4%        1.8%         1.9%           1.3%          1.4%        1.5%
Profitability Ratios %
                        3/09         3/10        3/11          3/12         3/13E         3/14E       3/15E
Gross Margin            26.8         26.8        26.9          27.0          26.2          27.3        27.6                       Machines
                                                                                                                                                                                                         Japan               North America
EBITDA Margin           12.1         10.6        12.1          12.9          12.4          14.1        14.5
Operating Margin          9.3         7.5         9.2          10.5           9.6          11.1        11.7
                                                                                                                                  Water/Environment System
Profit Margin             4.3         4.5         5.9           6.1           6.0           6.9         7.4                                                                                              Asia                Europe
Return on Assets          3.4         3.0         4.0           4.3           5.9           7.2         7.6
Return on Equity          7.8         7.0         8.7           9.6          10.1          12.0        12.0                       Other Products Manufacturing                                           Rest of the World
Leverage and Coverage Ratios
                        3/09         3/10        3/11          3/12
Current Ratio             1.7         1.9         1.8           1.6                                            Current Capitalization in JPY
Quick Ratio               1.1         1.3         1.3           1.1                                            Common Shares Outstanding (M)                                                                                    1256.0
EBIT/Interest           38.6         32.8        52.8          55.9                                            Market Capitalization (M)                                                                                     1689697.8
Tot Debt/Capital          0.2         0.4         0.3           0.3                                            Cash and ST Investments (M)                                                                                     98865.0
Tot Debt/Equity           0.3         0.6         0.5           0.5                                            Total Debt (M)                                                                                                 405192.0
Eff Tax Rate %          34.4         35.2        33.4          35.6                                            Preferred Equity (M)                                                                                                0.0
                                                                                                               LT Investments in Affiliate Companies (M)                                                                           0.0
                                                                                                               Investments (M)                                                                                                 53926.0
                                                                                                               Enterprise Value (M)                                                                                          2049950.8



                                                                                     Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
Company Analysis - Analysts Ratings
Kubota Corp
Target price in JPY
Broker Recommendation




                                                             Buy and Sell Recommendations vs Price and Target Price




                                                                                                                                                                     Price
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Brokers' Target Price
                                                                                                                                                             1'400           1600
                        100%
                                  13%       14%               13%       13%       12%       11%       11%         11%          11%        11%       11%                      1400
                                                     21%                                                                                                     1'200           1200
                        80%                                                                                                                                                  1000
                                                                                                      37%         37%
                                                                                                                               32%                           1'000            800
                                                                                            39%                                           42%
                                                                                  47%                                                               47%                       600
                                                                        50%
                        60%       56%       57%
                                                              53%                                                                                            800              400
                                                     50%
                                                                                                                                                                              200
                                                                                                                                                             600                0
                        40%




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Mitsubishi UFJ Morgan Stanley
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Morgan Stanley




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Mizuho Securities
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Iwai Cosmo Securities Co. Ltd




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      BNP Paribas Equity Research




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Daiwa Securities Co. Ltd.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Barclays




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Mito Securities
                                                                                                                                                                                        SMBC Nikko Securities Inc


                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Marusan Securities




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Macquarie
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Credit Suisse




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Nomura




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          EVA Dimensions
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Goldman Sachs




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Tachibana Securities
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    TIW
                                                                                                                               58%                           400
                                                                                            50%       53%         53%
                                                                                                                                          47%
                        20%                                             38%       41%                                                               42%
                                  31%                         33%                                                                                            200




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Securitie
                                            29%      29%


                         0%                                                                                                                                  0
                               mars.12     avr.12   mai.12   juin.12   juil.12   août.12   sept.12   oct.12      nov.12     déc.12       janv.13   févr.13
                                                                       Buy        Hold        Sell       Price            Target Price

                               Date                    Buy              Hold                Sell                        Date             Price Target Price                  Broker                                                                                       Analyst                                                                                                   Recommendation                                                             Target                                                           Date
                               28-Feb-13               42%               47%                11%                    15-Mar-13             1314.00        1178.46              SMBC Nikko Securities Inc                                                                    TAKU OUCHI                                                                                                                    outperform                                                    1350.00                                                14-Mar-13
                               31-Jan-13               47%               42%                11%                    14-Mar-13             1258.00        1178.46              Marusan Securities                                                                           KOSUKE SAHARA                                                                                                                 outperform                                                                                                            8-Mar-13
                               31-Dec-12               58%               32%                11%                    13-Mar-13             1225.00        1178.46              Credit Suisse                                                                                SHINJI KURODA                                                                                                                   neutral                                                     1100.00                                                 8-Mar-13
                               30-Nov-12               53%               37%                11%                    12-Mar-13             1240.00        1178.46              Morgan Stanley                                                                               YOSHINAO IBARA                                                                                                            Equalwt/Attractive                                                1200.00                                                 7-Mar-13
                               31-Oct-12               53%               37%                11%                    11-Mar-13             1247.00        1178.46              Iwai Cosmo Securities Co. Ltd                                                                HITOSHI OHNISHI                                                                                                              Neutral Plus                                                   1300.00                                                28-Feb-13
                               28-Sep-12               50%               39%                11%                     8-Mar-13             1229.00        1178.46              Mitsubishi UFJ Morgan Stanley Securitie                                                      TAKESHI ISHIZUKA                                                                                                                neutral                                                      950.00                                                27-Feb-13
                               31-Aug-12               41%               47%                12%                     7-Mar-13             1172.00        1166.92              Mizuho Securities                                                                            JUNJI SAKURADA                                                                                                                   buy                                                        1300.00                                                22-Feb-13
                               31-Jul-12               38%               50%                13%                     6-Mar-13             1168.00        1166.92              Nomura                                                                                       RYO TAZAKI                                                                                                                       buy                                                        1250.00                                                21-Feb-13
                               29-Jun-12               33%               53%                13%                     5-Mar-13             1164.00        1160.00              Macquarie                                                                                    KENJIN HOTTA                                                                                                                    neutral                                                     1100.00                                                12-Feb-13
                               31-May-12               29%               50%                21%                     4-Mar-13             1149.00        1133.57              Goldman Sachs                                                                                YUICHIRO ISAYAMA                                                                                                           neutral/attractive                                               1150.00                                                 6-Feb-13
                               30-Apr-12               29%               57%                14%                     1-Mar-13             1143.00        1133.57              BNP Paribas Equity Research                                                                  CHRISTOPHER CINTAVEY                                                                                                             hold                                                       1070.00                                                 6-Feb-13
                               30-Mar-12               31%               56%                13%                    28-Feb-13             1119.00        1133.57              TIW                                                                                          MASAKAZU ITOI                                                                                                                Neutral Plus                                                                                                          16-Jan-13
                                                                                                                   27-Feb-13             1125.00        1134.67              EVA Dimensions                                                                               CRAIG STERLING                                                                                                               underweight                                                                                                           15-Jan-13
                                                                                                                   26-Feb-13             1102.00        1134.67              Barclays                                                                                     KUNIO SAKAIDA                                                                                                                 overweight                                                    1070.00                                                 5-Dec-12
                                                                                                                   25-Feb-13             1105.00        1092.67              Tachibana Securities                                                                         YOSHIKAZU SHIMADA                                                                                                         Strong Outperform                                                                                                        13-Nov-12
                                                                                                                   22-Feb-13             1073.00        1092.67              Daiwa Securities Co. Ltd.                                                                    HIROSUKE TAI                                                                                                                    neutral                                                      800.00                                                 5-Nov-12
                                                                                                                   21-Feb-13             1057.00        1072.67              Mito Securities                                                                              YOICHIRO WATANABE                                                                                                            Neutral Plus                                                                                                          17-Nov-10
                                                                                                                   20-Feb-13             1083.00        1055.33
                                                                                                                   19-Feb-13             1079.00        1055.33
                                                                                                                   18-Feb-13             1065.00        1055.33
                                                                                                                   15-Feb-13             1040.00        1055.33
                                                                                                                   14-Feb-13             1043.00        1055.33
                                                                                                                   13-Feb-13             1046.00        1055.33
                                                                                                                   12-Feb-13             1035.00        1055.33
                                                                                                                   11-Feb-13             1026.00        1044.00
                                                                                                                    8-Feb-13             1026.00        1044.00
                                                                                                                    7-Feb-13             1071.00        1044.00
                                                                                                                    6-Feb-13             1113.00        1044.00
                                                                                                                    5-Feb-13             1049.00        1013.85
                                                                                                                    4-Feb-13             1054.00        1013.85

                                                                                                              Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
15.03.2013



Kubota Corp
                                                                               Company Analysis - Ownership
                                                                                      Ownership Type
Ownership Statistics                                                                                                                   Geographic Ownership Distribution                                          Geographic Ownership
                                                                                             0%
Shares Outstanding (M)                           1256.0                                                                                Japan                                      76.77%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                         1% 0%
Float                                             94.5%                                                                                United States                              15.68%                           1% 1%      1%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  3%
Short Interest (M)                                                     36%                                                             Australia                                  3.16%
Short Interest as % of Float                                                                                                           Luxembourg                                 1.32%
Days to Cover Shorts                                                                                                                   Britain                                    1.16%                         16%
Institutional Ownership                         64.01%                                                                                 Switzerland                                0.50%
Retail Ownership                                35.96%                                                                                 Ireland                                    0.36%
Insider Ownership                                0.02%                                                        64%                      Others                                     1.05%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                77%
                                                                                                                                       Institutional Ownership Distribution
                                                                                                                                       Bank                                       35.68%
                                                                                                                                       Investment Advisor                         33.95%
                                                                                                                                       Insurance Company                          16.07%
                                                            Institutional Ownership      Retail Ownership   Insider Ownership          Corporation                                7.42%
                                                                                                                                                                                                      Japan           United States   Australia         Luxembourg
Pricing data is in JPY                                                                                                                 Others                                     6.88%               Britain         Switzerland     Ireland           Others
Top 20 Owners:                 TOP 20 ALL

