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Implications on Public Health from Mode 2 Trade in
        Health Services: Empirical Evidence

                            [A Case of Thailand]


                                          By

                            Cha-aim Pachanee
                    Ministry of Public Health, Thailand




                This paper is supported by the World Health Organization
and presented at the Workshop on the movement of patients across international borders -
             emerging challenges and opportunities for health care systems
                            24-25 February 2009, Kobe, Japan
Contents


1. Introduction ............................................................................................................................................................................. 4
2. Framework of analysis ....................................................................................................................................................... 5
3. The Thai health systems and their implications from Mode 2 international trade in health
   services ....................................................................................................................................................................................... 7
      3.1 Supply and Demand for Health Services ......................................................................................................... 7
               3.1.1          Health facilities............................................................................................................................................. 7
               3.1.2          Health workforce ........................................................................................................................................ 8
               3.1.3          Demand and Access to healthcare services................................................................................ 10
               3.1.4          Implications of Mode 2 trade in health services on access to services ........................ 15
      3.2 Quality control ........................................................................................................................................................... 19
               3.2.1          Quality control for medical services and facilities in Thailand ........................................ 19
               3.2.2          Implications of Mode 2 trade in health services on quality of services ....................... 20
      3.3 Overall implications ................................................................................................................................................ 21
4. Discussion and Recommendations ........................................................................................................................... 22
Acknowledgement.................................................................................................................................................................... 24
References .................................................................................................................................................................................... 25




                                                                                                                                                                                                  2
List of Tables

Table 1 Health facilities in the public sector, 2007 .................................................................................................... 7
Table 2 Number and proportion of doctor loss in relation to newly graduated doctors,
        1994 -2006 ................................................................................................................................................................. 10
Table 3 Healthcare seeking behaviours of Thai population during 1991-2007 ..................................... 11
Table 4 Projected demand for medical doctors by Thai patients .................................................................... 12
Table 5 Number of foreign patients entering Thailand by country, 2001-2007 ..................................... 13
Table 6 Demand for medical doctors by foreign patients ................................................................................... 14
Table 7 Scenarios of international trade in health services and human resource development .... 17
Table 8 Comparison of monthly salary in public and private health facilities ......................................... 19
Table 9 Competitive Advantage of health facilities in Asian countries providing health care ...........
        services to foreign patients ................................................................................................................................ 20
Table 10 Estimate of revenues from different products and services (million baht)........................... 22




List of Figures

Figure 1 Model of trade in health services in Thailand, including related regulatory framework ... 6
Figure 2 Geographical distribution of population : doctor, population : dentist, population : ............
         pharmacist, population : nurse ratios, in 2004 ........................................................................................ 9
Figure 3 Proportion of medical doctors working full-time in the private sector .................................... 18




                                                                                                                                                                                    3
1. Introduction
Nowadays, we witness a large number of patients from the developed world obtaining medical
services in world class hospitals in some developing countries and extending the visit with an
impressive holiday. Comparing the costs of selected services between countries, the cost for
heart bypass graft surgery in Thailand is three times less than what it would cost in the United
States, or one cosmetic surgery in India is one tenth of the cost in the United States without long
wait-listing (1). With this, we can clearly see one of the factors driving such an extensive ‘medical
tourism’ phenomenon - world class service at reasonably lower costs (2). In addition, good
quality services with warm hospitality and availability of alternative treatment area, the number
of foreign patients rapidly increases. Smith et al (2009) (1) estimated that there were around 4
million foreign patients every year. Thailand attracted the highest number of patients in Asia
with a figure of more than 1 million each year since 2004 (1, 3, 4). The worldwide market for
medical tourism is about USD20–40 billion, with predictions topping USD100 billion by 2012.
Thailand, the present leading health services exporter in Asia, has the market at USD615 million
(1).

In Thailand, the business of private hospitals was on the rise during the period of economic boom
in mid the 1990’s. The promotion of medical services to foreign patients started aggressively
during the economic crisis in 1997 when facilities in big private hospitals were not fully utilized
by Thai patients. These hospitals then shifted their target customers to foreigners and conducted
extensive marketing campaigns. Since late the 1990’s, the growth in demand for medical services
in Thailand among foreign patients, expansion of service specialties, and expansion of service
facilities along with marketing campaigns rapidly increased.

From the economic point of view, influx of foreign patients generates income, as indicated with
the amounts mentioned above. However, negative impacts particularly on the health system also
occur in parallel. Although some constraint situations on the health system have been in
existence outside international trade in health services, the growth of international trade does
take part in aggravating the situation.

Implications of Mode 2 international trade in health services in Thailand have been studied
sporadically and mostly focussed on a few specific issues or were included in studies on
implications of international trade liberalisation. For instances, Mongkolporn et al 2005 (5)
studied the demand and supply of medical services for foreign patients, focusing on Japanese
patients, and implications on the health system and health workforce in Thailand, Pachanee and


                                                                                                      4
Wibulpolprasert 2006 (6) projected the additional demand for medical doctors for foreign
patients in Thailand, Na Ranong et al 2008 (7) studied implication of the Thailand medical hub
policy, Kanchanachitra et al (8) studied implications on health from free trade policy, and
Wibulpolprasert et al (9) studied implication of liberalisation of trade in services on the health
workforce in Thailand.

This paper presents a case of Thailand on the implications of Mode 2 international trade in health
services on the health systems. As mentioned above, Thailand is a leading exporter of health
services with the highest number of foreign patients in Asia, and possible implications arise.
With the promotion of the medical hub policy supported by the government, export of health
services will expand.


2. Framework of analysis
The analysis was carried out by literature review and direct communication with related
organisations and informants. It covers implications in terms of opportunity and risk for access,
price and quality of health services, and the health workforce

Mode 2 of trade in health services does not occur just in isolation. Instead it also stimulates, as
well as is influenced by, other modes of services particularly Mode 3 and Mode 4. The
characteristics of trade in health services in Thailand can be modeled as in Figure 2.

The study analyses supply, demand and access for health services by Thai and non-Thai, how
these are affected in order to answer the following research questions:

    o   What have been the implications on the access to health services?
    o   What have been the implications on the prices of health services?
    o   What have been the implications on health workforce?
    o   What have been the implications on the quality of health services?




                                                                                                      5
Figure 1 Model of trade in health services in Thailand, including related regulatory framework



Foreign patients      Worker     Health Prof.                       Foreign Investors
                        s
         Mode 1 Mode 2       Mode 4                                        Mode 3
Border




                         Immigration Act                        Foreign Business Act

                                                         Local Investors


                       Labour Act             Health           Premise Control Acts
                      (Work Permit)          Prof. Act




                                                                                                      Transfer of Capital
                                                                     • Health Facilities
                                                                     • Drug Act
         Service /
                                                                     • Insurance Act
         payment                 Practice                            • Local Admin.


                                       Private health
                                          services                                         Mode 3
                                                               (Internal) Brain drain
                                                                                     (External)
                                             SSS/ UC/                                            Foreign
                                    OOP /                                             Mode 4    providers
                                   Private   CSMBS
                                                                     Public health
                                insurance                              services
                                                                                           Mode 1,2
                                   Local Patients

  Border                                                                          Border

           Note:     OOP    =       Out of pocket
                     SSS    =       Social Security Scheme
                     UC     =       Universal Coverage
                     CSMBS =        Civil Servant Medical Benefit Scheme




                                                                                                                            6
3. The Thai health systems and their implications from Mode 2
   international trade in health services

Thailand, like many other countries, has a pluralistic health system. Ministry of Public Health is
the main national health agency and owns the majority of health resources and facilities, while
private health facilities are operated under supervision of the Medical Registration Division,
Department of Health Service Support of Ministry of Public Health. Existing public health
facilities provide good coverage throughout the country at all levels of care – primary, secondary
and tertiary levels. Medical services costs are paid through one of the health insurance schemes1.


3.1        Supply and Demand for Health Services

3.1.1 Health facilities

Table 1 provides information on a number of public health facilities in the countries in 2007.
These facilities are available throughout the country with full coverage. Health centres are
operated by health workers who are trained to provide primary care services to people of
communities covered by that health centre.

Table 1 Health facilities in the public sector, 2007

      Administrative
                                           Health Facility                        No.      Coverage
         Level
                          • Medical school hospitals                               5
    Bangkok Metropolis    • General hospitals                                      26
                          • Specialized hospitals/institutions                     14
                          • Public health centres/branches                       68 / 77   All districts

    Regional level and    • Medical school hospitals                               6
    Branches              • Regional hospitals                                     25
                          • Specialized hospitals                                  47

    Provincial level      •   General hospitals (under MoPH)                       70         100%
    (75 provinces)        •   Military hospitals under the Ministry of Defense     59
                          •   Hospital under the Royal Thai Police                 1

    796 districts and     •   Community hospitals (Mar, 2007)                     730         91.7%
    81 minor districts    •   Branch hospital                                      1

1Important health insurance schemes in Thailand are 1) Universal coverage of health insurance [UC], 2)
Civil servant medical scheme [CSMBS], and 3) Social security scheme [SSS]


                                                                                                           7
Administrative
                                        Health Facility                      No.       Coverage
      Level
                        •   Municipal health centres (Oct, 2003)             214

 7,255 sub-districts    •   Health centres (2006)                           9,762        100%
                        •   Community health posts                           311

 74,435 villages        •   Community PHC centres (2003)
                            - Rural                                         66,223       89.0%
                            - Urban                                         3,108

Source: Thailand Health Profile 2005-2007 (10)


In the private sector, the number of private hospitals expanded rapidly from around 10 percent
of total beds in the entire health system in 1985 to 23 percent in 1997, largely influenced by the
rapid double-digit economic growth in the early 1990’s. After the 1997 economic crisis, a number
of private hospitals were closed and many of them reduced their capacity. It was during this time
when a number of big private hospitals started aggressive marketing to attract more foreign
patients who have higher affordability for medical costs.

The proportion of private hospital beds was reduced to 21 percent in 2000. In 2006, there were
344 private hospitals providing a total of 35,806 beds, of which 43 percent were in Bangkok.
Besides, there were 16,547 private clinics (without inpatient bed) throughout the country (10).

3.1.2 Health workforce

Inequitable distribution and insufficient number of health workforce remains a major problem in
the Thai health systems (11, 12). In 2006, there were 21,051 medical doctors, 4,187 dentists,
7,940 pharmacists, 101,143 registered nurses and 12,882 technical nurses in the country (10).
Out of 21,052 doctors, or 20.5 percent (4,309 doctors) are in the private sector; however this
does not cover those who work part-time after hours in the private sector while registered in the
public sector. On average, the number of doctors per hospital in the private sector is higher than
the number in public hospitals, while bed occupation in the private hospitals is lower. There is
uneven distribution of the health personnel: population ratio between geographic regions. In
2005, the doctor : population ratio in Bangkok was 1 : 867, eight times better than the ratio in the
Northeast (1 : 7015) (10). Figure 1 illustrates population covered by each doctor, dentist,
pharmacist and nurse in 2004.



