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INDIA	
  
Emerging	
  Into	
  the	
  Light	
  
Contents

  1.	
  India	
  :	
  An	
  Overview	
                                                                                                   3	
  

  2.	
  India	
  :	
  From	
  the	
  Pages	
  of	
  History	
                                                                            6	
  

  3.	
  LiberalizaBon	
  :	
  A	
  New	
  Era	
  :	
  India	
  Ascending	
                                                              17	
  

  4.	
  Global	
  Power	
  Sector	
  :	
  Energizing	
  the	
  World	
                                                                  27	
  

  5.	
  Indian	
  Infrastructure	
  Sector	
  :	
  InviBng	
  Private	
  Investment	
                                                   43	
  

  6.	
  Sector	
  Specific	
  Outlook	
  :	
  The	
  Growth	
  Factor	
                                                                  50	
  

  7.	
  The	
  Power	
  Sector	
  in	
  India	
  :	
  Let	
  there	
  be	
  Light	
                                                     57	
  

  8.	
  Indian	
  Power	
  Sector	
  :	
  An	
  Overview	
                                                                              60	
  

  9.	
  Opening	
  up	
  of	
  the	
  Power	
  	
  Sector	
  :	
  The	
  New	
  Era	
  Begins	
                                         66	
  

  10.	
  Emerging	
  OpportuniBes	
  :	
  Rewards	
  of	
  	
  Bringing	
  in	
  Ingenuousness	
                                        73	
  

  11.	
  Outlook	
  for	
  Power	
  Sectors	
  :	
  Indicators	
  &	
  Forecast	
                                                       85	
  

  12.	
  Government	
  IniBaBves	
  for	
  Private	
  Sector	
  Involvement	
  :	
  Opening	
  up	
  Private	
  Capital	
  Inflow	
      97	
  

  13.	
  The	
  Indian	
  Power	
  Sector	
  :	
  OpportuniBes,	
  Risks	
  &	
  Rewards	
                                             102	
  

  14.	
  Summing	
  Up	
  :	
  Power	
  Sector	
  Investment	
  :	
  Why	
  India?	
                                                   115	
  
India	
  
An	
  Overview	
  


                     Back	
  to	
  Contents	
  
India:	
  An	
  Overview	
  
•  Geographically,	
  the	
  seventh	
  largest	
  country	
  in	
  the	
  world	
  (3.3	
  million	
  
   square	
  kilometers).	
  
•  Second	
  most	
  populous	
  country	
  a_er	
  China	
  with	
  a	
  populaBon	
  of	
  	
  
   1.18	
  billion,	
  expected	
  to	
  be	
  the	
  most	
  populous	
  country	
  by	
  2020.	
  
•  ~	
  65%	
  of	
  the	
  demography	
  is	
  less	
  than	
  25	
  years	
  of	
  age.	
  
•  The	
  world’s	
  largest	
  democracy.	
  
•  GDP	
  growth	
  of	
  7.2%	
  in	
  2009-­‐2010.	
  
•  11th	
  largest	
  economy	
  in	
  terms	
  of	
  nominal	
  GDP	
  ($	
  1.2	
  trillion	
  in	
  2009).	
  
•  4th	
  largest	
  economy	
  in	
  terms	
  of	
  Purchasing	
  Power	
  Parity	
  GDP	
  ($3.5	
  trillion	
  
   in	
  2009).	
  
•  Total	
  exports	
  of	
  $155	
  billion	
  in	
  2009	
  (free-­‐on-­‐board	
  basis).	
  
•  Total	
  imports	
  of	
  $232	
  billion	
  in	
  2009	
  (free-­‐on-­‐board	
  basis),	
  remains	
  a	
  net	
  
   importer.	
  
•  Foreign	
  reserves	
  of	
  $287	
  billion	
  (as	
  of	
  31	
  December,	
  2009).	
  
                                                                                                   Back	
  to	
  Contents	
  
                                                          4	
  
India:	
  Drama1c	
  Diversity,	
  Amazing	
  Unity	
  
•  LogisBcally	
  ideal	
  for	
  trade,	
  with	
  a	
  coastline	
  extending	
  on	
  three	
  sides	
  of	
  the	
  
   peninsula,	
  facilitaBng	
  passage	
  of	
  freight	
  –	
  Indian	
  Ocean	
  to	
  the	
  South,	
  
   Arabian	
  Sea	
  to	
  the	
  West,	
  and	
  the	
  Bay	
  of	
  Bengal	
  to	
  the	
  East.	
  
•  Comprised	
  of	
  28	
  states	
  and	
  7	
  Union	
  Territories.	
  
•  Boasts	
  vast	
  variety	
  and	
  diversity	
  of	
  people	
  and	
  culture,	
  coexist	
  in	
  relaBve	
  
   harmony	
  and	
  unity.	
  
•  A	
  pluralisBc,	
  mulB-­‐ethnic,	
  mulB-­‐lingual	
  and	
  mulB-­‐cultural	
  society	
  –	
  the	
  
   Indian	
  ConsBtuBon	
  recognizes	
  22	
  main	
  and	
  21	
  scheduled	
  languages.	
  
•  Diversity	
  in	
  religion	
  –	
  Hinduism,	
  Islam,	
  ChrisBanity,	
  Buddhism,	
  Jainism,	
  
   Zoroastrianism,	
  Judaism	
  and	
  B’ahai	
  pracBced	
  across	
  the	
  country,	
  with	
  a	
  
   strong	
  sense	
  of	
  religious	
  tolerance	
  being	
  the	
  accepted	
  as	
  way	
  of	
  life	
  for	
  a	
  
   majority	
  of	
  Indians,	
  both	
  by	
  law	
  and	
  tradiBon.	
  
•  An	
  amazing	
  ‘melBng	
  pot’	
  of	
  mulBple	
  philosophies,	
  languages,	
  fesBvals,	
  
   cuisine,	
  clothing,	
  literature,	
  music,	
  dance,	
  fine	
  arts	
  and	
  cra_s.	
  
                                                                                                    Back	
  to	
  Contents	
  
                                                           5	
  
India	
  
From	
  the	
  Pages	
  of	
  History	
  


                                            Back	
  to	
  Contents	
  
India:	
  A	
  Chronological	
  History	
  

              India	
  is	
  the	
  cradle	
  of	
  the	
  human	
  race,	
  the	
  birthplace	
  of	
  human	
  
              speech,	
  the	
  mother	
  of	
  history,	
  the	
  grandmother	
  of	
  legend,	
  and	
  
              the	
  great	
  grand	
  mother	
  of	
  tradiBon…	
  
                                                                                                                   –	
  Mark	
  Twain	
  

•    2500–1500	
  B.C:	
  The	
  Indus	
  Valley	
  	
  CivilizaBon	
  flourishes	
  in	
  the	
  western	
  part	
  of	
  the	
  Indian	
  sub-­‐
     conBnent,	
  arrayed	
  around	
  the	
  Indus	
  (Sindhu)	
  River.	
  Archaeological	
  finds	
  of	
  the	
  main	
  ciBes	
  –	
  
     Harappa	
  and	
  Mohenjodaro	
  –	
  reveal	
  traces	
  of	
  a	
  sophisBcated	
  culture,	
  with	
  trading	
  Bes	
  to	
  
     Mesopotamia	
  and	
  other	
  civilizaBons	
  flourishing	
  around	
  the	
  same	
  Bme	
  in	
  other	
  parts	
  of	
  the	
  
     known	
  world.	
  
•    A	
  well-­‐planned	
  civic	
  and	
  sanitary	
  system,	
  trading	
  posts,	
  a	
  measuring	
  system,	
  weapons	
  and	
  
     tools,	
  etc.	
  are	
  believed	
  to	
  have	
  been	
  used	
  by	
  the	
  people.	
  
•    From	
  1500	
  B.C:	
  Aryan	
  tribes	
  from	
  the	
  north-­‐western	
  regions	
  of	
  Asia	
  begin	
  to	
  enter	
  India	
  and	
  
     senle	
  down	
  in	
  various	
  parts	
  of	
  the	
  country	
  covering	
  the	
  north,	
  east	
  and	
  west,	
  up	
  to	
  the	
  
     Vindhya	
  mountains	
  in	
  central	
  India.	
  In	
  the	
  south,	
  a	
  vibrant	
  Dravidian	
  culture	
  flourishes.	
  
•    The	
  Vedas	
  and	
  epics	
  such	
  as	
  the	
  Mahabharata	
  are	
  composed,	
  the	
  geography	
  is	
  divided	
  into	
  
     poliBcally-­‐organized	
  territories	
  called	
  ‘Mahajanapadas’	
  and	
  the	
  caste	
  system	
  is	
  created.	
  
                                                                                                                           Back	
  to	
  Contents	
  
                                                                        7	
  
India:	
  History	
  (contd.)	
  	
  
•    600–400	
  B.C:	
  The	
  seeds	
  of	
  Jainism	
  and	
  Buddhism	
  are	
  sown	
  with	
  the	
  birth	
  of	
  Mahaveera	
  	
  
     (599	
  B.C)	
  and	
  Gautama	
  Buddha	
  (563	
  B.C).	
  
•    400	
  B.C–0	
  A.D:	
  Invasions	
  from	
  the	
  north	
  and	
  west	
  conBnue,	
  including	
  assaults	
  by	
  Alexander	
  
     the	
  Great,	
  whose	
  ambiBon	
  of	
  world	
  conquest	
  is	
  stopped	
  at	
  the	
  northwest	
  fronBer	
  (326	
  B.C).	
  
•    Chandragupta	
  Maurya	
  establishes	
  the	
  Mauryan	
  Empire	
  and	
  for	
  the	
  first	
  Bme	
  a	
  large	
  part	
  of	
  
     the	
  country	
  is	
  unified	
  under	
  the	
  rule	
  of	
  one	
  dynasty.	
  The	
  Mauryan	
  empire	
  lasts	
  Bll	
  2	
  B.C,	
  with	
  
     great	
  rulers	
  such	
  as	
  Ashoka	
  and	
  Chandragupta	
  II.	
  Ashoka	
  is	
  responsible	
  for	
  the	
  spread	
  of	
  
     Buddhism	
  across	
  the	
  country.	
  
•    0–1000	
  A.D:	
  Many	
  prominent	
  dynasBes	
  –	
  the	
  Pallavas,	
  Hoysalas	
  and	
  the	
  Chalukyas	
  –	
  rule	
  
     over	
  central	
  and	
  southern	
  regions,	
  while	
  the	
  Gupta	
  dynasty	
  comes	
  into	
  being	
  around	
  	
  
     326	
  A.D.	
  
•    This	
  was	
  the	
  Golden	
  Age	
  in	
  Indian	
  history,	
  when	
  culture	
  and	
  arts	
  flourished,	
  with	
  significant	
  
     work	
  in	
  literature,	
  science,	
  mathemaBcs	
  and	
  astronomy.	
  
•    Many	
  famous	
  temples,	
  which	
  are	
  great	
  anracBons	
  even	
  today,	
  were	
  built	
  during	
  this	
  Bme	
  –	
  
     Khajuraho,	
  Belur,	
  Halebeid,	
  etc.	
  
•    This	
  is	
  also	
  the	
  period	
  during	
  which	
  noted	
  scholars	
  from	
  other	
  parts	
  of	
  the	
  world	
  –	
  Fa-­‐Hein,	
  
     Hiuen-­‐Tsang,	
  Alberuni	
  –	
  visited	
  India	
  to	
  learn	
  about	
  culture	
  and	
  religion.	
  

                                                                                                                                Back	
  to	
  Contents	
  
                                                                           8	
  
India:	
  History	
  (contd.)	
  
•    1000–1800	
  A.D:	
  The	
  earliest	
  of	
  Muslim	
  invasions	
  begin	
  with	
  Mahmud	
  Ghazni	
  in	
  1026;	
  
     explorers	
  such	
  as	
  Marco	
  Polo	
  (1288	
  A.D)	
  and	
  Vasco	
  da	
  Gama	
  (first	
  voyage	
  in	
  1498)	
  make	
  
     their	
  way	
  to	
  India	
  –	
  the	
  objecBve	
  is	
  to	
  check	
  out	
  the	
  fabulous	
  wealth,	
  culture,	
  arts	
  and	
  trade	
  
     for	
  which	
  the	
  country	
  is	
  famous	
  throughout	
  the	
  world.	
  
•    Columbus	
  set	
  out	
  on	
  a	
  voyage	
  from	
  Spain	
  to	
  visit	
  India,	
  but	
  ends	
  up	
  discovering	
  a	
  new	
  
     conBnent	
  –	
  America	
  –	
  instead!	
  
•    Babur	
  establishes	
  the	
  Mughal	
  Empire	
  in	
  the	
  1500s	
  and	
  the	
  Mughals	
  rule	
  India	
  unBl	
  1857,	
  
     albeit	
  in	
  a	
  diminished	
  form.	
  Babur,	
  Humayun,	
  Akbar	
  and	
  Aurangazeb	
  are	
  among	
  the	
  more	
  
     well-­‐known	
  Mughal	
  emperors.	
  
•    Between	
  1500	
  and	
  1800,	
  many	
  European	
  traders	
  –	
  Portuguese,	
  Spanish,	
  French,	
  the	
  Dutch	
  
     and	
  the	
  English	
  –	
  set	
  up	
  trading	
  posts	
  in	
  various	
  parts	
  of	
  the	
  country,	
  to	
  export	
  spices,	
  
     texBles,	
  precious	
  stones	
  and	
  other	
  goods,	
  for	
  which	
  India	
  is	
  widely	
  known.	
  
•    The	
  trading	
  companies	
  gradually	
  take	
  poliBcal	
  control,	
  due	
  to	
  the	
  weak	
  and	
  fragmented	
  reign	
  
     of	
  Indian	
  rulers	
  around	
  this	
  Bme.	
  The	
  Portuguese	
  take	
  over	
  Goa,	
  the	
  French	
  and	
  Dutch	
  over	
  
     the	
  Malabar	
  and	
  Coromandel	
  coasts	
  and	
  finally,	
  the	
  BriBsh	
  East	
  India	
  Company,	
  annexes	
  
     most	
  of	
  the	
  country	
  in	
  1757.	
  
•    Official	
  BriBsh	
  rule,	
  i.e.	
  the	
  takeover	
  by	
  the	
  BriBsh	
  monarchy,	
  begins	
  at	
  the	
  end	
  of	
  the	
  failed	
  
     First	
  War	
  of	
  Independence	
  in	
  1857.	
  The	
  BriBsh	
  rule	
  India	
  Bll	
  1947.	
  


                                                                                                                               Back	
  to	
  Contents	
  
                                                                           9	
  
India:	
  The	
  Glorious	
  Past	
  

             We	
  owe	
  a	
  lot	
  to	
  the	
  Indians,	
  who	
  taught	
  us	
  how	
  to	
  count,	
  
             without	
  which	
  no	
  worthwhile	
  scienBfic	
  discovery	
  could	
  	
  
             have	
  been	
  made	
  
                                                                                                            –	
  	
  Albert	
  Einstein	
  


•    The	
  richest	
  country	
  in	
  the	
  world	
  Bll	
  the	
  17th	
  century.	
  
•    The	
  number	
  system,	
  the	
  zero,	
  the	
  decimal	
  system,	
  algebra,	
  trigonometry,	
  calculus	
  and	
  chess	
  
     were	
  all	
  invented	
  in	
  India.	
  
•    India	
  was	
  the	
  only	
  source	
  of	
  diamonds	
  unBl	
  1896.	
  
•    The	
  earliest	
  system	
  of	
  medicine	
  –	
  Ayurveda	
  –	
  was	
  established	
  by	
  Charaka	
  2500	
  years	
  ago.	
  
•    In	
  the	
  5th	
  century,	
  Bhaskaracharya	
  calculated	
  the	
  Bme	
  earth	
  took	
  to	
  orbit	
  the	
  sun.	
  
•    Spices,	
  texBles,	
  gems,	
  indigo,	
  muslin,	
  conon,	
  etc	
  are	
  just	
  some	
  of	
  the	
  goods	
  which	
  originated	
  
     in	
  India	
  and	
  were	
  famed	
  throughout	
  the	
  world.	
  
•    The	
  concepts	
  of	
  irrigaBon	
  and	
  reservoir	
  systems,	
  urban	
  planning,	
  sewage	
  systems,	
  weights	
  
     and	
  measures,	
  coinage,	
  etc	
  were	
  first	
  introduced	
  in	
  ancient	
  India.	
  


                                                                                                                         Back	
  to	
  Contents	
  
                                                                      10	
  
India:	
  Colonial	
  Rule	
  
•    The	
  East	
  India	
  Company,	
  iniBally	
  called	
  the	
  East	
  India	
  Trading	
  Company,	
  and	
  later	
  the	
  BriBsh	
  
     East	
  India	
  Company,	
  was	
  the	
  oldest	
  among	
  the	
  other	
  European	
  East	
  India	
  Companies.	
  
•    Focused	
  earlier	
  on	
  the	
  trade	
  of	
  commodiBes	
  such	
  as	
  conon,	
  silk,	
  indigo	
  and	
  opium,	
  it	
  later	
  
     went	
  on	
  to	
  gain	
  administraBve	
  control	
  of	
  large	
  porBons	
  of	
  the	
  Indian	
  subconBnent.	
  
•    The	
  'Company	
  Rule'	
  in	
  India	
  commenced	
  in	
  1757,	
  lasted	
  Bll	
  the	
  Indian	
  Rebellion	
  of	
  1857,	
  
     following	
  which,	
  administraBon	
  of	
  the	
  Indian	
  Colony	
  was	
  taken	
  over	
  directly	
  by	
  the	
  BriBsh	
  
     Monarchy.	
  
•    Thus	
  ended	
  the	
  rule	
  of	
  the	
  East	
  India	
  Company	
  and	
  thereby	
  began	
  the	
  dramaBc	
  era	
  of	
  the	
  
     BriBsh	
  Raj.	
  India	
  was	
  the	
  ‘jewel	
  in	
  the	
  Crown’	
  for	
  the	
  vast	
  BriBsh	
  Empire.	
  
•    In	
  the	
  Indian	
  subconBnent,	
  the	
  purview	
  of	
  the	
  BriBsh	
  Raj	
  extended	
  across	
  present	
  day	
  
     Pakistan,	
  India	
  and	
  Bangladesh.	
  	
  
•    Many	
  people	
  believe	
  that	
  the	
  Raj	
  had	
  adverse	
  effects	
  on	
  the	
  economy	
  of	
  India	
  as	
  a	
  whole.	
  
     BriBsh	
  poliBcian	
  Edmund	
  Burke	
  pointed	
  out	
  in	
  the	
  late	
  18th	
  century	
  that	
  the	
  East	
  India	
  
     Company	
  had	
  'ruined'	
  the	
  Indian	
  economy	
  with	
  their	
  trading	
  and	
  administraBve	
  pracBces.	
  
•    Noted	
  Indian	
  historian	
  Rajat	
  Kanta	
  Ray	
  accused	
  the	
  BriBsh	
  Raj	
  of	
  eaBng	
  into	
  India's	
  food	
  and	
  
     financial	
  stocks	
  and	
  implemenBng	
  such	
  high	
  duty	
  structure	
  that	
  it	
  ulBmately	
  led	
  to	
  the	
  
     horrific	
  Bengal	
  famine	
  of	
  1770,	
  which	
  was	
  responsible	
  for	
  the	
  deaths	
  of	
  one-­‐third	
  of	
  the	
  
     populace	
  of	
  Bengal.	
  

                                                                                                                          Back	
  to	
  Contents	
  
                                                                       11	
  
Post	
  Independence:	
  License	
  Raj	
  
•    One	
  of	
  the	
  important	
  observaBon	
  post	
  India’s	
  independence	
  in	
  1947	
  concern	
  the	
  country's	
  
     economy,	
  which	
  conBnued	
  to	
  remain	
  in	
  a	
  state	
  of	
  stagnaBon	
  Bll	
  1990,	
  this	
  period	
  was	
  
     dubbed	
  the	
  ‘License	
  Raj’	
  or	
  ‘Permit	
  Raj’,	
  a	
  cynical	
  wordplay	
  on	
  the	
  previous	
  200	
  years	
  of	
  
     BriBsh	
  ‘Colonial	
  Raj’.	
  
