Moldova public opinion poll

1. International Republican Institute
Public Opinion Survey
Residents of Moldova
June 7–27, 2014

2. Detailed Methodology
2
• The survey was conducted by the public opinion and market research company Baltic Surveys/The Gallup
Organization on behalf of the International Republican Institute. The field work was carried out by Magenta
Consulting.
• Data was collected throughout Moldova June 7–27, 2014, through face-to-face interviews at respondents’
home.
• The sample consisted of 1,200 permanent residents of Moldova older than the age of 18 and eligible to vote. It
is representative of the general population by age, gender, education, region and size of the settlement.
• All regions of Moldova were surveyed (excluding Transnistria). Multistage probability sampling method was used
with the random route and next birthday respondent’s selection procedures:
• Stage one: districts were grouped into 11 groups.
• Stage two: selection of the settlements – cities and villages. Settlements were selected at random. The
number of selected settlements in each region was proportional to the share of population living in a
particular type of the settlement in each region.
• Stage three: primary sampling units were described.
• The margin of error does not exceed plus or minus 2.8 percent.
• Response rate was 54 percent.
• Charts and graphs may not add up to 100 percent due to rounding.
• The survey was funded by the National Endowment for Democracy.

3. International Republican Institute
Growing Support for Democracy

4. How satisfied are you with the way democracy is developing in Moldova?
4
2%
2%
1%
5%
2%
2%
1%
3%
4%
2%
5%
3%
5%
3%
1%
4%
24%
26%
25%
21%
17%
21%
16%
27%
22%
27%
23%
29%
25%
23%
18%
41%
44%
44%
43%
41%
41%
42%
41%
37%
37%
40%
41%
36%
39%
36%
43%
30%
17%
14%
14%
18%
24%
20%
25%
20%
27%
21%
24%
21%
22%
29%
27%
16%
13%
14%
17%
15%
16%
15%
17%
14%
10%
10%
8%
10%
9%
9%
11%
9%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Mar-04
Nov-04
Apr-06
Mar-07
Apr-08
Nov-08
Jun-09
Nov-09
Feb-10
May-10
Sep-10
Feb-11
Aug-11
Dec-11
Jan-12
Jun-14
Very satisfied Somewhat satisfied Somewhat dissatisfied Very dissatisfied Don't know/No answer

5. Generally speaking, do you think that things in Moldova are
going in the right direction or wrong direction?
5
34%
30%
33% 32%
27%
31%
19%
40%
37%
42% 33%
41%
38%
22%
21%
38%
58%
61%
57%
54%
58%
55%
66%
42%
51%
47%
54%
45%
53%
73% 74%
51%
8% 9% 10%
14% 15% 14%
15%
17%
12%
11%
13% 14%
9%
5% 5%
14%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
Mar-04 Nov-04 Apr-06 Mar-07 Apr-08 Nov-08 Jun-09 Nov-09 Feb-10 May-10 Sep-10 Feb-11 Aug-11 Dec-11 Jan-12 Jun-14
Right direction Wrong direction Don't know/No answer

6. Are you going to vote in the upcoming parliamentary elections?
6
61%
58%
59%
55%
53%
47%
47%
66%
50%
77%
23%
31%
28%
30%
32%
34%
33%
21%
31%
15%
4%
4%
2%
3%
3%
5%
6%
4%
6%
3%
3%
2%
3%
3%
2%
2%
4%
3%
3%
4%
9%
5%
9%
9%
10%
12%
10%
6%
10%
1%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Apr-08
Nov-08
Nov-09
Feb-10
May-10
Sep-10
Aug-11
Dec-11
Jan-12
Jun-14
Definitely yes Probably yes Probably no Definitely no Don't know/No answer

7. International Republican Institute
Moldovans Blame Russia,
Yanukovych for Ukraine Crisis

8. Who do you believe is responsible for the current crisis in Ukraine?
8
26% 9% 28% 8% 10% 2% 16%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Previous Ukrainian government New Ukrainian government
Russia European Union
Certain groups of Ukrainian people Other
Don't know/No answer

