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OBJECTIVES
                                                 Inventory System Defined
                                                 Types of Inventory
             Supply Chain                        Independent vs. Dependent Demand
                                                 Inventory System Models
             Management                          Multi-Period Inventory Models: Basic
                                                 Fixed-Order Quantity Models
                                                 Inventory Costs
                 Chapter 5                       Multi-Period Inventory Models: Basic
                 Inventory Control               Fixed-Time Period Model
                                                 Single-Period Inventory Model
                                                 Miscellaneous Systems and Issues




Inventory System                               Inventory
   Inventory is the stock of any item or
   resource used in an organization and          One of the most expensive assets
   can include: raw materials, finished          of many companies representing as
   products, component parts, supplies,          much as 50% of total invested
   and work-in-process                           capital
   An inventory system is the set of
   policies and controls that monitor levels     Inventory managers must balance
   of inventory and determines what levels       inventory investment and customer
   should be maintained, when stock              service
   should be replenished, and how large
   orders should be
Purposes of Inventory                          Types of Inventory
  1. To maintain independence of operations      Raw material
  2. To meet variation in product demand             Purchased but not processed
                                                 Work-in-process
                                                 Work- in-
  3. To allow flexibility in production
                                                     Undergone some change but not completed
    scheduling
                                                     A function of cycle time for a product
  4. To provide a safeguard for variation in     Maintenance/repair/operating (MRO)
    raw material delivery time                       Necessary to keep machinery and processes
  5. To take advantage of economic purchase-         productive
    order size                                   Finished goods
                                                     Completed product awaiting shipment




                                                           Cycle Inventory
Types of Inventory-2
                                                Inventory that varies directly with lot size.
                                                Lot size varies with elapsed time between
 Cycle Inventory                                orders.
 Safety Stock Inventory                         The quantity ordered must meet the demand
 Anticipatory Inventory                         during the ordering period.
                                                Long gaps in the ordering period will require
 Pipeline Inventory                             larger cycle inventory.
                                                The inventory may vary between order size Q to
                                                zero just before the new lot is delivered.
                                                Average inventory size is therefore Q/2
Safety Stock Inventory                                Anticipation Inventory
Safety stock inventory protects against              Inventory used to absorb uneven rate of
uncertainties in demand, lead time, and              demand or supply
supply.                                              Predictable seasonal demand pattern may
                                                     justify anticipation inventory.
It ensures that operations are not
                                                     Uneven demand often makes the firm to
disrupted when problems occur.                       stockpile during low production demand to
To build safety stock an order is placed             make better use of production facilities and
earlier than the item is needed or the               avoid varying output rates and labor force.
ordered quantity is larger than the                  Uncertainties such as threatened strikes,
quantity required till the next delivery             problem at suppliers facilities etc also justify
schedule.                                            anticipation inventory.




        Pipeline Inventory                       Independent vs. Dependent Demand
 Inventory moving from point to point in the           Independent Demand (Demand for the final end-
 material flow system is called pipeline                product or demand not related to other items)
 inventory
   - from suppliers to plant, from one              Finished
     operation to the next in processing, from      product
     plant to distribution center and from
                                                                                             Dependent
     distribution center to retailer                                                          Demand
 Pipeline Inventory between two points, can be                                           (Derived demand
 expressed in terms of lead time and average                                                  items for
 demand (d) during the lead time (L).                              E(1)                      component
                                                                                                parts,
          Pipeline Inventory = dL                                                         subassemblies,
                                                 Component parts                           raw materials,
                                                                                                 etc)
Inventory Systems Models                               Inventory Models for
 •• Multi-Period Inventory Models
    Multi-Period Inventory Models
       -- Fixed-Order Quantity Models
                                                       Independent Demand
          Fixed-Order Quantity Models
         Event triggered (Example: running out of
          Event triggered (Example: running out of
         stock)
          stock)                                         Need to determine when and how
      -- Fixed-Time Period Models
          Fixed-Time Period Models                       much to order
         Time triggered (Example: Monthly sales
          Time triggered (Example: Monthly sales
         call by sales representative)
          call by sales representative)
                                                             Basic economic order quantity
•• Single-Period Inventory Models
   Single-Period Inventory Models
      -- One time purchasing decision (Example:
          One time purchasing decision (Example:             Production order quantity
         vendor selling t-shirts at a football game)
         vendor selling t-shirts at a football game)
      -- Seeks to balance the costs of inventory
                                                             Quantity discount model
          Seeks to balance the costs of inventory
         overstock and under stock
         overstock and under stock




Holding, Ordering, and                                 Holding Costs
Setup Costs
                                                       •Housing costs (including rent or depreciation,
    Holding costs - the costs of holding               operating costs, taxes, insurance)
    or “carrying” inventory over time
                                                       •Material handling costs (equipment lease or
    Ordering costs - the costs of                      depreciation, power, operating cost)
    placing an order and receiving
    goods                                              •Labor cost
    Setup costs - cost to prepare a                    •Investment costs (borrowing costs, taxes, and
    machine or process for                             insurance on inventory)
    manufacturing an order
                                                       •Pilferage, space, and obsolescence
Multi-Period Models:                                             Multi-Period Models:
                Fixed-Order Quantity Model                                        Fixed-Order Quantity Model

                             Assumptions                                          Model Assumptions (Contd.)

           Demand for the product is constant                                     Inventory holding cost is based on
           and uniform throughout the period                                      average inventory


           Lead time (time from ordering to                                       Ordering or setup costs are constant
           receipt) is constant
                                                                                  All demands for the product will be
           Price per unit of product is constant                                  satisfied (No backorders are allowed)




  Basic Fixed-Order Quantity Model and Reorder                            Cost Minimization Goal
  Point Behavior                                                              By adding the item, holding, and ordering costs
                                                                               By adding the item, holding, and ordering costs
                                                                              together, we determine the total cost curve, which in
                                                                               together, we determine the total cost curve, which in
  1. You receive an order quantity Q.        4. The cycle then repeats.       turn is used to find the Qopt inventory order point that
                                                                               turn is used to find the Qopt inventory order point that
                                                                              minimizes total costs
                                                                               minimizes total costs

Number                                                                                                                     Total Cost
of units                                                                  C
on hand    Q                    Q                Q                        O
                                                                          S                                                       Holding
                                                                          T
           R                                                                                                                      Costs

                               L                                                                                                  Annual Cost of
    2. You start using                          L                                                                                 Items (DC)
    them up over time.                       3. When you reach down to
                                      Time   a level of inventory of R,                                                          Ordering Costs
      R = Reorder point
      Q = [Economic] order quantity          you place your next Q
                                                                                               QOPT
      L = Lead time                          sized order.
                                                                                                      Order Quantity (Q)
D
 The EOQ Model                                 Annual setup cost =
                                                                     D
                                                                     Q
                                                                       S      The EOQ Model                             Annual setup cost =
                                                                                                                                             Q
                                                                                                                                               S
                                                                                                                                                Q
                                                                                                                         Annual holding cost =    H
                                                                                                                                                2

 Q    = Number of pieces per order
Q*    = Optimal number of pieces per order (EOQ)                               Q   = Number of pieces per order
 D    = Annual demand in units for the Inventory item                         Q*   = Optimal number of pieces per order (EOQ)
 S    = Setup or ordering cost for each order                                  D   = Annual demand in units for the Inventory item
 H    = Holding or carrying cost per unit per year                             S   = Setup or ordering cost for each order
                                                                               H   = Holding or carrying cost per unit per year
      Annual setup cost = (Number of orders placed per year)
                                                        year)
                          x (Setup or order cost per order)
                            (Setup                   order)                     Annual holding cost = (Average inventory level)
                                                                                                                         level)
                                                                                                    x (Holding cost per unit per year)
                                                                                                       (Holding                  year)
                    Annual demand              Setup or order
           =                                                                               Order quantity
               Number of units in each order   cost per order                         =                   (Holding cost per unit per year)
                                                                                                          (Holding                   year)
                                                                                                 2
           =   D (S)
                 (S
               Q                                                                      =    Q (H)
                                                                                             (H
                                                                                           2




 The EOQ Model                                                             Basic Fixed-Order Quantity (EOQ)                     TC=Total annual
                                                                                                                                 TC=Total annual
                                                                                                                                cost
                                                                           Model Formula                                         cost
                                                                                                                                D =Demand
                                                                                                                                 D =Demand
  Q    =   Number of pieces per order                                      Total           Annual     Annual    Annual          C =Cost per unit
                                                                                                                                 C =Cost per unit
 Q*    =   Optimal number of pieces per order (EOQ)                                                                             Q =Order quantity
                                                                           Annual =       Purchase + Ordering + Holding          Q =Order quantity
  D    =   Annual demand in units for the Inventory item                                                                        S =Cost of placing
  S    =   Setup or ordering cost for each order
                                                                           Cost             Cost       Cost      Cost            S =Cost of placing
                                                                                                                                an order or setup
                                                                                                                                 an order or setup
  H    =   Holding or carrying cost per unit per year
                                                                                                                                cost
                                                                                                                                 cost
                                                                                                                                R =Reorder point
                                                                                                                                 R =Reorder point
      Optimal order quantity is found when annual setup cost
                    equals annual holding cost                                                                                  L =Lead time
                                                                                                                                 L =Lead time
                                                                                                                                H=Annual holding
                                                                                                                                 H=Annual holding
                                                                     D
                        D
                          S =
                              Q
                              2
                                H                Annual setup cost =
                                                                     Q
                                                                       S
                                                                                                          D   Q                 and storage cost
                                                                                                                                 and storage cost