                                                                                                     8
Figure 2 Geographical distribution of population : doctor, population : dentist, population :
          pharmacist, population : nurse ratios, in 2004




                         Source: Thailand Health Profile 2005-2007(10)




Loss of medical doctors due to resignation is also an alarming problem of the public health sector
(13). Part of the loss is due to shifting to the private system especially major private hospitals in



                                                                                                        9
urban area as a result of expanding exportation of health services to foreign patients (11). In
2005, a net loss of 667 doctors through resignation occurred, accounting for 56 percent newly-
graduated doctors [Table 2]. This creates an insufficient number of medical doctors in some
areas, particularly in the rural areas where the population are relied on medical services at
public facilities.

Table 2 Number and proportion of doctor loss in relation to newly graduated doctors,
        1994 -2006
                                    Number of doctors
 Year                   Increased                Decreased (resignation)         Net loss   Net loss
                                                                                  (No)        (%)
               New         Re-       Total      Civil      State        Total
            graduates   appointed             servants   employees
 1994           526           -       526         42            -         42          42           8.0
 1995           576           -       576        260            -        260         260          45.1
 1996           568           -       568        344            -        344         344          60.6
 1997           579         30        609        336            -        336         306          52.8
 1998           678         93        711        299            -        299         206          33.3
 1999           830         57        887        204            -        204         147          17.7
 2000           893         98        991        201            -        201         103          11.5
 2001           883         82        952        193          83         276         194          22.0
 2002           878         38        916        401         163         564         526          59.9
 2003        1,013          39       1,052       287         508         795         756          74.6
 2004           998         32       1,030       468            -        468         436          43.7
 2005           741         37        778        663            -        663         626          84.5
 2006        1,188         110       1,298       777            -        777         667          56.1

Source: Thailand health profile 2005-2007 (page 273)


3.1.3 Demand and Access to healthcare services

3.1.3.1      Demand and access by Thai patients

According to health and welfare surveys conducted by the National Statistical Office since 1991
to date, Thai people increasingly depend on health facility-based services. The proportion of
using facility-based health services increased from 40.2 percent in 1970 to 78.5 percent in 2005
as shown in Table 3 (14-21). The proportion of self-medication and traditional healing reduced
steadily.




                                                                                                   10
Table 3 Healthcare seeking behaviours of Thai population during 1991-2007

 Health care seeking         1991     1996     2001     2003      2004      2005     2006     2007
     behaviours

 Not seeking health care      16.8      7.1       5.1      5.7      5.3      4.6       5.1       4.4
 Traditional healing           5.3      3.4       2.4      2.8      2.0      1.5       1.5       1.4
 Self-medication              37.8     37.2     25.8      22.5     20.9     20.5      25.0      25.4
 Health Centre (public)        9.9     14.1     13.9      17.7     24.6     25.0      16.2      15.4
 Public Hospital              12.9     11.4     34.6      32.3     30.2     31.0      30.0      26.4
 Private Clinic / Hospital    17.5     26.9     17.7      22.5     22.7     22.5      26.4      25.3

Sources: National Statistical Office. Reports of health and welfare survey, 1991, 1996, 2001,
          2003, 2004, 2005, 2006, 2007



The demand for health services and health personnel in Thailand is expanding, contributed by
the universal coverage of health insurance which has been implemented since 2001 of which
more than 70 percent of the population are registered with the public facilities to utilise health
services (6). Besides, the economic recovery enabled people to obtain private medical services
and services not covered by the insurance. In 2003, two years after implementing the universal
coverage policy and a time of rapid economic recovery, outpatient visits increased to 3.62
visits/capita/year (17). In addition, increases in specific health problems and diseases such as
chronic diseases and diseases in elderly people also increased demand for specific types of
medical services (5).

A projection on demand of medical doctors by Thai patients shows that 1,815-2,083 additional
doctors are required for 2009 and an increase to 1,891-2,175 doctors in 2015.




                                                                                                     11
Table 4 Projected demand for medical doctors by Thai patients

                                                         Total visits            Number of additional
 Year          Visits / capita / year
                                            Population   (OP equiv.)            medical doctors Required
              Outpatients     Inpatients     (million) that require MD           Total          In private
                 (OP)            (IP)                      (million)                              sector
 1996            2.87(1)      0.066(1)          -               -                    -                  -
                        (1)           (1)
 2001            2.84         0.076            62.0     198.65 - 208.07              -                  -
                        (1)           (1)
 2003            3.62         0.086            63.3     247.50 -258.39        2,443 -2,795      1,002 - 1,146
                        (2)           (2)
 2005            3.87         0.092            64.5     270.18 -282.07        1,134 -1,315          465 – 539
                        (2)           (2)
 2007            4.29         0.099            65.7     302.10 - 315.15       1,596 -1,838          654 – 753
                        (2)           (2)
 2009            4.77         0.106            67.0     338.40 -352.65        1,815 - 2,083         744 – 854
                        (2)           (2)
 2011            5.16         0.113            68.2     371.17 -386.66        1,639 - 1,889         672 – 775
                        (2)           (2)
 2013            5.59         0.120            69.4     407.78 -424.55        1,830 - 2,105         750 – 863
                        (2)           (2)
 2015            6.03         0.127            70.7     445.59 -463.70        1,891 - 2,175         775 – 892
 (1)    Data from Health and Welfare Survey by National Statistical Office
 (2)    Projecting rate of future increase in Outpatient (OP) and In-patient (IP) visits by using
       average rate in the previous three biennial periods giving equal weight to each period.
Conditions for projection:
  1. Population growth rate = 1 percent / year (National Statistical Office 2004)
  2. 70 percent of OP and 100 percent IP require medical doctor services (Wibulpolprasert 2002)
  3. One IP visit equivalent to the work load of 16-18 OP visits (Wibulpolprasert 2002)
  4. One medical doctor services 18,000 - 20,000 OP equivalent visits / year (Wibulpolprasert 2002)
  5. 41 percent of patients visit private hospitals/clinics




3.1.3.2         Demand and access by foreign patients

Together with high comparative advantages of good hospitality, quality of human resources, and
the lower cost with good quality of services (22), business of these private hospitals has been
successful. This is clearly seen by the number of more than 1 million foreign patients in Thailand
since 2004 with 20 percent increase between 2004 and 2007 (3, 4) as shown in Table 5.




                                                                                                                12
Table 5 Number of foreign patients entering Thailand by country, 2001-2007

Country / Region           2001          2002         2003          2004         2005           2007
Japan                   118,170       131,684      162,909       247,238      185,616         233,389
USA                      49,253        58,402       85,292       118,771      192,238         136,248
UK                       36,778        41,599       74,856        95,941      108,156         110,286
Taiwan /China            26,898        27,438       46,624        57,051       57,279          24,392
Germany                  19,057        18,923       37,055        40,180       42,798          41,313
ASEAN                        NA            NA       36,708        93,516       74,178          68,420
India                    20,310        23,752       35,528            NA           NA          36,645
Middle East                  NA        20,004       34,704        71,051       98,451         126,215
Bangladesh               14,547        23,803       34,051            NA           NA          32,313
France                   16,102        17,679       25,582        32,409       36,175          37,251
Australia                14,265        16,479       24,228        35,092       40,161          42,668
Scandinavia                  NA            NA       19,851        20,990       22,921             NA
South Korea              14,419        14,877       19,588        31,303       26,571          26,259
Canada                       NA            NA       12,909        18,144       18,177          22,907
Eastern Europe               NA            NA         8,634        6,728        6,120             NA
Others                  220,367       234,460      315,018       204,219      302,834         435,503
Total                   550,161       630,000      973,532     1,103,095    1,249,984     1,373,087

Source:     Department of Export Promotion, Ministry of Commerce, Thailand.

Note:       1. 1,373,807 patients were reported for 2006. However, only the figure by hospitals
              is available, the figure by countries therefore does not appear in the table.
            2. NA = Not applicable


The data were collected annually by the Bureau of Service Business Promotion, Department of
Export Promotion, Ministry of Commerce2. The Bureau sent out a letter with questionnaire [see
Annex 1 for questionnaire] to request private hospitals to provide the number of foreign patients
disaggregated by nationality. However, only hospitals where the Bureau anticipated receiving
foreign patients would receive such questionnaire. These included hospitals in major cities and
tourist detinations of Bangkok, Chiangmai, Chonburi, Phuket, Chiangrai, Songkhla, Trad,
Mookdaharn, Prachuabkirikhan, Khonkhaen, Udonthani and Surat Thani. Forty-nine hospitals
provided the data in 2006, and the same hospitals with an additional one (total of 50 hospitals)
provided data in 2007. Of this, three hospitals (Siriraj, Maharaj Nakorn Chiangmai, and

2The information was obtained from personal communication [two telephone conversations] with the
Director of Bureau of Service Business Promotion, Department of Export Promotion, Ministry of
Commerce.


                                                                                                   13
Srinakarin Khonkaen) are public hospitals with more than 1,000 beds (3,000 beds for Siriraj
Hospital).

The figures in Table 4 also included foreign patients who revisited. It is estimated that one
patient might have 3-4 visits each year. Since the data covered only about 50 private hospitals, it
is very likely that the actual figures might be higher if taking into account number of foreign
patients in big public hospitals as well as other private hospitals. In addition, each hospital has
different patient registration systems; the figures reported by these hospitals could be either the
number of individual or re-visited patients. However, the Bureau of Service Business Promotion
has revealed that they have asked the hospitals to report the number of individuals from 2008
(collected by the Bureau in 2009) onward.

Foreign patients in this context cover expatriates (60 percent), foreign visitors with medical
purpose (30 percent), and foreign tourists who become ill while travelling (10 percent) (5).

With increases in the number of foreign patients, the projection by Pachanee and
Wibulpolprasert (2006) (6) found that in 2009 the percentage of additional medical doctors
required by foreign patients will be 6-8 percent of total doctors in the health system or 17-21
percent of the private system. In 2015, the requirement will increase to 9-12 percent of the
health system or 23-34 percent of the private system. However, Na Ranong et al 2008 (7) argued
that this estimation might be low. The figures could be five times higher.

