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Raul Adalberto de Campos               Latin America
Investor Relations Executive Manager   Perspectives and
April, 2007                            Opportunities
INVESTMENT GRADE S&P AND MOODY’S
PETROBRAS IS A MARKET ORIENTED AND PROFIT DRIVEN ENTERPRISE…

            81,9
                      Top ADR: turnover (traded volume) in
    TOP                    NYSE 2006 American Depositary
                     60,6
VOLUME                    53,2      Receipts (US$ billion)
                                      38,6
    ADR                                       28,5   26,3   25,0     22,6
 IN NYSE

      Petrobras*     BP      Nokia   America BHP Cemex      Total RD Shell*
                                     Movil* Billiton



PETROBRAS IS CONTROLLED BY THE GOVERNMENT OF BRAZIL BUT.........
      PETROBRAS COMPLIES WITH ALL SARBANES-OXLEY PROVISIONS
        Most of NOC´S              PETROBRAS –
           • Control over their home market            • Exposed to Competition
           • Produce in home country only              • Operates internationally
           • Are endowed with prodigious               • Develops and applies advanced technologies
             quantities of “easy” oil                  • Engage in joint-ventures
           • Little technological exchange             • Highly committed with corporate governance rules
Integration of the Company´s Activities
                  Petrochemical   Imported               Imported Oil
                      Plants                   H - Bio
                                    Oil                    Products


                                                           Biodiesel    Oil Products
                                       Throughput
    Brazilian Oil                                                       sold in Brazil
                                        in Brazil
     Production
                                                            Ethanol



   International Oil                  International                     International
      Production                        Refining                            Sales



      Domestic
     Natural Gas
                                                           Other
     Production                                                            Energy
                                                         Renewables

    Imported Gas                      Infrastructure

                                                                          Industry
PRODUCTION X DEMAND X REFINING CAPACITY: REACHING SELF-SUFFICIENCY
Production/              1955   1960   1965   1970     1975   1980    1985    1990   1995   2000   2006   2011F
Consumption
    (%)                  3,0    30,5   28,4   32,2     19,5   16,7    56,2    55,3   49,3   70,4   97,6   112,1

                            Brazil: first major market to shift
                            from import dependency to self
                            sufficiency since first oil from
                                                                                                    Proj.
                  2500      North Sea in 1971 began to shift
                            european balance
                  2000                                                                             Production
   THOUSAND BPD




                                                                                                   Consumption
                  1500
                                                                                                   Refining
                  1000


                  500


                    0
                     1954 1960         1970          1980      1990          2000      2006 2011
PETROBRAS Investment Plan 2007-2011

                                            US$ 87.1 billion
                                          56%

                                                  49,3
                                                              • Heavy oil production technology
                                                                development will expand LA reserve
                                                                growth possibilities;
                                                              • Successful Doha Round Negotiations
                                                                are essential to permit greater
                                                                trade of agricultural commodities and
                                         1,8
                                          2,3                   increase agricultural productivity
                                                              23,0
                                                3,3
                                    3%                7,5       considering comparative advantages;
                                                                      26%

                                    3% 4%                     • Technological breakthroughs in
                                                   9%           enzyme technology for the use of
                                                                Lignocelluloses biomass and BTL;
                              Upstream             Downstream        G&E
                                                              • Further progress in regional
                              Petrochemical        Distribution      Corporate
                                                                integration.

Note: Includes International area
Business Plan 2007-2011 - Total Production – Oil, NGL’s and Natural Gas

                                                                7.5% p.a.                          4,556
     Thousand boed
                                                                                                       278
    Investment in E&P of
                                                 7.8% p.a.                                             742
      US$ 49.3 billion in                                               3,493
          2007-2011                                              • Heavy8oil production technology
                                                                            1 5

                                                 2,403
                                                                    development will expand LA 4
                                                                            383                            72
                                                                                                               reserve
                                2,217                               growth5 possibilities;
                                                                            5 1
      2.036
       ,        2,020                             101
           85    94
                                  96
                                                  133            • Successful Doha Round Negotiations
       161       168
                                  163             289               are essential to permit greater
       250       265
                                  274                               trade of agricultural commodities and 2. 812
                                                                    increase agricultural productivity
                                                                          2. 374

