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FFC Landing Page Optimization Project




Version: 2.0                                           May 29, 2008
FFC Landing Page Optimization Project




Document Information
Title:                           FFC Landing Page Optimization project
Author:                          Robert Sherron
Co-Author:                       removed
Status:                             Draft     In Review     Final
Target Start Date:               July 15, 2008 approximately
Target End Date:                 September 16, 2008 approximately



Change History
Version      Distribution Date                           Description of Changes
1.0          5/15/2008           Initial draft document.
2.0          5/30/2008           Updates made as per 5/28 conference call.




Project Team Members
                         Name                                   Group
              removed                        Research & Audience Analytics
              removed                        Research
              removed                        Business Analytics
              removed                        Technology, CBSSports.com
              removed                        Marketing
              Robert Sherron                 User Experience/Usability
              removed                        Sales Strategy & Audience Analytics
              TBD                            Quality Assurance




                                                  Page 2
FFC Landing Page Optimization Project




Table of Contents
1.     Project Overview .................................................................................................................................. 4
2.     Challenge/Opportunity ......................................................................................................................... 4
3.     Project Goals and Objectives ................................................................................................................ 5
       3.1 FFC Objectives ............................................................................................................................... 5
       3.2 IT/Infrastructure Objectives .......................................................................................................... 5
4.     Methodology ........................................................................................................................................ 6
       4.1 Basic A/B Split Test........................................................................................................................ 6
       4.2 Modified A/B Split Test for FFC ..................................................................................................... 6
              4.2.1 Testing Benefits ................................................................................................................. 7
              4.2.2 Testing Limitations ............................................................................................................ 7
       4.3 FFC Landing Page Alternatives ...................................................................................................... 7
       4.4 FFC Landing Page Exposure........................................................................................................... 8
5.     Primary Metric for Declaring a Winner................................................................................................. 9
       5.1 Additional Metrics for Analysis ..................................................................................................... 9
6.     Measurement System ........................................................................................................................... 9
7.     Sample Size and Traffic Volume............................................................................................................ 9
8.     Test Duration ...................................................................................................................................... 10
9.     Analysis and Reporting ....................................................................................................................... 10
10. Iterative A/B Split Testing ................................................................................................................... 11
11. Complimentary Testing Strategies...................................................................................................... 11
12. Open Issues and Considerations ......................................................................................................... 11
13. Useful Information and References .................................................................................................... 11
Appendix I: Fantasy Acquisition Landing Page ........................................................................................... 13
Appendix II: FFC Landing Page - Unregistered User or Registered but Not Signed In ............................... 14
Appendix III: FFC Landing Page – Registered User, Signed In .................................................................... 15




                                                                         Page 3
FFC Landing Page Optimization Project




1.   Project Overview
      The Fantasy Sports industry has become increasingly competitive – the landscape includes
      organizations of all sizes – from large media operations (ESPN, YAHOO!, Fox Sports) and the
      league itself (NFL) with millions of unique users down to small operations with user counts in
      the thousands.

      The flagship of CBSSports.com is Fantasy Football Commissioner (FFC) - a league manager
      product that allows individuals to organize their league using robust customization capabilities
      and features. FFC is the most profitable of all fantasy football product offerings and is the
      primary focus of marketing efforts.

      FFC is subscription based and must be re-purchased each year. Annual league (customer)
      retention surpasses 90%; nonetheless, what can be done to promote new league creation (new
      customers)?

      The project here-in, will explore landing page optimization and testing strategies for FFC to
      better understand and promote customer conversion in 2008.


2.   Challenge/Opportunity
      As customer acquisition becomes more difficult each year due to outside competition in the
      Fantasy arena, growth opportunities have become increasingly important for CBSSports.com.
      Despite 90% FFC league retention annually for existing customers, new growth must also be
      fostered to sustain a leading industry position. To this end, CBSSports.com recognizes the
      importance of landing page design and its impact on attracting new customers and converting
      them to subscribers.

       In 2003, CBSSports.com (then CBSSportsline) collaborated with Optimost (now owned by
      Interwoven) to examine landing page optimization via Mulitvariable testing. As a result of this
      effort, modifications were made to landing pages based on feedback and data collected. Since
      that time, this type of testing has not been conducted on Fantasy product pages.

