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Crude Volumes And Market Destinations: Understanding How Rail Operators Seek To Meet The Demands Of Refiners And Producers Through The Expansion Of Railroads, Rail Cars & Terminal Capacity
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December 13, 2013
Crude By Rail: New Destinations, Increasing Capacity 2014 has come at
a time where the rail industry faces several big question marks - some even as
big as questioning the longevity of rail as an economically competitive mode of
crude takeaway. With the collapse in price differentials, new pipeline projects
not far from completion and additional costs potentially incurred from new rail
car modification mandates, the evaluation of available capacity, economics and
logistics of getting to different rail terminal destinations could not come at a
better time.
Railroad companies will be leading the congress at the upcoming Crude By
Rail 2014: New Destinations, Increasing Capacity to deliver updates on
the location of on-loading and offloading terminals, railroad expansion plans as
well as cycle times to different destinations on the East, West & Gulf Coast to
allow refiners and producers to determine the cost and efficiency of reaching key
refinery destinations. Latest FRA rail car regulations and modifications will also
be discussed to enable strategies for cost-effective compliance and minimize the
impact on the efficiency and cost of crude by rail.
As crude oil volumes continue to rise, the demand for increased capacity to take
crude to new markets quickly and economically, is on the rise with it. Producers
and refiners want to know the latest offloading terminal locations, railroad
connectivity to new and emerging markets in the West, Gulf and East
Coast, cycle times, volume capacities and the cost of transportation
to enable a thorough evaluation of the market differentials of moving crude to
different rail markets vs. pipeline. Against the current climate, it is crucial that
railroads stay competitive and as a result, the congress will be focused around
how rail operators are planning to meet the demands of refiners and
producers through the expansion of railroads, rail cars and terminal capacity.
DAY ONE: DESTINATION LOGISTICS - ON-LOADING & OFFLOADING
TERMINAL CAPACITY AND REFINERY SPECIFICATIONS
The timely agenda has been designed specifically to deliver solutions for all three
major stakeholders:
SOLUTIONS FOR E&P’s: Identifying Refinery Demand And Most Viable Markets
For Different Crude Types To Assess The Cost And Logistics Of Getting Crude To
New Delivery Points And Ultimately Determine Whether Economic Netbacks Can
Still Be Achieved By Moving Crude By Rail Vs. Pipeline
SOLUTIONS FOR RAIL OPERATORS: Understanding Refiner Markets And
Preferences To Identify Regions Best Served By Crude By Rail As Well As
Identifying Strategies To Decrease Cycle Time And Compete With Pipeline In The
Future
SOLUTIONS FOR REFINERIES: Mapping The Locations, Volume Capacity
And Crude Types Offered At Different Offloading Terminals To Ensure Crude
Quality And Volume Specifications Are Met Within Budget
Day one will start by providing a keynote perspective from each of the major
stakeholders: we will first hear a rail operator’s perspective on how they seek
to meet the demands of refiners and producers through the expansion of
railroads, rail cars terminal capacity. This will then be followed by a producer
perspective on the crude grades and volumes emerging from different US
shale plays as well as a refiner’s perspective on future plans to redesign crude
slates to take advantage of different crude types being produced. Speakers will
then assess different delivery points and refineries across the West, East and
Gulf Coast to enable an evaluation of the volume capacity, rail connectivity
and economics of each. The day will end with an assessment of current rail and
refinery capacity for different types of Canadian crude as well as exploring the
flexibility of heavy crude terminals to accept light crude.
DAY TWO: ECONOMICS OF RAIL
Day two will scrutinize the market differentials and the different options for
minimizing rail costs to assess the long-term economic viability of rail to different
markets. The following things will be discussed with regards to increasing rail
efficiencies and minimizing costs: unit vs. manifest trains, increasing cycle
time and creating efficiencies, rail car regulations and modifications. The
day will end with a discussion of existing and future pipeline developments to
enable an assessment of the longevity of crude by rail once these West Coast &
East Coast pipelines have been built.
Sponsorship And Exhibition Opportunities Available At The Congress
Venue Information
Need to generate new sales leads, launch a new product, engage key decision
makers, build new future business relationships in key markets, or simply educate
the industry about a new product? Then you need to exhibit at the Crude By Rail
2014: New Destinations, Increasing Capacity. Our busy exhibit area is an
integral part of the Congress and is of genuine practical value to delegates, who are
looking for new solutions and technologies. Exhibiting at the congress will help you
position yourself as a market leader and centre of excellence to the key decision
makers in the industry.