       1.540    1. 493          1.684
                                                1. 880              considering comparative advantages;
                                                                 • Technological breakthroughs in
                                                                    enzyme technology for the use of
    2003        2004             2005         Target a
                                                M et     2006       Lignocelluloses biomass e 2015BTL;
                                                                     Targete2011
                                                                          M ta                            M and
                                                                                                     Forecast t a
                                                                           2011                           2015
                  Ól e o + L G NBrazils i l
                   Oil + NGL B r a                               • Further progress in regional
                                                                 G ás N a t u r a l Brazil i l
                                                                  Natural Gas B r a s
                  Ól e o + L G NInternationalo n a l
                   Oil + NGL I n t e r n a c i
                                                                    integration.
                                                                 G ás N a t u r a l Natural a c i o n a l
                                                                  International I n t e r n Gas
Latin American Share of Oil World Reserves
 Latin American oil reserves are becoming increasingly important
                      1984                                          1994                                              2004
                   R/P* = 26.77                                  R/P* = 41.78                                      R/P* = 41.84
                   4.8%                                         8.0%                                            8.5%


                  5.0%
                                                              3.8%                                          3.5%

                                                        8.8%                                               5.1%
         13.4%
                                                                                                         9.4%
                                                      6.4%
       7.6%                         56.5%                                        65.1%                                              61.8%
                                                       7.9%                                              11.7%

            12.7%



                         Total                                           Total                                              Total
             762 billion barrels                             1,017 billion barrels                          1,194 billion barrels
                                                Middle Orient        Europe & Eurasia    Africa
                                                North America        Pacific Asia        Latin America


       In 20 years, Latin America proven reserves increased from 36.6 billion barrels (1984) to 103 billion.
Source: BP Statistical Review of World Energy                                                                   * Reserves/Production Latin America (years)

                                                                                                                                                        7
Net Oil and Oil Products Availability (excluding OPEC countries)
                                           Ability to produce non-conventional heavy oil will play
        Latin America (including Venezuela)                              an increasing role in LA
                                               Mbpd
        Russia

        Asia
        United States
        OECD(- Mexico)




 Projected growth in oil
 production and
 demand suggests
 balance and
 independence of
 supply from politically
 unstable regions

Source: Internacional Energy Agency Reference Scenario

                                                                                                8
Gas Rich Region with limited infrastructure
 Proven Reserves as of January 1, 2005
                                                                                            4.3 T m3
    Ample gas reserves will allow for:                                                               0.55 T m3
                                                                                          151.9 Tcf
                                                                                                      19.4 Tcf
    ::: Regional growth in consumption                   0.41 T m3
        substituting some demand for oil                    14.5 Tcf
                                                                                           Venezuela
                                                                                                       Trinidad
    ::: Higher exports of liquids                            Mexico
                                                                      0.33 T m3                               Brazil
                                                                      11.7 Tcf
                                                                        Perú                                0.31 T m3
                                                                                                            10.9 Tcf

      But:
      ::: Will require increasing energy        2005 Gas                       Bolivia            0.50 T m3
                                                Proven Reserves                26.1 Tcf        17.7Tcf
          integration and                       World:                       0.74 T m3
      ::: Substantial investments in            179,8 T m3 / 6,350 Tcf
                                                South and Central America:                     Argentina
          infrastructure covering great         7,02 T m3 / 247,9 Tcf
          distances and environmentally
          sensitive regions
Source: Cambridge Energy Research Associates.

                                                                                                                       9
Relative importance of oil sector varies widely among the main players in
the region affecting legislation, pricing and curbing integration prospects




         106%
                                          Consumption of oil as % of Production 2005

                              80%

                                                   58%
                                                                        53%
                                                                                               42%
                                                                                                     27%
                                                                                                                18%          15%


         Brazil            Bolivia Oil          Argentina              Mexico             Colombia   Ecuador   Venezuela   Bolivia Gas

Source: BP Statistical Review 2006; EIA; INE/BO; Superintendence de Hidrocarburos de Bolivia

                                                                                                                                         10
International prices affect each country's
              trade balance differently


      %        Exports of oil as % of total Goods
    87         Exports 2005 (in US$)
                 %
               60




                             %
                           36
                                         %
                                       26           %
                                                  15             %
                                                               11
                                                                             9%
                                                                                        7%




Venezuela   Ecuador   Bolívia (gas) Colômbia    México   Bolívia (oil)   Argentina   Brasil

                            Source: BP Review 2006; EIA; INE/BO

                                                                                       11
Regulatory Challenges – Recent Trends

                                        • Countries that have recently changed
                                          or have manifested a desire to change
                                          legislation towards higher Government
                                          Participation in production and
                                          revenues: Venezuela, Ecuador, Bolivia
                                        • Countries that are in the process of
                                          liberalizing legislation to encourage
                                          foreign participation: Colombia & Peru
                                        • Countries that have consolidated
                                          reforms: Argentina (w/ price controls) &
                                          Brazil (w/o price controls);
                                        • Mexico remains the most closed oil
                                          economy but there are indications that a
                                          move towards opening to investment is
                                          possible.


