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Smart Cities: Proving Ground for the
Intelligent Economy

Rick Nicholson
Vice President,
IDC Energy Insights



         Copyright 2010 IDC | Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved.
Agenda


What are the mega-trends behind smart cities?
Why make cities smart?
What is a smart city?
What role do specific industries play?
Smart city case studies
How big is the opportunity?
Essential guidance

                                                ©2010 IDC | 2
Urbanization
   The Percent of the Population Living in Urban Areas is                                “The 19th century was a century of
      Projected to Rise Rapidly in the Less Developed                                      empires, the 20th century was a
         Regions—Asia, Africa and Latin America                                           century of nation states, the 21st
100                                                                                       century will be a century of cities”
                                                                89              90
 90                                              84                                                             – Wellington Webb,
                                                           78              81                               former Mayor of Denver
 80                                         72
 70                               66                                  64
                   62
 60                                    51                                                 People living in cities:
 50                          41                       41                                    – Are more economically
              39
 40                                                                                           successful
 30                                                                                         – Are better educated
 20      15             17                                                                  – Are generally healthier
 10
                                                                                          However, urban citizens also:
  0
          Africa           Asia         Europe          Latin          North                – Use more energy
                                                       America        America               – Consume more goods and
                                                                                              services
                             1950         2007        2050
                                                                                            – Create more pollution and waste
Source: UN Population Division, World Urbanization Prospects: The 2007 Revision, Executive Summary (2007)
                                                                                                                         ©2010 IDC | 3
Intelligent technologies
                      U.S. Intelligent Devices (Units x 1,000)
 80,000                                                                 Intelligent devices (e.g.,
 70,000                                                                 smart phones, smart meters,
 60,000
 50,000                                                                 sensors) provide cost effective
 40,000                                                                 “telemetry” for infrastructure,
 30,000                                                                 vehicles, people, etc.
 20,000
 10,000                                                                 Pervasive broadband
      0                                                                 networks enable real-time
               2009         2010        2011        2012         2013
                                                                        communications among
                               Smartphones       Smart meters           intelligent devices and back-
                                                                        end systems
             Worldwide Broadband Connections (Units x 1,000)
700,000                                                                 Analytics and social media
650,000                                                                 process the real-time data
600,000                                                                 streams, enable real-time
550,000                                                                 decision making, and provide
500,000                                                                 a platform for information
450,000
                                                                        dissemination and
400,000
                                                                        collaboration
               2009         2010        2011        2012         2013

Source: IDC, 2009
                                                                                              ©2010 IDC | 4
Why make cities smart?
Sustainability
 – Reduce greenhouse gas
   emissions/carbon footprint
 – Reduce water waste/make clean
   water available
Economic development
 – Make it easy to do business/attract
   new business
 – Promote job growth
 – Increase per capita GDP
 – Drive economic diversity
ARRA funding (U.S.)
 – $4 billion in smart grid grants
 – $2.4 billion for battery manufacturing
   and electric vehicles
 – $2 billion to promote telemedicine
                                            ©2010 IDC | 5
What is a smart city?
                          Citizens                   Businesses




Energy      Water           Communications Transportation         Buildings   City Services




                                     City Infrastructure




            Intelligent          Pervasive Broadband         Analytics and
             Devices                  Networks               Social Media


                                                                                   ©2010 IDC | 6
Infrastructure: Energy
            Worldwide CO2 Emissions                                                          Energy Prices (Oil)
                                                                           $88

                                                                           $86

                                                                           $84

                                                                           $82

                                                                           $80

                                                                           $78

                                                                           $76
                                                                              Jun-10 Sep-10 Dec-10 Mar-11 Jun-11 Sep-11 Dec-11 Mar-12 Jun-12



        Worldwide Energy Consumption                                                   Worldwide Energy Demand




Sources: International Energy Agency (IEA) and Consensus Economics, 2009
                                                                                                                             ©2010 IDC | 7
Infrastructure: Energy
Opportunities
– Smart grid
   • Smart meters, grid sensors
   • Neighborhood/wide area networks (wireless
     mesh, WiMAX)
   • Meter data mgmt and grid mgmt systems
– Energy efficiency and demand response
   • In-home displays, smart thermostats, smart
     appliances
   • Home area networks
   • CRM systems, analytics and customer portals
– Electric vehicles
   • Charging infrastructure (smart charging stations)
   • Wide area networks
   • Charging management systems

