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World’s Top Global Mega Trends To 2025 and Implications
to Business, Society and Cultures
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Global Mega Trends
Urbanization –
City as a
Customer
Smart is the New
Green
Social Trends: Gen Y,
Middle Bulge, She-
conomy,
Geosocialization
Connectivity and
Convergence
Bricks and Clicks
Innovating to Zero
New Business
Models: Value for
Many
Economy: Beyond
BRIC: The Next
Game Changers
Future
Infrastructure
Development
Health, Wellness
and Well Being
Future of MobilityFuture of Energy
Mega Trends are transformative, global forces that define the future world with their far reaching
impacts on businesses, societies, economies, cultures, and personal lives.
Definition of Mega Trends That Frost & Sullivan Tracks
Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis.
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News Headlines in 2025
Robots  have  entered  our  
homes  for  personal  use.
Sensory  devices  guide  our  
everyday  lives.
Mobile  ;inancial  transactions  
are  now  in  crypto-­‐currencies.
Big  data  has  entered  the  
Zettabyte  era.
3D  printing  is  commonplace.  
4D  printing  is  gaining  
mainstream  acceptance  .
High  Speed  Rail  to  connect  
from  China  to  Europe.
There  are  6  million  
autonomous  cars  in  Europe  
and  North  America.
Summer  Sale:  Low-­‐cost  
holidays  in  space.  
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The Mega Trend Matrix
Understanding Implications of Key Mega Trends on Global Economy
Note: The size of the bubble represents the scale of opportunity within each Mega Trend.
These Mega Trends have been plotted based on quantitative and qualitative reasoning. Source: Frost & Sullivan Analysis
Low Degree of Certainty
DegreeofImpactonGlobalEconomyLowHigh
High
Urbanization
Innovating
to Zero
Health,
Wellness, and
Well-Being
Connectivity
and
Convergence
Bricks and
Clicks
Infrastructure
Development
Smart is
the New
Green Future of
Energy
Future of
Mobility
Social
Trends
Economic
Trends
New Business
Models
Mega Trend Matrix, Global, 2025
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Connected  Home  –  31%
 Connected  Work  –15%  
 Connected  City  –  54%
•  Home  Automation
•  Home  Energy  
•  Home  Health
•  Home  Entertainment
•  Mobility  -­‐  Mobile  
email,  Uni;ied  
Communication
•  Mobile  Working
•  Enterprise  Social  
Networking
•  eGovernance
•  eCitizens
•  Smart  transportation  
cards,  connected  cars
•  E-­‐learning
•  Mobile  banking
Connected  Living  describes  a  world  in  which  consumers  use  many  different  devices  to  experience  compelling  
new  services  that  integrate  video,  voice,  and  data  services  to  provide  access  and  ubiquitous  connectivity  
anytime  and  anywhere.  
Future Connected Living Ecosystem
Connected life contains three important aspects of connected home, connected city, and connected
work
Connected  Living  Total  Market:  $730  Billion  in  2020
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6
QIVICON  B2B  Business  Hub  including  partners  
from…
Health
(E.g  
Tunstall)
Multimedia
(E.g  
Samsung)
Automation
(E.g  Belkin)
Security
(E.g  Pax)
Energy
EnBW,  Solon
Appliances,  
electronics  (A&E)
Miele,  Samsung
QIVICON  CONNECTED  HOME  PLATFORM  for  
consumers  aggregating  service  from  all  partners.
Consumer  Homes
B2B
B2B2C
Case Study: Connected Home’s B2B Platform Of Deutsche Telekom
A platform-based approach that brings together leading companies

•  First  company  
worldwide  to  offer  a  
"software  as  a  service’  
connected  home  
platform
•  Open  and  independent  
B2B  platform  for  
partners
•  Largest  range  of  
partners  in  the  
connected  home  space
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2000s2014201520162016+ 2016+2016201520142000s
Eye
Facial
Voice
Touch
Gesture
Gaze
controlled
Games
uMoove
Mobile Eye
Scroll phones
Tobii Eye
Tracking
Analytics
cars
PayPal – Pay
with Face
Amscreen
Face
Scanners
Tactical
Identification
System
Google 411
Voice
Search
Windows
Speech
Recognition
Siri -
Personal
Assistant
AMOLED
Touch
Screens
Holographic
Touchscreen
Kinect
Gesture
Gaming
Leapmotion
Computer
Control
Snapdrago
mobile
technology
Sensorization of Things
Multi-Factor sensory-based trackers revolutionise the field of personal devices
The radial timeline diagram depicts which products are impacted in the next decade by sensory
tracking technology in consumer electronics
Sensory Tracking
Technology in
Consumers
Devices
Source: Frost & Sullivan Analysis
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Gamification - solutions to generate $8 billion globally within a decade,
driven by increasing need for consumer engagement
20 %
16 %
14 %
10 % 10 %
Games Social
Networking
Enetrtainment Maps/Navigation Video
Consumer App Usage Patterns, Global, 2012
Gamification – a customer interaction approach to design behaviours, develop skills and engage customers
Uses
• Mobile and tablet
applications
• Software programs
• Educational tools
Predicted areas of impact
• Employee performance
• Education
• Personal development
• Customer engagement
platforms
The use of game
mechanics and
design in non game
context to impact
engagement and
outcome
Current enablers
• Mobile
• Cloud
• Social networking
• Location based
services
Future enablers
• Gesture control
• Augmented reality
Source: Deloitte, Google Trends, Frost & Sullivan Analysis.