                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Institutional Ownership
Holder Name                                     Position   Position Change                     Market Value           % of Ownership   Report Date                   Source       Country
MASTER TRUST BANK OF                        119'924'000         12'606'000                   157'580'136'000               9.33%                       30.09.2012    Co File       JAPAN                                      7%
MITSUBISHI UFJ FINAN                        106'709'439             937'986                  140'216'202'846               8.30%                       31.12.2011   ULT-AGG        JAPAN                         7%
NIPPON LIFE INSURANC                         81'633'000          -4'464'265                  107'265'762'000               6.35%                       30.09.2012   ULT-AGG        JAPAN
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  36%
JAPAN TRUSTEE SERVIC                         66'382'000           6'733'000                   87'225'948'000               5.16%                       30.09.2012    Co File       JAPAN
MEIJI YASUDA LIFE IN                         59'929'000                   0                   78'746'706'000               4.66%                       30.09.2012    Co File       JAPAN
SUMITOMO MITSUI FINA                         45'006'000                   0                   59'137'884'000               3.50%                       30.09.2012   ULT-AGG        JAPAN                        16%
MIZUHO FINANCIAL GRO                         42'043'000            -128'000                   55'244'502'000               3.27%                       29.10.2012   ULT-AGG        JAPAN
MOXLEY & CO                                  30'503'000          -1'255'000                   40'080'942'000               2.37%                       30.09.2012    Co File   UNITED STATES
KUBOTA CORP                                  29'565'000              12'000                   38'848'410'000               2.30%                       30.09.2012    Co File       JAPAN
STATE STREET CUSTODI                         28'101'000             948'000                   36'924'714'000               2.19%                       30.09.2012   ULT-AGG                                                     34%
SUMITOMO MITSUI TRUS                         26'125'000        -37'544'000                    34'328'250'000               2.03%                       30.09.2012   ULT-AGG        JAPAN
BLACKROCK                                    25'263'786            -583'609                   33'196'614'804               1.96%                       13.03.2013   ULT-AGG    UNITED STATES
CAPITAL GROUP COMPAN                         23'203'000            -375'000                   30'488'742'000               1.80%                       31.12.2012   ULT-AGG    UNITED STATES
JP MORGAN CHASE BANK                         22'742'000        -22'642'000                    29'882'988'000               1.77%                       30.09.2012    Co File   UNITED STATES
                                                                                                                                                                                               Bank   Investment Advisor   Insurance Company       Corporation   Others
FMR LLC                                      20'595'816          -2'647'213                   27'062'902'224               1.60%                       31.01.2013   ULT-AGG    UNITED STATES
VANGUARD GROUP INC                           17'987'177             246'995                   23'635'150'578               1.40%                       31.12.2012   MF-AGG     UNITED STATES
NIKKO ASSET MANAGEME                         14'893'000          -1'257'000                   19'569'402'000               1.16%                       13.04.2012   ULT-AGG
NOMURA                                       12'453'000             938'000                   16'363'242'000               0.97%                       28.02.2013   ULT-AGG
TOKIO MARINE & NICHI                          6'899'902                   0                    9'066'471'228               0.54%                       31.03.2012    Co File      JAPAN
SARASIN                                       4'919'000            -639'300                    6'463'566'000               0.38%                       31.01.2013   ULT-AGG
Top 5 Insiders:


Holder Name                                     Position   Position Change                      Market Value          % of Ownership   Report Date                  Source
MASUMOTO YASUO                                   58'000                 9'000                       76'212'000              0.01%                      22.06.2012    Co File
KIMATA MASATOSHI                                 45'000                                             59'130'000              0.00%                      22.06.2012    Co File
NARA HIROKAZU                                    34'000                 4'000                       44'676'000              0.00%                      22.06.2012    Co File
TOMITA TETSUJI                                   34'000                 7'000                       44'676'000              0.00%                      22.06.2012    Co File
SAKAMOTO SATORU                                  29'000                 6'000                       38'106'000              0.00%                      22.06.2012    Co File




                                                                                Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
Company Analysis - Financials I/IV
Kubota Corp
Financial information is in JPY (M)                                                                                                                                                          Equivalent Estimates
Periodicity:             Fiscal Year                  3/02          3/03      3/04        3/05         3/06        3/07         3/08        3/09         3/10      3/11        3/12       3/13E        3/14E           3/15E
Income Statement
Revenue                                            965'791       926'145    930'237     983'226   1'065'736    1'127'456   1'154'574    1'107'482      930'644   933'685   1'008'019   1'153'334   1'238'408        1'293'888
  - Cost of Goods Sold                             729'863       695'571    701'718     713'312     753'952      794'687     824'093      810'226      681'374   682'167     735'836

Gross Income                                       235'928       230'574    228'519     269'914     311'784     332'769      330'481     297'256       249'270   251'518    272'183     302'462      337'776         356'466
  - Selling, General & Admin Expenses              201'504       200'961    205'548     183'141     190'726     202'422      193'606     194'441       179'568   165'407    166'503
          (Research & Dev Costs)                    30'186        26'400     23'261      21'963      22'700      22'900       24'800      26'300        25'200    25'042     27'900

Operating Income                                    34'424        29'613     22'610      86'773     121'058     130'347      136'875     102'815        69'702    86'111    105'680     110'573      137'639         152'027
  - Interest Expense                                 6'697         4'818      4'252       4'699       1'156       1'219          986       2'664         2'127     1'632      1'892
  - Foreign Exchange Losses (Gains)                   -561         2'482      1'534      -3'597       1'952         442        9'043      11'525        -2'894     1'640      7'609
  - Net Non-Operating Losses (Gains)                  -216        15'924    -11'848     -72'688     -24'204      -4'232        4'175       5'145        -3'416    -8'953     -6'388

Pretax Income                                       28'504         6'389     28'672     158'359     142'154     132'918      122'671      83'481        73'885    91'792    102'567     111'878      139'608         154'575
  - Income Tax Expense                              17'314        12'296     13'701      48'116      56'067      48'961       48'044      28'746        25'977    30'684     36'548

Income Before XO Items                              11'190         -5'907    14'971     110'243      86'087       83'957      74'627      54'735        47'908    61'108     66'019
   - Extraordinary Loss Net of Tax                       0              0       795     -11'100         115        1'286        -189           0             0         0          0
   - Minority Interests                              1'660          2'097     2'476       3'442       4'938        6'214       6'790       6'671         5'582     6'286      4'467

Diluted EPS Before XO Items                                                              78.67       61.76        60.00       52.65        37.68        33.28     43.11       48.75

Net Income Adjusted*                                  9'530             0    11'700     117'901      81'034       76'457      68'026      48'064        42'326    54'822     61'552      68'839       85'956          95'190
EPS Adjusted                                          6.78         (5.84)     8.72       89.11       62.14        59.01       52.80       37.68         33.28     43.11      48.75       54.56        68.25           75.32
Dividends Per Share                                   6.00          6.00      6.00        6.00       10.00        12.00       14.00       14.00         12.00     14.00      15.00       16.72        18.72           19.83
        Payout Ratio %                                88.2                    64.4          9.8       16.0         19.9        26.4        37.1          36.1      32.5       30.6        0.31         0.27            0.26

Total Shares Outstanding                              1'390        1'345      1'340       1'300       1'299        1'291       1'281        1'272        1'272     1'272      1'256
Diluted Shares Outstanding                            1'494        1'370      1'411       1'360       1'315        1'296       1'288        1'276        1'272     1'272      1'263

EBITDA                                              74'959        68'417     50'365     112'581     146'879     157'444      167'440     134'057        98'873   113'104    129'588     143'334      174'407         188'036

*Net income excludes extraordinary gains and losses and one-time charges.




                                                                               Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
Company Analysis - Financials II/IV
Periodicity:                               3/02        3/03        3/04        3/05         3/06        3/07         3/08        3/09           3/10        3/11        3/12    3/13E    3/14E    3/15E
Balance Sheet
Total Current Assets                    723764      692350      614427       675371      758224      817100       822638      816346         820828      777204      866012
  + Cash & Near Cash Items               60'983      67'362      81'221       74'563      91'858      82'601       88'784      69'505        111'428     105'293     100'559
  + Short Term Investments                1'394          10       3'001            0           0           0            0           0              0
  + Accounts & Notes Receivable         460'537     420'374     325'323      369'519     387'837     411'026      387'485     468'517        459'110     452'642     498'920
  + Inventories                         155'354     151'245     142'973      155'146     175'660     205'658      206'220     207'401        172'323     174'217     202'070
  + Other Current Assets                 45'496      53'359      61'909       76'143     102'869     117'815      140'149      70'923         77'967      45'052      64'463

Total Long-Term Assets                  476'353     446'661     509'798      517'685     647'178     685'432      641'632     569'478        588'205     579'648     621'657
  + Long Term Investments               115'694      92'078     161'464      227'704     361'138     385'161      362'469     291'666        331'697     326'882     336'511
         Gross Fixed Assets             742'327     727'456     649'091      647'362     660'349     669'893      682'428     667'673        667'653     668'868     685'639
         Accumulated Depreciation       466'116     474'901     426'345      427'612     433'977     432'247      444'355     442'052        446'760     451'510     460'572
  + Net Fixed Assets                    276'211     252'555     222'746      219'750     226'372     237'646      238'073     225'621        220'893     217'358     225'067
  + Other Long Term Assets               84'448     102'028     125'588       70'231      59'668      62'625       41'090      52'191         35'615      35'408      60'079

Total Current Liabilities               514'554     479'364     414'680      504'045     516'438     576'683      519'461     494'375        440'238     435'128     535'983
  + Accounts Payable                    225'584     205'784     193'706      217'042     220'461     258'190      212'274     179'627        157'949     164'803     215'977
  + Short Term Borrowings               165'053     171'398     121'857      186'679     182'229     199'794      179'063     185'978        159'765     162'198     170'833
  + Other Short Term Liabilities        108'171     102'182      99'117      100'324     113'748     118'699      128'124     128'770        122'524     108'127     149'173

Total Long Term Liabilities             290'593     330'955     302'817      186'417     253'582     230'143      253'482     275'206        297'176     240'363     244'472
  + Long Term Borrowings                167'850     155'966     144'845      117'488     152'024     150'105      183'945       6'500        243'333     191'760     184'402
  + Other Long Term Borrowings          122'743     174'989     157'972       68'929     101'558      80'038       69'537     268'706         53'843      48'603      60'070

