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Consumer Snapshot
november 201
3

www.ProsperDiscovery.com
november 201
3

sentiment

strategy

holiday

Disclaimer: Prosper Business Development and its affiliated companies (“Prosper”) make no warranties, either expressed or implied, concerning: data gathered or obtained from any source; the present or
future methodology employed in producing the statistics; or the data and estimates represent only the opinion of Prosper and reliance thereon and use thereof shall be at the user’s own risk.

www.ProsperDiscovery.com

© 2013, Prosper®
sentiment
very confident/confident in chances for a strong economy
{adults 1
8+}

consumer confidence

45%

40%

39.7%
36.4%

economic sentiment rebounds – somewhat – in
November, with 36.4% very confident/confident in
chances for a strong economy

13 month summary

35%

30%
28.3%

current reading remains below 1 month average
3
(37.5%), continuing to cast a shadow over an already
cautious holiday season for shoppers

25%

20%

Source: Monthly Consumer Survey

www.ProsperDiscovery.com

© 2013, Prosper®
sentiment
very confident/confident in chances for a strong economy
{adults 1
8+}
60%

consumer confidence

50%

economic sentiment rebounds – somewhat – in
November, with 36.4% very confident/confident in
chances for a strong economy

40%

13 month summary

30%

current reading remains below 1 month average
3
(37.5%), continuing to cast a shadow over an already
cautious holiday season for shoppers

20%

we’ve seen worse…

10%

current reading is 8% below Nov-1 though remains
2,
above recession-era sentiment

0%

holiday ’1 buzzwords: cautious, conservative, budget3
conscious, SALE!

Nov-06 Nov-07 Nov-08 Nov-09 Nov-10 Nov-11 Nov-12 Nov-13
Source: Monthly Consumer Survey

www.ProsperDiscovery.com

© 2013, Prosper®
strategy
practicality & focus on needs
{adults 1
8+}
60%

practicality perks up
52.6%

55%
50.2%
50%
45%
40%

while confidence climbed in November, consumers’
penchants for practicality (47.5%) increased slightly
from October (46.2%)

practical purchase intentions are up 1
1%
year-over-year

47.5%
43.0%

will Santa bring socks this year?

35%

focus on the necessities when at the store
(52.6%) rises slightly from October (51.7%) and up
5% year-over-year

30%

on holiday shoppers’ lists: jewelry, apparel,
electronics, gift cards, sporting goods, beauty,
toys – all rising from 2009

I have become more practical and realistic in my purchases
I focus more on what I NEED rather than what I WANT

think thoughtful, targeted spending, quality vs. quantity

Source: Monthly Consumer Survey

www.ProsperDiscovery.com

© 2013, Prosper®
holiday 201
3
planned spending per person*

gifts, décor, cards, food & flowers
$780

holiday spending plans

$760

$751

$755

$752
$741

$735

$740

$71
9

$720
$700

$738

on average, holiday shoppers plan to spend
about $738 on gifts, décor, cards, food, and
flowers in 201 down 1.9% from last year’s $752
3,

$700

$694
$682

$680
$660
$640

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
* Estimated Actual Spending 2004 - 2012

Source: National Retail Federation/Prosper Insights & Analytics™

www.ProsperDiscovery.com

© 2013, Prosper®
holiday 201
3
planned spending per person*

gifts, décor, cards, food & flowers + SELF SPENDING
$1,000

holiday spending plans

$900
$800

$789

$81
9

$845 $852
$801

$831

$878 $893 $868

$783

on average, holiday shoppers plan to spend
about $738 on gifts, décor, cards, food, and
flowers in 201 down 1.9% from last year’s $752
3,

the grand total

$700

add in the presents shoppers are buying for
themselves, and consumers plan to spend $868
on holiday season

$600
$500
$400
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Gifts, Décor, Cards, Food & Flowers

Self Spending
* Estimated Actual Spending 2004 - 2012

Source: National Retail Federation/Prosper Insights & Analytics™

www.ProsperDiscovery.com

© 2013, Prosper®
holiday 201
3
year-over-year planned spending

gifts, décor, cards, food & flowers
$633

Millennials

-5%

$601
$823

Gen X

$847

$760

Boomers

$200

$400
2012

Source: Prosper Insights & Analytics™

$600
2013

add in the presents shoppers are buying for
themselves, and consumers plan to spend $868
on holiday season

0%

$688
$-

the grand total

move over, millennials

$687

Silent

on average, holiday shoppers plan to spend
about $738 on gifts, décor, cards, food, and
flowers in 201 down 1.9% from last year’s $752
3,

3%

-3%

$738

holiday spending plans

$800

Gen X-ers are the strongest spenders for holiday
‘1 not only spending the highest on average
3,
($847), but also the only generation increasing
$1,000
holiday spending over 201
2
Millennials (1983 – 1995), Gen X (1965 – 1982), Boomers (1946 – 1964), Silent (born pre-1946)

www.ProsperDiscovery.com

© 2013, Prosper®
thanks
visit ConsumerSnapshot.com access:
______________________to
Consumer Snapshot InsightCenter™
PowerPoint Slides
…and more
Pam Goodfellow
Consumer Insights Director
Prosper Insights & Analytics™
pam@goProsper.com
ProsperDiscovery.com

