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Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries

Submitted by:-
Gunjan Jadon(116)
Neha Mishra(131)
Satyadev(146)
About OPEC
• It is a permanent intergovernmental organization, currently
  consisting of 12 oil producing and exporting countries,
  spread across three continents America, Asia and Africa
• Oil is the main marketable commodity and foreign
  exchange earner. Thus, for these countries, oil is the vital
  key to development – economic, social and political. Their
  oil revenues are used not only to expand their economic
  and industrial base, but also to provide their people with
  jobs, education, health care and a decent standard of living
• OPEC was formed at a meeting held on September 14,
  1960 in Baghdad, Iraq, by five Founder Members: Iran, Iraq,
  Kuwait, Saudi Arabia and Venezuela. OPEC was registered
  with the United Nations Secretariat on November 6, 1962
Member Countries
Country                  Joined OPEC     Location

Algeria                  1969            Africa

Angola                   2007            Africa

Ecuador **               rejoined 2007   South America

IR Iran *                1960            Middle East

 Iraq *                  1960            Middle East

Kuwait *                 1960            Middle East

 Libya                   1962            Africa

 Nigeria                 1971            Africa

 Qatar                   1961            Middle East

Saudi Arabia *           1960            Middle East

United Arab Emirates     1967            Middle East

 Venezuela*              1960            South America
• Countries in blue are the members countries
• Ecuador and Gabon were early members of OPEC, but Ecuador
  withdrew on December 31, 1992 because it was unwilling or unable
  to pay a $2 million membership fee and felt that it needed to
  produce more oil than it was allowed to under the OPEC quota,
  although it rejoined in October 2007
OPEC’S Objectives
The organization’s principal objectives are:

• To co-ordinate and unify the petroleum policies of the
Member Countries and to determine the best means for
safeguarding their individual and collective interests

• To seek ways and means of ensuring the stabilization
of prices in international oil markets, with a view to
eliminating harmful and unnecessary fluctuations

•To provide an efficient economic and regular supply of
petroleum to consuming nations and a fair return on
capital to those investing in the petroleum industry.
OPEC Statute & Membership
“Any country with a substantial net export of
 crude petroleum, which has fundamentally
 similar interests to those of Member Countries,
 may become a Full Member of the
 Organization, if accepted by a majority of three-
 fourths of Full Members, including the
 concurring votes of all Founder Members”
The Statute further distinguishes between three categories
  of membership:

• Founder Members of the Organization are those countries
  which were represented at OPEC's first Conference, held in
  Baghdad, Iraq, in September 1960, and which signed the
  original      agreement        establishing         OPEC.

• Full Members are the Founder Members, plus those
  countries whose applications for Membership have been
  accepted          by           the         Conference.

• Associate Members are the countries which do not qualify
  for full membership, but which are nevertheless admitted
  under such special conditions as may be prescribed by the
  Conference.
• The OPEC Conference: The Conference generally meets twice a
  year, in March and September, and in extraordinary sessions
  whenever required. It operates on the principle of unanimity and
  one Member, one vote. It is responsible for the formulation of the
  general policy of the Organization, setting oil price and quotas for
  each country and the determination of the appropriate ways and
  means of its implementation.
• The Heads of Delegation : The Heads of Delegation to OPEC are
  the official representatives of each Member Country to the OPEC
  Conference. They are normally the Ministers of Oil, Mines and
  Energy of Member Countries.
• Headquarters : Vienna, Austria
• Official language : English
• President : Rostam Ghasemi
• Secretary general : Abdallah el-Badri
• Currency : USD per barrel
Why OPEC?
•    Stable oil market, with reasonable prices and steady supplies to
    consumers : OPEC was made to make sure that the price of the oil in the
    world market will be properly controlled. There main goal is to prevent
    harmful increase in price of oil in global market and make sure that
    nations that produce oil have a fair profit.