Total Liabilities                       805'147     810'319     717'497      690'462     770'020     806'826      772'943     769'581        737'414     675'491     780'455
  + Long Preferred Equity                     0           0           0            0           0           0            0           0              0           0           0
  + Minority Interest                                13'249      15'646       21'575      28'898      36'069       43'230      37'959         45'222      46'476      53'931
  + Share Capital & APIC                165'419     165'419     165'419      165'419     177'220     177'220      177'220     177'220        173'311     173'210     172'904
  + Retained Earnings & Other Equity    229'551     150'024     225'663      315'600     429'264     482'417      470'877     401'064        453'086     461'675     480'379

Total Shareholders Equity               394'970     328'692     406'728      502'594     635'382     695'706      691'327     616'243        671'619     681'361     707'214

Total Liabilities & Equity             1'200'117   1'139'011   1'124'225   1'193'056   1'405'402    1'502'532   1'464'270    1'385'824      1'409'033   1'356'852   1'487'669

Book Value Per Share                     284.07      234.45      291.81       369.90      466.85      510.91       506.09      454.60         492.51      499.24      520.14    552.09   598.30   648.79
  Tangible Book Value Per Share                                                                                                                                       498.72




                                                                    Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
Company Analysis - Financials III/IV
Periodicity:                             3/02      3/03      3/04        3/05         3/06        3/07         3/08        3/09         3/10      3/11      3/12     3/13E     3/14E     3/15E
Cash Flows
Net Income                              9'530    -8'004    11'700      117'901      81'034       76'457      68'026       48'064       42'326    54'822    61'552   68'839    85'956    95'190
  + Depreciation & Amortization        40'535    38'804    27'755       25'808      25'821       27'097      30'565       31'242       29'171    26'993    23'908
  + Other Non-Cash Adjustments          6'517    30'973    35'649      -56'165      -7'983       -6'958      24'109       21'635        1'392    16'404     5'759
  + Changes in Non-Cash Capital        21'244     2'480       565      -20'636     -11'015          234     -32'590     -123'518       46'183   -10'026    -6'856

Cash From Operating Activities          77'826    64'253    75'669      66'908      87'857       96'830      90'110      -22'577      119'072    88'193    84'363
  + Disposal of Fixed Assets             2'002     1'803     3'129       2'769       5'568        3'709         115        2'961        1'182       870    13'028
  + Capital Expenditures               -32'473   -33'838   -26'493     -20'818     -25'680      -34'286     -35'735      -32'959      -26'621   -27'358   -26'962   -49'475   -43'125   -38'143
  + Increase in Investments             -2'333    -2'056    -2'991    -120'373           0      -61'967           0      -44'468      -22'239   -27'655         0
  + Decrease in Investments              9'018     6'537    17'439      64'765       8'941        2'391       3'827          261        9'101     6'300       187
  + Other Investing Activities         -10'672       -39     2'445      -4'571     -50'121          146         741          184       -4'822     4'262   -56'182

Cash From Investing Activities         -34'458   -27'593    -6'471     -78'228     -61'292      -90'007     -31'052     -74'021       -43'399   -43'581   -69'929
  + Dividends Paid                      -8'459    -8'289    -8'061      -7'989     -11'769      -14'274     -16'777     -19'193       -17'814   -15'267   -17'700
  + Change in Short Term Borrowings     -3'077   -26'548    -7'489      34'453         335       -5'937     -15'840      54'619       -43'729     7'238         9
  + Increase in Long Term Borrowings    28'202    65'627    37'128      39'582      88'829       86'434     113'962     129'967       121'966    62'489   104'816
  + Decrease in Long Term Borrowings   -71'034   -45'447   -74'171     -39'081     -71'719      -73'654     -84'895     -74'386       -90'067   -93'895   -89'203
  + Increase in Capital Stocks               0         0         0           0           0            0           0           0             0         0         0
  + Decrease in Capital Stocks          -6'926   -15'011    -2'223     -21'451     -14'898       -8'515      -7'997      -5'338          -191       -50   -10'016
  + Other Financing Activities             276      -613      -523        -852         -48         -134         -36      -8'350        -3'915    -4'976    -2'607

Cash From Financing Activities         -61'018   -30'281   -55'339       4'662       -9'270     -16'080     -11'583      77'319       -33'750   -44'461   -14'701

Net Changes in Cash                    -17'650    6'379    13'859       -6'658      17'295       -9'257      47'475      -19'279       41'923      151       -267

Free Cash Flow (CFO-CAPEX)             45'353    30'415    49'176       46'090      62'177       62'544      54'375      -55'536       92'451   60'835     57'401   35'024    73'655    89'469

Free Cash Flow To Firm                 47'982    25'960    51'396       49'361      62'877       63'314      54'975      -53'789       93'830   61'921     58'619
Free Cash Flow To Equity                1'446    25'850     7'773       83'813      85'190       73'096      67'717       57'625       81'803   37'537     86'051
Free Cash Flow per Share                32.27     22.19     36.63        34.84       47.68        48.27       42.21       -43.54        72.69    47.84      45.46




                                                              Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
Company Analysis - Financials IV/IV
Periodicity:                          3/02     3/03    3/04       3/05         3/06        3/07         3/08        3/09        3/10    3/11    3/12   3/13E   3/14E   3/15E
Ratio Analysis

Valuation Ratios
  Price Earnings                     58.4x            53.3x        7.1x       20.4x        17.2x       11.8x        14.2x      25.6x   18.2x   16.3x   24.1x   19.3x   17.4x
  EV to EBIT                         23.9x    22.8x   38.2x       11.5x       15.9x        12.6x        8.1x         8.2x      20.4x   15.0x   12.4x
  EV to EBITDA                       11.0x     9.9x   17.1x        8.8x       13.1x        10.4x        6.6x         6.3x      14.4x   11.4x   10.1x   14.3x   11.8x   10.9x
  Price to Sales                      0.6x     0.4x    0.7x        0.8x        1.6x         1.2x        0.7x         0.6x       1.2x    1.1x    1.0x    1.5x    1.4x    1.3x
  Price to Book                       1.4x     1.3x    1.7x        1.5x        2.7x         2.0x        1.2x         1.2x       1.7x    1.6x    1.5x    2.4x    2.2x    2.0x
  Dividend Yield                     1.5%     2.0%    1.2%        1.0%        0.8%         1.2%        2.3%         2.6%       1.4%    1.8%    1.9%    1.3%    1.4%    1.5%

Profitability Ratios
  Gross Margin                       24.4%    24.9%   24.6%      27.5%        29.3%       29.5%        28.6%       26.8%       26.8%   26.9%   27.0%   26.2%   27.3%   27.6%
  EBITDA Margin                       7.8%     7.4%    5.4%      11.5%        13.8%       14.0%        14.5%       12.1%       10.6%   12.1%   12.9%   12.4%   14.1%   14.5%
  Operating Margin                    3.6%     3.2%    2.4%       8.8%        11.4%       11.6%        11.9%        9.3%        7.5%    9.2%   10.5%    9.6%   11.1%   11.7%
  Profit Margin                       1.0%    -0.9%    1.3%      12.0%         7.6%        6.8%         5.9%        4.3%        4.5%    5.9%    6.1%    6.0%    6.9%    7.4%
  Return on Assets                    0.8%    -0.7%    1.0%      10.2%         6.2%        5.3%         4.6%        3.4%        3.0%    4.0%    4.3%    5.9%    7.2%    7.6%
  Return on Equity                    2.3%    -2.3%    3.3%      27.0%        14.9%       12.1%        10.4%        7.8%        7.0%    8.7%    9.6%   10.1%   12.0%   12.0%

Leverage & Coverage Ratios
  Current Ratio                       1.41     1.44    1.48        1.34        1.47        1.42         1.58        1.65        1.86    1.79    1.62
  Quick Ratio                         1.02     1.02    0.99        0.88        0.93        0.86         0.92        1.09        1.30    1.28    1.12
  Interest Coverage Ratio (EBIT/I)    5.14     6.15    5.32       18.47      104.72      106.93       138.82       38.59       32.77   52.76   55.86
  Tot Debt/Capital                    0.46     0.50    0.40        0.38        0.34        0.33         0.34        0.24        0.38    0.34    0.33
  Tot Debt/Equity                     0.84     1.00    0.66        0.61        0.53        0.50         0.53        0.31        0.60    0.52    0.50

Others
  Asset Turnover                      0.78     0.79    0.82        0.85        0.82         0.78        0.78         0.78       0.67    0.68    0.71
  Accounts Receivable Turnover        2.09     2.10    2.49        2.83        2.81         2.82        2.89         2.59       2.01    2.05    2.12
  Accounts Payable Turnover           2.99     3.21    3.47        3.53        3.54         3.45        3.51         4.14       3.83    4.24    4.01
  Inventory Turnover                  4.35     4.54    4.77        4.79        4.56         4.17        4.00         3.92       3.59    3.94    3.91

  Effective Tax Rate                 60.7%   192.5%   47.8%      30.4%        39.4%       36.8%        39.2%       34.4%       35.2%   33.4%   35.6%




                                                       Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
Company Analysis - Peers Comparision
                                                                               HITACHI CONST      JAPAN STEEL                                                                                                         MITSUBISHI        KURITA WATER
                                         KUBOTA CORP        KOMATSU LTD                                              IHI CORP         DAIKIN INDS         CATERPILLAR INC     DEERE & CO          NTN CORP                                                 THK CO LTD       FANUC CORP        NSK LTD         MAKITA CORP
                                                                                    MA               WORK                                                                                                               HEAVY                IND

