Weitere ähnliche Inhalte Ähnlich wie Smart Cities: Proving Ground for the Intelligent Economy (20) Smart Cities: Proving Ground for the Intelligent Economy1. Smart Cities: Proving Ground for the
Intelligent Economy
Rick Nicholson
Vice President,
IDC Energy Insights
Copyright 2010 IDC | Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved.
2. Agenda
What are the mega-trends behind smart cities?
Why make cities smart?
What is a smart city?
What role do specific industries play?
Smart city case studies
How big is the opportunity?
Essential guidance
©2010 IDC | 2
3. Urbanization
The Percent of the Population Living in Urban Areas is “The 19th century was a century of
Projected to Rise Rapidly in the Less Developed empires, the 20th century was a
Regions—Asia, Africa and Latin America century of nation states, the 21st
100 century will be a century of cities”
89 90
90 84 – Wellington Webb,
78 81 former Mayor of Denver
80 72
70 66 64
62
60 51 People living in cities:
50 41 41 – Are more economically
39
40 successful
30 – Are better educated
20 15 17 – Are generally healthier
10
However, urban citizens also:
0
Africa Asia Europe Latin North – Use more energy
America America – Consume more goods and
services
1950 2007 2050
– Create more pollution and waste
Source: UN Population Division, World Urbanization Prospects: The 2007 Revision, Executive Summary (2007)
©2010 IDC | 3
4. Intelligent technologies
U.S. Intelligent Devices (Units x 1,000)
80,000 Intelligent devices (e.g.,
70,000 smart phones, smart meters,
60,000
50,000 sensors) provide cost effective
40,000 “telemetry” for infrastructure,
30,000 vehicles, people, etc.
20,000
10,000 Pervasive broadband
0 networks enable real-time
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
communications among
Smartphones Smart meters intelligent devices and back-
end systems
Worldwide Broadband Connections (Units x 1,000)
700,000 Analytics and social media
650,000 process the real-time data
600,000 streams, enable real-time
550,000 decision making, and provide
500,000 a platform for information
450,000
dissemination and
400,000
collaboration
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Source: IDC, 2009
©2010 IDC | 4
5. Why make cities smart?
Sustainability
– Reduce greenhouse gas
emissions/carbon footprint
– Reduce water waste/make clean
water available
Economic development
– Make it easy to do business/attract
new business
– Promote job growth
– Increase per capita GDP
– Drive economic diversity
ARRA funding (U.S.)
– $4 billion in smart grid grants
– $2.4 billion for battery manufacturing
and electric vehicles
– $2 billion to promote telemedicine
©2010 IDC | 5
6. What is a smart city?
Citizens Businesses
Energy Water Communications Transportation Buildings City Services
City Infrastructure
Intelligent Pervasive Broadband Analytics and
Devices Networks Social Media
©2010 IDC | 6
7. Infrastructure: Energy
Worldwide CO2 Emissions Energy Prices (Oil)
$88
$86
$84
$82
$80
$78
$76
Jun-10 Sep-10 Dec-10 Mar-11 Jun-11 Sep-11 Dec-11 Mar-12 Jun-12
Worldwide Energy Consumption Worldwide Energy Demand
Sources: International Energy Agency (IEA) and Consensus Economics, 2009
©2010 IDC | 7
8. Infrastructure: Energy
Opportunities
– Smart grid
• Smart meters, grid sensors
• Neighborhood/wide area networks (wireless
mesh, WiMAX)
• Meter data mgmt and grid mgmt systems
– Energy efficiency and demand response
• In-home displays, smart thermostats, smart
appliances
• Home area networks
• CRM systems, analytics and customer portals
– Electric vehicles
• Charging infrastructure (smart charging stations)
• Wide area networks
• Charging management systems
©2010 IDC | 8
9. Infrastructure: Transportation
Worldwide Growth of Electric Vehicles Transportation as a Service
(Car 2.0, Mobility on Demand)
– Rent a car, scooter, bike via
subscription
– One-way sharing (pick up and
drop off in different locations)
– Enabled by smart grid, GPS,
wireless communications,
analytics
– Integration with public transit
(multi-modal)
Source: International Energy Agency (IEA), 2009
©2010 IDC | 9
10. Infrastructure: Transportation
Opportunities
– Smart charging, vehicle-to-grid (V2G)
• In-car technology (software, communications)
• Charging infrastructure
• Wide area networks/GPS
– Back office systems
• Billing and settlement systems
• CRM and account management systems
• Analytics (demand forecasting, GHG emissions)
• Enterprise asset management (EAM)
– Driver/consumer services
• Portals
• Mobility
• Social media
©2010 IDC | 10
11. Infrastructure: Health
Drivers
– Aging population
– Increasing costs
– Prevalence of chronic
disease
– Consumer expectations of
service quality and life
style continuity
– Provider staffing shortages
that are significant and
accelerating
Source: U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, 2009
©2010 IDC | 11
12. Infrastructure: Health
Opportunities
– Telemedicine and remote patient
monitoring
• Intelligent/connected medical devices
(glucometers, pulse oximeters, blood
pressure monitors)