Table 6 Demand for medical doctors by foreign patients
            Foreign patient visits (million)                        Additional medical doctors required by
                                                   Total visits                foreign patients
Year                                              (OPD equiv.)
            Outpatients            Inpatients      require MD       Total       % of those      % of those
               (OP)                   (IP)          (million)                 required in the required by the
                                                                              private sector whole system
                      (1)
2001           0.61                  0.030            1.22            -             -                -
                      (1)
2002           0.82                  0.041            1.64            -             -                -
                      (1)
2003           1.26                  0.063            2.53        109 - 131        11               4
                            (2)
2005        1.76 - 1.82           0.088 - 0.091    3.52 - 3.64     83 - 111      18 - 21            7
                            (2)
2007        2.45 - 2.62           0.122 - 0.131    4.90 - 5.25    115 - 160      18 - 21           7–8
                            (3)
2009        3.18 - 3.53           0.159 - 0.176    6.37 - 7.06    123 - 181      17 - 21           6–8
                            (3)
2011        4.14 - 4.75           0.207 - 0.237    8.89 - 9.50    159 - 244      24 - 31          9 – 11
                            (4)
2013        5.01 - 5.96           0.250 - 0.298   10.03 - 11.92   145 - 242      19 - 28          7 – 10
                            (4)
2015        6.06 - 7.48           0.303 - 0.373   12.13 - 14.95   176 - 303      23 - 34          9 – 12
(1)   Figure from the survey by Ministry of Commerce plus 30 percent of the under-surveyed.



                                                                                                             14
(2) Estimation with the assumption of increase at the rate of 18-20 percent per year
(3) Estimation with the assumption of increase at the rate of 14-16 percent per year
(4) Estimation with the assumption of increase at the rate of 10-12 percent per year


Conditions for projection:
        1. IP visit is equal to 5 percent of OP visits and 20 times of OP workload
        2. Every patient requires a medical doctor
        3. One medical doctor provides services to 10,000 – 12,000 OPD visits / year
        (Wibulpolprasert 2002)



3.1.4 Implications of Mode 2 trade in health services on access to services

Implications on access to medical services involve equity of access, price and health workforce.
This section analyses opportunities and risks of access (including prices) and health workforce
separately.

3.1.4.1       Implications on access and price of services

          •   Opportunities

Mode 2 trade in health services helps increase revenue from a high number of foreign patients
with higher prices of medical services. Using the revenue to reinvest in the health system to
promote its reform, particularly in the area of human resource management for health, can
create better access to health services (23). Na Ranong et al 2008 (7) noted that increasing
demand for medical services could raise prices of services, hence an increase in revenue.
However, this could as well create a barrier of access to services among Thai patients who cannot
afford high prices. The same authors conducted a survey on price changes of caesarean section,
appendicitis operation, hernia operation, gall bladder operation and knee joint replacement
operation four hospitals that provide medical services to foreign patients and found that the
prices increased every year [the survey covered a period of 2003-2008). Some hospital charged
foreign patients higher prices and the author noted that this would be a good measure to prevent
increasing prices for the case of Thai patients and encourage more access to services.

Besides, with the increased demand, service providers also increase supplies of service
specialties that can, at the same time, benefit Thai patients.

          •   Risks

The creation of two-tier system with the better quality services reserved for foreign clients with
a higher ability to pay could lead to a decrease in quality and an increase in price for the poor if
the lower tier is not properly subsidised (8, 23, 24).



                                                                                                   15
As mentioned above, increasing demand for medical services from foreign patients could raise
the prices of services. Consequently, only wealthy Thai patients will be able to afford medical
services from private facilities. Coupled with the implementation of the universal coverage of
health care, most Thai patients will rely on public facilities. However, equity of access might be
disturbed since the number of health professionals is limited and unevenly distributed
throughout the country. The magnitude of the problem is more significant than one would
perceive. In the private sector, resources needed for providing services to one foreign patient
may be equivalent to what is needed for 4-5 Thai patients (25). High competition among private
hospitals themselves to attract foreign patients such as establishing of specialised centres
imposes these hospitals to provide high financial incentive to specialists in the public sectors to
work for them. Therefore the ratio of health personnel to population may worsen (23). In the
dental sector, Kanchanachitra et al (2004) (8) has estimated that, in Phuket, around 5 percent of
tourists would come to use the local dental services. The annual income figure of foreigners
visiting the province stood at 1,453,426 Baht which indicates that there would be more than
72,000 foreign patients alone. The maximum capacity of the dental service in Phuket was for,
however, 60,840 patients.


3.1.4.2 Implications of Mode 2 trade in health services on health workforce

       •      Opportunities

In Thailand, the increase in demand from the influx of foreign patients would lead to more
employment for health care personnel and higher earnings in the private sector as well as an
increase of medical expertise in the highly demanding areas of services. The increase in plastic
surgeons and ophthalmologists, for instance, implies that Thailand has the capacity to offer
services well in those areas. It could thus generate more foreign exchange earnings as well as
more job opportunities in linkage industries such as tourism with food, insurance and hotel
industries.

       •      Risks

The increased demand from the influx of foreign patients and the attractive financial incentive to
supply those demands within the private sector could lead to an exacerbation of health
personnel shortages. It was estimated that, in 2005, Thailand still need 1,134 - 1,315 more
doctors to meet the country’s health needs and it would take many years to fulfil this shortage.
However, this problem would be particularly severe in the public sector and rural areas due to


                                                                                                     16
the internal brain drain phenomenon as health workers are tempted to move the private sector
where they can earn more. By one estimate, if there were 100,000 more patients seeking medical
treatment in Thailand, it could lead to an internal brain drain of between 240 to 700 doctors (26).

From the study of Wibulpolprasert et al (2002) (9), several scenarios were predicted depending
on the extent of health system reform and the success of trade in health services (Table 7). The
high growth of the health service sector (i.e. scenario 1 and 3 where the sector is highly
successful) and the poor level of reform (i.e. scenario 3 and 4 where the problem of shortage of
health personnel in the rural area and the public sector persist) would lead to the worst problem
in term of the number and the maldistribution of the health workforce.

Table 7 Scenarios of international trade in health services and human resource development

    The success of health             The success of International trade in health services
       system reform
                                            High                               Low
              High                            1                                  2
              Low                             3                                  4

Note: Wibulpolprasert et al. (2002)


The proportion of medical doctors working full-time in the private sector since 1998 is around
20 percent [Figure 3]. In Thailand it is legal for health personnel in the public sector to work in
private health facilities after hours. Medical specialists are in high demand in the private sectors.
Employment of these specialists is mostly on a part-time basis as most of them are registered as
full-time staff in the public sector. In 2006, 12,736 medical doctors throughout the country
worked part-time after hours at the private sector, while 1,313 dentists and 7,708 nurses did,
accounted for 60.5, 31.4 and 7.3 percent of medical doctors, dentists and nurses in the public
health sector, respectively.




                                                                                                   17
Figure 3 Proportion of medical doctors working full-time in the private sector




              1998     1999      2000      2001     2002     2003      2004       2005     2006



Source: Bureau of Policy and Strategy, Ministry of Public Health 2007



The study by Kanchanachitra et al (2004) (8) has shown that there was a direct link between the
growth of the private health service sector and the number of doctors leaving the public sector.
The rate of newly graduated doctors leaving the public sector had continuously gone up during
1994-1997 while the private sector enjoyed substantial growth from the period of economy
prosperity. This figure went down during the economic crisis between 1997-1999 but started to
climb again and reached the rate of 59.9% in 2002 and was the highest in 2005 at 84.5% as
shown in Table 2 above (10).

The private sector also provides 8-11 times higher financial incentive to attract health personnel
from the public sector [Table 8]. Although the Ministry of Public Health has increased financial
incentives for medical doctors working in the public sector, the amount is still less than what
they would get from the private sector, especially for specialists.

After the launch of universal health coverage (UC), there have been more health needs for health
personnel in rural areas because the increase in utilisation rate of health centres and community
hospitals. As a result, those rural areas would continue to suffer the most if the problem of
internal brain-drain is not sufficiently addressed. In 2005, the doctor : population ratio in the


                                                                                                    18
poorest North-eastern region was 1:7,015, almost ten times of the proportion in the capital city
of Bangkok, 1:867.

With the mentioned health workforce problem, the government has implemented both demand
and supply side interventions including financial and non-financial incentives to increase
retention of health personnel in the public sector (6).

Table 8 Comparison of monthly salary in public and private health facilities

 Cadre                      MOPH           State enterprise      Private             Private
                                                               (Non-profit)          (profit)

 Medical doctor         8180 - 27980       15090 – 62080        100,000*         50,000 – 300,000

 Dentist               8260 – 19840        17990 – 52990         80,000*         27,000 - 150,000

 Pharmacist            7197 – 17083         7640 – 49910      18000 – 55000       18399 – 31229

 Nurses                5255 – 19680         7640 – 21620      9000 – 20000        14281 – 27720

 Medical               6680 – 19005         7640 – 35960      5300 – 25000        14281 – 29381

 technician

 Radiologist           7880 – 17880         4880 – 35960      5000 – 20000        10417 – 29160

 Admin                 5200 – 15540         6810 – 46950      5500 – 25000        5326 – 20963

 Others                4200 – 14040         4880 - 21620      5000 – 15000        5310 – 27000

                     Note: These                               Note: * average
                                                                    salary
                     range covers salary
                     and other benefits



Source: Pannarunothai S. et al 1999. (27)




3.2       Quality control

3.2.1 Quality control for medical services and facilities in Thailand

For public facilities, the government has invested a large amount of budget to establish good
facilities nationwide since the early 1980s. They are well maintained and new investments
continue. For private facilities, the Medical Facility Act 1999 requires the licensed private




                                                                                                    19
hospitals to meet certain standards on the premises and the number of health professionals.
However, these are minimal standards.

In 1998, the Institute of Hospital Quality Improvement and Accreditation was established as an
agency to provide accreditation to hospitals that meet all the required standards. In 2007, 227
hospitals received this accreditation (28). Of which, 200 were public hospitals while 27 were
private hospitals. Although it is not mandatory to receive accreditation but those that are
accredited will have better social acceptance.

A report in the McKinsey Quarterly (29) on mapping the market for medical travel reveals that
40 percent of medical travelers would see the world’s most advanced technologies and 32
percent would seek better-quality care than they could find in their home countries. Comparing
with other countries, health facilities in Thailand have high competitive advantages which are
one of the main factors influencing the influx of foreign patients [Table 9].

Table 9 Competitive Advantage of health facilities in Asian countries providing health care
        services to foreign patients

Competitive Advantage                   Thai      Singapore      India    Malaysia    Hong Kong

Service & Hospitality                   *****          **          *            *         **
Hi-technological Hardware                 **          ****         **           *         **
HR Quality                               ****         ****         **           **       ***
International Accredited Hospital         **           **           -           *         *
Pre-emptive Move                          **          ***          *            *         *
Synergy/Strategic Partner                 *            **          *            *         *
Accessibility/Market Channel              **          ***          *            **        **
Reasonable Cost                          ****          *          ****          ***       *
Source: modified from Private Hospital Association and Business Council of Thailand, 2004 (22)



3.2.2 Implications of Mode 2 trade in health services on quality of services

        •    Opportunities

Trade liberalisation increases competition which in turn reduces costs within the market. Health
services trade offers countries the opportunity to enhance their health systems through trading


                                                                                                  20
health technology in areas where countries have comparative advantages. Developing countries
might improve their infrastructure; upgrade medical knowledge and technological capacity in
order to attract foreign patients.

