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a perspective for human development in the 21st century




    Inaugural lecture, Rutger de Graaf, Tuesday 6th November 2012
Contents| Lecture outline

      – Introduction
         • Before we start
         • A family moment
         • Thinking about the future
      – Problem overview
      – Adaptive urban development on water
         • Key characteristics
         • Research agenda
      – Implementation
      – Conclusion
Introduction| RDM in the 1960’s
Introduction| A family moment
Introduction| A family moment
PROBLEM
                     OVERVIEW
“You could not step twice into the same river; for other waters are ever flowing on to
you.”   - Heraclitus
Global city light image




                          NASA
Manila, Philippines




                      Earthzine, 2010
Natural weather catastrophes




                               Munich Re
Sandy, New York City




                       Photo: Charles Sykes, AP
Population exposed to flooding in 2007 and 2070




                                              Source: OECD, 2007
Effects of land subsidence, Jakarta, Indonesia




                                             Source: Piet Dircke, 2012
Land shortage | Business as usual




                                    Land shortage
                                    ≈ 22 mn km²




                                            Source: DeltaSync, 2012
Land shortage | Business as usual
Land shortage | Best case scenario



                                     Land shortage:
                                     ≈ 12 mn km²




                                            Source: DeltaSync, 2012
Where to go?




  Desert? : water resources are lacking
        http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Barnard's_Ga
                  laxy.jpg
       Space?? : still too expensive
http://www.mega-tapety.info/krajobrazy-
polaipustynie-1414.html
The Ocean !




     http://www.philipp-
     winterberg.com/galerie/mexico_wallpaper.php
ADAPTIVE
            URBAN
         DEVELOPMENT
           ON WATER
“We are tied to the ocean. And when we go back to the sea, whether it
is to sail or to watch - we are going back from whence we came.”
- John F. Kennedy
Floating Cities| l’Ile a Helice (Jules Vernes, 1895)
Floating Cities| Triton City (Richard Buckminster Fuller, 1966)
Floating Cities| Sea City of the Future (Walt Disney, 1984)




       Walt Disney, 1984
Floating Cities| GREEN FLOAT (Shimizu Corporation, 2010)
Enough space


 On water 50 times more efficient
 Less than 0,2 % of the oceans
  needed
 One third of the current
  agricultural area
  will become available




                                     Source: DeltaSync, 2012
DeltaSync, 2012
Concept | Closing the cycle


          Conventional city     Conventional + Floating city




          ‘Linear metabolism’      ‘Cyclical metabolism’


                                                   Source: DeltaSync, 2012
Concept | Closing the cycle




                              Source: DeltaSync, 2012
Concept | Case study




                       Source: DeltaSync, 2012
Concept | Producing food and fuel from algae




                                               Source: DeltaSync, 2012
Global potential

 44% of the world food demand can be met by using the
  available (waste) nutrients and CO2 from current cities

 A total floating area of the size of Madagascar (585.000
  km2) would be enough .

 In the optimal ratio, 13% of the population would live in
  the floating cities.




                                                   Source: DeltaSync, 2012
DeltaSync, 2012
Building blocks| Floating platforms
Building blocks| Floating buildings
Building blocks| Floating biofuel production
Building blocks| Floating food production




Source: Aquaponics.blog
Building blocks| Wave protection




Source: Nederland in Beeld
Building blocks| Wave protection




Source: FDN Engineering
Building blocks| Artificial reefs




                                    Source: Reefballs.org
Building blocks| Floating wetlands




                                     Source: Floating Islands International
Building blocks| Utility units and infrastructure




                                                    Source: DeltaSync, 2008
RESEARCH AGENDA
              Project                        Knowledge Gaps
                                    Integrating technologies and up scaling from
Floating structures and utilities   house to neighbourhood and city level.
                                    Integrating floating aquaculture innovations in
                                    floating structures.
                                    Urban design instruments specifically
Urban design of floating cities     accustomed to floating cities, including public
                                    space, separation, identities, mobility and
                                    possible ways of living in floating cities
                                    Development of new economic models, new
Realizing floating urbanization     methods of collaboration between research,
                                    government, companies and SME’s, starting
                                    pilot projects
                                    Data and understanding about water quality
Impacts on water quality and        and ecological impacts, establishing design
ecology                             guidelines based on this understanding.

                                    Role of showcases in the development and
Rotterdam as entrepreneurial        transition process of water cities
water en adaptation showcase
IMPLEMENTATION

If at first an idea isn't absurd, there's no hope for it.”
-Albert Einstein-
Implementation| From vision to mission




                                         DeltaSync, 2006
Implementation| Defining a short term step




                                       DeltaSync and Public Domain Architecten, 2009
Implementation| Building Process
Implementation| The Result
Implementation| Succes factors


  1.   Political importance
  2.   Collaboration
  3.   Window of opportunity: WE Shanghai 2010
  4.   Time pressure
  5.   Process approach vs blue print
  6.   Network of change agents
  7.   Ambition
  8.   Temporary functions
Implementation| Citizens as project developers
Implementation| Building process
  Floating Houses Harnaschpolder
Implementation| Ambitions for Rotterdam




Source: Municipality of Rotterdam
Implementation| Municipal policy




Source: Gemeente Rotterdam
Implementation| Developing the building blocks




                            Stichting Rijnhavenpark, Stad op het Water & DeltaSync,
                            2011/2012
Stichting Rijnhavenpark, Stad op het Water &
DeltaSync, 2011/2012
Source: RDM Campus, 2010
Source:RDM Campus, 2010
Conclusions
 A fundamental new approach to urban development is
  needed for the challenges of the 21st century

 Cities on land should be transformed into flood proof
  ecocities

 Floating city expansions combined with food production can
  accommodate future urbanization without sacrificing land

 At the same time this strategy provides global food security
  and reuses waste of conventional cities

 Much research is still needed but, at the same time, also
  fast implementation
“Because the people who are crazy enough to think they
can change the world, are the ones who do.”
- Steve Jobs

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