                                                                                   12
Latin America offers excellent resources to expand agricultural production
   More than 3 times the average world per capita water availability
                      Higher Potable Water availability per capita


                                24,973

                                                                             11,196
                                                                                                            7,055
                                                        4,050
         3,966




                       Africa       Latin America                  Asia                 OCDE                          World
                                                    Availability per capita (m3/year)

Nearly half world sugar cane production                                   Nearly 1/3 world main oil seed production
Million Metric Tons                                                                                                            Million Metric Tons
                                         1,328

                                                                                        359
     Sugar cane production                                                                                         Soybeans, Groundnuts, Sunflower,
                                             631                                                                   Rape Seed, Cotton Seed
                                                                                                95


                                World       South and Central America        World            South and Central America
                                                 and Caribbean                                     and Caribbean

                                                                                                                                                     13
Bio-fuel usage in OECD Countries will benefit LA


                  Global warming, energy security
           and/or cost effectiveness are
         encouraging renewable fuels with two important
   initiatives: (i) ethanol and (ii) biodiesel. Both can be
produced and consumed in Latin America advantageously.
Production of biofuels in LA will also contribute to displace
    production of liquids increasing export availability.




                                                                      14
Ethanol Production
Program went through four phases as a result of prices,
legislation, consumer preferences and technology
                         18.000
                                                             Anhydrous                     Hydrated                  Total                  2006/07
                                                                                                                                            Estimates

                                    Growth:
                         14.000
                                    sales of
                                    ethanol                                                     Retrench:
                                    powered                                                     Increase in
     thousand (m³/ton)




                         10.000     cars                                                        legal                                       2006/07
                                                              Stagnation:                                                                   Estimates
                                                              discredit;                        ethanol in Current
                                                              low HP                            gasohol phase:                              2006/07
                                                                                                raised to Growth in
                                                                                                                                            Estimates
                          6.000                               vehicles;
                                                                                                24%         sales of flex
                                                              preference for
                                                                                                            fule vehicles
                                                              sugar;
                          2.000                               imported
                                                              automobiles
                             0    80/81   82/83   84/85   86/87   88/89   90/91   92/93   94/95   96/97   98/99   00/01   02/03   04/05   06/07
                                                                                    Crop Year
Brazil is the 1st country to reap benefits from Ethanol
                               Original drivers were energy security and                    CNG
                               economic attractiveness;
                                                                                            ETHANOL
                               Today environmental benefits are also a                      GASOLINE
                               consideration.
                          160000
                                          Fuel demand for Otto Cycle
                          140000
                                          Vehicles
                          120000


                          10000


                          80000


                          60000


                          40000                                     Accumulated effective
                          20000
                                                                    economy:
                                                                    1 Billion boe ~US$ 52 bi
               1000 BEP




                                          Source: MME, BEN 2006
                               0


                                   1972     1976     1980    1984    1988   1992   1996   2000    2004


In this period, ethanol utilization avoided 644 million tons CO2 emissions
                                                                                                         16
Ethanol motivated and boosted greater land productivity
        Brazillian Productivity                   MTper Ha
                                    + 57%
                                                                     72,8
                                                 66,6        67,6
                             63,2       61,5
                   57,0
          46,5



 -14%                                                                       +11%


        World Average Productivity       + 22%
                                                             64,2    65,6
                                       61,6      62,8
        1975
        53,8      1980
                  55,3
                            1985
                            58,5       1990      1995        2000   2005




        1975      1980      1985       1990      1995        2000   2005
ETHANOL DISTRIBUTION

INTERSTATE TRADE REPRESENTS 33% OF CONSUMPTION

                    DISTRIBUTION AND REGIONALIZATION
                                                       33% OF PRODUCTION EXPORTED FROM
                                                       PRODUCING TO CONSUMING STATES




                                    PRODUCING STATES




                                                                CONSUMING STATES
 Importing States
 Exporting States                                      21 Importes States   6 Self-Suficient States
Ethanol Logistics System
Petrobras in 2006 received the American Society of Mechanical Engineers
        award for technological advances in pipeline technology

                                                       Ethanol collection,
                                                           storage and
                                                       distribution centers
                                                          are spread out
Large scale marine
terminals improve                                      through producing
efficiency                                               and consuming
                                                              regions
Large storage capacity
necessary to regulate
supply                                              Primary Base
                                                    Secondary Base
Pipelines reduce
                                                    Collection Centers
transport costs; improve                            Inland Navigation
energy efficiency                                    Railways
                                                    Road
                                                    Multi product pipelines
Industrial Plants