Crude By Rail 2014: New
For further information, please contact: info@american-business-conferences.com
Glendale, CA 91202
Destinations, Increasing Capacity
will be held at:
Hilton Glendale Pasadena
100 West Glenoaks Blvd
or + (1) 800 721 3915
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3. Day 1
Tuesday February 26, 2014
8.30 Chair’s Opening Remarks
Chaired By: Joseph Israel, SVP Refining, Hunt Refining
Company
KEYNOTE: RAILROAD PERSPECTIVE
8.40 How Rail Operators Seek To Meet The Demands
Of Refiners And Producers Through The Expansion Of
Railroads, Rail Cars & Terminal Capacity
• Determining the frequency of crude movements per week to
assess the availability of crude by rail to refiners on a daily basis
• Examining the number of cars being sent per movement
to examine the capacity of the railroad to deliver required
volumes by refineries
• Understanding the measures being taken to ensure crude
reaches refineries without delay
• Assessing how a leading rail operator plans to increase
capacity to ensure increased crude volumes can get to market
• Evaluating how to avoid congestion in areas like Chicago and LA to
guarantee on-time delivery and ensure product reaches market
• Identifying the maximum capacity of the railroad system to
determine its flexibility in handling increased crude volumes
Tracy Robinson, VP Energy - Coal & Merchandise, Canadian Pacific
9.10 Question & Answer Session
KEYNOTE 2: PRODUCER PERSPECTIVE
9.20 Forecasting Crude Grades And Volumes Emerging
From Different US Shale Plays To Locate Favorable
Supply Points And Optimize Capital Allocation
• Supply Of Crude: Identifying the proportion of total production an
operator is planning to move by rail to quantify crude volumes
• Examining the key crude markets a producer would like to
reach to assess the current capacity of rail to get it there and
plan for any necessary expansion
• Understanding any constraints from lateral lines or rail lines
to connect production fields to main rail lines to identify any
connectivity issues to get crude to market
• Identifying promising emerging shale plays to indicate new
potential sources of crude supply for refineries
Todd Morgan, VP Crude Oil & NGL Marketing, Devon Energy
9.50 Question & Answer Session
10.00 Morning Refreshments In Exhibition Showcase Area
KEYNOTE 3: REFINERY PERSPECTIVE
10.30 Examining Refinery Plans To Redesign Crude
Slate To Take Advantage Of Different Crudes Being
Produced Across Varying US Shale Plays
• Determining the extent to which the refinery industry can
change to adapt and facilitate the processing of new products
such as condensate
• Determining how much more light crude US refineries as a
whole will be able to absorb if they were to absorb more light
oil and back out heavy imported oil
• Considering the key factors influencing crude selection, crude
quality and choice of other intermediates
• Understanding what adjustments refiners are making to their
infrastructure to enable acceptance of a broader range of
crudes
Joseph Israel, SVP Refining, Hunt Refining Company
11.00 Question & Answer Session
SECTION 1
DELIVERY POINTS AND REFINERIES: WEST, EAST AND
GULF COAST
THE NEXT 6 PRESENTATIONS WILL EXAMINE THE VOLUME
CAPACITY AND RAIL CONNECTIVITY TO OFFLOADING
FACILITIES AND REFINERIES TO EVALUATE THE
ECONOMIC VIABILITY OF EACH DELIVERY POINT
SOLUTIONS FOR E&Ps : Identifying Refinery Demand And Most
Viable Markets For Different Crude Types To Assess The Cost
And Logistics Of Getting Crude To Those Delivery Points
SOLUTIONS FOR RAIL OPERATORS : Understanding Refiner
Markets And Preferences To Identify Regions Best Served By
Crude By Rail And Co-ordinate An Investment Strategy
SOLUTIONS FOR REFINERIES: Mapping The Locations, Volume
Capacity And Crude Types Offered At Different Offloading Terminals
To Ensure Crude Quality And Volume Specifications Are Met
WEST COAST: LOAD OUT LOCATIONS
11.10 Locating Available Offloading Facilities In The
West Coast To Assess Connectivity, Volume Capacity,
Transit Time And Transportation Costs
• Mapping load out terminals across California to identify new
potential crude destinations
• Revealing new terminal development projects that are planned
to identify the additional offloading capacity this will provide
Destination Logistics Onloading And Offloading Terminal Capacity And
Refinery Specifications
• Addressing the proximity of rail terminals to West Coast