9. How do you evaluate the following recent events in Ukraine?
9
39%
38%
29%
28%
22%
26%
17%
12%
24%
17%
14%
20%
46%
16%
29%
21%
25%
13%
32%
32%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Election of
P.Poroshenko as the
President of Ukraine
Removal of President
V.Yanukovych
Crimea joining Russia
Appointment of
A.Yatseniuk as Prime
Minister of Ukraine
Referendum on self-rule
held in Eastern Ukraine
on May 11, 2014
Positively Indifferently Negatively Don't know/No answer

10. What do you think the future of Transnistria should be?
10
80%
61%
65%
68%
69%
68%
72%
65%
60%
61%
66%
66%
67%
12%
21%
21%
19%
18%
17%
12%
16%
18%
20%
17%
16%
16%
1%
3%
2%
1%
2%
4%
2%
3%
5%
6%
6%
7%
7%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
2%
4%
4%
4%
5%
5%
8%
7%
8%
8%
5%
7%
6%
4%
11%
7%
7%
6%
5%
6%
8%
9%
4%
4%
4%
3%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Apr-06
Mar-07
Apr-08
Nov-08
Nov-09
Feb-10
May-10
Sep-10
Feb-11
Aug-11
Dec-11
Jan-12
Jun-14
Ordinary region of Moldova, without any autonomy Autonomy within the Republic of Moldova
A part of the Russian Federation A part of Ukraine
Independent Don't know/No answer

11. International Republican Institute
Moldovans are Concerned
about the Economy & Corruption

12. What are the most important problems that Moldova is facing at
the moment?
12
(Spontaneous, up to three mentions, problems mentioned by at least two percent)
43%
37%
25%
9%
9%
8%
8%
7%
7%
4%
3%
3%
3%
3%
3%
2%
2%
5%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
Unemployment
Low income
Corruption
Bad government
Emigration
High prices/Inflation
Roads
Poverty
Economic situation
Political crisis
Healthcare system
European integration
Instability/Chaos in the country
Crime
Education problems
Agriculture
Social assistance
Don't know/No answer

13. What are the most important problems
facing you and your household?
13
(Spontaneous, up to three mentions, problems mentioned by at least two percent)
48%
12%
8%
4%
4%
3%
3%
3%
3%
2%
26%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
Financial problems/Low income
Unemployment
Health problems
High prices/Inflation
Poor housing utilities
Emigration
Expensive housing/Utilities
Water supply
Poverty
Bad social assistance
Don't know/No answer

14. What are the most important problems your town/village is
facing at the moment?
14
(Spontaneous, up to three mentions, problems mentioned by at least two percent)
40%
22%
10%
9%
6%
5%
5%
5%
5%
5%
4%
4%
4%
4%
3%
3%
3%
2%
16%
Roads
Unemployment
Water supply
Sanitation
Low income
Corruption
Inefficient work of civil servants
Transportation
Ecology
Cleanliness
Insufficient street lighting
High prices/Inflation
Emigration
Education
Expensive housing/Utilities
Gas supply
Lack of leisure activities
School closing
Don't know/No answer

15. Is corruption a big problem in Moldova today?
15
72%
66%
64%
60%
62%
61%
58%
53%
57%
59%
61%
80%
73%
81%
24%
25%
26%
25%
27%
31%
33%
37%
31%
33%
29%
15%
21%
14%
2%
3%
2%
5%
4%
3%
4%
4%
4%
3%
3%
2%
2%
1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
1%
0%
2%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
0%
1%
2%
5%
8%
10%
6%
5%
3%
5%
7%
4%
6%
2%
3%
3%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Nov-04
Mar-06
Mar-07
Apr-08
Nov-08
Nov-09
Feb-10
May-10
Sep-10
Feb-11
Aug-11
Dec-11
Jan-12
Jun-14
It is a very big issue It is a big issue It is not a big issue
It is not an issue at all Don't know/No answer