          3 Projects Being Implemented
                                                But the main hurdles
   Capacity: 171 thousand m3/year               and challenges are: CE
   Investments: ~ US$ 60 million                • Heavy oil production technology
                                                  development will expand LA reserve
   Inputs                                         growth possibilities;
   Family Agriculture: castor, cotton, and palm.• Successful Doha Round Negotiations
   Complementary: soy.                            are essential to permit greater
                                                                         BA
                                                  trade of agricultural commodities and
                                                  increase agricultural productivity
   Jobs Generations:
                                                  considering comparative advantages;
   Construction: 1,200 direct and 400 indirect
   Operation: 105 direct                        • Technological breakthroughs inMontes
                                                                 MG
   Raw material production:70,000 families        enzyme technology for the use Claros
                                                                                   of
                                                  Lignocelluloses biomass and BTL;
   Start up: 4 Q/2007                                      semi-arid region
                                                • Further progress in regional
                                                  integration.
 All Petrobras Biodiesel has Social Fuel Seal
Transport facilities are fully integrated with refineries
                   and blenders


                                            Ethanol
                                        t
                                    duc               MARITIME
                               i pro ne               TRANSPORT
                            ult eli
                           M ip
                              p
                    Ethanol                                           Ethanol



                        REFINARY
                        TERMINAL        REFINARY
                                              Mu          MARITIME
                                                 ltip
                                              Eth rod TRANSPORT
                                                  ano uct
                                                      l an pip
                                                          d g elin
                                                             aso es
                                                                hol

                           MARITIME
SERVICE STATIONS           TERMINAL
                                                      Ethanol
                                                                          Distribuition
                                                                          bases


                                                                      Gasoline
                                                                      Ethanol
Brazilian New Car Sales by Fuel
                            1.600
                                         ETHANOL    GASOHOL        FLEX - FUEL
Number of Vehiclesx 1.000




                            1.200



                             800



                             400



                               0
                                    78   80   82   84   86    88    90     92    94   96   98   00   02   04   06

                                                                    Year
Global ethanol market totals 46.5 Billion Liters
Fuel Ethanol represents 30.6 Billion Liters, 67% of total ethanol production
                Raw Material                     Energy output / energy input
Today global ethanol consumption is 2,6% of gasoline fuel market
Increasing ethanol to 10% of gasoline will represent 118 Billion Liters

  Tomorrow: Lignocelluloses Biomass technology will double
  ethanol per ha. yield
                                                               Molasses yields
                                                               only 85 L of
                                                               ethanol,
                   1 metric ton of
                   sugar cane                                  But

                                                               Cane bagasse
                                                               yields 185 L of
                                                               ethanol
                                                               Base calculation

                                                                              23
Ethanol Exportation in Brazil - Future
                                                                                                  Includes 800 Km
                                          800 km        Senador Canedo                            exclusive ethanol
                                                           Terminal                                    pipeline
Tietê River
(Waterway               Ribeirão Preto
                                                           Export Capacity              18 Millions Kl/year
     )                  Collect Center


Conchas
                              200 km

 River
Terminal
 Regions:
              90




 Piracicaba                 Paulínia                   Guararema                                   Rio de Janeiro
                 km




                          (REFINERY)
                                         150 km                          Taubaté City    370 km
 S.J.Rio Preto                                          Terminal                                    (REFINERY)
 Bauru
 Araçatuba
 MS
                                                           90 km

 MT




                                                                                                        15km
                                                       São Sebastião                                Ilha D’Água
                      Future                           Marine Terminal                              Marine Terminal
                      Pipelines
                      Existing                             4 Millons Kl/ano                             4 Millons Kl/ano
                      Pipelines          300,000 dwt                                     130,000 dwt
TIETÊ – PARANÁ INLAND WATERWAY

INVESTMENTS: US$ 160 M         Petrobras is also integrating
      (2008 a 2010)            waterways with pipelines




                                          REPLAN

                                  REPAR   4 or 5 river terminals
                                          and a 90km pipeline

                                          Possible integration
                                          with REPAR-Cuiaba
                                          pipeline
H-BIO and BIODIESEL – Complementary Processes
Complementary and not competitive processes

                                     But the main hurdles
                                     and challenges are:
                                     • Heavy oil production technology
                                       development will expand LA reserve
                                       growth possibilities;
                                     • Successful Doha Round Negotiations
                                       are essential to permit greater
                                       trade of agricultural commodities and
                                       increase agricultural productivity
                                       considering comparative advantages;
                                     • Technological breakthroughs in
                                       enzyme technology for the use of
                                       Lignocelluloses biomass and BTL;
                                     • Further progress in regional
                                       integration.
H-BIO Process in Refinery



