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How to pass statistics review
   in Acta Orthopaedica
      Jonas Ranstam PhD
Statistics is about calculating p-values
Statistics is about calculating p-values


Statistics is about rational interpretation
   of incomplete and imperfect data
The responsibilities of a statistical reviewer

“To make sure that the authors spell out for the
reader the limitations imposed upon the
conclusions by the design of the study, the
collection of data, and the analyses performed.”




Shor S. The responsibilities of a statistical reviewer. Chest 1972;61:486-487.
The responsibilities of a statistical reviewer

“To make sure that the authors spell out for the
reader the limitations imposed upon the
conclusions by the design of the study, the
collection of data, and the analyses performed.”

And to help authors improve their manuscripts
by suggesting possible solutions to their
problems.



Shor S. The responsibilities of a statistical reviewer. Chest 1972;61:486-487.
Hint for a successful review
Hint for a successful review

 Comply with the Uniform Requirements for
Manuscripts Submitted to Biomedical Journals
Statistical Methods

“Describe statistical methods with enough detail to
enable a knowledgeable reader with access to the
original data to verify the reported results.”
Statistical Methods

“Describe statistical methods with enough detail to
enable a knowledgeable reader with access to the
original data to verify the reported results.”

Required for analytical methods (hypothesis tests and
confidence intervals), do not describe how data are
presented when this is self-evident.
Results

“When possible, quantify findings and present them
with appropriate indicators of measurement error or
uncertainty (such as confidence intervals).”
Results

“When possible, quantify findings and present them
with appropriate indicators of measurement error or
uncertainty (such as confidence intervals).”

Uncertainty indicators (p-values and confidence inter-
vals) are necessary for generalization of results beyond
examined patients, not for case reports or “qualitative”
studies.
Results

“Avoid relying solely on statistical hypothesis testing,
such as the use of P values, which fails to convey
important information about effect size.”
Results

“Avoid relying solely on statistical hypothesis testing,
such as the use of P values, which fails to convey
important information about effect size.”

Clinical and statistical significance are two completely
different things. Present clinically interpretable effect
estimates and their precision (confidence intervals or
p-values).
P-values vs. confidence intervals
             P-value               Conclusion from confidence intervals




                                                   Statistically and clinically significant effect
                    p < 0.05


                    p < 0.05            Statistically, but not necessarily clinically, significant effect



                    n.s.
                                          Inconclusive


             n.s.                    Neither statistically nor clinically significant effect


  p < 0.05                            Statistically significant reversed effect



Effect                         0

                                    Clinically significant effect
Results

“Where scientifically appropriate, analyses of the
data by variables such as age and sex should be
included.”
Results

“Where scientifically appropriate, analyses of the
data by variables such as age and sex should be
included.”

Observational studies usually require adjustment for
known and suspected confounding factors.
Results

“Where scientifically appropriate, analyses of the
data by variables such as age and sex should be
included.”

Observational studies usually require adjustment for
known and suspected confounding factors.

Automatic stepwise regression is not an adequate
method for selecting adjustment factors.
Clinical trials

“The ICMJE member journals will require, as a
condition of consideration for publication in their
journals, registration in a public trials registry.”

“The ICMJE recommends that journals publish the trial
registration number at the end of the Abstract.”
Clinical trials

“The ICMJE member journals will require, as a
condition of consideration for publication in their
journals, registration in a public trials registry.”

“The ICMJE recommends that journals publish the trial
registration number at the end of the Abstract.”

Many trials are registered with Clinicaltrials.gov,
see www.clinicaltrials.gov.

Note: the registers of national medical products
      agencies and the Eudract are not public.
Clinical trials

“When reporting experiments on human subjects,
authors should indicate whether the procedures
followed were in accordance with the ethical
standards of the responsible committee on human
experimentation (institutional and national) and with
the Helsinki Declaration of 1975, as revised in 2000
(5).”
Clinical trials

“When reporting experiments on human subjects,
authors should indicate whether the procedures
followed were in accordance with the ethical
standards of the responsible committee on human
experimentation (institutional and national) and with
the Helsinki Declaration of 1975, as revised in 2000
(5).”

Example: The trial was approved by the ethics
committee of ... and performed in compliance with the
Helsinki Declaration of 1975, as revised in 2000.
Clinical trials

“For reports of randomized controlled trials authors
should refer to the CONSORT statement.”
Clinical trials

“For reports of randomized controlled trials authors
should refer to the CONSORT statement.”

The CONSORT Statement is an evidence-based,
minimum set of recommendations for reporting RCTs.

http://www.consort-statement.org

Include the CONSORT checklist and flowchart when
submitting a manuscript.

Include to Acta, and many other journals, also a copy
of the study protocol.
Clinical trials

International regulatory guidelines

Topic E9 - Statistical Principles for Clinical Trials

EMEA Points to consider
    - baseline covariates
    - missing data
    - multiplicity issues
    - etc.

These guidelines can all be found on the internet.
General statistical suggestions

Many methods require independent observations

A patients multiple observations are dependent and
should not be analysed using methods requiring
independence, e.g. chi-squared test, Student's t-test,
Mann-Whitney U-test, ANOVA.

Unless the statistical methods can deal with dependent
data, analyse patients, not knees, hips, shoulders, etc.
General statistical suggestions

Avoid vague and ambiguous expressions

- significant              clinically or statistically?

- no difference            statistically insignificant?

- statistical difference   statistically significant?

- matched                  selected or just comparable?

- correlation              relation, regression?

- etc.
Thank you for your attention!