Messier 82 image source

www.ProsperDiscovery.com

© 2013, Prosper®

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Consumer Snapshot November 2013

  • 2. november 201 3 sentiment strategy holiday Disclaimer: Prosper Business Development and its affiliated companies (“Prosper”) make no warranties, either expressed or implied, concerning: data gathered or obtained from any source; the present or future methodology employed in producing the statistics; or the data and estimates represent only the opinion of Prosper and reliance thereon and use thereof shall be at the user’s own risk. www.ProsperDiscovery.com © 2013, Prosper®
  • 3. sentiment very confident/confident in chances for a strong economy {adults 1 8+} consumer confidence 45% 40% 39.7% 36.4% economic sentiment rebounds – somewhat – in November, with 36.4% very confident/confident in chances for a strong economy 13 month summary 35% 30% 28.3% current reading remains below 1 month average 3 (37.5%), continuing to cast a shadow over an already cautious holiday season for shoppers 25% 20% Source: Monthly Consumer Survey www.ProsperDiscovery.com © 2013, Prosper®
  • 4. sentiment very confident/confident in chances for a strong economy {adults 1 8+} 60% consumer confidence 50% economic sentiment rebounds – somewhat – in November, with 36.4% very confident/confident in chances for a strong economy 40% 13 month summary 30% current reading remains below 1 month average 3 (37.5%), continuing to cast a shadow over an already cautious holiday season for shoppers 20% we’ve seen worse… 10% current reading is 8% below Nov-1 though remains 2, above recession-era sentiment 0% holiday ’1 buzzwords: cautious, conservative, budget3 conscious, SALE! Nov-06 Nov-07 Nov-08 Nov-09 Nov-10 Nov-11 Nov-12 Nov-13 Source: Monthly Consumer Survey www.ProsperDiscovery.com © 2013, Prosper®
  • 5. strategy practicality & focus on needs {adults 1 8+} 60% practicality perks up 52.6% 55% 50.2% 50% 45% 40% while confidence climbed in November, consumers’ penchants for practicality (47.5%) increased slightly from October (46.2%) practical purchase intentions are up 1 1% year-over-year 47.5% 43.0% will Santa bring socks this year? 35% focus on the necessities when at the store (52.6%) rises slightly from October (51.7%) and up 5% year-over-year 30% on holiday shoppers’ lists: jewelry, apparel, electronics, gift cards, sporting goods, beauty, toys – all rising from 2009 I have become more practical and realistic in my purchases I focus more on what I NEED rather than what I WANT think thoughtful, targeted spending, quality vs. quantity Source: Monthly Consumer Survey www.ProsperDiscovery.com © 2013, Prosper®
  • 6. holiday 201 3 planned spending per person* gifts, décor, cards, food & flowers $780 holiday spending plans $760 $751 $755 $752 $741 $735 $740 $71 9 $720 $700 $738 on average, holiday shoppers plan to spend about $738 on gifts, décor, cards, food, and flowers in 201 down 1.9% from last year’s $752 3, $700 $694 $682 $680 $660 $640 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 * Estimated Actual Spending 2004 - 2012 Source: National Retail Federation/Prosper Insights & Analytics™ www.ProsperDiscovery.com © 2013, Prosper®
  • 7. holiday 201 3 planned spending per person* gifts, décor, cards, food & flowers + SELF SPENDING $1,000 holiday spending plans $900 $800 $789 $81 9 $845 $852 $801 $831 $878 $893 $868 $783 on average, holiday shoppers plan to spend about $738 on gifts, décor, cards, food, and flowers in 201 down 1.9% from last year’s $752 3, the grand total $700 add in the presents shoppers are buying for themselves, and consumers plan to spend $868 on holiday season $600 $500 $400 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Gifts, Décor, Cards, Food & Flowers Self Spending * Estimated Actual Spending 2004 - 2012 Source: National Retail Federation/Prosper Insights & Analytics™ www.ProsperDiscovery.com © 2013, Prosper®
  • 8. holiday 201 3 year-over-year planned spending gifts, décor, cards, food & flowers $633 Millennials -5% $601 $823 Gen X $847 $760 Boomers $200 $400 2012 Source: Prosper Insights & Analytics™ $600 2013 add in the presents shoppers are buying for themselves, and consumers plan to spend $868 on holiday season 0% $688 $- the grand total move over, millennials $687 Silent on average, holiday shoppers plan to spend about $738 on gifts, décor, cards, food, and flowers in 201 down 1.9% from last year’s $752 3, 3% -3% $738 holiday spending plans $800 Gen X-ers are the strongest spenders for holiday ‘1 not only spending the highest on average 3, ($847), but also the only generation increasing $1,000 holiday spending over 201 2 Millennials (1983 – 1995), Gen X (1965 – 1982), Boomers (1946 – 1964), Silent (born pre-1946) www.ProsperDiscovery.com © 2013, Prosper®
  • 9. thanks visit ConsumerSnapshot.com access: ______________________to Consumer Snapshot InsightCenter™ PowerPoint Slides …and more Pam Goodfellow Consumer Insights Director Prosper Insights & Analytics™ pam@goProsper.com ProsperDiscovery.com Messier 82 image source www.ProsperDiscovery.com © 2013, Prosper®