The influx of foreigners would lead to an increase demand for high quality services which in turn
lead to a more efficient and high quality health service providers, although the improvement
would occur mainly in the private sector (8, 23, 24).

From the opinion survey carried out by Searsiriwattana et al (2006) (24), the general opinion of
the private sector, who agreed with the liberalisation, said that the opportunity to learn from
developed countries, i.e. USA, was immense and the technological advance gained from such
country would benefit the quality of service. The liberalisation of health services through this
FTA would certainly open up any barrier which was impeding the transfer of knowledge.

        •   Risks

From the opinion survey on Thai-US FTA by Searsiriwattana et al (2006) (24), the professional
bodies and the public health government agencies (both central and local), who the majority
disagreed with liberalisation, stated that they did not want the ‘commercialisation’ of health
services as it would demean the cause and purpose of health care (which has been portrayed as
noble by the Thai community). This could lead to a drop in the ethical standard of health care
personnel, and in turn, the quality of care. They were also concerned about the two-tier service
which would stress too much on giving care to the richer foreigner.

The two-tier system can lead to an overall increase in price for the lower tier if resources are
inappropriately allocated (8, 24, 30). At the same time, it could lead to a drop in quality for the
lower tier (30).



3.3     Overall implications

        •   Opportunities

One of the main advantages is income generation. The increase in revenues from foreign patients
can provide financial benefits from economies of scale that would help to improve the health
service sector as a whole (23, 31). Thailand has more than one million foreign patients each year
which attracts around USD615 million annually (32). The Department of Export Promotion
estimated an income of USD1,028 million and USD1,170 million would be gained from foreign


                                                                                                      21
patients in 2006 and 2007, respectively. It is estimated that 850,000 cases of dental care could
bring in THB19.6 billion in 2004 which could rise to THB39.8 billion in 2008 (8), and the revenue
from foreign consumption of spa, Thai massage and health tourism could be as high as THB17
billion in 2008 (24).

Table 10 Estimate of revenues from different products and services (million baht)

 Types of business           2004        2005        2006        2007        2008        Total
 Curative                   19,635      23,100      27,433       32,898      39,833     142,899
 Health promotion            4,996       6,754       9,185       12,492      16,989      50,416
 Health products             1,500       2,000       3,000       4,000       7,000       17,500
 Total                      26,131      31,854      39,618      49,390      63,822      210,815

Note: adapted from Kanchanachitra et al, (2004)

The most common areas of health care service requested by foreigners are acute care, physical
checkups, dentistry, long-term care, and health promotion. These are very promising areas for
foreign exchange earnings if Thailand makes the commitment to international trade in health
services.

In an FTA context, there is a potential for cooperation with other nations in order to allow
exchange of knowledge and reduce trade barrier, e.g. cooperation on Hospital Accreditation
between Thai and India (24).


         •   Risks

Other several impacts are likely to happen. For example, an influx of foreign patients could lead
to the danger of importing infectious disease such as HIV/AIDS, and in a bilateral FTA context, it
is possible that the other country may set certain conditions which may be detrimental to the
Thai health system, and the extent of patent protection to apply to diagnostic, curative and
surgical techniques which would prevent Thailand from gaining access to new knowledge that
could benefit the Thai health system.



4 Discussion and Recommendations
Mode 2 trade in health services in Thailand has occurred and was initiated by the private sector
itself. It has occurred outside the multilateral and regional trade agreements. Thailand is


                                                                                                   22
recognised as a leading exporter of medical services to foreign patients due to its high capacity
and good marketing strategies.

Although the increase in demand of health services among foreign patients generates income for
the country, negative implications also occur and take part in elevating existing problems in the
Thai health systems such as inequitable distribution of health workforce and widening of the
two-tiered health services. However, the implications have not been systematically measured
and monitored.

The review for this paper found that the main methods used for analysing the implications of
Mode 2 trade in health services in Thailand are mainly by review of existing literature, modelling,
surveys, focus group discussion, and direct communication with experts in trade in health
services, communication with service providers and interview with service providers.

In order to take benefit from the increasing demand of health services from foreign patients,
there have been several recommendations, for example, the Thai government should find a
measure to collect a reasonable medical service tax from foreign patients who seek medical
services in Thailand (7). Although this tax revenue could be used as compensation for the public
sector in providing medical service to Thai patients and providing quality training of health
personnel, collecting tax from patients might reduce their interest to seek medical services in
Thailand.

The policy coherence and collaboration among health and non-health sectors should be
established. The private sector should collaborate with the public sector (such as the Ministry of
Public Health) in surveillance and monitoring implications of Mode 2 trade in health services on
the health systems and taking part in addressing and preventing negative implications.

As the magnitude of impacts from Mode 2 international trade in health services is still not clear
and has not been systematically measure, good systems or methods for measuring the impacts
should be developed. In addition, Thailand could learn from experience of other countries that
promote Mode 2 trade in health services on how impacts on the health systems are prevented,
measured and addressed.




                                                                                                    23
Acknowledgement
The author would like to acknowledge and thank the World Health Organization (Department of
Ethics, Trade, Human Right and Health Law) for providing support to this study. Mr. Jiraboon
Tosanguan (International Health Policy Programme, Thailand) is thanked for his assistance with
information gathering and part of literature review for the earlier draft, and a big thank goes to
Ms. Pen Suwannarat (International Health Policy Programme, Thailand) for her assistance with
editing. The author thanks the Director of the Service Business Division, Department of Export
Promotion, Ministry of Commerce, for providing information on the number of foreign patients
and how the data were collected. All other sources of information are acknowledged with thanks.
Finally, special thanks go to Dr. Viroj Tangcharoensathien, Director of International Health Policy
Programme Thailand, and Dr. Suwit Wibulpolprasert from Ministry of Public Health Thailand for
supporting this work.




                                                                                                 24
References
1.    Smith R, chanda R, Tangcharoensathien V. Trade in health-related services. Lancet.
      2009;73(9663):593-601.
2.    Bookman M. Medical tourism in developing countries. New York: Palgrave
      MacMillan; 2007.
3.    Department of Export Promotion MoC. Number of foreign patients entering
      Thailand by country, 2001-2005. Nonthaburi: Ministry of Commerce; 2005.
4.    Department of Export Promotion. Number of foreign patients entering Thailand by
      country, 2007. data. Nonthaburi, Thailand: Ministry of Commerce; 2009.
5.    Mongkolporn V, Akleephan C, Kanchanachitra C, Tangcharoensathien V. Demand
      and supply of medical services for foreign patients: Study of impacts on the health
      system and human resources for health in Thailand. Research report. Bangkok:
      International Health Policy Programme, Ministry of Public Health; 2005.
6.    Pachanee C, Wibulpolprasert S. Incoherent policies on Universal Coverage of Health
      Insurance and Promotion of International Trade in Health Services in Thailand.
      Health Policy and Plan. 2006:310-8.
7.    Na Ranong A, Na Ranong V, Jindarak S. Thailand as the medical hub development
      strategies, a research report submitted to the National Economic and Social Council.
      Research report. Bangkok: National Institute of Development Administration; 2008
      August 2008.
8.    Kanchanachitra C, Supakankunti S, Petrakart P, Limpananont J, Sethsirote B.
      Implications on health from free trade policy. National Health Assembly. Bangkok,
      Thailand; 2004.
9.    Wibulpolprasert S, Hempisut P, Pitayarangsarit S. Implications of liberalization of
      trade in services on the development of human resources in health. Nonthaburi,
      Thailand: Ministry of Public Health; 2002.
10.   Wibulpolprasert S. Thailand Health Profile 2005-2007. Nonthaburi, Thailand:
      Ministry of Public Health; 2007.
11.   Wibulpolprasert S, Pachanee C. Addressing the internal brain drain of medical
      doctors in Thailand: The story and lesson learned. Global Social Policy.
      2008;8(1):13-5.
12.   Kanchanachitra C, Wibulpolprasert S, Thammarangsi T, editors. Gender and
      physician mobility in Thailand. Boston: Global Equity Initiative Harvard University;
      2008.
13.   Wibulpolprasert S, editor. Thailand Health Profile 2005-2007. Nonthaburi,
      Thailand: Bureau of Policy and Strategy, Ministry of Public Health; 2008.
14.   National Statistical Office. Report of Health and Welfare Survey 1991. Bangkok:
      National Statistical Office; 1991.



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15.   National Statistical Office. Report of Health and Welfare Survey 1996. Bangkok:
      National Statistical Office; 1996.
16.   National Statistical Office. Report of Health and Welfare Survey 2001. Bangkok:
      National Statistical Office; 2001.
17.   National Statistical Office. Report of Health and Welfare Survey 2003. Bangkok:
      National Statistical Office; 2003.
18.   National Statistical Office. Report of Health and Welfare Survey 2004. Bangkok:
      National Statistical Office; 2004.
19.   National Statistical Office. Report of Health and Welfare Survey 2005. Bangkok:
      National Statistical Office; 2005.
20.   National Statistical Office. Report of Health and Welfare Survey 2006. Bangkok:
      National Statistical Office; 2006.
21.   National Statistical Office. Report of the Health and Welfare Survey 2007. Bangkok:
      National Statistical Office; 2007.
22.   Private Hospital Association and Business Council of Thailand. Competitive
      Advantage of private health facilities in Southeast Asia. Bangkok: Private Hospital
      Association and Business Council of Thailand,; 2004.
23.   Janjaroen W, Supakankunti S. International trade in health services in the
      mellennium: the case of Thailand In: Vieira C, editor. Trade in health services:
      Global, regional and country perspective. Washington DC: WHO PAHO; 2002.
24.   Searsiriwattana S, Kanacharoen I, Ratana-amorn P, Singhakaew S, Gungwarnlert R,
      Unnakitti S, et al. The impact of medical services from free trade agreement
      between Thailand and the United States of America. Bangkok: The Secretariat of the
      Senate; 2006.
25.   Wibulpolprasert S, Pachanee C, Pitayarangsarit S, Hempisut P. International service
      trade and its implications for human resources for health: a case study of Thailand.
      Human Resources for Health. 2004 29 June 2004.
26.   Arunanondchai J, Fink C. Trade in Health Services in the ASEAN Region, World Bank
      Working Paper No. 4147. 2007.
27.   Pannarunothai S, Tharathep C, Thamthataree J, Leesmidt V. Management of public
      and private hospitals: a financial and business opportunities for the autonomous
      hospitals. Nonthaburi, Thailand: Health Systems Research Institute; 1999.
28.   Institute of Hospital Quality Improvement and Accreditation. List of accredited
      hospitals. 2005 [cited; Available from: http://www.ha.or.th
29.   Ehrbeck T, Guevara C, Mango PD. Mapping the market for medical travel. The
      McKinsey Quarterly. 2008 May 2008.
30.   Janjaroen W. Preliminary study on implication of liberalisation trade in health
      services on Thai society and health system. Bangkok: College of Public Health,
      Chulalongkorn University; 1999.