      After some open dialog between the Fantasy FFC, Research, and Usability groups, we believe
      there is an opportunity to modify and improve the current FFC landing page and grow the
      customer base. Given the effort and expense to work with an outside vendor at this time, an in-
      house (CBS Interactive) testing solution is being formulated to conduct landing page
      optimization testing. The challenge will be to understand the conversion elements for the
      current FFC landing page and create alternative designs to discover which design elements are
      the keys to customer conversion: What page elements (e.g., copy text, graphics, buttons, etc.),
      and their placement on a landing page promote this process?


                                                Page 4
FFC Landing Page Optimization Project




      It should also be noted that this in-house testing solution is in its infancy and will therefore be
      an effort of trial and error, discovery, and ultimately success!


3.   Project Goals and Objectives
      The goal of this project will be to formulate and implement a testing strategy to discover design
      elements that attract new customers and promote conversion - signup for the FFC product.
      Ultimately we want to provide an optimized landing page.

      It will also serve as a proving ground for an in-house landing page optimization process which
      currently is not in practice within CBS Interactive.


3.1 FFC Objectives
      The goals specific to the FFC product are as follows.

          a. Determine the landing page variables to manipulate and then create alternative FFC
             landing pages (colors, graphics, copy, element placement, etc.).
          b. Determine metrics to capture on each landing page (e.g., time spent on a landing page
             and the number of new league creations for each landing page alternative).
          c. Determine how to aggregate and report metrics.
          d. Test, analyze, and determine which landing page designs (and the specific elements on
             the page) promote increased conversion rates.
          e. Quantify landing page optimization results (e.g., [n%] conversion rate)


3.2 IT/Infrastructure Objectives
      The goals specific to IT/Infrastructure are as follows.

          a. Implement A/B Split Testing infrastructure and methodology
          b. Determine how to measure each metric




                                                 Page 5
FFC Landing Page Optimization Project




4.   Methodology
      The basic methodology for the FFC Landing Page Optimization project is to identify design
      elements that we believe can be modified to promote increased conversion (new league
      creation). These design elements are then incorporated into alternative landing pages. The
      current landing page (baseline) and the alternative landing pages are then shown to web site
      visitors (live) such that each landing page is exposed fairly and uniformly for a specified
      duration. The conversion rates for each landing page are calculated and examined to determine
      the winner – that is…the landing page design that promotes the best conversion rate (FFC
      league creations).




                             Figure 4-1: Generic Conversion Illustration


4.1 Basic A/B Split Test
      The simplest A/B Split test involves creating two designs (A and B) of a landing page. Version A
      is the control – usually the existing landing page. Version B incorporates a single change so that
      the effect of that change can be tracked and translated into a conversion rate. Landing page
      traffic is diverted (split) to each version equally over the same time period for a specified testing
      duration. At the end of the test duration, the conversion rates for A and B are compared to one
      another and evaluated to determine which version performed best.


4.2 Modified A/B Split Test for FFC
      The specific method planned for the FFC Landing Page Optimization project will be a modified
      A/B Split Test. This method incorporates more than one design alternative (A/B/C/D), “A” being
      the control and compares conversion rates between the landing pages.




                                                 Page 6
FFC Landing Page Optimization Project




        As currently conceived, a few design changes will be introduced on the landing pages and their
        impact on conversion will be examined. Customer exposure to designs that are deemed risky
        can be diverted to a small percentage of site visitors, monitored, and removed if performing
        poorly in order to limit negative brand impact.

                 Note: Some of the literature on A/B testing offers conflicting advice. Some experts
                 vigorously suggest that only one small design change be introduced and compared
                 to a baseline page while others recommend radical and multiple design departures
                 from the baseline page. The trade off is the precision to which you can infer the
                 benefits of a specific design change – with one change you can definitively measure
                 its impact on conversion whereas with multiple radical changes you are less certain
                 of which design element(s) accounts for the conversion impact. On the other hand,
                 radical changes could expose a design alternative that converts quite well but would
                 otherwise not be tested in a conservative testing scheme.