                                                         ©2010 IDC | 8
Infrastructure: Transportation
            Worldwide Growth of Electric Vehicles   Transportation as a Service
                                                    (Car 2.0, Mobility on Demand)
                                                     – Rent a car, scooter, bike via
                                                       subscription
                                                     – One-way sharing (pick up and
                                                       drop off in different locations)
                                                     – Enabled by smart grid, GPS,
                                                       wireless communications,
                                                       analytics
                                                     – Integration with public transit
                                                       (multi-modal)




Source: International Energy Agency (IEA), 2009
                                                                                ©2010 IDC | 9
Infrastructure: Transportation
Opportunities
– Smart charging, vehicle-to-grid (V2G)
   • In-car technology (software, communications)
   • Charging infrastructure
   • Wide area networks/GPS
– Back office systems
   •   Billing and settlement systems
   •   CRM and account management systems
   •   Analytics (demand forecasting, GHG emissions)
   •   Enterprise asset management (EAM)
– Driver/consumer services
   • Portals
   • Mobility
   • Social media

                                                       ©2010 IDC | 10
Infrastructure: Health

    Drivers
      – Aging population
      – Increasing costs
      – Prevalence of chronic
        disease
      – Consumer expectations of
        service quality and life
        style continuity
      – Provider staffing shortages
        that are significant and
        accelerating

Source: U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, 2009
                                                                ©2010 IDC | 11
Infrastructure: Health
Opportunities
– Telemedicine and remote patient
  monitoring
   • Intelligent/connected medical devices
     (glucometers, pulse oximeters, blood
     pressure monitors)
   • Wide/home area networks
   • Care management systems (enables
     remote care by clinicians)
   • Electronic medical record (EMR)/personal
     health record (PHR) systems
   • Patient portals
   • Telepresence/video conferencing

                                                ©2010 IDC | 12
Businesses: Retail




Drivers
– Smaller urban stores vs. big-box suburban stores
– Product/service differentiation
– Consumer focus/”customer first”
– High energy and transportation costs
– Carbon footprint/sustainability
                                             ©2010 IDC | 13
Businesses: Retail
Opportunities
– Real-time in-store systems
   •   PoS/self-checkout
   •   Kiosk
   •   Mobile/personal shopping assistant
   •   Digital signage
   •   Video intelligence
– Centralized back office systems
   • eCommerce, mobile and social media
   • Merchandising and supply chain management
   • Business intelligence and customer analytics
– Energy management systems
   • HVAC
   • Lighting
   • Refrigeration
                                                    ©2010 IDC | 14
Businesses: Financial Services
   Drivers                                              Most Frequent Transaction Types Conducted
     – Fewer and smaller branches will
       need to handle more activity with
       smaller footprints
     – Specialists (wealth, insurance,
       mortgage, etc.) inefficiently
       distributed in branch network
     – Customer acceptance of self-service
                    Future Mobile Banking Initiatives




Source: IDC, 2009
                                                                                        ©2010 IDC | 15
Businesses: Financial Services

Opportunities
– Smart banking
  • Personal teller machines (video,
    centralized specialists)
  • Mobile banking (smart alerts,
    integration with ATMs and home
    PCs)
  • Back office systems (dynamic
    pricing, fraud analytics)
  • Security



                                       ©2010 IDC | 16
Austin, Texas
Pecan Street Project
– Started with no budget and
  200 volunteers
– Leveraged resources of
  founding and corporate               – Goal to “design and implement
  partners including:                    an energy system that generates
                                         a power plant’s worth of power
   •   Austin Energy
                                         from clean sources… and
   •   Cisco                             delivers it over an advanced
   •   City of Austin                    delivery system that allows for
   •   Dell                              customer energy management”
   •   Environmental Defense Fund      – Want the infrastructure (grid) to be
   •   University of Texas at Austin     a platform for innovation
                                       – Focus is on economic
– $10.4 million ARRA smart
                                         development
  grid demonstration grant
                                                                     ©2010 IDC | 17
Austin, Texas

car2go
– First launched in Ulm, Germany
– Austin pilot launched in late
  2009 with 200 cars used by city
  employees and their families
                                    – Locate available cars via
– Owned by Daimler AG                 phone or web site
– Smart Fortwo cars                 – Car unlocked and started by
– No reservations required            smart card and PIN code
                                    – In-car touchscreen
– Per minute/per hour rental fee
                                    – Park in any non-
  includes fuel, maintenance,
                                      metered/restricted space
  insurance

