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MEDIA REVOLUTION :
Myth Or Reality

Calcutta University : ICC
Jawhar Sircar | CEO, Prasar Bharati
28th Jan., 2014
INDIAN MEDIA – 1 : Overview : Rs K/Cr
2008

2012 2013 * 2017 *

TV

24.5

37.6

42.7

86.3

Print

17.5

22.8

24.5

34.6

Radio

0.88

1.3

1.4

2.8

Films

10.6

11.4

12.5

19.7

Digital Ad

.6

2.2

2.8

8.8

Others

4.8

7.9

9.2

16.6

TOTAL

59.0

83.5

93.3

169.2

Industry

Source: FICCI Frame 2013, *Projected

2
INDIAN MEDIA - 2 : Overview : % Growth
Industry
TV

2011-12

2008-12
(CAGR)

2012-17*
(CAGR)

12.5%

11.3%

18.0%

Print

7.3%

6.8%

8.7%

Radio

10.4%

10.7%

16.6%

Films

21.0%

1.9%

11.5%

Digital Ad.

40.9%

37.9%

32.1%

Others

11.12%

10.4%

15.89%

TOTAL

12.6%

9.1%

15.2%

Source: FICCI Frame 2013, *Projected

3
INDIAN MEDIA - 3 : Overview : Inter-se
Key
Sectors

2012
(%)

2017
(%)

45

51

Print

27

20

Films

14

12

Radio

2

2

Digital Ads

3

5

Source: FICCI Frame 2013, *Projected

4
INDIAN MEDIA – 4 : Ad Revenue :Trends
Key
Sectors

2012
(‘000Cr)

2017
(‘000 Cr)

TV

12.5

24

Print

15

25

Radio

1.3

2.8

Digital
Advertising

2.1

8.8

Source: FICCI Frame 2013, *Projected

5
INDIAN MEDIA – 5 : Reach : Millions
Reach of Different Media Platforms in India
800

731

700

Millions

600
500
400
300
200

243
124

159

100
0
Internet

FM Radio

Print

Source: FICCI Frame 2013, *Projected

Television
6
INDIAN MEDIA – 6 : Components
Number of Newspapers: 82,000
Readership: 18.19 Cr ?
Number of Channels: 825 Active
TV Households: 17 Cr/ 170 Mn

Internet Users: 17.4 Cr / 174 Mn

SOURCE: FICCI-KPMG REPORT 2013
MEDIA INDUSTRY GLOBAL (US$ Bn)
700
600

5.2% CAGR
(12-16)

597.28

2010

500

2012
400
2.8% CAGR
(12-16)

12.00% CAGR
(12-16)

300

192.52 3.1% CAGR

200

221.63

(12-16)

5.2% CAGR
15.00% CAGR
(12-16)
(12-16)

97.33

100

2016

45.03

27.13

0
US

CHINA

UNITED
KINGDOM

JAPAN

AUSTRALIA

INDIA

8

Source: PWC; Global Media and Entertainment Outlook 2012-16 Report
PRINT – 1 : Circulation (Mn)
India (Circulation)

Global (Paid Dailies)
350

545
540

329.2

539.76

300

535

250

530

527.8

207.11

200
156.72

525
518.96

520

150
100

515
510

50

505

0

2008

2009

2010

Source: WPT 2010, WAN – INFRA Articles 2011

2004-05

2007-08

Source: Press in India 2010-11

2010-11
9
PRINT - 2: Indian Top 10 Dailies
Publication

Lang

Circulation (Mn)

 Dainik Jagran (DJ )
 Dainik Bhaskar (DB)

HIN
HIN

16.3
14.4










HIN
MAL
HIN
ENG
TAM
MAR
HIN
MAL

12.3
9.7
8.4
7.6
7.3
7.3
6.8
6.3

Hindustan (Hn)
Malayala Manorama (MM)
Amar Ujala (AU)
The Times of India (TOI)
Daily Thanthi (DT)
Lokmat (LM)
Rajasthan Patrika (RP)
Mathrubhumi (MB)
Source: IRS 2012 Q4

