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Paper	
  on	
  Procurement	
  Management	
  
	
  
Attention	
  Karl	
  Croswhite,	
  UW	
  Project	
  Management	
  Extension	
  Class	
  
	
  
Date:	
  	
  April	
  7th	
  2010	
  
	
  
Author:	
  	
  Philip	
  Corsano	
  
	
  
Procurement	
  Management	
  Process	
  for	
  IBM	
  Project	
  Company	
  Sirena	
  3.	
  
	
  




                                             	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                               	
  
	
  
Background:	
  
	
  
Sirena	
  3	
  a	
  special	
  purpose	
  Project	
  	
  company	
  was	
  established	
  in	
  1991,	
  by	
  Aeroflot,	
  
the	
  monopoly	
  Russian	
  Airline	
  system,	
  at	
  the	
  time	
  the	
  largest	
  airline	
  system	
  in	
  the	
  
world.	
  	
  	
  My	
  role	
  was	
  to	
  substitute	
  the	
  Project	
  Manager	
  in	
  1998	
  as	
  the	
  project	
  had	
  
run	
  into	
  substantial	
  difficulties	
  and	
  to	
  restructure	
  the	
  Project	
  so	
  as	
  to	
  be	
  able	
  to	
  
deliver	
  the	
  required	
  service	
  within	
  budgetary	
  constraints.	
  
	
  
The	
  objective	
  of	
  the	
  “Project”	
  company,	
  [Project]	
  was	
  to	
  provide	
  a	
  new	
  IATA	
  
compatible	
  airline	
  reservation	
  system	
  to	
  cover	
  both,	
  domestic	
  [internal	
  to	
  the	
  
Former	
  Soviet	
  Union]	
  and	
  international	
  flights.	
  	
  The	
  total	
  project	
  costs	
  at	
  the	
  time	
  
were	
  estimated	
  to	
  be	
  in	
  region	
  of	
  $450	
  million,	
  making	
  this	
  the	
  largest	
  single	
  
investment	
  made	
  in	
  the	
  Former	
  Soviet	
  Union	
  in	
  1991.	
  	
  The	
  Project	
  Sponsors	
  were:	
  
	
  
                            IBM	
  for	
  the	
  System	
  390	
  backbone;	
  
                            ATT	
  satellite	
  infrastructure	
  to	
  link	
  all	
  the	
  remote	
  areas	
  of	
  the	
  Soviet	
  Union	
  to	
  
                                                      the	
  central	
  data	
  base	
  run	
  on	
  a	
  satellite	
  farm	
  outside	
  Moscow;1	
  
                            Sabre	
  reservation	
  system	
  software,	
  an	
  American	
  Airlines	
  Company;	
  
                            The	
  whole	
  operations	
  were	
  to	
  be	
  project	
  managed	
  by	
  IBM.	
  
	
  
The	
  financing	
  for	
  the	
  procurement	
  of	
  the	
  equipment	
  and	
  man-­‐hours	
  necessary	
  for	
  
the	
  $450	
  million	
  estimate	
  was	
  to	
  be	
  US	
  EXIM	
  bank	
  financed.	
  	
  This	
  required	
  an	
  
overall	
  project	
  procurement	
  guarantee	
  by	
  the	
  Government	
  of	
  the	
  Russian	
  
Federation.	
  	
  In	
  addition	
  the	
  Project	
  would	
  be	
  “Project	
  Financed”	
  by	
  means	
  of	
  a	
  $2.50	
  
	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  
1	
  The	
  ATT	
  international	
  operations	
  were	
  purchases	
  by	
  GE	
  Spacenet	
  in	
  1997,	
  GE	
  

Spacenet	
  became	
  the	
  supplier	
  of	
  the	
  satellite	
  infrastructure,	
  still	
  based	
  on	
  the	
  AT&T	
  
architecture.	
  
per	
  ticket	
  reservations	
  charge	
  which	
  would	
  flow	
  directly	
  to	
  the	
  Sirena	
  3	
  Project	
  
company.	
  	
  The	
  estimated	
  transactions	
  volume	
  of	
  flights	
  internal	
  to	
  the	
  Former	
  
Soviet	
  Union	
  [FSU]	
  and	
  internationally	
  in	
  1990	
  were	
  in	
  the	
  region	
  of	
  110	
  million,	
  	
  
	
  
Change	
  in	
  the	
  Economic	
  Environment	
  in	
  FSU	
  1991	
  -­1998	
  
	
  
In	
  1998	
  was	
  asked	
  by	
  the	
  IBM	
  project	
  manager	
  at	
  the	
  time	
  to	
  turn	
  the	
  project	
  
around.	
  	