•   Seven Sisters : The international oil market was dominated by the
    “Seven Sisters” multinational companies and was largely separate
    from that of the former Soviet Union (FSU) and other centrally
    planned economies (CPEs). OPEC developed its collective vision, set
    up its objectives and established its Secretariat, first in Geneva and
    then, in 1965, in Vienna. It adopted a ‘Declaratory Statement of
    Petroleum Policy in Member Countries’ in 1968, which emphasised
    the inalienable right of all countries to exercise permanent
    sovereignty over their natural resources in the interest of their
    national development. Membership grew to ten by 1969.
• Mandatory Oil Import Quota Program (MOIP) : In
  1959, the U.S. government established the
  Mandatory Oil Import Quota program (MOIP), which
  restricted the amount of imported crude oil and
  refined products allowed into the United States and
  gave preferential treatment to oil imports from
  Canada, Mexico, and, somewhat later, Venezuela.
  This partial exclusion of Persian Gulf oil from the U.S.
  market depressed prices for Middle Eastern oil;
  therefore the Persian Gulf nations formed OPEC in
  order to obtain higher prices for crude oil
• OPEC-
• Cartel Group /Producer’s Alliance- Member
  countries of the group decide on the quotas of
  production and then setting up of prices
  depending on the market situation. Countries
  like Saudi Arabia are swing producers as theie
  production capability are huge and can effect
  the market maximum.
Cartel                          Oligopoly

Sources of power    Explicit agreement between the     Each firm can significantly
                    dominant players in the            influence the market by setting
                    industry.                          price or production quantity.


     Prices         Unusually high. Prices are fixed   Moderate/fair pricing due to
                    by cartel members.                 competition in market

   Examples         OPEC, lysine cartel, Federal       Health insurers, wireless
                    Reser                              carriers, beer (Anheuser-Busch
                                                       and MillerCoors), media (TV
                                                       broadcasting, book publishing,
                                                       movies)

 Characteristics    Prices and production quantities   firms compete with each other
                    are fixed. Product is              based on product differentiation,
                    undifferentiated.                  price, customer service etc.


   Meaning          agreement between firms in an      An economic market condition
                    industry to fix price and          where numerous sellers have
                    production quantity                their presence in one single
                                                       market.

Barriers to entry   difficult to enter the industry    difficult to enter the industry
                    because of economies of scale.     because of economies of scale.
Quotas circa 2005


                   OPEC Quotas and Production in thousands of barrels per day [36]
Country                      Quota (7/1/05)     Production (1/07)             Capacity

Saudi Arabia                         10,099                         9,800                12,500
Algeria
                                          894                       1,360                 1,430

Angola                                1,900                         1,700                 1,700

Ecuador                                   520                        500                   500

Iran                                  4,110                         3,700                 3,750
Iraq
                                                                    1,481

Kuwait                                2,247                         2,500                 2,600

Libya                                 1,500                         1,650                 1,700

Nigeria                               2,306                         2,250                 2,250
Qatar
                                          726                        810                   850



United Arab Emirates                  2,444                         2,500                 2,600

Venezuela                             3,225                         2,340                 2,450
               Total             29,971              29,591                    30,330
OPEC Function
• Cartel enforcement problem: overproduction and price
  cheating by members.
• The methods available to engage in such cheating
i.    Extending credit longer then the standard 30 day period
ii.   Selling high grade oil at the price of low grade oil. Crediting for the transportation
      cost.
• Rivalry between two groups within OPEC
I.     Hawks-Countries having lower production ask for higher prices to get
       maximum revenue.(Iran and Iraq)
II.    Doves- Countries having Higher output can set lower prices to achieve
       economies of scale and make sure that the demand of oil is maintained
       in the market and people do not switch to substitutes(Saudi Arabia,
       Kuwait, United Arab Emirates)
Does OPEC control the Oil Prices?
 Yes-, OPEC's crude oil exports represent about 60 per cent of the
 crude oil traded internationally

     No-OPEC Member Countries produce about 42 per cent of the
    world's crude oil and 18 per cent of its natural gas

     The price of crude oil is set by movements on the three major
    international petroleum exchanges

i. The New York Mercantile Exchange
ii. The International Petroleum Exchange in London
iii. The Singapore International Monetary Exchange .