Latest Fiscal Year:                            03/2012            03/2012            03/2012           03/2012           03/2012             03/2012             12/2012            10/2012               03/2012          03/2012            03/2012           03/2012          03/2012         03/2012            03/2012
52-Week High                                   1'324.00           2'512.00           2'250.00            613.00            304.00            4'140.00              114.25              95.60                379.00           560.00           2'129.00          1'823.00        17'130.00          744.00           4'550.00
52-Week High Date                            15.03.2013         19.03.2012         04.02.2013        15.03.2012        11.03.2013          15.03.2013          16.03.2012         30.01.2013            19.03.2012       06.02.2013         11.03.2013        15.03.2013       04.01.2013      11.03.2013         12.03.2013
52-Week Low                                      630.00           1'439.00           1'203.00            374.00            150.00            1'836.00               78.25              69.51                131.00           263.00           1'596.00          1'137.00        11'240.00          414.00           2'468.00
52-Week Low Date                             04.06.2012         10.10.2012         10.10.2012        04.06.2012        04.06.2012          04.06.2012          12.07.2012         04.06.2012            14.11.2012       24.08.2012         06.09.2012        04.10.2012       03.08.2012      14.11.2012         04.06.2012
Daily Volume                                 18'550'000          7'879'300          1'794'900         3'209'000        15'486'000           3'689'500           7'329'016          2'619'424             6'404'000       17'859'000            933'000         1'390'600        1'263'300       1'890'000            616'000
  Current Price (3/dd/yy)                      1'314.00           2'213.00           2'002.00            518.00            295.00            4'100.00               88.70              92.20               262.00            534.00           2'076.00         1'814.00        14'410.00           740.00          4'455.00
  52-Week High % Change                            -0.8%            -11.9%             -11.0%            -15.5%              -3.0%               -1.0%             -22.4%               -3.6%              -30.9%              -4.6%              -2.5%            -0.5%           -15.9%            -0.5%             -2.1%
  52-Week Low % Change                           108.6%              53.8%              66.4%             38.5%             96.7%              123.3%               13.4%              32.6%               100.0%            103.0%              30.1%            59.5%             28.2%           78.7%             80.5%
Total Common Shares (M)                         1'256.0              952.3              211.8             370.8           1'464.2               291.1               655.0              387.8                531.9           3'355.1              126.7            128.6             195.7           540.6             135.8
  Market Capitalization                     1'689'698          2'175'667             430'660           192'418          432'782            1'201'767              58'103             35'917              139'505         1'801'528           275'693           242'816         3'451'315         407'938           623'739
Total Debt                                   355'235.0          647'800.0           401'502.0          63'607.0        345'243.0           389'888.0             10'486.0            5'869.7            273'107.0       1'167'541.0            8'423.0         60'804.0               -         298'151.0           2'391.0
Preferred Stock                                    -                  -                   -                 -                -                   -                    -                  -                    -                 -                  -                -                 -               -                 -
Minority Interest                             53'931.0           47'761.0            45'441.0             940.0          7'874.0            12'110.0                 50.0               19.9             15'222.0          49'409.0            1'110.0          1'652.0           3'999.0        18'212.0           2'525.0
Cash and Equivalents                         100'559.0           83'986.0            72'803.0          48'179.0         66'506.0           135'339.0              3'306.0            5'009.4             49'360.0         262'288.0           69'402.0        110'788.0         637'076.0       138'793.0          83'441.0
   Enterprise Value                         2'049'951          2'836'189             809'602           195'365          756'458            1'749'996             65'333              38'333              415'955         2'765'940           215'824           196'658         2'781'465         599'845           521'239
                                                                                                                                                            Valuation
Total Revenue                      LFY      1'008'019.0        1'981'763.0          817'143.0         221'368.0       1'221'869.0         1'218'700.0            65'875.0           35'656.6            543'468.0       2'820'932.0          193'792.0        196'866.0         538'492.0       733'192.0         295'711.0
                                  LTM       1'072'779.0        1'926'745.0          829'108.0         217'316.0       1'260'958.0         1'246'941.0            65'875.0           36'352.5            544'001.0       2'852'710.0          194'513.0        181'090.0         535'685.0       750'716.0         293'907.0
                                 CY+1       1'153'334.4        1'909'756.0          765'201.7         224'760.0       1'254'233.3         1'262'742.1            63'441.6           36'025.9            528'000.0       2'994'423.5          190'800.0        167'971.6         484'752.2       722'422.7         303'342.2
                                 CY+2       1'238'407.7        2'006'823.6          792'789.3         219'216.7       1'202'846.2         1'505'854.7            69'086.6           37'121.4            554'420.0       3'245'264.7          194'275.0        184'280.3         472'779.7       761'918.2         324'648.6
EV/Total Revenue                   LFY               1.3x              1.0x                0.8x              0.7x              0.4x                0.7x               1.0x               1.1x                  0.6x              0.7x                  -             0.5x             3.3x             0.6x              1.1x
                                  LTM                1.2x              1.1x                0.7x              0.7x              0.4x                0.7x               1.0x               1.1x                  0.6x              0.7x                  -             0.6x             3.4x             0.6x              1.1x
                                 CY+1                1.7x              1.4x                1.0x              0.9x              0.6x                1.3x               1.4x               1.4x                  0.8x              0.9x               1.1x             1.1x             5.7x             0.8x              1.7x
                                 CY+2                1.6x              1.3x                1.0x              0.8x              0.6x                1.1x               1.1x               1.3x                  0.7x              0.8x               1.1x             1.0x             5.7x             0.7x              1.6x
EBITDA                             LFY        129'588.0          346'449.0           94'408.0          43'163.0          89'546.0           131'717.0            11'966.0            5'424.5             54'898.0         235'925.0           45'416.0         30'296.0         237'300.0        80'989.0          55'753.0
                                  LTM         135'848.0          323'627.0           93'446.0          35'662.0          86'546.0           134'825.0            11'966.0            5'787.0             46'117.0         206'597.0           42'997.0         24'883.0         224'687.0        75'687.0          52'905.0
                                 CY+1         143'333.8          323'962.8           88'173.3          33'100.0          83'309.4           129'069.2            10'709.7            5'794.8             42'087.5         275'671.4           39'100.0         21'229.5         199'430.5        64'869.3          54'173.2
                                 CY+2         174'407.3          382'483.8          104'780.1          30'075.0          99'342.9           170'603.2            12'312.7            6'017.7             53'812.5         302'877.8           39'083.3         28'539.0         197'668.8        78'130.0          62'334.6
EV/EBITDA                          LFY             10.2x               5.9x                6.5x              3.8x              5.7x                6.3x               5.5x               7.2x                  6.1x              8.4x                  -             3.3x             7.6x             5.2x              5.9x
                                  LTM                9.7x              6.3x                6.6x              4.5x              5.9x                6.2x               5.5x               6.7x                  7.3x              9.6x                  -             4.1x             8.0x             5.6x              6.2x
                                 CY+1              13.9x               8.4x                8.8x              6.1x              8.9x              13.2x                8.2x               8.6x                  9.6x              9.6x               5.3x             8.9x            13.9x             8.8x              9.7x
                                 CY+2              11.4x               6.8x                7.2x              5.6x              7.2x              10.0x                6.4x               8.2x                  7.3x              8.6x               5.2x             6.5x            13.6x             7.2x              8.3x
EPS                                LFY             48.70            173.32             109.94              35.19             10.42             140.13                 8.62               7.63                10.99              9.66            131.14             98.85           707.21            52.75           240.12
                                  LTM              52.42            144.96             158.97              20.50             20.93               75.89                8.63               7.99                 1.01              1.14            106.84             79.94           672.15            48.07           229.48
                                 CY+1             54.56            146.91             141.73              25.37             16.68               98.21                8.04               8.57               (12.29)            21.40            103.84             57.88           606.30            31.13           233.05
                                 CY+2             68.25            183.37             149.93              25.43             17.48             218.39                 9.42               9.01                16.05             25.27            122.85             91.13           595.57            46.77           271.97
P/E                                LFY             25.1x              15.3x              12.6x             25.3x             14.1x               54.0x               10.3x              11.5x               259.4x           469.7x               19.4x            22.7x             21.4x           15.4x             19.4x
                                  LTM              25.1x                   -                  -                 -                 -                   -              10.3x              11.5x                     -                 -                  -                -                 -               -            19.3x
                                 CY+1              24.1x              15.1x              14.1x             20.4x             17.7x               41.7x               11.0x              10.8x                     -            25.0x              20.0x            31.3x             23.8x           23.8x             19.1x
                                 CY+2              19.3x              12.1x              13.4x             20.4x             16.9x               18.8x                9.4x              10.2x                16.3x             21.1x              16.9x            19.9x             24.2x           15.8x             16.4x
Revenue Growth                  1 Year              8.0%              7.5%                5.6%              4.0%              2.9%                5.0%               9.5%              13.0%                  2.5%            (2.9%)               6.9%             3.3%            20.7%             3.2%              8.5%
                                5 Year              0.3%              1.5%                1.0%            (0.3%)              1.0%                0.9%              11.5%               8.3%                  3.1%            (1.3%)             (0.6%)             8.3%            20.4%             2.5%            (0.6%)
EBITDA Growth                   1 Year            14.6%              10.9%                9.6%          (11.0%)           (15.7%)                 3.6%              23.6%              12.8%                (9.3%)              1.1%               5.1%           (1.5%)            16.9%             2.2%            12.7%
                                5 Year            (3.8%)              1.8%              (1.6%)              7.7%            26.8%                 2.7%              12.2%              11.2%                (7.1%)              1.8%               8.1%           (4.9%)             6.5%           (3.8%)            (0.4%)
EBITDA Margin                     LTM             12.7%              16.8%              11.3%             16.4%               6.9%              10.8%               18.2%              15.9%                  8.5%              7.2%             22.1%            13.7%             41.9%           10.1%             18.0%
                                 CY+1             12.4%              17.0%              11.5%             14.7%               6.6%              10.2%               16.9%              16.1%                  8.0%              9.2%             20.5%            12.6%             41.1%             9.0%            17.9%
                                 CY+2             14.1%              19.1%              13.2%             13.7%               8.3%              11.3%               17.8%              16.2%                  9.7%              9.3%             20.1%            15.5%             41.8%           10.3%             19.2%
                                                                                                                                                   Leverage/Coverage Ratios
Total Debt / Equity %                            54.4%              64.2%              124.2%            49.8%            137.8%               77.4%              229.0%             473.8%               138.7%             92.9%                4.0%            35.0%               0.0%        106.2%               0.7%
Total Debt / Capital %                           33.4%              38.0%               52.1%            33.1%             57.2%               43.0%               69.5%              82.5%                56.3%             47.2%                3.9%            25.7%               0.0%         49.9%               0.7%
Total Debt / EBITDA                              2.832x             1.916x              3.759x           1.432x            3.625x              3.030x              0.876x             1.139x               6.857x            5.841x                   -           2.415x            0.000x         3.919x            0.034x
Net Debt / EBITDA                                2.037x             1.668x              3.244x          -0.008x            2.800x              1.730x              0.600x             0.417x               5.176x            3.880x                   -          -2.084x           -2.977x         2.100x           -1.613x
EBITDA / Int. Expense                           68.493x            44.508x              8.148x          65.005x           17.030x             21.466x             25.623x            28.048x              16.295x           11.496x           516.091x           46.538x                  -       16.508x          230.384x
                                                                                                                                                          Credit Ratings
S&P LT Credit Rating                                NR                  A                    -                  -             NR                  NR                   A                  A                    NR             BBB+                 NR                NR               NR              NR                 NR
S&P LT Credit Rating Date                    09.01.2007         26.10.2007                    -                  -     10.04.2009          09.01.2007          24.06.2003         14.12.2006            09.01.2007       12.10.2010         09.01.2007        09.01.2007       09.01.2007      10.04.2009         31.03.2008
Moody's LT Credit Rating                            WR                 A2                    -                  -             WR                  A3                  A2                 A2                    WR               WR                   -                 -                -             WR                 WR
Moody's LT Credit Rating Date                30.09.2005         01.10.2004                    -                  -     25.05.2007          02.11.2012          15.06.1995         08.02.2007            03.04.2009       09.09.2008                   -                 -                -     03.04.2009         31.03.2005