Gamification Market, Global, 2012-2020, ($ billion)
0,2 0,4
0,9
1,8
3,2
4,9
6,6
7,5
8,3
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
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Sub Trend: Big Data Analytics
90% of the data in the world has been created in the last two years alone
Source:  IBM,  Cisco,  Frost  &  Sullivan  Analysis
Global  Data  Traf;ic  in  Zettabytes,  2010-­‐2025
 Global  Big  Data  Market  in  $  billion,  2010-­‐2025
2010
 2020
 2025
2015
3.56
87.85
122.6
47.37
2010
 2020
 2025
2015
1.2
34.1
100.2
7.6
Global  Data  Traf;ic  to  
Cross  100  Zettabytes  
annually  by  2025
Global  Big  Data  
Market  to  generate  a  
revenue  of  over  $122  
billion  by  2025
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Big Data Deluge
Digital content is doubling every 18 months
2012 2020
1.2
Zettabyte
100.2
Zettabyte
Database
Data Warehouse
ERPs
CRMs
Systems
Web blogs
Social Media
Audio, Video
Excel, CSV
Online
Structured Data Unstructured Data
Social Sentiment
Analysis
Data Analytics
Marketing
Optimization -
Micromarketing
Open Innovation
Discovery and
Navigation
IT Economics
Security
Intelligence
Asset
Management
Data Visualization
+40% /
Year
Types of Data-Enabled Services
Big Data Creates New Value Propositions for Businesses
Cloud-connected cars Facebook Personalized
Marketing
Nissan is looking at
analytics on sensor data
and telematics to improve
self-diagnostics
Facebook analyses location
data to reach more customers
with personalized, targeted
products
Smart Factories Emergency Responses
Pepsi’s Latin American
division merged customer,
logistics, and manufacturing
data to significantly improve
its plant operations
During Superstorm Sandy,
2012, Twitter hashtags
were analysed to find out
where power, fuel, food and
water were urgently
needed.
Big Data
Big Data is growing at
40% annually
Data Traffic per Year, Global, 2012 and 2020
Source: IBM, Cisco, Frost & Sullivan Analysis
Big Data, Sources & Types of Services, 2014
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Implication: Connectivity Is Pushing Convergence
Connectivity will Accelerate Convergence of Industries, Products, Technologies and Competition
INDUSTRIES
PRODUCTS
Car Unmanned Technology Autonomous Cars
TECHNOLOGIES
Building Technologies Smart Automation Smart Home Hubs
Space Industry Solar Industry Space  Based  Solar  
Power
1
3
2
Source:  Frost  &  Sullivan  analysis
Image  Source::  `Creative  Commons  and  Dreamstime.
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Convergence is Driving Unconventional Players to Contest for New
Markets!
•  Google    -­‐  Nest  ,  Titan  Aerospace
•  Amazon    -­‐  Dash,  Fire  TV
•  Facebook  –  Oculus,  
Connectivity  Labs
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Smart  
Technology
Smart  
Buildings
Smart  Mobility
Smart  
Windows
Smart  Clouds
LEVEL  3
Sensing  
Mechanism  +  
Two-­‐way  Flow  of  
Data  
Communication
Smart  Chip
 Smart  Lighting
LEVEL  2
Basic  Sensing  
Mechanism  +  One-­‐
way  Data  
Communication
Smart  
Bandages
LEVEL  1
Basic  Sensing  
Mechanism  
Image  Source:  Dreamstime  and  Connected  Digital  World  
Source:  Frost  &  Sullivan
A  smart  product  is  
characterized  by  an  intelligent  
sensing  technology  that  is  
increasingly  being  integrated  with  
Internet  technologies,  thereby  
allowing  the  product  to  react  to  and  
communicate  with  the  changing  
environment  around  it.  This  leads  
to  optimal  operations  and  
improvement  in  ef;iciency.
Smart is the New Green
3 Levels of Smart Products and Technologies
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20,93
14,11
16,65
13,75
9,09
15,26
10,21
Smart  Infrastructure3
CAGR:  8.9%  (2012-­‐2020)
Smart cities To Create Huge Business Opportunities With A Market
Value Of $1.5 Trillion By 2020
1
2
4
5
6
Smart  Governance    and  Smart  
Education2
CAGR:  12.4%  (2012-­‐2020)
Smart  Energy
CAGR:  19.6%  (2012-­‐2020)
Smart  Transportation
CAGR:  14.8%  (2012-­‐2020)
Smart  Healthcare
CAGR:  6.9%  (2012-­‐2020)
Smart  Building
CAGR:  8.8%  (2012-­‐2020)
7 ,  Smart  City  Market  by  Segments,1  Global  2020
Source:  Frost  &  Sullivan  analysis.
Note:  The  graph  represent  the  market  share  of  each  
segment  in  the  smart  city  market.
For  more  information  on  smart  city  market  sectors  please  
refer  to  appendix
Smart  City  Market
2Smart  Education  includes  eLearning  services  for  schools,  universities,  enterprises,  and  government  entities  
1These  numbers  represent  the  entire  smart  solutions  eco-­‐system  in  each  segment  for  both  urban  and  non-­‐urban  panoramas
Smart  Security
CAGR:  14%  (2012-­‐2020)
3
3Other  Smart  Infrastructure  such  as  sensor  networks,    digital  management  of  water  utilities    not  included  in  other  segments
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Global Smart Cities in 2025
More than 26 global cities will be Smart Cities in 2025, and more than 50% of which will be from Europe
and North America.
Tianjin
Wuhan
Shenzhen
Glasgow
Los Angeles
New York
Smart Cities in 2025
Toronto
San Francisco
Vancouver
Paris
London Berlin
Barcelona
Amsterdam
Seattle
Tokyo
Singapore
Calgary
Chicago
Vienna
Copenhagen
Oslo
Seoul
Beijing
Helsinki
Sydney
Image Source: Dreamstime and Frost and Sullivan Image Library.
Source: Forbes Smart City List, Innovation City Index; specific Smart Project Websites for each city; Frost & Sullivan analysis.