                                                      VEGETABLE               OTHER
                            DIESEL DD                                       FRACTIONS
  OIL    ATMOSPHERIC                                     OIL
                                                                            OF DIESEL
          DISTILLATION

    atmospheric
        residue
                                                              Existing
                                                               HDT
            VACUUM       Gasoil          DIESEL FCC
                                  FCC                                                   DIESEL
          DISTILLATION
                                                                  Process
                                                                   HBIO
        Vacuum
        Residue


            DELAYED        DIESEL COKE
             COKING
Potential Capacity of H-BIO


                   Short Term        Medium Term         Long Term


                      2007               2008              2011

Refineries              4                   5                 10

Vegetable Oil                                              1,050,000
Consumption
                 256,000 cu.m/year   425,000 cu.m/year
                                                           cu.m/year

Equivalent
Volume of              15%                 25%                n/a
Diesel Imports
H-BIO

•   HBIO is a process of:
                                           But the main hurdles
                                           and challenges are:
    – Oil refining that utilizes vegetable oils as raw
      material in order to obtain diesel oil production technology
                                     • Heavy oil
                                       development will expand LA reserve
                                      growth possibilities;
    – Hydrogenation of a blend of diesel and vegetable
                                    • Successful Doha Round Negotiations
      oils                            are essential to permit greater
                                      trade of agricultural commodities and
     Castor-Oil Plant Sunflower Soy   increase Oil Palm
                                         African agricultural productivity
                                                              Cotton
                                      considering comparative advantages;
                                    • Technological breakthroughs in
                                      enzyme technology for the use of
                                      Lignocelluloses biomass and BTL;
                                    • Further progress in regional
                                      integration.
Principal Conclusions, Hurdles and Challenges

  • Latin America is in a privileged
    position regarding oil reserves, and     But the main hurdles
    energy independence;                     and challenges are:
  • Use of natural gas prospects are         • Heavy oil production technology
    encouraging and should contribute          development will expand LA reserve
    to increase liquid fossil fuel exports     growth possibilities;
    availability but integration and         • Successful Doha Round Negotiations
    financial issues are a main                are essential to permit greater
    concern;                                   trade of agricultural commodities and
  • Land, water and human resource             increase agricultural productivity
    availability and biodiversity place        considering comparative advantages;
    Central and South America and            • Technological breakthroughs in
    Caribbean in a privileged position to      enzyme technology for the use of
    use and supply OECD countries              Lignocelluloses biomass and BTL;
    with renewable fuels, and also
    further liberating liquid fossil fuels   • Further progress in regional
    for export.                                integration.
Latin America
Perspectives and
Opportunities

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"Latin America Perspectives and Opportunities"