  The	
  business	
  environment	
  in	
  the	
  FSU	
  had	
  changed	
  substantially	
  since	
  
1991,	
  as	
  the	
  FSU	
  had	
  experienced	
  a	
  very	
  severe	
  contraction	
  in	
  output	
  as	
  a	
  result	
  of	
  
the	
  break-­‐down	
  of	
  the	
  FSU	
  and	
  amongst	
  other	
  issues,	
  the	
  establishment	
  of	
  the	
  
Central	
  Asian	
  republics	
  of	
  Kazakstan,	
  Uzbekistan,	
  Tajikstan	
  and	
  Kyrgystan,	
  as	
  well	
  
as	
  the	
  seccesion	
  of	
  the	
  Caucasus	
  republics	
  of	
  Georgia,	
  Azerbajan,	
  Armeian,	
  and	
  
several	
  other	
  smaller	
  republics	
  including	
  Ossetia.	
  
	
  
The	
  graph	
  below	
  show	
  the	
  impact	
  of	
  the	
  economic	
  crisis	
  on	
  GDP	
  experienced	
  by	
  the	
  
FSU	
  from	
  1991	
  to	
  1995.	
  	
  By	
  1998	
  the	
  Russian	
  Federation	
  had	
  also	
  experienced	
  a	
  
default	
  and	
  massive	
  devaluation.	
  	
  Hence	
  many	
  of	
  the	
  assumptions	
  underlying	
  the	
  
economics	
  of	
  the	
  ticket	
  reservation	
  charge	
  were	
  found	
  to	
  be	
  severely	
  wanting.	
  	
  Most	
  
domestic	
  flights	
  were	
  run	
  by	
  regional	
  carriers,	
  following	
  a	
  “balkanization”	
  and	
  
deregulation	
  of	
  the	
  domestic	
  airlines.	
  	
  There	
  was	
  no	
  “Central”	
  Aeroflot	
  purchasing	
  
decision	
  maker.	
  	
  Rather	
  there	
  were	
  at	
  least	
  20	
  regional	
  airlines,	
  all	
  which	
  had	
  their	
  
own	
  ticket	
  reservations	
  plans,	
  and	
  they	
  had	
  to	
  be	
  convinced	
  to	
  buy	
  into	
  the	
  Sirena	
  3	
  
reservation	
  system.	
  	
  Also	
  by	
  this	
  stage,	
  most	
  of	
  the	
  infrastructure	
  for	
  a	
  150	
  
million/ticketing	
  reservation	
  system	
  for	
  the	
  airlines	
  in	
  FSU	
  had	
  been	
  committed	
  to.	
  	
  	
  	
  
	
  
GDP	
  in	
  USSR	
  &	
  Former	
  Soviet	
  Union.	
  
	
  




                                                                                                                                    	
  
	
  
	
  
GDP	
  went	
  from	
  $1,600	
  billion	
  in	
  1990	
  to	
  just	
  over	
  $300	
  billion	
  in	
  1999.	
  
 
        	
  
        	
  
        Procurement	
                                              Management	
  Plan	
  Issues.	
  
        	
  
        	
  
        	
  
        	
                                                                               Sirena	
  3	
  
        	
                                                                               Project	
  Co	
  
        	
  
                                                                                                             	
  
                                                                                  	
  
                                                                          	
  
                                                                                                                    Russian	
  
                                                                   	
  
                                                                                                                    Govt	
  
                                                            	
  
                                                                                                                    Guaranty	
  
                                                     	
  
                                                                                                                    	
  
                                 	
  
                                                                                                                    V	
  
                                 	
  
                                 	
                                                                                 US	
  Exim	
  
                                	
                                                                                  Bank	
  
                                	
  
                                	
  
                                	
  
                                	
  
                                      	
  
IBM	
                                  	
                                        Sabre	
                                 GE	
  
Services	
                             	
                                        Information	
                           Spacenet	
  
                                                                                 Services	
                              Satellite	
  Services	
  
                                     	
  
        	
  
        The	
  above	
  chart	
  shows	
  how	
  the	
  various	
  suppliers	
  into	
  the	
  Sirena	
  3	
  project	
  company	
  
        sourced	
  the	
  procurement	
  process.	
  
        	
  
        Up	
  to	
  1998	
  IBM	
  Services	
  [IBM]	
  was	
  in	
  charge	
  of	
  dealing	
  with	
  all	
  suppliers	
  of	
  the	
  
        Project	
  company,	
  at	
  least	
  all	
  suppliers	
  who	
  were	
  non	
  Russian.	
  	
  IBM	
  then	
  had	
  to	
  
        ensure	
  the	
  delivery	
  of	
  the	
  procured	
  items,	
  [from	
  the	
  complete	
  installed	
  system	
  390,	
  
        to	
  the	
  equipment	
  for	
  the	
  point	
  to	
  point	
  satellite	
  network,	
  to	
  the	
  Sabre	
  data	
  base	
  that	
  
        was	
  the	
  engine	
  of	
  the	
  real	
  time	
  reservation	
  system].	
  
        	
  
        The	
  funding	
  of	
  the	
  procurement	
  would	
  be	
  dealt	
  with	
  through	
  the	
  Sirena	
  3	
  
        management,	
  in	
  particular	
  the	
  funding	
  which	
  was	
  covered	
  by	
  US	
  Exim	
  Bank	
  and	
  the	
  
        Russian	
  Federation	
  Guarantee.	
  