Stockholm
Smart Cities, Global, 2025
Boston
San Diego
Luxembourg
Chengdu
Johannesburg
Delhi
Jakarta
Select Smart City Projects in 20251
1This list is not exhaustive. The cities highlighted
here have implemented smart city projects in at
least one of eight smart city aspects discussed in
this study
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Sustainable/Eco Cities in 2025
Global Snapshot of Sustainable/Eco Cities in 2025
Source: Siemens Green Index and Frost & Sullivan analysis.
Note: Eco Cities are cities built on a green initiative, from buildings to transport, governance,
city planning, energy, and technology. These cities are either upgraded or built from scratch.
Sustainable/Eco City in 2025
Sustainable/Eco City built from
scratch
Accra
Johannesburg
Cape Town
Durban
Tunis
Masdar City
Doha
Belo Horizonte
Bogotá
Brasília
Rio de Janeiro
São Paulo
Curitiba
Mexico City
Portland
Sacramento
Oakland
San Diego
Dallas
Houston
Orlando
Austin
Minneapolis
San Jose
Denver
Boston
Ottawa
Montreal
Philadelphia
Washington
DC
Columbus
Edmonton
Cardiff
Brussels
Zurich
Lyon
Frankfurt
Milan
Rome
Cambridge
shire
Marseille
Tampere
Geneva
Graz
Riga
Vilnius
Metz
Tubingen
Montpellier
Bordeaux
Casablanca
Norwich
Hamburg
Manchester
Gothenburg
Isle of Wight
Glasgow
Liverpool
Dublin
Marseille
Bergen
Edinburgh
Nantes
Gyor
GIFT
Sino-Singapore Tianjin Eco-city, Tianjin
Nanjing
Hong Kong
Foshan
Guangzhou
Wuxi
Osaka
Yokohama
Wanzhuang Eco-city, Hebei
Medan
Palembang
Jakarta
Surabaya
Denpasar
Makasar
Balikpapan
Adelaide
Moreland
North America
Latin America
Europe
Middle East
and Africa
Asia-Pacific & Australia
Istanbul
Bursa
Ankara
Eskisehir
Izmir
Denizli
Antalya
Adana
Edinburgh
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The Next Game Changers in 2025 (Beyond BRICSs)
High GDP growth, improved FDIs, and rapid industrialization to give rise to a new lot of emerging
countries, beyond BRIC nations, that contend to become next decade’s economic leaders
$2,327
Billion
$635
Billion
$1,041
Billion $2,441
Billion
$653
Billion
$772
Billion $323
Billion
$483
Billion
Mexico
Egypt
South Africa
Turkey
Poland
Indonesia
Thailand
Vietnam
PhilippinesNext Game Changers
Note : The figure denotes GDP at
market prices. Forecasts to 2025
have been extrapolated based on
Nominal GDP growth rate projections
Source: International Monetary Fund. Oxford Economics, Frost & Sullivan,
$3,071
Billion
$730
Billion
Nigeria
The trillion dollar economies
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New Business Models
Examples
B2C
 Co-­‐Creation  (Eg.  Quirky.com)
On-­‐Demand  Services

Digital  Media  /  Online  Streaming  Collapsing  
Video  Rentals:  eg.  Net;lix
Pay  as  you  Go  Insurance

Value  for  Many  
•  (Low  Cost  Models    -­‐  Tata  Nano)
•  Group  Buying  (Groupon)
•  Micro  Financing  
B2B
 Online  Platforms
•  E  Rental  (Workspaces)
•  E  Distribution  (eg.  Deliv)
•  E  Exchanges
•  Hypermarkets
•  E-­‐Travel:  Concur
Sharing:  Corporate  Car  Sharing
Alliance  Based  Models
Integrator  Models  (IBM  Smarter  Planet)
Online  Stock  Trading  –  traditional  brokers
P2P/
C2C
Online  Retail  (Eg.  Ebay)
•  E-­‐Auction  (eg.  Taobao)
Sharing  –  Car  Sharing
Peer-­‐to-­‐peer  lending
G2B
 Open  Business  Model  (Online  Bidding  of  
Projects)  –  (e.g  Chicago  Open  Data  Model)
PPP    -­‐  BOO,  BOT,  BOM
G2G
 E-­‐Records,  E-­‐Consultancy  -­‐  (e.g  G2G  
Information  System  like  NEGIS)
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Future of Clicks in Retail Industry
Global Online Retail Sales To Reach $4.3 Trillion By 2025 Accounting for 19% of Total Retail
$11.8  
Trillion
$23  
Trillion
$18.7
Trillion
$11.25  
Trillion
$4.3
Trillion
$0.55  
Trillion
Online  Sales
 Non-­‐Online  Sales
5%
95%
19%
81%
2011
 2025
United
States
$1.32
Trillion
24%
18%
China
$1.30
Trillion
United Kingdom
$0.21
Trillion
Germany
$0.09
Trillion
Japan
$0.17
Trillion
26%
15%
10%
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Fully Digital,
Retail-Style Cyberstore
One-stop Experience
for Entire Model Range
Gamification, Augmented
Reality Offers Tailor-
made services
Specially Trained Dealer
Personnel Interactivity
London Flagship Store
Highly personalized
customer dialogue
Case Study: Audi City London - First Digital Car Showroom
Example of Future Digital Car Showrooms that will be “Unlimited”, Personalised, Socially Connected
and Digitally Integrated
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Virtual Stores—New Generation of Grocery Shopping
Virtual stores are simulated brick and mortar stores that offer interactive shopping in public places
by creating virtual products, which buyers can buy and order using their Smartphones.