                                                                                                                                Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |

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Financial Analysis - Kubota corporation manufactures industrial machinery,…

  • 1. 15.03.2013 Company Analysis - Overview Ticker: 6326 JP Kubota Corp Benchmark: KUBOTA CORPORATION manufactures industrial machinery, farm machinery, and fluid Tokyo: 6326, Currency: JPY TOPIX INDEX (TOKYO) (TPX) piping systems. The Company's products include ductile iron pipes, engines, tractors, Currency: combine harvesters, reaper binders, rice planters, and excavators. Kubota also produces forged iron products, housing equipment, and environmental control plants. Sector: Industrials Industry: Machinery Year: Telephone 81-6-6648-2111 Revenue (M) 1'008'019 Business Segments in JPY Sales (M) Geographic Segments in JPY Sales (M) Website www.kubota.co.jp/english/index.html No of Employees 29'185 Machines 713943 Japan 498684 Address 1-2-47 Shikitsu-Higashi Naniwa-ku Osaka, 556-8601 Japan Water/Environment System 263286 North America 219929 Share Price Performance in JPY Other Products Manufacturing 30790 Asia 169632 Price 1314.00 1M Return 26.3% Social Infrastructure Europe 88715 52 Week High 1324.00 6M Return 62.9% Industrial Infrastructure Rest of the World 31059 52 Week Low 623.69 52 Wk Return 64.2% Other 52 Wk Beta 1.12 YTD Return 33.3% Environmental Engineering Credit Ratings Bloomberg - 3% 3% S&P NR Date 09.01.2007 Outlook - 9% Moody's WR Date - Outlook - Fitch - Date - Outlook - 26% Valuation Ratios 17% 3/09 3/10 3/11 3/12 3/13E 3/14E 3/15E 49% P/E 14.2x 25.6x 18.2x 16.3x 24.1x 19.3x 17.4x EV/EBIT 8.2x 20.4x 15.0x 12.4x - - - EV/EBITDA 6.3x 14.4x 11.4x 10.1x 14.3x 11.8x 10.9x P/S 0.6x 1.2x 1.1x 1.0x 1.5x 1.4x 1.3x 71% P/B 1.2x 1.7x 1.6x 1.5x 2.4x 2.2x 2.0x 22% Div Yield 2.6% 1.4% 1.8% 1.9% 1.3% 1.4% 1.5% Profitability Ratios % 3/09 3/10 3/11 3/12 3/13E 3/14E 3/15E Gross Margin 26.8 26.8 26.9 27.0 26.2 27.3 27.6 Machines Japan North America EBITDA Margin 12.1 10.6 12.1 12.9 12.4 14.1 14.5 Operating Margin 9.3 7.5 9.2 10.5 9.6 11.1 11.7 Water/Environment System Profit Margin 4.3 4.5 5.9 6.1 6.0 6.9 7.4 Asia Europe Return on Assets 3.4 3.0 4.0 4.3 5.9 7.2 7.6 Return on Equity 7.8 7.0 8.7 9.6 10.1 12.0 12.0 Other Products Manufacturing Rest of the World Leverage and Coverage Ratios 3/09 3/10 3/11 3/12 Current Ratio 1.7 1.9 1.8 1.6 Current Capitalization in JPY Quick Ratio 1.1 1.3 1.3 1.1 Common Shares Outstanding (M) 1256.0 EBIT/Interest 38.6 32.8 52.8 55.9 Market Capitalization (M) 1689697.8 Tot Debt/Capital 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.3 Cash and ST Investments (M) 98865.0 Tot Debt/Equity 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.5 Total Debt (M) 405192.0 Eff Tax Rate % 34.4 35.2 33.4 35.6 Preferred Equity (M) 0.0 LT Investments in Affiliate Companies (M) 0.0 Investments (M) 53926.0 Enterprise Value (M) 2049950.8 Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
  • 2. Company Analysis - Analysts Ratings Kubota Corp Target price in JPY Broker Recommendation Buy and Sell Recommendations vs Price and Target Price Price Brokers' Target Price 1'400 1600 100% 13% 14% 13% 13% 12% 11% 11% 11% 11% 11% 11% 1400 21% 1'200 1200 80% 1000 37% 37% 32% 1'000 800 39% 42% 47% 47% 600 50% 60% 56% 57% 53% 800 400 50% 200 600 0 40% Mitsubishi UFJ Morgan Stanley Morgan Stanley Mizuho Securities Iwai Cosmo Securities Co. Ltd BNP Paribas Equity Research Daiwa Securities Co. Ltd. Barclays Mito Securities SMBC Nikko Securities Inc Marusan Securities Macquarie Credit Suisse Nomura EVA Dimensions Goldman Sachs Tachibana Securities TIW 58% 400 50% 53% 53% 47% 20% 38% 41% 42% 31% 33% 200 Securitie 29% 29% 0% 0 mars.12 avr.12 mai.12 juin.12 juil.12 août.12 sept.12 oct.12 nov.12 déc.12 janv.13 févr.13 Buy Hold Sell Price Target Price Date Buy Hold Sell Date Price Target Price Broker Analyst Recommendation Target Date 28-Feb-13 42% 47% 11% 15-Mar-13 1314.00 1178.46 SMBC Nikko Securities Inc TAKU OUCHI outperform 1350.00 14-Mar-13 31-Jan-13 47% 42% 11% 14-Mar-13 1258.00 1178.46 Marusan Securities KOSUKE SAHARA outperform 8-Mar-13 31-Dec-12 58% 32% 11% 13-Mar-13 1225.00 1178.46 Credit Suisse SHINJI KURODA neutral 1100.00 8-Mar-13 30-Nov-12 53% 37% 11% 12-Mar-13 1240.00 1178.46 Morgan Stanley YOSHINAO IBARA Equalwt/Attractive 1200.00 7-Mar-13 31-Oct-12 53% 37% 11% 11-Mar-13 1247.00 1178.46 Iwai Cosmo Securities Co. Ltd HITOSHI OHNISHI Neutral Plus 1300.00 28-Feb-13 28-Sep-12 50% 39% 11% 8-Mar-13 1229.00 1178.46 Mitsubishi UFJ Morgan Stanley Securitie TAKESHI ISHIZUKA neutral 950.00 27-Feb-13 31-Aug-12 41% 47% 12% 7-Mar-13 1172.00 1166.92 Mizuho Securities JUNJI SAKURADA buy 1300.00 22-Feb-13 31-Jul-12 38% 50% 13% 6-Mar-13 1168.00 1166.92 Nomura RYO TAZAKI buy 1250.00 21-Feb-13 29-Jun-12 33% 53% 13% 5-Mar-13 1164.00 1160.00 Macquarie KENJIN HOTTA neutral 1100.00 12-Feb-13 31-May-12 29% 50% 21% 4-Mar-13 1149.00 1133.57 Goldman Sachs YUICHIRO ISAYAMA neutral/attractive 1150.00 6-Feb-13 30-Apr-12 29% 57% 14% 1-Mar-13 1143.00 1133.57 BNP Paribas Equity Research CHRISTOPHER CINTAVEY hold 1070.00 6-Feb-13 30-Mar-12 31% 56% 13% 28-Feb-13 1119.00 1133.57 TIW MASAKAZU ITOI Neutral Plus 16-Jan-13 27-Feb-13 1125.00 1134.67 EVA Dimensions CRAIG STERLING underweight 15-Jan-13 26-Feb-13 1102.00 1134.67 Barclays KUNIO SAKAIDA overweight 1070.00 5-Dec-12 25-Feb-13 1105.00 1092.67 Tachibana Securities YOSHIKAZU SHIMADA Strong Outperform 13-Nov-12 22-Feb-13 1073.00 1092.67 Daiwa Securities Co. Ltd. HIROSUKE TAI neutral 800.00 5-Nov-12 21-Feb-13 1057.00 1072.67 Mito Securities YOICHIRO WATANABE Neutral Plus 17-Nov-10 20-Feb-13 1083.00 1055.33 19-Feb-13 1079.00 1055.33 18-Feb-13 1065.00 1055.33 15-Feb-13 1040.00 1055.33 14-Feb-13 1043.00 1055.33 13-Feb-13 1046.00 1055.33 12-Feb-13 1035.00 1055.33 11-Feb-13 1026.00 1044.00 8-Feb-13 1026.00 1044.00 7-Feb-13 1071.00 1044.00 6-Feb-13 1113.00 1044.00 5-Feb-13 1049.00 1013.85 4-Feb-13 1054.00 1013.85 Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