                                                          ©2010 IDC | 18
Amsterdam
Amsterdam Smart City
– Collaboration between:
   • Municipality of Amsterdam
   • Liander (utility)
   • Amsterdam Innovation Motor (AIM)
– Series of pilot projects over two years
  in four focus areas                     – Focuses on “innovative
                                            technology, sustainable
   • Sustainable living
                                            economic investments
   • Sustainable working
                                            and changing the
   • Sustainable mobility
                                            behavior of the people in
   • Sustainable public space
                                            Amsterdam”
– Technology partners
   •   Accenture
   •   Cisco
   •   IBM
   •   Phillips
                                                               ©2010 IDC | 19
Amsterdam
               West Orange project
Sustainable     – 500 homes with smart meters and in-home displays
  living       Geuzenveld project
                – 700 homes with smart meters and in-home displays
               ITO Tower project
Sustainable     – 38,000 square meter office building
 working        – Sensors managing lighting, heating, cooling and security

               Ship to Grid project
Sustainable     – 154 shore power connections for river cruisers and inland
 mobility         freighters
                – Pay-by-phone system

               Climate Street project
                –   City center street with 140 SMBs (mostly retail)
Sustainable
                –   Waste collection and goods delivery with electric vehicles
public space    –   Intelligent street/facade lighting
                –   Solar powered tram stops, billboards and waste bins
                                                                          ©2010 IDC | 20
How big is the opportunity?
          Examples for a city of 1 million people
Smart metering                      600,000                       $120 million
                                    smart meters                  opportunity

Electric vehicle                    45,000                        $225 million
charging                            electric vehicles             opportunity
infrastructure


Remote patient                      70,000                        $14 million
monitoring                          people                        opportunity
(diabetes)                          w/diabetes
Smart retail                        4,000                         $200 million
establishments                      stores                        opportunity
                                                                                   Total Worldwide ICT
Smart bank                          3,200                         $160 million   Opportunity ≈ $200 Billion
branches                            PTMs                          opportunity


Note: These are high level estimates – not to be used for formal market sizing
                                                                                                   ©2010 IDC | 21
Vendor universe




                  ©2010 IDC | 22
Essential Guidance
Learn how to sell to consortia that include both private and
public sector organizations
Look for smart city initiatives in:
– Medium sized cities in mature economies (North America,
  Europe)
– Developing cities in developing economies (Asia, Middle East)
Get in early and establish brand recognition
Leverage initial projects into multi-sector deals
Develop partnerships with other key vendors
– Intelligent device vendors
– Engineering, procurement, construction (EPC) companies

                                                        ©2010 IDC | 23
Contact Information



                Email us at:
                rnicholson@idc.com



    Please fill out your Directions
    evaluation form


                                      ©2010 IDC | 24

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Smart Cities: Proving Ground for the Intelligent Economy

