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ROI Demystified “A proven approach in good times and bad” Curt Archambault – Jack in the Box/Roi – Cyber Space Cleveland, Ohio/July 2009
Managing What Counts Financial“Has our financial performance improved?” What areour financialgoals? Customer“Do customers recognize that we are delivering more value?” What customers do wewant to serve and howare we going to win andretain them? VisionandStrategy Internal Business Processes“Have we improved key business processes so that we can delivermore value to customers?” What internalbusiness processesare critical to providingvalue to customers? Learning and Growth“Are we maintaining our ability to change and improve?”
ROI Demystified “A proven approach in good times and bad” The question is asked today more than ever before. It is also one of the most difficult to answer. One reason for the difficulty is a definition problem.  A common financial definition is: “ROI is a measure of the net income a company is able to earn with its total assets”.  An acceptable definition for a company as a whole; but, hardly realistic for a single project or product.  Others prefer a more micro-definition: “ROI is the gain from an action divided by the cost of that action”. Works well if both gain and cost are easily known and clearly result from the action. When someone asks about ROI, they are really asking: “What do I get back ('return') for the money I'm being asked to spend ('investment')?”
ROI Demystified “A proven approach in good times and bad” To understand the business value of investments: “If it's important enough to spend money and time on,  it's important enough to figure out if you're getting the end result you were hoping for”. * To make resource allocation decisions and manage a budget: “You can’t manage what you can’t measure”. ** * Erica Iacono, PRWeek, 14/03/05  ** Hewlett-Packard
THE TOP FIVELIST ROI Demystified “A proven approach in good times and bad”
1 "The Bottom Line - PROFIT!“  2 Shows tangible outcomes, not "touchy-feely" motivations 3 Gets Senior Executives to "buy in" to Training initiatives  4 Speaks in a language the CFO understands 5 It serves as a prime tool to support the needs analysis process The Top 5 Reasons ROI is“A proven approach in good times and bad”
  Activity        vs.                                     vs.      Proactive Results Reactive ROI Demystified “A proven approach in good times and bad”
ROI Demystified “A proven approach in good times and bad”
WONDER WHAT IT WILL BE LIKE TO ORDER A PIZZA IN THE FUTURE?... THE FUTURE…
Coming to you live from the mystical, magical, real-time, virtual world of SecondLife… THE FUTURE… IS NOW!
ROI Demystified “A proven approach in good times and bad” Benefits - Costs ROI (%)   = x  100% Costs Benefits BCR     = Costs Let’s start simple. What is…
Level 1 DO SESSION SURVEYS Kirkpatrick-Phillips Model Level 2 TEST FOR LEARNING Level 3 APPLY  THE LEARNING Level 4 BUSINESS  IMPACT Level 5	RETURN ON 	     INVESTMENT Jack Phillips Donald Kirkpatrick ROI Demystified “A proven approach in good times and bad”
ROI Demystified “A proven approach in good times and bad” The “MUST” ListFor An Effective ROI Process...   1) Be Simple   2) Be Economical   3) Be Credible   4) Be Theoretically Sound   5) Be Flexible: Analysis, Data, Programs    6) Account For Other Factors   7) Include Cost Of Program   8) Have A Successful Track Record
ROI Demystified “A proven approach in good times and bad” Reversing the Model… Level 4	OPERATIONAL NEEDS Level 3	JOB PERFORMANCE NEEDS Level 2	SKILL/KNOWLEDGE GAPS Level 1	TRAINING PROGRAM 			PREFERENCE …gives you an ASSESSMENT PROCESS
OperationalNeeds INITIATIVE INTERVENTION Job PerformanceNeeds  Non-TrainingSolution  Skill/KnowledgeGaps  AnticipatedProblem/Opportunity ExistingProblem/Opportunity Non-TrainingSolution  4 Training Program Preferences 3 Estimate ProgramCosts  2 1 Design & Implement  Assessment Process
ROI Demystified “A proven approach in good times and bad” What is the Business Impact $ALE$ Don’t rely exclusively on sales…Everyone wants a slice of that pie!
