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Application of the General Finite Line
Source Model to the prediction of
Benzene concentrations adjacent to a
motorway in Ireland.
Rajiv Ganguly
Brian M. Broderick
Department of Civil, Structural and
Environmental Engineering
Trinity College Dublin
Overview
v  Objectives
v  General Finite Line Source Model (GFLSM)
v  Comparison of Monitored and GFLSM data (M50)
v  Comparison of GFLSM with CALINE4 (M50)
v  Conclusions
Overall Research Objectives
Ø  To identify suitable modelling techniques for
motorway and urban street canyon.
Ø  To develop models suitable for implementation in
integrated transport environmental modelling.
Overall Research Objectives
Ø  To investigate the sensitivity of model outputs to
meteorological, traffic and background concentration
inputs.
Ø  To recommend best practice for air quality modelling of
traffic emissions in Ireland.
Ø  To determine the accuracy of the models through
comparison of predicted and ambient air quality data .
Expression for GFLSM (Luhar and Patil)
( )
( ) ( )
( ) ( )
⎥
⎥
⎦
⎤
⎢
⎢
⎣
⎡
⎟
⎟
⎠
⎞
⎜
⎜
⎝
⎛ ++
+
⎟
⎟
⎠
⎞
⎜
⎜
⎝
⎛ −−
⎥
⎥
⎦
⎤
⎢
⎢
⎣
⎡
⎟
⎟
⎠
⎞
⎜
⎜
⎝
⎛ +
−+⎟
⎟
⎠
⎞
⎜
⎜
⎝
⎛ −
−
+
=
yy
zzz
xyp
erf
xyp
erfx
HzHz
uu
Q
C
σ
θθ
σ
θθ
σσθσπ
2
cossin
2
cossin
,
2
exp
2
exp
sin22
2
2
2
2
0
1
Schematic representation of GFLSM
L
x
y R
θ
Road.
Study on M50 motorway.
Schematic Diagram of Sampling Location.
Receptors
Receptors
Secondary road
-240m
-120m
-25m
25m
120m
240m
NM50 Motorway
Inner suburbs
and city centre
Input Data
l  Traffic volume
l  Meteorological Conditions (wind speed, wind direction)
l  Emission factors
l  Briggs Horizontal and Vertical dispersion coefficients.
Output Data.
§ Traffic source related concentration estimates for hydrocarbons
were obtained at the receptor locations.
§ Results for benzene are shown below as they are more
relevant for traffic emissions.
Results on M50 Motorway for Benzene.
Variation of monitored and predicted data at 25m
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0 5 10 15 20
sampling days
concentration(ppb)
monitored data
CALINE4
GFLSM
Results on M50 Motorway for Benzene.
variation of monitored and predicted data at 120m
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0 5 10 15 20
sampling days
concentration(ppb)
monitored data
CALINE4
GFLSM
Results on M50 Motorway for Benzene.
variation of monitored and predicted data at 240m
0
0.03
0.06
0.09
0.12
0.15
0 5 10 15 20
sampling days
concentration(ppb)
monitored data
CALINE4
GFLSM
Results on M50 Motorway for Benzene.
variation of mean concentration with receptor
distance (benzene)
0
0.05
0.1
0.15
0.2
0 50 100 150 200 250
distance from road(m)
meanconcentration
(ppb)
monitored data
CALINE4
GFLSM
Results on M50 motorway for Benzene.
scatter plots for measured and predicted data at 25m
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5
measured data (ppb)
predicteddata(ppb)
CALINE4
GFLSM
M=P
M=2P
M=0.5P
Results on M50 motorway for Benzene.
scatter plots of measured and predicted data at 120m
0
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.08
0.1
0 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.08 0.1
measured data (ppb)
predicteddata(ppb)
CALINE4
GFLSM
M=P
M=2P
M=0.5P
Results on M50 motorway for Benzene.
scatter plots of predicted data at 25m
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5
CALINE4
GFLSM
Results on M50 motorway for Benzene.
scatter plots of predicted data at 120m
0
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.08
0.1
0 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.08 0.1
CALINE4
GFLSM
Results on M50 motorway for Benzene.
§ Statistical Analysis of Monitored and Predicted data
(a) At 25 meters.
Monitored CALINE GFLSM
Mean 0.15 0.19 0.19
IA 1.00 0.43 0.57
R 1.00 0.11 0.31
F2 100% 65% 95%
FB 0.00 0.3 0.3
NMSE 0.00 0.43 0.44
Results on M50 motorway for Benzene.
variation of IAwith receptor distance
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
0 100 200 300
receptor distance(m)
IAvalues
Monitored data
CALINE4
GFLSM
Results on M50 motorway for Benzene.
variation of F2 with receptor distance
0
20
40
60
80
100
0 100 200 300
receptor distance(m)
F2values
Monitored data
CALINE4
GFLSM
Results on M50 motorway for Benzene.
variation of NMSE with receptor distance
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
0 100 200 300
receptor distance(m)
NMSEvalues
Monitored data
CALINE4
GFLSM
Ø For the M50 motorway site the performance of GFLSM has
been found to be quite satisfactory when compared with
CALINE4, an USEPA reference model
Conclusions
Ø  Further studies have been conducted for in depth
evaluation of GFLSM model and it has been found that
it can be readily incorporated within integrated
environment transport modelling.
Ø An analytical model, GFLSM has been discussed and has
been applied at motorway conditions.
Acknowledgement.
l  This work is a part of the Environment Transport
Interface (ETI) project funded by the ERTDI Research
Programme.