1
2 3
4
Choose
grocery item
from “virtual
shelves”
Smartphone App Registers
Product of Choice
The product lands in
customer’s “virtual cart”
The product is
delivered to the
customer at a time
and date of his or
her choice
Number 1 shopping app in Korea,
with over 900,000 downloads
Online sales increased by
130.0% since launch in 2011
Home plus online membership increased
by 76.0% since launch in 2011
Virtual Store—The Fourth-
Generation Retail Store
Tesco’s Subway Virtual Store
Single virtual store opened at subway
Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis.Image Source: iStockphoto and Dreamstime
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3D Printing
The consumer and commercial products are expected to account for 28% of 3D printing revenues by
2020
$1.1 Billion
$7.1 Billion
2009
2020
Global 3D Printing Market, Segment Breakdown,
2009 and 2020
Total Market ($Billion)
By Industry (% Share)
Source: Frost & Sullivan Analysis
• Human Organs
• Medical Devices
• Body Tissues
• Nano-medicine
• Pharmaceuticals
Healthcare
• Concept Modeling
• Prototypes
• Spare Parts
• End-use Parts
• Tooling
Automotive
• Manufacturing On-
demand
• Cutting Tools
• Customization
• Domestic Production
3D Printed Products in Key Industries
3D printing is a computer-driven additive manufacturing
technology used for producing the final product from a
digital model by laying down successive layers of material.
Design Print Finish
Manufacturing
3D printing begins
with creating a digital
model of the object,
usually using CAD
software
The 3D printer slices
model into numerous
digital cross-sections, and
automatically builds the
model using materials like
thermoplastics
The final 3D printed
object is then cleaned
to remove overhung
material and is
polished for final use
28 %
20 %
4 %
12 %
15 %
16 %
5 %
Consumer & Commercial
Automotive
Architecture
Industrial Application
Aerospace & Defense
Medical and Dental
Other
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Rise of the Robots
Robots priced between $1,566 and $4,699 could enter our personal lives commercializing the personal
robots market by 2020
2004 2013
ASIMO = $150,000 LUNA = $1,000
Commercialization of Robotics
Steep fall in personal robots ownership prices from $150,000 to $1,000
Source: Frost & Sullivan Analysis
•  Non-commercial
•  Not for sale
•  Available only on lending
basis
•  Commercial
•  Currently available on auction
basis
•  Expected to retail between $1,000
and $3,000
Robotics for Elderly
Care: Assisted Living
Robots as Teaching
Assistants
Robots for household
care Robots as Nannies
Robots for
companionship
Robots as personal
assistants
Robots at Home (Personal Robot Applications)
2010
$1.29
billion
2020
$17.39
billion
Global Personal Robots Market
24M82C-MT
Executive Summary – Top Ten Transformational Shifts by 2020
1
2
3
6
5
9
8
4
7
Connected
Living
Big Data
Clouds
Smart Cities
Sharing
Economy
Rise of
Personal
Robotics Sensorization
of Things
Resource
Nexus
Circular
Economy
Wearable
Computing
3D Printing
While all Mega Trends are important, the selection and raking of these trends indicate which seismic
shifts will have particular relevance in shaping the landscape in which the world will evolve this decade.
Impact on Future Products and Services
Measured based on most impact on future products and services capabilities resulting in new convergent and
radical devices
Minor Conservative Radical
GrowthAttractiveness
Assessedbasedonmarketattractivenessintermsofrevenue/
shipment.
HighLow
Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis.
10
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Top Industries of the Future
Market Size Potential1 by 2020 ($Billion)
GrowthPotential2(2012-2030)
Market Size Potential1 by 2020 ($Billion)
GrowthPotential2(2012-2030)
Top Mature Industries by 2020 Top Emerging Industries by 2020
1Relative score assigned for potential annual turnover (revenue / shipment) of the industry in 2025
1Measured by qualitative factors that has the scope to create a boom in the industry such as new patents, innovation cycle and industry impact
Source: Bloomberg, Frost and Sullivan Analysis
Oil & Gas
Pharma &
Healthcare
Chemical,
Materials &
Food
ICT
Automobile
Metals &
Mining
Energy,
Power
Aerospace
& Defence
Engineering &
Construction
Electronics
Virtual
CommerceBig
Data
3D
Printing
Cloud
Computing
Cyber
Security
Managed
Services
Wellness
Industry
Urban
Logistics
Alternative
Energy
Waste
Management
26M82C-MT
Some Key Strategic Challenges
1 (Fair) Trade
Providing social premium for community development projects; Balance between
self-reliance and global market integration; Fostering export dependency
2 Collaborative Ecosystem
Shift from social intranet to online collaborative workspaces; Directly embedding
collaborative processes to improve the speed and quality of their decisions
3 Economic Shifts
Changes in business strategies; China and India to lead the global economy in the
near future; Looking Beyond BRICS
4 The Retail Issue
Look at internet retailing; look at the format of your retailing offer and how this fits
into new trends for micro solutions driven by convenience
5 Complexity Management
New value chain partnerships; Integration of product innovations; Facing the impact
of adjacent markets
6 Sustainable Development
Incorporation of increased interdisciplinary planning; Adopting new business models
for collective ownership
7 Where You Live Is your City ‘Smart’ or ‘Sustainable’; What are your City Planning Policies ?
8 Government Inhibition Focus on public-based solutions; Reduced foreign direct investments;
9
Sustainable and Livable
Cities
Need for more green initiatives; demand for carbon neutral energy production and
advanced spatial planning and urban design solutions
10 Organizational Changes
Need for more integrated solutions; Dynamic and flexible working practices; exterior
innovations; structural changes
Source: Frost & Sullivan
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Macro        To        Micro
From Macro to Micro: Taking Mega Trends from Information to
Strategy Implementation
Mega  Trend
Selected  trends  that  impact  your  
business  and  markets
Sub  Trend
A  sub-­‐layer  of  trends  that  has  a  
wide  ranging  impact  
Impact  to  Your  Industry/Region
Visualising  the  roadmap  of  these  critical  
forces  through  scenario-­‐building  and  macro  
economic  forecasts
Impact  on  Future  Product/  
Technology/Offer
Analysis  of  Opportunities  and  
Unmet  Needs
28M82C-MT
Learn More About “New Mega Trends”
Published  Book:
New  Mega  Trends  
Implications  for  our  Future  Lives  
By  Sarwant  Singh  
    
    
Publisher:  Palgrave  Macmillan
http://www.palgrave.com/products/title.aspx?