refineries to evaluate its economic viability in light of the full
cost of transportation
• Determining whether West Coast terminals have sufficient
storage and loading capacity to support the number of cars
required on a daily basis
• Evaluating the transit times for offloading facilities that have been
built to support unit trains relative to that of manifest trains
• Examining charter rates to quantify any additional marine
barge costs involved in shipping oil to its final location
Ryan Fischer, AVP Emerging Markets, Genesee & Wyoming Inc
11.40 Question & Answer Session
11.50 Lunch In Exhibition Showcase Area
CALIFORNIAN REFINERIES
12.50 Defining The Crude Types That Fit The Current
Product Slates Of Californian Refineries To Quantify
Demand For Specific Crude Qualities
• Identifying the maximum levels of wax and paraffin that are
allowed in the oil to isolate suitable naphthenic crude supplies
• Stating the API, boiling point and sulphur content cut offs to
identify crude supply matches and assess existing rail loading
facilities to those areas
• Examining how refineries are adapting to accept more
viscose crude oils
• Exploring the potential for West Coast refiners to receive
domestic supply by barge from Canadian sources
• Assessing the requirement for crude oils with a higher plopoint than current supply to the West Coast to determine how
available products will be able to flow
Mark Phair, VP And General Manager, Wilmington RefineryValero
Doug Johnson, SVP Supply & Trading, Western Refining
1.20 Question & Answer Session
WEST COAST OPPORTUNITIES
1.30 Examining The West Coast And Mid Continent
As Potential Markets For Crude By Rail: What Is
The Nature And Extent Of Investment Required To
Maximize Connectivity To Domestic Supply?
• Detailing the crude slates and complexity of West Coast
refiners to better understand market demand for domestic
supply and the potential for crude by rail within the regional
supply chain
• Revealing existing crude by rail offload capacity and terminal
development on the West Coast and Mid Continent
• Understanding existing footprint constraints for refiners
and the impact on the business case for rail direct service in
contrast to intermodal supply
• Exploring the potential for West Coast refiners to receive
domestic supply via barge from Canadian sources
• How does the lack of pipeline connectivity to West Coast
markets, and the lack of marine optionality for Mid Continent
refiners, affect the business case for deeper rail and
intermodal integration?
of capacity expansion
• Understanding if pipeline capacity will ever reach high enough
levels to fully satisfy the market to derive the long-term
sustainability of rail
• Examining the long-term impact of East Coast refineries
becoming solvent or remaining compressed on other players
in the industry
Allan Roach, SVP Business Development, Watco Companies
3.50 Question & Answer Session
GULF COAST: REFINERIES
4.00 Addressing Volumes And Crude Types Being
Accepted In The Gulf
• Coast To Identify Potential Customers And Expected Capacity
• Detailing high TAN crude deliveries to Gulf Coast Refineries
to quantify volume capacity to the marketIdentifying the range
of crudes accepted into the Gulf Coast to identify the crude
quality in the highest demand
• Examining refinery complexity to better evaluate market
demand for different crudesForecasting transportation costs
from Canada to the Gulf Coast terminals over the next 5-10
years to understand if refineries might switch to heavy oil
sources
• Calculating the different netbacks received for marketing
crude to the Gulf Coast vs. the East & West Coast
Joseph Israel, SVP Refining, Hunt Refining Company
4.30 Question & Answer Session
SECTION 2
CANADIAN LIGHT AND HEAVY OILTHE NEXT 2
PRESENTATIONS WILL ASSESS THE CURRENT RAIL AND
THE NEXT 2 SESSIONS LOOK AT REFINERY CAPACITY
FOR DIFFERENT TYPES OF CANADIAN CRUDE ACROSS
THE US TO DETERMINE ITS COMPETITIVENESS WITH US
CRUDE
SOLUTIONS FOR E&PS: Evaluating The Possibility Of Having
Light Crude Accepted At Heavy Oil Terminals To Assess The
Flexibility Of Accepting A Wider Range Of Crude Types
SOLUTIONS FOR REFINERIES: Mapping The Distance Of
Different Offloading Locations To Different Refineries To
Quantify The Supply Available At Different Delivery Points
SOLUTIONS FOR RAIL OPERATORS: Identifying The Crude
Quality And Capacity Requirements Of Heavy Oil Refineries To