•    The	
  terms	
  referred	
  to	
  extensive	
  licensing,	
  regulaBons	
  and	
  bureaucraBc	
  red	
  tape	
  which	
  
     governed	
  and	
  strangled	
  the	
  Indian	
  economy	
  from	
  	
  
     1947–1990.	
  
•    Any	
  economic	
  acBvity	
  –	
  starBng	
  a	
  business,	
  expanding	
  or	
  any	
  significant	
  changes	
  –	
  required	
  
     obtaining	
  regulatory	
  approvals	
  from	
  nearly	
  80	
  government	
  agencies.	
  Even	
  then,	
  the	
  
     government	
  would	
  regulate	
  all	
  operaBonal	
  working,	
  for	
  the	
  enBty	
  to	
  remain	
  in	
  business.	
  
•    The	
  economy	
  was	
  administered	
  centrally	
  and	
  modeled	
  as	
  a	
  ‘socialist’	
  or	
  ‘mixed’	
  economy	
  –	
  
     a	
  mix	
  of	
  western	
  capitalism	
  and	
  Soviet	
  communism.	
  




                                                                                                                         Back	
  to	
  Contents	
  
                                                                       12	
  
Post	
  Independence:	
  License	
  Raj	
  (contd.)	
  
       	
  An	
  excerpt	
  from	
  a	
  1998	
  report	
  by	
  BBC,	
  India:	
  The	
  Economy	
  
     “Before	
  the	
  process	
  of	
  reform	
  began	
  in	
  1991,	
  the	
  government	
  anempted	
  to	
  
     close	
  the	
  Indian	
  economy	
  to	
  the	
  outside	
  world.	
  The	
  Indian	
  currency,	
  the	
  
     Rupee,	
  was	
  inconverBble	
  and	
  high	
  tariffs	
  and	
  import	
  licensing	
  prevented	
  
     foreign	
  goods	
  reaching	
  the	
  market.	
  The	
  central	
  pillar	
  of	
  the	
  policy	
  was	
  import	
  
     subsBtuBon,	
  the	
  belief	
  that	
  India	
  needed	
  to	
  rely	
  on	
  internal	
  markets	
  for	
  
     development,	
  not	
  internaBonal	
  trade	
  -­‐	
  a	
  belief	
  generated	
  by	
  a	
  mixture	
  of	
  
     socialism	
  and	
  the	
  experience	
  of	
  colonial	
  exploitaBon.	
  Planning	
  and	
  the	
  state,	
  
     rather	
  than	
  markets,	
  would	
  determine	
  how	
  much	
  investment	
  was	
  needed	
  in	
  
     which	
  sectors.	
  The	
  energies	
  of	
  investors	
  were	
  directed	
  towards	
  winning	
  
     licenses,	
  rather	
  than	
  capturing	
  markets	
  or	
  producing	
  superior	
  goods,	
  and	
  
     profits	
  tended	
  to	
  be	
  guaranteed	
  irrespecBve	
  of	
  quality	
  or	
  efficiency.	
  External	
  
     regulaBon,	
  major	
  controls	
  on	
  foreign	
  direct	
  investment	
  and	
  a	
  high	
  tariff	
  wall	
  
     then	
  protected	
  companies	
  from	
  foreign	
  compeBBon.	
  RestricBons	
  on	
  
     consumer	
  goods	
  were	
  the	
  Bghtest,	
  thanks	
  to	
  the	
  belief	
  that	
  precious	
  foreign	
  
     exchange	
  should	
  not	
  be	
  wasted	
  on	
  consumer	
  goods.”	
  	
  



                                                                                                                 Back	
  to	
  Contents	
  
                                                               13	
  
Post	
  Independence:	
  License	
  Raj	
  (contd.)	
  
•    The	
  License	
  regime	
  had	
  far-­‐reaching	
  and	
  devastaBng	
  effects.	
  
•    The	
  newly	
  independent	
  Republic	
  of	
  India	
  began	
  with	
  high	
  growth	
  rates,	
  an	
  open	
  
     environment	
  conducive	
  to	
  trade,	
  foreign	
  and	
  domesBc	
  investment	
  and	
  overall	
  stability.	
  
•    However,	
  by	
  1980,	
  the	
  Indian	
  economy	
  was	
  in	
  a	
  stagnant	
  	
  and	
  suspended	
  state	
  with	
  
     extremely	
  low	
  growth	
  rates,	
  a	
  hosBle	
  atmosphere	
  totally	
  closed	
  to	
  outside	
  investment	
  and	
  
     inter-­‐country	
  trade,	
  a	
  restricBve	
  regime	
  obsessed	
  with	
  licenses	
  and	
  central	
  economy	
  control,	
  
     a	
  total	
  failure	
  to	
  deal	
  with	
  spiraling	
  social	
  expenditure	
  and	
  an	
  apatheBc	
  bureaucraBc	
  system	
  
     with	
  a	
  stranglehold	
  on	
  governance	
  in	
  all	
  spheres.	
  




                                                                                                                    Back	
  to	
  Contents	
  
                                                                    14	
  
The	
  Hindu/Socialist	
  Growth	
  Rate	
  
•             The	
  term	
  ‘Hindu	
  Growth	
  Rate’	
  (also	
  referred	
  to	
  as	
  ‘Socialist	
  growth	
  rate’),	
  coined	
  by	
  
              economist	
  K.N.	
  Raj,	
  suggested	
  that	
  India,	
  with	
  its	
  majority	
  Hindu	
  populaBon,	
  had	
  a	
  
              significantly	
  low	
  growth	
  rate	
  in	
  comparison	
  with	
  its	
  Asian	
  counterparts	
  (specifically,	
  
              Singapore,	
  Hong	
  Kong,	
  South	
  Korea	
  and	
  Taiwan),	
  whose	
  economies	
  also	
  started	
  out	
  at	
  the	
  
              same	
  level	
  as	
  India's	
  in	
  the	
  early	
  1950s.	
  
•             The	
  Indian	
  economy	
  had	
  literally	
  stalled	
  at	
  3.5%	
  in	
  the	
  period	
  between	
  1950–1980.	
  In	
  this	
  
              Bme,	
  the	
  per	
  capita	
  income	
  of	
  India	
  hovered	
  at	
  1.3%.	
  

                                Per	
  capita	
  GDP	
  of	
  South	
  Asian	
  economies	
  &	
  South	
  Korea	
  (1950-­‐1995)	
  
     45	
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 42.4	
  
     40	
  
     35	
  
     30	
                                                                                                                                                                                 24.8	
  
     25	
  
     20	
  
     15	
                              11.4	
                                              11.8	
                                          11.8	
                                                                                12	
  
                       7.1	
   9	
                7.6	
     8.3	
   7.5	
   7.8	
   10.2	
                 7	
   6.5	
   8.4	
  
                                                                                                                                 9.4	
  
                                                                                                                                                        6.5	
   5.7	
   7.6	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                9.4	
                                  8.3	
  
     10	
                                                                                                                                                                                            5.1	
   5.2	
  
      5	
  
      0	
  
                             1950	
                                       1960	
                                       1970	
                                         1980	
                                       1995	
  

                                                                  Bangladesh	
                 India	
       Pakistan	
              Sri	
  Lanka	
         South	
  Korea	
  
Source:	
  Eldis	
  &	
  Wikipedia	
  


                                                                                                                                                                                                       Back	
  to	
  Contents	
  
                                                                                                                    15	
  
The	
  Hindu/Socialist	
  Growth	
  Rate	
  (contd.)	
  
•    Well-­‐known	
  Indian	
  journalist	
  Arun	
  Shourie	
  pointed	
  out	
  that	
  the	
  'Socialist	
  Rate	
  of	
  Growth'	
  was	
  
     a	
  direct	
  consequence	
  of	
  the	
  various	
  socialist	
  policies	
  which	
  prevailing	
  rigid	
  governments	
  had	
  
     implemented.	
  He	
  firmly	
  stressed	
  that	
  it	
  had	
  nothing	
  to	
  do	
  with	
  Hinduism,	
  whatsoever.	
  
•    In	
  comparison	
  with	
  other	
  countries,	
  an	
  Indian's	
  average	
  yearly	
  income	
  stood	
  at	
  $439	
  in	
  1947,	
  
     while	
  this	
  was	
  $619,	
  $770	
  and	
  $936	
  for	
  China,	
  South	
  Korea	
  and	
  Taiwan,	
  respecBvely.	
  	
  
•    By	
  1999,	
  these	
  numbers	
  had	
  touched	
  $1,818,	
  $3,259,	
  $13,317	
  and	
  $15,720	
  for	
  the	
  four	
  
     countries,	
  respecBvely.	
  
•    The	
  difference	
  between	
  India	
  and	
  South	
  Korea	
  stood	
  out	
  the	
  most.	
  In	
  1947,	
  the	
  per	
  capita	
  
     income	
  of	
  South	
  Korea	
  was	
  twice	
  that	
  of	
  India.	
  
•    By	
  1960,	
  it	
  grew	
  to	
  four	
  Bmes	
  the	
  size	
  of	
  India's	
  per	
  capita	
  income.	
  
•    By	
  1990,	
  the	
  South	
  Korean	
  per	
  capita	
  income	
  was	
  a	
  whopping	
  20	
  Bmes	
  that	
  of	
  India.	
  




          Countries	
  above	
  and	
  
          below	
  world	
  per	
  	
  
          capita	
  income	
  of	
  USD	
  
          10,500	
  
              Above	
  
               Below	
  

                                                                                                                           Back	
  to	
  Contents	
  
                                                                             16	
  
Liberaliza1on:	
  A	
  New	
  Era	
  
           India	
  Ascending	
  



                                    Back	
  to	
  Contents	
  
Liberaliza1on:	
  Background	
  
•    Before	
  1990,	
  the	
  government	
  viewed	
  the	
  BriBsh	
  colonial	
  era	
  as	
  exploitaBve;	
  
     encouraged	
  by	
  the	
  reformaBve	
  views	
  of	
  BriBsh	
  Fabian	
  Socialists,	
  all	
  policies	
  
     designed	
  and	
  implemented	
  were	
  biased	
  towards	
  a	
  protecBonist	
  and	
  restricBve	
  
     environment.	
  	
  
•    The	
  policies	
  favored	
  import-­‐subsBtuBng	
  industrializaBon,	
  control	
  and	
  intervenBon	
  
     of	
  the	
  government	
  in	
  all	
  aspects	
  of	
  labor	
  issues	
  and	
  financial	
  sectors,	
  a	
  
     comprehensive	
  public	
  sector,	
  regulaBon	
  of	
  all	
  businesses	
  and	
  Central	
  Planning.	
  
•    In	
  the	
  mid	
  1950s	
  many	
  industrial	
  sectors	
  including	
  steel,	
  water,	
  mining,	
  tools,	
  
     telecommunicaBon	
  and	
  insurance	
  were	
  effecBvely	
  transformed	
  into	
  state-­‐owned	
  
     enterprises.	
  	
  
•    Consequently,	
  only	
  few	
  licenses	
  for	
  steel,	
  power	
  and	
  telecommunicaBons	
  were	
  
     issued	
  to	
  private	
  players	
  and	
  these	
  select	
  few	
  managed	
  to	
  establish	
  giganBc	
  
     empires,	
  the	
  country	
  witnessed	
  the	
  emergence	
  of	
  a	
  very	
  extensive	
  public	
  sector,	
  
     many	
  of	
  these	
  government	
  enterprises	
  stockpiled	
  huge	
  losses	
  and	
  monopolized	
  
     the	
  economy.	
  
•    This	
  resulted	
  in	
  severely	
  lagging	
  infrastructure,	
  with	
  insignificant	
  investments.	
  

                                                                                                     Back	
  to	
  Contents	
  
                                                           18	
  
Liberaliza1on:	
  Background	
  (contd.)	
  
By	
  1991,	
  the	
  economy	
  was	
  at	
  a	
  breaking	
  point,	
  nearing	
  bankruptcy	
  and	
  unable	
  to	
  pay	
  
internaBonal	
  creditors.	
  


                                      According	
  to	
  the	
  Astaire	
  Report	
  
            “In	
  return	
  for	
  an	
  IMF	
  bailout,	
  gold	
  was	
  transferred	
  to	
  London	
  as	
  
            collateral,	
  the	
  Rupee	
  devalued	
  and	
  economic	
  reforms	
  were	
  forced	
  
            upon	
  India.	
  That	
  low	
  point	
  was	
  the	
  catalyst	
  required	
  to	
  transform	
  the	
  
            economy	
  through	
  badly	
  needed	
  reforms	
  to	
  unshackle	
  the	
  economy.	
  
            Controls	
  started	
  to	
  be	
  dismantled,	
  tariffs,	
  duBes	
  and	
  taxes	
  
            progressively	
  lowered,	
  state	
  monopolies	
  broken,	
  the	
  economy	
  was	
  
            opened	
  to	
  trade	
  and	
  investment,	
  private	
  sector	
  enterprise	
  and	
  
            compeBBon	
  were	
  encouraged	
  and	
  globalizaBon	
  was	
  slowly	
  
            embraced.	
  The	
  reforms	
  process	
  conBnues	
  today	
  and	
  is	
  accepted	
  by	
  
            all	
  poliBcal	
  parBes.”	
  



                                                                                                            Back	
  to	
  Contents	
  
                                                               19	
  
The	
  New	
  Policy	
   in	
  India	
  under	
  the	
  leadership	
  of	
  the	
  Prime	
  Minister	
  P.V.	
  
•  In	
  1991,	
  breakthrough	
  reforms	
  began	
  
     Narasimha	
  Rao	
  and	
  Finance	
  Minister	
  Manmohan	
  Singh.	
  
•    First	
  and	
  foremost,	
  the	
  new	
  policy	
  dispensed	
  with	
  the	
  License	
  Raj.	
  
•    The	
  government	
  concentrated	
  on	
  increasing	
  foreign	
  investment	
  ,	
  increased	
  parBcipaBon	
  and	
  
     investment	
  by	
  enthusiasBc	
  private	
  sector,	
  deregulaBng	
  Indian	
  business	
  ventures,	
  reducing	
  the	
  
     country's	
  fiscal	
  deficit	
  and	
  ramping	
  up	
  the	
  financing	
  and	
  investment	
  in	
  the	
  country's	
  sagging	
  
     infrastructure.	
  
•    Some	
  notable	
  reforms:	
  
       –  Industrial	
  licensing	
  was	
  removed,	
  while	
  norms	
  regulaBng	
  industrial	
  growth	
  were	
  raBonalized.	
  
       –  The	
  SEBI	
  Act	
  was	
  introduced	
  in	
  1992	
  along	
  with	
  amended	
  Security	
  Laws.	
  
       –  The	
  NaBonal	
  Stock	
  Exchange	
  was	
  established	
  in	
  1994	
  as	
  a	
  trading	
  system	
  based	
  on	
  
          computers.	
  It	
  became	
  the	
  country's	
  largest	
  exchange	
  by	
  1996;	
  with	
  T+2	
  senlement	
  &	
  
          clearance.	
  	
  
       –  Tariffs	
  were	
  slashed	
  from	
  the	
  previous	
  85%	
  to	
  a	
  significantly	
  lower	
  25%.	
  	
  
       –  The	
  government	
  increased	
  the	
  cap	
  on	
  foreign	
  investment	
  from	
  40%	
  to	
  51%	
  and	
  allowed	
  
          100%	
  foreign	
  equity	
  in	
  certain	
  'priority'	
  sectors	
  for	
  the	
  first	
  Bme.	
  The	
  procedures	
  for	
  
          obtaining	
  FDI	
  approvals	
  were	
  significantly	
  raBonalized	
  and	
  consolidated.	
  
       –  The	
  government	
  also	
  iniBated	
  the	
  privaBzaBon	
  process	
  of	
  several	
  large	
  and	
  inefficient	
  public	
  
          sector	
  companies.	
  
                                                                                                                            Back	
  to	
  Contents	
  
                                                                         20	
  
The	
  New	
  Policy	
  (contd.)	
  
•     The	
  Vajpayee	
  government	
  conBnued	
  with	
  privaBzaBon	
  procedures,	
  reducBon	
  of	
  taxes	
  and	
  duBes	
  
      and	
  a	
  stable	
  fiscal	
  policy	
  which	
  aimed	
  primarily	
  at	
  reducBon	
  of	
  debt	
  and	
  deficit.	
  
•     Disclosure	
  of	
  informaBon	
  was	
  earlier	
  limited	
  and	
  restricted	
  by	
  the	
  Indian	
  government.	
  On	
  June	
  15,	
  
      2005,	
  the	
  government	
  passed	
  a	
  new	
  law	
  in	
  Parliament	
  –	
  the	
  Right	
  to	
  InformaBon	
  (RTI)	
  act.	
  	
  
•     The	
  enforcement	
  of	
  the	
  RTI	
  was	
  a	
  landslide	
  victory	
  for	
  the	
  Indian	
  people,	
  who	
  now	
  had	
  
      unprecedented	
  access	
  to	
  government	
  informaBon,	
  unlike	
  the	
  restricBve	
  past.	
  
•     In	
  2008,	
  India	
  signed	
  a	
  bilateral	
  agreement	
  with	
  the	
  US	
  on	
  civil	
  nuclear	
  cooperaBon	
  between	
  the	
  two	
  
      countries.	
  	
  
•     This	
  was	
  one	
  of	
  the	
  biggest	
  internaBonal	
  agreements	
  made	
  by	
  India,	
  by	
  virtue	
  of	
  which	
  India	
  
      promised	
  to	
  disjoin	
  its	
  civil	
  and	
  nuclear	
  units,	
  thereby	
  placing	
  its	
  nuclear	
  faciliBes	
  under	
  the	
  purview	
  
      of	
  safeguards	
  of	
  the	
  InternaBonal	
  Atomic	
  Energy	
  Agency	
  (IAEA).	
  
•     In	
  return,	
  U.S.A.	
  agreed	
  to	
  work	
  towards	
  complete	
  nuclear	
  cooperaBon	
  with	
  India.	
  
•     Indian	
  media,	
  primarily	
  television,	
  was	
  one	
  of	
  the	
  biggest	
  beneficiaries	
  of	
  the	
  economic	
  liberalizaBon	
  
      era.	
  	
  
•     Before	
  liberalizaBon,	
  television	
  was	
  state-­‐owned	
  with	
  only	
  one	
  channel:	
  Doordarshan.	
  	
  
•     A_er	
  liberalizaBon,	
  the	
  government	
  not	
  only	
  permined,	
  but	
  encouraged	
  foreign	
  investors	
  to	
  engage	
  
      in	
  Indian	
  media	
  operaBons.	
  	
  
•     Satellite	
  broadcasts	
  began	
  with	
  companies	
  such	
  as	
  CNN	
  and	
  Zee	
  TV	
  among	
  others.	
  	
  
•     Today	
  television	
  caters	
  to	
  more	
  than	
  400	
  million	
  people	
  in	
  70	
  million	
  homes,	
  via	
  more	
  than	
  100	
  
      diversified	
  channels.	
                                                                                             Back	
  to	
  Contents	
  
                                                                           21	
  
Indian	
  Economic	
  History:	
  Ups	
  &	
  Downs	
  
Then...	
  
 •     Before	
  and	
  during	
  the	
  period	
  leading	
  up	
  to	
  colonial	
  rule,	
  India's	
  contribuBon	
  to	
  the	
  
       world	
  economy	
  was	
  outstanding.	
  
 •     India	
  accounted	
  for	
  a	
  nearly	
  40%	
  of	
  global	
  wealth,	
  the	
  largest	
  in	
  the	
  world.	
  
 •     Under	
  Mughal	
  rule,	
  India's	
  share	
  was	
  $17.5	
  million,	
  $1.5	
  million	
  more	
  than	
  Britain's	
  
       $16	
  million.	
  