16. Over the last 12 months, how has the economic
situation in Moldova changed?
16
3%
5%
3%
4%
2%
2%
1%
2%
2%
2%
5%
3%
5%
2%
2%
4%
23%
26%
24%
24%
13%
20%
9%
8%
11%
14%
18%
25%
23%
15%
13%
20%
37%
37%
36%
32%
30%
30%
22%
34%
24%
30%
28%
27%
34%
20%
31%
33%
25%
22%
27%
27%
29%
28%
42%
39%
38%
30%
26%
22%
17%
31%
28%
23%
9%
6%
5%
10%
20%
15%
20%
10%
21%
19%
17%
18%
18%
29%
22%
14%
3%
4%
5%
4%
6%
5%
5%
7%
4%
5%
6%
5%
3%
3%
4%
6%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Mar-04
Nov-04
Apr-06
Mar-07
Apr-08
Nov-08
Jun-09
Nov-09
Feb-10
May-10
Sep-10
Feb-11
Aug-11
Dec-11
Jan-12
Jun-14
Improved a lot Improved somewhat Stayed the same
Worsened somewhat Worsened a lot Don't know/No answer

17. In your opinion, how will the economic situation
of Moldova change in 2014?
17
6% 24% 29% 17% 7% 17%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Jun-14
Improve a lot Improve somewhat Stay the same
Worsen somewhat Worsen a lot Don't know/No answer

18. Which of these statements is closest to your own point of view?
18
57% 24% 8% 11%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Jun-14
Our society needs serious reforms (structural and systemic change)
Our society needs gradual reforms which preserve the existing system
Our society has to be protected from the forces who want to change the current order
Don't know/No answer

19. International Republican Institute
Moldovans on Government
Performance

20. 20
Moldovan Parliamentary Parties
Ruling Pro-European Coalition (holds 53 of 101 seats)
• Liberal Democratic Party – 31 seats
• Democratic Party – 15 seats
• Liberal Reformist Party – 7 seats
Independent Parties
• Liberal Party – 5 seats, split from the rulling coalition in February 2013, supports European
Union accession
Current Parliamentary Opposition (holds 43 of 101 seats)
• Communist Party – 34 seats
• Party of Socialists – 4 seats
• Smaller Parties/Independents – 5 seats

21. What is your opinion about the job the Pro-European Coalition is doing?
21
8% 38% 30% 15% 8%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Very good job Rather good job Rather bad job Very bad job Don't know/No answer

22. Do you approve or disapprove of the way
the government is doing its job?
22
4% 38% 31% 21% 6%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Strongly approve Somewhat approve Somewhat disapprove Strongly disapprove Don't know/No answer

23. Overall, how much do you feel you can trust the government to do
what’s right – a great deal, somewhat, not so much or not at all?
23
4%
34% 33% 22% 7%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
A great deal Somewhat Not so much Not at all Don't know/No answer

24. Which politicians or public persons do you trust the most?
(Spontaneous)
24
22%
21%
17%
14%
9%
7%
7%
6%
3%
2%
2%
1%
1%
1%
13%
25%
5%
Iurie Leanca
Vladimir Voronin
Vlad Filat
Marian Lupu
Dorin Chirtoaca
Mihai Ghimpu
Igor Dodon
Renat Usatii
Igor Corman
Irina Vlah
Sergiu Mocanu
Mark Tkaciuk
Michail Formuzal
Vladimir Plahotniuc
Other
None
Don't know/No answer

25. International Republican Institute
2014 Parliamentary Elections

26. How much interest do you have in politics?
26
41%
48%
46%
49%
45%
46%
35%
39%
36%
41%
41%
36%
40%
29%
38%
39%
31%
28%
26%
29%
29%
31%
30%
30%
31%
29%
26%
29%
30%
33%
32%
29%
27%
23%
25%
21%
25%
22%
34%
30%
32%
28%
32%
34%
29%
37%
28%
31%
2%
1%
3%
2%
2%
1%
1%
1%
1%
2%
1%
1%
1%
1%
2%
1%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Mar-04
Nov-04
Mar-06
Mar-07
Apr-08
Nov-08
Jun-09
Nov-09
Feb-10
May-10
Sep-10
Feb-11
Aug-11
Dec-11
Jan-12
Jun-14
Not interested Medium interest Interested Don't know/No answer

27. In your opinion, does your financial situation depend on the results of
elections in general?
27
55% 29% 8% 2% 6%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Yes, it depends No, it does not depend
I don't believe in the election results I don't care about elections
Don't know/No answer

28. Thinking about the last parliamentary elections in Moldova in November
2010, do you believe those were free and fair elections?
28
49% 32% 19%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Yes, free and fair No, not free and fair Don't know/No answer