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31.   Chanda R. Trade in health services. Bulletin of the World Health Organization.
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                                                                                          27
Appendix 1

                           Number of Foreign Patient Report Form


Name of Hospital _______________________________________________________
Name of Informant _____________________________ Position________________
Phone_____________________________ Fax ___________________________


Please report the number of foreign patients using services in the hospital during January –
December 2007 by country


            Country                Number of foreign patients              Remark
North America
- USA
- Canada


Europe
- UK
- Germany
- France
- Sweden
- Other (please specify)


East Europe
- Russia
- Other (please specify)


East Asia
- Japan
- China
- South Korea




                                                                                               28
Country        Number of foreign patients   Remark
- Taiwan
- Other (please specify)


Oceania
- Australia
- New Zealand
- Other (please specify)


Middle East
- United Arab Emirate
- Oman
- Kuwait
- Bahrain
- Qatar
- Yemen
- Other (please specify)


South Asia
- Bangladesh
- India
- Pakistan
- Sri Lanka
- Maldives
- Other (please specify)


ASEAN
- Cambodia
- Myanmar
- Vietnam
- Indonesia


                                                                 29
Country                 Number of foreign patients                  Remark
- Philippines
- Other (please specify)


Other country (Please specify)




              Total

Note: Please sum up the number of foreign patients who revisit



Proportion of foreign patients who reside in Thailand ________%
Proportion of foreign patients who do not reside in Thailand ______________%


Number of foreign patients using services in 2006 ______________
Number of foreign patients using services in 2007 _____________
    Change from 2006        increase _________%    Decrease_________%

Estimated change of foreign patients who will utilize services in 2008
      Increase _________%                          Decrease_________%




Please answer the following questions

1. Factors that discourage foreign patients to utilize health services at the hospital
    (Please       )
      Exchange rate                Political situation         Unstable Thai economy
       Language skill of health personnel




                                                                                         30
Other (Please specify)
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________________________________

2. Which months do foreign patients visit the hospital the most?
    (Please rank 1- 4 in       4 = the most, 1= the least)

       January - March                                  April - June
       July - September                                 October - December


Which factor is most likely encouraging foreign patients to use services during the months
ranked 4th above? ______________________________________________________________________
______________________________________________________________________




           Service Business Promotion Section 2, Bureau of Service Business Promotion,
                                Department of Export Promotion




                                                                                                            31

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Implications on ph from mode 2 c pachanee -6-oct2009