10
TV – 1 : Subscribers(Mn)

119

Digital
Cable
Source: FICCI KPMG, 2013

130

141 152

162

172

183

11
Subscription Revenue
Advertisement Revenue
24.0

2008

10.3

12.5

19.4

24.5

2010

2012E

66.3% : 33.7%

8.2
15.8

66% : 34%

20.7
15.7
51.8

60.7

71.67% : 28.33%

TV – 2 : Revenue (Rs.K/Cr.)

34.5
2014P

Source: FICCI KPMG Report 2013

2016P

2017P
12
RADIO : Projected Rev (Rs.K/Cr.)

‘17 : Radio 2.8 K/Cr. vs. TV 86.3 K/Cr.
Source: KPMG FICCI Report 2013

13
NEW MEDIA – 1 : Internet (2012-17)
450

Wireless Connections

Million connections

400

Wireline Connections

55

350

47

300

40

250
200

34

29

150
100

25

50

99

139

174

232

286

331

0
2012

2013P

2014P

Source: FICCI KPMG 2013

2015P

2016P

2017P
14
NEW MEDIA – 2 : Internet vs TV
1000

Millions

800

731

820

791

762

600
351

400
200 174

226

873

848

426

496

276

0
2012 2013P 2014P 2015P 2016P 2017P

Internet Users

TV Viewers

Source: FICCI-KPMG 2013

15
SUCCESS –1: Print
 Strengthened Democratic Discourse:
 At grass roots level: 760 mn voters

 Open, Fearless, Critical:
 Even under Threats & Strain

 Warded off Censorship & Won
 Few Exceptions: They are now History!

 Forced Government’s Attention on Issues
 First 25 yrs: Parliament was the Watchdog
 Feroze Gandhi, PAC, Sahujain, Mundhra, Telco
16
SUCCESS – 2 : TV : DDn(1)
 Early Stage : DD’s Monopoly & Golden Days
 Ramayana

 Mahabharat

 Buniyaad

17
SUCCESS – 2 : TV : DDn(2)
 Hum Log

 Chitrahaar

 Nukkad

 Yeh Jo Hai Zindagi

18
SUCCESS – 2 : TV : DDn(3)
 Impacts & the Spin-offs:


Cultural Unity, through Programmes, Songs, etc



Essential Information: Agricultural Education



Globalization & Lifestyles



Hindu Consciousness (?)



Activism: Rajani, Yeh Jo Jindagi Hai, Ulta Pulta

19
SUCCESS – 3 : Private TV Cos.(1)

20
SUCCESS – 3 : Private TV Cos.(2)
 GEC: Peoples’ Popular Entertainment :
Soaps & Serials
Competitions

Reality Shows
Songs & Films

 Popular Entertainment: is ‘Bolly-Packed’
 Standardization of Indian Bolly-Culture!

21
SUCCESS – 3 : Private TV Cos.(3)
 NEWS: Competitive Sensationalism :
 Tehelka (2001)
 Adarsh Housing (2010)

 2G Spectrum (2008)
 CWG (2010)

 Blood Thirsty: ‘Trial by Media’ &
‘Heads Must Roll’.

22
SUCCESS – 4 : Radio : AIR
 From Tool Of The Empire To Unifier Of India
 1947 : 18 Txrs + 6 Stations
 Now : 577 Txrs + 406 Stations (213 having Studio)
 24 Indian Languages & 146 Dialects
 Manipur : 30 Languages : 3 Mn
 .Vividh Bharati : Unity Through Songs
 FM Revolution : Revived the Radio

 Listen Live: FM Gold & AIR Urdu:

23
MEDIA : Issues – 1 : News(1)
 Major News Channels

 Yet Sustaining

 Making Losses

 Mission or Mystry?