  • 1. Smart Cities: Proving Ground for the Intelligent Economy Rick Nicholson Vice President, IDC Energy Insights Copyright 2010 IDC | Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved.
  • 2. Agenda What are the mega-trends behind smart cities? Why make cities smart? What is a smart city? What role do specific industries play? Smart city case studies How big is the opportunity? Essential guidance ©2010 IDC | 2
  • 3. Urbanization The Percent of the Population Living in Urban Areas is “The 19th century was a century of Projected to Rise Rapidly in the Less Developed empires, the 20th century was a Regions—Asia, Africa and Latin America century of nation states, the 21st 100 century will be a century of cities” 89 90 90 84 – Wellington Webb, 78 81 former Mayor of Denver 80 72 70 66 64 62 60 51 People living in cities: 50 41 41 – Are more economically 39 40 successful 30 – Are better educated 20 15 17 – Are generally healthier 10 However, urban citizens also: 0 Africa Asia Europe Latin North – Use more energy America America – Consume more goods and services 1950 2007 2050 – Create more pollution and waste Source: UN Population Division, World Urbanization Prospects: The 2007 Revision, Executive Summary (2007) ©2010 IDC | 3
  • 4. Intelligent technologies U.S. Intelligent Devices (Units x 1,000) 80,000 Intelligent devices (e.g., 70,000 smart phones, smart meters, 60,000 50,000 sensors) provide cost effective 40,000 “telemetry” for infrastructure, 30,000 vehicles, people, etc. 20,000 10,000 Pervasive broadband 0 networks enable real-time 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 communications among Smartphones Smart meters intelligent devices and back- end systems Worldwide Broadband Connections (Units x 1,000) 700,000 Analytics and social media 650,000 process the real-time data 600,000 streams, enable real-time 550,000 decision making, and provide 500,000 a platform for information 450,000 dissemination and 400,000 collaboration 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Source: IDC, 2009 ©2010 IDC | 4
  • 5. Why make cities smart? Sustainability – Reduce greenhouse gas emissions/carbon footprint – Reduce water waste/make clean water available Economic development – Make it easy to do business/attract new business – Promote job growth – Increase per capita GDP – Drive economic diversity ARRA funding (U.S.) – $4 billion in smart grid grants – $2.4 billion for battery manufacturing and electric vehicles – $2 billion to promote telemedicine ©2010 IDC | 5
  • 6. What is a smart city? Citizens Businesses Energy Water Communications Transportation Buildings City Services City Infrastructure Intelligent Pervasive Broadband Analytics and Devices Networks Social Media ©2010 IDC | 6
  • 7. Infrastructure: Energy Worldwide CO2 Emissions Energy Prices (Oil) $88 $86 $84 $82 $80 $78 $76 Jun-10 Sep-10 Dec-10 Mar-11 Jun-11 Sep-11 Dec-11 Mar-12 Jun-12 Worldwide Energy Consumption Worldwide Energy Demand Sources: International Energy Agency (IEA) and Consensus Economics, 2009 ©2010 IDC | 7
  • 8. Infrastructure: Energy Opportunities – Smart grid • Smart meters, grid sensors • Neighborhood/wide area networks (wireless mesh, WiMAX) • Meter data mgmt and grid mgmt systems – Energy efficiency and demand response • In-home displays, smart thermostats, smart appliances • Home area networks • CRM systems, analytics and customer portals – Electric vehicles • Charging infrastructure (smart charging stations) • Wide area networks • Charging management systems ©2010 IDC | 8
  • 9. Infrastructure: Transportation Worldwide Growth of Electric Vehicles Transportation as a Service (Car 2.0, Mobility on Demand) – Rent a car, scooter, bike via subscription – One-way sharing (pick up and drop off in different locations) – Enabled by smart grid, GPS, wireless communications, analytics – Integration with public transit (multi-modal) Source: International Energy Agency (IEA), 2009 ©2010 IDC | 9
  • 10. Infrastructure: Transportation Opportunities – Smart charging, vehicle-to-grid (V2G) • In-car technology (software, communications) • Charging infrastructure • Wide area networks/GPS – Back office systems • Billing and settlement systems • CRM and account management systems • Analytics (demand forecasting, GHG emissions) • Enterprise asset management (EAM) – Driver/consumer services • Portals • Mobility • Social media ©2010 IDC | 10
  • 11. Infrastructure: Health Drivers – Aging population – Increasing costs – Prevalence of chronic disease – Consumer expectations of service quality and life style continuity – Provider staffing shortages that are significant and accelerating Source: U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, 2009 ©2010 IDC | 11
  • 12. Infrastructure: Health Opportunities – Telemedicine and remote patient monitoring • Intelligent/connected medical devices (glucometers, pulse oximeters, blood pressure monitors) • Wide/home area networks • Care management systems (enables remote care by clinicians) • Electronic medical record (EMR)/personal health record (PHR) systems • Patient portals • Telepresence/video conferencing ©2010 IDC | 12