    OPEC is trying to price the OIL in Euros rather then in Dollars- As the
    imports from Europe for OPEC countries is increasing and the US
    dollar is becoming unstable in the market .
Non- OPEC countries
• Seven of the world's fifteen largest oil producers are
  outside of OPEC and one of the major producer is Russia.
  OECD is also part of the Non- OPEC Countries
• Russia
• The former Soviet Union, i.e., the CIS countries form one
  of the largest groups of oil and gas producing countries
  outside OPEC. The countries produce about 10 per cent
  of the world's oil and about 30 per cent of the gas. Some
  of the world's biggest oil and gas fields are situated in
  Russia, especially in Siberia.
• While OPEC countries shut their wells and idled their
  pipelines, new tax incentives encouraged companies in
  Russia to, in effect, drill, baby, drill. A devaluation of the
  ruble helped exporters.
Russia Joins WTO impact
• Ends the anomaly of, a leading oil and natural
  gas exporter as well as a permanent member
  of the United Nations Security Council,
  outside the world trade system.
• Lower its tariffs like(7.1 per cent for oils
  (current applied tariff 9.0 per cent))
• Controlled production of OIL because of some
  restrictions of WTO.
• Price stability of Oil prices is expected.
Why Low prices?
• Imbalance of supply and demand.
• Non OPEC countries

    Why High Prices?
•   Shortage of Oil supplies
•   Taxation.
•   Sentiments
•   Other Factors
• PERHAPS 60% OF OIL PRICES ARE SPECULATION!

• In June 2006, the senate investigation estimated
  that of oil traded in futures markets at some$60 a
  barrel, about $25 of that was due to pure financial
  speculation.

• Analysts estimated in August2005 that US
  oil inventory levels suggested WTI crude prices
  should be around $25 a barrel, and not $60.
• That would mean today that at least $50 to $60
  or more of today's$115 a barrel price is due to pure
  hedge fund and financial institution speculation.
Oil Crisis
 1973 Oil Embargo
• Members of OAPEC(Arab members of OPEC plus
  Egypt, Syria, Tunisia) proclaimed an OIL embargo.

• Prices Quadrupled from $3.50 to $12 in 1974.

• In response to US decision to resupply Israeli military
  during YOM KIPPUR war.

• YOM KIPPUR war-Syria and Egypt launched a
  surprise attack on Israel in 1973.

• Promise of negotiated settlement between Israel
  and Syria resulted in removal of embargo.
•
Oil crisis (Contd.)

   1980 Oil Gluts
• Surplus of Crude Oil caused by falling demand
  following the 1970s energy crisis.

• Oil price from $35(1980) fall to below $10 (1986).

• Slowed economic activity in Industrial activities,
  reduced demand and overproduction.
Oil crisis (Contd.)

     1990 Gulf war
•   War against Iraq in response to Iraq's invasion and
    annexation of Kuwait.
•   Iraq dumped 400 million US gallons of crude oil into
    the Persian Gulf.
•   Apparent strategic goal was to foil a potential
    landing by US Marines.
•   Kuwaiti oil fires were caused by Iraqi military forces
    setting fire to 700 oil wells.
OPEC & INDIA

• In 2008 OPEC rejected India’s call for a price
  band.
• OPEC doesn’t have uniform pricing policy.
• India having high current account deficit as it imports
  70% of oil.
• India-Iran payment issue.
OPEC & WORLD
• Crude Reserve’s
  Country      Crude oil Reserves(billion barrels)2010
  Venezuela                  296.58
  Saudi Arabia                264.54
  Iran                       151.70
  Iraq                       143.10
  Kuwait                      101.50
  Total                       1193.72
• 81.3 percent(1193.72) out of Total (1467.35)Crude
  reserve’s, are in OPEC Member Countries.