4.2.1   Testing Benefits
           a. Measures actual behavior
            b. Measures small performance differences with a high confidence interval given large
               sample sizes
            c. Prescriptive tool to resolve competing design choices

4.2.2   Testing Limitations
           a. Reasons for why one design performed better than another may not be discernable
            b. When users decided not to convert (signup) we don’t know why – this knowledge can
               be just as meaningful for design improvements


4.3 FFC Landing Page Alternatives
        Further discussion is warranted to brainstorm on all of the design elements that could be
        manipulated on the FFC landing page. The following is a preliminary list of potential design
        elements that could be manipulated:

            a.    Headline color and copy
            b.    Call to action buttons , links, and graphics
            c.    Graphics
            d.    Color (images, background, etc.)
            e.    Configuration/Placement of page elements (e.g., login field, button, promotion, etc.)
            f.    Header vs No Header
            g.    Variations in product description, page copy, etc.




                                                     Page 7
FFC Landing Page Optimization Project




4.4 FFC Landing Page Exposure
     In theory, there is no set rule for setting the traffic ratio diverted to landing pages in order to
     test conversion. For our purposes, 10% of the traffic will be sent to the Baseline group which
     will see the current FFC landing page design. The remaining 90% of the traffic is then equally
     and randomly diverted to a Test group consisting of three alternative landing pages and the
     current FFC landing page. Each page in the Test group receives approximately 22.5% of the
     traffic from this slice. The current landing page is repeated in both groups to confirm the
     baseline conversion rate. The following illustration outlines the proposed landing page traffic
     diversion for landing page designs.

                                                          Divert 10% of                Current FCC    10%
      Baseline Group                                         traffic to              Landing Page A


      Test Group                                                                       Current FCC    ≈22.5
                                                                                     Landing Page A
                                                                                                      %

                                                                                       Alternative    ≈22.5
                                                                                     Landing Page B
                                                           Divert 90% of                              %
                                                         traffic equally and
                                                            randomly to
                                                                                       Alternative
                                                                                                      ≈22.5
                                                                                     Landing Page C
                                                                                                      %

                                                                                      Alternative     ≈22.5
                                                                                    Landing Page D
                                                                                                      %

                           Figure 4-2: Traffic Ratio for FFC Landing Pages

     A conservative approach would be to divert traffic in a 90/10 ratio (90% Baseline/10% Test).
     Depending on how radical or risky the landing page changes are, you can control exposure to
     limit negative brand impact. Given that the project team is confident that the design
     alternatives will not have a negative brand impact, the traffic ratio has been set to 10/90. This
     ratio will expose each design to a high traffic volume and help to ensure a proper statistical
     sample size. Higher sample sizes will promote confidence in the results.

     Once a visitor is diverted to a specific landing page, that visitor should see the same landing
     page on all subsequent visits. Common practice is to use a cookie to track the computer used to
     access the page.




                                                Page 8
FFC Landing Page Optimization Project




5.   Primary Metric for Declaring a Winner
      The primary metric proposed to declare a winner will be the landing page design with highest
      conversion rate (%) for new FFC league creations.

                                             # of New League Creations - Paid
                    Conversion Rate % =                                           x 100
                                            # of Landing Page Views (A/B/C/D)


5.1 Additional Metrics for Analysis
      The following additional metrics should be collected and analyzed to gain insight into landing
      page design elements and their influence on the conversion process:

          a. Unique visitors – records conversion rate
          b. Time of day conversions – examine peak conversion time or pattern
          c. Day of week conversions – examine peak conversion time or pattern
          d. Length of time spent (seconds) on each landing page – is there something about the
             page that is confusing or not optimally written or is the page engaging?


6.   Measurement System
      Omniture will be used to collect the page view and unique visitor data. Business Objects will be
      used to collect the data for paid leagues created for each design.


7.   Sample Size and Traffic Volume
      The sample size needed for significance for this project will be determined by the statistic used
      in the analysis. Given the high volume of traffic expected during the test duration, we should
      have a large enough sample size to validate the results and determine if there are significant
      differences.

      The following website may be helpful: Sample Size Calculator

      For thought, here is a quote from Bryan Eisenberg of FutureNow:
               “… you need to decide your sample size and set up the criteria for success.
               To decide your ultimate sample size, run a "null" test with your A/B test.
               The null test is really just an A/A test, where you are running the control
               against itself to determine where the convergence of results matches up
               (typically within 0.05 percent of each other, but that's up to you). When
               the tests converge, you'll have an idea of the volume of traffic you need to
               test. You decide your criteria for success based on a certain number of
               conversions or sales, or you can measure results over course of time (two

                                                Page 9
FFC Landing Page Optimization Project




               weeks). To be sure your test is showing a statistically meaningful impact
               on the variables, you have to know if you've demonstrated enough of a
               difference (delta) between the tests to declare a clear winner. As a rule of
               thumb, you should have at least a three times larger result (e.g., if A is 5, B
               should be 15).”