      Solving for Q*
                        Q
                                               Annual holding cost =
                                                                     Q
                                                                       H           TC = DC +                S+ H                per unit of inventory
                                                                                                                                 per unit of inventory

                          2DS = Q2H                                  2
                                                                                                          Q   2
                          Q2 = 2DS/H
                         Q* =    2DS/H
Deriving the EOQ                               The Economic Ordering Quantity (EOQ)

                                                         2DS
                                                         2DS = 2(Annual Demand)(Order or Setup Cost)
                                                               2(Annual Demand)(Order or Setup Cost)
                                                QOPT =
                                                QOPT =    H =
                                                          H             Annual Holding Cost
                                                                        Annual Holding Cost

                                                                                                __
                                               We also need a
                                                We also need a              R eorder point, R = d L
                                                                            R eorder point, R = d L
                                               reorder point to
                                                reorder point to   _
                                               tell us when to
                                                tell us when to    d = average daily demand (constant)
                                               place an order
                                                place an order
                                                                    L = Lead time (constant)




EOQ Example-1                                     EOQ Example-1a
                                               Determine expected number of orders if:
  Determine optimal number of units to order
  D = 1,000 units                              D = 1,000 units      Q* = 200 units
  S = $10 per order                            S = $10 per order
  H = $.50 per unit per year                   H = $.50 per unit per year
         2DS                                         Expected
 Q* =                                                                  Demand         D
          H                                          number of = N = Order quantity = Q*
                                                                                       *
                                                      orders
         2(1,000)(10)                                                  N=
                                                                            1,000
                                                                                  = 5 orders per year
 Q* =                 = 40,000 = 200 units                                   200
             0.50
EOQ Example- 1b                                        EOQ Example- 1c
  Determine time between orders if:                       Determine carrying cost if:
  D = 1,000 units      Q*= 200 units
                       Q*=                                D = 1,000 units             Q* = 200 units
  S = $10 per order    N= 5 orders per year
                       N=                                 S = $10 per order            N = 5 orders per year
  H = $.50 per unit/yr working days= 250 days/yr          H = $.50 per unit per year   T = 50 days

                     Number of working                     Total carrying cost = Setup cost + Holding cost
  Expected             days per year                              D        Q
time between = T =                                         TCC =     S +     H
   orders                    N                                    Q        2
                      250                                         1,000         200
                                                            TCC =        ($10) +    ($.50)
              T=          = 50 days between orders                 200           2
                       5
                                                           TCC = (5)($10) + (100)($.50) = $50 + $50 = $100




                                                     Holding cost is often given as a
                                                     fraction of unit cost
                                                                    Holding cost as a fraction of unit cost



Quantity Discount Model or                                     2DS      2(Annual Demand)(Or der or Setup Cost)
                                                     Q OPT =       =
Price-Break Model                                               iC               Annual Holding Cost


                                                     i = percentage of unit cost attributed to carrying inventory
                                                     C = cost per unit
Price-Break Example- 2
  Price-Break Model Formula                                                              Problem Data (Part 1)
  or Quantity Discount Model                                                            A company has a chance to reduce their inventory
                                                                                         A company has a chance to reduce their inventory
                                                                                        ordering costs by placing larger quantity orders using
                                                                                         ordering costs by placing larger quantity orders using
  Based on the same assumptions as the EOQ model, the
  price-break model has a similar Qopt formula:                                         the price-break order quantity schedule below. What
                                                                                         the price-break order quantity schedule below. What
                                                                                        should their optimal order quantity be if this company
                                                                                         should their optimal order quantity be if this company
                                                                                        purchases this single inventory item with an e-mail
                                                                                         purchases this single inventory item with an e-mail
               2DS             2(Annual Demand)(Or der or Setup Cost)                   ordering cost of $4, a carrying cost rate of 2% of the
                                                                                         ordering cost of $4, a carrying cost rate of 2% of the
 Q OPT =           =
                iC                      Annual Holding Cost                             inventory cost of the item, and an annual demand of
                                                                                         inventory cost of the item, and an annual demand of
                                                                                        10,000 units?
                                                                                         10,000 units?
  i = percentage of unit cost attributed to carrying inventory
  C = cost per unit                                                                                 Order Quantity units)   Price/unit($)
                                                                                                      0 to 2,499              $1.20
  Since “C” changes for each price-break, the formula above                                           2,500 to 3,999          $1.00
  will have to be used with each price-break cost value                                               4,000 or more           $0.98




Price-Break Example-2 Solution (Part 2)                                                Price-Break Example -3 Solution (Part 3)
 First, plug data into formula for each price-break value of “C”                       Since the feasible solution occurred in the first price-
                                                                                       Since the feasible solution occurred in the first price-
                                                                                       break, it means that all the other true Qopt values occur
                                                                                       break, it means that all the other true Qopt values occur
   Annual Demand (D)= 10,000 units          Carrying cost % of total cost (i)= 2%
   Cost to place an order (S)= $4           Cost per unit (C) = $1.20, $1.00, $0.98
                                                                                       at the beginnings of each price-break interval. Why?
                                                                                       at the beginnings of each price-break interval. Why?

  Next, determine if the computed Qopt values are feasible or not                                     Because the total annual cost function is
                                                                                                      Because the total annual cost function is
                                                                                       Total          a “u” shaped function
                                                                                       annual         a “u” shaped function
Interval from 0 to 2499, the                  2DS        2(10,000)( 4)
Qopt value is feasible            Q OPT =         =                    = 1,826 units   costs
                                               iC         0.02(1.20)                                                               So the candidates
                                                                                                                                    So the candidates
                                                                                                                                   for the price-
                                                                                                                                    for the price-
Interval from 2500-3999, the                  2DS        2(10,000)( 4)
Qopt value is not feasible        Q OPT =         =                    = 2,000 units                                               breaks are 1826,
                                                                                                                                    breaks are 1826,
                                               iC         0.02(1.00)                                                               2500, and 4000
                                                                                                                                    2500, and 4000
Interval from 4000 & more,                    2DS        2(10,000)( 4)                                                             units
                                                                                                                                    units
the Qopt value is not feasible    Q OPT =         =                    = 2,020 units
                                               iC         0.02(0.98)
                                                                                                0   1826     2500    4000   Order Quantity
Price-Break Example -3 Solution (Part 4)
Next, we plug the true Qopt values into the total cost
Next, we plug the true Qopt values into the total cost
annual cost function to determine the total cost under       Price-Break Example -3 Solution (Part 5)
annual cost function to determine the total cost under
each price-break
each price-break
                            D     Q
           TC = DC +          S +   iC
                            Q     2
TC(0-2499)=(10000*1.20)+(10000/1826)*4+(1826/2)(0.02*1.20)
TC(0-2499)=(10000*1.20)+(10000/1826)*4+(1826/2)(0.02*1.20)
          = $12,043.82
           = $12,043.82
TC(2500-3999)= $10,041
TC(2500-3999)= $10,041
TC(4000&more)= $9,949.20
                $9849,20
TC(4000&more)= $9,949.20

Finally, we select the least costly Qopt,,which is this
Finally, we select the least costly Qopt which is this
problem occurs in the 4000 & more interval. In
problem occurs in the 4000 & more interval. In
summary, our optimal order quantity is 4000 units
summary, our optimal order quantity is 4000 units




                                                             Production Order Quantity
                                                             Model
                                                                In EOQ Model, We assumed that the
                                                                entire order was received at one
  Production Order Quantity Model                               time.
                                                                However, some business firms may
                                                                receive their orders over a period of
                                                                time.
Production Order Quantity Model
                                              Production Order Quantity Model
 Such cases require a different inventory
 model. In these cases inventory is being             This version of the EOQ model is known as
 used while new inventory is still being              “Noninstantaneous Receipt Model” also
 received and the inventory does not build            referred to as the “Gradual Usage Model ” and
 up immediately to its maximum point.                 “Production Order Quantity Model”. In this,
                                                      noninstantaneous receipt model, the order
 Instead, it builds up gradually when
                                                      quantity is received gradually over time, and the
 inventory is received faster than it is
                                                      inventory level is depleted at the same time it is
 being used; then it declines to its lowest           being replenished.
 level as incoming shipments stop and the
 use of inventory continues.                          Here, we take into account the daily production
                                                      rate and daily demand/input rate.