  • 1. Raul Adalberto de Campos Latin America Investor Relations Executive Manager Perspectives and April, 2007 Opportunities
  • 2. INVESTMENT GRADE S&P AND MOODY’S PETROBRAS IS A MARKET ORIENTED AND PROFIT DRIVEN ENTERPRISE… 81,9 Top ADR: turnover (traded volume) in TOP NYSE 2006 American Depositary 60,6 VOLUME 53,2 Receipts (US$ billion) 38,6 ADR 28,5 26,3 25,0 22,6 IN NYSE Petrobras* BP Nokia America BHP Cemex Total RD Shell* Movil* Billiton PETROBRAS IS CONTROLLED BY THE GOVERNMENT OF BRAZIL BUT......... PETROBRAS COMPLIES WITH ALL SARBANES-OXLEY PROVISIONS Most of NOC´S PETROBRAS – • Control over their home market • Exposed to Competition • Produce in home country only • Operates internationally • Are endowed with prodigious • Develops and applies advanced technologies quantities of “easy” oil • Engage in joint-ventures • Little technological exchange • Highly committed with corporate governance rules
  • 3. Integration of the Company´s Activities Petrochemical Imported Imported Oil Plants H - Bio Oil Products Biodiesel Oil Products Throughput Brazilian Oil sold in Brazil in Brazil Production Ethanol International Oil International International Production Refining Sales Domestic Natural Gas Other Production Energy Renewables Imported Gas Infrastructure Industry
  • 4. PRODUCTION X DEMAND X REFINING CAPACITY: REACHING SELF-SUFFICIENCY Production/ 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2006 2011F Consumption (%) 3,0 30,5 28,4 32,2 19,5 16,7 56,2 55,3 49,3 70,4 97,6 112,1 Brazil: first major market to shift from import dependency to self sufficiency since first oil from Proj. 2500 North Sea in 1971 began to shift european balance 2000 Production THOUSAND BPD Consumption 1500 Refining 1000 500 0 1954 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2006 2011
  • 5. PETROBRAS Investment Plan 2007-2011 US$ 87.1 billion 56% 49,3 • Heavy oil production technology development will expand LA reserve growth possibilities; • Successful Doha Round Negotiations are essential to permit greater trade of agricultural commodities and 1,8 2,3 increase agricultural productivity 23,0 3,3 3% 7,5 considering comparative advantages; 26% 3% 4% • Technological breakthroughs in 9% enzyme technology for the use of Lignocelluloses biomass and BTL; Upstream Downstream G&E • Further progress in regional Petrochemical Distribution Corporate integration. Note: Includes International area
  • 6. Business Plan 2007-2011 - Total Production – Oil, NGL’s and Natural Gas 7.5% p.a. 4,556 Thousand boed 278 Investment in E&P of 7.8% p.a. 742 US$ 49.3 billion in 3,493 2007-2011 • Heavy8oil production technology 1 5 2,403 development will expand LA 4 383 72 reserve 2,217 growth5 possibilities; 5 1 2.036 , 2,020 101 85 94 96 133 • Successful Doha Round Negotiations 161 168 163 289 are essential to permit greater 250 265 274 trade of agricultural commodities and 2. 812 increase agricultural productivity 2. 374 1.540 1. 493 1.684 1. 880 considering comparative advantages; • Technological breakthroughs in enzyme technology for the use of 2003 2004 2005 Target a M et 2006 Lignocelluloses biomass e 2015BTL; Targete2011 M ta M and Forecast t a 2011 2015 Ól e o + L G NBrazils i l Oil + NGL B r a • Further progress in regional G ás N a t u r a l Brazil i l Natural Gas B r a s Ól e o + L G NInternationalo n a l Oil + NGL I n t e r n a c i integration. G ás N a t u r a l Natural a c i o n a l International I n t e r n Gas
  • 7. Latin American Share of Oil World Reserves Latin American oil reserves are becoming increasingly important 1984 1994 2004 R/P* = 26.77 R/P* = 41.78 R/P* = 41.84 4.8% 8.0% 8.5% 5.0% 3.8% 3.5% 8.8% 5.1% 13.4% 9.4% 6.4% 7.6% 56.5% 65.1% 61.8% 7.9% 11.7% 12.7% Total Total Total 762 billion barrels 1,017 billion barrels 1,194 billion barrels Middle Orient Europe & Eurasia Africa North America Pacific Asia Latin America In 20 years, Latin America proven reserves increased from 36.6 billion barrels (1984) to 103 billion. Source: BP Statistical Review of World Energy * Reserves/Production Latin America (years) 7
  • 8. Net Oil and Oil Products Availability (excluding OPEC countries) Ability to produce non-conventional heavy oil will play Latin America (including Venezuela) an increasing role in LA Mbpd Russia Asia United States OECD(- Mexico) Projected growth in oil production and demand suggests balance and independence of supply from politically unstable regions Source: Internacional Energy Agency Reference Scenario 8
  • 9. Gas Rich Region with limited infrastructure Proven Reserves as of January 1, 2005 4.3 T m3 Ample gas reserves will allow for: 0.55 T m3 151.9 Tcf 19.4 Tcf ::: Regional growth in consumption 0.41 T m3 substituting some demand for oil 14.5 Tcf Venezuela Trinidad ::: Higher exports of liquids Mexico 0.33 T m3 Brazil 11.7 Tcf Perú 0.31 T m3 10.9 Tcf But: ::: Will require increasing energy 2005 Gas Bolivia 0.50 T m3 Proven Reserves 26.1 Tcf 17.7Tcf integration and World: 0.74 T m3 ::: Substantial investments in 179,8 T m3 / 6,350 Tcf South and Central America: Argentina infrastructure covering great 7,02 T m3 / 247,9 Tcf distances and environmentally sensitive regions Source: Cambridge Energy Research Associates. 9
