During the 2016 National Regional Transportation Conference, Brian Morton and John Poros described tools and analysis done for small communities in Mississippi to understand the connection between zoning, housing options, and transportation demand. This presentation serves as Part 2 of the session.
2. Contents
• Patterns for Growth
• Modeling Growth Scenarios
• Rural Bicycle Suitability Mapping
• Case Study: Houston, Mississippi
3. • Rural Growth
• What to do when it
happens?
• How do we plan for
growth?
Patterns for
Growth
Method
4. Patterns for
Growth
• Current for rural areas
• New development
leapfrogs to
greenfields
• No pedestrian
connections
• Transportation
Efficient Growth
• New development is
next to old
• Pedestrian/bike
connection
Method
5. Patterns for
Growth
• Low Density, Single
Use Zoning
• Under 7 dwelling
units per acre
• No mixed use
• Autocentric
• Higher density, multi-
use zoning
• 7 dwelling units per
acre and over
• Mixed use
• Pedestrian
Method
6. Modeling the
Scenarios
• Current build-out
of growth
• Assumes,
greenfield, low
density
development
• New pattern of
growth
• Assumes
development in
city core, high
density
Method
7. • CommunityViz
• ArcGIS based
software
• Allows building of
land-use
scenarios
• Can measure
impacts such as:
• Population
• Labor force
• Dwelling units
• Energy use
• Tax revenue
Modeling with CommunityViz
Method
8. • All commercial
and residential
properties
geocoded
• Zoning and
natural hazards
are mapped
Modeling with CommunityViz
Method
9. • Current Build
Out
• CommunityViz
“builds out”
using existing
zoning as a guide
• Build out maps
produced
showing
households and
density based on
continuing
existing
conditions
Modeling with CommunityViz
Method
10. • New developments
conforming to
transportation
efficient growth
principles are
placed in model
Modeling with CommunityViz
Method
11. • New Build Out
• Build out
maps
produced
showing
households
and density
based on
continuing
existing
conditions
Modeling with CommunityViz
Method
12. • Identify safe
and usable
roads for
rural cycling
• Identify
roads that
can easily
become
bikeways
Bicycle Suitability
Method
18. City of Houston, MS
• One of two county seats in
Chickasaw County
• City with a population of
around 3,600 people
• Connected by the Natchez
Trace Parkway to the east
Houston
21. Distance to Town Amenities
• Approximately 20
minutes to walk
across town.
• All of Houston and
the Natchez Trace is
accessible by bicycle.
Houston
22. Growth
2010 Population
(U.S. Census data)
Chickasaw County
o17,416
City of Houston
o3,623
2025 Population
(MS IHL Office of Policy Research
and Planning Population Projections)
o16,451 (-6%)
o10,423 (+288%)
Houston
While most rural areas are losing populations, there are towns where growth is occurring. Smaller towns are losing population to micropolis. In the comprehensive plan for the city of Tupelo, the estimate is that by 2025 the city will have approximately 52,077 residents consuming around 8,162 acres of new land. With a 2,221 acre annexation, the comprehensive plan has identified 9,462 acres of land, which meets the need for new land but does not leave much left.
CommunityViz is not easy to use, but it gives detailed results from scenarios.
The limits of the modeling were the city limits in all cases. The zoning map for the entire town was input. From aerial maps, all the residential and commercial structures in the city limits were geocoded and categorized i.e. single family, multifamily etc. Areas that are in flood zones, steep slopes, parks etc were excluded from the model.
CommunityViz
"Recommended Bicycle Suitability Criteria for State Roadways in Texas
Literature review of bicycle suitability criteria in 16 different states.
“Compatibility of Roads for Cyclists in Rural and Urban Fringe Areas" developed for Quebec, Canada. ,
Survey of 200 bicyclists asking them to cycle several predetermined segments of road way and then rate those segments. The responses of the cyclists were then used to develop and rate the criteria.
Interestingly, the Texas and the Canadian groups findings correlate quite well.