ROI Demystified “A proven approach in good times and bad” “HARD DATA” Productivity Time Costs CASE STUDY * CASE STUDY * CASE STUDY * CASE STUDY *
ROI Demystified “A proven approach in good times and bad” Data Collection Methods Performance         Impact CASE STUDY * CASE STUDY * CASE STUDY * CASE STUDY *
ROI Demystified “A proven approach in good times and bad” Data Collection Methods                () Performance         Impact        ,[object Object]
 Observation
 Interviews
 Focus Groups
Historical Data                ()                 ()                       Pre-program     Post-program CASE STUDY * CASE STUDY * CASE STUDY * CASE STUDY *
ROI Demystified “A proven approach in good times and bad” TRAINING SOLUTION Estimate ProgramCosts  Cost Categories Analysis Development Implementation Evaluation Cost Accounts CASE STUDY * CASE STUDY * CASE STUDY * CASE STUDY *
PROGRAM COST WORKSHEET
40,000 1.3 … includes vacation = 365 - 104 234 222 … Lodging & Meals  105 5 1635 238 … Avg. of Mileage & Airfare  = .005 FC & Labor increases 90 15 29,445 6938 = Activities & Outside Speaker  36,383 PARTICIPANTS’ COSTS WORKSHEET ÷
EvaluationTools EvaluationTiming Collect ROI  Data IdentifyTangible Results IdentifyIntangible Results  Isolate Effectsof Program Measuring ROI Convert Data to Monetary Value  CalculateROI  Communicate Results
ROI Demystified “A proven approach in good times and bad” Level 3        Level4 Identifying The Effects                ()        ,[object Object]
 Observation
 Interviews
 Focus Groups
  Historical Data                ()                 ()                       Pre-program        Post-programAnalysis                Evaluation
ROI Demystified “A proven approach in good times and bad” Isolating The Effects ,[object Object]
 Match against performance forecasting “Are the results what we said they’d be?” ,[object Object], “Are the results similar to last time we did this?” ,[object Object], “Do all factors total  100%?” ,[object Object]
 Calculating “other factors” impact,[object Object]
 Food Costs
 Historical cost data
 Internal/external expert estimates
 External databases
 Linking to other measures
 Estimates (Confidence %’s)	- Learner	- Supervisor	- Manager/Staff,[object Object]
 Determine a value for each unit Sometimes Easy… …Sometimes hard FOOD COSTS   *  LABOR COSTS GUEST SATISFACTION TURNOVER
CUSTOMER SERVICE INDEXSurvey 1% “will return” = $ales x .05607 Value = $1052640 x .05607 =  $59021 TURNOVER* Historical Data Comparison ** Linking to Expert Estimates * Avg. # of Empl. x  $1150/12 Value = 400 x $96 = $38400
ROI Demystified “A proven approach in good times and bad” General Steps for Converting Data  ,[object Object]
 Determine a value for each unit
 Calculate the change in performance data

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2009 Chart Ro Ioption1

  • 1. ROI Demystified “A proven approach in good times and bad” Curt Archambault – Jack in the Box/Roi – Cyber Space Cleveland, Ohio/July 2009
  • 2. Managing What Counts Financial“Has our financial performance improved?” What areour financialgoals? Customer“Do customers recognize that we are delivering more value?” What customers do wewant to serve and howare we going to win andretain them? VisionandStrategy Internal Business Processes“Have we improved key business processes so that we can delivermore value to customers?” What internalbusiness processesare critical to providingvalue to customers? Learning and Growth“Are we maintaining our ability to change and improve?”
  • 3.
  • 4. ROI Demystified “A proven approach in good times and bad” The question is asked today more than ever before. It is also one of the most difficult to answer. One reason for the difficulty is a definition problem. A common financial definition is: “ROI is a measure of the net income a company is able to earn with its total assets”. An acceptable definition for a company as a whole; but, hardly realistic for a single project or product. Others prefer a more micro-definition: “ROI is the gain from an action divided by the cost of that action”. Works well if both gain and cost are easily known and clearly result from the action. When someone asks about ROI, they are really asking: “What do I get back ('return') for the money I'm being asked to spend ('investment')?”
  • 5. ROI Demystified “A proven approach in good times and bad” To understand the business value of investments: “If it's important enough to spend money and time on, it's important enough to figure out if you're getting the end result you were hoping for”. * To make resource allocation decisions and manage a budget: “You can’t manage what you can’t measure”. ** * Erica Iacono, PRWeek, 14/03/05 ** Hewlett-Packard
  • 6. THE TOP FIVELIST ROI Demystified “A proven approach in good times and bad”
  • 7. 1 "The Bottom Line - PROFIT!“ 2 Shows tangible outcomes, not "touchy-feely" motivations 3 Gets Senior Executives to "buy in" to Training initiatives 4 Speaks in a language the CFO understands 5 It serves as a prime tool to support the needs analysis process The Top 5 Reasons ROI is“A proven approach in good times and bad”
  • 8.