 •     During	
  Aurangazeb’s	
  rule	
  (1700s),	
  the	
  Indian	
  economy	
  accounted	
  for	
  24.4%	
  of	
  the	
  
       world's	
  total.	
  Under	
  BriBsh	
  rule,	
  in	
  1820,	
  India's	
  share	
  in	
  the	
  world	
  economy	
  
       plummeted	
  to	
  16%;	
  in	
  1870,	
  it	
  fell	
  further	
  to	
  12.2%	
  and	
  by	
  1913,	
  India's	
  share	
  was	
  a	
  
       miniscule	
  7.6%.	
  
 •     In	
  1952,	
  the	
  Indian	
  economy’s	
  share	
  was	
  only	
  3.8%	
  in	
  world	
  income;	
  in	
  1973,	
  it	
  was	
  
       around	
  $495	
  billion	
  or	
  just	
  3.1%.	
  
A`er	
  liberaliza1on...	
  
 •     In	
  1998,	
  India's	
  economy	
  totaled	
  nearly	
  $1,703	
  billion	
  and	
  its	
  contribuBon	
  to	
  global	
  
       economy	
  inched	
  up	
  to	
  5%.	
  In	
  2005,	
  India's	
  economic	
  contribuBon	
  to	
  world	
  income	
  
       edged	
  up	
  further	
  to	
  6.3%	
  and	
  totaled	
  $3,816	
  billion	
  on	
  Purchasing	
  Power	
  Parity	
  basis.	
  


                                                                                                                          Back	
  to	
  Contents	
  
                                                                       22	
  
The	
  Catalyst	
  for	
  Change:	
  People	
  
•    India's	
  burgeoning	
  populaBon	
  was	
  cited	
  as	
  the	
  primary	
  reason	
  for	
  all	
  economic	
  
     and	
  social	
  issues	
  and	
  was	
  considered	
  a	
  hindrance	
  to	
  development.	
  
•    However,	
  it	
  is	
  the	
  progressive	
  populaBon	
  which	
  has	
  been	
  crucial	
  in	
  India’s	
  dynamic	
  
     resurgence	
  in	
  the	
  last	
  2	
  decades.	
  Out	
  of	
  every	
  10	
  Indians,	
  seven	
  are	
  below	
  25	
  years	
  
     of	
  age.	
  Prime	
  Minister	
  Dr	
  Manmohan	
  Singh	
  commented	
  that	
  India	
  is	
  forecasted	
  to	
  
     produce	
  500	
  million	
  workers	
  by	
  2020.	
  	
  
•    This	
  would	
  account	
  for	
  a	
  quarter	
  of	
  the	
  global	
  work	
  force.	
  Within	
  the	
  next	
  ten	
  
     years,	
  the	
  average	
  working	
  age	
  of	
  an	
  Indian	
  is	
  pegged	
  to	
  be	
  29.	
  This	
  contrasts	
  with	
  
     the	
  average	
  working	
  age	
  of	
  60	
  in	
  the	
  US	
  and	
  Europe,	
  and	
  45	
  in	
  China.	
  
•    According	
  to	
  the	
  InternaBonal	
  Labor	
  OrganizaBon	
  (ILO),	
  India	
  will	
  not	
  surpass	
  
     China's	
  populaBon	
  Bll	
  2030,	
  but	
  will	
  have	
  more	
  youngsters	
  (aged	
  20–24)	
  by	
  2013.	
  
     India	
  will	
  have	
  116	
  million	
  workers	
  in	
  this	
  age	
  limit,	
  in	
  contrast	
  to	
  94	
  million	
  	
  
     in	
  China.	
  
•    The	
  downside	
  to	
  India's	
  exponenBal	
  economic	
  growth	
  is	
  that	
  the	
  demand	
  for	
  
     educated	
  graduates	
  is	
  increasing	
  every	
  day	
  from	
  all	
  sectors	
  ranging	
  from	
  IT	
  to	
  
     retail	
  to	
  professional	
  services.	
  

                                                                                                                 Back	
  to	
  Contents	
  
                                                                  23	
  
The	
  Catalyst	
  for	
  Change:	
  People	
  (contd.)	
  
                                                                              Popula1on	
  Median	
  Age	
  (in	
  years)	
  in	
  2006	
  
              50	
                                                                                                                                                                                   43.0	
  
                                                                                                                                   36.0	
                              37.0	
  
              40	
                                                                              33.0	
  
              30	
                      24.0	
  
              20	
  
              10	
  
               0	
  
                                        India	
                                                 China	
                             US	
                          Russia	
                          Japan	
  


                                   Growth	
  in	
  Working	
  Age	
  Popula1on	
  (15-­‐64	
  years)	
  by	
  2010	
  (in	
  million)	
  
                            Stock	
  Posi1on	
                                                                   Addi1ons	
  to	
  Working	
  Age	
  Popula1on	
  
                                2005	
                                                                                              by	
  2010	
  
           World	
          4,168	
                                                                                                                                                                          314	
  
             India	
          691	
                                                                 71	
  
            Africa	
          500	
                                                               64	
  
            China	
           934	
                                                    44	
  
South	
  East	
  Asia	
       362	
                                           33	
  
 LaBn	
  America	
            359	
                                          31	
  
 Southern	
  Asia	
           132	
                                 17	
  
                  US	
        200	
                               10	
  
          Europe	
            497	
                       0	
  
            Japan	
            85	
      -­‐3	
  
                                               -­‐5	
                        40	
                       85	
           130	
                  175	
          220	
                265	
            310	
                 355	
  
                                                                                                                                         In	
  million	
  


                                                                                                                                                                                            Back	
  to	
  Contents	
  
                                                                                                                          24	
  
Looking	
  Ahead	
  
•    India	
  harbors	
  the	
  world's	
  second	
  largest	
  English-­‐speaking	
  populaBon,	
  both	
  in	
  
     absolute	
  and	
  GDP	
  terms.	
  
•    This	
  is	
  one	
  of	
  the	
  main	
  reasons	
  why	
  Indian	
  employees	
  are	
  in	
  high	
  demand.	
  Apart	
  
     from	
  the	
  indigenous	
  growth	
  in	
  human	
  resources	
  and	
  domesBc	
  employment,	
  
     various	
  internaBonal	
  companies	
  outsource	
  their	
  operaBons	
  to	
  India.	
  Outsourcing	
  
     has	
  become	
  a	
  lucraBve	
  employment	
  opportunity	
  for	
  young	
  Indians,	
  whose	
  lifestyle	
  
     changes	
  are	
  spurring	
  domesBc	
  	
  demand	
  for	
  many	
  goods	
  and	
  services.	
  
•    Apart	
  from	
  people,	
  a	
  vast	
  and	
  humming	
  democracy,	
  the	
  mix	
  of	
  industries	
  and	
  
     services	
  which	
  make	
  up	
  the	
  Indian	
  economy,	
  play	
  an	
  important	
  role	
  in	
  ever	
  
     increasing	
  interest	
  from	
  the	
  global	
  community.	
  
•    India	
  focuses	
  on	
  manufacturing	
  high	
  quality	
  precision	
  products,	
  mainly	
  in	
  the	
  
     so_ware	
  and	
  design	
  industry	
  and	
  is	
  a	
  world	
  leader	
  in	
  the	
  IT	
  sector,	
  not	
  to	
  forget	
  
     Cricket	
  and	
  Bollywood	
  –	
  India’s	
  mesmerizing	
  passion	
  for	
  sports	
  and	
  creaBve	
  
     media.	
  
•    India	
  is	
  focused	
  on	
  manufacturing	
  goods	
  such	
  as	
  industrial	
  grade	
  steel,	
  tanks,	
  
     ships,	
  etc.	
  The	
  automoBve	
  industry	
  has	
  witnessed	
  an	
  unprecedented	
  growth	
  in	
  
     recent	
  Bmes.	
  	
  
                                                                                                                    Back	
  to	
  Contents	
  
                                                                   25	
  
Looking	
  Ahead	
  (contd.)	
  
       What	
  makes	
  India	
  an	
  abrac1ve	
  economy	
  to	
  invest	
  and	
  par1cipate	
  in?	
  
•  Poli1cal:	
  The	
  world’s	
  largest	
  democracy	
  conBnues	
  to	
  endure	
  63	
  years	
  a_er	
  independence	
  
   from	
  colonial	
  rule.	
  
•  Social:	
  A	
  relaBvely	
  stable	
  society	
  which	
  acBvely	
  pracBces	
  social,	
  cultural	
  and	
  religious	
  
   tolerance,	
  is	
  open	
  to	
  new	
  experiences	
  and	
  cultures,	
  and	
  openly	
  welcomes	
  diverse	
  people	
  from	
  
   all	
  walks	
  of	
  life.	
  
•  Economic:	
  Indigenous	
  industry	
  and	
  innovaBon	
  are	
  acBvely	
  encouraged	
  since	
  liberalizaBon.	
  
   Witness	
  the	
  progress	
  made	
  by	
  companies	
  such	
  as	
  Wipro,	
  Infosys,	
  the	
  Tata	
  Group,	
  Reliance	
  and	
  
   many	
  more.	
  
•  Interna1onal:	
  India	
  is	
  a	
  respected	
  member	
  of	
  the	
  internaBonal	
  community	
  –	
  poliBcally,	
  
   economically,	
  socially	
  and	
  culturally.	
  
At	
  the	
  same	
  Bme,	
  a	
  lot	
  of	
  progress	
  is	
  sBll	
  needed	
  to	
  ensure	
  the	
  arrival	
  of	
  sustainable	
  and	
  fully	
  	
  
developed	
  India;	
  a	
  valuable	
  member	
  of	
  Global	
  CiBzenship.	
  Regional	
  poliBcs,	
  poverty,	
  illiteracy,	
  
weak	
  infrastructure,	
  corrupBon	
  and	
  lack	
  of	
  accountability,	
  lax	
  laws	
  and	
  public	
  apathy	
  are	
  the	
  
major	
  reasons	
  for	
  the	
  slow	
  progress	
  .	
  
But	
  the	
  situaBon	
  is	
  infinitely	
  brighter	
  than	
  it	
  was	
  20	
  to	
  30	
  years	
  ago	
  as	
  India	
  conBnues	
  to	
  grow	
  
steadily,	
  now	
  powered	
  by	
  People	
  and	
  facilitated	
  by	
  the	
  Government;	
  Aspira'on	
  Unleashed.	
  
                                                                                                                                       Back	
  to	
  Contents	
  
                                                                               26	
  
The	
  Global	
  Power	
  Sector	
  
        Energizing	
  the	
  World	
  
                                         Back	
  to	
  Contents	
  
Top	
  Six	
  Power	
  Producers	
  &	
  Consumers	
  




                                                Back	
  to	
  Contents	
  
Power	
  Genera1on	
  &	
  Consump1on	
  Facts	
  
•    USA	
  accounts	
  for	
  25%	
  of	
  total	
  energy	
  consumpBon	
  in	
  the	
  world,	
  with	
  only	
  5%	
  of	
  
     the	
  total	
  global	
  populaBon.	
  
•    Energy	
  consumpBon	
  per	
  person:	
  	
  
        ‒    USA	
  (11	
  kW	
  per	
  person)	
  
        ‒    Germany	
  &	
  Japan	
  (6	
  kW	
  per	
  person)	
  
        ‒    China	
  (1.6	
  kW	
  per	
  person)	
  	
  
        ‒    India	
  (0.7	
  kW	
  per	
  person)	
  	
  
        ‒    Bangladesh	
  (0.2	
  kW	
  per	
  person)	
  
•    China’s	
  energy	
  consumpBon	
  has	
  increased	
  by	
  almost	
  6%	
  every	
  year	
  in	
  the	
  last	
  25	
  
     years.	
  
•    Coal-­‐fired	
  thermal	
  power	
  plants	
  sBll	
  conBnue	
  to	
  be	
  the	
  major	
  source	
  of	
  power	
  in	
  
     most	
  countries.	
  
•    Hydroelectric	
  power	
  is	
  the	
  largest	
  source	
  of	
  power	
  in	
  Brazil,	
  Norway,	
  Paraguay,	
  
     Canada,	
  Venezuela	
  and	
  Switzerland.	
  
•    Norway	
  &	
  Paraguay:	
  Hydroelectric	
  projects	
  contribute	
  100%	
  to	
  total	
  power	
  
     generated;	
  Paraguay	
  exports	
  90%	
  of	
  this	
  power	
  to	
  ArgenBna	
  &	
  Brazil.	
  	
  

                                                                                                             Back	
  to	
  Contents	
  
New	
  Areas	
  of	
  Focus	
  
•        India,	
  China	
  and	
  the	
  United	
  Kingdom	
  are	
  anracBng	
  huge	
  interest	
  with	
  respect	
  to	
  
         increased	
  investment	
  acBvity	
  in	
  power	
  sector.	
  




                                                                                                                                            350	
  
                   312	
                             304	
                                                                     300	
  
                                                                                         288	
        289	
  
                                                                245	
  
                                  211	
  




                         2006	
                           2007	
                              2008	
                                2009	
  
Source:	
  China	
  Electricity	
  Council	
  
                          Government	
  spending	
  on	
  electricity	
  generaBon	
               Government	
  spending	
  on	
  grid	
  capacity	
  


                                                                                                                                     Back	
  to	
  Contents	
  
Cumula1ve	
  Investment	
  in	
  the	
  Power	
  Sector	
  	
  
by	
  Region	
  
•       China	
  leads	
  with	
  respect	
  to	
  investments	
  in	
  the	
  power	
  sector,	
  in	
  comparison	
  with	
  
        other	
  global	
  economies,	
  with	
  India	
  in	
  the	
  fourth	
  posiBon	
  a_er	
  OrganisaBon	
  for	
  
        Economic	
  Co-­‐operaBon	
  and	
  Development	
  (OECD)	
  regions	
  such	
  as	
  North	
  America	
  
        and	
  Europe.	
  



                       OECD	
  Pacific	
  

        OECD	
  North	
  America	
  

                                    China	
  
                                                                                                                                           GeneraBon	
  
     Rest	
  of	
  Developing	
  Asia	
  
                                                                                                                                           Transmission	
  
          Other	
  LaBn	
  America	
                                                                                                       DistribuBon	
  

                         Middle	
  East	
  
                                                0	
          500	
     1000	
          1500	
          2000	
        2500	
     3000	
           3500	
  
                                                                                  Billion	
  Dollars	
  (2005)	
  
Source:	
  IEA,	
  World	
  Energy	
  Outlook,	
  2006	
  

                                                                                                                                   Back	
  to	
  Contents	
  
Future	
  Outlook	
  
  •       According	
  to	
  staBsBcs	
  released	
  by	
  the	
  U.S.	
  Energy	
  InformaBon	
  AdministraBon	
  (EIA)	
  in	
  
          its	
  InternaBonal	
  Energy	
  Outlook	
  2009,	
  global	
  electricity	
  generaBon	
  is	
  set	
  to	
  rise	
  by	
  a	
  
          whopping	
  77%	
  from	
  2006-­‐2030,	
  with	
  an	
  average	
  growth	
  of	
  2.4%	
  per	
  year!	
  
  •       	
  By	
  2030,	
  non-­‐OECD	
  countries	
  (including	
  India)	
  are	
  expected	
  to	
  account	
  for	
  nearly	
  60%	
  
          of	
  the	
  global	
  electricity	
  consumpBon.	
  


 Trillion	
  Kilowanhours	
                                                                       Index,	
  1990	
  =	
  1	
  
                       History	
                              ProjecBons	
                                             History	
                          ProjecBons	
  


                                                                 Total	
                                                                    Net	
  Electricity	
  
                                                                                                                                             GeneraBon	
  


                                                                                                                                                                Total	
  Energy	
  
                                        OECD	
  
                                                                                                                                                                ConsumpBon	
  

                                 Non-­‐OECD	
  


Source:	
  History:	
  Energy	
  InformaCon	
  AdministraCon	
  (EIA),	
  InternaConal	
  Energy	
  Annual	
  2006	
  (June-­‐December	
  2008),	
  web	
  site	
  
www.eia.doe.gov/iea.	
  Projec'ons:	
  EIA,	
  World	
  Energy	
  ProjecCons	
  Plus	
  (2009)	
  

                                                                                                                                                             Back	
  to	
  Contents	
  
Future	
  Outlook	
  (contd.)	
  
•    Coal-­‐fired	
  power	
  generaBon	
  was	
  responsible	
  for	
  
     41%	
  of	
  the	
  global	
  electricity	
  producBon	
  in	
  2006.	
  	
  
                                                                                       Trillion	
  
•    With	
  an	
  esBmated	
  global	
  share	
  of	
  43%	
  in	
  2030,	
  it	
     15	
  
                                                                                       Kilowanhours	
  
     is	
  expected	
  to	
  maintain	
  its	
  number	
  one	
  posiBon	
  
     as	
  the	
  most	
  coveted	
  fuel	
  for	
  electricity	
  
     generaBon.	
  
                                                                                       10	
  
•    Natural	
  gas-­‐based	
  power	
  generaBon,	
  will	
  follow	
  
     renewable	
  energy	
  as	
  the	
  fastest	
  growing	
  power	
  
     source,	
  with	
  a	
  growth	
  rate	
  of	
  2.7%	
  every	
  year	
  
     through	
  2030.	
  
                                                                                         5	
  
•    Global	
  oil	
  prices,	
  which	
  are	
  already	
  skyrockeBng,	
  
     are	
  expected	
  to	
  touch	
  $130/barrel	
  in	
  2020.	
  	
  
•    Even	
  though	
  it	
  is	
  forecasted	
  to	
  rise	
  0.7%	
  from	
  
     2006	
  to	
  2015,	
  oil-­‐based	
  power	
  generaBon	
  will	
                  0	
  
                                                                                                 2006	
       2010	
        2015	
     2020	
       2025	
        2030	
  
     drop	
  0.5%	
  on	
  average	
  every	
  year	
  a_er	
  that	
  Bll	
  
     2030.	
                                                                                     Liquid	
     Nuclear	
       Renewables	
        Natural	
  Gas	
     Coal	
  

•    Nuclear	
  power-­‐based	
  electricity	
  producBon	
  is	
                        Source:	
  2006:	
  Derived	
  from	
  Energy	
  InformaCon	
  AdministraCon	
  
                                                                                         (EIA),	
  InternaConal	
  Energy	
  Annual	
  2006	
  (June-­‐December	
  2008),	
  
     forecasted	
  to	
  rise	
  nearly	
  41%	
  to	
  3.8	
  trillion	
                web	
  site	
  www.eia.doe.gov/iea.	
  Projec'ons:	
  EIA,	
  World	
  Energy	
  
     kilowan-­‐hours	
  in	
  2030	
  from	
  2006	
  levels.	
                          ProjecCons	
  Plus	
  (2009)	
  


                                                                                                                                               Back	
  to	
  Contents	
  
Future	
  Outlook	
  (contd.)	
  
•    Non-­‐OECD	
  Asia,	
  led	
  by	
  China	
  and	
  India,	
  has	
  
     the	
  potenBal	
  to	
  become	
  the	
  fastest	
  
     growing	
  economy	
  (at	
  a	
  rate	
  of	
  4.4%)	
  in	
  the	
            Trillion	
  Kilowanhours	
  
     global	
  power	
  generaBon	
  sector	
  in	
  the	
                           10	
  
     period	
  spanning	
  2006–2030.	
  
•    In	
  2006,	
  79%	
  of	
  China's	
  and	
  71%	
  of	
  India's	
              8	
  
     total	
  electricity	
  generaBon	
  was	
  anributed	
  
     to	
  coal.	
  On	
  current	
  projecBons,	
  in	
  2030,	
                      6	
  
     coal	
  will	
  account	
  for	
  56%	
  of	
  India's	
  and	
  
     75%	
  of	
  China's	
  power	
  producBon.	
                                     4	
  
•    As	
  with	
  the	
  other	
  countries,	
  non-­‐OECD	
  Asia	
  
     will	
  witness	
  a	
  drop	
  in	
  the	
  demand	
  for	
  liquid	
            2	
  
     fuels	
  to	
  power	
  electricity	
  producBon.	
  