pid=577423

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Frost & Sullivan - world's top global mega trends to 2025 and implications

  • 1. 1M82C-MTM82C-MT World’s Top Global Mega Trends To 2025 and Implications to Business, Society and Cultures
  • 2. 2M82C-MT Global Mega Trends Urbanization – City as a Customer Smart is the New Green Social Trends: Gen Y, Middle Bulge, She- conomy, Geosocialization Connectivity and Convergence Bricks and Clicks Innovating to Zero New Business Models: Value for Many Economy: Beyond BRIC: The Next Game Changers Future Infrastructure Development Health, Wellness and Well Being Future of MobilityFuture of Energy Mega Trends are transformative, global forces that define the future world with their far reaching impacts on businesses, societies, economies, cultures, and personal lives. Definition of Mega Trends That Frost & Sullivan Tracks Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis.
  • 3. 3M82C-MT News Headlines in 2025 Robots  have  entered  our   homes  for  personal  use. Sensory  devices  guide  our   everyday  lives. Mobile  ;inancial  transactions   are  now  in  crypto-­‐currencies. Big  data  has  entered  the   Zettabyte  era. 3D  printing  is  commonplace.   4D  printing  is  gaining   mainstream  acceptance  . High  Speed  Rail  to  connect   from  China  to  Europe. There  are  6  million   autonomous  cars  in  Europe   and  North  America. Summer  Sale:  Low-­‐cost   holidays  in  space.  
  • 4. 4M82C-MT The Mega Trend Matrix Understanding Implications of Key Mega Trends on Global Economy Note: The size of the bubble represents the scale of opportunity within each Mega Trend. These Mega Trends have been plotted based on quantitative and qualitative reasoning. Source: Frost & Sullivan Analysis Low Degree of Certainty DegreeofImpactonGlobalEconomyLowHigh High Urbanization Innovating to Zero Health, Wellness, and Well-Being Connectivity and Convergence Bricks and Clicks Infrastructure Development Smart is the New Green Future of Energy Future of Mobility Social Trends Economic Trends New Business Models Mega Trend Matrix, Global, 2025
  • 5. 5M82C-MT   Connected  Home  –  31% Connected  Work  –15%   Connected  City  –  54% •  Home  Automation •  Home  Energy   •  Home  Health •  Home  Entertainment •  Mobility  -­‐  Mobile   email,  Uni;ied   Communication •  Mobile  Working •  Enterprise  Social   Networking •  eGovernance •  eCitizens •  Smart  transportation   cards,  connected  cars •  E-­‐learning •  Mobile  banking Connected  Living  describes  a  world  in  which  consumers  use  many  different  devices  to  experience  compelling   new  services  that  integrate  video,  voice,  and  data  services  to  provide  access  and  ubiquitous  connectivity   anytime  and  anywhere.   Future Connected Living Ecosystem Connected life contains three important aspects of connected home, connected city, and connected work Connected  Living  Total  Market:  $730  Billion  in  2020
  • 6. 6M82C-MT 6 QIVICON  B2B  Business  Hub  including  partners   from… Health (E.g   Tunstall) Multimedia (E.g   Samsung) Automation (E.g  Belkin) Security (E.g  Pax) Energy EnBW,  Solon Appliances,   electronics  (A&E) Miele,  Samsung QIVICON  CONNECTED  HOME  PLATFORM  for   consumers  aggregating  service  from  all  partners. Consumer  Homes B2B B2B2C Case Study: Connected Home’s B2B Platform Of Deutsche Telekom A platform-based approach that brings together leading companies •  First  company   worldwide  to  offer  a   "software  as  a  service’   connected  home   platform •  Open  and  independent   B2B  platform  for   partners •  Largest  range  of   partners  in  the   connected  home  space
  • 7. 7M82C-MT 2000s2014201520162016+ 2016+2016201520142000s Eye Facial Voice Touch Gesture Gaze controlled Games uMoove Mobile Eye Scroll phones Tobii Eye Tracking Analytics cars PayPal – Pay with Face Amscreen Face Scanners Tactical Identification System Google 411 Voice Search Windows Speech Recognition Siri - Personal Assistant AMOLED Touch Screens Holographic Touchscreen Kinect Gesture Gaming Leapmotion Computer Control Snapdrago mobile technology Sensorization of Things Multi-Factor sensory-based trackers revolutionise the field of personal devices The radial timeline diagram depicts which products are impacted in the next decade by sensory tracking technology in consumer electronics Sensory Tracking Technology in Consumers Devices Source: Frost & Sullivan Analysis
  • 8. 8M82C-MT Gamification - solutions to generate $8 billion globally within a decade, driven by increasing need for consumer engagement 20 % 16 % 14 % 10 % 10 % Games Social Networking Enetrtainment Maps/Navigation Video Consumer App Usage Patterns, Global, 2012 Gamification – a customer interaction approach to design behaviours, develop skills and engage customers Uses • Mobile and tablet applications • Software programs • Educational tools Predicted areas of impact • Employee performance • Education • Personal development • Customer engagement platforms The use of game mechanics and design in non game context to impact engagement and outcome Current enablers • Mobile • Cloud • Social networking • Location based services Future enablers • Gesture control • Augmented reality Source: Deloitte, Google Trends, Frost & Sullivan Analysis. Gamification Market, Global, 2012-2020, ($ billion) 0,2 0,4 0,9 1,8 3,2 4,9 6,6 7,5 8,3 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