  • 9.
  • 10. Activity vs. vs. Proactive Results Reactive ROI Demystified “A proven approach in good times and bad”
  • 11. ROI Demystified “A proven approach in good times and bad”
  • 12. WONDER WHAT IT WILL BE LIKE TO ORDER A PIZZA IN THE FUTURE?... THE FUTURE…
  • 13. Coming to you live from the mystical, magical, real-time, virtual world of SecondLife… THE FUTURE… IS NOW!
  • 14. ROI Demystified “A proven approach in good times and bad” Benefits - Costs ROI (%) = x 100% Costs Benefits BCR = Costs Let’s start simple. What is…
  • 15. Level 1 DO SESSION SURVEYS Kirkpatrick-Phillips Model Level 2 TEST FOR LEARNING Level 3 APPLY THE LEARNING Level 4 BUSINESS IMPACT Level 5 RETURN ON INVESTMENT Jack Phillips Donald Kirkpatrick ROI Demystified “A proven approach in good times and bad”
  • 16. ROI Demystified “A proven approach in good times and bad” The “MUST” ListFor An Effective ROI Process... 1) Be Simple 2) Be Economical 3) Be Credible 4) Be Theoretically Sound 5) Be Flexible: Analysis, Data, Programs 6) Account For Other Factors 7) Include Cost Of Program 8) Have A Successful Track Record
  • 17. ROI Demystified “A proven approach in good times and bad” Reversing the Model… Level 4 OPERATIONAL NEEDS Level 3 JOB PERFORMANCE NEEDS Level 2 SKILL/KNOWLEDGE GAPS Level 1 TRAINING PROGRAM PREFERENCE …gives you an ASSESSMENT PROCESS
  • 18. OperationalNeeds INITIATIVE INTERVENTION Job PerformanceNeeds Non-TrainingSolution Skill/KnowledgeGaps AnticipatedProblem/Opportunity ExistingProblem/Opportunity Non-TrainingSolution 4 Training Program Preferences 3 Estimate ProgramCosts 2 1 Design & Implement Assessment Process
  • 19. ROI Demystified “A proven approach in good times and bad” What is the Business Impact $ALE$ Don’t rely exclusively on sales…Everyone wants a slice of that pie!
  • 20. ROI Demystified “A proven approach in good times and bad” “HARD DATA” Productivity Time Costs CASE STUDY * CASE STUDY * CASE STUDY * CASE STUDY *
  • 21. ROI Demystified “A proven approach in good times and bad” Data Collection Methods Performance Impact CASE STUDY * CASE STUDY * CASE STUDY * CASE STUDY *
  • 22.
  • 26. Historical Data ()  ()  Pre-program Post-program CASE STUDY * CASE STUDY * CASE STUDY * CASE STUDY *
  • 27. ROI Demystified “A proven approach in good times and bad” TRAINING SOLUTION Estimate ProgramCosts Cost Categories Analysis Development Implementation Evaluation Cost Accounts CASE STUDY * CASE STUDY * CASE STUDY * CASE STUDY *
  • 29. 40,000 1.3 … includes vacation = 365 - 104 234 222 … Lodging & Meals 105 5 1635 238 … Avg. of Mileage & Airfare = .005 FC & Labor increases 90 15 29,445 6938 = Activities & Outside Speaker 36,383 PARTICIPANTS’ COSTS WORKSHEET ÷
  • 30. EvaluationTools EvaluationTiming Collect ROI Data IdentifyTangible Results IdentifyIntangible Results Isolate Effectsof Program Measuring ROI Convert Data to Monetary Value CalculateROI Communicate Results
  • 31.
  • 35. Historical Data ()  ()  Pre-program Post-programAnalysis Evaluation
  • 36.
  • 37.
  • 38.
  • 43. Linking to other measures
  • 44.