Production Order Quantity Model               Production Order Quantity Model

                                              Inventory
                                              Maximum Inventory




                                                                  Production
                                                                  occurs at a       Demand
                                                                  rate of p         occurs at a
                                                                                    rate of d




                                                                                                     time
                                                                                t
           t
Production Order Quantity                      Production Order Quantity
Model                                          Model
 Since this model is especially suitable for    p: Daily Production rate (units / day)
 production environments, It is called          d: Daily demand rate (units / day)
 Production Order Quantity Model.               t: Length of the cycle in days.
 Here, we use the same approach as we           H: Annual holding cost per unit
 used in EOQ model.
 Lets define the following:




Production Order Quantity Model                Production Order Quantity
                                               Model
 Average Holding Cost = (Average                In the period of production (until the end of
 Inventory) . H                                 each t period):
                                                Max. Inventory = (Total Produced) – (Total Used)
    =    (Max. Inventory / 2) . H                             = p.t - d.t

                                                Here, Q is the total units that are
                                                produced. Therefore,
                                                Q = p.t            t = Q/p
Production Order Quantity                    Production Order Quantity
Model                                        Model
 If we replace the values of t in the Max.    Ann. Holding Cost =(Max. Inventory / 2) . H
 Inventory formula:                           Annual Holding Cost = Q/2 (1 – d/p) . H
 Max. Inventory     =    p (Q/p) - d (Q/p)
    = Q - dQ/p = Q (1 – d/p)                 Annual Setup Cost = (D/Q) . S




Production Order Quantity                    Production Order Quantity
Model                                        Model
 Now we will set
 Annual Holding Cost = Annual Setup Cost
  Q/2 (1 – d/p) . H    =   (D/Q) . S
Production Order Quantity                   Production Order Quantity-
Model                                       Example-5
                                            D = 1,000 units           p = 8 units per day
 This formula gives us the optimum          S = $10                   d = 4 units per day
 production quantity for the Production     H = $0.50 per unit per year
 Order Quantity Model.
                                                                   2DS
                                                        Q* =
                                                                H[1 - (d/p)]
 It is used when inventory is consumed as
 it is produced.                                        Q* =
                                                                 2(1,000)(10)
                                                                                  =     80,000
                                                                0.50[1 - (4/8)]
                                                           = 282.8 or 283 units




                                            How Important is the Item?
                                                Segmentation of Inventory
                                                 - Not all inventory is created equally
                                                 - Different classes of inventory
  Miscellaneous Systems and                      - Result in different levels of profitability /revenue
                                                 - Have different demand patterns and magnitudes
            Issues
                                                 - Require different control policies
                                                 ABC Analysis
                                                    Commonly used in practice
                                                    Classify items by revenue or value
                                                    Combination of usage, sales price, etc.
ABC Analysis                                                      ABC Analysis
     Identify the items that management
     should spend time on
     Prioritize items by their value to firm
     Create logical groupings
     Adjust as needed




ABC Analysis                                                      Miscellaneous Systems:
  What is different between the classes?                          Bin Systems
A Items
      Very few high impact items are included                      Two-Bin System
      Require the most managerial attention and review
      Expect many exceptions to be made
B Items                                                                                    Order One Bin of
      Many moderate impact items (sometimes most)                                          Inventory
      Automated control w/ management by exception
      Rules can be used for A (but usually too many exceptions)       Full         Empty
C Items                                                            One-Bin System
      Many if not most of the items that make up minor impact
      Control systems should be as simple as possible
      Reduce wasted management time and attention                                          Order Enough to
      Group into common regions, suppliers, end users
                                                                                           Refill Bin
  But these are arbitrary classifications
                                                                  Periodic Check
Miscellaneous Systems:                                    Inventory Accuracy and Cycle Counting
OptionalInventory Level, M System
Maximum Replenishment

                                                             Inventory accuracy refers to how
                                     q=M-I
                                                             well the inventory records agree
                              Actual Inventory Level, I      with physical count
              M
                                                             Cycle Counting is a physical
                      I                                      inventory-taking technique in which
                                                             inventory is counted on a frequent
Q = minimum acceptable order quantity                        basis rather than once or twice a
                                                             year
If q > Q, order q, otherwise do not order any.




Question
     On average, I sell 150,000 units a year, which I
     obtain from a wholesaler. I estimate that the
     cost to me of placing an order is $50 with the                     Supply Chain
     average inventory storage cost being 20% per
     year of the cost of a unit ($5).                                   Management
1.   What would be the optimal order quantity?
2.   I currently order 5 times a year. How much                        Inventory Control Part 2
     would I save by switching to the optimal order
                                                                       Safety Stock, Fixed Period Model
     quantity as compared with my current policy of
     ordering 5 times a year?                                          and Single Period Model
Planned Shortages with Back-Orders                 Uncertain Demand
 Shortage: when customer demand cannot
 be met
 Planned shortages could be beneficial
     Cost of keeping item is more expensive than
     the profit from selling it e.g. car




Uncertain Demand- Safety Stock                     Service Level
                                                    A target for the proportion of demand that
 Buffer added to on hand                            is met directly from stock
 inventory during lead time
 Extra reserved stock
                                                    The maximum acceptable probability that
 To prevent stock-out                               a demand can be met from the stock
 under uncertain demand                             For example 90% service level
 Safety stock will not                                 90% chance of meeting demand during lead time or
 normally be used, but it is                           10% chance of not meeting demand (having back-
 available under uncertain                             order or lost sales)
 demand
                 How much safety stock should we
                 hold? Judgment on service level
Probabilistic Models                             Probabilistic Models
 So far we assumed that demand is                 One method of reducing stock outs is to
 constant and uniform.                            hold extra inventory (called Safety Stock).
 However, In Probabilistic models, demand         In this case, we change the ROP formula
 is specified as a probability distribution.      to include that safety stock (ss).
 Uncertain demand raises the possibility of
 a stock out (or shortage).




 Reorder Level (ROL) = LT x D                    Safety Stock Example
 Reorder Level (ROL) = (LT x D) + Safety Stock
                                                 ROP = 50 units        Stock-out cost = $40 per unit
                                                 Orders per year = 6   Carrying cost = $5 per unit per year

Reorder                                          Number of Units              Probability
Level                                                30                          0.2
                                                     40                          0.2
                                                 ROP 50                          0.3
                                                     60                          0.2
                                                     70                          0.1
                                                                                   1.0
           Safety Stock
Safety Stock Example                                          Example
ROP = 50 units         Stock-out cost = $40 per unit
Orders per year = 6    Carrying cost = $5 per unit per year




A safety stock of 20 units gives the lowest total cost
              ROP = 50 + 20 = 70 units




                                                              Probabilistic Demand
Reorder Point for a Service Level
                                              Using the
                                              Standard
                                              Normal
                                              Probability
                                              Table




Using the Standard Normal Probability Table




                                                     =
Probabilistic Demand                                         Example- 3: Safety Stock
 Demand is variable and lead time is constant
 Safety stock, SS:                                             Daily usage at a drug store follows a
      = Z × standard deviation of lead time                    normal distribution with a mean of 500 gm
    = Z × σ × √LT                                              and a standard deviation of 50 gm. If the
    = Z × σdlt                                                 lead time for procurement is 7 days and
 Reorder level:                                                the drug store wants a risk of only 2%
 ROL = lead time demand + safety stock                         determine
       = LT × D + Z × σ × √LT
 where σ = standard deviation of demand per day and            a) reorder point and b) safety stock
 σdlt = σ × √LT Standard deviation of demand during            necessary
 lead time




Example-3: Safety Stock                                      Example: Safety Stock using Z-Score
 Mean daily demand, D =500 gm/day
 Lead Time, LT = 7days                                         Mean Demand in lead period, µL =3500 gm
 Standard deviation, σ = 50 gm/day                             Standard deviation, σ = 50 gm/day
 Service level required = 98% or 0.98                          σL = σ √ Lt= 50 √7 gm
 From normal distribution level Z is determined as z =2.05     Z= 2.05 from Table
ROL = (LT × D)+ z σ √LT                                                 X − µL
                                                                   Z=
      = (500 x 7)+ 2.05 * 50 * √7                                        σL
        = 3771 gm                                            where X is a normal random variable
 Safety Stock = z σ √LT                                        X=3771gm
              = 2.05 * 50 * √7 = 271 gm                        Safety stock = 3771 gm- 3500 gm =271 gm
Periodic Review System
                                                Maximum Inventory Level, M


             Supply Chain                                                                           q=M-I


             Management                                          M
                                                                                          Actual Inventory Level, I


                                                                             I
                 Inventory Control
                 Periodic Review System




P-System: Periodic Review System                 P-System: Periodic Review System-2
  In this system, costs are not explicitly            In this system, we are interested in actual
  considered and order quantity is not fixed.         and average consumption over a period of
                                                      time i.e. time between two reviews and lead
  Time is taken into account and given more           time. Order quantity can be computed as
  emphasis                                            follows:
  Inventory is periodically reviewed at fixed
  intervals and any difference between the       If L< R then Q= M - I             If L> R then Q= M – I - Q ord
  present and the last review is made up by
  replenishment order.
                                                 Where
  The order quantity is thus equal to            L= Lead Time                       R = Review Period
  replenishment level minus actual inventory     M= Replenishment Level in Units    I = Inventory on hand in Units
  on hand.                                       Q =Quantity to be Ordered          Qord= Quantity on order (in pipeline)
Example: Fixed Period Inventory Control
System (P-System)
                                                                   Example-Solution: P-System
                                                                  L<R
The average                                Replen. Lvl. = M       Replenishment Level, M =
                         60
monthly                                                           Safety Stock (B)+ consumption, D* (Review Time+ Lead Time)
consumption of an                                                                M= 20+ 40(1+0.5) = 80 Units
item is 40 units,        40
                                                                  Inventory on Hand, I = B + consumption/2
Safety Stock is 20
units, review time                                                                 I = 20+ 40/2 = 40 units
                                                 Safety Stock=B
                         20
is 1 month and                R                                   The Order Quantity, Q = M – I
                                      LT
lead time is 15                                                                     Q= 80- 40 = 40 Units
days, calculate                   1          2         3
replenishment
level M




