In this April 2016 presentation by Ed Timperlake, the question of how to reshape US strategy to deal with the second nuclear age is the focus of attention.
Are we trapped by our historical knowledge of “deterrence?”
Professor Bracken: “If the United States doesn’t have a flexible, reliable nuclear posture it can’t deal effectively with other countries who do. It is the ultimate vulnerability that shapes other security choices.”
3. Key Drivers of Change
• The disaggregaGon of Europe in the wave of mulGple crises;
• Strategic upheaval in the Middle East and its global impact;
• The cascading impact of Chinese expansion and Russian aggression
on a fluid global system;
• Iranian acGons in the wake of the Iranian agreement, and their
impact on key allies in the region;
• The emergence of 21st century forces of informaGon war impacGng
on the poliGcal debate and consensus in the US and its democraGc
allies;
• The impact of poliGcal correctness on avoiding tough strategic
issues;
• The failure of the strategic elite to step up to the challenge.
5. Mission Statements Defining the
Challenge
• USAF Mission Statement
– The mission of the United States Air Force is to fly, fight and win...in air, space
and cyberspace.
• USN Mission Statement
– If Deterrence fails, the Navy will conduct decisive combat operaGons to defeat
any enemy
• US Army ADA Mission Statement
– Army's Field Manual 44-100, the mission of Air Defense ArGllery is "to protect
the force and selected geopoliGcal assets from aerial a<ack, missile a<ack,
and surveillance.
• NORK "Dear Leader's" Mission Statement
– Turn Washington and Seoul into “flames and ashes” with a “pre-empGve
nuclear strike of jusGce.”
• Iranian Religious Leader's Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's Mission Statemen
– America is sGll "The Great SaGn" and Israel is a “fake” regime, and said there
won’t be any Israel in 25 years from now.