24
MEDIA : Issues – 1 : News(2)
 Paid News & Blackmail

 Self ‘Accreditation’
 News Head in Rs. 100 Cr. Blackmail?
25
MEDIA : Issues – 2 : Barons(A)
 Cross Media Ownership
 Barons : Control Content + Distribution

26
MEDIA : Issues – 2 : Barons(B)
 Cross Media Ownership
 Colossal Corporates vs Giant Govts.
 Baron-Political Nexus: Many are MPs
 No Regulatory Mechanism : Leveson
 Unlike US, UK, France, etc

27
MEDIA : Issues – 3 : Cross Media(A)
Group of
Companies

Broadcasting

Distribution Platform

Print

TV
Channels

FM Radio
Station

DTH

MSO

Sun TV

√

√

√

√

√

Zee Group

√

√

√

√

√

Star India

√

√

√

√

√

India Today

√

√

√

The Times
Group

√

√

√

HT Media

√

ABP Group

√

√
√

√
28
MEDIA : Issues – 3 : Cross Media(B)

29
Civil Society & Transparency
 Press is Interlocutor, Beneficiary & Catalyst

 It cannot appropriate entire CREDIT
 Transparency in India Led By
 Social Activism

 Peoples’ Movements

 Right to Information

 Consumer Awareness

 Judicial Activism

 Citizen Charter Bill

 Blog Space & Netizens

 Regulatory Authorities

IF 4 PILLARS COLLAPSE !!
WILL 5TH PILLAR EMERGE ?
30
MEDIA : Issues – 4 : Future
 International : From ‘Static’ to ‘Mobile’
 Print Digitalizing Super Fast
 738 Mn Mobiles Active in India (Sept’13)
 Smart Phones: Growing : & Tablets Cheap
 From Fixed TVs & PCs > All Going Mobile
 Streaming> IPTV > Social Media > Webcast
 Bandwidth : 2 National Network Projects
31
Thanks.
Jawhar Sircar
Sircar.j@gmail.com

32

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The MEDIA REVOLUTION in INDIA: Myth and Reality. A study of Media Scenario in India.