Criteria are given a value and then weighted
6 to 8 Good, desirable by intermediate to experienced bikers
-1 to 5 Fair, could be desirable
-5 to -2 Poor, may not be desirable
-8 to -5 Unacceptable
Map rates roads as:
Excellent - Green
Good - Blue
Fair - Black
Poor - Red
Equidistant between Tupelo and Starkville
Connection with the Golden Triangle due to close proximity with Starkville
Connected to the region by Highways 8 (between Aberdeen and Calhoun City) and 15 (Pontotoc and Mathiston)
Tanglefoot Trail – In 2013, the Tanglefoot Trail, a 44 mile bicycling and walking trail, opened with the head of the trail in Houston. e trail draws cyclists from not only the entire northeast Mississippi region but nationally as well. The Houston trailhead is located less than ½ a mile west of downtown in a lower income neighborhood with industrial/waste sites. In addition to the Tanglefoot Trail, the Natchez Trace Parkway, a 444 mile scenic drive which is routinely travelled by bicyclists, is located 7 miles from Houston.
4 DUA for most of town
Two commercial corridors, meeting in the downtown area
Roughly 25% multifamily housing
The existing zoning in Houston defines two commercial corridors along Highway 8 east to west and Highway 389, north to south. These roads meet at Houston's downtown, which is the nexus of the commercial zones. Existing residential areas fan out from these commercial spines mainly to the east and north of the town. The housing is mostly single family detached with a good proportion of mobile homes; almost a quarter of all residential structures are attached, multifamily dwellings. Areas of higher density ( 7 Dwelling Units per Acre +) are only a few: For the most part, the town has a density of four dwelling units per acre and below
7 mile biking buffer (typical commuting distance for bikers) also encompasses the Natchez Trace Parkway.
New residential is white dots
1,011 more single family residences
23 more multi-family residences
2,800 new residents
Spread out on roads throughout the city
Commercial Build-out occurs along major roads in the white.
Few concentrated dense areas, lower spread out density.
The New Zoning Build-Out increases the new single family residences to 2558, an increase of over 250% over the Built-Out of Base Zoning. The number of multifamily housing actually decreases in this scenario due to editing the more random placement that the model creating in the first scenario to 23 buildings. The estimated new residents would be approximately 6,800, about a 240% increase from the Base Scenario. The City of Houston according to the 2010 Census has 3,623 residents, so this would treble the population of the town.
Density is high for the New Zoning scenario and highly concentrated.
The New Zoning Build-Out also more carefully places new development. One of the key areas to increase density and amenity are located adjacent to the Tanglefoot Trail. As outlined above, the Tanglefoot Trail provides an opportunity for Houston to attract not only bicycle tourists, but new residents who would find living at the end of a 44 mile bike trail and close to the Natchez Trace very attractive
. A new development single family homes as well as a new park is proposed to mark the end of the Trail. The park will provide a better defined end for the Trail as well as needed amenities such as parking and restrooms (Figure 3-54). The Park also serves as a focus for the new, pedestrian oriented development. The new development connects with the existing neighborhood and is aligned with the geometry of the city.
The new development will include sidewalks, bike lanes and denser street oriented, although still single family housing. New residential neighborhood as 7 DUA.
Other proposals for Houston involve making the downtown area more pedestrian and bike friendly. Watercolor filter.
. On Washington Street just west of the Courthouse Square, the density of the courthouse square is extended further to allow for more housing and commercial space. Parallel parking, a bike lane and sidewalks make the street more pedestrian friendly and link it to the new neighborhood proposed to the west of the downtown area.
Around the courthouse square itself, the overly wide streets…
are proposed to be narrowed to allow for easier pedestrian access and space for events to occur such as markets and festivals.
To help accomplish these tasks, the city of Houston and the CSTC applied for a Citizen’s Institute on Rural Design (CIRD) award. The CIRD, sponsored by the NEA, supports communities of less than 50,000 people with funding to host community design workshops. The CIRD award is a national competition in which Houston and only four other towns won in 2014.
The CIRD award allowed the Carl Small Town Center, with the coordination of the Project for Public Spaces, to bring national experts in bicycling facilities, graphic design and public space to Houston for a three day
workshop held February 22-24, 2015. The CSTC planned the workshop and brought its student interns to help run the workshop.
Citizen’s Institute on Rural Design
Tanglefoot Trail®
National cycling experts helped residents plan routes…
Signage
Connect bicycle tourists on the Tanglefoot Trail® with downtown Houston
Pavilion to end the Tanglefoot Trail® Was Houston interested in these ideas of higher density? Perhps. More interested in how to take advantage of the Tanglefoot Trail for visitors and residents.