      Here is another website that may be helpful: Split Test Calculator and Decision Tool

      The following figures show traffic volume for the 2007 season:




                                Figure 7-1: 2007 Page Views for FFC



                                   Month      Average Daily Page Views
                                      June 2,163
                        2007
                                       July 2,679
                                    August 6,850

                                Figure 7-2: 2007 Page Views for FFC


8.   Test Duration
      As planned, the testing effort will start on or about July 15th, 2008 and end on September 12th,
      2008.


9.   Analysis and Reporting
      TBD.




                                                Page 10
FFC Landing Page Optimization Project




10. Iterative A/B Split Testing
        Given the methodology outlined here, an iterative testing strategy could yield a better
        understanding of landing page optimization than one single test. Nonetheless, for this project a
        single test is planned. If a true winner is declared at the end of testing, discussion will be given
        to tweaking that design with iterative, small changes to refine it in the future.


11. Complimentary Testing Strategies
        As a compliment to the knowledge gained in this A/B Split test, other user testing methods can
        help quantify and qualify user behavior on the FFC landing page. The following additional user
        testing methods are being considered:

            a. Eye Tracking: The Interactive lab in Las Vegas, NV has a Tobii Eye Tracker that could be
               used to collect data on what people see on each landing page and where they are
               looking on the page (and where they are not).
            b. Usability Test: Real-world users can be recruited and asked to find, navigate to, and
               interact with a landing page for the FFC product. Throughout the test the participant is
               asked to provide qualitative feedback.


12. Open Issues and Considerations
            1. Request Q/A person(s).
            2. Determine which variables will be manipulated on alternative landing pages and when
               that Creative will be available (add to document when ready).
            3. Confirm that all required data can be collected and transformed into a data file that can
               be imported into SPSS (Statistical Package for the Social Sciences).
            4. Determine the sample size and confidence intervals for this test.


13. Useful Information and References
Alt, B., Usborne, N., & McGlaughlin, F. (2005 , August 15). A/B Split Testing. Retrieved from Marketing
Experiments Journal: http://www.marketingexperiments.com/improving-website-conversion/ab-split-
testing.html

Buerba, S., & Chiu, L. (2008, March 6). Let Your Customers Decide: 5 Principles of Using A/B and
Multivariate Testing. Retrieved from omniture.com:
http://www.omniture.com/offer/164?fc=true&v_id=337856




                                                  Page 11
FFC Landing Page Optimization Project




Campbell, J. (2008, January 21). With A/B Testing - You Don't Think, You Know. Retrieved from
FindResolution: http://www.findresolution.com/2008/01/with-ab-testing-you-dont-think-you-
know.html

Eisenberg, B. (2004, May 7). A/B Testing for the Mathematically Disinclined. Retrieved from The ClickZ
Network: http://www.clickz.com/showPage.html?page=3349901

Eisenberg, B. (2005, April 29). How to Improve A/B Testing. Retrieved from The ClickZ Network:
http://www.clickz.com/showPage.html?page=3500811

Eisenberg, B. (2007, February 16). We Tried That Already. Retrieved from The ClickZ Network:
http://www.clickz.com/showPage.html?page=3624994

Fortin, M. (Unknown). Splitting Hairs Over Split-Testing? Retrieved from michelfortin.com:
http://www.michelfortin.com/splitting-hairs-over-split-testing/

Fortin, M. (Unkown). Taguchi Explained… For Dummies. Retrieved from michelfortin.com:
http://www.michelfortin.com/taguchi-explained-for-dummies/

Meyers, P. J. (2007). Measuring Usability: The Basics. Retrieved from usereffect:
http://www.usereffect.com/measuring-usability-basics.pdf

Nielsen, J. (2005, August 15). Putting A/B Testing in Its Place. Retrieved from useit.com:
http://www.useit.com/alertbox/20050815.html

Quarto-vonTivada, J. (2006). AB Testing Too Little, Too Soon? Retrieved from Future Now:
http://www.futurenowinc.com/abtesting.pdf