  • 1. MEDIA REVOLUTION : Myth Or Reality Calcutta University : ICC Jawhar Sircar | CEO, Prasar Bharati 28th Jan., 2014
  • 2. INDIAN MEDIA – 1 : Overview : Rs K/Cr 2008 2012 2013 * 2017 * TV 24.5 37.6 42.7 86.3 Print 17.5 22.8 24.5 34.6 Radio 0.88 1.3 1.4 2.8 Films 10.6 11.4 12.5 19.7 Digital Ad .6 2.2 2.8 8.8 Others 4.8 7.9 9.2 16.6 TOTAL 59.0 83.5 93.3 169.2 Industry Source: FICCI Frame 2013, *Projected 2
  • 3. INDIAN MEDIA - 2 : Overview : % Growth Industry TV 2011-12 2008-12 (CAGR) 2012-17* (CAGR) 12.5% 11.3% 18.0% Print 7.3% 6.8% 8.7% Radio 10.4% 10.7% 16.6% Films 21.0% 1.9% 11.5% Digital Ad. 40.9% 37.9% 32.1% Others 11.12% 10.4% 15.89% TOTAL 12.6% 9.1% 15.2% Source: FICCI Frame 2013, *Projected 3
  • 4. INDIAN MEDIA - 3 : Overview : Inter-se Key Sectors 2012 (%) 2017 (%) 45 51 Print 27 20 Films 14 12 Radio 2 2 Digital Ads 3 5 Source: FICCI Frame 2013, *Projected 4
  • 5. INDIAN MEDIA – 4 : Ad Revenue :Trends Key Sectors 2012 (‘000Cr) 2017 (‘000 Cr) TV 12.5 24 Print 15 25 Radio 1.3 2.8 Digital Advertising 2.1 8.8 Source: FICCI Frame 2013, *Projected 5
  • 6. INDIAN MEDIA – 5 : Reach : Millions Reach of Different Media Platforms in India 800 731 700 Millions 600 500 400 300 200 243 124 159 100 0 Internet FM Radio Print Source: FICCI Frame 2013, *Projected Television 6
  • 7. INDIAN MEDIA – 6 : Components Number of Newspapers: 82,000 Readership: 18.19 Cr ? Number of Channels: 825 Active TV Households: 17 Cr/ 170 Mn Internet Users: 17.4 Cr / 174 Mn SOURCE: FICCI-KPMG REPORT 2013
  • 8. MEDIA INDUSTRY GLOBAL (US$ Bn) 700 600 5.2% CAGR (12-16) 597.28 2010 500 2012 400 2.8% CAGR (12-16) 12.00% CAGR (12-16) 300 192.52 3.1% CAGR 200 221.63 (12-16) 5.2% CAGR 15.00% CAGR (12-16) (12-16) 97.33 100 2016 45.03 27.13 0 US CHINA UNITED KINGDOM JAPAN AUSTRALIA INDIA 8 Source: PWC; Global Media and Entertainment Outlook 2012-16 Report
  • 9. PRINT – 1 : Circulation (Mn) India (Circulation) Global (Paid Dailies) 350 545 540 329.2 539.76 300 535 250 530 527.8 207.11 200 156.72 525 518.96 520 150 100 515 510 50 505 0 2008 2009 2010 Source: WPT 2010, WAN – INFRA Articles 2011 2004-05 2007-08 Source: Press in India 2010-11 2010-11 9
  • 10. PRINT - 2: Indian Top 10 Dailies Publication Lang Circulation (Mn)  Dainik Jagran (DJ )  Dainik Bhaskar (DB) HIN HIN 16.3 14.4         HIN MAL HIN ENG TAM MAR HIN MAL 12.3 9.7 8.4 7.6 7.3 7.3 6.8 6.3 Hindustan (Hn) Malayala Manorama (MM) Amar Ujala (AU) The Times of India (TOI) Daily Thanthi (DT) Lokmat (LM) Rajasthan Patrika (RP) Mathrubhumi (MB) Source: IRS 2012 Q4 10
  • 11. TV – 1 : Subscribers(Mn) 119 Digital Cable Source: FICCI KPMG, 2013 130 141 152 162 172 183 11
  • 12. Subscription Revenue Advertisement Revenue 24.0 2008 10.3 12.5 19.4 24.5 2010 2012E 66.3% : 33.7% 8.2 15.8 66% : 34% 20.7 15.7 51.8 60.7 71.67% : 28.33% TV – 2 : Revenue (Rs.K/Cr.) 34.5 2014P Source: FICCI KPMG Report 2013 2016P 2017P 12
  • 13. RADIO : Projected Rev (Rs.K/Cr.) ‘17 : Radio 2.8 K/Cr. vs. TV 86.3 K/Cr. Source: KPMG FICCI Report 2013 13
  • 14. NEW MEDIA – 1 : Internet (2012-17) 450 Wireless Connections Million connections 400 Wireline Connections 55 350 47 300 40 250 200 34 29 150 100 25 50 99 139 174 232 286 331 0 2012 2013P 2014P Source: FICCI KPMG 2013 2015P 2016P 2017P 14