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Amsterdam 2008

  • 1. How to pass statistics review in Acta Orthopaedica Jonas Ranstam PhD
  • 2. Statistics is about calculating p-values
  • 3. Statistics is about calculating p-values Statistics is about rational interpretation of incomplete and imperfect data
  • 4. The responsibilities of a statistical reviewer “To make sure that the authors spell out for the reader the limitations imposed upon the conclusions by the design of the study, the collection of data, and the analyses performed.” Shor S. The responsibilities of a statistical reviewer. Chest 1972;61:486-487.
  • 5. The responsibilities of a statistical reviewer “To make sure that the authors spell out for the reader the limitations imposed upon the conclusions by the design of the study, the collection of data, and the analyses performed.” And to help authors improve their manuscripts by suggesting possible solutions to their problems. Shor S. The responsibilities of a statistical reviewer. Chest 1972;61:486-487.
  • 6. Hint for a successful review
  • 7. Hint for a successful review Comply with the Uniform Requirements for Manuscripts Submitted to Biomedical Journals
  • 8.
  • 9. Statistical Methods “Describe statistical methods with enough detail to enable a knowledgeable reader with access to the original data to verify the reported results.”
  • 10. Statistical Methods “Describe statistical methods with enough detail to enable a knowledgeable reader with access to the original data to verify the reported results.” Required for analytical methods (hypothesis tests and confidence intervals), do not describe how data are presented when this is self-evident.
  • 11. Results “When possible, quantify findings and present them with appropriate indicators of measurement error or uncertainty (such as confidence intervals).”
  • 12. Results “When possible, quantify findings and present them with appropriate indicators of measurement error or uncertainty (such as confidence intervals).” Uncertainty indicators (p-values and confidence inter- vals) are necessary for generalization of results beyond examined patients, not for case reports or “qualitative” studies.
  • 13. Results “Avoid relying solely on statistical hypothesis testing, such as the use of P values, which fails to convey important information about effect size.”
  • 14. Results “Avoid relying solely on statistical hypothesis testing, such as the use of P values, which fails to convey important information about effect size.” Clinical and statistical significance are two completely different things. Present clinically interpretable effect estimates and their precision (confidence intervals or p-values).
  • 15. P-values vs. confidence intervals P-value Conclusion from confidence intervals Statistically and clinically significant effect p < 0.05 p < 0.05 Statistically, but not necessarily clinically, significant effect n.s. Inconclusive n.s. Neither statistically nor clinically significant effect p < 0.05 Statistically significant reversed effect Effect 0 Clinically significant effect
  • 16. Results “Where scientifically appropriate, analyses of the data by variables such as age and sex should be included.”
  • 17. Results “Where scientifically appropriate, analyses of the data by variables such as age and sex should be included.” Observational studies usually require adjustment for known and suspected confounding factors.
  • 18. Results “Where scientifically appropriate, analyses of the data by variables such as age and sex should be included.” Observational studies usually require adjustment for known and suspected confounding factors. Automatic stepwise regression is not an adequate method for selecting adjustment factors.
  • 19. Clinical trials “The ICMJE member journals will require, as a condition of consideration for publication in their journals, registration in a public trials registry.” “The ICMJE recommends that journals publish the trial registration number at the end of the Abstract.”
  • 20.
  • 21. Clinical trials “The ICMJE member journals will require, as a condition of consideration for publication in their journals, registration in a public trials registry.” “The ICMJE recommends that journals publish the trial registration number at the end of the Abstract.” Many trials are registered with Clinicaltrials.gov, see www.clinicaltrials.gov. Note: the registers of national medical products agencies and the Eudract are not public.
  • 22. Clinical trials “When reporting experiments on human subjects, authors should indicate whether the procedures followed were in accordance with the ethical standards of the responsible committee on human experimentation (institutional and national) and with the Helsinki Declaration of 1975, as revised in 2000 (5).”
  • 23. Clinical trials “When reporting experiments on human subjects, authors should indicate whether the procedures followed were in accordance with the ethical standards of the responsible committee on human experimentation (institutional and national) and with the Helsinki Declaration of 1975, as revised in 2000 (5).” Example: The trial was approved by the ethics committee of ... and performed in compliance with the Helsinki Declaration of 1975, as revised in 2000.
  • 24. Clinical trials “For reports of randomized controlled trials authors should refer to the CONSORT statement.”
  • 25. Clinical trials “For reports of randomized controlled trials authors should refer to the CONSORT statement.” The CONSORT Statement is an evidence-based, minimum set of recommendations for reporting RCTs. http://www.consort-statement.org Include the CONSORT checklist and flowchart when submitting a manuscript. Include to Acta, and many other journals, also a copy of the study protocol.
  • 26.
  • 27.
  • 28.
  • 29. Clinical trials International regulatory guidelines Topic E9 - Statistical Principles for Clinical Trials EMEA Points to consider - baseline covariates - missing data - multiplicity issues - etc. These guidelines can all be found on the internet.
  • 30. General statistical suggestions Many methods require independent observations A patients multiple observations are dependent and should not be analysed using methods requiring independence, e.g. chi-squared test, Student's t-test, Mann-Whitney U-test, ANOVA. Unless the statistical methods can deal with dependent data, analyse patients, not knees, hips, shoulders, etc.
  • 31. General statistical suggestions Avoid vague and ambiguous expressions - significant clinically or statistically? - no difference statistically insignificant? - statistical difference statistically significant? - matched selected or just comparable? - correlation relation, regression? - etc.
  • 32. Thank you for your attention!