  • 3. 15.03.2013 Kubota Corp Company Analysis - Ownership Ownership Type Ownership Statistics Geographic Ownership Distribution Geographic Ownership 0% Shares Outstanding (M) 1256.0 Japan 76.77% 1% 0% Float 94.5% United States 15.68% 1% 1% 1% 3% Short Interest (M) 36% Australia 3.16% Short Interest as % of Float Luxembourg 1.32% Days to Cover Shorts Britain 1.16% 16% Institutional Ownership 64.01% Switzerland 0.50% Retail Ownership 35.96% Ireland 0.36% Insider Ownership 0.02% 64% Others 1.05% 77% Institutional Ownership Distribution Bank 35.68% Investment Advisor 33.95% Insurance Company 16.07% Institutional Ownership Retail Ownership Insider Ownership Corporation 7.42% Japan United States Australia Luxembourg Pricing data is in JPY Others 6.88% Britain Switzerland Ireland Others Top 20 Owners: TOP 20 ALL Institutional Ownership Holder Name Position Position Change Market Value % of Ownership Report Date Source Country MASTER TRUST BANK OF 119'924'000 12'606'000 157'580'136'000 9.33% 30.09.2012 Co File JAPAN 7% MITSUBISHI UFJ FINAN 106'709'439 937'986 140'216'202'846 8.30% 31.12.2011 ULT-AGG JAPAN 7% NIPPON LIFE INSURANC 81'633'000 -4'464'265 107'265'762'000 6.35% 30.09.2012 ULT-AGG JAPAN 36% JAPAN TRUSTEE SERVIC 66'382'000 6'733'000 87'225'948'000 5.16% 30.09.2012 Co File JAPAN MEIJI YASUDA LIFE IN 59'929'000 0 78'746'706'000 4.66% 30.09.2012 Co File JAPAN SUMITOMO MITSUI FINA 45'006'000 0 59'137'884'000 3.50% 30.09.2012 ULT-AGG JAPAN 16% MIZUHO FINANCIAL GRO 42'043'000 -128'000 55'244'502'000 3.27% 29.10.2012 ULT-AGG JAPAN MOXLEY & CO 30'503'000 -1'255'000 40'080'942'000 2.37% 30.09.2012 Co File UNITED STATES KUBOTA CORP 29'565'000 12'000 38'848'410'000 2.30% 30.09.2012 Co File JAPAN STATE STREET CUSTODI 28'101'000 948'000 36'924'714'000 2.19% 30.09.2012 ULT-AGG 34% SUMITOMO MITSUI TRUS 26'125'000 -37'544'000 34'328'250'000 2.03% 30.09.2012 ULT-AGG JAPAN BLACKROCK 25'263'786 -583'609 33'196'614'804 1.96% 13.03.2013 ULT-AGG UNITED STATES CAPITAL GROUP COMPAN 23'203'000 -375'000 30'488'742'000 1.80% 31.12.2012 ULT-AGG UNITED STATES JP MORGAN CHASE BANK 22'742'000 -22'642'000 29'882'988'000 1.77% 30.09.2012 Co File UNITED STATES Bank Investment Advisor Insurance Company Corporation Others FMR LLC 20'595'816 -2'647'213 27'062'902'224 1.60% 31.01.2013 ULT-AGG UNITED STATES VANGUARD GROUP INC 17'987'177 246'995 23'635'150'578 1.40% 31.12.2012 MF-AGG UNITED STATES NIKKO ASSET MANAGEME 14'893'000 -1'257'000 19'569'402'000 1.16% 13.04.2012 ULT-AGG NOMURA 12'453'000 938'000 16'363'242'000 0.97% 28.02.2013 ULT-AGG TOKIO MARINE & NICHI 6'899'902 0 9'066'471'228 0.54% 31.03.2012 Co File JAPAN SARASIN 4'919'000 -639'300 6'463'566'000 0.38% 31.01.2013 ULT-AGG Top 5 Insiders: Holder Name Position Position Change Market Value % of Ownership Report Date Source MASUMOTO YASUO 58'000 9'000 76'212'000 0.01% 22.06.2012 Co File KIMATA MASATOSHI 45'000 59'130'000 0.00% 22.06.2012 Co File NARA HIROKAZU 34'000 4'000 44'676'000 0.00% 22.06.2012 Co File TOMITA TETSUJI 34'000 7'000 44'676'000 0.00% 22.06.2012 Co File SAKAMOTO SATORU 29'000 6'000 38'106'000 0.00% 22.06.2012 Co File Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
  • 4. Company Analysis - Financials I/IV Kubota Corp Financial information is in JPY (M) Equivalent Estimates Periodicity: Fiscal Year 3/02 3/03 3/04 3/05 3/06 3/07 3/08 3/09 3/10 3/11 3/12 3/13E 3/14E 3/15E Income Statement Revenue 965'791 926'145 930'237 983'226 1'065'736 1'127'456 1'154'574 1'107'482 930'644 933'685 1'008'019 1'153'334 1'238'408 1'293'888 - Cost of Goods Sold 729'863 695'571 701'718 713'312 753'952 794'687 824'093 810'226 681'374 682'167 735'836 Gross Income 235'928 230'574 228'519 269'914 311'784 332'769 330'481 297'256 249'270 251'518 272'183 302'462 337'776 356'466 - Selling, General & Admin Expenses 201'504 200'961 205'548 183'141 190'726 202'422 193'606 194'441 179'568 165'407 166'503 (Research & Dev Costs) 30'186 26'400 23'261 21'963 22'700 22'900 24'800 26'300 25'200 25'042 27'900 Operating Income 34'424 29'613 22'610 86'773 121'058 130'347 136'875 102'815 69'702 86'111 105'680 110'573 137'639 152'027 - Interest Expense 6'697 4'818 4'252 4'699 1'156 1'219 986 2'664 2'127 1'632 1'892 - Foreign Exchange Losses (Gains) -561 2'482 1'534 -3'597 1'952 442 9'043 11'525 -2'894 1'640 7'609 - Net Non-Operating Losses (Gains) -216 15'924 -11'848 -72'688 -24'204 -4'232 4'175 5'145 -3'416 -8'953 -6'388 Pretax Income 28'504 6'389 28'672 158'359 142'154 132'918 122'671 83'481 73'885 91'792 102'567 111'878 139'608 154'575 - Income Tax Expense 17'314 12'296 13'701 48'116 56'067 48'961 48'044 28'746 25'977 30'684 36'548 Income Before XO Items 11'190 -5'907 14'971 110'243 86'087 83'957 74'627 54'735 47'908 61'108 66'019 - Extraordinary Loss Net of Tax 0 0 795 -11'100 115 1'286 -189 0 0 0 0 - Minority Interests 1'660 2'097 2'476 3'442 4'938 6'214 6'790 6'671 5'582 6'286 4'467 Diluted EPS Before XO Items 78.67 61.76 60.00 52.65 37.68 33.28 43.11 48.75 Net Income Adjusted* 9'530 0 11'700 117'901 81'034 76'457 68'026 48'064 42'326 54'822 61'552 68'839 85'956 95'190 EPS Adjusted 6.78 (5.84) 8.72 89.11 62.14 59.01 52.80 37.68 33.28 43.11 48.75 54.56 68.25 75.32 Dividends Per Share 6.00 6.00 6.00 6.00 10.00 12.00 14.00 14.00 12.00 14.00 15.00 16.72 18.72 19.83 Payout Ratio % 88.2 64.4 9.8 16.0 19.9 26.4 37.1 36.1 32.5 30.6 0.31 0.27 0.26 Total Shares Outstanding 1'390 1'345 1'340 1'300 1'299 1'291 1'281 1'272 1'272 1'272 1'256 Diluted Shares Outstanding 1'494 1'370 1'411 1'360 1'315 1'296 1'288 1'276 1'272 1'272 1'263 EBITDA 74'959 68'417 50'365 112'581 146'879 157'444 167'440 134'057 98'873 113'104 129'588 143'334 174'407 188'036 *Net income excludes extraordinary gains and losses and one-time charges. Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
  • 5. Company Analysis - Financials II/IV Periodicity: 3/02 3/03 3/04 3/05 3/06 3/07 3/08 3/09 3/10 3/11 3/12 3/13E 3/14E 3/15E Balance Sheet Total Current Assets 723764 692350 614427 675371 758224 817100 822638 816346 820828 777204 866012 + Cash & Near Cash Items 60'983 67'362 81'221 74'563 91'858 82'601 88'784 69'505 111'428 105'293 100'559 + Short Term Investments 1'394 10 3'001 0 0 0 0 0 0 + Accounts & Notes Receivable 460'537 420'374 325'323 369'519 387'837 411'026 387'485 468'517 459'110 452'642 498'920 + Inventories 155'354 151'245 142'973 155'146 175'660 205'658 206'220 207'401 172'323 174'217 202'070 + Other Current Assets 45'496 53'359 61'909 76'143 102'869 117'815 140'149 70'923 77'967 45'052 64'463 Total Long-Term Assets 476'353 446'661 509'798 517'685 647'178 685'432 641'632 569'478 588'205 579'648 621'657 + Long Term Investments 115'694 92'078 161'464 227'704 361'138 385'161 362'469 291'666 331'697 326'882 336'511 Gross Fixed Assets 742'327 727'456 649'091 647'362 660'349 669'893 682'428 667'673 667'653 668'868 685'639 Accumulated Depreciation 466'116 474'901 426'345 427'612 433'977 432'247 444'355 442'052 446'760 451'510 460'572 + Net Fixed Assets 276'211 252'555 222'746 219'750 226'372 237'646 238'073 225'621 220'893 217'358 225'067 + Other Long Term Assets 84'448 102'028 125'588 70'231 59'668 62'625 41'090 52'191 35'615 35'408 60'079 Total Current Liabilities 514'554 479'364 414'680 504'045 516'438 576'683 519'461 494'375 440'238 435'128 535'983 + Accounts Payable 