Example 2: (P-System)
                                                                   Fixed Order Vs. Periodic Review
 Consider a case where Lead time > review time
 Buffer/safety stock= 50 units D= 100 units/month                    Fixed-order quantity           Fixed-time period
 Review Time= 1 month        L= 2 months                             models–when holding            models—when holding
                                                                     costs are high (usually        costs are low (i.e.,
 M= replinsh. Lvl. = B +D (1+2) = 50+ 100*3
                                                                     expensive items or high        associated with low-cost
     M= 350 Units                                                    deprecation rates), or         items, low-cost storage),
 I = B+D/2 = 50+50 = 100 units                                       when items are ordered         or when several items are
                                                                     from different sources.        ordered from the same
 Order Qty Q= M – I = 250 units                                                                     source (saves on order
 If Qty already on order is 100 units (review after 1 mth)                                          placement and delivery
                                                                                                    charges).
 Q= M-I- Qord= 150 units
Fixed Order Vs. Periodic Review
   A fixed-order quantity           The main disadvantage of
   system can operate with          a fixed-time period
   a perpetual count                inventory system is that
   (keeping a running log of        inventory levels must be
   every time a unit is
   withdrawn or replaced) or
                                    higher to offer the same
                                    protection against
                                                                   Single-Period Inventory
   through a simple two-bin
   or flag arrangement
                                    stockout as a fixed-order
                                    quantity system.
                                                                   Model
   wherein a reorder is             It also requires a periodic
   placed when the safety           count and closer
   stock is reached                 surveillance than a fixed-
                                    order quantity system.




 Decision under uncertainity & risk                               Single-Period Inventory Model
 In inventory control, sometimes management has to take
  In inventory control, sometimes management has to take          This model states that we
                                                                   This model states that we         IG is the profit per item
 risk under uncertainity, though wanting to keep the risk         should stock up to the point        IG is the profit per item
  risk under uncertainity, though wanting to keep the risk         should stock up to the point      times the probability of
                                                                                                      times the probability of
 factor to a minimum.
  factor to a minimum.                                            where incremental gain (IG)
                                                                   where incremental gain (IG)       selling ‘x’ items
                                                                                                      selling ‘x’ items
                                                                  is equal to incremental loss
                                                                   is equal to incremental loss
 •• How many World Cup shirts to produce, when the shirts         (IL)
                                                                   (IL)                                         IG= m. P(x)
                                                                                                                 IG= m. P(x)
    How many World Cup shirts to produce, when the shirts
    will be of little or no value after the Cup.
    will be of little or no value after the Cup.
                                                                  IL is the cost per item times
                                                                   IL is the cost per item times    m= margin of profit item
                                                                                                    m= margin of profit item
 •• How many suits to stock for Eid or Xmas season, profit
    How many suits to stock for Eid or Xmas season, profit        the probability that ‘x’ items    P (x)= probability of selling the item
    margin is high but the leftover stock will probably be of      the probability that ‘x’ items   P (x)= probability of selling the item
    margin is high but the leftover stock will probably be of     will not be sold
                                                                   will not be sold
                                                                                                    C= Cost of the item
                                                                                                    C= Cost of the item
    no value
    no value
                                                                  IL= C. [1-P(x)].
                                                                   IL= C. [1-P(x)].
                                                                  Equating IG& IL and
                                                                   Equating IG& IL and                P(x) =
                                                                                                      P(x) =         C
                                                                                                                     C
Single-period inventory model Applies in these cases              solving the equation we get:
                                                                   solving the equation we get:                     m+C
                                                                                                                    m+C
Single-Period Inventory Model
   Single Period Model Example-4                                         This model states that we
                                                                          This model states that we
                                                                         should continue to increase
                                                                          should continue to increase
    Our college basketball team is playing in a                          the size of the inventory so
                                                                          the size of the inventory so
    tournament game this weekend. Based on our past                      long as the probability of
                                                                          long as the probability of                        Cu
    experience we sell on average 2,400 shirts with a
    standard deviation of 350. We make $10 on every
                                                                         selling the last unit added is
                                                                          selling the last unit added is            P≤
    shirt we sell at the game, but lose $5 on every shirt                equal to or greater than the
                                                                          equal to or greater than the                    Co + Cu
    not sold. How many shirts should we make for the                     ratio of: Cu/Co+Cu
                                                                          ratio of: Cu/Co+Cu
    game?
        Cu = $10 and Co = $5; P ≤ $10 / ($10 + $5) = .667                   Where :
                           Z.667 = .432                                     Co = Cost per unit of demand over estimated
        therefore we need 2,400 + .432(350) = 2,551 shirts
                                                                            Cu = Cost per unit of demand under estimated
                                                                            P = Probability that the unit will be sold




                                                                         Example-6
 Example-5 (Solution)                                                       Ahmed Juices makes a variety of juices for on-the-
                                                                            counter sales. Ahmed uses ice, which he grates in
                          Where :                                           making these drinks. Ice is supplied to Ahmed in large
          Cu                                                                blocks, each costing Rs 10. Ice blocks not used during
   P≤                     Co = Cost per unit of demand over estimated
                                                                            a day gets wasted as the ice melts and cannot be used
        Co + Cu           Cu = Cost per unit of demand under estimated      the next day. If Ahmed is short of ice blocks on any day,
                          P = Probabilit y that the unit will be sold       he buys them from elsewhere, but at a premium of Rs
                                                                            5 per block. Each block of ice can be used for 20
Co = Rs 1.5 [(Cost) Loss if demand is overestimated]                        glasses of juice. The probability distribution for the
                                                                            demand of ice blocks is as follows
Cu = Rs 2.5 [(Cost) Profit Loss if demand is underestimated]                What is the least cost stocking policy for Ahmed
                                                                            Juices?
                               Probability of meeting demand is
   P ≤ [2.5/(2.5+1.5)]         0.65 at 700 buns. The baker
                                                                            x ice blocks:   20 21      22    23      24   25     26    27     28
   P ≤ 0.625                   should make 700 buns.                        p Probability    0 0.05   0.10   0.20   0.25 0.20   0.15   0.05    0
Practice Numerical



The end




                                                   Example (Contd.)
Example                                            The present cycle and pipeline inventories are:
                                                   The present cycle and pipeline inventories are:
 A plant makes monthly shipments of electric       Cycle Inventory = Q/2 = 280/2 = 140 drills
                                                   Cycle Inventory = Q/2 = 280/2 = 140 drills
  A plant makes monthly shipments of electric
 drills to a wholesaler in average lot sizes of
  drills to a wholesaler in average lot sizes of   Pipeline Inventory, dL= (70 drills/week)* (3 weeks) = 210 drills
                                                   Pipeline Inventory, dL= (70 drills/week)* (3 weeks) = 210 drills
 280 drills. The wholesaler’s average demand
  280 drills. The wholesaler’s average demand
 is 70 drills a week and the lead time from the
  is 70 drills a week and the lead time from the
 plant is 3 weeks. The wholesaler must pay for
  plant is 3 weeks. The wholesaler must pay for    Under the new offer, cycle and pipeline inventories are:
                                                   Under the new offer, cycle and pipeline inventories are:
 the order the moment it leaves the plant.
  the order the moment it leaves the plant.        Cycle Inventory = Q/2 = 350/2 = 175 drills
                                                   Cycle Inventory = Q/2 = 350/2 = 175 drills
 If the wholesaler is willing to increase its
  If the wholesaler is willing to increase its     Pipeline Inventory, dL= (70 drills/week)* (2 weeks)
                                                   Pipeline Inventory, dL= (70 drills/week)* (2 weeks)
 purchase quantity to 350 units, the plant will
  purchase quantity to 350 units, the plant will                             = 140 drills
                                                                             = 140 drills
 guarantee a lead time of two weeks. What is
  guarantee a lead time of two weeks. What is
 effect on cycle and pipeline inventories?         Under the new offer, cycle inventory increases by 25% but
                                                   Under the new offer, cycle inventory increases by 25% but
  effect on cycle and pipeline inventories?        pipeline inventories reduce by 33% (Decision Point)
                                                   pipeline inventories reduce by 33% (Decision Point)
Benefit of Better Inventory Control                   Example -1
  A firm's inventory turnover (IT) is 4 times on a     Fleming sells distributor rebuild kits used on
  cost of goods sold (COGS) of $800,000.               Ford V-8 engines. Fleming purchases these kits
  Through better inventory control, inventory          for $20 and sells about 250 kits a year. Each
                                                       time Fleming places an order, it costs him $25 to
  turnover is improved to 8 times while the            cover paperwork. He estimated that the cost of
  COGS remains the same, a substantial                 holding a rebuild kit in inventory is about $3.5
  amount of funds is released from inventory.          per kit per year.
  What is the amount released?
                                                       a) What is the economic order quantity
                                                       b) How many times per year will Fleming place
           $ 100,000 is released                       an order?