Unknown. (2008, April 15). Improving Conversions by Split Testing. Retrieved from Internet Marketing
University: http://www.internetmarketinguniversity.com/blog/?p=168

Wilson, R. F. (2008). How to Develop a Landing Page. Retrieved from
http://www.wilsonweb.com/ebooks/landing.htm




                                                  Page 12
FFC Landing Page Optimization Project




Appendix I: Fantasy Acquisition Landing Page




                         Fantasy Acquisition Landing Page

                                     Page 13
FFC Landing Page Optimization Project




Appendix II: FFC Landing Page - Unregistered User or Registered but Not Signed In




                                     Page 14
FFC Landing Page Optimization Project




Appendix III: FFC Landing Page – Registered User, Signed In




                                     Page 15

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CBS Sports landing page optimization methodology names removed

  • 1. FFC Landing Page Optimization Project Version: 2.0 May 29, 2008
  • 2. FFC Landing Page Optimization Project Document Information Title: FFC Landing Page Optimization project Author: Robert Sherron Co-Author: removed Status: Draft In Review Final Target Start Date: July 15, 2008 approximately Target End Date: September 16, 2008 approximately Change History Version Distribution Date Description of Changes 1.0 5/15/2008 Initial draft document. 2.0 5/30/2008 Updates made as per 5/28 conference call. Project Team Members Name Group removed Research & Audience Analytics removed Research removed Business Analytics removed Technology, CBSSports.com removed Marketing Robert Sherron User Experience/Usability removed Sales Strategy & Audience Analytics TBD Quality Assurance Page 2
  • 3. FFC Landing Page Optimization Project Table of Contents 1. Project Overview .................................................................................................................................. 4 2. Challenge/Opportunity ......................................................................................................................... 4 3. Project Goals and Objectives ................................................................................................................ 5 3.1 FFC Objectives ............................................................................................................................... 5 3.2 IT/Infrastructure Objectives .......................................................................................................... 5 4. Methodology ........................................................................................................................................ 6 4.1 Basic A/B Split Test........................................................................................................................ 6 4.2 Modified A/B Split Test for FFC ..................................................................................................... 6 4.2.1 Testing Benefits ................................................................................................................. 7 4.2.2 Testing Limitations ............................................................................................................ 7 4.3 FFC Landing Page Alternatives ...................................................................................................... 7 4.4 FFC Landing Page Exposure........................................................................................................... 8 5. Primary Metric for Declaring a Winner................................................................................................. 9 5.1 Additional Metrics for Analysis ..................................................................................................... 9 6. Measurement System ........................................................................................................................... 9 7. Sample Size and Traffic Volume............................................................................................................ 9 8. Test Duration ...................................................................................................................................... 10 9. Analysis and Reporting ....................................................................................................................... 10 10. Iterative A/B Split Testing ................................................................................................................... 11 11. Complimentary Testing Strategies...................................................................................................... 11 12. Open Issues and Considerations ......................................................................................................... 11 13. Useful Information and References .................................................................................................... 11 Appendix I: Fantasy Acquisition Landing Page ........................................................................................... 13 Appendix II: FFC Landing Page - Unregistered User or Registered but Not Signed In ............................... 14 Appendix III: FFC Landing Page – Registered User, Signed In .................................................................... 15 Page 3