29. Which of the parties would you vote for if the parliamentary elections were held next Sunday?
And which other party might you vote for in the parliamentary elections if, for some reason, the
party you have previously mentioned as your first voting choice does not participate in the elections?
29
24%
17%
9%
7%
3%
2%
2%
4%
2%
4%
25%
3%
8%
8%
6%
5%
1%
1%
5%
9%
9%
45%
Communist Party
Liberal Democrat Party
Democrat Party
Liberal Party
Party of Socialists
Popular Republican Party (Our Party)
People's Anti-Mafia Movement
Other
None
Will not vote
Don't know/No answer
First choice Second choice

30. Which of the parties would you vote for if the parliamentary
elections were held next Sunday?
30
25%
18%
10%
8%
3%
3%
2%
4%
2%
25%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Communist Party
Liberal Democrat Party
Democrat Party
Liberal Party
Party of Socialists
Popular Republican Party (Our Party)
People's Anti-Mafia Movement
Other
None
Don't know/No answer
Likely voters, n=1,101

31. Which political parties would you never vote for?
31
34%
21%
19%
15%
12%
7%
7%
6%
6%
6%
5%
5%
5%
4%
4%
4%
4%
1%
2%
3%
26%
Communist Party
Liberal Party
Liberal Democrat Party
Party of Socialists
Democrat Party
Social Democrat Party
Party of Regions from Moldova
Renaissance Party
Socialist People's Party
Moldova Patriot's Party
People's Anti-Mafia Movement
People's Force Party
National Liberal Party
Liberal Reformist Party
Green Ecologist Party
People's Party
Democratic Action Party
Other
None
Will not vote
Don't know/No answer

32. International Republican Institute
International Relations

33. How would you assess the current relations between Moldova and the
following?
33
78%
74%
50%
66%
68%
6%
9%
36%
12%
7%
7%
8%
9%
11%
9%
8%
9%
5%
11%
16%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
European Union
Romania
Russia
Ukraine
United States
Good Bad Neither good nor bad Don't know/No answer

34. Which of these countries do you consider to be the most important economic
partners for Moldova?
Which of these countries do you consider to be the greatest economic threat
to Moldova?
34
60%
51%
32% 31%
24%
2%
10%
28%
15%
8% 9%
14%
16%
29%
Russia European
Union
Ukraine Romania United States None Don't
know/No
answer
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
Partner Threat

35. Which of these countries do you consider to be the most important political
partners for Moldova?
Which of these countries do you consider to be the greatest political threat to
Moldova?
35
47%
42%
29%
23%
20%
3%
19%
14%
29%
11%
15%
9%
13%
33%
European
Union
Russia Romania United States Ukraine None Don't
know/No
answer
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
Partner Threat

36. International Republican Institute
Demographics

37. Demographics
48%
52%
23%
32%
46%
16%
20%
39%
25%
9%
76%
5%
4%
5%
1%
90%
5%
2%
3%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Male
Female
18-29 years
30-49 years
50 years and older
Unfinished secondary
Secondary
Vocational
Higher/Incomplete higher
Romanian
Moldovan
Ukrainian
Russian
Gagauz
Other
Russian Orthodox
Romanian Ortodox
Other
None
GENDERAGEEDUCATIONETHNICITYRELIGION
37

38. Demographics
38
2%
12%
1%
3%
4%
7%
5%
1%
5%
28%
7%
14%
5%
3%
29%
59%
9%
3%
0% 50% 100%
Manager/Director/Patron
Specialist
Technician
White collar
Services/Trade
Blue collar
Unqualified worker
Farmer
Student
Retired/Not working
Housewife
Unemployed/Looking for job
Unemployed/Not looking for job
Other
Bad
Average
Good
No answer
OCCUPATION
SITUATIONOF
FAMILY

39. Demographics
39
35%
40%
14%
32%
33%
10%
1%
3%
22%
22%
56%
0% 50% 100%
My salary or the income of enterprise or farmer activity
The salary or incomes of some of the members of family
Sale of products of the part-time farm
Use of products of the part-time farm
Social benefits
The help of relatives/Friends in the form of money or food
and goods
Something else
Don't know/No answer
Chisinau
Mid-sized/Small town
Rural area
BASICSOURCESOFLIVELIHOODSETTLEMENTTYPE

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