225'584 205'784 193'706 217'042 220'461 258'190 212'274 179'627 157'949 164'803 215'977 + Short Term Borrowings 165'053 171'398 121'857 186'679 182'229 199'794 179'063 185'978 159'765 162'198 170'833 + Other Short Term Liabilities 108'171 102'182 99'117 100'324 113'748 118'699 128'124 128'770 122'524 108'127 149'173 Total Long Term Liabilities 290'593 330'955 302'817 186'417 253'582 230'143 253'482 275'206 297'176 240'363 244'472 + Long Term Borrowings 167'850 155'966 144'845 117'488 152'024 150'105 183'945 6'500 243'333 191'760 184'402 + Other Long Term Borrowings 122'743 174'989 157'972 68'929 101'558 80'038 69'537 268'706 53'843 48'603 60'070 Total Liabilities 805'147 810'319 717'497 690'462 770'020 806'826 772'943 769'581 737'414 675'491 780'455 + Long Preferred Equity 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 + Minority Interest 13'249 15'646 21'575 28'898 36'069 43'230 37'959 45'222 46'476 53'931 + Share Capital & APIC 165'419 165'419 165'419 165'419 177'220 177'220 177'220 177'220 173'311 173'210 172'904 + Retained Earnings & Other Equity 229'551 150'024 225'663 315'600 429'264 482'417 470'877 401'064 453'086 461'675 480'379 Total Shareholders Equity 394'970 328'692 406'728 502'594 635'382 695'706 691'327 616'243 671'619 681'361 707'214 Total Liabilities & Equity 1'200'117 1'139'011 1'124'225 1'193'056 1'405'402 1'502'532 1'464'270 1'385'824 1'409'033 1'356'852 1'487'669 Book Value Per Share 284.07 234.45 291.81 369.90 466.85 510.91 506.09 454.60 492.51 499.24 520.14 552.09 598.30 648.79 Tangible Book Value Per Share 498.72 Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
  • 6. Company Analysis - Financials III/IV Periodicity: 3/02 3/03 3/04 3/05 3/06 3/07 3/08 3/09 3/10 3/11 3/12 3/13E 3/14E 3/15E Cash Flows Net Income 9'530 -8'004 11'700 117'901 81'034 76'457 68'026 48'064 42'326 54'822 61'552 68'839 85'956 95'190 + Depreciation & Amortization 40'535 38'804 27'755 25'808 25'821 27'097 30'565 31'242 29'171 26'993 23'908 + Other Non-Cash Adjustments 6'517 30'973 35'649 -56'165 -7'983 -6'958 24'109 21'635 1'392 16'404 5'759 + Changes in Non-Cash Capital 21'244 2'480 565 -20'636 -11'015 234 -32'590 -123'518 46'183 -10'026 -6'856 Cash From Operating Activities 77'826 64'253 75'669 66'908 87'857 96'830 90'110 -22'577 119'072 88'193 84'363 + Disposal of Fixed Assets 2'002 1'803 3'129 2'769 5'568 3'709 115 2'961 1'182 870 13'028 + Capital Expenditures -32'473 -33'838 -26'493 -20'818 -25'680 -34'286 -35'735 -32'959 -26'621 -27'358 -26'962 -49'475 -43'125 -38'143 + Increase in Investments -2'333 -2'056 -2'991 -120'373 0 -61'967 0 -44'468 -22'239 -27'655 0 + Decrease in Investments 9'018 6'537 17'439 64'765 8'941 2'391 3'827 261 9'101 6'300 187 + Other Investing Activities -10'672 -39 2'445 -4'571 -50'121 146 741 184 -4'822 4'262 -56'182 Cash From Investing Activities -34'458 -27'593 -6'471 -78'228 -61'292 -90'007 -31'052 -74'021 -43'399 -43'581 -69'929 + Dividends Paid -8'459 -8'289 -8'061 -7'989 -11'769 -14'274 -16'777 -19'193 -17'814 -15'267 -17'700 + Change in Short Term Borrowings -3'077 -26'548 -7'489 34'453 335 -5'937 -15'840 54'619 -43'729 7'238 9 + Increase in Long Term Borrowings 28'202 65'627 37'128 39'582 88'829 86'434 113'962 129'967 121'966 62'489 104'816 + Decrease in Long Term Borrowings -71'034 -45'447 -74'171 -39'081 -71'719 -73'654 -84'895 -74'386 -90'067 -93'895 -89'203 + Increase in Capital Stocks 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 + Decrease in Capital Stocks -6'926 -15'011 -2'223 -21'451 -14'898 -8'515 -7'997 -5'338 -191 -50 -10'016 + Other Financing Activities 276 -613 -523 -852 -48 -134 -36 -8'350 -3'915 -4'976 -2'607 Cash From Financing Activities -61'018 -30'281 -55'339 4'662 -9'270 -16'080 -11'583 77'319 -33'750 -44'461 -14'701 Net Changes in Cash -17'650 6'379 13'859 -6'658 17'295 -9'257 47'475 -19'279 41'923 151 -267 Free Cash Flow (CFO-CAPEX) 45'353 30'415 49'176 46'090 62'177 62'544 54'375 -55'536 92'451 60'835 57'401 35'024 73'655 89'469 Free Cash Flow To Firm 47'982 25'960 51'396 49'361 62'877 63'314 54'975 -53'789 93'830 61'921 58'619 Free Cash Flow To Equity 1'446 25'850 7'773 83'813 85'190 73'096 67'717 57'625 81'803 37'537 86'051 Free Cash Flow per Share 32.27 22.19 36.63 34.84 47.68 48.27 42.21 -43.54 72.69 47.84 45.46 Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
  • 7. Company Analysis - Financials IV/IV Periodicity: 3/02 3/03 3/04 3/05 3/06 3/07 3/08 3/09 3/10 3/11 3/12 3/13E 3/14E 3/15E Ratio Analysis Valuation Ratios Price Earnings 58.4x 53.3x 7.1x 20.4x 17.2x 11.8x 14.2x 25.6x 18.2x 16.3x 24.1x 19.3x 17.4x EV to EBIT 23.9x 22.8x 38.2x 11.5x 15.9x 12.6x 8.1x 8.2x 20.4x 15.0x 12.4x EV to EBITDA 11.0x 9.9x 17.1x 8.8x 13.1x 10.4x 6.6x 6.3x 14.4x 11.4x 10.1x 14.3x 11.8x 10.9x Price to Sales 0.6x 0.4x 0.7x 0.8x 1.6x 1.2x 0.7x 0.6x 1.2x 1.1x 1.0x 1.5x 1.4x 1.3x Price to Book 1.4x 1.3x 1.7x 1.5x 2.7x 2.0x 1.2x 1.2x 1.7x 1.6x 1.5x 2.4x 2.2x 2.0x Dividend Yield 1.5% 2.0% 1.2% 1.0% 0.8% 1.2% 2.3% 2.6% 1.4% 1.8% 1.9% 1.3% 1.4% 1.5% Profitability Ratios Gross Margin 24.4% 24.9% 24.6% 27.5% 29.3% 29.5% 28.6% 26.8% 26.8% 26.9% 27.0% 26.2% 27.3% 27.6% EBITDA Margin 7.8% 7.4% 5.4% 11.5% 13.8% 14.0% 14.5% 12.1% 10.6% 12.1% 12.9% 12.4% 14.1% 14.5% Operating Margin 3.6% 3.2% 2.4% 8.8% 11.4% 11.6% 11.9% 9.3% 7.5% 9.2% 10.5% 9.6% 11.1% 11.7% Profit Margin 1.0% -0.9% 1.3% 12.0% 7.6% 6.8% 5.9% 4.3% 4.5% 5.9% 6.1% 6.0% 6.9% 7.4% Return on Assets 0.8% -0.7% 1.0% 10.2% 6.2% 5.3% 4.6% 3.4% 3.0% 4.0% 4.3% 5.9% 7.2% 7.6% Return on Equity 2.3% -2.3% 3.3% 27.0% 14.9% 12.1% 10.4% 7.8% 7.0% 8.7% 9.6% 10.1% 12.0% 12.0% Leverage & Coverage Ratios Current Ratio 1.41 1.44 1.48 1.34 1.47 1.42 1.58 1.65 1.86 1.79 1.62 Quick Ratio 1.02 1.02 0.99 0.88 0.93 0.86 0.92 1.09 1.30 1.28 1.12 Interest Coverage Ratio (EBIT/I) 5.14 6.15 5.32 18.47 104.72 106.93 138.82 38.59 32.77 52.76 55.86 Tot Debt/Capital 0.46 0.50 0.40 0.38 0.34 0.33 0.34 0.24 0.38 0.34 0.33 Tot Debt/Equity 0.84 1.00 0.66 0.61 0.53 0.50 0.53 0.31 0.60 0.52 0.50 Others Asset Turnover 0.78 0.79 0.82 0.85 0.82 0.78 0.78 0.78 0.67 0.68 0.71 Accounts Receivable Turnover 2.09 2.10 2.49 2.83 2.81 2.82 2.89 2.59 2.01 2.05 2.12 Accounts Payable Turnover 2.99 3.21 3.47 3.53 3.54 3.45 3.51 4.14 3.83 4.24 4.01 Inventory Turnover 4.35 4.54 4.77 4.79 4.56 4.17 4.00 3.92 3.59 3.94 3.91 Effective Tax Rate 60.7% 192.5% 47.8% 30.4% 39.4% 36.8% 39.2% 34.4% 35.2% 33.4% 35.6% Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