Thank You

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Application of General Finite Line Source Model to predict benzene levels near Irish motorway

  • 1. Application of the General Finite Line Source Model to the prediction of Benzene concentrations adjacent to a motorway in Ireland. Rajiv Ganguly Brian M. Broderick Department of Civil, Structural and Environmental Engineering Trinity College Dublin
  • 2. Overview v  Objectives v  General Finite Line Source Model (GFLSM) v  Comparison of Monitored and GFLSM data (M50) v  Comparison of GFLSM with CALINE4 (M50) v  Conclusions
  • 3. Overall Research Objectives Ø  To identify suitable modelling techniques for motorway and urban street canyon. Ø  To develop models suitable for implementation in integrated transport environmental modelling.
  • 4. Overall Research Objectives Ø  To investigate the sensitivity of model outputs to meteorological, traffic and background concentration inputs. Ø  To recommend best practice for air quality modelling of traffic emissions in Ireland. Ø  To determine the accuracy of the models through comparison of predicted and ambient air quality data .
  • 5. Expression for GFLSM (Luhar and Patil) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ⎥ ⎥ ⎦ ⎤ ⎢ ⎢ ⎣ ⎡ ⎟ ⎟ ⎠ ⎞ ⎜ ⎜ ⎝ ⎛ ++ + ⎟ ⎟ ⎠ ⎞ ⎜ ⎜ ⎝ ⎛ −− ⎥ ⎥ ⎦ ⎤ ⎢ ⎢ ⎣ ⎡ ⎟ ⎟ ⎠ ⎞ ⎜ ⎜ ⎝ ⎛ + −+⎟ ⎟ ⎠ ⎞ ⎜ ⎜ ⎝ ⎛ − − + = yy zzz xyp erf xyp erfx HzHz uu Q C σ θθ σ θθ σσθσπ 2 cossin 2 cossin , 2 exp 2 exp sin22 2 2 2 2 0 1
  • 6. Schematic representation of GFLSM L x y R θ Road.
  • 7. Study on M50 motorway. Schematic Diagram of Sampling Location. Receptors Receptors Secondary road -240m -120m -25m 25m 120m 240m NM50 Motorway Inner suburbs and city centre
  • 8. Input Data l  Traffic volume l  Meteorological Conditions (wind speed, wind direction) l  Emission factors l  Briggs Horizontal and Vertical dispersion coefficients. Output Data. § Traffic source related concentration estimates for hydrocarbons were obtained at the receptor locations. § Results for benzene are shown below as they are more relevant for traffic emissions.
  • 9. Results on M50 Motorway for Benzene. Variation of monitored and predicted data at 25m 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0 5 10 15 20 sampling days concentration(ppb) monitored data CALINE4 GFLSM
  • 10. Results on M50 Motorway for Benzene. variation of monitored and predicted data at 120m 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0 5 10 15 20 sampling days concentration(ppb) monitored data CALINE4 GFLSM
  • 11. Results on M50 Motorway for Benzene. variation of monitored and predicted data at 240m 0 0.03 0.06 0.09 0.12 0.15 0 5 10 15 20 sampling days concentration(ppb) monitored data CALINE4 GFLSM
  • 12. Results on M50 Motorway for Benzene. variation of mean concentration with receptor distance (benzene) 0 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2 0 50 100 150 200 250 distance from road(m) meanconcentration (ppb) monitored data CALINE4 GFLSM
  • 13. Results on M50 motorway for Benzene. scatter plots for measured and predicted data at 25m 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 measured data (ppb) predicteddata(ppb) CALINE4 GFLSM M=P M=2P M=0.5P
  • 14. Results on M50 motorway for Benzene. scatter plots of measured and predicted data at 120m 0 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.08 0.1 0 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.08 0.1 measured data (ppb) predicteddata(ppb) CALINE4 GFLSM M=P M=2P M=0.5P
  • 15. Results on M50 motorway for Benzene. scatter plots of predicted data at 25m 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 CALINE4 GFLSM
  • 16. Results on M50 motorway for Benzene. scatter plots of predicted data at 120m 0 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.08 0.1 0 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.08 0.1 CALINE4 GFLSM
  • 17. Results on M50 motorway for Benzene. § Statistical Analysis of Monitored and Predicted data (a) At 25 meters. Monitored CALINE GFLSM Mean 0.15 0.19 0.19 IA 1.00 0.43 0.57 R 1.00 0.11 0.31 F2 100% 65% 95% FB 0.00 0.3 0.3 NMSE 0.00 0.43 0.44
  • 18. Results on M50 motorway for Benzene. variation of IAwith receptor distance 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 0 100 200 300 receptor distance(m) IAvalues Monitored data CALINE4 GFLSM
  • 19. Results on M50 motorway for Benzene. variation of F2 with receptor distance 0 20 40 60 80 100 0 100 200 300 receptor distance(m) F2values Monitored data CALINE4 GFLSM
  • 20. Results on M50 motorway for Benzene. variation of NMSE with receptor distance 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 0 100 200 300 receptor distance(m) NMSEvalues Monitored data CALINE4 GFLSM
  • 21. Ø For the M50 motorway site the performance of GFLSM has been found to be quite satisfactory when compared with CALINE4, an USEPA reference model Conclusions Ø  Further studies have been conducted for in depth evaluation of GFLSM model and it has been found that it can be readily incorporated within integrated environment transport modelling. Ø An analytical model, GFLSM has been discussed and has been applied at motorway conditions.
  • 22. Acknowledgement. l  This work is a part of the Environment Transport Interface (ETI) project funded by the ERTDI Research Programme.