  • 4. FFC Landing Page Optimization Project 1. Project Overview The Fantasy Sports industry has become increasingly competitive – the landscape includes organizations of all sizes – from large media operations (ESPN, YAHOO!, Fox Sports) and the league itself (NFL) with millions of unique users down to small operations with user counts in the thousands. The flagship of CBSSports.com is Fantasy Football Commissioner (FFC) - a league manager product that allows individuals to organize their league using robust customization capabilities and features. FFC is the most profitable of all fantasy football product offerings and is the primary focus of marketing efforts. FFC is subscription based and must be re-purchased each year. Annual league (customer) retention surpasses 90%; nonetheless, what can be done to promote new league creation (new customers)? The project here-in, will explore landing page optimization and testing strategies for FFC to better understand and promote customer conversion in 2008. 2. Challenge/Opportunity As customer acquisition becomes more difficult each year due to outside competition in the Fantasy arena, growth opportunities have become increasingly important for CBSSports.com. Despite 90% FFC league retention annually for existing customers, new growth must also be fostered to sustain a leading industry position. To this end, CBSSports.com recognizes the importance of landing page design and its impact on attracting new customers and converting them to subscribers. In 2003, CBSSports.com (then CBSSportsline) collaborated with Optimost (now owned by Interwoven) to examine landing page optimization via Mulitvariable testing. As a result of this effort, modifications were made to landing pages based on feedback and data collected. Since that time, this type of testing has not been conducted on Fantasy product pages. After some open dialog between the Fantasy FFC, Research, and Usability groups, we believe there is an opportunity to modify and improve the current FFC landing page and grow the customer base. Given the effort and expense to work with an outside vendor at this time, an in- house (CBS Interactive) testing solution is being formulated to conduct landing page optimization testing. The challenge will be to understand the conversion elements for the current FFC landing page and create alternative designs to discover which design elements are the keys to customer conversion: What page elements (e.g., copy text, graphics, buttons, etc.), and their placement on a landing page promote this process? Page 4
  • 5. FFC Landing Page Optimization Project It should also be noted that this in-house testing solution is in its infancy and will therefore be an effort of trial and error, discovery, and ultimately success! 3. Project Goals and Objectives The goal of this project will be to formulate and implement a testing strategy to discover design elements that attract new customers and promote conversion - signup for the FFC product. Ultimately we want to provide an optimized landing page. It will also serve as a proving ground for an in-house landing page optimization process which currently is not in practice within CBS Interactive. 3.1 FFC Objectives The goals specific to the FFC product are as follows. a. Determine the landing page variables to manipulate and then create alternative FFC landing pages (colors, graphics, copy, element placement, etc.). b. Determine metrics to capture on each landing page (e.g., time spent on a landing page and the number of new league creations for each landing page alternative). c. Determine how to aggregate and report metrics. d. Test, analyze, and determine which landing page designs (and the specific elements on the page) promote increased conversion rates. e. Quantify landing page optimization results (e.g., [n%] conversion rate) 3.2 IT/Infrastructure Objectives The goals specific to IT/Infrastructure are as follows. a. Implement A/B Split Testing infrastructure and methodology b. Determine how to measure each metric Page 5
  • 6. FFC Landing Page Optimization Project 4. Methodology The basic methodology for the FFC Landing Page Optimization project is to identify design elements that we believe can be modified to promote increased conversion (new league creation). These design elements are then incorporated into alternative landing pages. The current landing page (baseline) and the alternative landing pages are then shown to web site visitors (live) such that each landing page is exposed fairly and uniformly for a specified duration. The conversion rates for each landing page are calculated and examined to determine the winner – that is…the landing page design that promotes the best conversion rate (FFC league creations). Figure 4-1: Generic Conversion Illustration 4.1 Basic A/B Split Test The simplest A/B Split test involves creating two designs (A and B) of a landing page. Version A is the control – usually the existing landing page. Version B incorporates a single change so that the effect of that change can be tracked and translated into a conversion rate. Landing page traffic is diverted (split) to each version equally over the same time period for a specified testing duration. At the end of the test duration, the conversion rates for A and B are compared to one another and evaluated to determine which version performed best. 4.2 Modified A/B Split Test for FFC The specific method planned for the FFC Landing Page Optimization project will be a modified A/B Split Test. This method incorporates more than one design alternative (A/B/C/D), “A” being the control and compares conversion rates between the landing pages. Page 6