  • 1. Implications on Public Health from Mode 2 Trade in Health Services: Empirical Evidence [A Case of Thailand] By Cha-aim Pachanee Ministry of Public Health, Thailand This paper is supported by the World Health Organization and presented at the Workshop on the movement of patients across international borders - emerging challenges and opportunities for health care systems 24-25 February 2009, Kobe, Japan
  • 2. Contents 1. Introduction ............................................................................................................................................................................. 4 2. Framework of analysis ....................................................................................................................................................... 5 3. The Thai health systems and their implications from Mode 2 international trade in health services ....................................................................................................................................................................................... 7 3.1 Supply and Demand for Health Services ......................................................................................................... 7 3.1.1 Health facilities............................................................................................................................................. 7 3.1.2 Health workforce ........................................................................................................................................ 8 3.1.3 Demand and Access to healthcare services................................................................................ 10 3.1.4 Implications of Mode 2 trade in health services on access to services ........................ 15 3.2 Quality control ........................................................................................................................................................... 19 3.2.1 Quality control for medical services and facilities in Thailand ........................................ 19 3.2.2 Implications of Mode 2 trade in health services on quality of services ....................... 20 3.3 Overall implications ................................................................................................................................................ 21 4. Discussion and Recommendations ........................................................................................................................... 22 Acknowledgement.................................................................................................................................................................... 24 References .................................................................................................................................................................................... 25 2
  • 3. List of Tables Table 1 Health facilities in the public sector, 2007 .................................................................................................... 7 Table 2 Number and proportion of doctor loss in relation to newly graduated doctors, 1994 -2006 ................................................................................................................................................................. 10 Table 3 Healthcare seeking behaviours of Thai population during 1991-2007 ..................................... 11 Table 4 Projected demand for medical doctors by Thai patients .................................................................... 12 Table 5 Number of foreign patients entering Thailand by country, 2001-2007 ..................................... 13 Table 6 Demand for medical doctors by foreign patients ................................................................................... 14 Table 7 Scenarios of international trade in health services and human resource development .... 17 Table 8 Comparison of monthly salary in public and private health facilities ......................................... 19 Table 9 Competitive Advantage of health facilities in Asian countries providing health care ........... services to foreign patients ................................................................................................................................ 20 Table 10 Estimate of revenues from different products and services (million baht)........................... 22 List of Figures Figure 1 Model of trade in health services in Thailand, including related regulatory framework ... 6 Figure 2 Geographical distribution of population : doctor, population : dentist, population : ............ pharmacist, population : nurse ratios, in 2004 ........................................................................................ 9 Figure 3 Proportion of medical doctors working full-time in the private sector .................................... 18 3
  • 4. 1. Introduction Nowadays, we witness a large number of patients from the developed world obtaining medical services in world class hospitals in some developing countries and extending the visit with an impressive holiday. Comparing the costs of selected services between countries, the cost for heart bypass graft surgery in Thailand is three times less than what it would cost in the United States, or one cosmetic surgery in India is one tenth of the cost in the United States without long wait-listing (1). With this, we can clearly see one of the factors driving such an extensive ‘medical tourism’ phenomenon - world class service at reasonably lower costs (2). In addition, good quality services with warm hospitality and availability of alternative treatment area, the number of foreign patients rapidly increases. Smith et al (2009) (1) estimated that there were around 4 million foreign patients every year. Thailand attracted the highest number of patients in Asia with a figure of more than 1 million each year since 2004 (1, 3, 4). The worldwide market for medical tourism is about USD20–40 billion, with predictions topping USD100 billion by 2012. Thailand, the present leading health services exporter in Asia, has the market at USD615 million (1). In Thailand, the business of private hospitals was on the rise during the period of economic boom in mid the 1990’s. The promotion of medical services to foreign patients started aggressively during the economic crisis in 1997 when facilities in big private hospitals were not fully utilized by Thai patients. These hospitals then shifted their target customers to foreigners and conducted extensive marketing campaigns. Since late the 1990’s, the growth in demand for medical services in Thailand among foreign patients, expansion of service specialties, and expansion of service facilities along with marketing campaigns rapidly increased. From the economic point of view, influx of foreign patients generates income, as indicated with the amounts mentioned above. However, negative impacts particularly on the health system also occur in parallel. Although some constraint situations on the health system have been in existence outside international trade in health services, the growth of international trade does take part in aggravating the situation. Implications of Mode 2 international trade in health services in Thailand have been studied sporadically and mostly focussed on a few specific issues or were included in studies on implications of international trade liberalisation. For instances, Mongkolporn et al 2005 (5) studied the demand and supply of medical services for foreign patients, focusing on Japanese patients, and implications on the health system and health workforce in Thailand, Pachanee and 4
  • 5. Wibulpolprasert 2006 (6) projected the additional demand for medical doctors for foreign patients in Thailand, Na Ranong et al 2008 (7) studied implication of the Thailand medical hub policy, Kanchanachitra et al (8) studied implications on health from free trade policy, and Wibulpolprasert et al (9) studied implication of liberalisation of trade in services on the health workforce in Thailand. This paper presents a case of Thailand on the implications of Mode 2 international trade in health services on the health systems. As mentioned above, Thailand is a leading exporter of health services with the highest number of foreign patients in Asia, and possible implications arise. With the promotion of the medical hub policy supported by the government, export of health services will expand. 2. Framework of analysis The analysis was carried out by literature review and direct communication with related organisations and informants. It covers implications in terms of opportunity and risk for access, price and quality of health services, and the health workforce Mode 2 of trade in health services does not occur just in isolation. Instead it also stimulates, as well as is influenced by, other modes of services particularly Mode 3 and Mode 4. The characteristics of trade in health services in Thailand can be modeled as in Figure 2. The study analyses supply, demand and access for health services by Thai and non-Thai, how these are affected in order to answer the following research questions: o What have been the implications on the access to health services? o What have been the implications on the prices of health services? o What have been the implications on health workforce? o What have been the implications on the quality of health services? 5
  • 6. Figure 1 Model of trade in health services in Thailand, including related regulatory framework Foreign patients Worker Health Prof. Foreign Investors s Mode 1 Mode 2 Mode 4 Mode 3 Border Immigration Act Foreign Business Act Local Investors Labour Act Health Premise Control Acts (Work Permit) Prof. Act Transfer of Capital • Health Facilities • Drug Act Service / • Insurance Act payment Practice • Local Admin. Private health services Mode 3 (Internal) Brain drain (External) SSS/ UC/ Foreign OOP / Mode 4 providers Private CSMBS Public health insurance services Mode 1,2 Local Patients Border Border Note: OOP = Out of pocket SSS = Social Security Scheme UC = Universal Coverage CSMBS = Civil Servant Medical Benefit Scheme 6
  • 7. 3. The Thai health systems and their implications from Mode 2 international trade in health services Thailand, like many other countries, has a pluralistic health system. Ministry of Public Health is the main national health agency and owns the majority of health resources and facilities, while private health facilities are operated under supervision of the Medical Registration Division, Department of Health Service Support of Ministry of Public Health. Existing public health facilities provide good coverage throughout the country at all levels of care – primary, secondary and tertiary levels. Medical services costs are paid through one of the health insurance schemes1. 3.1 Supply and Demand for Health Services 3.1.1 Health facilities Table 1 provides information on a number of public health facilities in the countries in 2007. These facilities are available throughout the country with full coverage. Health centres are operated by health workers who are trained to provide primary care services to people of communities covered by that health centre. Table 1 Health facilities in the public sector, 2007 Administrative Health Facility No. Coverage Level • Medical school hospitals 5 Bangkok Metropolis • General hospitals 26 • Specialized hospitals/institutions 14 • Public health centres/branches 68 / 77 All districts Regional level and • Medical school hospitals 6 Branches • Regional hospitals 25 • Specialized hospitals 47 Provincial level • General hospitals (under MoPH) 70 100% (75 provinces) • Military hospitals under the Ministry of Defense 59 • Hospital under the Royal Thai Police 1 796 districts and • Community hospitals (Mar, 2007) 730 91.7% 81 minor districts • Branch hospital 1 1Important health insurance schemes in Thailand are 1) Universal coverage of health insurance [UC], 2) Civil servant medical scheme [CSMBS], and 3) Social security scheme [SSS] 7
  • 8. Administrative Health Facility No. Coverage Level • Municipal health centres (Oct, 2003) 214 7,255 sub-districts • Health centres (2006) 9,762 100% • Community health posts 311 74,435 villages • Community PHC centres (2003) - Rural 66,223 89.0% - Urban 3,108 Source: Thailand Health Profile 2005-2007 (10) In the private sector, the number of private hospitals expanded rapidly from around 10 percent of total beds in the entire health system in 1985 to 23 percent in 1997, largely influenced by the rapid double-digit economic growth in the early 1990’s. After the 1997 economic crisis, a number of private hospitals were closed and many of them reduced their capacity. It was during this time when a number of big private hospitals started aggressive marketing to attract more foreign patients who have higher affordability for medical costs. The proportion of private hospital beds was reduced to 21 percent in 2000. In 2006, there were 344 private hospitals providing a total of 35,806 beds, of which 43 percent were in Bangkok. Besides, there were 16,547 private clinics (without inpatient bed) throughout the country (10). 3.1.2 Health workforce Inequitable distribution and insufficient number of health workforce remains a major problem in the Thai health systems (11, 12). In 2006, there were 21,051 medical doctors, 4,187 dentists, 7,940 pharmacists, 101,143 registered nurses and 12,882 technical nurses in the country (10). Out of 21,052 doctors, or 20.5 percent (4,309 doctors) are in the private sector; however this does not cover those who work part-time after hours in the private sector while registered in the public sector. On average, the number of doctors per hospital in the private sector is higher than the number in public hospitals, while bed occupation in the private hospitals is lower. There is uneven distribution of the health personnel: population ratio between geographic regions. In 2005, the doctor : population ratio in Bangkok was 1 : 867, eight times better than the ratio in the Northeast (1 : 7015) (10). Figure 1 illustrates population covered by each doctor, dentist, pharmacist and nurse in 2004. 8
  • 9. Figure 2 Geographical distribution of population : doctor, population : dentist, population : pharmacist, population : nurse ratios, in 2004 Source: Thailand Health Profile 2005-2007(10) Loss of medical doctors due to resignation is also an alarming problem of the public health sector (13). Part of the loss is due to shifting to the private system especially major private hospitals in 9
  • 10. urban area as a result of expanding exportation of health services to foreign patients (11). In 2005, a net loss of 667 doctors through resignation occurred, accounting for 56 percent newly- graduated doctors [Table 2]. This creates an insufficient number of medical doctors in some areas, particularly in the rural areas where the population are relied on medical services at public facilities. Table 2 Number and proportion of doctor loss in relation to newly graduated doctors, 1994 -2006 Number of doctors Year Increased Decreased (resignation) Net loss Net loss (No) (%) New Re- Total Civil State Total graduates appointed servants employees 1994 526 - 526 42 - 42 42 8.0 1995 576 - 576 260 - 260 260 45.1 1996 568 - 568 344 - 344 344 60.6 1997 579 30 609 336 - 336 306 52.8 1998 678 93 711 299 - 299 206 33.3 1999 830 57 887 204 - 204 147 17.7 2000 893 98 991 201 - 201 103 11.5 2001 883 82 952 193 83 276 194 22.0 2002 878 38 916 401 163 564 526 59.9 2003 1,013 39 1,052 287 508 795 756 74.6 2004 998 32 1,030 468 - 468 436 43.7 2005 741 37 778 663 - 663 626 84.5 2006 1,188 110 1,298 777 - 777 667 56.1 Source: Thailand health profile 2005-2007 (page 273) 3.1.3 Demand and Access to healthcare services 3.1.3.1 Demand and access by Thai patients According to health and welfare surveys conducted by the National Statistical Office since 1991 to date, Thai people increasingly depend on health facility-based services. The proportion of using facility-based health services increased from 40.2 percent in 1970 to 78.5 percent in 2005 as shown in Table 3 (14-21). The proportion of self-medication and traditional healing reduced steadily. 10