  • 45. Determine a value for each unit Sometimes Easy… …Sometimes hard FOOD COSTS * LABOR COSTS GUEST SATISFACTION TURNOVER
  • 46. CUSTOMER SERVICE INDEXSurvey 1% “will return” = $ales x .05607 Value = $1052640 x .05607 = $59021 TURNOVER* Historical Data Comparison ** Linking to Expert Estimates * Avg. # of Empl. x $1150/12 Value = 400 x $96 = $38400
  • 47.
  • 48. Determine a value for each unit
  • 49. Calculate the change in performance data
  • 50. Determine an amount for the change - Annual - Quarterly - Monthly
  • 51. Calculate the total valueSELECT THE APPROPRIATE DATA
  • 52.
  • 54.
  • 56.
  • 58.
  • 61. ROI Demystified “A proven approach in good times and bad” Converting Data to $$$ EVALUATION OF RETURN Measure: ________________________ Unit of Measure:__________ Value or cost of unit of measure: $_____________ How much change occurred in unit of measure? X _____________ (Average per quarter/month) Period of evaluation (quarters/months) X _____________ POTENTIAL IMPACT= $_____________ CONFIDENCE FACTOR Percent of change caused by program: _______% X ____________ Confidence in information: _______% X _____________ (100% = Certainty<<>>0% = No Confidence) ESTIMATED RETURN = $____________
  • 62. ROI Demystified “A proven approach in good times and bad” Converting Data to $$$ LABOR FOOD COST TURNOVER Voice of Guest $__________ X __________ X __________ =$__________ X __________ X __________ $__________ $__________ X __________ X __________ =$__________ X __________ X __________ $__________ $__________ X __________ X __________ =$__________ X __________ X __________ $__________ $__________ X __________ X __________ =$__________ X __________ X __________ $__________ Unit Value: Degree of Change (Average per qtr/mo) Timeframe POTENTIAL IMPACT CONFIDENCE FACTOR % Impact % Confidence TOTALS
  • 63. ROI Demystified “A proven approach in good times and bad” LABOR FOOD COST TURNOVER CSI“RETURN” $___1052640 X ___.006275 X ________3_ =$_____19816 X _______050 X _______050 $ 4954 $___1052640 X ___.002833 X _______3__ =$______8946 X _______050 X _______100 $ 4473 $_____38400 X _______.03 X _______3__ =$______3456 X _______030 X _______100 $ 1036 $_____59021 X ______.666 X _______3__ =$____118041 X ________60 X ________30 $ 21247 Converting Data to $$$ Unit Value: Degree of Change (Average per qtr/mo) Timeframe POTENTIAL IMPACT CONFIDENCE FACTOR % Impact % Confidence TOTALS TOTAL BENEFIT = $31710
  • 64. ROI Demystified “A proven approach in good times and bad” Benefits - Costs ROI (%) = x 100% Costs $31,710 - $10,000 ROI (%) = x 100% $10,000 Benefits BCR = Costs $31,710 BCR = $10,000 Calculating the Return
  • 65. ROI Demystified “A proven approach in good times and bad” Calculating the Return ROI (%) = 217% BCR = 3.17
  • 66. ROI Demystified “A proven approach in good times and bad” “SOFT DATA” “HARD DATA” IDENTIFY INTANGIBLE BENEFITS Productivity Time Costs
  • 67.
  • 73.
  • 74.
  • 75. The ROI analysis should always include one or more strategies for isolating the effects of training
  • 76.
  • 77.
  • 78. The ROI analysis should always include one or more strategies for isolating the effects of training
  • 79. When using estimates, use the most reliable and credible sources
  • 80.
  • 81. Involve management in developing the returns
  • 82. Approach sensitive and controversial issues with caution
  • 83.
  • 84.
  • 85. Do not try to use ROI on every program
  • 86.

Hinweis der Redaktion

  1. ASK – “So, what does the future hold? Let’s take a look at what could be the future in pizza ordering.”PLAY CLIP FROM INTERNET STATE – “So this is an exaggeration, or is it? The world is changing rapidly and as we have discussed already, we can be a victim of it or we can be part of it.”
  2. Reference Dana Gaines Robinson – Performance Consulting process as a companion piece to ROI
  3. Ask audience for an example of a current issue that a training solution may be implementedBrainstorm a list of “hard data” that you will look at to determine success
  4. Use same process that you used for Hard Data
  5. Tie to ROI calculator that will be showed later…
  6. Find out what SMG says the improvement in VOG will return in sales?