Example -1 (Contd.)                                  EOQ Example (2) Problem Data
 S = Cost of placing order = $ 25
 D= Annual demand = 250 units/year                   Given the information below, what are the EOQ and
                                                      Given the information below, what are the EOQ and
 H= Annual per-unit carrying cost =$3.5 per          reorder point?
                                                      reorder point?
 kit/year
                                                         Annual Demand = 1,000 units
 Q = order quantity
                                                         Days per year considered in average
 Qopt= √ [2 S D/H]                                             daily demand = 365
                                                         Cost to place an order = $10
 Qopt= √ [(2*25*250)/3.5]                                Holding cost per unit per year = $2.50
     = 59.75 round to 60 kits                            Lead time = 7 days
 Orders per year =D/Qopt = 250/59.75                     Cost per unit = $15
                           = 4.18
EOQ Example (2) Solution                                                         EOQ Example (3) Problem Data
             2DS            2 (1,00 0 )(1 0)                                      Determine the economic order quantity
Q O PT =         =                           = 8 9.443 u nits o r 90 un its       Determine the economic order quantity
              H                  2.50                                             and the reorder point given the following…
                                                                                  and the reorder point given the following…
            1,000 units / year
      d =                      = 2.74 units / day
             365 days / year                                                         Annual Demand = 10,000 units
                                                                                     Days per year considered in average daily
                      _
R e order po int, R = d L = 2.7 4units / d ay (7d ays) = 1 9.18 or 20 u n its
                                                                                     demand = 365
                                                                                     Cost to place an order = $10
                                                                                     Holding cost per unit per year = 10% of cost
   In summary, you place an optimal order of 90 units. In
    In summary, you place an optimal order of 90 units. In
   the course of using the units to meet demand, when
                                                                                     per unit
    the course of using the units to meet demand, when
   you only have 20 units left, place the next order of 90
    you only have 20 units left, place the next order of 90
                                                                                     Lead time = 10 days
   units.
    units.                                                                           Cost per unit = $15




EOQ Example (3) Solution                                                          Example- 8
            2D S          2(10,000 )(10)                                           Demand for Deskpro computer at Best Buy is 1000 units
 Q OPT =         =                       = 365.148 units, or 366 units             per month. Best Buy incurs a fixed order placement,
             H                 1.50
                                                                                   transportation and receiving cost of $4000 each time an
                                                                                   order is placed. Each computer costs Best Buy $500 and
      10,000 units / year                                                          the retailer has a holding cost of 20%. Evaluate the
 d=                       = 27.397 units / day
        365 days / year                                                            number of computers that the store manager should
                                                                                   order in each replenishment lot.
       _
 R = d L = 2 7 .3 9 7 u n its / d ay (10 d ays) = 2 7 3 .9 7 o r 2 7 4 u n its
                                                                                   Annual Demand, D = 1000 x12 = 12000 units
                                                                                   Order cost per lot, S = $4000
 Place an order for 366 units. When in the course of
 Place an order for 366 units. When in the course of
 using the inventory you are left with only 274 units,                             Unit Cost per computer, C =$500
 using the inventory you are left with only 274 units,
 place the next order of 366 units.                                                Holding cost per year as a fraction of the inv. Value, h = 0.2
 place the next order of 366 units.
Example-8 Solved                                            Example-9
  Q opt = √ 2 * 12000 * 4000                                 In the above example, the manager at Best Buy
                 0.2 * 500                                   would like to reduce the lot size from 980 to 200.
                                                             For this lot size to be optimal, the store manager
           = 980 units                                       wants to evaluate how much the order cost per
Other Info                                                   lot should be reduced.
Cycle Inventory                 = Qopt/2 = 980/2 = 490      Desired Qopt = 200 units
No. of orders/year              = D/Q = 12000/980 = 12.24   Annual Demand, D = 1000 x12 = 12000 units
Annual ordering & holding costs =(D/Q)*S + (Q/2)hC          New Order cost per lot, S = ?
                                = $97,980                   Unit Cost per computer, C =$500
Average Flow time= Q/2D         = 490/12000 = 0.041year     Holding cost per year as a fraction of the inv. Value, h = 0.2
                                = 0.49 months




Example-9 (Contd.)                                          Problem-10
  S = H [Qopt]2/2D                                           The Acer Co. sells 10,000 units per year.
  H =hC= 0.2*500                                             The cost of placing one order is $50 and it
  S = [0.2*500* 2002]/ [2*12000]                             costs $4 per year to carry one unit of
                                                             inventory. What is Acer’s EOQ?
  S = $166.7

THUS THE STORE MANAGER AT BEST BUY WOULD HAVE TO
REDUCE THE ORDER COST PER LOT FROM $4000 TO $166.7 FOR
A LOT SIZE OF 200 TO BE OPTIMAL

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Chapter 5 part 1 inventory control