  • 8. Company Analysis - Peers Comparision HITACHI CONST JAPAN STEEL MITSUBISHI KURITA WATER KUBOTA CORP KOMATSU LTD IHI CORP DAIKIN INDS CATERPILLAR INC DEERE & CO NTN CORP THK CO LTD FANUC CORP NSK LTD MAKITA CORP MA WORK HEAVY IND Latest Fiscal Year: 03/2012 03/2012 03/2012 03/2012 03/2012 03/2012 12/2012 10/2012 03/2012 03/2012 03/2012 03/2012 03/2012 03/2012 03/2012 52-Week High 1'324.00 2'512.00 2'250.00 613.00 304.00 4'140.00 114.25 95.60 379.00 560.00 2'129.00 1'823.00 17'130.00 744.00 4'550.00 52-Week High Date 15.03.2013 19.03.2012 04.02.2013 15.03.2012 11.03.2013 15.03.2013 16.03.2012 30.01.2013 19.03.2012 06.02.2013 11.03.2013 15.03.2013 04.01.2013 11.03.2013 12.03.2013 52-Week Low 630.00 1'439.00 1'203.00 374.00 150.00 1'836.00 78.25 69.51 131.00 263.00 1'596.00 1'137.00 11'240.00 414.00 2'468.00 52-Week Low Date 04.06.2012 10.10.2012 10.10.2012 04.06.2012 04.06.2012 04.06.2012 12.07.2012 04.06.2012 14.11.2012 24.08.2012 06.09.2012 04.10.2012 03.08.2012 14.11.2012 04.06.2012 Daily Volume 18'550'000 7'879'300 1'794'900 3'209'000 15'486'000 3'689'500 7'329'016 2'619'424 6'404'000 17'859'000 933'000 1'390'600 1'263'300 1'890'000 616'000 Current Price (3/dd/yy) 1'314.00 2'213.00 2'002.00 518.00 295.00 4'100.00 88.70 92.20 262.00 534.00 2'076.00 1'814.00 14'410.00 740.00 4'455.00 52-Week High % Change -0.8% -11.9% -11.0% -15.5% -3.0% -1.0% -22.4% -3.6% -30.9% -4.6% -2.5% -0.5% -15.9% -0.5% -2.1% 52-Week Low % Change 108.6% 53.8% 66.4% 38.5% 96.7% 123.3% 13.4% 32.6% 100.0% 103.0% 30.1% 59.5% 28.2% 78.7% 80.5% Total Common Shares (M) 1'256.0 952.3 211.8 370.8 1'464.2 291.1 655.0 387.8 531.9 3'355.1 126.7 128.6 195.7 540.6 135.8 Market Capitalization 1'689'698 2'175'667 430'660 192'418 432'782 1'201'767 58'103 35'917 139'505 1'801'528 275'693 242'816 3'451'315 407'938 623'739 Total Debt 355'235.0 647'800.0 401'502.0 63'607.0 345'243.0 389'888.0 10'486.0 5'869.7 273'107.0 1'167'541.0 8'423.0 60'804.0 - 298'151.0 2'391.0 Preferred Stock - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Minority Interest 53'931.0 47'761.0 45'441.0 940.0 7'874.0 12'110.0 50.0 19.9 15'222.0 49'409.0 1'110.0 1'652.0 3'999.0 18'212.0 2'525.0 Cash and Equivalents 100'559.0 83'986.0 72'803.0 48'179.0 66'506.0 135'339.0 3'306.0 5'009.4 49'360.0 262'288.0 69'402.0 110'788.0 637'076.0 138'793.0 83'441.0 Enterprise Value 2'049'951 2'836'189 809'602 195'365 756'458 1'749'996 65'333 38'333 415'955 2'765'940 215'824 196'658 2'781'465 599'845 521'239 Valuation Total Revenue LFY 1'008'019.0 1'981'763.0 817'143.0 221'368.0 1'221'869.0 1'218'700.0 65'875.0 35'656.6 543'468.0 2'820'932.0 193'792.0 196'866.0 538'492.0 733'192.0 295'711.0 LTM 1'072'779.0 1'926'745.0 829'108.0 217'316.0 1'260'958.0 1'246'941.0 65'875.0 36'352.5 544'001.0 2'852'710.0 194'513.0 181'090.0 535'685.0 750'716.0 293'907.0 CY+1 1'153'334.4 1'909'756.0 765'201.7 224'760.0 1'254'233.3 1'262'742.1 63'441.6 36'025.9 528'000.0 2'994'423.5 190'800.0 167'971.6 484'752.2 722'422.7 303'342.2 CY+2 1'238'407.7 2'006'823.6 792'789.3 219'216.7 1'202'846.2 1'505'854.7 69'086.6 37'121.4 554'420.0 3'245'264.7 194'275.0 184'280.3 472'779.7 761'918.2 324'648.6 EV/Total Revenue LFY 1.3x 1.0x 0.8x 0.7x 0.4x 0.7x 1.0x 1.1x 0.6x 0.7x - 0.5x 3.3x 0.6x 1.1x LTM 1.2x 1.1x 0.7x 0.7x 0.4x 0.7x 1.0x 1.1x 0.6x 0.7x - 0.6x 3.4x 0.6x 1.1x CY+1 1.7x 1.4x 1.0x 0.9x 0.6x 1.3x 1.4x 1.4x 0.8x 0.9x 1.1x 1.1x 5.7x 0.8x 1.7x CY+2 1.6x 1.3x 1.0x 0.8x 0.6x 1.1x 1.1x 1.3x 0.7x 0.8x 1.1x 1.0x 5.7x 0.7x 1.6x EBITDA LFY 129'588.0 346'449.0 94'408.0 43'163.0 89'546.0 131'717.0 11'966.0 5'424.5 54'898.0 235'925.0 45'416.0 30'296.0 237'300.0 80'989.0 55'753.0 LTM 135'848.0 323'627.0 93'446.0 35'662.0 86'546.0 134'825.0 11'966.0 5'787.0 46'117.0 206'597.0 42'997.0 24'883.0 224'687.0 75'687.0 52'905.0 CY+1 143'333.8 323'962.8 88'173.3 33'100.0 83'309.4 129'069.2 10'709.7 5'794.8 42'087.5 275'671.4 39'100.0 21'229.5 199'430.5 64'869.3 54'173.2 CY+2 174'407.3 382'483.8 104'780.1 30'075.0 99'342.9 170'603.2 12'312.7 6'017.7 53'812.5 302'877.8 39'083.3 28'539.0 197'668.8 78'130.0 62'334.6 EV/EBITDA LFY 10.2x 5.9x 6.5x 3.8x 5.7x 6.3x 5.5x 7.2x 6.1x 8.4x - 3.3x 7.6x 5.2x 5.9x LTM 9.7x 6.3x 6.6x 4.5x 5.9x 6.2x 5.5x 6.7x 7.3x 9.6x - 4.1x 8.0x 5.6x 6.2x CY+1 13.9x 8.4x 8.8x 6.1x 8.9x 13.2x 8.2x 8.6x 9.6x 9.6x 5.3x 8.9x 13.9x 8.8x 9.7x CY+2 11.4x 6.8x 7.2x 5.6x 7.2x 10.0x 6.4x 8.2x 7.3x 8.6x 5.2x 6.5x 13.6x 7.2x 8.3x EPS LFY 48.70 173.32 109.94 35.19 10.42 140.13 8.62 7.63 10.99 9.66 131.14 98.85 707.21 52.75 240.12 LTM 52.42 144.96 158.97 20.50 20.93 75.89 8.63 7.99 1.01 1.14 106.84 79.94 672.15 48.07 229.48 CY+1 54.56 146.91 141.73 25.37 16.68 98.21 8.04 8.57 (12.29) 21.40 103.84 57.88 606.30 31.13 233.05 CY+2 68.25 183.37 149.93 25.43 17.48 218.39 9.42 9.01 16.05 25.27 122.85 91.13 595.57 46.77 271.97 P/E LFY 25.1x 15.3x 12.6x 25.3x 14.1x 54.0x 10.3x 11.5x 259.4x 469.7x 19.4x 22.7x 21.4x 15.4x 19.4x LTM 25.1x - - - - - 10.3x 11.5x - - - - - - 19.3x CY+1 24.1x 15.1x 14.1x 20.4x 17.7x 41.7x 11.0x 10.8x - 25.0x 20.0x 31.3x 23.8x 23.8x 19.1x CY+2 19.3x 12.1x 13.4x 20.4x 16.9x 18.8x 9.4x 10.2x 16.3x 21.1x 16.9x 19.9x 24.2x 15.8x 16.4x Revenue Growth 1 Year 8.0% 7.5% 5.6% 4.0% 2.9% 5.0% 9.5% 13.0% 2.5% (2.9%) 6.9% 3.3% 20.7% 3.2% 8.5% 5 Year 0.3% 1.5% 1.0% (0.3%) 1.0% 0.9% 11.5% 8.3% 3.1% (1.3%) (0.6%) 8.3% 20.4% 2.5% (0.6%) EBITDA Growth 1 Year 14.6% 10.9% 9.6% (11.0%) (15.7%) 3.6% 23.6% 12.8% (9.3%) 1.1% 5.1% (1.5%) 16.9% 2.2% 12.7% 5 Year (3.8%) 1.8% (1.6%) 7.7% 26.8% 2.7% 12.2% 11.2% (7.1%) 1.8% 8.1% (4.9%) 6.5% (3.8%) (0.4%) EBITDA Margin LTM 12.7% 16.8% 11.3% 16.4% 6.9% 10.8% 18.2% 15.9% 8.5% 7.2% 22.1% 13.7% 41.9% 10.1% 18.0% CY+1 12.4% 17.0% 11.5% 14.7% 6.6% 10.2% 16.9% 16.1% 8.0% 9.2% 20.5% 12.6% 41.1% 9.0% 17.9% CY+2 14.1% 19.1% 13.2% 13.7% 8.3% 11.3% 17.8% 16.2% 9.7% 9.3% 20.1% 15.5% 41.8% 10.3% 19.2% Leverage/Coverage Ratios Total Debt / Equity % 54.4% 64.2% 124.2% 49.8% 137.8% 77.4% 229.0% 473.8% 138.7% 92.9% 4.0% 35.0% 0.0% 106.2% 0.7% Total Debt / Capital % 33.4% 38.0% 52.1% 33.1% 57.2% 43.0% 69.5% 82.5% 56.3% 47.2% 3.9% 25.7% 0.0% 49.9% 0.7% Total Debt / EBITDA 2.832x 1.916x 3.759x 1.432x 3.625x 3.030x 0.876x 1.139x 6.857x 5.841x - 2.415x 0.000x 3.919x 0.034x Net Debt / EBITDA 2.037x 1.668x 3.244x -0.008x 2.800x 1.730x 0.600x 0.417x 5.176x 3.880x - -2.084x -2.977x 2.100x -1.613x EBITDA / Int. Expense 68.493x 44.508x 8.148x 65.005x 17.030x 21.466x 25.623x 28.048x 16.295x 11.496x 516.091x 46.538x - 16.508x 230.384x Credit Ratings S&P LT Credit Rating NR A - - NR NR A A NR BBB+ NR NR NR NR NR S&P LT Credit Rating Date 09.01.2007 26.10.2007 - - 10.04.2009 09.01.2007 24.06.2003 14.12.2006 09.01.2007 12.10.2010 09.01.2007 09.01.2007 09.01.2007 10.04.2009 31.03.2008 Moody's LT Credit Rating WR A2 - - WR A3 A2 A2 WR WR - - - WR WR Moody's LT Credit Rating Date 30.09.2005 01.10.2004 - - 25.05.2007 02.11.2012 15.06.1995 08.02.2007 03.04.2009 09.09.2008 - - - 03.04.2009 31.03.2005 Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |