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EXPERIMENTAL
             DESIGN
         Dr. Rasha Aly Elsayed1 & Dr. Sanaa Abd Eltawab2
         1Al Azhar University 2Beni Suef University




2nd Lecture
Intended learning outcomes
2


       Define statistics.
       Define Experimental Design.
       Know the Importance of Experimental Design.
       Identify the Relationships between Experimental Design
        and Statistics.
       Identify Some Myths about Experimental Design.
       Briefly Describe the Costs of Poor Experimental design.
       Steps in good experimental design
       Goals of Experimental Design.


                 Dr. Rasha Elsayed & Dr. Sanaa Abd Eltawab
Biological research involves data!!
3



    1) Collecting
                Data
        Experimental Design
    2) Summarizing Data
        Simple   numerical and graphical descriptions
    3) Analyzing Data
        Formal  statistical methods for hypothesis testing and
        estimation
    4) Communicating Results
        Discussion   and Interpretation

                  Dr. Rasha Elsayed & Dr. Sanaa Abd Eltawab
What is statistics?
4




        Statistics: A collection of procedures and processes to
         enable researchers in the unbiased pursuit of Knowledge.
                                                         .‫مجموعة من الطرق والعمليات تمكن الباحثين من السعى وراء المعلومه بال تحيز‬

        Statistics is an important part of the Scientific Method.


                                    State a Hypothesis

         Interpret the                                                                  Design a
        Results—Draw                                                                    Study and
         Conclusions                                                                   Collect Data
                                      Analyze the Data


                         Dr. Rasha Elsayed & Dr. Sanaa Abd Eltawab
What is statistics?
5

    the core help from the statistician is in the design of the
                          experiment

         Help with selecting conditions that relate to the
                     objectives of the study

               Selecting the Experimental Units

              Deciding when REPLICATIONS exist
     Determining the ORDER in which the experiment is to
                       be carried out

         THE DESIGN OF THE EXPERIMENT IS CRITICAL
                 Dr. Rasha Elsayed & Dr. Sanaa Abd Eltawab
What Is Experimental Design?
6

   Experimental design is the part of statistics that
    happens before you carry out an experiment.
   Science answers questions with experiments.

   Efficient   and     Effective         Experiments        Maximizing
    Information with Limited Resources.




                 Dr. Rasha Elsayed & Dr. Sanaa Abd Eltawab
What Is Experimental Design?
7




       Biological   insight!
       Logic

       Common       sense
       Planning

       Requires     an appreciation of statistics


       Note that there are different approaches to
       Experimental Design.
                Dr. Rasha Elsayed & Dr. Sanaa Abd Eltawab
Experimental Design and Statistics
8



       Good experimental design is about more than
        statistics.

       You MUST know how you will analyse your
        experiment before you collect a single datum!

       Once you have designed your experiment seek
        advice on the statistical test you will use.

       Go ahead and use experienced people in your lab
        or department and/or a expert in statistics for this.

                 Dr. Rasha Elsayed & Dr. Sanaa Abd Eltawab
Some myths about Experimental
Design
9


       Myth 1
        Its better to spend time collecting data than
        sitting around thinking about collecting data,
        just get on with it.

       Reality
        A well designed experiment will save you tons of
        time. This belief often results in staff and post-docs
        sitting around while supervisors rewrite grant
        proposals and permit applications

                  Dr. Rasha Elsayed & Dr. Sanaa Abd Eltawab
Some myths about Experimental
     Design
10



         Myth 2
          “It does not matter how you collect your data, there
          will always be a statistical ‘fix’ that will allow you to
          analyze them”.

         Reality
          NO! This belief results in people having lots of
          problems with their data. Big problems are non-
          independence and lack of control groups.


                    Dr. Rasha Elsayed & Dr. Sanaa Abd Eltawab
Some myths about Experimental
11
     Design

        Myth 3
         “If you collect lots of data something interesting will
         come out and you will be able to detect even very
         subtle effects”

        Reality
         NO! Generally collecting lots of data without a plan
         wastes your time and someone’s money.



                   Dr. Rasha Elsayed & Dr. Sanaa Abd Eltawab
Costs of poor design
12




        Time is wasted
         This is something you can’t afford and its sometimes
         downright embarrassing.

        Money and resources are wasted
         This is something your supervisor (or department or
         company) can’t afford and tends to make them quite
         angry.


                  Dr. Rasha Elsayed & Dr. Sanaa Abd Eltawab
Costs of poor design
13


        Ethical issues (when animals or humans are
         experimental subjects)
         Experiments must minimize the stress and suffering of
         any animals involved.
         Minimum numbers must be used.
         Experiments must have a reasonable chance of
         success.
         Ethical issues include causing damage or excessive
         disturbance to an ecosystem.
         Using poor design in animal studies is not only wasteful
         and embarrassing but may also be illegal.
                  Dr. Rasha Elsayed & Dr. Sanaa Abd Eltawab
Steps in good experimental design
14



     Three important steps in good experimental design:
     1. Define the objectives: Record (i.e. write down) precisely what you
       want to test in an experiment.

     2. Devise a strategy: Record precisely how you can achieve the
       objective. This includes thinking about the size and structure of the
       experiment - how many treatments? how many replicates? how will
       the results be analysed?

     3. Set down all the operational details: How will the experiment be
        performed in practice? In what order will things be done? Should the
        treatments be randomized or follow a set structure? Can the
        experiment be done in a day? Will there be time for lunch? etc.

                     Dr. Rasha Elsayed & Dr. Sanaa Abd Eltawab
Goals of Experimental Design
15




        I. Avoid experimental artifacts
        II. Eliminate bias
         1.   Use a simultaneous control group
         2.   Randomization
         3.   Blinding
        III. Reduce sampling error
         1.   Replication
         2.   Balance
         3.   Blocking
                   Dr. Rasha Elsayed & Dr. Sanaa Abd Eltawab
I. Experimental Artifacts
16




    Experimental          artifacts:
                                a bias        in          ‫انحياز‬           a
     measurement produced by unintended                            ‫مقصود‬   ‫غير‬


     consequences of experimental procedures.

    Conduct your experiments under as natural of
     conditions as possible to avoid artifacts.




              Dr. Rasha Elsayed & Dr. Sanaa Abd Eltawab
II. Eliminate bias: 1. Control Group
17




        A control group is a group of subjects left
         untreated for the treatment of interest but
         otherwise experiencing the same conditions
         as the treated subjects.

        Example: one group of patients is given an inert
         placebo (inert medication).



                  Dr. Rasha Elsayed & Dr. Sanaa Abd Eltawab
II. Eliminate bias: The Placebo Effect
18




        Patients treated with placebos, including
         sugar pills, often report improvement.
        Example: up to 40% of patients with chronic
         back pain report improvement when treated
         with a placebo.
        Even “sham surgeries” can have a positive
         effect.

          This is why you need a control group!

                Dr. Rasha Elsayed & Dr. Sanaa Abd Eltawab
II. Eliminate bias: 2. Randomization
19




        Randomization is the random assignment of
         treatments to units in an experimental study.

        Breaks the association between potential
         confounding variables and the explanatory
         variables.




                 Dr. Rasha Elsayed & Dr. Sanaa Abd Eltawab
II. Eliminate bias: 3. Blinding
20




        Blinding is the concealment of information          ‫اخفاء‬


         from the participants and/or researchers about
         which subjects are receiving which treatments.

        Single blind:           subjects            are             unaware   of
         treatments.
        Double blind: subjects and researchers are
         unaware of treatments.

                 Dr. Rasha Elsayed & Dr. Sanaa Abd Eltawab
II. Eliminate bias: 3. Blinding
21




        Example: testing heart medication
        Two treatments: drug and placebo
        Single blind: the patients don’t know which
         group they are in, but the doctors do.
        Double blind: neither the patients nor the
         doctors administering the drug know which
         group the patients are in.


                 Dr. Rasha Elsayed & Dr. Sanaa Abd Eltawab
III. Reduce sampling: 1. Replication
22

 This is the number of experimental units measured for each treatment. Increasing
  the number of replications means collecting more information about the treatments.

    Experimental unit: the individual unit to which treatments are assigned

 2 Experimental
                                                                 Experiment 1
      Units


                                                                 Pseudo replication
 2 Experimental
                                                                 Experiment 2
      Units
                            Tank 1                Tank 2



 8 Experimental
      Units                                                      Experiment 3
                                    All separate tanks
                    Dr. Rasha Elsayed & Dr. Sanaa Abd Eltawab
III. Reduce sampling:1. Replication
             Why is pseudoreplication bad?
23



                                         Experiment 2

                  Tank 1      Tank 2



        problem with confounding and replication!
        Imagine that something strange happened, by
         chance, to tank 2 but not to tank 1
        Example: light burns out
        All four lizards in tank 2 would be smaller
        You might then think that the difference was due
         to the treatment, but it’s actually just random
         chance Dr. Rasha Elsayed & Dr. Sanaa Abd Eltawab
III. Reduce Sampling.1. Replication

24


     Why is replication good?
         Consider the formula for standard error of the
          mean:
                       s
                SE Y 
                        n
           Larger n                                          Smaller SE
                 Dr. Rasha Elsayed & Dr. Sanaa Abd Eltawab
III. Reduce sampling: 2. Balance
25


        In a balanced experimental design, all treatments
         have equal sample size.


                        Better than

         Balanced                                        Unbalanced
        This maximizes power.
        Also makes tests more robust to violating
         assumptions.
                    Dr. Rasha Elsayed & Dr. Sanaa Abd Eltawab
III. Reduce sampling: 3. Blocking
26



        Blocking is the grouping of experimental units
         that have similar properties.
        Within each block, treatments are randomly
         assigned to experimental treatments
        Blocking allows you to remove extraneous
         variation from the data.
        Like replicating the whole experiment multiple
         times, once in each block.
        Paired design is an example of blocking.
                  Dr. Rasha Elsayed & Dr. Sanaa Abd Eltawab
III. Reduce sampling: 3. Blocking
27



            Experiments with 2 Factors
        Factorial design – investigates all treatment
         combinations of two or more variables.
        Factorial design allows us to test for interactions
         between treatment variables




                  Dr. Rasha Elsayed & Dr. Sanaa Abd Eltawab
III. Reduce sampling: 3. Blocking
28


                             Factorial Design
                     pH
                   5.5       6.5         7.5               An interaction between
Temperature




                                                            two (or more) explanatory
              25   n=2       n=2         n=2                variables means that the
              30   n=2       n=2         n=2                effect of one variable
                                                            depends upon the state
              35   n=2       n=2         n=2                of the other variable

              40   n=2       n=2         n=2


                     Dr. Rasha Elsayed & Dr. Sanaa Abd Eltawab
Thank You
29




      THANK YOU

          Dr. Rasha Elsayed & Dr. Sanaa Abd Eltawab

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Introduction to experimental design

  • 1. EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN Dr. Rasha Aly Elsayed1 & Dr. Sanaa Abd Eltawab2 1Al Azhar University 2Beni Suef University 2nd Lecture
  • 2. Intended learning outcomes 2  Define statistics.  Define Experimental Design.  Know the Importance of Experimental Design.  Identify the Relationships between Experimental Design and Statistics.  Identify Some Myths about Experimental Design.  Briefly Describe the Costs of Poor Experimental design.  Steps in good experimental design  Goals of Experimental Design. Dr. Rasha Elsayed & Dr. Sanaa Abd Eltawab
  • 3. Biological research involves data!! 3 1) Collecting Data  Experimental Design 2) Summarizing Data  Simple numerical and graphical descriptions 3) Analyzing Data  Formal statistical methods for hypothesis testing and estimation 4) Communicating Results  Discussion and Interpretation Dr. Rasha Elsayed & Dr. Sanaa Abd Eltawab
  • 4. What is statistics? 4  Statistics: A collection of procedures and processes to enable researchers in the unbiased pursuit of Knowledge. .‫مجموعة من الطرق والعمليات تمكن الباحثين من السعى وراء المعلومه بال تحيز‬  Statistics is an important part of the Scientific Method. State a Hypothesis Interpret the Design a Results—Draw Study and Conclusions Collect Data Analyze the Data Dr. Rasha Elsayed & Dr. Sanaa Abd Eltawab
  • 5. What is statistics? 5 the core help from the statistician is in the design of the experiment Help with selecting conditions that relate to the objectives of the study Selecting the Experimental Units Deciding when REPLICATIONS exist Determining the ORDER in which the experiment is to be carried out THE DESIGN OF THE EXPERIMENT IS CRITICAL Dr. Rasha Elsayed & Dr. Sanaa Abd Eltawab
  • 6. What Is Experimental Design? 6  Experimental design is the part of statistics that happens before you carry out an experiment.  Science answers questions with experiments.  Efficient and Effective Experiments Maximizing Information with Limited Resources. Dr. Rasha Elsayed & Dr. Sanaa Abd Eltawab
  • 7. What Is Experimental Design? 7  Biological insight!  Logic  Common sense  Planning  Requires an appreciation of statistics Note that there are different approaches to Experimental Design. Dr. Rasha Elsayed & Dr. Sanaa Abd Eltawab
  • 8. Experimental Design and Statistics 8  Good experimental design is about more than statistics.  You MUST know how you will analyse your experiment before you collect a single datum!  Once you have designed your experiment seek advice on the statistical test you will use.  Go ahead and use experienced people in your lab or department and/or a expert in statistics for this. Dr. Rasha Elsayed & Dr. Sanaa Abd Eltawab
  • 9. Some myths about Experimental Design 9  Myth 1 Its better to spend time collecting data than sitting around thinking about collecting data, just get on with it.  Reality A well designed experiment will save you tons of time. This belief often results in staff and post-docs sitting around while supervisors rewrite grant proposals and permit applications Dr. Rasha Elsayed & Dr. Sanaa Abd Eltawab
  • 10. Some myths about Experimental Design 10  Myth 2 “It does not matter how you collect your data, there will always be a statistical ‘fix’ that will allow you to analyze them”.  Reality NO! This belief results in people having lots of problems with their data. Big problems are non- independence and lack of control groups. Dr. Rasha Elsayed & Dr. Sanaa Abd Eltawab
  • 11. Some myths about Experimental 11 Design  Myth 3 “If you collect lots of data something interesting will come out and you will be able to detect even very subtle effects”  Reality NO! Generally collecting lots of data without a plan wastes your time and someone’s money. Dr. Rasha Elsayed & Dr. Sanaa Abd Eltawab
  • 12. Costs of poor design 12  Time is wasted This is something you can’t afford and its sometimes downright embarrassing.  Money and resources are wasted This is something your supervisor (or department or company) can’t afford and tends to make them quite angry. Dr. Rasha Elsayed & Dr. Sanaa Abd Eltawab
  • 13. Costs of poor design 13  Ethical issues (when animals or humans are experimental subjects) Experiments must minimize the stress and suffering of any animals involved. Minimum numbers must be used. Experiments must have a reasonable chance of success. Ethical issues include causing damage or excessive disturbance to an ecosystem. Using poor design in animal studies is not only wasteful and embarrassing but may also be illegal. Dr. Rasha Elsayed & Dr. Sanaa Abd Eltawab
  • 14. Steps in good experimental design 14 Three important steps in good experimental design: 1. Define the objectives: Record (i.e. write down) precisely what you want to test in an experiment. 2. Devise a strategy: Record precisely how you can achieve the objective. This includes thinking about the size and structure of the experiment - how many treatments? how many replicates? how will the results be analysed? 3. Set down all the operational details: How will the experiment be performed in practice? In what order will things be done? Should the treatments be randomized or follow a set structure? Can the experiment be done in a day? Will there be time for lunch? etc. Dr. Rasha Elsayed & Dr. Sanaa Abd Eltawab
  • 15. Goals of Experimental Design 15  I. Avoid experimental artifacts  II. Eliminate bias 1. Use a simultaneous control group 2. Randomization 3. Blinding  III. Reduce sampling error 1. Replication 2. Balance 3. Blocking Dr. Rasha Elsayed & Dr. Sanaa Abd Eltawab
  • 16. I. Experimental Artifacts 16  Experimental artifacts: a bias in ‫انحياز‬ a measurement produced by unintended ‫مقصود‬ ‫غير‬ consequences of experimental procedures.  Conduct your experiments under as natural of conditions as possible to avoid artifacts. Dr. Rasha Elsayed & Dr. Sanaa Abd Eltawab
  • 17. II. Eliminate bias: 1. Control Group 17  A control group is a group of subjects left untreated for the treatment of interest but otherwise experiencing the same conditions as the treated subjects.  Example: one group of patients is given an inert placebo (inert medication). Dr. Rasha Elsayed & Dr. Sanaa Abd Eltawab
  • 18. II. Eliminate bias: The Placebo Effect 18  Patients treated with placebos, including sugar pills, often report improvement.  Example: up to 40% of patients with chronic back pain report improvement when treated with a placebo.  Even “sham surgeries” can have a positive effect. This is why you need a control group! Dr. Rasha Elsayed & Dr. Sanaa Abd Eltawab
  • 19. II. Eliminate bias: 2. Randomization 19  Randomization is the random assignment of treatments to units in an experimental study.  Breaks the association between potential confounding variables and the explanatory variables. Dr. Rasha Elsayed & Dr. Sanaa Abd Eltawab
  • 20. II. Eliminate bias: 3. Blinding 20  Blinding is the concealment of information ‫اخفاء‬ from the participants and/or researchers about which subjects are receiving which treatments.  Single blind: subjects are unaware of treatments.  Double blind: subjects and researchers are unaware of treatments. Dr. Rasha Elsayed & Dr. Sanaa Abd Eltawab
  • 21. II. Eliminate bias: 3. Blinding 21  Example: testing heart medication  Two treatments: drug and placebo  Single blind: the patients don’t know which group they are in, but the doctors do.  Double blind: neither the patients nor the doctors administering the drug know which group the patients are in. Dr. Rasha Elsayed & Dr. Sanaa Abd Eltawab
  • 22. III. Reduce sampling: 1. Replication 22  This is the number of experimental units measured for each treatment. Increasing the number of replications means collecting more information about the treatments.  Experimental unit: the individual unit to which treatments are assigned 2 Experimental Experiment 1 Units Pseudo replication 2 Experimental Experiment 2 Units Tank 1 Tank 2 8 Experimental Units Experiment 3 All separate tanks Dr. Rasha Elsayed & Dr. Sanaa Abd Eltawab
  • 23. III. Reduce sampling:1. Replication Why is pseudoreplication bad? 23 Experiment 2 Tank 1 Tank 2  problem with confounding and replication!  Imagine that something strange happened, by chance, to tank 2 but not to tank 1  Example: light burns out  All four lizards in tank 2 would be smaller  You might then think that the difference was due to the treatment, but it’s actually just random chance Dr. Rasha Elsayed & Dr. Sanaa Abd Eltawab
  • 24. III. Reduce Sampling.1. Replication 24 Why is replication good?  Consider the formula for standard error of the mean: s SE Y  n Larger n Smaller SE Dr. Rasha Elsayed & Dr. Sanaa Abd Eltawab
  • 25. III. Reduce sampling: 2. Balance 25  In a balanced experimental design, all treatments have equal sample size. Better than Balanced Unbalanced  This maximizes power.  Also makes tests more robust to violating assumptions. Dr. Rasha Elsayed & Dr. Sanaa Abd Eltawab
  • 26. III. Reduce sampling: 3. Blocking 26  Blocking is the grouping of experimental units that have similar properties.  Within each block, treatments are randomly assigned to experimental treatments  Blocking allows you to remove extraneous variation from the data.  Like replicating the whole experiment multiple times, once in each block.  Paired design is an example of blocking. Dr. Rasha Elsayed & Dr. Sanaa Abd Eltawab
  • 27. III. Reduce sampling: 3. Blocking 27 Experiments with 2 Factors  Factorial design – investigates all treatment combinations of two or more variables.  Factorial design allows us to test for interactions between treatment variables Dr. Rasha Elsayed & Dr. Sanaa Abd Eltawab
  • 28. III. Reduce sampling: 3. Blocking 28 Factorial Design pH 5.5 6.5 7.5  An interaction between Temperature two (or more) explanatory 25 n=2 n=2 n=2 variables means that the 30 n=2 n=2 n=2 effect of one variable depends upon the state 35 n=2 n=2 n=2 of the other variable 40 n=2 n=2 n=2 Dr. Rasha Elsayed & Dr. Sanaa Abd Eltawab
  • 29. Thank You 29 THANK YOU Dr. Rasha Elsayed & Dr. Sanaa Abd Eltawab