  • 9. 9M82C-MT Sub Trend: Big Data Analytics 90% of the data in the world has been created in the last two years alone Source:  IBM,  Cisco,  Frost  &  Sullivan  Analysis Global  Data  Traf;ic  in  Zettabytes,  2010-­‐2025 Global  Big  Data  Market  in  $  billion,  2010-­‐2025 2010 2020 2025 2015 3.56 87.85 122.6 47.37 2010 2020 2025 2015 1.2 34.1 100.2 7.6 Global  Data  Traf;ic  to   Cross  100  Zettabytes   annually  by  2025 Global  Big  Data   Market  to  generate  a   revenue  of  over  $122   billion  by  2025
  • 10. 10M82C-MT Big Data Deluge Digital content is doubling every 18 months 2012 2020 1.2 Zettabyte 100.2 Zettabyte Database Data Warehouse ERPs CRMs Systems Web blogs Social Media Audio, Video Excel, CSV Online Structured Data Unstructured Data Social Sentiment Analysis Data Analytics Marketing Optimization - Micromarketing Open Innovation Discovery and Navigation IT Economics Security Intelligence Asset Management Data Visualization +40% / Year Types of Data-Enabled Services Big Data Creates New Value Propositions for Businesses Cloud-connected cars Facebook Personalized Marketing Nissan is looking at analytics on sensor data and telematics to improve self-diagnostics Facebook analyses location data to reach more customers with personalized, targeted products Smart Factories Emergency Responses Pepsi’s Latin American division merged customer, logistics, and manufacturing data to significantly improve its plant operations During Superstorm Sandy, 2012, Twitter hashtags were analysed to find out where power, fuel, food and water were urgently needed. Big Data Big Data is growing at 40% annually Data Traffic per Year, Global, 2012 and 2020 Source: IBM, Cisco, Frost & Sullivan Analysis Big Data, Sources & Types of Services, 2014
  • 11. 11M82C-MT Implication: Connectivity Is Pushing Convergence Connectivity will Accelerate Convergence of Industries, Products, Technologies and Competition INDUSTRIES PRODUCTS Car Unmanned Technology Autonomous Cars TECHNOLOGIES Building Technologies Smart Automation Smart Home Hubs Space Industry Solar Industry Space  Based  Solar   Power 1 3 2 Source:  Frost  &  Sullivan  analysis Image  Source::  `Creative  Commons  and  Dreamstime.
  • 12. 12M82C-MT Convergence is Driving Unconventional Players to Contest for New Markets! •  Google    -­‐  Nest  ,  Titan  Aerospace •  Amazon    -­‐  Dash,  Fire  TV •  Facebook  –  Oculus,   Connectivity  Labs
  • 13. 13M82C-MT Smart   Technology Smart   Buildings Smart  Mobility Smart   Windows Smart  Clouds LEVEL  3 Sensing   Mechanism  +   Two-­‐way  Flow  of   Data   Communication Smart  Chip Smart  Lighting LEVEL  2 Basic  Sensing   Mechanism  +  One-­‐ way  Data   Communication Smart   Bandages LEVEL  1 Basic  Sensing   Mechanism   Image  Source:  Dreamstime  and  Connected  Digital  World   Source:  Frost  &  Sullivan A  smart  product  is   characterized  by  an  intelligent   sensing  technology  that  is   increasingly  being  integrated  with   Internet  technologies,  thereby   allowing  the  product  to  react  to  and   communicate  with  the  changing   environment  around  it.  This  leads   to  optimal  operations  and   improvement  in  ef;iciency. Smart is the New Green 3 Levels of Smart Products and Technologies
  • 14. 14M82C-MT 20,93 14,11 16,65 13,75 9,09 15,26 10,21 Smart  Infrastructure3 CAGR:  8.9%  (2012-­‐2020) Smart cities To Create Huge Business Opportunities With A Market Value Of $1.5 Trillion By 2020 1 2 4 5 6 Smart  Governance    and  Smart   Education2 CAGR:  12.4%  (2012-­‐2020) Smart  Energy CAGR:  19.6%  (2012-­‐2020) Smart  Transportation CAGR:  14.8%  (2012-­‐2020) Smart  Healthcare CAGR:  6.9%  (2012-­‐2020) Smart  Building CAGR:  8.8%  (2012-­‐2020) 7 ,  Smart  City  Market  by  Segments,1  Global  2020 Source:  Frost  &  Sullivan  analysis. Note:  The  graph  represent  the  market  share  of  each   segment  in  the  smart  city  market. For  more  information  on  smart  city  market  sectors  please   refer  to  appendix Smart  City  Market 2Smart  Education  includes  eLearning  services  for  schools,  universities,  enterprises,  and  government  entities   1These  numbers  represent  the  entire  smart  solutions  eco-­‐system  in  each  segment  for  both  urban  and  non-­‐urban  panoramas Smart  Security CAGR:  14%  (2012-­‐2020) 3 3Other  Smart  Infrastructure  such  as  sensor  networks,    digital  management  of  water  utilities    not  included  in  other  segments
  • 15. 15M82C-MT Global Smart Cities in 2025 More than 26 global cities will be Smart Cities in 2025, and more than 50% of which will be from Europe and North America. Tianjin Wuhan Shenzhen Glasgow Los Angeles New York Smart Cities in 2025 Toronto San Francisco Vancouver Paris London Berlin Barcelona Amsterdam Seattle Tokyo Singapore Calgary Chicago Vienna Copenhagen Oslo Seoul Beijing Helsinki Sydney Image Source: Dreamstime and Frost and Sullivan Image Library. Source: Forbes Smart City List, Innovation City Index; specific Smart Project Websites for each city; Frost & Sullivan analysis. Stockholm Smart Cities, Global, 2025 Boston San Diego Luxembourg Chengdu Johannesburg Delhi Jakarta Select Smart City Projects in 20251 1This list is not exhaustive. The cities highlighted here have implemented smart city projects in at least one of eight smart city aspects discussed in this study