                    Source: OPEC Annual Statistical Bulletin 2010/2011 Edition
Current scenario
• Total World Output of Crude oil in 2010 was 69.7
  million barrels per day

• OPEC ‘s output was 29.2 million barrels per day
  which is 41.8% of World output.

• OPEC crude oil reserves are sufficient to last more
  than 112 years.
Impact of OPEC
• On Industries:
  Shortage of Oil supplies-->Price of Oil will rise.
  Higher transportation Cost.
  Slow economic growth.
• Economics
• Sustainability
• “World lives on OIL”
Importance of Countries(Member &
           Non Member)
• Historically they took advantage of the voluntary
  constraint of OPEC.

• Russia, Mexico, Oman, Norway are the major non
  member countries

• Combined effort required for controlling the prices
OPEC Challenges

• Uncertainty in Global Demand
   Structural shift in demand from developed
  world to developing world.
• Non-OPEC oil-producing nations (Russia ,
  Norway, Canada, Mexico etc.)often increase
  production when OPEC cuts it.
• Russia overtook Saudi Arabia as the world’s
  biggest crude supplier in 2009.
• OPEC’s share of production has gone down
  from around 51% in the mid-1970s to just over
  40% now.
Challenge’s Contd.
• Problem of Member Cohesion within OPEC nations:-
    Maintaining quota discipline within the cartel.
• Existence of factions within OPEC, which are
  generally classified into three groups:
1. ‡The group led by Saudi Arabia, the UAE and
   Kuwait, who are in favour of increased supplies and
   moderate pricing,
2. The group led by Libya, Iran and Algeria, who are
   insistent on decreasing output for higher prices,
3. The in-between group including Nigeria, Venezuela,
   Indonesia who have been known to take sides
   depending on their own economic/political agenda.
Challenge’s Contd.
• Middle-Eastern Strife & Political instability in OPEC
  oil-producing countries
  - Mostly authoritarian states that use oil money as a
  means of sustaining political power.
• Future technological developments in areas of
  renewable energy sources
   - According to IEA (International Energy Agency), the
  increase in renewable usage will far outstrip annual
  growth in energy liquids(crude oil and natural gas) as
  a source of the world's power ‡Crude oil, OPEC will
  become less important in the energy equation.
Upcoming Events
• OPEC Events:-
  161st OPEC meeting will be held on 14 June 2012.