•    India	
  has	
  laid	
  out	
  plans	
  to	
  increase	
  nuclear	
               0	
  
                                                                                                2006	
      2010	
       2015	
        2020	
        2025	
        2030	
  
     power	
  generaBon	
  capacity	
  from	
  the	
  
                                                                                               Liquid	
     Renewables	
        Natural	
  Gas	
     Nuclear	
       Coal	
  
     currently	
  operaBonal	
  3	
  gigawans	
  (GW)	
  to	
  
     20	
  GW	
  by	
  2020	
  and	
  to	
  40	
  GW	
  by	
  the	
  end	
  of	
     Source:	
  2006:	
  Derived	
  from	
  Energy	
  InformaCon	
  AdministraCon	
  
                                                                                     (EIA),	
  InternaConal	
  Energy	
  Annual	
  2006	
  (June-­‐December	
  2008),	
  
     2030.	
                                                                         web	
  site	
  www.eia.doe.gov/iea.	
  Projec'ons:	
  EIA,	
  World	
  Energy	
  
                                                                                     ProjecCons	
  Plus	
  (2009)	
  

                                                                                                                                               Back	
  to	
  Contents	
  
Country	
  Analysis:	
  India	
  
•       Currently,	
  of	
  the	
  total	
  electricity	
  consumed	
  in	
  India,	
  75%	
  is	
  generated	
  by	
  thermal	
  power	
  
        plants,	
  21%	
  by	
  hydroelectric	
  plants	
  and	
  4%	
  by	
  nuclear	
  power	
  plants.	
  
•       India	
  had	
  an	
  installed	
  electricity	
  capacity	
  of	
  144	
  GW	
  in	
  2006,	
  generated	
  703	
  billion	
  KWh	
  of	
  
        power.	
  
•       In	
  2006,	
  thermal	
  sources	
  accounted	
  for	
  ~71%	
  of	
  the	
  electricity	
  producBon,	
  hydel	
  power	
  for	
  
        16%,	
  nuclear	
  energy	
  for	
  2%,	
  and	
  renewable	
  energy	
  sources	
  accounBng	
  for	
  the	
  rest.	
  



     800	
  
                          ConvenBonal	
  Thermal	
            Hydroeletric	
     Nuclear	
     Geothermal,	
  Solar,	
  Wind,	
  and	
  Water	
  
     700	
  
     600	
  
     500	
  
     400	
  
     300	
  
     200	
  
     100	
  
       0	
  
        1986	
                                     1991	
                        1996	
                           2001	
                                  2006	
  

Source:	
  Country	
  Analysis	
  Briefs,	
  EIA	
  

                                                                                                                                       Back	
  to	
  Contents	
  
Country	
  Analysis:	
  India	
  (contd.)	
  
•    India’s	
  current	
  electricity	
  consumpBon	
  of	
  600	
  TWH	
  is	
  set	
  to	
  double	
  within	
  the	
  next	
  ten	
  years.	
  
•    GeneraBng	
  capacity	
  needs	
  to	
  increase	
  from	
  150	
  GW	
  in	
  2006	
  to	
  241	
  GW	
  in	
  2020	
  to	
  meet	
  
     increased	
  demand.	
  
•    GeneraBon	
  capacity	
  increased	
  by	
  40	
  %	
  in	
  2006	
  over	
  2000,	
  on	
  account	
  of	
  reforms	
  in	
  2003	
  
     which	
  iniBated	
  much-­‐needed	
  restructuring	
  of	
  the	
  power	
  sector.	
  Yet,	
  it	
  is	
  esBmated	
  that	
  at	
  
     least	
  500	
  million	
  Indians	
  sBll	
  have	
  no	
  access	
  to	
  electricity.	
  
•    This	
  effecBvely	
  points	
  to	
  the	
  	
  HUGE	
  potenBal	
  in	
  the	
  Indian	
  power	
  generaBon	
  arena.	
  
•    India’s	
  peak	
  power	
  deficit	
  is	
  expected	
  to	
  hover	
  at	
  12.6%	
  of	
  total	
  capacity	
  this	
  year	
  –	
  up	
  from	
  
     11.9%	
  in	
  2009.	
  
•    The	
  lucraBve	
  nature	
  of	
  this	
  sector	
  is	
  spurring	
  private	
  investors	
  to	
  begin	
  building	
  power	
  plants	
  
     in	
  the	
  country.	
  
•    Private	
  investment	
  share	
  in	
  power	
  generaBon	
  currently	
  stands	
  at	
  13%,	
  and	
  is	
  expected	
  to	
  
     grow	
  with	
  numerous	
  foreign	
  and	
  domesBc	
  investments	
  planned.	
  
•    Although	
  India’s	
  growth	
  rate	
  in	
  the	
  period	
  between	
  2000–2008	
  was	
  the	
  second	
  highest	
  
     among	
  BRIC	
  countries	
  at	
  5.7%,	
  its	
  per	
  capita	
  consumpBon	
  of	
  electricity	
  was	
  the	
  lowest.	
  
•    India	
  is	
  indeed	
  an	
  'ATTRACTIVE	
  DESTINATION	
  FOR	
  FOREIGN	
  CAPITAL	
  INVESTMENT.’	
  
     	
  (Source:	
  KPMG	
  Survey)	
  
                                                                                                                                Back	
  to	
  Contents	
  
Country	
  Analysis:	
  USA	
  
•    Ranks	
  highest	
  on	
  the	
  world's	
  'energy	
  
     consumer'	
  list	
  with	
  a	
  total	
  usage	
  of	
  100	
  
     quadrillion	
  BTU/105	
  exajoules	
  (EJ)	
  in	
  2005	
  –	
  
     thrice	
  the	
  amount	
  consumed	
  55	
  years	
  ago.	
  It	
  is	
  
     the	
  world's	
  seventh	
  largest	
  per	
  capita	
  energy	
                                                                   Natural	
  
                                                                                                                                          Gas	
  
     consumer.	
  
                                                                                                                                         21.6%	
  
•    Forty	
  percent	
  of	
  the	
  country's	
  energy	
  was	
                                       Coal	
  
     sourced	
  from	
  petroleum,	
  23%	
  from	
  thermal	
                                          48.5%	
  
     coal	
  and	
  similar	
  amounts	
  from	
  natural	
  gas	
  in	
  
                                                                                                                                                   Nuclear	
  
     2005.	
  Nuclear	
  power	
  accounted	
  for	
  8.4%,	
  
                                                                                                                                                    19.4%	
  
     while	
  renewable	
  energy	
  	
  represented	
  7.3%.	
  
•    In	
  the	
  period	
  of	
  1992–2005,	
  270,000	
  MWE	
  of	
  
     gas	
  based	
  power	
  was	
  added.	
  Only	
  14,000	
  
     MWE	
  of	
  fresh	
  nuclear	
  and	
  coal-­‐fired	
  capacity	
                                                                                          Hydroeletric,	
  
                                                                                                                                                                   5.8%	
  
     came	
  on	
  stream,	
  of	
  this	
  2,315	
  MWE	
  was	
                              Other	
                                      Renewable
     nuclear.	
                                                                                Gases	
                                        s	
  2.5%	
  
                                                                                                                    Other	
  
                                                                                               0.3%	
               0.3%	
                    Petroleum	
  
•    In	
  2008,	
  US	
  wind	
  power	
  capacity	
  was	
  at	
  
     16,818	
  MW.	
                                                                                                                            1.6%	
  

•    The	
  SEGS	
  group	
  of	
  solar	
  plants	
  in	
  the	
  Mojave	
  
                                                                                     Sources:	
  EIA,	
  Form	
  EIA-­‐923,	
  “Power	
  Plant	
  OperaCons	
  Report”	
  and	
  
     Desert	
  has	
  a	
  capacity	
  of	
  	
  354	
  MW.	
  It	
  is	
  the	
     predecessor	
  form(s)	
  including	
  Form	
  EIA-­‐906	
  “Power	
  Plant	
  Report”	
  	
  
     world's	
  largest	
  solar	
  plant.	
                                         and	
  Form	
  EIA-­‐920.	
  “Combined	
  Heat	
  and	
  Power	
  Plant	
  Report.”	
  

                                                                                                                                                     Back	
  to	
  Contents	
  
Country	
  Analysis:	
  China	
  

	
  China’s	
  electricity	
  generaBng	
  capacity	
                            YEARLY	
  INCREASE	
  	
  
has	
  surged	
  over	
  the	
  last	
  four	
  years	
                           IN	
  MEGAWATTS	
  
because	
  of	
  a	
  boom	
  in	
  the	
  construcBon	
  of	
  
                                                                                                  120000	
  
new	
  power	
  plants.	
  China	
  has	
  emerged	
  in	
  
the	
  past	
  two	
  years	
  as	
  the	
  world’s	
  leading	
  
builder	
  of	
  so-­‐called	
  clean	
  coal	
  power	
                                          100000	
  
plants.	
  

                                                                                                  80000	
  


                                                                                                  60000	
  
Yearly	
  increase	
  in	
  
power	
  genera1ng	
  
capacity	
                                                                                        40000	
  


                                                                                                  20000	
  


                                                                                                  0	
  
'97	
   '98	
   '99	
   '00	
   '01	
   '02	
   '03	
   '04	
   '05	
   '06	
   '07	
   '08	
  

           Thermal	
  power	
  (virtually	
  all	
  coal)	
             All	
  power	
  sources	
  
Source:	
  China	
  NaConal	
  Bureau	
  of	
  StaCsCcs,	
  via	
  CEIC	
  data	
                              Sources:	
  Energy	
  InternaConal	
  Annual	
  


                                                                                                                                                                  Back	
  to	
  Contents	
  
Country	
  Analysis:	
  China	
  (contd.)	
  
•  Total	
  electricity	
  generaBon	
  was	
  3.71	
  trillion	
  kWh	
  in	
  2009,	
  while	
  consumpBon	
  was	
  almost	
  on	
  par	
  at	
  3.64	
  
   trillion	
  kWh.	
  
•  Total	
  installed	
  capacity	
  for	
  electricity	
  producBon	
  is	
  874	
  GW	
  –	
  a	
  10%	
  increase	
  year-­‐on-­‐year.	
  
•  The	
  naBon	
  plans	
  to	
  establish	
  a	
  grid	
  spanning	
  the	
  enBre	
  country	
  in	
  the	
  period	
  between	
  2015–2020.	
  
•  TradiBonally	
  generaBng	
  most	
  of	
  its	
  electricity	
  from	
  coal,	
  China	
  is	
  in	
  the	
  process	
  of	
  se~ng	
  up	
  more	
  than	
  550	
  
   greenfield	
  coal-­‐fired	
  thermal	
  power	
  plants	
  over	
  the	
  coming	
  years.	
  
•  Leading	
  the	
  world's	
  renewable	
  energy	
  arena	
  with	
  a	
  152	
  GW	
  installed	
  capacity,	
  China	
  ranks	
  highest	
  among	
  
   the	
  global	
  wind	
  turbine	
  and	
  solar	
  panel	
  producing	
  countries.	
  
•  The	
  naBon's	
  consumpBon	
  of	
  renewables	
  for	
  electricity	
  generaBon	
  is	
  set	
  to	
  touch	
  10%	
  of	
  its	
  total	
  electricity	
  
   producBon	
  in	
  2010	
  and	
  16%	
  in	
  2020.	
  
•  With	
  the	
  world's	
  largest	
  hydel	
  power	
  capacity,	
  China	
  generated	
  616	
  billion	
  kWh	
  of	
  electricity	
  in	
  2009	
  from	
  
   hydel	
  power	
  -­‐	
  nearly	
  17%	
  of	
  its	
  total	
  electricity	
  producBon.	
  
•  China	
  aims	
  for	
  a	
  70	
  GW	
  nuclear	
  power	
  capacity	
  by	
  2020	
  and	
  160	
  GW	
  by	
  2030.	
  




Source:	
  NaConal	
  Bureau	
  of	
  StaCsCcs	
  of	
  China	
  

                                                                                                                                             Back	
  to	
  Contents	
  
Country	
  Analysis:	
  Japan	
  
•  Imports	
  significant	
  quanBBes	
  of	
  crude	
  oil,	
  natural	
  gas	
  and	
  rare	
  fuels	
  such	
  as	
  uranium,	
  due	
  to	
  a	
  severe	
  dearth	
  
   of	
  fossil	
  fuels	
  barring	
  coal.	
  
•  Dependent	
  on	
  imported	
  primary	
  energy	
  fuels	
  for	
  over	
  84%	
  in	
  1990.	
  
•  In	
  2008,	
  Japan	
  took	
  third	
  spot	
  in	
  global	
  electricity	
  generaBon	
  values,	
  following	
  USA	
  and	
  China.	
  Japan	
  
   generated	
  a	
  linle	
  more	
  than	
  1	
  trillion	
  kWh	
  that	
  year.	
  
•  Japan's	
  per	
  capita	
  electricity	
  consumpBon	
  was	
  nearly	
  8,500	
  kWh	
  in	
  2004	
  –	
  21.8%	
  higher	
  than	
  levels	
  in	
  1990,	
  
   but	
  68%	
  lower	
  than	
  the	
  average	
  per	
  capita	
  electricity	
  consumed	
  by	
  Americans	
  in	
  2004.	
  
•  More	
  acBve	
  in	
  nuclear	
  power	
  generaBon	
  with	
  53	
  acBve	
  nuclear	
  power	
  plants	
  in	
  2009,	
  third	
  only	
  to	
  USA	
  
   which	
  had	
  104	
  reactors	
  and	
  France	
  with	
  59.	
  




Source:	
  U.S.	
  Energy	
  InformaCon	
  AdministraCon	
  

                                                                                                                                            Back	
  to	
  Contents	
  
Country	
  Analysis:	
  Russia	
  
•    One	
  of	
  the	
  world's	
  two	
  energy	
  super	
  powers	
  
     (the	
  other	
  being	
  Saudi	
  Arabia).	
  
•    Russia	
  	
  harbors	
  the	
  largest	
  known	
  reserves	
  of	
  
     natural	
  gas,	
  second	
  largest	
  reserves	
  of	
  coal	
  
     and	
  eighth	
  largest	
  oil	
  reserves	
  in	
  the	
  world.	
  
•    Follows	
  USA,	
  China	
  and	
  Japan	
  as	
  the	
  fourth	
                                    Hydro	
  
     largest	
  electricity	
  generaBng	
  economy	
  in	
  the	
                                         21%	
  
     world,	
  Russia	
  is	
  also	
  the	
  world's	
  largest	
  net	
  
     energy	
  exporter	
  &	
  supplier	
  to	
  the	
  European	
  
     Union.	
  	
  
•    In	
  2005,	
  the	
  country	
  exported	
  23	
  TWH	
  of	
  the	
                    Nuclear	
                   Thermal	
  
     total	
  951	
  TWH	
  that	
  it	
  generated.	
                                                                      63%	
  
                                                                                               16%	
  
•    It	
  produced	
  175	
  TWH	
  of	
  hydro	
  electricity	
  in	
  
     2005	
  –	
  nearly	
  6%	
  of	
  the	
  world's	
  total	
  hydel	
  
     power	
  generaBon.	
  
•    Total	
  installed	
  nuclear	
  capacity:21,244	
  MW.	
  
•    In	
  2005,	
  Russia	
  generated	
  149	
  TWH	
  nuclear	
  
     energy	
  –	
  >5%	
  of	
  global	
  generaBon.	
  

                                                                               Sources:	
  EIA	
  (www.eia.doe.gov)	
  

                                                                                                                            Back	
  to	
  Contents	
  
Country	
  Analysis:	
  Brazil	
  
•    Total	
  consumpBon	
  of	
  410	
  TWH	
  in	
  2007.	
  
•    Heavily	
  reliant	
  on	
  hydroelectric	
  power	
  
     generaBon.	
  
•    Total	
  of	
  633	
  hydel	
  plants	
  with	
  installed	
  
     capacity	
  of	
  73,678	
  MW	
  as	
  of	
  2007.	
  
•    10%	
  of	
  total	
  power	
  generaBon	
  is	
  from	
  
     natural	
  gas,	
  to	
  be	
  increased	
  to	
  12%	
  by	
  
     2010.	
  
•    Remains	
  a	
  net	
  importer	
  of	
  electricity,	
  
     mainly	
  from	
  ArgenBna,	
  yet	
  striving	
  for	
  self-­‐
     sufficiency.	
  




                                                                        Sources:	
  EIA	
  InternaConal	
  Energy	
  Annual	
  

                                                                                                                                  Back	
  to	
  Contents	
  
Indian	
  Infrastructure	
  Sector	
  
       InviBng	
  Private	
  Investment	
  
                                              Back	
  to	
  Contents	
  
Infrastructure:	
  An	
  Overview	
  
•    Building	
  world-­‐class	
  infrastructure	
  in	
  developing	
  countries	
  like	
  India	
  is	
  a	
  greater	
  imperaBve	
  than	
  it	
  is	
  in	
  
     developed	
  economies,	
  many	
  of	
  which	
  have	
  reached	
  saturaBon	
  point.	
  
•    Total	
  investment	
  requirement	
  in	
  India’s	
  infrastructure	
  sector	
  is	
  esBmated	
  to	
  be	
  $445	
  billion	
  in	
  2012	
  
     (beginning	
  of	
  the	
  12th	
  Five	
  Year	
  Plan),	
  of	
  which	
  power	
  sector	
  requirements	
  are	
  the	
  highest,	
  at	
  $143	
  billion.	
  
•    Investment	
  of	
  $1.7	
  trillion	
  over	
  the	
  next	
  ten	
  years	
  (2010–2020)	
  is	
  required	
  in	
  the	
  infrastructure	
  sector	
  
     (Source:	
  Goldman	
  Sachs).	
  
•    Reasons:	
  	
  
       –     Explosive	
  growth	
  in	
  populaBon;	
  	
  
       –     Infrastructure	
  for	
  rapid	
  industrial	
  growth	
  to	
  sustain	
  itself;	
  and	
  	
  
       –     Increase	
  in	
  passenger	
  and	
  commercial	
  traffic.	
  	
  
•    In	
  the	
  four	
  years	
  preceding	
  the	
  global	
  recession,	
  the	
  economy	
  grew	
  consistently	
  	
  
     by	
  8.5-­‐9%,	
  increasing	
  the	
  need	
  for	
  higher	
  infrastructure	
  spending.	
  
•    FDI	
  inflows:	
  	
  
       –     $7.8	
  billion	
  in	
  2005–2006,	
  	
  
       –     $19.5	
  billion	
  in	
  2006–2007	
  and	
  	
  
       –     $24	
  billion	
  in	
  2007–2008	
  –	
  are	
  inadequate	
  for	
  infrastructure	
  growth.	
  
•    A	
  Compounded	
  Annual	
  Growth	
  Rate	
  (CAGR)	
  of	
  15%	
  over	
  the	
  next	
  5	
  years	
  is	
  required	
  to	
  sustain	
  industrial	
  
     growth.	
  
•    In	
  India,	
  much	
  of	
  funding	
  in	
  infrastructure	
  has	
  been	
  in	
  the	
  form	
  of	
  loans	
  and	
  government	
  funding,	
  
     increased	
  FDI	
  parBcipaBon	
  is	
  essenBal	
  and	
  acBvely	
  encouraged.	
  


                                                                                                                                             Back	
  to	
  Contents	
  
                                                                                              44	
  
Government	
  Ini1a1ves	
  in	
  Infrastructure	
  I	
  
 A	
  radical	
  change	
  in	
  strategy	
  by	
  the	
  Government	
  of	
  India	
  –	
  Abrac1ng	
  private	
  sector	
  
 investments,	
  both	
  foreign	
  and	
  domes1c,	
  in	
  infrastructure	
  which	
  requires	
  a	
  
 massive	
  infusion	
  of	
  funds	
  as	
  well	
  as	
  mul1-­‐disciplinary	
  know-­‐how.	
  
•  Priority-­‐Sector	
  status	
  for	
  construcBon	
  of	
  roads	
  and	
  highways.	
  
•  Cess	
  levied	
  on	
  petrol	
  and	
  diesel	
  to	
  fund	
  road	
  projects.	
  
•  Venture	
  Capitalists	
  invesBng	
  in	
  power	
  or	
  telecom	
  exempted	
  from	
  paying	
  taxes	
  on	
  
   dividend	
  income	
  and	
  long	
  term	
  capital	
  gains.	
  