  • 16. 16M82C-MT Sustainable/Eco Cities in 2025 Global Snapshot of Sustainable/Eco Cities in 2025 Source: Siemens Green Index and Frost & Sullivan analysis. Note: Eco Cities are cities built on a green initiative, from buildings to transport, governance, city planning, energy, and technology. These cities are either upgraded or built from scratch. Sustainable/Eco City in 2025 Sustainable/Eco City built from scratch Accra Johannesburg Cape Town Durban Tunis Masdar City Doha Belo Horizonte Bogotá Brasília Rio de Janeiro São Paulo Curitiba Mexico City Portland Sacramento Oakland San Diego Dallas Houston Orlando Austin Minneapolis San Jose Denver Boston Ottawa Montreal Philadelphia Washington DC Columbus Edmonton Cardiff Brussels Zurich Lyon Frankfurt Milan Rome Cambridge shire Marseille Tampere Geneva Graz Riga Vilnius Metz Tubingen Montpellier Bordeaux Casablanca Norwich Hamburg Manchester Gothenburg Isle of Wight Glasgow Liverpool Dublin Marseille Bergen Edinburgh Nantes Gyor GIFT Sino-Singapore Tianjin Eco-city, Tianjin Nanjing Hong Kong Foshan Guangzhou Wuxi Osaka Yokohama Wanzhuang Eco-city, Hebei Medan Palembang Jakarta Surabaya Denpasar Makasar Balikpapan Adelaide Moreland North America Latin America Europe Middle East and Africa Asia-Pacific & Australia Istanbul Bursa Ankara Eskisehir Izmir Denizli Antalya Adana Edinburgh
  • 17. 17M82C-MT The Next Game Changers in 2025 (Beyond BRICSs) High GDP growth, improved FDIs, and rapid industrialization to give rise to a new lot of emerging countries, beyond BRIC nations, that contend to become next decade’s economic leaders $2,327 Billion $635 Billion $1,041 Billion $2,441 Billion $653 Billion $772 Billion $323 Billion $483 Billion Mexico Egypt South Africa Turkey Poland Indonesia Thailand Vietnam PhilippinesNext Game Changers Note : The figure denotes GDP at market prices. Forecasts to 2025 have been extrapolated based on Nominal GDP growth rate projections Source: International Monetary Fund. Oxford Economics, Frost & Sullivan, $3,071 Billion $730 Billion Nigeria The trillion dollar economies
  • 18. 18M82C-MT New Business Models Examples B2C Co-­‐Creation  (Eg.  Quirky.com) On-­‐Demand  Services Digital  Media  /  Online  Streaming  Collapsing   Video  Rentals:  eg.  Net;lix Pay  as  you  Go  Insurance Value  for  Many   •  (Low  Cost  Models    -­‐  Tata  Nano) •  Group  Buying  (Groupon) •  Micro  Financing   B2B Online  Platforms •  E  Rental  (Workspaces) •  E  Distribution  (eg.  Deliv) •  E  Exchanges •  Hypermarkets •  E-­‐Travel:  Concur Sharing:  Corporate  Car  Sharing Alliance  Based  Models Integrator  Models  (IBM  Smarter  Planet) Online  Stock  Trading  –  traditional  brokers P2P/ C2C Online  Retail  (Eg.  Ebay) •  E-­‐Auction  (eg.  Taobao) Sharing  –  Car  Sharing Peer-­‐to-­‐peer  lending G2B Open  Business  Model  (Online  Bidding  of   Projects)  –  (e.g  Chicago  Open  Data  Model) PPP    -­‐  BOO,  BOT,  BOM G2G E-­‐Records,  E-­‐Consultancy  -­‐  (e.g  G2G   Information  System  like  NEGIS)
  • 19. 19M82C-MT Future of Clicks in Retail Industry Global Online Retail Sales To Reach $4.3 Trillion By 2025 Accounting for 19% of Total Retail $11.8   Trillion $23   Trillion $18.7 Trillion $11.25   Trillion $4.3 Trillion $0.55   Trillion Online  Sales Non-­‐Online  Sales 5% 95% 19% 81% 2011 2025 United States $1.32 Trillion 24% 18% China $1.30 Trillion United Kingdom $0.21 Trillion Germany $0.09 Trillion Japan $0.17 Trillion 26% 15% 10%
  • 20. 20M82C-MT Fully Digital, Retail-Style Cyberstore One-stop Experience for Entire Model Range Gamification, Augmented Reality Offers Tailor- made services Specially Trained Dealer Personnel Interactivity London Flagship Store Highly personalized customer dialogue Case Study: Audi City London - First Digital Car Showroom Example of Future Digital Car Showrooms that will be “Unlimited”, Personalised, Socially Connected and Digitally Integrated
  • 21. 21M82C-MT Virtual Stores—New Generation of Grocery Shopping Virtual stores are simulated brick and mortar stores that offer interactive shopping in public places by creating virtual products, which buyers can buy and order using their Smartphones. 1 2 3 4 Choose grocery item from “virtual shelves” Smartphone App Registers Product of Choice The product lands in customer’s “virtual cart” The product is delivered to the customer at a time and date of his or her choice Number 1 shopping app in Korea, with over 900,000 downloads Online sales increased by 130.0% since launch in 2011 Home plus online membership increased by 76.0% since launch in 2011 Virtual Store—The Fourth- Generation Retail Store Tesco’s Subway Virtual Store Single virtual store opened at subway Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis.Image Source: iStockphoto and Dreamstime
  • 22. 22M82C-MT 3D Printing The consumer and commercial products are expected to account for 28% of 3D printing revenues by 2020 $1.1 Billion $7.1 Billion 2009 2020 Global 3D Printing Market, Segment Breakdown, 2009 and 2020 Total Market ($Billion) By Industry (% Share) Source: Frost & Sullivan Analysis • Human Organs • Medical Devices • Body Tissues • Nano-medicine • Pharmaceuticals Healthcare • Concept Modeling • Prototypes • Spare Parts • End-use Parts • Tooling Automotive • Manufacturing On- demand • Cutting Tools • Customization • Domestic Production 3D Printed Products in Key Industries 3D printing is a computer-driven additive manufacturing technology used for producing the final product from a digital model by laying down successive layers of material. Design Print Finish Manufacturing 3D printing begins with creating a digital model of the object, usually using CAD software The 3D printer slices model into numerous digital cross-sections, and automatically builds the model using materials like thermoplastics The final 3D printed object is then cleaned to remove overhung material and is polished for final use 28 % 20 % 4 % 12 % 15 % 16 % 5 % Consumer & Commercial Automotive Architecture Industrial Application Aerospace & Defense Medical and Dental Other