  • 10. Relative importance of oil sector varies widely among the main players in the region affecting legislation, pricing and curbing integration prospects 106% Consumption of oil as % of Production 2005 80% 58% 53% 42% 27% 18% 15% Brazil Bolivia Oil Argentina Mexico Colombia Ecuador Venezuela Bolivia Gas Source: BP Statistical Review 2006; EIA; INE/BO; Superintendence de Hidrocarburos de Bolivia 10
  • 11. International prices affect each country's trade balance differently % Exports of oil as % of total Goods 87 Exports 2005 (in US$) % 60 % 36 % 26 % 15 % 11 9% 7% Venezuela Ecuador Bolívia (gas) Colômbia México Bolívia (oil) Argentina Brasil Source: BP Review 2006; EIA; INE/BO 11
  • 12. Regulatory Challenges – Recent Trends • Countries that have recently changed or have manifested a desire to change legislation towards higher Government Participation in production and revenues: Venezuela, Ecuador, Bolivia • Countries that are in the process of liberalizing legislation to encourage foreign participation: Colombia & Peru • Countries that have consolidated reforms: Argentina (w/ price controls) & Brazil (w/o price controls); • Mexico remains the most closed oil economy but there are indications that a move towards opening to investment is possible. 12
  • 13. Latin America offers excellent resources to expand agricultural production More than 3 times the average world per capita water availability Higher Potable Water availability per capita 24,973 11,196 7,055 4,050 3,966 Africa Latin America Asia OCDE World Availability per capita (m3/year) Nearly half world sugar cane production Nearly 1/3 world main oil seed production Million Metric Tons Million Metric Tons 1,328 359 Sugar cane production Soybeans, Groundnuts, Sunflower, 631 Rape Seed, Cotton Seed 95 World South and Central America World South and Central America and Caribbean and Caribbean 13
  • 14. Bio-fuel usage in OECD Countries will benefit LA Global warming, energy security and/or cost effectiveness are encouraging renewable fuels with two important initiatives: (i) ethanol and (ii) biodiesel. Both can be produced and consumed in Latin America advantageously. Production of biofuels in LA will also contribute to displace production of liquids increasing export availability. 14
  • 15. Ethanol Production Program went through four phases as a result of prices, legislation, consumer preferences and technology 18.000 Anhydrous Hydrated Total 2006/07 Estimates Growth: 14.000 sales of ethanol Retrench: powered Increase in thousand (m³/ton) 10.000 cars legal 2006/07 Stagnation: Estimates discredit; ethanol in Current low HP gasohol phase: 2006/07 raised to Growth in Estimates 6.000 vehicles; 24% sales of flex preference for fule vehicles sugar; 2.000 imported automobiles 0 80/81 82/83 84/85 86/87 88/89 90/91 92/93 94/95 96/97 98/99 00/01 02/03 04/05 06/07 Crop Year
  • 16. Brazil is the 1st country to reap benefits from Ethanol Original drivers were energy security and CNG economic attractiveness; ETHANOL Today environmental benefits are also a GASOLINE consideration. 160000 Fuel demand for Otto Cycle 140000 Vehicles 120000 10000 80000 60000 40000 Accumulated effective 20000 economy: 1 Billion boe ~US$ 52 bi 1000 BEP Source: MME, BEN 2006 0 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 In this period, ethanol utilization avoided 644 million tons CO2 emissions 16
  • 17. Ethanol motivated and boosted greater land productivity Brazillian Productivity MTper Ha + 57% 72,8 66,6 67,6 63,2 61,5 57,0 46,5 -14% +11% World Average Productivity + 22% 64,2 65,6 61,6 62,8 1975 53,8 1980 55,3 1985 58,5 1990 1995 2000 2005 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005
  • 18. ETHANOL DISTRIBUTION INTERSTATE TRADE REPRESENTS 33% OF CONSUMPTION DISTRIBUTION AND REGIONALIZATION 33% OF PRODUCTION EXPORTED FROM PRODUCING TO CONSUMING STATES PRODUCING STATES CONSUMING STATES Importing States Exporting States 21 Importes States 6 Self-Suficient States
  • 19. Ethanol Logistics System Petrobras in 2006 received the American Society of Mechanical Engineers award for technological advances in pipeline technology Ethanol collection, storage and distribution centers are spread out Large scale marine terminals improve through producing efficiency and consuming regions Large storage capacity necessary to regulate supply Primary Base Secondary Base Pipelines reduce Collection Centers transport costs; improve Inland Navigation energy efficiency Railways Road Multi product pipelines