  • 7. FFC Landing Page Optimization Project As currently conceived, a few design changes will be introduced on the landing pages and their impact on conversion will be examined. Customer exposure to designs that are deemed risky can be diverted to a small percentage of site visitors, monitored, and removed if performing poorly in order to limit negative brand impact. Note: Some of the literature on A/B testing offers conflicting advice. Some experts vigorously suggest that only one small design change be introduced and compared to a baseline page while others recommend radical and multiple design departures from the baseline page. The trade off is the precision to which you can infer the benefits of a specific design change – with one change you can definitively measure its impact on conversion whereas with multiple radical changes you are less certain of which design element(s) accounts for the conversion impact. On the other hand, radical changes could expose a design alternative that converts quite well but would otherwise not be tested in a conservative testing scheme. 4.2.1 Testing Benefits a. Measures actual behavior b. Measures small performance differences with a high confidence interval given large sample sizes c. Prescriptive tool to resolve competing design choices 4.2.2 Testing Limitations a. Reasons for why one design performed better than another may not be discernable b. When users decided not to convert (signup) we don’t know why – this knowledge can be just as meaningful for design improvements 4.3 FFC Landing Page Alternatives Further discussion is warranted to brainstorm on all of the design elements that could be manipulated on the FFC landing page. The following is a preliminary list of potential design elements that could be manipulated: a. Headline color and copy b. Call to action buttons , links, and graphics c. Graphics d. Color (images, background, etc.) e. Configuration/Placement of page elements (e.g., login field, button, promotion, etc.) f. Header vs No Header g. Variations in product description, page copy, etc. Page 7
  • 8. FFC Landing Page Optimization Project 4.4 FFC Landing Page Exposure In theory, there is no set rule for setting the traffic ratio diverted to landing pages in order to test conversion. For our purposes, 10% of the traffic will be sent to the Baseline group which will see the current FFC landing page design. The remaining 90% of the traffic is then equally and randomly diverted to a Test group consisting of three alternative landing pages and the current FFC landing page. Each page in the Test group receives approximately 22.5% of the traffic from this slice. The current landing page is repeated in both groups to confirm the baseline conversion rate. The following illustration outlines the proposed landing page traffic diversion for landing page designs. Divert 10% of Current FCC 10% Baseline Group traffic to Landing Page A Test Group Current FCC ≈22.5 Landing Page A % Alternative ≈22.5 Landing Page B Divert 90% of % traffic equally and randomly to Alternative ≈22.5 Landing Page C % Alternative ≈22.5 Landing Page D % Figure 4-2: Traffic Ratio for FFC Landing Pages A conservative approach would be to divert traffic in a 90/10 ratio (90% Baseline/10% Test). Depending on how radical or risky the landing page changes are, you can control exposure to limit negative brand impact. Given that the project team is confident that the design alternatives will not have a negative brand impact, the traffic ratio has been set to 10/90. This ratio will expose each design to a high traffic volume and help to ensure a proper statistical sample size. Higher sample sizes will promote confidence in the results. Once a visitor is diverted to a specific landing page, that visitor should see the same landing page on all subsequent visits. Common practice is to use a cookie to track the computer used to access the page. Page 8
  • 9. FFC Landing Page Optimization Project 5. Primary Metric for Declaring a Winner The primary metric proposed to declare a winner will be the landing page design with highest conversion rate (%) for new FFC league creations. # of New League Creations - Paid Conversion Rate % = x 100 # of Landing Page Views (A/B/C/D) 5.1 Additional Metrics for Analysis The following additional metrics should be collected and analyzed to gain insight into landing page design elements and their influence on the conversion process: a. Unique visitors – records conversion rate b. Time of day conversions – examine peak conversion time or pattern c. Day of week conversions – examine peak conversion time or pattern d. Length of time spent (seconds) on each landing page – is there something about the page that is confusing or not optimally written or is the page engaging? 6. Measurement System Omniture will be used to collect the page view and unique visitor data. Business Objects will be used to collect the data for paid leagues created for each design. 7. Sample Size and Traffic Volume The sample size needed for significance for this project will be determined by the statistic used in the analysis. Given the high volume of traffic expected during the test duration, we should have a large enough sample size to validate the results and determine if there are significant differences. The following website may be helpful: Sample Size Calculator For thought, here is a quote from Bryan Eisenberg of FutureNow: “… you need to decide your sample size and set up the criteria for success. To decide your ultimate sample size, run a "null" test with your A/B test. The null test is really just an A/A test, where you are running the control against itself to determine where the convergence of results matches up (typically within 0.05 percent of each other, but that's up to you). When the tests converge, you'll have an idea of the volume of traffic you need to test. You decide your criteria for success based on a certain number of conversions or sales, or you can measure results over course of time (two Page 9