•  Tax	
  exempBon	
  for	
  40%	
  of	
  profits	
  from	
  long-­‐term	
  financing	
  of	
  infrastructure	
  
   projects,	
  subject	
  to	
  certain	
  condiBons.	
  
•  Tax	
  exempBon	
  in	
  income	
  from	
  dividends	
  and	
  interest,	
  and	
  long-­‐term	
  capital	
  gains	
  
   for	
  Infrastructure	
  Capital	
  Funds.	
  
•  Five-­‐year	
  tax	
  holiday	
  for	
  Build-­‐Operate-­‐Transfer	
  (BOT)	
  and	
  Build-­‐Own-­‐Operate-­‐
   Transfer	
  (BOOT)	
  projects	
  in	
  all	
  crucial	
  infrastructure	
  segments	
  –	
  roads,	
  power,	
  
   airports,	
  ports,	
  bridges,	
  railways,	
  etc.	
  


                                                                                                         Back	
  to	
  Contents	
  
                                                             45	
  
Government	
  Ini1a1ves	
  in	
  Infrastructure	
  II	
  
•    Tax	
  breaks,	
  annuity	
  payments	
  and	
  capital	
  grants	
  for	
  road	
  project	
  funding.	
  
•    Foreign	
  InsBtuBonal	
  Investors	
  (FIIs)	
  now	
  allowed	
  to	
  invest	
  in	
  unlisted	
  
     infrastructure	
  companies	
  (considerable	
  delays	
  in	
  lisBng	
  infrastructure	
  companies	
  
     due	
  to	
  long	
  gestaBon	
  periods).	
  
•    Delinking	
  of	
  PSUs	
  so	
  that	
  power	
  equipment	
  manufacturers	
  can	
  sell	
  equipment	
  in	
  
     the	
  merchant	
  market.	
  
•    Projects	
  to	
  be	
  reserved	
  for	
  the	
  private	
  sector	
  and	
  awarded	
  through	
  compeBBve	
  
     bidding.	
  
•    Open	
  access	
  to	
  Transmission	
  &	
  DistribuBon	
  (T&D)	
  network;	
  enhanced	
  regulaBon	
  
     of	
  T&D	
  to	
  cut	
  losses.	
  
•    Proximity	
  advantage	
  of	
  coal	
  and	
  other	
  fuel	
  linkages	
  and	
  “Zero”	
  import	
  duty	
  for	
  
     capital	
  goods	
  import	
  for	
  plants	
  being	
  set	
  up	
  with	
  iniBal	
  installed	
  capacity	
  of	
  1000	
  
     MW	
  or	
  more.	
  
•    100%	
  FDI	
  allowed	
  in	
  all	
  energy	
  sectors	
  except	
  Atomic	
  Energy	
  
•    PPPs	
  are	
  favored	
  model	
  where	
  public	
  and	
  private	
  sectors	
  bring	
  their	
  respecBve	
  
     strengths	
  to	
  the	
  table.	
  
                                                                                                               Back	
  to	
  Contents	
  
                                                                 46	
  
Private	
  Sector	
  Investment	
  Ini1a1ves	
  
Radical	
  reforms	
  in	
  government	
  policies	
  on	
  infrastructure	
  have	
  galvanized	
  the	
  private	
  
sector	
  to	
  increase	
  investments	
  in	
  infrastructure.	
  
                     To	
  invest	
  $5.48	
  billion	
  in	
  its	
  thermal	
  power	
  business	
  to	
  realize	
  its	
  hydro	
  generaBon	
  capacity	
  
                     target	
  of	
  5500	
  MW	
  by	
  2015.	
  

                     Invested	
  $10	
  million	
  in	
  a	
  container	
  freight	
  staBon	
  at	
  Ponneri	
  in	
  Tamil	
  Nadu.	
  

                     Plans	
  to	
  invest	
  50.36	
  million	
  pounds	
  at	
  its	
  railway	
  producBon	
  facility	
  in	
  Hayange,	
  France.	
  

                     Firmed-­‐up	
  plans	
  for	
  invesBng	
  $5.19	
  billion	
  for	
  its	
  upcoming	
  power	
  plants	
  at	
  Mundra,	
  Maithon	
  
                     and	
  Jojobera	
  over	
  a	
  period	
  of	
  three	
  years.	
  

                     Plans	
  to	
  invest	
  $1	
  billion	
  in	
  se~ng	
  up	
  2	
  to	
  3	
  greenfield	
  plants	
  in	
  the	
  country.	
  

                     Se~ng	
  up	
  Ultra-­‐Mega	
  Power	
  Plants	
  (UMPPs)	
  with	
  a	
  combined	
  generaBon	
  capacity	
  of	
  nearly	
  
                     16000	
  MW.	
  
                     Plans	
  to	
  add	
  another	
  4380	
  MW	
  thermal	
  and	
  6100	
  MW	
  hydro-­‐power	
  capacity	
  in	
  the	
  next	
  5	
  
                     years	
  (exisBng	
  capacity	
  of	
  1000	
  MW).	
  
Three	
  joint	
  ventures	
  between	
  Toshiba	
  CorporaBon	
  (Japan)	
  &	
  JSW	
  Group,	
  Ansaldo	
  Caldalo	
  SpA	
  (Italy)	
  and	
  GB	
  
Engineering	
  Enterprises,	
  and	
  Alstom	
  SA	
  (France)	
  and	
  Bharat	
  Forge	
  planning	
  to	
  launch	
  power	
  equipment	
  
manufacturing	
  faciliBes.	
  

                                                                                                                                                       Back	
  to	
  Contents	
  
                                                                                      47	
  
FDI	
  in	
  India	
  I	
  
•    India	
  ranks	
  third	
  today	
  in	
  anracBng	
  total	
  FDI	
  and	
  is	
  expected	
  to	
  conBnue	
  within	
  the	
  first	
  five	
  
     (Source:	
  UNCTAD	
  Report	
  “World	
  Investment	
  Prospects	
  Survey”).	
  
•    India	
  is	
  ranked	
  the	
  second-­‐most	
  promising	
  investment	
  desBnaBon,	
  a	
  sign	
  of	
  how	
  far	
  India	
  has	
  
     come	
  since	
  its	
  days	
  of	
  closed	
  door	
  policy	
  in	
  the	
  1980s,	
  when	
  FDI	
  was	
  allowed	
  only	
  in	
  cases	
  
     where	
  technical	
  knowhow	
  was	
  required	
  (Investor	
  Survey	
  conducted	
  in	
  Japan	
  in	
  2009).	
  
•    Improved	
  investor	
  confidence	
  resulted	
  in	
  India	
  anracBng	
  $1.74	
  billion	
  of	
  FDI	
  in	
  Nov	
  2009,	
  
     61.1%	
  higher	
  than	
  the	
  FDI	
  inflow	
  of	
  $1.08	
  billion	
  in	
  the	
  corresponding	
  period	
  of	
  2008.	
  	
  
•    Investment	
  in	
  the	
  infrastructure	
  sector	
  has	
  doubled	
  from	
  4%	
  of	
  GDP	
  in	
  2004–2005	
  to	
  8%	
  of	
  
     GDP	
  in	
  2007–2008	
  (Source	
  Data	
  from	
  Planning	
  Commission).	
  
•    Comparisons	
  between	
  FDI	
  inflows	
  to	
  India	
  and	
  China	
  are	
  very	
  common.	
  While	
  China	
  adopted	
  
     the	
  Top-­‐Down	
  model,	
  se~ng	
  up	
  its	
  physical	
  infrastructure	
  first,	
  India	
  adopted	
  the	
  Bonom-­‐Up	
  
     model,	
  pu~ng	
  a	
  policy	
  framework	
  in	
  place	
  first	
  before	
  emphasizing	
  focus	
  on	
  infrastructure.	
  
•    Net	
  FDI	
  inflows	
  to	
  China	
  increased	
  from	
  $0.4	
  billion	
  in	
  1990	
  to	
  $52.7	
  billion	
  in	
  2002,	
  while	
  
     inflows	
  to	
  India	
  went	
  up	
  from	
  $0.07	
  billion	
  to	
  a	
  meager	
  $2.6	
  billion	
  in	
  the	
  same	
  period.	
  
•    India’s	
  FDI	
  as	
  a	
  share	
  of	
  GDP	
  was	
  1.7%,	
  while	
  China’s	
  was	
  2.8%	
  in	
  2007,	
  considering	
  much	
  
     larger	
  GDP	
  base	
  of	
  China.	
  
•    China	
  ranked	
  1st	
  in	
  the	
  FDI	
  Confidence	
  Index	
  (2002	
  and	
  2003),	
  while	
  India	
  ranked	
  15th	
  in	
  
     2002	
  and	
  6th	
  in	
  2003	
  (Source:	
  AT	
  Kearney	
  report).	
  


                                                                                                                            Back	
  to	
  Contents	
  
                                                                        48	
  
FDI	
  in	
  India	
  II	
  
•    French	
  power	
  equipment	
  manufacturer	
  Alstom	
  has	
  partnered	
  with	
  Bharat	
  Forge	
  to	
  invest	
  
     $105.6	
  million	
  in	
  a	
  power	
  equipment	
  plant.	
  
•    Federal	
  Agency	
  for	
  State	
  Property	
  Management	
  of	
  Russian	
  FederaBon	
  will	
  buy	
  a	
  20%	
  stake	
  in	
  
     telecom	
  company	
  Sistema	
  Shyam.	
  
•    ADB	
  has	
  approved	
  financial	
  assistance	
  of	
  $200	
  million	
  for	
  investment	
  in	
  the	
  power	
  sector	
  in	
  
     Assam	
  for	
  a	
  project	
  with	
  innovaBve	
  features	
  such	
  as	
  off-­‐grid	
  renewable	
  energy-­‐based	
  
     electricity,	
  reducBon	
  in	
  CHG	
  emissions	
  and	
  distribuBon	
  through	
  franchisees.	
  
•    The	
  Unar	
  Pradesh	
  government,	
  which	
  is	
  targeBng	
  total	
  power	
  generaBon	
  of	
  25,000	
  MW	
  by	
  
     the	
  end	
  of	
  the	
  12th	
  Five	
  Year	
  Plan	
  (2017),	
  has	
  signed	
  a	
  MoU	
  with	
  Lanco	
  Infratech	
  for	
  se~ng	
  
     up	
  plants	
  to	
  generate	
  1320	
  and	
  660	
  MW	
  at	
  Fatehpur	
  and	
  Anpara,	
  and	
  with	
  Bajaj	
  Hindustan	
  
     for	
  400	
  MW	
  at	
  five	
  of	
  its	
  sugar	
  mills.	
  
•    CumulaBve	
  FDI	
  inflows	
  into	
  India	
  between	
  1990	
  and	
  2007	
  were	
  $160	
  billion.	
  
•    The	
  majority	
  of	
  FDI	
  inflows	
  were	
  from	
  USA,	
  UK,	
  Japan,	
  MauriBus,	
  Netherlands,	
  Singapore,	
  
     South	
  Korea	
  and	
  France.	
  




                                                                                                                               Back	
  to	
  Contents	
  
                                                                          49	
  
Sector-­‐Specific	
  Outlook	
  
       The	
  Growth	
  Factor	
  



                                     Back	
  to	
  Contents	
  
Ports	
  
•  The	
  coastline	
  in	
  India	
  is	
  7,517	
  kilometers,	
                                  Government	
  ini1a1ve	
  
   touching	
  13	
  states;	
  there	
  are	
  12	
  major	
  and	
  
   187	
  minor	
  ports	
  in	
  the	
  country	
  (Source:	
  The	
     The	
  Public	
  Private	
  Partnership	
  Appraisal	
  Comminee	
  (PPAC)	
  
   Economic	
  Survey,	
  2007–2008).	
                                   set-­‐up	
  to	
  evaluate	
  and	
  sancBon	
  JV	
  projects,	
  has	
  approved	
  4	
  
                                                                          PPP	
  projects	
  valued	
  over	
  $897.7	
  million.	
  	
  
•  Indian	
  ports	
  are	
  not	
  compeBBve	
  enough:	
  
   average	
  turnaround	
  Bme	
  for	
  cargo	
  services	
               •  Development	
  of	
  a	
  mega-­‐container	
  terminal	
  at	
  Chennai	
  
   is	
  3.5	
  days	
  as	
  compared	
  to	
  10	
  hours	
  in	
             Port.	
  
   Hong	
  Kong	
  ports.	
                                                 •  Developing	
  a	
  berth	
  to	
  serve	
  mulBple	
  purposes	
  at	
  
                                                                                Paradip	
  Port,	
  Orissa.	
  
•  Some	
  improvements	
  have	
  been	
  made	
  and	
  
                                                                            •  Development	
  of	
  a	
  container	
  terminal	
  at	
  the	
  New	
  
   traffic	
  handling	
  has	
  grown	
  by	
  10.7%	
  (third	
  
                                                                                Mangalore	
  Port.	
  
   quarter	
  ended	
  December	
  2009)	
  over	
  the	
  
   corresponding	
  period	
  in	
  2008	
  (Indian	
  Ports	
              •  Development	
  of	
  a	
  2nd	
  North	
  Cargo	
  Berth	
  at	
  TuBcorin	
  
   AssociaBon	
  (IPA)	
  figures).	
                                            Port	
  (Tamil	
  Nadu).	
  
•  Major	
  ports	
  registered	
  a	
  12.8%	
  year-­‐on-­‐
                                                                           Future	
  projects	
  cleared	
  by	
  the	
  Cabinet	
  Commibee	
  
   year	
  (YOY)	
  growth	
  in	
  cargo	
  volumes,	
  due	
  to	
  
   increased	
  capaciBes.	
  	
  
                                                                                 on	
  Infrastructure	
  (CCI)	
  in	
  the	
  pipeline	
  
•  Total	
  investment	
  required	
  for	
  upgrading	
                    •  Development	
  of	
  a	
  $1.44	
  billion	
  container	
  terminal,	
  at	
  
   and	
  modernizing	
  ports	
  in	
  the	
  11th	
  Five	
  Year	
          the	
  busy	
  Jawaharlal	
  Nehru	
  Port.	
  	
  
   Plan	
  (2007–2012)	
  is	
  around	
  $12	
  billion	
                  •  ConstrucBon	
  of	
  a	
  $129.6	
  million	
  standalone	
  container	
  
   (Economic	
  Survey,	
  2007–2008).	
                                       handling	
  facility	
  at	
  Mumbai	
  Port	
  (to	
  be	
  completed	
  
                                                                               within	
  2	
  years).	
  	
  

                                                                                                                                         Back	
  to	
  Contents	
  
                                                                               51	
  
Roads	
  I	
  
•      India	
  has	
  one	
  of	
  the	
  largest	
  road	
  networks	
  worldwide:	
  3.34	
  million	
  km.	
  
•      The	
  GOI	
  has	
  ambiBous	
  plans	
  for	
  private	
  sector	
  parBcipaBon	
  in	
  the	
  massive	
  investment	
  
       program	
  for	
  development	
  and	
  upgrade	
  projects	
  as	
  a	
  PPP	
  model.	
  
•      The	
  total	
  investment	
  Bll	
  the	
  end	
  of	
  the	
  11th	
  Five	
  Year	
  Plan	
  (2012)	
  is	
  approximately	
  $55	
  billion	
  
       (Source:	
  The	
  Economic	
  Survey,	
  2007–2008).	
  

                                                                   Upcoming	
  projects	
  
     •  Road-­‐widening	
  project	
  (covering	
  445	
  km)	
  to	
  be	
  undertaken	
  by	
  the	
  NaBonal	
  Highways	
  Authority	
  of	
  India	
  
        (NHAI)	
  at	
  an	
  esBmated	
  cost	
  of	
  $950	
  million	
  in	
  a	
  design-­‐build-­‐finance-­‐operate-­‐transfer	
  (DBFOT)	
  model.	
  
     •  Four	
  lane	
  road	
  (83.85	
  km)	
  at	
  the	
  Godhra-­‐Gujarat-­‐Madhya	
  Pradesh	
  border,	
  at	
  a	
  cost	
  of	
  $156.55	
  million.	
  
        The	
  government	
  will	
  meet	
  the	
  pre-­‐construcBon	
  cost	
  of	
  $24.5	
  million	
  for	
  land	
  acquisiBon.	
  
     •  Four	
  lane	
  road	
  (13	
  km)	
  on	
  the	
  Coimbatore	
  bypass	
  at	
  $186.2	
  million.	
  
     •  Six	
  lane	
  road	
  (54.83	
  km)	
  on	
  the	
  Chengalpanu	
  highway.	
  
     •  Four	
  lane	
  road	
  (155.15	
  km)	
  connecBng	
  Indore	
  and	
  Jhabua	
  at	
  a	
  cost	
  of	
  $256.65	
  million	
  (DBFOT	
  model).	
  
     •  Four	
  lane	
  road	
  connecBng	
  Haridwar	
  and	
  Dehra	
  Dun	
  on	
  a	
  DBFOT	
  basis	
  at	
  a	
  cost	
  of	
  $104.4	
  million.	
  
     •  Four	
  lane	
  road	
  (80	
  km)	
  connecBng	
  Muzaffarnagar	
  and	
  Haridwar	
  at	
  a	
  cost	
  of	
  $164.6	
  million.	
  
     •  Four	
  lane	
  road	
  (65.07	
  km)	
  on	
  Goa-­‐Karnataka	
  border	
  at	
  $102.8	
  million	
  under	
  DBFOT.	
  




                                                                                                                                         Back	
  to	
  Contents	
  
                                                                                52	
  
Roads	
  II	
  
                           Projects	
  funded	
  purely	
  by	
  the	
  private	
  sector	
  
 • Reliance	
  Infra:	
  $218.3	
  million	
  DBOFT	
  project	
  on	
  the	
  Pune	
  -­‐	
  Satara	
  Road,	
  with	
  four	
  
   lane	
  roads	
  connecBng	
  the	
  ports	
  at	
  Mundhra	
  and	
  Kandla,	
  to	
  be	
  completed	
  by	
  2012.	
  