  • 20. Industrial Plants 3 Projects Being Implemented But the main hurdles Capacity: 171 thousand m3/year and challenges are: CE Investments: ~ US$ 60 million • Heavy oil production technology development will expand LA reserve Inputs growth possibilities; Family Agriculture: castor, cotton, and palm.• Successful Doha Round Negotiations Complementary: soy. are essential to permit greater BA trade of agricultural commodities and increase agricultural productivity Jobs Generations: considering comparative advantages; Construction: 1,200 direct and 400 indirect Operation: 105 direct • Technological breakthroughs inMontes MG Raw material production:70,000 families enzyme technology for the use Claros of Lignocelluloses biomass and BTL; Start up: 4 Q/2007 semi-arid region • Further progress in regional integration. All Petrobras Biodiesel has Social Fuel Seal
  • 21. Transport facilities are fully integrated with refineries and blenders Ethanol t duc MARITIME i pro ne TRANSPORT ult eli M ip p Ethanol Ethanol REFINARY TERMINAL REFINARY Mu MARITIME ltip Eth rod TRANSPORT ano uct l an pip d g elin aso es hol MARITIME SERVICE STATIONS TERMINAL Ethanol Distribuition bases Gasoline Ethanol
  • 22. Brazilian New Car Sales by Fuel 1.600 ETHANOL GASOHOL FLEX - FUEL Number of Vehiclesx 1.000 1.200 800 400 0 78 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 Year
  • 23. Global ethanol market totals 46.5 Billion Liters Fuel Ethanol represents 30.6 Billion Liters, 67% of total ethanol production Raw Material Energy output / energy input Today global ethanol consumption is 2,6% of gasoline fuel market Increasing ethanol to 10% of gasoline will represent 118 Billion Liters Tomorrow: Lignocelluloses Biomass technology will double ethanol per ha. yield Molasses yields only 85 L of ethanol, 1 metric ton of sugar cane But Cane bagasse yields 185 L of ethanol Base calculation 23
  • 24. Ethanol Exportation in Brazil - Future Includes 800 Km 800 km Senador Canedo exclusive ethanol Terminal pipeline Tietê River (Waterway Ribeirão Preto Export Capacity 18 Millions Kl/year ) Collect Center Conchas 200 km River Terminal Regions: 90 Piracicaba Paulínia Guararema Rio de Janeiro km (REFINERY) 150 km Taubaté City 370 km S.J.Rio Preto Terminal (REFINERY) Bauru Araçatuba MS 90 km MT 15km São Sebastião Ilha D’Água Future Marine Terminal Marine Terminal Pipelines Existing 4 Millons Kl/ano 4 Millons Kl/ano Pipelines 300,000 dwt 130,000 dwt
  • 25. TIETÊ – PARANÁ INLAND WATERWAY INVESTMENTS: US$ 160 M Petrobras is also integrating (2008 a 2010) waterways with pipelines REPLAN REPAR 4 or 5 river terminals and a 90km pipeline Possible integration with REPAR-Cuiaba pipeline
  • 26. H-BIO and BIODIESEL – Complementary Processes Complementary and not competitive processes But the main hurdles and challenges are: • Heavy oil production technology development will expand LA reserve growth possibilities; • Successful Doha Round Negotiations are essential to permit greater trade of agricultural commodities and increase agricultural productivity considering comparative advantages; • Technological breakthroughs in enzyme technology for the use of Lignocelluloses biomass and BTL; • Further progress in regional integration.
  • 27. H-BIO Process in Refinery VEGETABLE OTHER DIESEL DD FRACTIONS OIL ATMOSPHERIC OIL OF DIESEL DISTILLATION atmospheric residue Existing HDT VACUUM Gasoil DIESEL FCC FCC DIESEL DISTILLATION Process HBIO Vacuum Residue DELAYED DIESEL COKE COKING
  • 28. Potential Capacity of H-BIO Short Term Medium Term Long Term 2007 2008 2011 Refineries 4 5 10 Vegetable Oil 1,050,000 Consumption 256,000 cu.m/year 425,000 cu.m/year cu.m/year Equivalent Volume of 15% 25% n/a Diesel Imports
  • 29. H-BIO • HBIO is a process of: But the main hurdles and challenges are: – Oil refining that utilizes vegetable oils as raw material in order to obtain diesel oil production technology • Heavy oil development will expand LA reserve growth possibilities; – Hydrogenation of a blend of diesel and vegetable • Successful Doha Round Negotiations oils are essential to permit greater trade of agricultural commodities and Castor-Oil Plant Sunflower Soy increase Oil Palm African agricultural productivity Cotton considering comparative advantages; • Technological breakthroughs in enzyme technology for the use of Lignocelluloses biomass and BTL; • Further progress in regional integration.
  • 30. Principal Conclusions, Hurdles and Challenges • Latin America is in a privileged position regarding oil reserves, and But the main hurdles energy independence; and challenges are: • Use of natural gas prospects are • Heavy oil production technology encouraging and should contribute development will expand LA reserve to increase liquid fossil fuel exports growth possibilities; availability but integration and • Successful Doha Round Negotiations financial issues are a main are essential to permit greater concern; trade of agricultural commodities and • Land, water and human resource increase agricultural productivity availability and biodiversity place considering comparative advantages; Central and South America and • Technological breakthroughs in Caribbean in a privileged position to enzyme technology for the use of use and supply OECD countries Lignocelluloses biomass and BTL; with renewable fuels, and also further liberating liquid fossil fuels • Further progress in regional for export. integration.