  • 1. OBJECTIVES Inventory System Defined Types of Inventory Supply Chain Independent vs. Dependent Demand Inventory System Models Management Multi-Period Inventory Models: Basic Fixed-Order Quantity Models Inventory Costs Chapter 5 Multi-Period Inventory Models: Basic Inventory Control Fixed-Time Period Model Single-Period Inventory Model Miscellaneous Systems and Issues Inventory System Inventory Inventory is the stock of any item or resource used in an organization and One of the most expensive assets can include: raw materials, finished of many companies representing as products, component parts, supplies, much as 50% of total invested and work-in-process capital An inventory system is the set of policies and controls that monitor levels Inventory managers must balance of inventory and determines what levels inventory investment and customer should be maintained, when stock service should be replenished, and how large orders should be
  • 2. Purposes of Inventory Types of Inventory 1. To maintain independence of operations Raw material 2. To meet variation in product demand Purchased but not processed Work-in-process Work- in- 3. To allow flexibility in production Undergone some change but not completed scheduling A function of cycle time for a product 4. To provide a safeguard for variation in Maintenance/repair/operating (MRO) raw material delivery time Necessary to keep machinery and processes 5. To take advantage of economic purchase- productive order size Finished goods Completed product awaiting shipment Cycle Inventory Types of Inventory-2 Inventory that varies directly with lot size. Lot size varies with elapsed time between Cycle Inventory orders. Safety Stock Inventory The quantity ordered must meet the demand Anticipatory Inventory during the ordering period. Long gaps in the ordering period will require Pipeline Inventory larger cycle inventory. The inventory may vary between order size Q to zero just before the new lot is delivered. Average inventory size is therefore Q/2
  • 3. Safety Stock Inventory Anticipation Inventory Safety stock inventory protects against Inventory used to absorb uneven rate of uncertainties in demand, lead time, and demand or supply supply. Predictable seasonal demand pattern may justify anticipation inventory. It ensures that operations are not Uneven demand often makes the firm to disrupted when problems occur. stockpile during low production demand to To build safety stock an order is placed make better use of production facilities and earlier than the item is needed or the avoid varying output rates and labor force. ordered quantity is larger than the Uncertainties such as threatened strikes, quantity required till the next delivery problem at suppliers facilities etc also justify schedule. anticipation inventory. Pipeline Inventory Independent vs. Dependent Demand Inventory moving from point to point in the Independent Demand (Demand for the final end- material flow system is called pipeline product or demand not related to other items) inventory - from suppliers to plant, from one Finished operation to the next in processing, from product plant to distribution center and from Dependent distribution center to retailer Demand Pipeline Inventory between two points, can be (Derived demand expressed in terms of lead time and average items for demand (d) during the lead time (L). E(1) component parts, Pipeline Inventory = dL subassemblies, Component parts raw materials, etc)
  • 4. Inventory Systems Models Inventory Models for •• Multi-Period Inventory Models Multi-Period Inventory Models -- Fixed-Order Quantity Models Independent Demand Fixed-Order Quantity Models Event triggered (Example: running out of Event triggered (Example: running out of stock) stock) Need to determine when and how -- Fixed-Time Period Models Fixed-Time Period Models much to order Time triggered (Example: Monthly sales Time triggered (Example: Monthly sales call by sales representative) call by sales representative) Basic economic order quantity •• Single-Period Inventory Models Single-Period Inventory Models -- One time purchasing decision (Example: One time purchasing decision (Example: Production order quantity vendor selling t-shirts at a football game) vendor selling t-shirts at a football game) -- Seeks to balance the costs of inventory Quantity discount model Seeks to balance the costs of inventory overstock and under stock overstock and under stock Holding, Ordering, and Holding Costs Setup Costs •Housing costs (including rent or depreciation, Holding costs - the costs of holding operating costs, taxes, insurance) or “carrying” inventory over time •Material handling costs (equipment lease or Ordering costs - the costs of depreciation, power, operating cost) placing an order and receiving goods •Labor cost Setup costs - cost to prepare a •Investment costs (borrowing costs, taxes, and machine or process for insurance on inventory) manufacturing an order •Pilferage, space, and obsolescence
  • 5. Multi-Period Models: Multi-Period Models: Fixed-Order Quantity Model Fixed-Order Quantity Model Assumptions Model Assumptions (Contd.) Demand for the product is constant Inventory holding cost is based on and uniform throughout the period average inventory Lead time (time from ordering to Ordering or setup costs are constant receipt) is constant All demands for the product will be Price per unit of product is constant satisfied (No backorders are allowed) Basic Fixed-Order Quantity Model and Reorder Cost Minimization Goal Point Behavior By adding the item, holding, and ordering costs By adding the item, holding, and ordering costs together, we determine the total cost curve, which in together, we determine the total cost curve, which in 1. You receive an order quantity Q. 4. The cycle then repeats. turn is used to find the Qopt inventory order point that turn is used to find the Qopt inventory order point that minimizes total costs minimizes total costs Number Total Cost of units C on hand Q Q Q O S Holding T R Costs L Annual Cost of 2. You start using L Items (DC) them up over time. 3. When you reach down to Time a level of inventory of R, Ordering Costs R = Reorder point Q = [Economic] order quantity you place your next Q QOPT L = Lead time sized order. Order Quantity (Q)
  • 6. D The EOQ Model Annual setup cost = D Q S The EOQ Model Annual setup cost = Q S Q Annual holding cost = H 2 Q = Number of pieces per order Q* = Optimal number of pieces per order (EOQ) Q = Number of pieces per order D = Annual demand in units for the Inventory item Q* = Optimal number of pieces per order (EOQ) S = Setup or ordering cost for each order D = Annual demand in units for the Inventory item H = Holding or carrying cost per unit per year S = Setup or ordering cost for each order H = Holding or carrying cost per unit per year Annual setup cost = (Number of orders placed per year) year) x (Setup or order cost per order) (Setup order) Annual holding cost = (Average inventory level) level) x (Holding cost per unit per year) (Holding year) Annual demand Setup or order = Order quantity Number of units in each order cost per order = (Holding cost per unit per year) (Holding year) 2 = D (S) (S Q = Q (H) (H 2 The EOQ Model Basic Fixed-Order Quantity (EOQ) TC=Total annual TC=Total annual cost Model Formula cost D =Demand D =Demand Q = Number of pieces per order Total Annual Annual Annual C =Cost per unit C =Cost per unit Q* = Optimal number of pieces per order (EOQ) Q =Order quantity Annual = Purchase + Ordering + Holding Q =Order quantity D = Annual demand in units for the Inventory item S =Cost of placing S = Setup or ordering cost for each order Cost Cost Cost Cost S =Cost of placing an order or setup an order or setup H = Holding or carrying cost per unit per year cost cost R =Reorder point R =Reorder point Optimal order quantity is found when annual setup cost equals annual holding cost L =Lead time L =Lead time H=Annual holding H=Annual holding D D S = Q 2 H Annual setup cost = Q S D Q and storage cost and storage cost Solving for Q* Q Annual holding cost = Q H TC = DC + S+ H per unit of inventory per unit of inventory 2DS = Q2H 2 Q 2 Q2 = 2DS/H Q* = 2DS/H
  • 7. Deriving the EOQ The Economic Ordering Quantity (EOQ) 2DS 2DS = 2(Annual Demand)(Order or Setup Cost) 2(Annual Demand)(Order or Setup Cost) QOPT = QOPT = H = H Annual Holding Cost Annual Holding Cost __ We also need a We also need a R eorder point, R = d L R eorder point, R = d L reorder point to reorder point to _ tell us when to tell us when to d = average daily demand (constant) place an order place an order L = Lead time (constant) EOQ Example-1 EOQ Example-1a Determine expected number of orders if: Determine optimal number of units to order D = 1,000 units D = 1,000 units Q* = 200 units S = $10 per order S = $10 per order H = $.50 per unit per year H = $.50 per unit per year 2DS Expected Q* = Demand D H number of = N = Order quantity = Q* * orders 2(1,000)(10) N= 1,000 = 5 orders per year Q* = = 40,000 = 200 units 200 0.50
  • 8. EOQ Example- 1b EOQ Example- 1c Determine time between orders if: Determine carrying cost if: D = 1,000 units Q*= 200 units Q*= D = 1,000 units Q* = 200 units S = $10 per order N= 5 orders per year N= S = $10 per order N = 5 orders per year H = $.50 per unit/yr working days= 250 days/yr H = $.50 per unit per year T = 50 days Number of working Total carrying cost = Setup cost + Holding cost Expected days per year D Q time between = T = TCC = S + H orders N Q 2 250 1,000 200 TCC = ($10) + ($.50) T= = 50 days between orders 200 2 5 TCC = (5)($10) + (100)($.50) = $50 + $50 = $100 Holding cost is often given as a fraction of unit cost Holding cost as a fraction of unit cost Quantity Discount Model or 2DS 2(Annual Demand)(Or der or Setup Cost) Q OPT = = Price-Break Model iC Annual Holding Cost i = percentage of unit cost attributed to carrying inventory C = cost per unit
  • 9. Price-Break Example- 2 Price-Break Model Formula Problem Data (Part 1) or Quantity Discount Model A company has a chance to reduce their inventory A company has a chance to reduce their inventory ordering costs by placing larger quantity orders using ordering costs by placing larger quantity orders using Based on the same assumptions as the EOQ model, the price-break model has a similar Qopt formula: the price-break order quantity schedule below. What the price-break order quantity schedule below. What should their optimal order quantity be if this company should their optimal order quantity be if this company purchases this single inventory item with an e-mail purchases this single inventory item with an e-mail 2DS 2(Annual Demand)(Or der or Setup Cost) ordering cost of $4, a carrying cost rate of 2% of the ordering cost of $4, a carrying cost rate of 2% of the Q OPT = = iC Annual Holding Cost inventory cost of the item, and an annual demand of inventory cost of the item, and an annual demand of 10,000 units? 10,000 units? i = percentage of unit cost attributed to carrying inventory C = cost per unit Order Quantity units) Price/unit($) 0 to 2,499 $1.20 Since “C” changes for each price-break, the formula above 2,500 to 3,999 $1.00 will have to be used with each price-break cost value 4,000 or more $0.98 Price-Break Example-2 Solution (Part 2) Price-Break Example -3 Solution (Part 3) First, plug data into formula for each price-break value of “C” Since the feasible solution occurred in the first price- Since the feasible solution occurred in the first price- break, it means that all the other true Qopt values occur break, it means that all the other true Qopt values occur Annual Demand (D)= 10,000 units Carrying cost % of total cost (i)= 2% Cost to place an order (S)= $4 Cost per unit (C) = $1.20, $1.00, $0.98 at the beginnings of each price-break interval. Why? at the beginnings of each price-break interval. Why? Next, determine if the computed Qopt values are feasible or not Because the total annual cost function is Because the total annual cost function is Total a “u” shaped function annual a “u” shaped function Interval from 0 to 2499, the 2DS 2(10,000)( 4) Qopt value is feasible Q OPT = = = 1,826 units costs iC 0.02(1.20) So the candidates So the candidates for the price- for the price- Interval from 2500-3999, the 2DS 2(10,000)( 4) Qopt value is not feasible Q OPT = = = 2,000 units breaks are 1826, breaks are 1826, iC 0.02(1.00) 2500, and 4000 2500, and 4000 Interval from 4000 & more, 2DS 2(10,000)( 4) units units the Qopt value is not feasible Q OPT = = = 2,020 units iC 0.02(0.98) 0 1826 2500 4000 Order Quantity