  • 15. NEW MEDIA – 2 : Internet vs TV 1000 Millions 800 731 820 791 762 600 351 400 200 174 226 873 848 426 496 276 0 2012 2013P 2014P 2015P 2016P 2017P Internet Users TV Viewers Source: FICCI-KPMG 2013 15
  • 16. SUCCESS –1: Print  Strengthened Democratic Discourse:  At grass roots level: 760 mn voters  Open, Fearless, Critical:  Even under Threats & Strain  Warded off Censorship & Won  Few Exceptions: They are now History!  Forced Government’s Attention on Issues  First 25 yrs: Parliament was the Watchdog  Feroze Gandhi, PAC, Sahujain, Mundhra, Telco 16
  • 17. SUCCESS – 2 : TV : DDn(1)  Early Stage : DD’s Monopoly & Golden Days  Ramayana  Mahabharat  Buniyaad 17
  • 18. SUCCESS – 2 : TV : DDn(2)  Hum Log  Chitrahaar  Nukkad  Yeh Jo Hai Zindagi 18
  • 19. SUCCESS – 2 : TV : DDn(3)  Impacts & the Spin-offs:  Cultural Unity, through Programmes, Songs, etc  Essential Information: Agricultural Education  Globalization & Lifestyles  Hindu Consciousness (?)  Activism: Rajani, Yeh Jo Jindagi Hai, Ulta Pulta 19
  • 20. SUCCESS – 3 : Private TV Cos.(1) 20
  • 21. SUCCESS – 3 : Private TV Cos.(2)  GEC: Peoples’ Popular Entertainment : Soaps & Serials Competitions Reality Shows Songs & Films  Popular Entertainment: is ‘Bolly-Packed’  Standardization of Indian Bolly-Culture! 21
  • 22. SUCCESS – 3 : Private TV Cos.(3)  NEWS: Competitive Sensationalism :  Tehelka (2001)  Adarsh Housing (2010)  2G Spectrum (2008)  CWG (2010)  Blood Thirsty: ‘Trial by Media’ & ‘Heads Must Roll’. 22
  • 23. SUCCESS – 4 : Radio : AIR  From Tool Of The Empire To Unifier Of India  1947 : 18 Txrs + 6 Stations  Now : 577 Txrs + 406 Stations (213 having Studio)  24 Indian Languages & 146 Dialects  Manipur : 30 Languages : 3 Mn  .Vividh Bharati : Unity Through Songs  FM Revolution : Revived the Radio  Listen Live: FM Gold & AIR Urdu: 23
  • 24. MEDIA : Issues – 1 : News(1)  Major News Channels  Yet Sustaining  Making Losses  Mission or Mystry? 24
  • 25. MEDIA : Issues – 1 : News(2)  Paid News & Blackmail  Self ‘Accreditation’  News Head in Rs. 100 Cr. Blackmail? 25
  • 26. MEDIA : Issues – 2 : Barons(A)  Cross Media Ownership  Barons : Control Content + Distribution 26
  • 27. MEDIA : Issues – 2 : Barons(B)  Cross Media Ownership  Colossal Corporates vs Giant Govts.  Baron-Political Nexus: Many are MPs  No Regulatory Mechanism : Leveson  Unlike US, UK, France, etc 27
  • 28. MEDIA : Issues – 3 : Cross Media(A) Group of Companies Broadcasting Distribution Platform Print TV Channels FM Radio Station DTH MSO Sun TV √ √ √ √ √ Zee Group √ √ √ √ √ Star India √ √ √ √ √ India Today √ √ √ The Times Group √ √ √ HT Media √ ABP Group √ √ √ √ 28
  • 29. MEDIA : Issues – 3 : Cross Media(B) 29
  • 30. Civil Society & Transparency  Press is Interlocutor, Beneficiary & Catalyst  It cannot appropriate entire CREDIT  Transparency in India Led By  Social Activism  Peoples’ Movements  Right to Information  Consumer Awareness  Judicial Activism  Citizen Charter Bill  Blog Space & Netizens  Regulatory Authorities IF 4 PILLARS COLLAPSE !! WILL 5TH PILLAR EMERGE ? 30
  • 31. MEDIA : Issues – 4 : Future  International : From ‘Static’ to ‘Mobile’  Print Digitalizing Super Fast  738 Mn Mobiles Active in India (Sept’13)  Smart Phones: Growing : & Tablets Cheap  From Fixed TVs & PCs > All Going Mobile  Streaming> IPTV > Social Media > Webcast  Bandwidth : 2 National Network Projects 31