  5th OPEC International Seminar will be held on 13-14
  June 2012.
Queries
Opec

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Opec

  • 1. Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries Submitted by:- Gunjan Jadon(116) Neha Mishra(131) Satyadev(146)
  • 2. About OPEC • It is a permanent intergovernmental organization, currently consisting of 12 oil producing and exporting countries, spread across three continents America, Asia and Africa • Oil is the main marketable commodity and foreign exchange earner. Thus, for these countries, oil is the vital key to development – economic, social and political. Their oil revenues are used not only to expand their economic and industrial base, but also to provide their people with jobs, education, health care and a decent standard of living • OPEC was formed at a meeting held on September 14, 1960 in Baghdad, Iraq, by five Founder Members: Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia and Venezuela. OPEC was registered with the United Nations Secretariat on November 6, 1962
  • 3. Member Countries Country Joined OPEC Location Algeria 1969 Africa Angola 2007 Africa Ecuador ** rejoined 2007 South America IR Iran * 1960 Middle East Iraq * 1960 Middle East Kuwait * 1960 Middle East Libya 1962 Africa Nigeria 1971 Africa Qatar 1961 Middle East Saudi Arabia * 1960 Middle East United Arab Emirates 1967 Middle East Venezuela* 1960 South America
  • 4. • Countries in blue are the members countries • Ecuador and Gabon were early members of OPEC, but Ecuador withdrew on December 31, 1992 because it was unwilling or unable to pay a $2 million membership fee and felt that it needed to produce more oil than it was allowed to under the OPEC quota, although it rejoined in October 2007
  • 5. OPEC’S Objectives The organization’s principal objectives are: • To co-ordinate and unify the petroleum policies of the Member Countries and to determine the best means for safeguarding their individual and collective interests • To seek ways and means of ensuring the stabilization of prices in international oil markets, with a view to eliminating harmful and unnecessary fluctuations •To provide an efficient economic and regular supply of petroleum to consuming nations and a fair return on capital to those investing in the petroleum industry.
  • 6. OPEC Statute & Membership “Any country with a substantial net export of crude petroleum, which has fundamentally similar interests to those of Member Countries, may become a Full Member of the Organization, if accepted by a majority of three- fourths of Full Members, including the concurring votes of all Founder Members”
  • 7. The Statute further distinguishes between three categories of membership: • Founder Members of the Organization are those countries which were represented at OPEC's first Conference, held in Baghdad, Iraq, in September 1960, and which signed the original agreement establishing OPEC. • Full Members are the Founder Members, plus those countries whose applications for Membership have been accepted by the Conference. • Associate Members are the countries which do not qualify for full membership, but which are nevertheless admitted under such special conditions as may be prescribed by the Conference.
  • 8. • The OPEC Conference: The Conference generally meets twice a year, in March and September, and in extraordinary sessions whenever required. It operates on the principle of unanimity and one Member, one vote. It is responsible for the formulation of the general policy of the Organization, setting oil price and quotas for each country and the determination of the appropriate ways and means of its implementation. • The Heads of Delegation : The Heads of Delegation to OPEC are the official representatives of each Member Country to the OPEC Conference. They are normally the Ministers of Oil, Mines and Energy of Member Countries. • Headquarters : Vienna, Austria • Official language : English • President : Rostam Ghasemi • Secretary general : Abdallah el-Badri • Currency : USD per barrel
  • 9. Why OPEC? • Stable oil market, with reasonable prices and steady supplies to consumers : OPEC was made to make sure that the price of the oil in the world market will be properly controlled. There main goal is to prevent harmful increase in price of oil in global market and make sure that nations that produce oil have a fair profit. • Seven Sisters : The international oil market was dominated by the “Seven Sisters” multinational companies and was largely separate from that of the former Soviet Union (FSU) and other centrally planned economies (CPEs). OPEC developed its collective vision, set up its objectives and established its Secretariat, first in Geneva and then, in 1965, in Vienna. It adopted a ‘Declaratory Statement of Petroleum Policy in Member Countries’ in 1968, which emphasised the inalienable right of all countries to exercise permanent sovereignty over their natural resources in the interest of their national development. Membership grew to ten by 1969.