  • 13. Businesses: Retail Drivers – Smaller urban stores vs. big-box suburban stores – Product/service differentiation – Consumer focus/”customer first” – High energy and transportation costs – Carbon footprint/sustainability ©2010 IDC | 13
  • 14. Businesses: Retail Opportunities – Real-time in-store systems • PoS/self-checkout • Kiosk • Mobile/personal shopping assistant • Digital signage • Video intelligence – Centralized back office systems • eCommerce, mobile and social media • Merchandising and supply chain management • Business intelligence and customer analytics – Energy management systems • HVAC • Lighting • Refrigeration ©2010 IDC | 14
  • 15. Businesses: Financial Services Drivers Most Frequent Transaction Types Conducted – Fewer and smaller branches will need to handle more activity with smaller footprints – Specialists (wealth, insurance, mortgage, etc.) inefficiently distributed in branch network – Customer acceptance of self-service Future Mobile Banking Initiatives Source: IDC, 2009 ©2010 IDC | 15
  • 16. Businesses: Financial Services Opportunities – Smart banking • Personal teller machines (video, centralized specialists) • Mobile banking (smart alerts, integration with ATMs and home PCs) • Back office systems (dynamic pricing, fraud analytics) • Security ©2010 IDC | 16
  • 17. Austin, Texas Pecan Street Project – Started with no budget and 200 volunteers – Leveraged resources of founding and corporate – Goal to “design and implement partners including: an energy system that generates a power plant’s worth of power • Austin Energy from clean sources… and • Cisco delivers it over an advanced • City of Austin delivery system that allows for • Dell customer energy management” • Environmental Defense Fund – Want the infrastructure (grid) to be • University of Texas at Austin a platform for innovation – Focus is on economic – $10.4 million ARRA smart development grid demonstration grant ©2010 IDC | 17
  • 18. Austin, Texas car2go – First launched in Ulm, Germany – Austin pilot launched in late 2009 with 200 cars used by city employees and their families – Locate available cars via – Owned by Daimler AG phone or web site – Smart Fortwo cars – Car unlocked and started by – No reservations required smart card and PIN code – In-car touchscreen – Per minute/per hour rental fee – Park in any non- includes fuel, maintenance, metered/restricted space insurance ©2010 IDC | 18
  • 19. Amsterdam Amsterdam Smart City – Collaboration between: • Municipality of Amsterdam • Liander (utility) • Amsterdam Innovation Motor (AIM) – Series of pilot projects over two years in four focus areas – Focuses on “innovative technology, sustainable • Sustainable living economic investments • Sustainable working and changing the • Sustainable mobility behavior of the people in • Sustainable public space Amsterdam” – Technology partners • Accenture • Cisco • IBM • Phillips ©2010 IDC | 19
  • 20. Amsterdam West Orange project Sustainable – 500 homes with smart meters and in-home displays living Geuzenveld project – 700 homes with smart meters and in-home displays ITO Tower project Sustainable – 38,000 square meter office building working – Sensors managing lighting, heating, cooling and security Ship to Grid project Sustainable – 154 shore power connections for river cruisers and inland mobility freighters – Pay-by-phone system Climate Street project – City center street with 140 SMBs (mostly retail) Sustainable – Waste collection and goods delivery with electric vehicles public space – Intelligent street/facade lighting – Solar powered tram stops, billboards and waste bins ©2010 IDC | 20
  • 21. How big is the opportunity? Examples for a city of 1 million people Smart metering 600,000 $120 million smart meters opportunity Electric vehicle 45,000 $225 million charging electric vehicles opportunity infrastructure Remote patient 70,000 $14 million monitoring people opportunity (diabetes) w/diabetes Smart retail 4,000 $200 million establishments stores opportunity Total Worldwide ICT Smart bank 3,200 $160 million Opportunity ≈ $200 Billion branches PTMs opportunity Note: These are high level estimates – not to be used for formal market sizing ©2010 IDC | 21
  • 22. Vendor universe ©2010 IDC | 22
  • 23. Essential Guidance Learn how to sell to consortia that include both private and public sector organizations Look for smart city initiatives in: – Medium sized cities in mature economies (North America, Europe) – Developing cities in developing economies (Asia, Middle East) Get in early and establish brand recognition Leverage initial projects into multi-sector deals Develop partnerships with other key vendors – Intelligent device vendors – Engineering, procurement, construction (EPC) companies ©2010 IDC | 23
  • 24. Contact Information Email us at: rnicholson@idc.com Please fill out your Directions evaluation form ©2010 IDC | 24