Ensure Sufficient Rail Infrastructure To Meet Them
HEAVY CRUDE: REFINERIES AND TERMINALS
4.40 Evaluating The Possibility Of Having Light Crude
Accepted At Heavy Crude Terminals To Assess Flexibility
For Accepting A Wider Range Of Crude types
• Examining the turn times of transporting and offloading heavy
crude by rail to determine the time and cost requirements
• Assessing the capabilities of carrying out in-terminal blending
2.00 Question & Answer Session
EAST COAST: OFFLOADING FACILITIES
2.10 Providing Updates On New Offloading Terminals To
Facilitate The Railing Of Crude To PADD 1 Refineries
to enable the acceptance of multiple crude streams that can
be blended to refinery specs
• Examining the quality parameters that refiners are seeking
to assess how they value different types of Canadian
crudeComparing the quality of heavy crude from Western
Canada vs. competing regions to evaluate competitiveness of
the product and clarify crude quality misconceptions
• Determining the number of light processing refineries vs.
heavy processing refineries to evaluate capacity requirements
• Outlining new projects under construction in the East Coast
Jarrett Zielinski, CEO, TORQ Transloading
Mark Smith, VP Development, Supply & Logistics, Tesoro
to assess the status of new rail destinations
• Calculating the netbacks from different East Coast delivery points
to determine the economic feasibility of railing to these markets
• Examining scheduling to West Coast markets to deduce
frequency of deliveries
• Quantifying the volume capacity of different East terminals
to determine which are the most viable for large volumes of
crudeIdentifying if any advances or efficiencies have been
made to speed up offloading and transit time
Erik Johnson, VP & General Manager, Canopy Prospecting
2.40 Question & Answer Session
2.50 Afternoon Refreshments In Exhibition Showcase Area
EAST COAST REFINERIES
3.20 The Future Of East Coast Refineries: Examining
Strategies For Economically Connecting East Coast
Refiners To Domestic Supply
• Examining the market demand for different crudes on the
East Coast to evaluate the current supply-demand dynamic
• Analyzing how rail offloading capacity and East Coast
terminals have developed in the past year to determine extent
5.10 Question & Answer Session
CANADA: RAIL CAPACITY INCREASE
5.20 Delivering Expansion Plans For Track And Loading
Terminal Construction To Deliver Crude From Canada To
The US: Location, Capacity And When It Will Be Available
• Examining the location of new tracks and track expansion projects to
determine alternate routes to market for Western Canadian crude
• Examining crude qualities that can be moved by rail compared to
pipeline to determine the usability of rail expansions for both light and
heavy oil producers
• Quantifying the increase in takeaway capacity new projects will provide
to determine how much extra product will be able to reach US markets
• Hearing when the projects will be finished and available for use to
assess the speed at which future crude volumes will reach markets
• Outlining the decline in the transportation of coal to examine how this
could increase the availability of railway capacity for Canadian
Ryan Fischer, AVP Emerging Markets, Genesee & Wyoming Inc
5.40 Question & Answer Session
5.50 Chair’s Closing Remarks
6.00 - 7.00 Networking Drinks Reception In Exhibition case Area
www.crude-by-rail-destinations-2014.com (1) 800 721 3915 info@american-business-conferences.com
4. Day 2
Economics Of Rail
Wednesday February 26, 2014
9.00 Chair’s Opening Remarks
SECTION 3
THE ECONOMICS OF CRUDE BY RAIL
THE NEXT 4 PRESENTATIONS WILL SCRUTINIZE
MARKET DIFFERENTIALS AND OPTIONS FOR
MINIMIZING RAIL COSTS TO DETERMINE THE
ECONOMIC SUSTAINABILITY OF RAIL
SOLUTIONS FOR E&PS: Determining Whether Economic
Netbacks Can Still be Achieved Moving Crude By Rail Over Pipe
In Light Of Recent Collapse Of Price Differentials
SOLUTIONS FOR RAIL OPERATORS: Identifying Innovative
Techniques And Technologies To Drive Down Costs, Optimize
Terminal Efficiency, Rail Car Safety And Improve Cycle Times
SOLUTIONS FOR REFINERIES: Calculating The Cost For
Transporting Specific Crude Types And Volumes By Rail To
Determine If Pipeline Or Rail Better Meet Their Needs
MARKET DIFFERENTIALS
9.10 Examining The Market Differentials For Moving
Crude To Different US Markets: Gulf Coast Vs. West
Coast Vs. East Coast
• Breaking down operating, feedstock, energy, labor and