  • 10. • Mandatory Oil Import Quota Program (MOIP) : In 1959, the U.S. government established the Mandatory Oil Import Quota program (MOIP), which restricted the amount of imported crude oil and refined products allowed into the United States and gave preferential treatment to oil imports from Canada, Mexico, and, somewhat later, Venezuela. This partial exclusion of Persian Gulf oil from the U.S. market depressed prices for Middle Eastern oil; therefore the Persian Gulf nations formed OPEC in order to obtain higher prices for crude oil
  • 11. • OPEC- • Cartel Group /Producer’s Alliance- Member countries of the group decide on the quotas of production and then setting up of prices depending on the market situation. Countries like Saudi Arabia are swing producers as theie production capability are huge and can effect the market maximum.
  • 12. Cartel Oligopoly Sources of power Explicit agreement between the Each firm can significantly dominant players in the influence the market by setting industry. price or production quantity. Prices Unusually high. Prices are fixed Moderate/fair pricing due to by cartel members. competition in market Examples OPEC, lysine cartel, Federal Health insurers, wireless Reser carriers, beer (Anheuser-Busch and MillerCoors), media (TV broadcasting, book publishing, movies) Characteristics Prices and production quantities firms compete with each other are fixed. Product is based on product differentiation, undifferentiated. price, customer service etc. Meaning agreement between firms in an An economic market condition industry to fix price and where numerous sellers have production quantity their presence in one single market. Barriers to entry difficult to enter the industry difficult to enter the industry because of economies of scale. because of economies of scale.
  • 13. Quotas circa 2005 OPEC Quotas and Production in thousands of barrels per day [36] Country Quota (7/1/05) Production (1/07) Capacity Saudi Arabia 10,099 9,800 12,500 Algeria 894 1,360 1,430 Angola 1,900 1,700 1,700 Ecuador 520 500 500 Iran 4,110 3,700 3,750 Iraq 1,481 Kuwait 2,247 2,500 2,600 Libya 1,500 1,650 1,700 Nigeria 2,306 2,250 2,250 Qatar 726 810 850 United Arab Emirates 2,444 2,500 2,600 Venezuela 3,225 2,340 2,450 Total 29,971 29,591 30,330
  • 14. OPEC Function • Cartel enforcement problem: overproduction and price cheating by members. • The methods available to engage in such cheating i. Extending credit longer then the standard 30 day period ii. Selling high grade oil at the price of low grade oil. Crediting for the transportation cost. • Rivalry between two groups within OPEC I. Hawks-Countries having lower production ask for higher prices to get maximum revenue.(Iran and Iraq) II. Doves- Countries having Higher output can set lower prices to achieve economies of scale and make sure that the demand of oil is maintained in the market and people do not switch to substitutes(Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, United Arab Emirates)
  • 15. Does OPEC control the Oil Prices?  Yes-, OPEC's crude oil exports represent about 60 per cent of the crude oil traded internationally  No-OPEC Member Countries produce about 42 per cent of the world's crude oil and 18 per cent of its natural gas The price of crude oil is set by movements on the three major international petroleum exchanges i. The New York Mercantile Exchange ii. The International Petroleum Exchange in London iii. The Singapore International Monetary Exchange . OPEC is trying to price the OIL in Euros rather then in Dollars- As the imports from Europe for OPEC countries is increasing and the US dollar is becoming unstable in the market .
  • 16.
  • 17. Non- OPEC countries • Seven of the world's fifteen largest oil producers are outside of OPEC and one of the major producer is Russia. OECD is also part of the Non- OPEC Countries • Russia • The former Soviet Union, i.e., the CIS countries form one of the largest groups of oil and gas producing countries outside OPEC. The countries produce about 10 per cent of the world's oil and about 30 per cent of the gas. Some of the world's biggest oil and gas fields are situated in Russia, especially in Siberia. • While OPEC countries shut their wells and idled their pipelines, new tax incentives encouraged companies in Russia to, in effect, drill, baby, drill. A devaluation of the ruble helped exporters.
  • 18. Russia Joins WTO impact • Ends the anomaly of, a leading oil and natural gas exporter as well as a permanent member of the United Nations Security Council, outside the world trade system. • Lower its tariffs like(7.1 per cent for oils (current applied tariff 9.0 per cent)) • Controlled production of OIL because of some restrictions of WTO. • Price stability of Oil prices is expected.