  • 11. Table 3 Healthcare seeking behaviours of Thai population during 1991-2007 Health care seeking 1991 1996 2001 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 behaviours Not seeking health care 16.8 7.1 5.1 5.7 5.3 4.6 5.1 4.4 Traditional healing 5.3 3.4 2.4 2.8 2.0 1.5 1.5 1.4 Self-medication 37.8 37.2 25.8 22.5 20.9 20.5 25.0 25.4 Health Centre (public) 9.9 14.1 13.9 17.7 24.6 25.0 16.2 15.4 Public Hospital 12.9 11.4 34.6 32.3 30.2 31.0 30.0 26.4 Private Clinic / Hospital 17.5 26.9 17.7 22.5 22.7 22.5 26.4 25.3 Sources: National Statistical Office. Reports of health and welfare survey, 1991, 1996, 2001, 2003, 2004, 2005, 2006, 2007 The demand for health services and health personnel in Thailand is expanding, contributed by the universal coverage of health insurance which has been implemented since 2001 of which more than 70 percent of the population are registered with the public facilities to utilise health services (6). Besides, the economic recovery enabled people to obtain private medical services and services not covered by the insurance. In 2003, two years after implementing the universal coverage policy and a time of rapid economic recovery, outpatient visits increased to 3.62 visits/capita/year (17). In addition, increases in specific health problems and diseases such as chronic diseases and diseases in elderly people also increased demand for specific types of medical services (5). A projection on demand of medical doctors by Thai patients shows that 1,815-2,083 additional doctors are required for 2009 and an increase to 1,891-2,175 doctors in 2015. 11
  • 12. Table 4 Projected demand for medical doctors by Thai patients Total visits Number of additional Year Visits / capita / year Population (OP equiv.) medical doctors Required Outpatients Inpatients (million) that require MD Total In private (OP) (IP) (million) sector 1996 2.87(1) 0.066(1) - - - - (1) (1) 2001 2.84 0.076 62.0 198.65 - 208.07 - - (1) (1) 2003 3.62 0.086 63.3 247.50 -258.39 2,443 -2,795 1,002 - 1,146 (2) (2) 2005 3.87 0.092 64.5 270.18 -282.07 1,134 -1,315 465 – 539 (2) (2) 2007 4.29 0.099 65.7 302.10 - 315.15 1,596 -1,838 654 – 753 (2) (2) 2009 4.77 0.106 67.0 338.40 -352.65 1,815 - 2,083 744 – 854 (2) (2) 2011 5.16 0.113 68.2 371.17 -386.66 1,639 - 1,889 672 – 775 (2) (2) 2013 5.59 0.120 69.4 407.78 -424.55 1,830 - 2,105 750 – 863 (2) (2) 2015 6.03 0.127 70.7 445.59 -463.70 1,891 - 2,175 775 – 892 (1) Data from Health and Welfare Survey by National Statistical Office (2) Projecting rate of future increase in Outpatient (OP) and In-patient (IP) visits by using average rate in the previous three biennial periods giving equal weight to each period. Conditions for projection: 1. Population growth rate = 1 percent / year (National Statistical Office 2004) 2. 70 percent of OP and 100 percent IP require medical doctor services (Wibulpolprasert 2002) 3. One IP visit equivalent to the work load of 16-18 OP visits (Wibulpolprasert 2002) 4. One medical doctor services 18,000 - 20,000 OP equivalent visits / year (Wibulpolprasert 2002) 5. 41 percent of patients visit private hospitals/clinics 3.1.3.2 Demand and access by foreign patients Together with high comparative advantages of good hospitality, quality of human resources, and the lower cost with good quality of services (22), business of these private hospitals has been successful. This is clearly seen by the number of more than 1 million foreign patients in Thailand since 2004 with 20 percent increase between 2004 and 2007 (3, 4) as shown in Table 5. 12
  • 13. Table 5 Number of foreign patients entering Thailand by country, 2001-2007 Country / Region 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2007 Japan 118,170 131,684 162,909 247,238 185,616 233,389 USA 49,253 58,402 85,292 118,771 192,238 136,248 UK 36,778 41,599 74,856 95,941 108,156 110,286 Taiwan /China 26,898 27,438 46,624 57,051 57,279 24,392 Germany 19,057 18,923 37,055 40,180 42,798 41,313 ASEAN NA NA 36,708 93,516 74,178 68,420 India 20,310 23,752 35,528 NA NA 36,645 Middle East NA 20,004 34,704 71,051 98,451 126,215 Bangladesh 14,547 23,803 34,051 NA NA 32,313 France 16,102 17,679 25,582 32,409 36,175 37,251 Australia 14,265 16,479 24,228 35,092 40,161 42,668 Scandinavia NA NA 19,851 20,990 22,921 NA South Korea 14,419 14,877 19,588 31,303 26,571 26,259 Canada NA NA 12,909 18,144 18,177 22,907 Eastern Europe NA NA 8,634 6,728 6,120 NA Others 220,367 234,460 315,018 204,219 302,834 435,503 Total 550,161 630,000 973,532 1,103,095 1,249,984 1,373,087 Source: Department of Export Promotion, Ministry of Commerce, Thailand. Note: 1. 1,373,807 patients were reported for 2006. However, only the figure by hospitals is available, the figure by countries therefore does not appear in the table. 2. NA = Not applicable The data were collected annually by the Bureau of Service Business Promotion, Department of Export Promotion, Ministry of Commerce2. The Bureau sent out a letter with questionnaire [see Annex 1 for questionnaire] to request private hospitals to provide the number of foreign patients disaggregated by nationality. However, only hospitals where the Bureau anticipated receiving foreign patients would receive such questionnaire. These included hospitals in major cities and tourist detinations of Bangkok, Chiangmai, Chonburi, Phuket, Chiangrai, Songkhla, Trad, Mookdaharn, Prachuabkirikhan, Khonkhaen, Udonthani and Surat Thani. Forty-nine hospitals provided the data in 2006, and the same hospitals with an additional one (total of 50 hospitals) provided data in 2007. Of this, three hospitals (Siriraj, Maharaj Nakorn Chiangmai, and 2The information was obtained from personal communication [two telephone conversations] with the Director of Bureau of Service Business Promotion, Department of Export Promotion, Ministry of Commerce. 13
  • 14. Srinakarin Khonkaen) are public hospitals with more than 1,000 beds (3,000 beds for Siriraj Hospital). The figures in Table 4 also included foreign patients who revisited. It is estimated that one patient might have 3-4 visits each year. Since the data covered only about 50 private hospitals, it is very likely that the actual figures might be higher if taking into account number of foreign patients in big public hospitals as well as other private hospitals. In addition, each hospital has different patient registration systems; the figures reported by these hospitals could be either the number of individual or re-visited patients. However, the Bureau of Service Business Promotion has revealed that they have asked the hospitals to report the number of individuals from 2008 (collected by the Bureau in 2009) onward. Foreign patients in this context cover expatriates (60 percent), foreign visitors with medical purpose (30 percent), and foreign tourists who become ill while travelling (10 percent) (5). With increases in the number of foreign patients, the projection by Pachanee and Wibulpolprasert (2006) (6) found that in 2009 the percentage of additional medical doctors required by foreign patients will be 6-8 percent of total doctors in the health system or 17-21 percent of the private system. In 2015, the requirement will increase to 9-12 percent of the health system or 23-34 percent of the private system. However, Na Ranong et al 2008 (7) argued that this estimation might be low. The figures could be five times higher. Table 6 Demand for medical doctors by foreign patients Foreign patient visits (million) Additional medical doctors required by Total visits foreign patients Year (OPD equiv.) Outpatients Inpatients require MD Total % of those % of those (OP) (IP) (million) required in the required by the private sector whole system (1) 2001 0.61 0.030 1.22 - - - (1) 2002 0.82 0.041 1.64 - - - (1) 2003 1.26 0.063 2.53 109 - 131 11 4 (2) 2005 1.76 - 1.82 0.088 - 0.091 3.52 - 3.64 83 - 111 18 - 21 7 (2) 2007 2.45 - 2.62 0.122 - 0.131 4.90 - 5.25 115 - 160 18 - 21 7–8 (3) 2009 3.18 - 3.53 0.159 - 0.176 6.37 - 7.06 123 - 181 17 - 21 6–8 (3) 2011 4.14 - 4.75 0.207 - 0.237 8.89 - 9.50 159 - 244 24 - 31 9 – 11 (4) 2013 5.01 - 5.96 0.250 - 0.298 10.03 - 11.92 145 - 242 19 - 28 7 – 10 (4) 2015 6.06 - 7.48 0.303 - 0.373 12.13 - 14.95 176 - 303 23 - 34 9 – 12 (1) Figure from the survey by Ministry of Commerce plus 30 percent of the under-surveyed. 14
  • 15. (2) Estimation with the assumption of increase at the rate of 18-20 percent per year (3) Estimation with the assumption of increase at the rate of 14-16 percent per year (4) Estimation with the assumption of increase at the rate of 10-12 percent per year Conditions for projection: 1. IP visit is equal to 5 percent of OP visits and 20 times of OP workload 2. Every patient requires a medical doctor 3. One medical doctor provides services to 10,000 – 12,000 OPD visits / year (Wibulpolprasert 2002) 3.1.4 Implications of Mode 2 trade in health services on access to services Implications on access to medical services involve equity of access, price and health workforce. This section analyses opportunities and risks of access (including prices) and health workforce separately. 3.1.4.1 Implications on access and price of services • Opportunities Mode 2 trade in health services helps increase revenue from a high number of foreign patients with higher prices of medical services. Using the revenue to reinvest in the health system to promote its reform, particularly in the area of human resource management for health, can create better access to health services (23). Na Ranong et al 2008 (7) noted that increasing demand for medical services could raise prices of services, hence an increase in revenue. However, this could as well create a barrier of access to services among Thai patients who cannot afford high prices. The same authors conducted a survey on price changes of caesarean section, appendicitis operation, hernia operation, gall bladder operation and knee joint replacement operation four hospitals that provide medical services to foreign patients and found that the prices increased every year [the survey covered a period of 2003-2008). Some hospital charged foreign patients higher prices and the author noted that this would be a good measure to prevent increasing prices for the case of Thai patients and encourage more access to services. Besides, with the increased demand, service providers also increase supplies of service specialties that can, at the same time, benefit Thai patients. • Risks The creation of two-tier system with the better quality services reserved for foreign clients with a higher ability to pay could lead to a decrease in quality and an increase in price for the poor if the lower tier is not properly subsidised (8, 23, 24). 15
  • 16. As mentioned above, increasing demand for medical services from foreign patients could raise the prices of services. Consequently, only wealthy Thai patients will be able to afford medical services from private facilities. Coupled with the implementation of the universal coverage of health care, most Thai patients will rely on public facilities. However, equity of access might be disturbed since the number of health professionals is limited and unevenly distributed throughout the country. The magnitude of the problem is more significant than one would perceive. In the private sector, resources needed for providing services to one foreign patient may be equivalent to what is needed for 4-5 Thai patients (25). High competition among private hospitals themselves to attract foreign patients such as establishing of specialised centres imposes these hospitals to provide high financial incentive to specialists in the public sectors to work for them. Therefore the ratio of health personnel to population may worsen (23). In the dental sector, Kanchanachitra et al (2004) (8) has estimated that, in Phuket, around 5 percent of tourists would come to use the local dental services. The annual income figure of foreigners visiting the province stood at 1,453,426 Baht which indicates that there would be more than 72,000 foreign patients alone. The maximum capacity of the dental service in Phuket was for, however, 60,840 patients. 3.1.4.2 Implications of Mode 2 trade in health services on health workforce • Opportunities In Thailand, the increase in demand from the influx of foreign patients would lead to more employment for health care personnel and higher earnings in the private sector as well as an increase of medical expertise in the highly demanding areas of services. The increase in plastic surgeons and ophthalmologists, for instance, implies that Thailand has the capacity to offer services well in those areas. It could thus generate more foreign exchange earnings as well as more job opportunities in linkage industries such as tourism with food, insurance and hotel industries. • Risks The increased demand from the influx of foreign patients and the attractive financial incentive to supply those demands within the private sector could lead to an exacerbation of health personnel shortages. It was estimated that, in 2005, Thailand still need 1,134 - 1,315 more doctors to meet the country’s health needs and it would take many years to fulfil this shortage. However, this problem would be particularly severe in the public sector and rural areas due to 16
  • 17. the internal brain drain phenomenon as health workers are tempted to move the private sector where they can earn more. By one estimate, if there were 100,000 more patients seeking medical treatment in Thailand, it could lead to an internal brain drain of between 240 to 700 doctors (26). From the study of Wibulpolprasert et al (2002) (9), several scenarios were predicted depending on the extent of health system reform and the success of trade in health services (Table 7). The high growth of the health service sector (i.e. scenario 1 and 3 where the sector is highly successful) and the poor level of reform (i.e. scenario 3 and 4 where the problem of shortage of health personnel in the rural area and the public sector persist) would lead to the worst problem in term of the number and the maldistribution of the health workforce. Table 7 Scenarios of international trade in health services and human resource development The success of health The success of International trade in health services system reform High Low High 1 2 Low 3 4 Note: Wibulpolprasert et al. (2002) The proportion of medical doctors working full-time in the private sector since 1998 is around 20 percent [Figure 3]. In Thailand it is legal for health personnel in the public sector to work in private health facilities after hours. Medical specialists are in high demand in the private sectors. Employment of these specialists is mostly on a part-time basis as most of them are registered as full-time staff in the public sector. In 2006, 12,736 medical doctors throughout the country worked part-time after hours at the private sector, while 1,313 dentists and 7,708 nurses did, accounted for 60.5, 31.4 and 7.3 percent of medical doctors, dentists and nurses in the public health sector, respectively. 17
  • 18. Figure 3 Proportion of medical doctors working full-time in the private sector 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Source: Bureau of Policy and Strategy, Ministry of Public Health 2007 The study by Kanchanachitra et al (2004) (8) has shown that there was a direct link between the growth of the private health service sector and the number of doctors leaving the public sector. The rate of newly graduated doctors leaving the public sector had continuously gone up during 1994-1997 while the private sector enjoyed substantial growth from the period of economy prosperity. This figure went down during the economic crisis between 1997-1999 but started to climb again and reached the rate of 59.9% in 2002 and was the highest in 2005 at 84.5% as shown in Table 2 above (10). The private sector also provides 8-11 times higher financial incentive to attract health personnel from the public sector [Table 8]. Although the Ministry of Public Health has increased financial incentives for medical doctors working in the public sector, the amount is still less than what they would get from the private sector, especially for specialists. After the launch of universal health coverage (UC), there have been more health needs for health personnel in rural areas because the increase in utilisation rate of health centres and community hospitals. As a result, those rural areas would continue to suffer the most if the problem of internal brain-drain is not sufficiently addressed. In 2005, the doctor : population ratio in the 18