environmental costs against market price being offered in
each of these markets
• Examining how markets might change over the next year
to determine the impact this might have on cost of rail and
overall netbacks
• Evaluating how differentials might suggest movements of
crude and volumes shifting over time
• Using the industrial price deck IHS to determine supply and
demand: where crude price is going by grade and type and
source of origin
• Exploring the capabilities of transport to under-utilized US
markets to highlight the potential to increase market diversity
Mike Lutz, VP Midstream, Hess Corporation
9.40 Question & Answer Session
RAIL PERSPECTIVE: LONGEVITY OF RAIL
9.50 Deciphering How Rail Will Fit In With Increasing
Pipeline Capacities To Understand How Railroads
Intend To Remain Competitive In The Future
• Clarifying what incentives rail operators can provide to reduce
rail costs and maximize netbacks
• Examining forecasted crude production volumes vs. pipeline
capacity once built to quantify excess production that cannot
be moved by pipe
• Identifying new rail expansion projects that will allow railcars
to reach markets that pipeline cannot access
• Assessing where the demand for freight will be to assess
whether rail capacity can be expanded to transport other oilfield related products
• Providing a strong economic business case for using rail to
justify 5 year railcar and 3-4 year terminal commitments
Sebastien Labbe, Director Of Sales And Marketing, Canadian
National Railroad
10.20 Question & Answer Session
10.30 Morning Refreshments In Exhibition Showcase Area
UNIT VS. MANIFEST TRAIN
11.00 Economics Of Using Unit Trains Vs. Manifest
Trains Relative To Pricing At Destination To Determine
Which System Is Most Effective In Increasing Netback
DECREASING CYCLE TIME AND CREATING
EFFICIENCIES
11.40 Exploring The Innovative Techniques A Leading
Railroad Is Using To Decrease Cycle Time, Optimize
Terminal Efficiencies And Avoid Delays
• Examining how railroads keep track of forecasted deliveries
and schedules to ensure product reaches the market on time
• Exploring the effectiveness of tracking devices to avoid paying
demerge costs
• Discussing manpower considerations and measures taken to
ensure the constant movement at offloading facilities
• Alleviating congestion to avoid costs incurred by cars getting
stuck in a bottleneck
• Comparing the efficiencies of moving crude via pipelines vs.
rail
Marvin Matthews, Customer Communications Manager,
Canadian Pacific
12.10 Question & Answer Session
12.20 Lunch In Exhibition Showcase Area
SECTION 4
RAIL CAR REGULATIONS AND MODIFICATIONS
THE NEXT 2 PRESENTATIONS WILL OUTLINE THE LATEST
FRA REGULATIONS AND THE STRATEGIES FOR RAIL
OPERATORS TO COMPLY WITH THEM
SOLUTIONS FOR E&PS: Understanding If New Rail Car
Regulations Will Impact The Efficiency And Cost Of Crude By
Rail For Producers
SOLUTIONS FOR RAIL OPERATORS: Examining The Most
Cost-Efficient Strategies For Enhancing Rail Car Safety And
Understanding If Leasing New Cars Will Render Some Rail
Destinations Economically Viable
SOLUTIONS FOR REFINERIES: Assessing The Impact New
Regulations Will Have On The Speed And Efficiency Of Crude
By Rail Deliveries
REGULATIONS: RAIL CARS
1.20 Determining How New FRA Regulations Will
Impact The Speed, Efficiency, Economics And Future
Growth Of Crude By Rail Deliveries
• Examining if speed restrictions will be brought in to slow
down rail cars in transit to assess the impact on scheduling
and delivery times
• Understanding what fines have been put in place and under
what conditions, to ensure rail operators adhere to new
regulations
• Detailing the required modifications to the 1.11 cars and the
required modifications for the T77 cars to understand retrofitting costs involved
• Clarifying what changes will be implemented and when
to determine if new cars will have to be leased, the costs
implied and re-assess the economic viability of certain
projects as a result
Joseph C Szabo, Administrator, FRA
1.50 Question & Answer Session
NEW RAIL CAR DESIGNS
2.00 Modeling New Rail Car Designs: Strategies For
Ensuring The Most Effective Rail Car Protection For
The Least Coast
• Ensuring the optimum balance between additional protection
Darin Selby, VP Energy Markets, Kansas City Southern Railway
and car weight: at what point do transport costs as a result of
increased car weight become uneconomical?