 • Another	
  project	
  executed	
  at	
  a	
  cost	
  of	
  $165.5	
  million	
  by	
  a	
  consorBum	
  of	
  private	
  
   sector	
  companies	
  connects	
  Electronic	
  City	
  and	
  Silk	
  Board	
  juncBon	
  in	
  Bangalore,	
  
   Karnataka.	
  Based	
  on	
  a	
  Build-­‐Operate-­‐Transfer	
  (BOT)	
  model,	
  it	
  is	
  scheduled	
  for	
  
   transfer	
  to	
  the	
  NHAI	
  a_er	
  18	
  years.	
  The	
  boasts	
  of	
  innovaBve	
  features	
  such	
  as	
  CCTV	
  
   surveillance,	
  auto	
  rickshaw	
  traffic	
  counters,	
  emergency	
  call	
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Imagineering India   India Power Sector 2010
Imagineering India   India Power Sector 2010
Imagineering India   India Power Sector 2010
Imagineering India   India Power Sector 2010
Imagineering India   India Power Sector 2010
Imagineering India   India Power Sector 2010
Imagineering India   India Power Sector 2010
Imagineering India   India Power Sector 2010
Imagineering India   India Power Sector 2010
Imagineering India   India Power Sector 2010
Imagineering India   India Power Sector 2010
Imagineering India   India Power Sector 2010
Imagineering India   India Power Sector 2010
Imagineering India   India Power Sector 2010
Imagineering India   India Power Sector 2010
Imagineering India   India Power Sector 2010
Imagineering India   India Power Sector 2010
Imagineering India   India Power Sector 2010
Imagineering India   India Power Sector 2010
Imagineering India   India Power Sector 2010
Imagineering India   India Power Sector 2010
Imagineering India   India Power Sector 2010
Imagineering India   India Power Sector 2010
Imagineering India   India Power Sector 2010
Imagineering India   India Power Sector 2010
Imagineering India   India Power Sector 2010
Imagineering India   India Power Sector 2010
Imagineering India   India Power Sector 2010
Imagineering India   India Power Sector 2010
Imagineering India   India Power Sector 2010
Imagineering India   India Power Sector 2010
Imagineering India   India Power Sector 2010
Imagineering India   India Power Sector 2010
Imagineering India   India Power Sector 2010
Imagineering India   India Power Sector 2010
Imagineering India   India Power Sector 2010
Imagineering India   India Power Sector 2010
Imagineering India   India Power Sector 2010
Imagineering India   India Power Sector 2010
Imagineering India   India Power Sector 2010
Imagineering India   India Power Sector 2010
Imagineering India   India Power Sector 2010
Imagineering India   India Power Sector 2010
Imagineering India   India Power Sector 2010
Imagineering India   India Power Sector 2010
Imagineering India   India Power Sector 2010
Imagineering India   India Power Sector 2010
Imagineering India   India Power Sector 2010
Imagineering India   India Power Sector 2010
Imagineering India   India Power Sector 2010
Imagineering India   India Power Sector 2010
Imagineering India   India Power Sector 2010
Imagineering India   India Power Sector 2010
Imagineering India   India Power Sector 2010
Imagineering India   India Power Sector 2010
Imagineering India   India Power Sector 2010
Imagineering India   India Power Sector 2010
Imagineering India   India Power Sector 2010
Imagineering India   India Power Sector 2010
Imagineering India   India Power Sector 2010
Imagineering India   India Power Sector 2010
Imagineering India   India Power Sector 2010
Imagineering India   India Power Sector 2010
Imagineering India   India Power Sector 2010
Imagineering India   India Power Sector 2010
Imagineering India   India Power Sector 2010
Imagineering India   India Power Sector 2010
Imagineering India   India Power Sector 2010
Imagineering India   India Power Sector 2010
Imagineering India   India Power Sector 2010
Imagineering India   India Power Sector 2010
Imagineering India   India Power Sector 2010
Imagineering India   India Power Sector 2010

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Imagineering India India Power Sector 2010