  • 10. Price-Break Example -3 Solution (Part 4) Next, we plug the true Qopt values into the total cost Next, we plug the true Qopt values into the total cost annual cost function to determine the total cost under Price-Break Example -3 Solution (Part 5) annual cost function to determine the total cost under each price-break each price-break D Q TC = DC + S + iC Q 2 TC(0-2499)=(10000*1.20)+(10000/1826)*4+(1826/2)(0.02*1.20) TC(0-2499)=(10000*1.20)+(10000/1826)*4+(1826/2)(0.02*1.20) = $12,043.82 = $12,043.82 TC(2500-3999)= $10,041 TC(2500-3999)= $10,041 TC(4000&more)= $9,949.20 $9849,20 TC(4000&more)= $9,949.20 Finally, we select the least costly Qopt,,which is this Finally, we select the least costly Qopt which is this problem occurs in the 4000 & more interval. In problem occurs in the 4000 & more interval. In summary, our optimal order quantity is 4000 units summary, our optimal order quantity is 4000 units Production Order Quantity Model In EOQ Model, We assumed that the entire order was received at one Production Order Quantity Model time. However, some business firms may receive their orders over a period of time.
  • 11. Production Order Quantity Model Production Order Quantity Model Such cases require a different inventory model. In these cases inventory is being This version of the EOQ model is known as used while new inventory is still being “Noninstantaneous Receipt Model” also received and the inventory does not build referred to as the “Gradual Usage Model ” and up immediately to its maximum point. “Production Order Quantity Model”. In this, noninstantaneous receipt model, the order Instead, it builds up gradually when quantity is received gradually over time, and the inventory is received faster than it is inventory level is depleted at the same time it is being used; then it declines to its lowest being replenished. level as incoming shipments stop and the use of inventory continues. Here, we take into account the daily production rate and daily demand/input rate. Production Order Quantity Model Production Order Quantity Model Inventory Maximum Inventory Production occurs at a Demand rate of p occurs at a rate of d time t t
  • 12. Production Order Quantity Production Order Quantity Model Model Since this model is especially suitable for p: Daily Production rate (units / day) production environments, It is called d: Daily demand rate (units / day) Production Order Quantity Model. t: Length of the cycle in days. Here, we use the same approach as we H: Annual holding cost per unit used in EOQ model. Lets define the following: Production Order Quantity Model Production Order Quantity Model Average Holding Cost = (Average In the period of production (until the end of Inventory) . H each t period): Max. Inventory = (Total Produced) – (Total Used) = (Max. Inventory / 2) . H = p.t - d.t Here, Q is the total units that are produced. Therefore, Q = p.t t = Q/p
  • 13. Production Order Quantity Production Order Quantity Model Model If we replace the values of t in the Max. Ann. Holding Cost =(Max. Inventory / 2) . H Inventory formula: Annual Holding Cost = Q/2 (1 – d/p) . H Max. Inventory = p (Q/p) - d (Q/p) = Q - dQ/p = Q (1 – d/p) Annual Setup Cost = (D/Q) . S Production Order Quantity Production Order Quantity Model Model Now we will set Annual Holding Cost = Annual Setup Cost Q/2 (1 – d/p) . H = (D/Q) . S
  • 14. Production Order Quantity Production Order Quantity- Model Example-5 D = 1,000 units p = 8 units per day This formula gives us the optimum S = $10 d = 4 units per day production quantity for the Production H = $0.50 per unit per year Order Quantity Model. 2DS Q* = H[1 - (d/p)] It is used when inventory is consumed as it is produced. Q* = 2(1,000)(10) = 80,000 0.50[1 - (4/8)] = 282.8 or 283 units How Important is the Item? Segmentation of Inventory - Not all inventory is created equally - Different classes of inventory Miscellaneous Systems and - Result in different levels of profitability /revenue - Have different demand patterns and magnitudes Issues - Require different control policies ABC Analysis Commonly used in practice Classify items by revenue or value Combination of usage, sales price, etc.
  • 15. ABC Analysis ABC Analysis Identify the items that management should spend time on Prioritize items by their value to firm Create logical groupings Adjust as needed ABC Analysis Miscellaneous Systems: What is different between the classes? Bin Systems A Items Very few high impact items are included Two-Bin System Require the most managerial attention and review Expect many exceptions to be made B Items Order One Bin of Many moderate impact items (sometimes most) Inventory Automated control w/ management by exception Rules can be used for A (but usually too many exceptions) Full Empty C Items One-Bin System Many if not most of the items that make up minor impact Control systems should be as simple as possible Reduce wasted management time and attention Order Enough to Group into common regions, suppliers, end users Refill Bin But these are arbitrary classifications Periodic Check
  • 16. Miscellaneous Systems: Inventory Accuracy and Cycle Counting OptionalInventory Level, M System Maximum Replenishment Inventory accuracy refers to how q=M-I well the inventory records agree Actual Inventory Level, I with physical count M Cycle Counting is a physical I inventory-taking technique in which inventory is counted on a frequent Q = minimum acceptable order quantity basis rather than once or twice a year If q > Q, order q, otherwise do not order any. Question On average, I sell 150,000 units a year, which I obtain from a wholesaler. I estimate that the cost to me of placing an order is $50 with the Supply Chain average inventory storage cost being 20% per year of the cost of a unit ($5). Management 1. What would be the optimal order quantity? 2. I currently order 5 times a year. How much Inventory Control Part 2 would I save by switching to the optimal order Safety Stock, Fixed Period Model quantity as compared with my current policy of ordering 5 times a year? and Single Period Model
  • 17. Planned Shortages with Back-Orders Uncertain Demand Shortage: when customer demand cannot be met Planned shortages could be beneficial Cost of keeping item is more expensive than the profit from selling it e.g. car Uncertain Demand- Safety Stock Service Level A target for the proportion of demand that Buffer added to on hand is met directly from stock inventory during lead time Extra reserved stock The maximum acceptable probability that To prevent stock-out a demand can be met from the stock under uncertain demand For example 90% service level Safety stock will not 90% chance of meeting demand during lead time or normally be used, but it is 10% chance of not meeting demand (having back- available under uncertain order or lost sales) demand How much safety stock should we hold? Judgment on service level
  • 18. Probabilistic Models Probabilistic Models So far we assumed that demand is One method of reducing stock outs is to constant and uniform. hold extra inventory (called Safety Stock). However, In Probabilistic models, demand In this case, we change the ROP formula is specified as a probability distribution. to include that safety stock (ss). Uncertain demand raises the possibility of a stock out (or shortage). Reorder Level (ROL) = LT x D Safety Stock Example Reorder Level (ROL) = (LT x D) + Safety Stock ROP = 50 units Stock-out cost = $40 per unit Orders per year = 6 Carrying cost = $5 per unit per year Reorder Number of Units Probability Level 30 0.2 40 0.2 ROP 50 0.3 60 0.2 70 0.1 1.0 Safety Stock
  • 19. Safety Stock Example Example ROP = 50 units Stock-out cost = $40 per unit Orders per year = 6 Carrying cost = $5 per unit per year A safety stock of 20 units gives the lowest total cost ROP = 50 + 20 = 70 units Probabilistic Demand
  • 20. Reorder Point for a Service Level Using the Standard Normal Probability Table Using the Standard Normal Probability Table =
  • 21. Probabilistic Demand Example- 3: Safety Stock Demand is variable and lead time is constant Safety stock, SS: Daily usage at a drug store follows a = Z × standard deviation of lead time normal distribution with a mean of 500 gm = Z × σ × √LT and a standard deviation of 50 gm. If the = Z × σdlt lead time for procurement is 7 days and Reorder level: the drug store wants a risk of only 2% ROL = lead time demand + safety stock determine = LT × D + Z × σ × √LT where σ = standard deviation of demand per day and a) reorder point and b) safety stock σdlt = σ × √LT Standard deviation of demand during necessary lead time Example-3: Safety Stock Example: Safety Stock using Z-Score Mean daily demand, D =500 gm/day Lead Time, LT = 7days Mean Demand in lead period, µL =3500 gm Standard deviation, σ = 50 gm/day Standard deviation, σ = 50 gm/day Service level required = 98% or 0.98 σL = σ √ Lt= 50 √7 gm From normal distribution level Z is determined as z =2.05 Z= 2.05 from Table ROL = (LT × D)+ z σ √LT X − µL Z= = (500 x 7)+ 2.05 * 50 * √7 σL = 3771 gm where X is a normal random variable Safety Stock = z σ √LT X=3771gm = 2.05 * 50 * √7 = 271 gm Safety stock = 3771 gm- 3500 gm =271 gm
  • 22. Periodic Review System Maximum Inventory Level, M Supply Chain q=M-I Management M Actual Inventory Level, I I Inventory Control Periodic Review System P-System: Periodic Review System P-System: Periodic Review System-2 In this system, costs are not explicitly In this system, we are interested in actual considered and order quantity is not fixed. and average consumption over a period of time i.e. time between two reviews and lead Time is taken into account and given more time. Order quantity can be computed as emphasis follows: Inventory is periodically reviewed at fixed intervals and any difference between the If L< R then Q= M - I If L> R then Q= M – I - Q ord present and the last review is made up by replenishment order. Where The order quantity is thus equal to L= Lead Time R = Review Period replenishment level minus actual inventory M= Replenishment Level in Units I = Inventory on hand in Units on hand. Q =Quantity to be Ordered Qord= Quantity on order (in pipeline)