  • 19. poorest North-eastern region was 1:7,015, almost ten times of the proportion in the capital city of Bangkok, 1:867. With the mentioned health workforce problem, the government has implemented both demand and supply side interventions including financial and non-financial incentives to increase retention of health personnel in the public sector (6). Table 8 Comparison of monthly salary in public and private health facilities Cadre MOPH State enterprise Private Private (Non-profit) (profit) Medical doctor 8180 - 27980 15090 – 62080 100,000* 50,000 – 300,000 Dentist 8260 – 19840 17990 – 52990 80,000* 27,000 - 150,000 Pharmacist 7197 – 17083 7640 – 49910 18000 – 55000 18399 – 31229 Nurses 5255 – 19680 7640 – 21620 9000 – 20000 14281 – 27720 Medical 6680 – 19005 7640 – 35960 5300 – 25000 14281 – 29381 technician Radiologist 7880 – 17880 4880 – 35960 5000 – 20000 10417 – 29160 Admin 5200 – 15540 6810 – 46950 5500 – 25000 5326 – 20963 Others 4200 – 14040 4880 - 21620 5000 – 15000 5310 – 27000 Note: These Note: * average salary range covers salary and other benefits Source: Pannarunothai S. et al 1999. (27) 3.2 Quality control 3.2.1 Quality control for medical services and facilities in Thailand For public facilities, the government has invested a large amount of budget to establish good facilities nationwide since the early 1980s. They are well maintained and new investments continue. For private facilities, the Medical Facility Act 1999 requires the licensed private 19
  • 20. hospitals to meet certain standards on the premises and the number of health professionals. However, these are minimal standards. In 1998, the Institute of Hospital Quality Improvement and Accreditation was established as an agency to provide accreditation to hospitals that meet all the required standards. In 2007, 227 hospitals received this accreditation (28). Of which, 200 were public hospitals while 27 were private hospitals. Although it is not mandatory to receive accreditation but those that are accredited will have better social acceptance. A report in the McKinsey Quarterly (29) on mapping the market for medical travel reveals that 40 percent of medical travelers would see the world’s most advanced technologies and 32 percent would seek better-quality care than they could find in their home countries. Comparing with other countries, health facilities in Thailand have high competitive advantages which are one of the main factors influencing the influx of foreign patients [Table 9]. Table 9 Competitive Advantage of health facilities in Asian countries providing health care services to foreign patients Competitive Advantage Thai Singapore India Malaysia Hong Kong Service & Hospitality ***** ** * * ** Hi-technological Hardware ** **** ** * ** HR Quality **** **** ** ** *** International Accredited Hospital ** ** - * * Pre-emptive Move ** *** * * * Synergy/Strategic Partner * ** * * * Accessibility/Market Channel ** *** * ** ** Reasonable Cost **** * **** *** * Source: modified from Private Hospital Association and Business Council of Thailand, 2004 (22) 3.2.2 Implications of Mode 2 trade in health services on quality of services • Opportunities Trade liberalisation increases competition which in turn reduces costs within the market. Health services trade offers countries the opportunity to enhance their health systems through trading 20
  • 21. health technology in areas where countries have comparative advantages. Developing countries might improve their infrastructure; upgrade medical knowledge and technological capacity in order to attract foreign patients. The influx of foreigners would lead to an increase demand for high quality services which in turn lead to a more efficient and high quality health service providers, although the improvement would occur mainly in the private sector (8, 23, 24). From the opinion survey carried out by Searsiriwattana et al (2006) (24), the general opinion of the private sector, who agreed with the liberalisation, said that the opportunity to learn from developed countries, i.e. USA, was immense and the technological advance gained from such country would benefit the quality of service. The liberalisation of health services through this FTA would certainly open up any barrier which was impeding the transfer of knowledge. • Risks From the opinion survey on Thai-US FTA by Searsiriwattana et al (2006) (24), the professional bodies and the public health government agencies (both central and local), who the majority disagreed with liberalisation, stated that they did not want the ‘commercialisation’ of health services as it would demean the cause and purpose of health care (which has been portrayed as noble by the Thai community). This could lead to a drop in the ethical standard of health care personnel, and in turn, the quality of care. They were also concerned about the two-tier service which would stress too much on giving care to the richer foreigner. The two-tier system can lead to an overall increase in price for the lower tier if resources are inappropriately allocated (8, 24, 30). At the same time, it could lead to a drop in quality for the lower tier (30). 3.3 Overall implications • Opportunities One of the main advantages is income generation. The increase in revenues from foreign patients can provide financial benefits from economies of scale that would help to improve the health service sector as a whole (23, 31). Thailand has more than one million foreign patients each year which attracts around USD615 million annually (32). The Department of Export Promotion estimated an income of USD1,028 million and USD1,170 million would be gained from foreign 21
  • 22. patients in 2006 and 2007, respectively. It is estimated that 850,000 cases of dental care could bring in THB19.6 billion in 2004 which could rise to THB39.8 billion in 2008 (8), and the revenue from foreign consumption of spa, Thai massage and health tourism could be as high as THB17 billion in 2008 (24). Table 10 Estimate of revenues from different products and services (million baht) Types of business 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Total Curative 19,635 23,100 27,433 32,898 39,833 142,899 Health promotion 4,996 6,754 9,185 12,492 16,989 50,416 Health products 1,500 2,000 3,000 4,000 7,000 17,500 Total 26,131 31,854 39,618 49,390 63,822 210,815 Note: adapted from Kanchanachitra et al, (2004) The most common areas of health care service requested by foreigners are acute care, physical checkups, dentistry, long-term care, and health promotion. These are very promising areas for foreign exchange earnings if Thailand makes the commitment to international trade in health services. In an FTA context, there is a potential for cooperation with other nations in order to allow exchange of knowledge and reduce trade barrier, e.g. cooperation on Hospital Accreditation between Thai and India (24). • Risks Other several impacts are likely to happen. For example, an influx of foreign patients could lead to the danger of importing infectious disease such as HIV/AIDS, and in a bilateral FTA context, it is possible that the other country may set certain conditions which may be detrimental to the Thai health system, and the extent of patent protection to apply to diagnostic, curative and surgical techniques which would prevent Thailand from gaining access to new knowledge that could benefit the Thai health system. 4 Discussion and Recommendations Mode 2 trade in health services in Thailand has occurred and was initiated by the private sector itself. It has occurred outside the multilateral and regional trade agreements. Thailand is 22
  • 23. recognised as a leading exporter of medical services to foreign patients due to its high capacity and good marketing strategies. Although the increase in demand of health services among foreign patients generates income for the country, negative implications also occur and take part in elevating existing problems in the Thai health systems such as inequitable distribution of health workforce and widening of the two-tiered health services. However, the implications have not been systematically measured and monitored. The review for this paper found that the main methods used for analysing the implications of Mode 2 trade in health services in Thailand are mainly by review of existing literature, modelling, surveys, focus group discussion, and direct communication with experts in trade in health services, communication with service providers and interview with service providers. In order to take benefit from the increasing demand of health services from foreign patients, there have been several recommendations, for example, the Thai government should find a measure to collect a reasonable medical service tax from foreign patients who seek medical services in Thailand (7). Although this tax revenue could be used as compensation for the public sector in providing medical service to Thai patients and providing quality training of health personnel, collecting tax from patients might reduce their interest to seek medical services in Thailand. The policy coherence and collaboration among health and non-health sectors should be established. The private sector should collaborate with the public sector (such as the Ministry of Public Health) in surveillance and monitoring implications of Mode 2 trade in health services on the health systems and taking part in addressing and preventing negative implications. As the magnitude of impacts from Mode 2 international trade in health services is still not clear and has not been systematically measure, good systems or methods for measuring the impacts should be developed. In addition, Thailand could learn from experience of other countries that promote Mode 2 trade in health services on how impacts on the health systems are prevented, measured and addressed. 23
  • 24. Acknowledgement The author would like to acknowledge and thank the World Health Organization (Department of Ethics, Trade, Human Right and Health Law) for providing support to this study. Mr. Jiraboon Tosanguan (International Health Policy Programme, Thailand) is thanked for his assistance with information gathering and part of literature review for the earlier draft, and a big thank goes to Ms. Pen Suwannarat (International Health Policy Programme, Thailand) for her assistance with editing. The author thanks the Director of the Service Business Division, Department of Export Promotion, Ministry of Commerce, for providing information on the number of foreign patients and how the data were collected. All other sources of information are acknowledged with thanks. Finally, special thanks go to Dr. Viroj Tangcharoensathien, Director of International Health Policy Programme Thailand, and Dr. Suwit Wibulpolprasert from Ministry of Public Health Thailand for supporting this work. 24
  • 25. References 1. Smith R, chanda R, Tangcharoensathien V. Trade in health-related services. Lancet. 2009;73(9663):593-601. 2. Bookman M. Medical tourism in developing countries. New York: Palgrave MacMillan; 2007. 3. Department of Export Promotion MoC. Number of foreign patients entering Thailand by country, 2001-2005. Nonthaburi: Ministry of Commerce; 2005. 4. Department of Export Promotion. Number of foreign patients entering Thailand by country, 2007. data. Nonthaburi, Thailand: Ministry of Commerce; 2009. 5. Mongkolporn V, Akleephan C, Kanchanachitra C, Tangcharoensathien V. Demand and supply of medical services for foreign patients: Study of impacts on the health system and human resources for health in Thailand. Research report. Bangkok: International Health Policy Programme, Ministry of Public Health; 2005. 6. Pachanee C, Wibulpolprasert S. Incoherent policies on Universal Coverage of Health Insurance and Promotion of International Trade in Health Services in Thailand. Health Policy and Plan. 2006:310-8. 7. Na Ranong A, Na Ranong V, Jindarak S. Thailand as the medical hub development strategies, a research report submitted to the National Economic and Social Council. Research report. Bangkok: National Institute of Development Administration; 2008 August 2008. 8. Kanchanachitra C, Supakankunti S, Petrakart P, Limpananont J, Sethsirote B. Implications on health from free trade policy. National Health Assembly. Bangkok, Thailand; 2004. 9. Wibulpolprasert S, Hempisut P, Pitayarangsarit S. Implications of liberalization of trade in services on the development of human resources in health. Nonthaburi, Thailand: Ministry of Public Health; 2002. 10. Wibulpolprasert S. Thailand Health Profile 2005-2007. Nonthaburi, Thailand: Ministry of Public Health; 2007. 11. Wibulpolprasert S, Pachanee C. Addressing the internal brain drain of medical doctors in Thailand: The story and lesson learned. Global Social Policy. 2008;8(1):13-5. 12. Kanchanachitra C, Wibulpolprasert S, Thammarangsi T, editors. Gender and physician mobility in Thailand. Boston: Global Equity Initiative Harvard University; 2008. 13. Wibulpolprasert S, editor. Thailand Health Profile 2005-2007. Nonthaburi, Thailand: Bureau of Policy and Strategy, Ministry of Public Health; 2008. 14. National Statistical Office. Report of Health and Welfare Survey 1991. Bangkok: National Statistical Office; 1991. 25
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  • 28. Appendix 1 Number of Foreign Patient Report Form Name of Hospital _______________________________________________________ Name of Informant _____________________________ Position________________ Phone_____________________________ Fax ___________________________ Please report the number of foreign patients using services in the hospital during January – December 2007 by country Country Number of foreign patients Remark North America - USA - Canada Europe - UK - Germany - France - Sweden - Other (please specify) East Europe - Russia - Other (please specify) East Asia - Japan - China - South Korea 28
  • 29. Country Number of foreign patients Remark - Taiwan - Other (please specify) Oceania - Australia - New Zealand - Other (please specify) Middle East - United Arab Emirate - Oman - Kuwait - Bahrain - Qatar - Yemen - Other (please specify) South Asia - Bangladesh - India - Pakistan - Sri Lanka - Maldives - Other (please specify) ASEAN - Cambodia - Myanmar - Vietnam - Indonesia 29
  • 30. Country Number of foreign patients Remark - Philippines - Other (please specify) Other country (Please specify) Total Note: Please sum up the number of foreign patients who revisit Proportion of foreign patients who reside in Thailand ________% Proportion of foreign patients who do not reside in Thailand ______________% Number of foreign patients using services in 2006 ______________ Number of foreign patients using services in 2007 _____________ Change from 2006 increase _________% Decrease_________% Estimated change of foreign patients who will utilize services in 2008 Increase _________% Decrease_________% Please answer the following questions 1. Factors that discourage foreign patients to utilize health services at the hospital (Please ) Exchange rate Political situation Unstable Thai economy Language skill of health personnel 30
  • 31. Other (Please specify) _______________________________________________________________________________________________________________ ___________________________________________________________________________________________________ 2. Which months do foreign patients visit the hospital the most? (Please rank 1- 4 in 4 = the most, 1= the least) January - March April - June July - September October - December Which factor is most likely encouraging foreign patients to use services during the months ranked 4th above? ______________________________________________________________________ ______________________________________________________________________ Service Business Promotion Section 2, Bureau of Service Business Promotion, Department of Export Promotion 31