  • 23. 23M82C-MT Rise of the Robots Robots priced between $1,566 and $4,699 could enter our personal lives commercializing the personal robots market by 2020 2004 2013 ASIMO = $150,000 LUNA = $1,000 Commercialization of Robotics Steep fall in personal robots ownership prices from $150,000 to $1,000 Source: Frost & Sullivan Analysis •  Non-commercial •  Not for sale •  Available only on lending basis •  Commercial •  Currently available on auction basis •  Expected to retail between $1,000 and $3,000 Robotics for Elderly Care: Assisted Living Robots as Teaching Assistants Robots for household care Robots as Nannies Robots for companionship Robots as personal assistants Robots at Home (Personal Robot Applications) 2010 $1.29 billion 2020 $17.39 billion Global Personal Robots Market
  • 24. 24M82C-MT Executive Summary – Top Ten Transformational Shifts by 2020 1 2 3 6 5 9 8 4 7 Connected Living Big Data Clouds Smart Cities Sharing Economy Rise of Personal Robotics Sensorization of Things Resource Nexus Circular Economy Wearable Computing 3D Printing While all Mega Trends are important, the selection and raking of these trends indicate which seismic shifts will have particular relevance in shaping the landscape in which the world will evolve this decade. Impact on Future Products and Services Measured based on most impact on future products and services capabilities resulting in new convergent and radical devices Minor Conservative Radical GrowthAttractiveness Assessedbasedonmarketattractivenessintermsofrevenue/ shipment. HighLow Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis. 10
  • 25. 25M82C-MT Top Industries of the Future Market Size Potential1 by 2020 ($Billion) GrowthPotential2(2012-2030) Market Size Potential1 by 2020 ($Billion) GrowthPotential2(2012-2030) Top Mature Industries by 2020 Top Emerging Industries by 2020 1Relative score assigned for potential annual turnover (revenue / shipment) of the industry in 2025 1Measured by qualitative factors that has the scope to create a boom in the industry such as new patents, innovation cycle and industry impact Source: Bloomberg, Frost and Sullivan Analysis Oil & Gas Pharma & Healthcare Chemical, Materials & Food ICT Automobile Metals & Mining Energy, Power Aerospace & Defence Engineering & Construction Electronics Virtual CommerceBig Data 3D Printing Cloud Computing Cyber Security Managed Services Wellness Industry Urban Logistics Alternative Energy Waste Management
  • 26. 26M82C-MT Some Key Strategic Challenges 1 (Fair) Trade Providing social premium for community development projects; Balance between self-reliance and global market integration; Fostering export dependency 2 Collaborative Ecosystem Shift from social intranet to online collaborative workspaces; Directly embedding collaborative processes to improve the speed and quality of their decisions 3 Economic Shifts Changes in business strategies; China and India to lead the global economy in the near future; Looking Beyond BRICS 4 The Retail Issue Look at internet retailing; look at the format of your retailing offer and how this fits into new trends for micro solutions driven by convenience 5 Complexity Management New value chain partnerships; Integration of product innovations; Facing the impact of adjacent markets 6 Sustainable Development Incorporation of increased interdisciplinary planning; Adopting new business models for collective ownership 7 Where You Live Is your City ‘Smart’ or ‘Sustainable’; What are your City Planning Policies ? 8 Government Inhibition Focus on public-based solutions; Reduced foreign direct investments; 9 Sustainable and Livable Cities Need for more green initiatives; demand for carbon neutral energy production and advanced spatial planning and urban design solutions 10 Organizational Changes Need for more integrated solutions; Dynamic and flexible working practices; exterior innovations; structural changes Source: Frost & Sullivan
  • 27. 27M82C-MT Macro        To        Micro From Macro to Micro: Taking Mega Trends from Information to Strategy Implementation Mega  Trend Selected  trends  that  impact  your   business  and  markets Sub  Trend A  sub-­‐layer  of  trends  that  has  a   wide  ranging  impact   Impact  to  Your  Industry/Region Visualising  the  roadmap  of  these  critical   forces  through  scenario-­‐building  and  macro   economic  forecasts Impact  on  Future  Product/   Technology/Offer Analysis  of  Opportunities  and   Unmet  Needs
  • 28. 28M82C-MT Learn More About “New Mega Trends” Published  Book: New  Mega  Trends   Implications  for  our  Future  Lives   By  Sarwant  Singh           Publisher:  Palgrave  Macmillan http://www.palgrave.com/products/title.aspx? pid=577423 Join  Our  Mega  Trend  Group  On Mega  Trends:  Strategic  Planning  and  Innovation  Based   on  Frost  &  Sullivan  Research
  • 29. 29M82C-MT Mega Trending on My Trip to Helsinki.....
  • 30. 30M82C-MT Thank You ! Iain Jawad Director Strategic Partnerships (+44) (0)20 7343 8311 Iain.jawad@frost.com “We Accelerate Growth”