  • 1. INDIA   Emerging  Into  the  Light  
  • 2. Contents 1.  India  :  An  Overview   3   2.  India  :  From  the  Pages  of  History   6   3.  LiberalizaBon  :  A  New  Era  :  India  Ascending   17   4.  Global  Power  Sector  :  Energizing  the  World   27   5.  Indian  Infrastructure  Sector  :  InviBng  Private  Investment   43   6.  Sector  Specific  Outlook  :  The  Growth  Factor   50   7.  The  Power  Sector  in  India  :  Let  there  be  Light   57   8.  Indian  Power  Sector  :  An  Overview   60   9.  Opening  up  of  the  Power    Sector  :  The  New  Era  Begins   66   10.  Emerging  OpportuniBes  :  Rewards  of    Bringing  in  Ingenuousness   73   11.  Outlook  for  Power  Sectors  :  Indicators  &  Forecast   85   12.  Government  IniBaBves  for  Private  Sector  Involvement  :  Opening  up  Private  Capital  Inflow   97   13.  The  Indian  Power  Sector  :  OpportuniBes,  Risks  &  Rewards   102   14.  Summing  Up  :  Power  Sector  Investment  :  Why  India?   115  
  • 3. India   An  Overview   Back  to  Contents  
  • 4. India:  An  Overview   •  Geographically,  the  seventh  largest  country  in  the  world  (3.3  million   square  kilometers).   •  Second  most  populous  country  a_er  China  with  a  populaBon  of     1.18  billion,  expected  to  be  the  most  populous  country  by  2020.   •  ~  65%  of  the  demography  is  less  than  25  years  of  age.   •  The  world’s  largest  democracy.   •  GDP  growth  of  7.2%  in  2009-­‐2010.   •  11th  largest  economy  in  terms  of  nominal  GDP  ($  1.2  trillion  in  2009).   •  4th  largest  economy  in  terms  of  Purchasing  Power  Parity  GDP  ($3.5  trillion   in  2009).   •  Total  exports  of  $155  billion  in  2009  (free-­‐on-­‐board  basis).   •  Total  imports  of  $232  billion  in  2009  (free-­‐on-­‐board  basis),  remains  a  net   importer.   •  Foreign  reserves  of  $287  billion  (as  of  31  December,  2009).   Back  to  Contents   4  
  • 5. India:  Drama1c  Diversity,  Amazing  Unity   •  LogisBcally  ideal  for  trade,  with  a  coastline  extending  on  three  sides  of  the   peninsula,  facilitaBng  passage  of  freight  –  Indian  Ocean  to  the  South,   Arabian  Sea  to  the  West,  and  the  Bay  of  Bengal  to  the  East.   •  Comprised  of  28  states  and  7  Union  Territories.   •  Boasts  vast  variety  and  diversity  of  people  and  culture,  coexist  in  relaBve   harmony  and  unity.   •  A  pluralisBc,  mulB-­‐ethnic,  mulB-­‐lingual  and  mulB-­‐cultural  society  –  the   Indian  ConsBtuBon  recognizes  22  main  and  21  scheduled  languages.   •  Diversity  in  religion  –  Hinduism,  Islam,  ChrisBanity,  Buddhism,  Jainism,   Zoroastrianism,  Judaism  and  B’ahai  pracBced  across  the  country,  with  a   strong  sense  of  religious  tolerance  being  the  accepted  as  way  of  life  for  a   majority  of  Indians,  both  by  law  and  tradiBon.   •  An  amazing  ‘melBng  pot’  of  mulBple  philosophies,  languages,  fesBvals,   cuisine,  clothing,  literature,  music,  dance,  fine  arts  and  cra_s.   Back  to  Contents   5  
  • 6. India   From  the  Pages  of  History   Back  to  Contents  
  • 7. India:  A  Chronological  History   India  is  the  cradle  of  the  human  race,  the  birthplace  of  human   speech,  the  mother  of  history,  the  grandmother  of  legend,  and   the  great  grand  mother  of  tradiBon…   –  Mark  Twain   •  2500–1500  B.C:  The  Indus  Valley    CivilizaBon  flourishes  in  the  western  part  of  the  Indian  sub-­‐ conBnent,  arrayed  around  the  Indus  (Sindhu)  River.  Archaeological  finds  of  the  main  ciBes  –   Harappa  and  Mohenjodaro  –  reveal  traces  of  a  sophisBcated  culture,  with  trading  Bes  to   Mesopotamia  and  other  civilizaBons  flourishing  around  the  same  Bme  in  other  parts  of  the   known  world.   •  A  well-­‐planned  civic  and  sanitary  system,  trading  posts,  a  measuring  system,  weapons  and   tools,  etc.  are  believed  to  have  been  used  by  the  people.   •  From  1500  B.C:  Aryan  tribes  from  the  north-­‐western  regions  of  Asia  begin  to  enter  India  and   senle  down  in  various  parts  of  the  country  covering  the  north,  east  and  west,  up  to  the   Vindhya  mountains  in  central  India.  In  the  south,  a  vibrant  Dravidian  culture  flourishes.   •  The  Vedas  and  epics  such  as  the  Mahabharata  are  composed,  the  geography  is  divided  into   poliBcally-­‐organized  territories  called  ‘Mahajanapadas’  and  the  caste  system  is  created.   Back  to  Contents   7  
  • 8. India:  History  (contd.)     •  600–400  B.C:  The  seeds  of  Jainism  and  Buddhism  are  sown  with  the  birth  of  Mahaveera     (599  B.C)  and  Gautama  Buddha  (563  B.C).   •  400  B.C–0  A.D:  Invasions  from  the  north  and  west  conBnue,  including  assaults  by  Alexander   the  Great,  whose  ambiBon  of  world  conquest  is  stopped  at  the  northwest  fronBer  (326  B.C).   •  Chandragupta  Maurya  establishes  the  Mauryan  Empire  and  for  the  first  Bme  a  large  part  of   the  country  is  unified  under  the  rule  of  one  dynasty.  The  Mauryan  empire  lasts  Bll  2  B.C,  with   great  rulers  such  as  Ashoka  and  Chandragupta  II.  Ashoka  is  responsible  for  the  spread  of   Buddhism  across  the  country.   •  0–1000  A.D:  Many  prominent  dynasBes  –  the  Pallavas,  Hoysalas  and  the  Chalukyas  –  rule   over  central  and  southern  regions,  while  the  Gupta  dynasty  comes  into  being  around     326  A.D.   •  This  was  the  Golden  Age  in  Indian  history,  when  culture  and  arts  flourished,  with  significant   work  in  literature,  science,  mathemaBcs  and  astronomy.   •  Many  famous  temples,  which  are  great  anracBons  even  today,  were  built  during  this  Bme  –   Khajuraho,  Belur,  Halebeid,  etc.   •  This  is  also  the  period  during  which  noted  scholars  from  other  parts  of  the  world  –  Fa-­‐Hein,   Hiuen-­‐Tsang,  Alberuni  –  visited  India  to  learn  about  culture  and  religion.   Back  to  Contents   8  
  • 9. India:  History  (contd.)   •  1000–1800  A.D:  The  earliest  of  Muslim  invasions  begin  with  Mahmud  Ghazni  in  1026;   explorers  such  as  Marco  Polo  (1288  A.D)  and  Vasco  da  Gama  (first  voyage  in  1498)  make   their  way  to  India  –  the  objecBve  is  to  check  out  the  fabulous  wealth,  culture,  arts  and  trade   for  which  the  country  is  famous  throughout  the  world.   •  Columbus  set  out  on  a  voyage  from  Spain  to  visit  India,  but  ends  up  discovering  a  new   conBnent  –  America  –  instead!   •  Babur  establishes  the  Mughal  Empire  in  the  1500s  and  the  Mughals  rule  India  unBl  1857,   albeit  in  a  diminished  form.  Babur,  Humayun,  Akbar  and  Aurangazeb  are  among  the  more   well-­‐known  Mughal  emperors.   •  Between  1500  and  1800,  many  European  traders  –  Portuguese,  Spanish,  French,  the  Dutch   and  the  English  –  set  up  trading  posts  in  various  parts  of  the  country,  to  export  spices,   texBles,  precious  stones  and  other  goods,  for  which  India  is  widely  known.   •  The  trading  companies  gradually  take  poliBcal  control,  due  to  the  weak  and  fragmented  reign   of  Indian  rulers  around  this  Bme.  The  Portuguese  take  over  Goa,  the  French  and  Dutch  over   the  Malabar  and  Coromandel  coasts  and  finally,  the  BriBsh  East  India  Company,  annexes   most  of  the  country  in  1757.   •  Official  BriBsh  rule,  i.e.  the  takeover  by  the  BriBsh  monarchy,  begins  at  the  end  of  the  failed   First  War  of  Independence  in  1857.  The  BriBsh  rule  India  Bll  1947.   Back  to  Contents   9  
  • 10. India:  The  Glorious  Past   We  owe  a  lot  to  the  Indians,  who  taught  us  how  to  count,   without  which  no  worthwhile  scienBfic  discovery  could     have  been  made   –    Albert  Einstein   •  The  richest  country  in  the  world  Bll  the  17th  century.   •  The  number  system,  the  zero,  the  decimal  system,  algebra,  trigonometry,  calculus  and  chess   were  all  invented  in  India.   •  India  was  the  only  source  of  diamonds  unBl  1896.   •  The  earliest  system  of  medicine  –  Ayurveda  –  was  established  by  Charaka  2500  years  ago.   •  In  the  5th  century,  Bhaskaracharya  calculated  the  Bme  earth  took  to  orbit  the  sun.   •  Spices,  texBles,  gems,  indigo,  muslin,  conon,  etc  are  just  some  of  the  goods  which  originated   in  India  and  were  famed  throughout  the  world.   •  The  concepts  of  irrigaBon  and  reservoir  systems,  urban  planning,  sewage  systems,  weights   and  measures,  coinage,  etc  were  first  introduced  in  ancient  India.   Back  to  Contents   10  
  • 11. India:  Colonial  Rule   •  The  East  India  Company,  iniBally  called  the  East  India  Trading  Company,  and  later  the  BriBsh   East  India  Company,  was  the  oldest  among  the  other  European  East  India  Companies.   •  Focused  earlier  on  the  trade  of  commodiBes  such  as  conon,  silk,  indigo  and  opium,  it  later   went  on  to  gain  administraBve  control  of  large  porBons  of  the  Indian  subconBnent.   •  The  'Company  Rule'  in  India  commenced  in  1757,  lasted  Bll  the  Indian  Rebellion  of  1857,   following  which,  administraBon  of  the  Indian  Colony  was  taken  over  directly  by  the  BriBsh   Monarchy.   •  Thus  ended  the  rule  of  the  East  India  Company  and  thereby  began  the  dramaBc  era  of  the   BriBsh  Raj.  India  was  the  ‘jewel  in  the  Crown’  for  the  vast  BriBsh  Empire.   •  In  the  Indian  subconBnent,  the  purview  of  the  BriBsh  Raj  extended  across  present  day   Pakistan,  India  and  Bangladesh.     •  Many  people  believe  that  the  Raj  had  adverse  effects  on  the  economy  of  India  as  a  whole.   BriBsh  poliBcian  Edmund  Burke  pointed  out  in  the  late  18th  century  that  the  East  India   Company  had  'ruined'  the  Indian  economy  with  their  trading  and  administraBve  pracBces.   •  Noted  Indian  historian  Rajat  Kanta  Ray  accused  the  BriBsh  Raj  of  eaBng  into  India's  food  and   financial  stocks  and  implemenBng  such  high  duty  structure  that  it  ulBmately  led  to  the   horrific  Bengal  famine  of  1770,  which  was  responsible  for  the  deaths  of  one-­‐third  of  the   populace  of  Bengal.   Back  to  Contents   11  
  • 12. Post  Independence:  License  Raj   •  One  of  the  important  observaBon  post  India’s  independence  in  1947  concern  the  country's   economy,  which  conBnued  to  remain  in  a  state  of  stagnaBon  Bll  1990,  this  period  was   dubbed  the  ‘License  Raj’  or  ‘Permit  Raj’,  a  cynical  wordplay  on  the  previous  200  years  of   BriBsh  ‘Colonial  Raj’.   •  The  terms  referred  to  extensive  licensing,  regulaBons  and  bureaucraBc  red  tape  which   governed  and  strangled  the  Indian  economy  from     1947–1990.   •  Any  economic  acBvity  –  starBng  a  business,  expanding  or  any  significant  changes  –  required   obtaining  regulatory  approvals  from  nearly  80  government  agencies.  Even  then,  the   government  would  regulate  all  operaBonal  working,  for  the  enBty  to  remain  in  business.   •  The  economy  was  administered  centrally  and  modeled  as  a  ‘socialist’  or  ‘mixed’  economy  –   a  mix  of  western  capitalism  and  Soviet  communism.   Back  to  Contents   12  
  • 13. Post  Independence:  License  Raj  (contd.)    An  excerpt  from  a  1998  report  by  BBC,  India:  The  Economy   “Before  the  process  of  reform  began  in  1991,  the  government  anempted  to   close  the  Indian  economy  to  the  outside  world.  The  Indian  currency,  the   Rupee,  was  inconverBble  and  high  tariffs  and  import  licensing  prevented   foreign  goods  reaching  the  market.  The  central  pillar  of  the  policy  was  import   subsBtuBon,  the  belief  that  India  needed  to  rely  on  internal  markets  for   development,  not  internaBonal  trade  -­‐  a  belief  generated  by  a  mixture  of   socialism  and  the  experience  of  colonial  exploitaBon.  Planning  and  the  state,   rather  than  markets,  would  determine  how  much  investment  was  needed  in   which  sectors.  The  energies  of  investors  were  directed  towards  winning   licenses,  rather  than  capturing  markets  or  producing  superior  goods,  and   profits  tended  to  be  guaranteed  irrespecBve  of  quality  or  efficiency.  External   regulaBon,  major  controls  on  foreign  direct  investment  and  a  high  tariff  wall   then  protected  companies  from  foreign  compeBBon.  RestricBons  on   consumer  goods  were  the  Bghtest,  thanks  to  the  belief  that  precious  foreign   exchange  should  not  be  wasted  on  consumer  goods.”     Back  to  Contents   13  
  • 14. Post  Independence:  License  Raj  (contd.)   •  The  License  regime  had  far-­‐reaching  and  devastaBng  effects.   •  The  newly  independent  Republic  of  India  began  with  high  growth  rates,  an  open   environment  conducive  to  trade,  foreign  and  domesBc  investment  and  overall  stability.   •  However,  by  1980,  the  Indian  economy  was  in  a  stagnant    and  suspended  state  with   extremely  low  growth  rates,  a  hosBle  atmosphere  totally  closed  to  outside  investment  and   inter-­‐country  trade,  a  restricBve  regime  obsessed  with  licenses  and  central  economy  control,   a  total  failure  to  deal  with  spiraling  social  expenditure  and  an  apatheBc  bureaucraBc  system   with  a  stranglehold  on  governance  in  all  spheres.   Back  to  Contents   14  
  • 15. The  Hindu/Socialist  Growth  Rate   •  The  term  ‘Hindu  Growth  Rate’  (also  referred  to  as  ‘Socialist  growth  rate’),  coined  by   economist  K.N.  Raj,  suggested  that  India,  with  its  majority  Hindu  populaBon,  had  a   significantly  low  growth  rate  in  comparison  with  its  Asian  counterparts  (specifically,   Singapore,  Hong  Kong,  South  Korea  and  Taiwan),  whose  economies  also  started  out  at  the   same  level  as  India's  in  the  early  1950s.   •  The  Indian  economy  had  literally  stalled  at  3.5%  in  the  period  between  1950–1980.  In  this   Bme,  the  per  capita  income  of  India  hovered  at  1.3%.   Per  capita  GDP  of  South  Asian  economies  &  South  Korea  (1950-­‐1995)   45   42.4   40   35   30   24.8   25   20   15   11.4   11.8   11.8   12   7.1   9   7.6   8.3   7.5   7.8   10.2   7   6.5   8.4   9.4   6.5   5.7   7.6   9.4   8.3   10   5.1   5.2   5   0   1950   1960   1970   1980   1995   Bangladesh   India   Pakistan   Sri  Lanka   South  Korea   Source:  Eldis  &  Wikipedia   Back  to  Contents   15  
  • 16. The  Hindu/Socialist  Growth  Rate  (contd.)   •  Well-­‐known  Indian  journalist  Arun  Shourie  pointed  out  that  the  'Socialist  Rate  of  Growth'  was   a  direct  consequence  of  the  various  socialist  policies  which  prevailing  rigid  governments  had   implemented.  He  firmly  stressed  that  it  had  nothing  to  do  with  Hinduism,  whatsoever.   •  In  comparison  with  other  countries,  an  Indian's  average  yearly  income  stood  at  $439  in  1947,   while  this  was  $619,  $770  and  $936  for  China,  South  Korea  and  Taiwan,  respecBvely.     •  By  1999,  these  numbers  had  touched  $1,818,  $3,259,  $13,317  and  $15,720  for  the  four   countries,  respecBvely.   •  The  difference  between  India  and  South  Korea  stood  out  the  most.  In  1947,  the  per  capita   income  of  South  Korea  was  twice  that  of  India.   •  By  1960,  it  grew  to  four  Bmes  the  size  of  India's  per  capita  income.   •  By  1990,  the  South  Korean  per  capita  income  was  a  whopping  20  Bmes  that  of  India.   Countries  above  and   below  world  per     capita  income  of  USD   10,500   Above   Below   Back  to  Contents   16  
  • 17. Liberaliza1on:  A  New  Era   India  Ascending   Back  to  Contents  
  • 18. Liberaliza1on:  Background   •  Before  1990,  the  government  viewed  the  BriBsh  colonial  era  as  exploitaBve;   encouraged  by  the  reformaBve  views  of  BriBsh  Fabian  Socialists,  all  policies   designed  and  implemented  were  biased  towards  a  protecBonist  and  restricBve   environment.     •  The  policies  favored  import-­‐subsBtuBng  industrializaBon,  control  and  intervenBon   of  the  government  in  all  aspects  of  labor  issues  and  financial  sectors,  a   comprehensive  public  sector,  regulaBon  of  all  businesses  and  Central  Planning.   •  In  the  mid  1950s  many  industrial  sectors  including  steel,  water,  mining,  tools,   telecommunicaBon  and  insurance  were  effecBvely  transformed  into  state-­‐owned   enterprises.     •  Consequently,  only  few  licenses  for  steel,  power  and  telecommunicaBons  were   issued  to  private  players  and  these  select  few  managed  to  establish  giganBc   empires,  the  country  witnessed  the  emergence  of  a  very  extensive  public  sector,   many  of  these  government  enterprises  stockpiled  huge  losses  and  monopolized   the  economy.   •  This  resulted  in  severely  lagging  infrastructure,  with  insignificant  investments.   Back  to  Contents   18  
  • 19. Liberaliza1on:  Background  (contd.)   By  1991,  the  economy  was  at  a  breaking  point,  nearing  bankruptcy  and  unable  to  pay   internaBonal  creditors.   According  to  the  Astaire  Report   “In  return  for  an  IMF  bailout,  gold  was  transferred  to  London  as   collateral,  the  Rupee  devalued  and  economic  reforms  were  forced   upon  India.  That  low  point  was  the  catalyst  required  to  transform  the   economy  through  badly  needed  reforms  to  unshackle  the  economy.   Controls  started  to  be  dismantled,  tariffs,  duBes  and  taxes   progressively  lowered,  state  monopolies  broken,  the  economy  was   opened  to  trade  and  investment,  private  sector  enterprise  and   compeBBon  were  encouraged  and  globalizaBon  was  slowly   embraced.  The  reforms  process  conBnues  today  and  is  accepted  by   all  poliBcal  parBes.”   Back  to  Contents   19  
  • 20. The  New  Policy   in  India  under  the  leadership  of  the  Prime  Minister  P.V.   •  In  1991,  breakthrough  reforms  began   Narasimha  Rao  and  Finance  Minister  Manmohan  Singh.   •  First  and  foremost,  the  new  policy  dispensed  with  the  License  Raj.   •  The  government  concentrated  on  increasing  foreign  investment  ,  increased  parBcipaBon  and   investment  by  enthusiasBc  private  sector,  deregulaBng  Indian  business  ventures,  reducing  the   country's  fiscal  deficit  and  ramping  up  the  financing  and  investment  in  the  country's  sagging   infrastructure.   •  Some  notable  reforms:   –  Industrial  licensing  was  removed,  while  norms  regulaBng  industrial  growth  were  raBonalized.   –  The  SEBI  Act  was  introduced  in  1992  along  with  amended  Security  Laws.   –  The  NaBonal  Stock  Exchange  was  established  in  1994  as  a  trading  system  based  on   computers.  It  became  the  country's  largest  exchange  by  1996;  with  T+2  senlement  &   clearance.     –  Tariffs  were  slashed  from  the  previous  85%  to  a  significantly  lower  25%.     –  The  government  increased  the  cap  on  foreign  investment  from  40%  to  51%  and  allowed   100%  foreign  equity  in  certain  'priority'  sectors  for  the  first  Bme.  The  procedures  for   obtaining  FDI  approvals  were  significantly  raBonalized  and  consolidated.   –  The  government  also  iniBated  the  privaBzaBon  process  of  several  large  and  inefficient  public   sector  companies.   Back  to  Contents   20  
  • 21. The  New  Policy  (contd.)   •  The  Vajpayee  government  conBnued  with  privaBzaBon  procedures,  reducBon  of  taxes  and  duBes   and  a  stable  fiscal  policy  which  aimed  primarily  at  reducBon  of  debt  and  deficit.   •  Disclosure  of  informaBon  was  earlier  limited  and  restricted  by  the  Indian  government.  On  June  15,   2005,  the  government  passed  a  new  law  in  Parliament  –  the  Right  to  InformaBon  (RTI)  act.     •  The  enforcement  of  the  RTI  was  a  landslide  victory  for  the  Indian  people,  who  now  had   unprecedented  access  to  government  informaBon,  unlike  the  restricBve  past.   •  In  2008,  India  signed  a  bilateral  agreement  with  the  US  on  civil  nuclear  cooperaBon  between  the  two   countries.     •  This  was  one  of  the  biggest  internaBonal  agreements  made  by  India,  by  virtue  of  which  India   promised  to  disjoin  its  civil  and  nuclear  units,  thereby  placing  its  nuclear  faciliBes  under  the  purview   of  safeguards  of  the  InternaBonal  Atomic  Energy  Agency  (IAEA).   •  In  return,  U.S.A.  agreed  to  work  towards  complete  nuclear  cooperaBon  with  India.   •  Indian  media,  primarily  television,  was  one  of  the  biggest  beneficiaries  of  the  economic  liberalizaBon   era.     •  Before  liberalizaBon,  television  was  state-­‐owned  with  only  one  channel:  Doordarshan.     •  A_er  liberalizaBon,  the  government  not  only  permined,  but  encouraged  foreign  investors  to  engage   in  Indian  media  operaBons.     •  Satellite  broadcasts  began  with  companies  such  as  CNN  and  Zee  TV  among  others.     •  Today  television  caters  to  more  than  400  million  people  in  70  million  homes,  via  more  than  100   diversified  channels.   Back  to  Contents   21  
  • 22. Indian  Economic  History:  Ups  &  Downs   Then...   •  Before  and  during  the  period  leading  up  to  colonial  rule,  India's  contribuBon  to  the   world  economy  was  outstanding.   •  India  accounted  for  a  nearly  40%  of  global  wealth,  the  largest  in  the  world.   •  Under  Mughal  rule,  India's  share  was  $17.5  million,  $1.5  million  more  than  Britain's   $16  million.   •  During  Aurangazeb’s  rule  (1700s),  the  Indian  economy  accounted  for  24.4%  of  the   world's  total.  Under  BriBsh  rule,  in  1820,  India's  share  in  the  world  economy   plummeted  to  16%;  in  1870,  it  fell  further  to  12.2%  and  by  1913,  India's  share  was  a   miniscule  7.6%.   •  In  1952,  the  Indian  economy’s  share  was  only  3.8%  in  world  income;  in  1973,  it  was   around  $495  billion  or  just  3.1%.   A`er  liberaliza1on...   •  In  1998,  India's  economy  totaled  nearly  $1,703  billion  and  its  contribuBon  to  global   economy  inched  up  to  5%.  In  2005,  India's  economic  contribuBon  to  world  income   edged  up  further  to  6.3%  and  totaled  $3,816  billion  on  Purchasing  Power  Parity  basis.   Back  to  Contents   22  
  • 23. The  Catalyst  for  Change:  People   •  India's  burgeoning  populaBon  was  cited  as  the  primary  reason  for  all  economic   and  social  issues  and  was  considered  a  hindrance  to  development.   •  However,  it  is  the  progressive  populaBon  which  has  been  crucial  in  India’s  dynamic   resurgence  in  the  last  2  decades.  Out  of  every  10  Indians,  seven  are  below  25  years   of  age.  Prime  Minister  Dr  Manmohan  Singh  commented  that  India  is  forecasted  to   produce  500  million  workers  by  2020.     •  This  would  account  for  a  quarter  of  the  global  work  force.  Within  the  next  ten   years,  the  average  working  age  of  an  Indian  is  pegged  to  be  29.  This  contrasts  with   the  average  working  age  of  60  in  the  US  and  Europe,  and  45  in  China.   •  According  to  the  InternaBonal  Labor  OrganizaBon  (ILO),  India  will  not  surpass   China's  populaBon  Bll  2030,  but  will  have  more  youngsters  (aged  20–24)  by  2013.   India  will  have  116  million  workers  in  this  age  limit,  in  contrast  to  94  million     in  China.   •  The  downside  to  India's  exponenBal  economic  growth  is  that  the  demand  for   educated  graduates  is  increasing  every  day  from  all  sectors  ranging  from  IT  to   retail  to  professional  services.   Back  to  Contents   23  
  • 24. The  Catalyst  for  Change:  People  (contd.)   Popula1on  Median  Age  (in  years)  in  2006   50   43.0   36.0   37.0   40   33.0   30   24.0   20   10   0   India   China   US   Russia   Japan   Growth  in  Working  Age  Popula1on  (15-­‐64  years)  by  2010  (in  million)   Stock  Posi1on   Addi1ons  to  Working  Age  Popula1on   2005   by  2010   World   4,168   314   India   691   71   Africa   500   64   China   934   44   South  East  Asia   362   33   LaBn  America   359   31   Southern  Asia   132   17   US   200   10   Europe   497   0   Japan   85   -­‐3   -­‐5   40   85   130   175   220   265   310   355   In  million   Back  to  Contents   24  
  • 25. Looking  Ahead   •  India  harbors  the  world's  second  largest  English-­‐speaking  populaBon,  both  in   absolute  and  GDP  terms.   •  This  is  one  of  the  main  reasons  why  Indian  employees  are  in  high  demand.  Apart   from  the  indigenous  growth  in  human  resources  and  domesBc  employment,   various  internaBonal  companies  outsource  their  operaBons  to  India.  Outsourcing   has  become  a  lucraBve  employment  opportunity  for  young  Indians,  whose  lifestyle   changes  are  spurring  domesBc    demand  for  many  goods  and  services.   •  Apart  from  people,  a  vast  and  humming  democracy,  the  mix  of  industries  and   services  which  make  up  the  Indian  economy,  play  an  important  role  in  ever   increasing  interest  from  the  global  community.   •  India  focuses  on  manufacturing  high  quality  precision  products,  mainly  in  the   so_ware  and  design  industry  and  is  a  world  leader  in  the  IT  sector,  not  to  forget   Cricket  and  Bollywood  –  India’s  mesmerizing  passion  for  sports  and  creaBve   media.   •  India  is  focused  on  manufacturing  goods  such  as  industrial  grade  steel,  tanks,   ships,  etc.  The  automoBve  industry  has  witnessed  an  unprecedented  growth  in   recent  Bmes.     Back  to  Contents   25  