  • 19. Why Low prices? • Imbalance of supply and demand. • Non OPEC countries Why High Prices? • Shortage of Oil supplies • Taxation. • Sentiments • Other Factors
  • 20. • PERHAPS 60% OF OIL PRICES ARE SPECULATION! • In June 2006, the senate investigation estimated that of oil traded in futures markets at some$60 a barrel, about $25 of that was due to pure financial speculation. • Analysts estimated in August2005 that US oil inventory levels suggested WTI crude prices should be around $25 a barrel, and not $60. • That would mean today that at least $50 to $60 or more of today's$115 a barrel price is due to pure hedge fund and financial institution speculation.
  • 21. Oil Crisis 1973 Oil Embargo • Members of OAPEC(Arab members of OPEC plus Egypt, Syria, Tunisia) proclaimed an OIL embargo. • Prices Quadrupled from $3.50 to $12 in 1974. • In response to US decision to resupply Israeli military during YOM KIPPUR war. • YOM KIPPUR war-Syria and Egypt launched a surprise attack on Israel in 1973. • Promise of negotiated settlement between Israel and Syria resulted in removal of embargo. •
  • 22. Oil crisis (Contd.) 1980 Oil Gluts • Surplus of Crude Oil caused by falling demand following the 1970s energy crisis. • Oil price from $35(1980) fall to below $10 (1986). • Slowed economic activity in Industrial activities, reduced demand and overproduction.
  • 23. Oil crisis (Contd.) 1990 Gulf war • War against Iraq in response to Iraq's invasion and annexation of Kuwait. • Iraq dumped 400 million US gallons of crude oil into the Persian Gulf. • Apparent strategic goal was to foil a potential landing by US Marines. • Kuwaiti oil fires were caused by Iraqi military forces setting fire to 700 oil wells.
  • 24. OPEC & INDIA • In 2008 OPEC rejected India’s call for a price band. • OPEC doesn’t have uniform pricing policy. • India having high current account deficit as it imports 70% of oil. • India-Iran payment issue.
  • 25. OPEC & WORLD • Crude Reserve’s Country Crude oil Reserves(billion barrels)2010 Venezuela 296.58 Saudi Arabia 264.54 Iran 151.70 Iraq 143.10 Kuwait 101.50 Total 1193.72 • 81.3 percent(1193.72) out of Total (1467.35)Crude reserve’s, are in OPEC Member Countries. Source: OPEC Annual Statistical Bulletin 2010/2011 Edition
  • 26. Current scenario • Total World Output of Crude oil in 2010 was 69.7 million barrels per day • OPEC ‘s output was 29.2 million barrels per day which is 41.8% of World output. • OPEC crude oil reserves are sufficient to last more than 112 years.
  • 27. Impact of OPEC • On Industries: Shortage of Oil supplies-->Price of Oil will rise. Higher transportation Cost. Slow economic growth. • Economics • Sustainability • “World lives on OIL”
  • 28. Importance of Countries(Member & Non Member) • Historically they took advantage of the voluntary constraint of OPEC. • Russia, Mexico, Oman, Norway are the major non member countries • Combined effort required for controlling the prices
  • 29. OPEC Challenges • Uncertainty in Global Demand Structural shift in demand from developed world to developing world. • Non-OPEC oil-producing nations (Russia , Norway, Canada, Mexico etc.)often increase production when OPEC cuts it. • Russia overtook Saudi Arabia as the world’s biggest crude supplier in 2009. • OPEC’s share of production has gone down from around 51% in the mid-1970s to just over 40% now.
  • 30. Challenge’s Contd. • Problem of Member Cohesion within OPEC nations:- Maintaining quota discipline within the cartel. • Existence of factions within OPEC, which are generally classified into three groups: 1. ‡The group led by Saudi Arabia, the UAE and Kuwait, who are in favour of increased supplies and moderate pricing, 2. The group led by Libya, Iran and Algeria, who are insistent on decreasing output for higher prices, 3. The in-between group including Nigeria, Venezuela, Indonesia who have been known to take sides depending on their own economic/political agenda.
  • 31. Challenge’s Contd. • Middle-Eastern Strife & Political instability in OPEC oil-producing countries - Mostly authoritarian states that use oil money as a means of sustaining political power. • Future technological developments in areas of renewable energy sources - According to IEA (International Energy Agency), the increase in renewable usage will far outstrip annual growth in energy liquids(crude oil and natural gas) as a source of the world's power ‡Crude oil, OPEC will become less important in the energy equation.
  • 32. Upcoming Events • OPEC Events:- 161st OPEC meeting will be held on 14 June 2012. 5th OPEC International Seminar will be held on 13-14 June 2012.