• Examining advances in car design including head shields and
protection hardening and their effectiveness in preventing
derailment
• Understanding if old rail cars are going to be obsolete or if
there is an economic strategy to retro-fit old cars with new
types of lining
• Will there be a phasing out of DOT 1.11 cars? - Will there be
enough new cars in the industry to keep up with the pace
required if so?
2.30 Question & Answer Session
11.30 Question & Answer Session
SECTION 5
EAST AND WEST COAST PIPELINE UPDATES
THE NEXT 2 PRESENTATIONS WILL DISCUSS EXISTING
AND FUTURE PIPELINE DEVELOPMENTS TO EVALUATE
THE SUSTAINABILITY OF CRUDE BY RAIL IN DIFFERENT
GEOGRAPHICAL LOCATIONS
SOLUTIONS FOR E&PS: Assessing The Commitments Required
By Pipelines To Determine If A Producer Would Benefit From
The Increased Flexibility Provided By Rail
SOLUTIONS FOR RAIL OPERATORS: Identifying The Markets
That Pipeline Will Not Be Able To Reach To Ensure Rail
Connectivity To Those Locations
SOLUTIONS FOR REFINERIES: Examining Whether Pipeline
Projects Will Result In Higher Profit Margins And If The Crude
They Move Will be Able To Meet Refinery Specifications
PIPELINE UPDATES: WEST COAST
3.10 Determining The Impact Of The Trans-Mountain
Pipeline On Rail Traffic To The West Coast
• Examining the status of the pipeline expansion into different
regions to assess the economics of rail expansion into these
areas
• Identifying refineries that will not be easily reached by the
pipeline to coordinate rail infrastructure to best serve the
markets needs
• Forecasting transport costs and tariffs against market prices
to assess the netback compared to that of rail
• Discussing the argument for rail as a long-term compliment
to pipe rather than a short term competitor
3.40 Question & Answer Session
PIPELINE UPDATES: EAST COAST
3.50 Strategizing Ways To Stay Competitive Once The
East Coast Pipeline
• Has Been Built
• Examining which lanes are likely to be affected by the East
Coast pipeline to allow effective repositioning of cars as is
possible
• Understanding the time frame in which this pipeline capacity
will come on and the volume capacity to determine the
economic viability of crude by rail in those areas
• Investigating the possible capacities of the plans for the East
Coast pipeline and whether it will cause rail car displacement
• Assessing the lack of flexibility and long-term commitments
required by pipeline agreements can incentivize the growth of
rail infrastructure
4.10 Question & Answer Session
4.20 Chair’s Closing Remarks And End Of Conference
“I was extremely excited
to see that a follow up crude
by rail conference was being
hosted. The first event provided
timely information on a broad
range of issues facing CBR. In
addition, this conference was
so well attended, it allowed
me to connect with colleagues
across the industry. As the
upcoming conference seeks to
extend its focus on key issues
brought out in the first meeting,
I look forward to this event”
2.40 Afternoon Refreshments In Exhibition Showcase Area
• Outlining the quantity of crude that needs to be transported to
make both unit and manifest operations economical
• Detailing the cost of building and operating a unit vs. manifest
train terminal and how this impacts tariffs
• Determining the effect increased unit train operations will have
on alleviating bottlenecks and how this will impact net value
• Analyzing the increased transportation volumes of unit vs.
manifest rail expansion to determine the increased takeaway
capacity out of Alberta
Delek US
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