• Wide/home area networks
• Care management systems (enables
remote care by clinicians)
• Electronic medical record (EMR)/personal
health record (PHR) systems
• Patient portals
• Telepresence/video conferencing
©2010 IDC | 12
13. Businesses: Retail
Drivers
– Smaller urban stores vs. big-box suburban stores
– Product/service differentiation
– Consumer focus/”customer first”
– High energy and transportation costs
– Carbon footprint/sustainability
©2010 IDC | 13
14. Businesses: Retail
Opportunities
– Real-time in-store systems
• PoS/self-checkout
• Kiosk
• Mobile/personal shopping assistant
• Digital signage
• Video intelligence
– Centralized back office systems
• eCommerce, mobile and social media
• Merchandising and supply chain management
• Business intelligence and customer analytics
– Energy management systems
• HVAC
• Lighting
• Refrigeration
©2010 IDC | 14
15. Businesses: Financial Services
Drivers Most Frequent Transaction Types Conducted
– Fewer and smaller branches will
need to handle more activity with
smaller footprints
– Specialists (wealth, insurance,
mortgage, etc.) inefficiently
distributed in branch network
– Customer acceptance of self-service
Future Mobile Banking Initiatives
Source: IDC, 2009
©2010 IDC | 15
16. Businesses: Financial Services
Opportunities
– Smart banking
• Personal teller machines (video,
centralized specialists)
• Mobile banking (smart alerts,
integration with ATMs and home
PCs)
• Back office systems (dynamic
pricing, fraud analytics)
• Security
©2010 IDC | 16
17. Austin, Texas
Pecan Street Project
– Started with no budget and
200 volunteers
– Leveraged resources of
founding and corporate – Goal to “design and implement
partners including: an energy system that generates
a power plant’s worth of power
• Austin Energy
from clean sources… and
• Cisco delivers it over an advanced
• City of Austin delivery system that allows for
• Dell customer energy management”
• Environmental Defense Fund – Want the infrastructure (grid) to be
• University of Texas at Austin a platform for innovation
– Focus is on economic
– $10.4 million ARRA smart
development
grid demonstration grant
©2010 IDC | 17
18. Austin, Texas
car2go
– First launched in Ulm, Germany
– Austin pilot launched in late
2009 with 200 cars used by city
employees and their families
– Locate available cars via
– Owned by Daimler AG phone or web site
– Smart Fortwo cars – Car unlocked and started by
– No reservations required smart card and PIN code
– In-car touchscreen
– Per minute/per hour rental fee
– Park in any non-
includes fuel, maintenance,
metered/restricted space
insurance
©2010 IDC | 18
19. Amsterdam
Amsterdam Smart City
– Collaboration between:
• Municipality of Amsterdam
• Liander (utility)
• Amsterdam Innovation Motor (AIM)
– Series of pilot projects over two years
in four focus areas – Focuses on “innovative
technology, sustainable
• Sustainable living
economic investments
• Sustainable working
and changing the
• Sustainable mobility
behavior of the people in
• Sustainable public space
Amsterdam”
– Technology partners
• Accenture
• Cisco
• IBM
• Phillips
©2010 IDC | 19
20. Amsterdam
West Orange project
Sustainable – 500 homes with smart meters and in-home displays
living Geuzenveld project
– 700 homes with smart meters and in-home displays
ITO Tower project
Sustainable – 38,000 square meter office building
working – Sensors managing lighting, heating, cooling and security
Ship to Grid project
Sustainable – 154 shore power connections for river cruisers and inland
mobility freighters
– Pay-by-phone system
Climate Street project
– City center street with 140 SMBs (mostly retail)
Sustainable
– Waste collection and goods delivery with electric vehicles
public space – Intelligent street/facade lighting
– Solar powered tram stops, billboards and waste bins
©2010 IDC | 20
21. How big is the opportunity?
Examples for a city of 1 million people
Smart metering 600,000 $120 million
smart meters opportunity
Electric vehicle 45,000 $225 million
charging electric vehicles opportunity
infrastructure
Remote patient 70,000 $14 million
monitoring people opportunity
(diabetes) w/diabetes
Smart retail 4,000 $200 million
establishments stores opportunity
Total Worldwide ICT
Smart bank 3,200 $160 million Opportunity ≈ $200 Billion
branches PTMs opportunity
Note: These are high level estimates – not to be used for formal market sizing
©2010 IDC | 21
23. Essential Guidance
Learn how to sell to consortia that include both private and
public sector organizations
Look for smart city initiatives in:
– Medium sized cities in mature economies (North America,
Europe)
– Developing cities in developing economies (Asia, Middle East)
Get in early and establish brand recognition
Leverage initial projects into multi-sector deals
Develop partnerships with other key vendors
– Intelligent device vendors
– Engineering, procurement, construction (EPC) companies
©2010 IDC | 23
24. Contact Information
Email us at:
rnicholson@idc.com
Please fill out your Directions
evaluation form
©2010 IDC | 24