  • 26. Looking  Ahead  (contd.)   What  makes  India  an  abrac1ve  economy  to  invest  and  par1cipate  in?   •  Poli1cal:  The  world’s  largest  democracy  conBnues  to  endure  63  years  a_er  independence   from  colonial  rule.   •  Social:  A  relaBvely  stable  society  which  acBvely  pracBces  social,  cultural  and  religious   tolerance,  is  open  to  new  experiences  and  cultures,  and  openly  welcomes  diverse  people  from   all  walks  of  life.   •  Economic:  Indigenous  industry  and  innovaBon  are  acBvely  encouraged  since  liberalizaBon.   Witness  the  progress  made  by  companies  such  as  Wipro,  Infosys,  the  Tata  Group,  Reliance  and   many  more.   •  Interna1onal:  India  is  a  respected  member  of  the  internaBonal  community  –  poliBcally,   economically,  socially  and  culturally.   At  the  same  Bme,  a  lot  of  progress  is  sBll  needed  to  ensure  the  arrival  of  sustainable  and  fully     developed  India;  a  valuable  member  of  Global  CiBzenship.  Regional  poliBcs,  poverty,  illiteracy,   weak  infrastructure,  corrupBon  and  lack  of  accountability,  lax  laws  and  public  apathy  are  the   major  reasons  for  the  slow  progress  .   But  the  situaBon  is  infinitely  brighter  than  it  was  20  to  30  years  ago  as  India  conBnues  to  grow   steadily,  now  powered  by  People  and  facilitated  by  the  Government;  Aspira'on  Unleashed.   Back  to  Contents   26  
  • 27. The  Global  Power  Sector   Energizing  the  World   Back  to  Contents  
  • 28. Top  Six  Power  Producers  &  Consumers   Back  to  Contents  
  • 29. Power  Genera1on  &  Consump1on  Facts   •  USA  accounts  for  25%  of  total  energy  consumpBon  in  the  world,  with  only  5%  of   the  total  global  populaBon.   •  Energy  consumpBon  per  person:     ‒  USA  (11  kW  per  person)   ‒  Germany  &  Japan  (6  kW  per  person)   ‒  China  (1.6  kW  per  person)     ‒  India  (0.7  kW  per  person)     ‒  Bangladesh  (0.2  kW  per  person)   •  China’s  energy  consumpBon  has  increased  by  almost  6%  every  year  in  the  last  25   years.   •  Coal-­‐fired  thermal  power  plants  sBll  conBnue  to  be  the  major  source  of  power  in   most  countries.   •  Hydroelectric  power  is  the  largest  source  of  power  in  Brazil,  Norway,  Paraguay,   Canada,  Venezuela  and  Switzerland.   •  Norway  &  Paraguay:  Hydroelectric  projects  contribute  100%  to  total  power   generated;  Paraguay  exports  90%  of  this  power  to  ArgenBna  &  Brazil.     Back  to  Contents  
  • 30. New  Areas  of  Focus   •  India,  China  and  the  United  Kingdom  are  anracBng  huge  interest  with  respect  to   increased  investment  acBvity  in  power  sector.   350   312   304   300   288   289   245   211   2006   2007   2008   2009   Source:  China  Electricity  Council   Government  spending  on  electricity  generaBon   Government  spending  on  grid  capacity   Back  to  Contents  
  • 31. Cumula1ve  Investment  in  the  Power  Sector     by  Region   •  China  leads  with  respect  to  investments  in  the  power  sector,  in  comparison  with   other  global  economies,  with  India  in  the  fourth  posiBon  a_er  OrganisaBon  for   Economic  Co-­‐operaBon  and  Development  (OECD)  regions  such  as  North  America   and  Europe.   OECD  Pacific   OECD  North  America   China   GeneraBon   Rest  of  Developing  Asia   Transmission   Other  LaBn  America   DistribuBon   Middle  East   0   500   1000   1500   2000   2500   3000   3500   Billion  Dollars  (2005)   Source:  IEA,  World  Energy  Outlook,  2006   Back  to  Contents  
  • 32. Future  Outlook   •  According  to  staBsBcs  released  by  the  U.S.  Energy  InformaBon  AdministraBon  (EIA)  in   its  InternaBonal  Energy  Outlook  2009,  global  electricity  generaBon  is  set  to  rise  by  a   whopping  77%  from  2006-­‐2030,  with  an  average  growth  of  2.4%  per  year!   •   By  2030,  non-­‐OECD  countries  (including  India)  are  expected  to  account  for  nearly  60%   of  the  global  electricity  consumpBon.   Trillion  Kilowanhours   Index,  1990  =  1   History   ProjecBons   History   ProjecBons   Total   Net  Electricity   GeneraBon   Total  Energy   OECD   ConsumpBon   Non-­‐OECD   Source:  History:  Energy  InformaCon  AdministraCon  (EIA),  InternaConal  Energy  Annual  2006  (June-­‐December  2008),  web  site   www.eia.doe.gov/iea.  Projec'ons:  EIA,  World  Energy  ProjecCons  Plus  (2009)   Back  to  Contents  
  • 33. Future  Outlook  (contd.)   •  Coal-­‐fired  power  generaBon  was  responsible  for   41%  of  the  global  electricity  producBon  in  2006.     Trillion   •  With  an  esBmated  global  share  of  43%  in  2030,  it   15   Kilowanhours   is  expected  to  maintain  its  number  one  posiBon   as  the  most  coveted  fuel  for  electricity   generaBon.   10   •  Natural  gas-­‐based  power  generaBon,  will  follow   renewable  energy  as  the  fastest  growing  power   source,  with  a  growth  rate  of  2.7%  every  year   through  2030.   5   •  Global  oil  prices,  which  are  already  skyrockeBng,   are  expected  to  touch  $130/barrel  in  2020.     •  Even  though  it  is  forecasted  to  rise  0.7%  from   2006  to  2015,  oil-­‐based  power  generaBon  will   0   2006   2010   2015   2020   2025   2030   drop  0.5%  on  average  every  year  a_er  that  Bll   2030.   Liquid   Nuclear   Renewables   Natural  Gas   Coal   •  Nuclear  power-­‐based  electricity  producBon  is   Source:  2006:  Derived  from  Energy  InformaCon  AdministraCon   (EIA),  InternaConal  Energy  Annual  2006  (June-­‐December  2008),   forecasted  to  rise  nearly  41%  to  3.8  trillion   web  site  www.eia.doe.gov/iea.  Projec'ons:  EIA,  World  Energy   kilowan-­‐hours  in  2030  from  2006  levels.   ProjecCons  Plus  (2009)   Back  to  Contents  
  • 34. Future  Outlook  (contd.)   •  Non-­‐OECD  Asia,  led  by  China  and  India,  has   the  potenBal  to  become  the  fastest   growing  economy  (at  a  rate  of  4.4%)  in  the   Trillion  Kilowanhours   global  power  generaBon  sector  in  the   10   period  spanning  2006–2030.   •  In  2006,  79%  of  China's  and  71%  of  India's   8   total  electricity  generaBon  was  anributed   to  coal.  On  current  projecBons,  in  2030,   6   coal  will  account  for  56%  of  India's  and   75%  of  China's  power  producBon.   4   •  As  with  the  other  countries,  non-­‐OECD  Asia   will  witness  a  drop  in  the  demand  for  liquid   2   fuels  to  power  electricity  producBon.   •  India  has  laid  out  plans  to  increase  nuclear   0   2006   2010   2015   2020   2025   2030   power  generaBon  capacity  from  the   Liquid   Renewables   Natural  Gas   Nuclear   Coal   currently  operaBonal  3  gigawans  (GW)  to   20  GW  by  2020  and  to  40  GW  by  the  end  of   Source:  2006:  Derived  from  Energy  InformaCon  AdministraCon   (EIA),  InternaConal  Energy  Annual  2006  (June-­‐December  2008),   2030.   web  site  www.eia.doe.gov/iea.  Projec'ons:  EIA,  World  Energy   ProjecCons  Plus  (2009)   Back  to  Contents  
  • 35. Country  Analysis:  India   •  Currently,  of  the  total  electricity  consumed  in  India,  75%  is  generated  by  thermal  power   plants,  21%  by  hydroelectric  plants  and  4%  by  nuclear  power  plants.   •  India  had  an  installed  electricity  capacity  of  144  GW  in  2006,  generated  703  billion  KWh  of   power.   •  In  2006,  thermal  sources  accounted  for  ~71%  of  the  electricity  producBon,  hydel  power  for   16%,  nuclear  energy  for  2%,  and  renewable  energy  sources  accounBng  for  the  rest.   800   ConvenBonal  Thermal   Hydroeletric   Nuclear   Geothermal,  Solar,  Wind,  and  Water   700   600   500   400   300   200   100   0   1986   1991   1996   2001   2006   Source:  Country  Analysis  Briefs,  EIA   Back  to  Contents  
  • 36. Country  Analysis:  India  (contd.)   •  India’s  current  electricity  consumpBon  of  600  TWH  is  set  to  double  within  the  next  ten  years.   •  GeneraBng  capacity  needs  to  increase  from  150  GW  in  2006  to  241  GW  in  2020  to  meet   increased  demand.   •  GeneraBon  capacity  increased  by  40  %  in  2006  over  2000,  on  account  of  reforms  in  2003   which  iniBated  much-­‐needed  restructuring  of  the  power  sector.  Yet,  it  is  esBmated  that  at   least  500  million  Indians  sBll  have  no  access  to  electricity.   •  This  effecBvely  points  to  the    HUGE  potenBal  in  the  Indian  power  generaBon  arena.   •  India’s  peak  power  deficit  is  expected  to  hover  at  12.6%  of  total  capacity  this  year  –  up  from   11.9%  in  2009.   •  The  lucraBve  nature  of  this  sector  is  spurring  private  investors  to  begin  building  power  plants   in  the  country.   •  Private  investment  share  in  power  generaBon  currently  stands  at  13%,  and  is  expected  to   grow  with  numerous  foreign  and  domesBc  investments  planned.   •  Although  India’s  growth  rate  in  the  period  between  2000–2008  was  the  second  highest   among  BRIC  countries  at  5.7%,  its  per  capita  consumpBon  of  electricity  was  the  lowest.   •  India  is  indeed  an  'ATTRACTIVE  DESTINATION  FOR  FOREIGN  CAPITAL  INVESTMENT.’    (Source:  KPMG  Survey)   Back  to  Contents  
  • 37. Country  Analysis:  USA   •  Ranks  highest  on  the  world's  'energy   consumer'  list  with  a  total  usage  of  100   quadrillion  BTU/105  exajoules  (EJ)  in  2005  –   thrice  the  amount  consumed  55  years  ago.  It  is   the  world's  seventh  largest  per  capita  energy   Natural   Gas   consumer.   21.6%   •  Forty  percent  of  the  country's  energy  was   Coal   sourced  from  petroleum,  23%  from  thermal   48.5%   coal  and  similar  amounts  from  natural  gas  in   Nuclear   2005.  Nuclear  power  accounted  for  8.4%,   19.4%   while  renewable  energy    represented  7.3%.   •  In  the  period  of  1992–2005,  270,000  MWE  of   gas  based  power  was  added.  Only  14,000   MWE  of  fresh  nuclear  and  coal-­‐fired  capacity   Hydroeletric,   5.8%   came  on  stream,  of  this  2,315  MWE  was   Other   Renewable nuclear.   Gases   s  2.5%   Other   0.3%   0.3%   Petroleum   •  In  2008,  US  wind  power  capacity  was  at   16,818  MW.   1.6%   •  The  SEGS  group  of  solar  plants  in  the  Mojave   Sources:  EIA,  Form  EIA-­‐923,  “Power  Plant  OperaCons  Report”  and   Desert  has  a  capacity  of    354  MW.  It  is  the   predecessor  form(s)  including  Form  EIA-­‐906  “Power  Plant  Report”     world's  largest  solar  plant.   and  Form  EIA-­‐920.  “Combined  Heat  and  Power  Plant  Report.”   Back  to  Contents  
  • 38. Country  Analysis:  China    China’s  electricity  generaBng  capacity   YEARLY  INCREASE     has  surged  over  the  last  four  years   IN  MEGAWATTS   because  of  a  boom  in  the  construcBon  of   120000   new  power  plants.  China  has  emerged  in   the  past  two  years  as  the  world’s  leading   builder  of  so-­‐called  clean  coal  power   100000   plants.   80000   60000   Yearly  increase  in   power  genera1ng   capacity   40000   20000   0   '97   '98   '99   '00   '01   '02   '03   '04   '05   '06   '07   '08   Thermal  power  (virtually  all  coal)   All  power  sources   Source:  China  NaConal  Bureau  of  StaCsCcs,  via  CEIC  data   Sources:  Energy  InternaConal  Annual   Back  to  Contents  
  • 39. Country  Analysis:  China  (contd.)   •  Total  electricity  generaBon  was  3.71  trillion  kWh  in  2009,  while  consumpBon  was  almost  on  par  at  3.64   trillion  kWh.   •  Total  installed  capacity  for  electricity  producBon  is  874  GW  –  a  10%  increase  year-­‐on-­‐year.   •  The  naBon  plans  to  establish  a  grid  spanning  the  enBre  country  in  the  period  between  2015–2020.   •  TradiBonally  generaBng  most  of  its  electricity  from  coal,  China  is  in  the  process  of  se~ng  up  more  than  550   greenfield  coal-­‐fired  thermal  power  plants  over  the  coming  years.   •  Leading  the  world's  renewable  energy  arena  with  a  152  GW  installed  capacity,  China  ranks  highest  among   the  global  wind  turbine  and  solar  panel  producing  countries.   •  The  naBon's  consumpBon  of  renewables  for  electricity  generaBon  is  set  to  touch  10%  of  its  total  electricity   producBon  in  2010  and  16%  in  2020.   •  With  the  world's  largest  hydel  power  capacity,  China  generated  616  billion  kWh  of  electricity  in  2009  from   hydel  power  -­‐  nearly  17%  of  its  total  electricity  producBon.   •  China  aims  for  a  70  GW  nuclear  power  capacity  by  2020  and  160  GW  by  2030.   Source:  NaConal  Bureau  of  StaCsCcs  of  China   Back  to  Contents  
  • 40. Country  Analysis:  Japan   •  Imports  significant  quanBBes  of  crude  oil,  natural  gas  and  rare  fuels  such  as  uranium,  due  to  a  severe  dearth   of  fossil  fuels  barring  coal.   •  Dependent  on  imported  primary  energy  fuels  for  over  84%  in  1990.   •  In  2008,  Japan  took  third  spot  in  global  electricity  generaBon  values,  following  USA  and  China.  Japan   generated  a  linle  more  than  1  trillion  kWh  that  year.   •  Japan's  per  capita  electricity  consumpBon  was  nearly  8,500  kWh  in  2004  –  21.8%  higher  than  levels  in  1990,   but  68%  lower  than  the  average  per  capita  electricity  consumed  by  Americans  in  2004.   •  More  acBve  in  nuclear  power  generaBon  with  53  acBve  nuclear  power  plants  in  2009,  third  only  to  USA   which  had  104  reactors  and  France  with  59.   Source:  U.S.  Energy  InformaCon  AdministraCon   Back  to  Contents  
  • 41. Country  Analysis:  Russia   •  One  of  the  world's  two  energy  super  powers   (the  other  being  Saudi  Arabia).   •  Russia    harbors  the  largest  known  reserves  of   natural  gas,  second  largest  reserves  of  coal   and  eighth  largest  oil  reserves  in  the  world.   •  Follows  USA,  China  and  Japan  as  the  fourth   Hydro   largest  electricity  generaBng  economy  in  the   21%   world,  Russia  is  also  the  world's  largest  net   energy  exporter  &  supplier  to  the  European   Union.     •  In  2005,  the  country  exported  23  TWH  of  the   Nuclear   Thermal   total  951  TWH  that  it  generated.   63%   16%   •  It  produced  175  TWH  of  hydro  electricity  in   2005  –  nearly  6%  of  the  world's  total  hydel   power  generaBon.   •  Total  installed  nuclear  capacity:21,244  MW.   •  In  2005,  Russia  generated  149  TWH  nuclear   energy  –  >5%  of  global  generaBon.   Sources:  EIA  (www.eia.doe.gov)   Back  to  Contents  
  • 42. Country  Analysis:  Brazil   •  Total  consumpBon  of  410  TWH  in  2007.   •  Heavily  reliant  on  hydroelectric  power   generaBon.   •  Total  of  633  hydel  plants  with  installed   capacity  of  73,678  MW  as  of  2007.   •  10%  of  total  power  generaBon  is  from   natural  gas,  to  be  increased  to  12%  by   2010.   •  Remains  a  net  importer  of  electricity,   mainly  from  ArgenBna,  yet  striving  for  self-­‐ sufficiency.   Sources:  EIA  InternaConal  Energy  Annual   Back  to  Contents  
  • 43. Indian  Infrastructure  Sector   InviBng  Private  Investment   Back  to  Contents  
  • 44. Infrastructure:  An  Overview   •  Building  world-­‐class  infrastructure  in  developing  countries  like  India  is  a  greater  imperaBve  than  it  is  in   developed  economies,  many  of  which  have  reached  saturaBon  point.   •  Total  investment  requirement  in  India’s  infrastructure  sector  is  esBmated  to  be  $445  billion  in  2012   (beginning  of  the  12th  Five  Year  Plan),  of  which  power  sector  requirements  are  the  highest,  at  $143  billion.   •  Investment  of  $1.7  trillion  over  the  next  ten  years  (2010–2020)  is  required  in  the  infrastructure  sector   (Source:  Goldman  Sachs).   •  Reasons:     –  Explosive  growth  in  populaBon;     –  Infrastructure  for  rapid  industrial  growth  to  sustain  itself;  and     –  Increase  in  passenger  and  commercial  traffic.     •  In  the  four  years  preceding  the  global  recession,  the  economy  grew  consistently     by  8.5-­‐9%,  increasing  the  need  for  higher  infrastructure  spending.   •  FDI  inflows:     –  $7.8  billion  in  2005–2006,     –  $19.5  billion  in  2006–2007  and     –  $24  billion  in  2007–2008  –  are  inadequate  for  infrastructure  growth.   •  A  Compounded  Annual  Growth  Rate  (CAGR)  of  15%  over  the  next  5  years  is  required  to  sustain  industrial   growth.   •  In  India,  much  of  funding  in  infrastructure  has  been  in  the  form  of  loans  and  government  funding,   increased  FDI  parBcipaBon  is  essenBal  and  acBvely  encouraged.   Back  to  Contents   44  
  • 45. Government  Ini1a1ves  in  Infrastructure  I   A  radical  change  in  strategy  by  the  Government  of  India  –  Abrac1ng  private  sector   investments,  both  foreign  and  domes1c,  in  infrastructure  which  requires  a   massive  infusion  of  funds  as  well  as  mul1-­‐disciplinary  know-­‐how.   •  Priority-­‐Sector  status  for  construcBon  of  roads  and  highways.   •  Cess  levied  on  petrol  and  diesel  to  fund  road  projects.   •  Venture  Capitalists  invesBng  in  power  or  telecom  exempted  from  paying  taxes  on   dividend  income  and  long  term  capital  gains.   •  Tax  exempBon  for  40%  of  profits  from  long-­‐term  financing  of  infrastructure   projects,  subject  to  certain  condiBons.   •  Tax  exempBon  in  income  from  dividends  and  interest,  and  long-­‐term  capital  gains   for  Infrastructure  Capital  Funds.   •  Five-­‐year  tax  holiday  for  Build-­‐Operate-­‐Transfer  (BOT)  and  Build-­‐Own-­‐Operate-­‐ Transfer  (BOOT)  projects  in  all  crucial  infrastructure  segments  –  roads,  power,   airports,  ports,  bridges,  railways,  etc.   Back  to  Contents   45  
  • 46. Government  Ini1a1ves  in  Infrastructure  II   •  Tax  breaks,  annuity  payments  and  capital  grants  for  road  project  funding.   •  Foreign  InsBtuBonal  Investors  (FIIs)  now  allowed  to  invest  in  unlisted   infrastructure  companies  (considerable  delays  in  lisBng  infrastructure  companies   due  to  long  gestaBon  periods).   •  Delinking  of  PSUs  so  that  power  equipment  manufacturers  can  sell  equipment  in   the  merchant  market.   •  Projects  to  be  reserved  for  the  private  sector  and  awarded  through  compeBBve   bidding.   •  Open  access  to  Transmission  &  DistribuBon  (T&D)  network;  enhanced  regulaBon   of  T&D  to  cut  losses.   •  Proximity  advantage  of  coal  and  other  fuel  linkages  and  “Zero”  import  duty  for   capital  goods  import  for  plants  being  set  up  with  iniBal  installed  capacity  of  1000   MW  or  more.   •  100%  FDI  allowed  in  all  energy  sectors  except  Atomic  Energy   •  PPPs  are  favored  model  where  public  and  private  sectors  bring  their  respecBve   strengths  to  the  table.   Back  to  Contents   46  
  • 47. Private  Sector  Investment  Ini1a1ves   Radical  reforms  in  government  policies  on  infrastructure  have  galvanized  the  private   sector  to  increase  investments  in  infrastructure.   To  invest  $5.48  billion  in  its  thermal  power  business  to  realize  its  hydro  generaBon  capacity   target  of  5500  MW  by  2015.   Invested  $10  million  in  a  container  freight  staBon  at  Ponneri  in  Tamil  Nadu.   Plans  to  invest  50.36  million  pounds  at  its  railway  producBon  facility  in  Hayange,  France.   Firmed-­‐up  plans  for  invesBng  $5.19  billion  for  its  upcoming  power  plants  at  Mundra,  Maithon   and  Jojobera  over  a  period  of  three  years.   Plans  to  invest  $1  billion  in  se~ng  up  2  to  3  greenfield  plants  in  the  country.   Se~ng  up  Ultra-­‐Mega  Power  Plants  (UMPPs)  with  a  combined  generaBon  capacity  of  nearly   16000  MW.   Plans  to  add  another  4380  MW  thermal  and  6100  MW  hydro-­‐power  capacity  in  the  next  5   years  (exisBng  capacity  of  1000  MW).   Three  joint  ventures  between  Toshiba  CorporaBon  (Japan)  &  JSW  Group,  Ansaldo  Caldalo  SpA  (Italy)  and  GB   Engineering  Enterprises,  and  Alstom  SA  (France)  and  Bharat  Forge  planning  to  launch  power  equipment   manufacturing  faciliBes.   Back  to  Contents   47  
  • 48. FDI  in  India  I   •  India  ranks  third  today  in  anracBng  total  FDI  and  is  expected  to  conBnue  within  the  first  five   (Source:  UNCTAD  Report  “World  Investment  Prospects  Survey”).   •  India  is  ranked  the  second-­‐most  promising  investment  desBnaBon,  a  sign  of  how  far  India  has   come  since  its  days  of  closed  door  policy  in  the  1980s,  when  FDI  was  allowed  only  in  cases   where  technical  knowhow  was  required  (Investor  Survey  conducted  in  Japan  in  2009).   •  Improved  investor  confidence  resulted  in  India  anracBng  $1.74  billion  of  FDI  in  Nov  2009,   61.1%  higher  than  the  FDI  inflow  of  $1.08  billion  in  the  corresponding  period  of  2008.     •  Investment  in  the  infrastructure  sector  has  doubled  from  4%  of  GDP  in  2004–2005  to  8%  of   GDP  in  2007–2008  (Source  Data  from  Planning  Commission).   •  Comparisons  between  FDI  inflows  to  India  and  China  are  very  common.  While  China  adopted   the  Top-­‐Down  model,  se~ng  up  its  physical  infrastructure  first,  India  adopted  the  Bonom-­‐Up   model,  pu~ng  a  policy  framework  in  place  first  before  emphasizing  focus  on  infrastructure.   •  Net  FDI  inflows  to  China  increased  from  $0.4  billion  in  1990  to  $52.7  billion  in  2002,  while   inflows  to  India  went  up  from  $0.07  billion  to  a  meager  $2.6  billion  in  the  same  period.   •  India’s  FDI  as  a  share  of  GDP  was  1.7%,  while  China’s  was  2.8%  in  2007,  considering  much   larger  GDP  base  of  China.   •  China  ranked  1st  in  the  FDI  Confidence  Index  (2002  and  2003),  while  India  ranked  15th  in   2002  and  6th  in  2003  (Source:  AT  Kearney  report).   Back  to  Contents   48  
  • 49. FDI  in  India  II   •  French  power  equipment  manufacturer  Alstom  has  partnered  with  Bharat  Forge  to  invest   $105.6  million  in  a  power  equipment  plant.   •  Federal  Agency  for  State  Property  Management  of  Russian  FederaBon  will  buy  a  20%  stake  in   telecom  company  Sistema  Shyam.   •  ADB  has  approved  financial  assistance  of  $200  million  for  investment  in  the  power  sector  in   Assam  for  a  project  with  innovaBve  features  such  as  off-­‐grid  renewable  energy-­‐based   electricity,  reducBon  in  CHG  emissions  and  distribuBon  through  franchisees.   •  The  Unar  Pradesh  government,  which  is  targeBng  total  power  generaBon  of  25,000  MW  by   the  end  of  the  12th  Five  Year  Plan  (2017),  has  signed  a  MoU  with  Lanco  Infratech  for  se~ng   up  plants  to  generate  1320  and  660  MW  at  Fatehpur  and  Anpara,  and  with  Bajaj  Hindustan   for  400  MW  at  five  of  its  sugar  mills.   •  CumulaBve  FDI  inflows  into  India  between  1990  and  2007  were  $160  billion.   •  The  majority  of  FDI  inflows  were  from  USA,  UK,  Japan,  MauriBus,  Netherlands,  Singapore,   South  Korea  and  France.   Back  to  Contents   49  
  • 50. Sector-­‐Specific  Outlook   The  Growth  Factor   Back  to  Contents  
  • 51. Ports   •  The  coastline  in  India  is  7,517  kilometers,   Government  ini1a1ve   touching  13  states;  there  are  12  major  and   187  minor  ports  in  the  country  (Source:  The   The  Public  Private  Partnership  Appraisal  Comminee  (PPAC)   Economic  Survey,  2007–2008).   set-­‐up  to  evaluate  and  sancBon  JV  projects,  has  approved  4   PPP  projects  valued  over  $897.7  million.     •  Indian  ports  are  not  compeBBve  enough:   average  turnaround  Bme  for  cargo  services   •  Development  of  a  mega-­‐container  terminal  at  Chennai   is  3.5  days  as  compared  to  10  hours  in   Port.   Hong  Kong  ports.   •  Developing  a  berth  to  serve  mulBple  purposes  at   Paradip  Port,  Orissa.   •  Some  improvements  have  been  made  and   •  Development  of  a  container  terminal  at  the  New   traffic  handling  has  grown  by  10.7%  (third   Mangalore  Port.   quarter  ended  December  2009)  over  the   corresponding  period  in  2008  (Indian  Ports   •  Development  of  a  2nd  North  Cargo  Berth  at  TuBcorin   AssociaBon  (IPA)  figures).   Port  (Tamil  Nadu).   •  Major  ports  registered  a  12.8%  year-­‐on-­‐ Future  projects  cleared  by  the  Cabinet  Commibee   year  (YOY)  growth  in  cargo  volumes,  due  to   increased  capaciBes.     on  Infrastructure  (CCI)  in  the  pipeline   •  Total  investment  required  for  upgrading   •  Development  of  a  $1.44  billion  container  terminal,  at   and  modernizing  ports  in  the  11th  Five  Year   the  busy  Jawaharlal  Nehru  Port.     Plan  (2007–2012)  is  around  $12  billion   •  ConstrucBon  of  a  $129.6  million  standalone  container   (Economic  Survey,  2007–2008).   handling  facility  at  Mumbai  Port  (to  be  completed   within  2  years).     Back  to  Contents   51  
  • 52. Roads  I   •  India  has  one  of  the  largest  road  networks  worldwide:  3.34  million  km.   •  The  GOI  has  ambiBous  plans  for  private  sector  parBcipaBon  in  the  massive  investment   program  for  development  and  upgrade  projects  as  a  PPP  model.   •  The  total  investment  Bll  the  end  of  the  11th  Five  Year  Plan  (2012)  is  approximately  $55  billion   (Source:  The  Economic  Survey,  2007–2008).   Upcoming  projects   •  Road-­‐widening  project  (covering  445  km)  to  be  undertaken  by  the  NaBonal  Highways  Authority  of  India   (NHAI)  at  an  esBmated  cost  of  $950  million  in  a  design-­‐build-­‐finance-­‐operate-­‐transfer  (DBFOT)  model.   •  Four  lane  road  (83.85  km)  at  the  Godhra-­‐Gujarat-­‐Madhya  Pradesh  border,  at  a  cost  of  $156.55  million.   The  government  will  meet  the  pre-­‐construcBon  cost  of  $24.5  million  for  land  acquisiBon.   •  Four  lane  road  (13  km)  on  the  Coimbatore  bypass  at  $186.2  million.   •  Six  lane  road  (54.83  km)  on  the  Chengalpanu  highway.   •  Four  lane  road  (155.15  km)  connecBng  Indore  and  Jhabua  at  a  cost  of  $256.65  million  (DBFOT  model).   •  Four  lane  road  connecBng  Haridwar  and  Dehra  Dun  on  a  DBFOT  basis  at  a  cost  of  $104.4  million.   •  Four  lane  road  (80  km)  connecBng  Muzaffarnagar  and  Haridwar  at  a  cost  of  $164.6  million.   •  Four  lane  road  (65.07  km)  on  Goa-­‐Karnataka  border  at  $102.8  million  under  DBFOT.   Back  to  Contents   52  
  • 53. Roads  II   Projects  funded  purely  by  the  private  sector   • Reliance  Infra:  $218.3  million  DBOFT  project  on  the  Pune  -­‐  Satara  Road,  with  four   lane  roads  connecBng  the  ports  at  Mundhra  and  Kandla,  to  be  completed  by  2012.   • Another  project  executed  at  a  cost  of  $165.5  million  by  a  consorBum  of  private   sector  companies  connects  Electronic  City  and  Silk  Board  juncBon  in  Bangalore,   Karnataka.  Based  on  a  Build-­‐Operate-­‐Transfer  (BOT)  model,  it  is  scheduled  for   transfer  to  the  NHAI  a_er  18  years.  The  boasts  of  innovaBve  features  such  as  CCTV   surveillance,  auto  rickshaw  traffic  counters,  emergency  call  boxes,  etc.   Back  to  Contents   53