  • 10. FFC Landing Page Optimization Project weeks). To be sure your test is showing a statistically meaningful impact on the variables, you have to know if you've demonstrated enough of a difference (delta) between the tests to declare a clear winner. As a rule of thumb, you should have at least a three times larger result (e.g., if A is 5, B should be 15).” Here is another website that may be helpful: Split Test Calculator and Decision Tool The following figures show traffic volume for the 2007 season: Figure 7-1: 2007 Page Views for FFC Month Average Daily Page Views June 2,163 2007 July 2,679 August 6,850 Figure 7-2: 2007 Page Views for FFC 8. Test Duration As planned, the testing effort will start on or about July 15th, 2008 and end on September 12th, 2008. 9. Analysis and Reporting TBD. Page 10
  • 11. FFC Landing Page Optimization Project 10. Iterative A/B Split Testing Given the methodology outlined here, an iterative testing strategy could yield a better understanding of landing page optimization than one single test. Nonetheless, for this project a single test is planned. If a true winner is declared at the end of testing, discussion will be given to tweaking that design with iterative, small changes to refine it in the future. 11. Complimentary Testing Strategies As a compliment to the knowledge gained in this A/B Split test, other user testing methods can help quantify and qualify user behavior on the FFC landing page. The following additional user testing methods are being considered: a. Eye Tracking: The Interactive lab in Las Vegas, NV has a Tobii Eye Tracker that could be used to collect data on what people see on each landing page and where they are looking on the page (and where they are not). b. Usability Test: Real-world users can be recruited and asked to find, navigate to, and interact with a landing page for the FFC product. Throughout the test the participant is asked to provide qualitative feedback. 12. Open Issues and Considerations 1. Request Q/A person(s). 2. Determine which variables will be manipulated on alternative landing pages and when that Creative will be available (add to document when ready). 3. Confirm that all required data can be collected and transformed into a data file that can be imported into SPSS (Statistical Package for the Social Sciences). 4. Determine the sample size and confidence intervals for this test. 13. Useful Information and References Alt, B., Usborne, N., & McGlaughlin, F. (2005 , August 15). A/B Split Testing. Retrieved from Marketing Experiments Journal: http://www.marketingexperiments.com/improving-website-conversion/ab-split- testing.html Buerba, S., & Chiu, L. (2008, March 6). Let Your Customers Decide: 5 Principles of Using A/B and Multivariate Testing. Retrieved from omniture.com: http://www.omniture.com/offer/164?fc=true&v_id=337856 Page 11
  • 12. FFC Landing Page Optimization Project Campbell, J. (2008, January 21). With A/B Testing - You Don't Think, You Know. Retrieved from FindResolution: http://www.findresolution.com/2008/01/with-ab-testing-you-dont-think-you- know.html Eisenberg, B. (2004, May 7). A/B Testing for the Mathematically Disinclined. Retrieved from The ClickZ Network: http://www.clickz.com/showPage.html?page=3349901 Eisenberg, B. (2005, April 29). How to Improve A/B Testing. Retrieved from The ClickZ Network: http://www.clickz.com/showPage.html?page=3500811 Eisenberg, B. (2007, February 16). We Tried That Already. Retrieved from The ClickZ Network: http://www.clickz.com/showPage.html?page=3624994 Fortin, M. (Unknown). Splitting Hairs Over Split-Testing? Retrieved from michelfortin.com: http://www.michelfortin.com/splitting-hairs-over-split-testing/ Fortin, M. (Unkown). Taguchi Explained… For Dummies. Retrieved from michelfortin.com: http://www.michelfortin.com/taguchi-explained-for-dummies/ Meyers, P. J. (2007). Measuring Usability: The Basics. Retrieved from usereffect: http://www.usereffect.com/measuring-usability-basics.pdf Nielsen, J. (2005, August 15). Putting A/B Testing in Its Place. Retrieved from useit.com: http://www.useit.com/alertbox/20050815.html Quarto-vonTivada, J. (2006). AB Testing Too Little, Too Soon? Retrieved from Future Now: http://www.futurenowinc.com/abtesting.pdf Unknown. (2008, April 15). Improving Conversions by Split Testing. Retrieved from Internet Marketing University: http://www.internetmarketinguniversity.com/blog/?p=168 Wilson, R. F. (2008). How to Develop a Landing Page. Retrieved from http://www.wilsonweb.com/ebooks/landing.htm Page 12
  • 13. FFC Landing Page Optimization Project Appendix I: Fantasy Acquisition Landing Page Fantasy Acquisition Landing Page Page 13
  • 14. FFC Landing Page Optimization Project Appendix II: FFC Landing Page - Unregistered User or Registered but Not Signed In Page 14
  • 15. FFC Landing Page Optimization Project Appendix III: FFC Landing Page – Registered User, Signed In Page 15