  • 23. Example: Fixed Period Inventory Control System (P-System) Example-Solution: P-System L<R The average Replen. Lvl. = M Replenishment Level, M = 60 monthly Safety Stock (B)+ consumption, D* (Review Time+ Lead Time) consumption of an M= 20+ 40(1+0.5) = 80 Units item is 40 units, 40 Inventory on Hand, I = B + consumption/2 Safety Stock is 20 units, review time I = 20+ 40/2 = 40 units Safety Stock=B 20 is 1 month and R The Order Quantity, Q = M – I LT lead time is 15 Q= 80- 40 = 40 Units days, calculate 1 2 3 replenishment level M Example 2: (P-System) Fixed Order Vs. Periodic Review Consider a case where Lead time > review time Buffer/safety stock= 50 units D= 100 units/month Fixed-order quantity Fixed-time period Review Time= 1 month L= 2 months models–when holding models—when holding costs are high (usually costs are low (i.e., M= replinsh. Lvl. = B +D (1+2) = 50+ 100*3 expensive items or high associated with low-cost M= 350 Units deprecation rates), or items, low-cost storage), I = B+D/2 = 50+50 = 100 units when items are ordered or when several items are from different sources. ordered from the same Order Qty Q= M – I = 250 units source (saves on order If Qty already on order is 100 units (review after 1 mth) placement and delivery charges). Q= M-I- Qord= 150 units
  • 24. Fixed Order Vs. Periodic Review A fixed-order quantity The main disadvantage of system can operate with a fixed-time period a perpetual count inventory system is that (keeping a running log of inventory levels must be every time a unit is withdrawn or replaced) or higher to offer the same protection against Single-Period Inventory through a simple two-bin or flag arrangement stockout as a fixed-order quantity system. Model wherein a reorder is It also requires a periodic placed when the safety count and closer stock is reached surveillance than a fixed- order quantity system. Decision under uncertainity & risk Single-Period Inventory Model In inventory control, sometimes management has to take In inventory control, sometimes management has to take This model states that we This model states that we IG is the profit per item risk under uncertainity, though wanting to keep the risk should stock up to the point IG is the profit per item risk under uncertainity, though wanting to keep the risk should stock up to the point times the probability of times the probability of factor to a minimum. factor to a minimum. where incremental gain (IG) where incremental gain (IG) selling ‘x’ items selling ‘x’ items is equal to incremental loss is equal to incremental loss •• How many World Cup shirts to produce, when the shirts (IL) (IL) IG= m. P(x) IG= m. P(x) How many World Cup shirts to produce, when the shirts will be of little or no value after the Cup. will be of little or no value after the Cup. IL is the cost per item times IL is the cost per item times m= margin of profit item m= margin of profit item •• How many suits to stock for Eid or Xmas season, profit How many suits to stock for Eid or Xmas season, profit the probability that ‘x’ items P (x)= probability of selling the item margin is high but the leftover stock will probably be of the probability that ‘x’ items P (x)= probability of selling the item margin is high but the leftover stock will probably be of will not be sold will not be sold C= Cost of the item C= Cost of the item no value no value IL= C. [1-P(x)]. IL= C. [1-P(x)]. Equating IG& IL and Equating IG& IL and P(x) = P(x) = C C Single-period inventory model Applies in these cases solving the equation we get: solving the equation we get: m+C m+C
  • 25. Single-Period Inventory Model Single Period Model Example-4 This model states that we This model states that we should continue to increase should continue to increase Our college basketball team is playing in a the size of the inventory so the size of the inventory so tournament game this weekend. Based on our past long as the probability of long as the probability of Cu experience we sell on average 2,400 shirts with a standard deviation of 350. We make $10 on every selling the last unit added is selling the last unit added is P≤ shirt we sell at the game, but lose $5 on every shirt equal to or greater than the equal to or greater than the Co + Cu not sold. How many shirts should we make for the ratio of: Cu/Co+Cu ratio of: Cu/Co+Cu game? Cu = $10 and Co = $5; P ≤ $10 / ($10 + $5) = .667 Where : Z.667 = .432 Co = Cost per unit of demand over estimated therefore we need 2,400 + .432(350) = 2,551 shirts Cu = Cost per unit of demand under estimated P = Probability that the unit will be sold Example-6 Example-5 (Solution) Ahmed Juices makes a variety of juices for on-the- counter sales. Ahmed uses ice, which he grates in Where : making these drinks. Ice is supplied to Ahmed in large Cu blocks, each costing Rs 10. Ice blocks not used during P≤ Co = Cost per unit of demand over estimated a day gets wasted as the ice melts and cannot be used Co + Cu Cu = Cost per unit of demand under estimated the next day. If Ahmed is short of ice blocks on any day, P = Probabilit y that the unit will be sold he buys them from elsewhere, but at a premium of Rs 5 per block. Each block of ice can be used for 20 Co = Rs 1.5 [(Cost) Loss if demand is overestimated] glasses of juice. The probability distribution for the demand of ice blocks is as follows Cu = Rs 2.5 [(Cost) Profit Loss if demand is underestimated] What is the least cost stocking policy for Ahmed Juices? Probability of meeting demand is P ≤ [2.5/(2.5+1.5)] 0.65 at 700 buns. The baker x ice blocks: 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 P ≤ 0.625 should make 700 buns. p Probability 0 0.05 0.10 0.20 0.25 0.20 0.15 0.05 0
  • 26. Practice Numerical The end Example (Contd.) Example The present cycle and pipeline inventories are: The present cycle and pipeline inventories are: A plant makes monthly shipments of electric Cycle Inventory = Q/2 = 280/2 = 140 drills Cycle Inventory = Q/2 = 280/2 = 140 drills A plant makes monthly shipments of electric drills to a wholesaler in average lot sizes of drills to a wholesaler in average lot sizes of Pipeline Inventory, dL= (70 drills/week)* (3 weeks) = 210 drills Pipeline Inventory, dL= (70 drills/week)* (3 weeks) = 210 drills 280 drills. The wholesaler’s average demand 280 drills. The wholesaler’s average demand is 70 drills a week and the lead time from the is 70 drills a week and the lead time from the plant is 3 weeks. The wholesaler must pay for plant is 3 weeks. The wholesaler must pay for Under the new offer, cycle and pipeline inventories are: Under the new offer, cycle and pipeline inventories are: the order the moment it leaves the plant. the order the moment it leaves the plant. Cycle Inventory = Q/2 = 350/2 = 175 drills Cycle Inventory = Q/2 = 350/2 = 175 drills If the wholesaler is willing to increase its If the wholesaler is willing to increase its Pipeline Inventory, dL= (70 drills/week)* (2 weeks) Pipeline Inventory, dL= (70 drills/week)* (2 weeks) purchase quantity to 350 units, the plant will purchase quantity to 350 units, the plant will = 140 drills = 140 drills guarantee a lead time of two weeks. What is guarantee a lead time of two weeks. What is effect on cycle and pipeline inventories? Under the new offer, cycle inventory increases by 25% but Under the new offer, cycle inventory increases by 25% but effect on cycle and pipeline inventories? pipeline inventories reduce by 33% (Decision Point) pipeline inventories reduce by 33% (Decision Point)
  • 27. Benefit of Better Inventory Control Example -1 A firm's inventory turnover (IT) is 4 times on a Fleming sells distributor rebuild kits used on cost of goods sold (COGS) of $800,000. Ford V-8 engines. Fleming purchases these kits Through better inventory control, inventory for $20 and sells about 250 kits a year. Each time Fleming places an order, it costs him $25 to turnover is improved to 8 times while the cover paperwork. He estimated that the cost of COGS remains the same, a substantial holding a rebuild kit in inventory is about $3.5 amount of funds is released from inventory. per kit per year. What is the amount released? a) What is the economic order quantity b) How many times per year will Fleming place $ 100,000 is released an order? Example -1 (Contd.) EOQ Example (2) Problem Data S = Cost of placing order = $ 25 D= Annual demand = 250 units/year Given the information below, what are the EOQ and Given the information below, what are the EOQ and H= Annual per-unit carrying cost =$3.5 per reorder point? reorder point? kit/year Annual Demand = 1,000 units Q = order quantity Days per year considered in average Qopt= √ [2 S D/H] daily demand = 365 Cost to place an order = $10 Qopt= √ [(2*25*250)/3.5] Holding cost per unit per year = $2.50 = 59.75 round to 60 kits Lead time = 7 days Orders per year =D/Qopt = 250/59.75 Cost per unit = $15 = 4.18
  • 28. EOQ Example (2) Solution EOQ Example (3) Problem Data 2DS 2 (1,00 0 )(1 0) Determine the economic order quantity Q O PT = = = 8 9.443 u nits o r 90 un its Determine the economic order quantity H 2.50 and the reorder point given the following… and the reorder point given the following… 1,000 units / year d = = 2.74 units / day 365 days / year Annual Demand = 10,000 units Days per year considered in average daily _ R e order po int, R = d L = 2.7 4units / d ay (7d ays) = 1 9.18 or 20 u n its demand = 365 Cost to place an order = $10 Holding cost per unit per year = 10% of cost In summary, you place an optimal order of 90 units. In In summary, you place an optimal order of 90 units. In the course of using the units to meet demand, when per unit the course of using the units to meet demand, when you only have 20 units left, place the next order of 90 you only have 20 units left, place the next order of 90 Lead time = 10 days units. units. Cost per unit = $15 EOQ Example (3) Solution Example- 8 2D S 2(10,000 )(10) Demand for Deskpro computer at Best Buy is 1000 units Q OPT = = = 365.148 units, or 366 units per month. Best Buy incurs a fixed order placement, H 1.50 transportation and receiving cost of $4000 each time an order is placed. Each computer costs Best Buy $500 and 10,000 units / year the retailer has a holding cost of 20%. Evaluate the d= = 27.397 units / day 365 days / year number of computers that the store manager should order in each replenishment lot. _ R = d L = 2 7 .3 9 7 u n its / d ay (10 d ays) = 2 7 3 .9 7 o r 2 7 4 u n its Annual Demand, D = 1000 x12 = 12000 units Order cost per lot, S = $4000 Place an order for 366 units. When in the course of Place an order for 366 units. When in the course of using the inventory you are left with only 274 units, Unit Cost per computer, C =$500 using the inventory you are left with only 274 units, place the next order of 366 units. Holding cost per year as a fraction of the inv. Value, h = 0.2 place the next order of 366 units.
  • 29. Example-8 Solved Example-9 Q opt = √ 2 * 12000 * 4000 In the above example, the manager at Best Buy 0.2 * 500 would like to reduce the lot size from 980 to 200. For this lot size to be optimal, the store manager = 980 units wants to evaluate how much the order cost per Other Info lot should be reduced. Cycle Inventory = Qopt/2 = 980/2 = 490 Desired Qopt = 200 units No. of orders/year = D/Q = 12000/980 = 12.24 Annual Demand, D = 1000 x12 = 12000 units Annual ordering & holding costs =(D/Q)*S + (Q/2)hC New Order cost per lot, S = ? = $97,980 Unit Cost per computer, C =$500 Average Flow time= Q/2D = 490/12000 = 0.041year Holding cost per year as a fraction of the inv. Value, h = 0.2 = 0.49 months Example-9 (Contd.) Problem-10 S = H [Qopt]2/2D The Acer Co. sells 10,000 units per year. H =hC= 0.2*500 The cost of placing one order is $50 and it S = [0.2*500* 2002]/ [2*12000] costs $4 per year to carry one unit of inventory. What is Acer’s EOQ? S = $166.7 THUS THE STORE MANAGER AT BEST BUY WOULD HAVE TO REDUCE THE ORDER COST PER LOT FROM $4000 TO $166.7 FOR A LOT SIZE OF 200 TO BE OPTIMAL