        	
  
        	
  
        	
  
 
How	
  we	
  dealt	
  with	
  Specific	
  Problems	
  of	
  the	
  Procurement	
  Process:	
  
	
  
       1. Make	
  or	
  Buy:	
  
The	
  make	
  or	
  buy	
  decision	
  for	
  Sirena	
  3	
  was	
  a	
  dynamic	
  and	
  complex	
  process.	
  	
  The	
  
Project	
  was	
  established	
  in	
  1991	
  at	
  the	
  time	
  of	
  the	
  break	
  up	
  of	
  the	
  FSU.	
  	
  The	
  
technological	
  solution	
  at	
  that	
  time	
  was	
  to	
  deliver	
  a	
  real	
  time	
  central	
  data	
  base,	
  based	
  
in	
  Moscow	
  at	
  the	
  Satellite	
  Farm	
  run	
  by	
  the	
  ex	
  military.	
  	
  Hence	
  although	
  the	
  satellite	
  
receivers	
  were	
  US	
  built,	
  much	
  of	
  the	
  infrastructure	
  used	
  was	
  domestic	
  Russian	
  
manufacture.	
  	
  This	
  required	
  a	
  substantial	
  amount	
  of	
  integration	
  effort	
  between	
  the	
  
Russian	
  engineers	
  of	
  the	
  former	
  military	
  facility	
  and	
  engineers	
  from	
  GE	
  Spacenet.	
  
	
  
As	
  the	
  Project	
  progressed,	
  we	
  witnessed	
  more	
  tension	
  in	
  terms	
  of	
  the	
  systems	
  
integration	
  of	
  the	
  base	
  station	
  infrastructure	
  [in	
  Severni	
  Aziori]	
  and	
  the	
  regional	
  
sites	
  for	
  linking	
  to	
  Moscow,	
  [Moscow	
  was	
  linked	
  in	
  real	
  time	
  to	
  89	
  regional	
  satellite	
  
links	
  to	
  ensure	
  complete	
  coverage	
  of	
  all	
  the	
  main	
  flight	
  hubs	
  of	
  the	
  FSU].	
  	
  We	
  also	
  
witness	
  a	
  complete	
  change	
  in	
  terms	
  of	
  the	
  “cheapest	
  to	
  deliver	
  solution”.	
  	
  The	
  
internet	
  protocol	
  [IP]	
  revolution	
  in	
  the	
  travel	
  booking	
  system	
  was	
  a	
  very	
  real	
  
alternative	
  to	
  the	
  central	
  data	
  base	
  system	
  envisaged	
  on	
  the	
  Sabre	
  system.	
  
	
  
Hence	
  the	
  make	
  or	
  buy	
  decision	
  was	
  an	
  extremely	
  dynamic	
  process	
  that	
  required	
  
substantial	
  intellectual	
  effort	
  to	
  ensure	
  that	
  the	
  product	
  lines	
  that	
  were	
  planned	
  to	
  
be	
  delivered	
  were	
  in	
  fact	
  appropriate	
  for	
  the	
  Project.	
  	
  In	
  particular,	
  once	
  the	
  IBM	
  
system	
  390	
  was	
  installed	
  in	
  the	
  central	
  data	
  base	
  location	
  in	
  Severni	
  Aziori,	
  the	
  
Project	
  Company	
  was	
  locked	
  into	
  the	
  central	
  data	
  base	
  mode.	
  	
  There	
  was	
  no	
  
alternative	
  then,	
  but	
  to	
  deliver	
  on	
  the	
  central	
  data-­‐base	
  architecture	
  run	
  on	
  Sabre.	
  
	
  
The	
  procurement	
  make	
  or	
  buy	
  decisions	
  did	
  shift	
  in	
  terms	
  of	
  the	
  following	
  aspects,	
  
the	
  choice	
  for	
  the	
  satellite	
  to	
  be	
  used:	
  
	
  
        Astra	
  Geostationary,	
  satellite,	
  which	
  reached	
  mainly	
  European	
  Russian;	
  
        Northern	
  Russian	
  Ex	
  military	
  satellite,	
  which	
  covered	
  most	
  of	
  Siberia,	
  
             Northern	
  regions	
  and	
  Russian	
  Far	
  East;	
  	
  	
  
	
  
The	
  decision	
  was	
  made	
  to	
  use	
  the	
  Russian	
  Northern	
  satellite,	
  for	
  the	
  remainder	
  of	
  its	
  
expected	
  useful	
  life,	
  [expected	
  5	
  years	
  but	
  these	
  satellites	
  have	
  shown	
  far	
  longer	
  
expected	
  useful	
  lives].	
  	
  The	
  decision	
  was	
  supported	
  both	
  by	
  the	
  reach	
  of	
  the	
  satellite	
  
and	
  the	
  cost	
  of	
  the	
  satellite.	
  	
  This	
  reduced	
  the	
  overall	
  Project	
  operating	
  costs	
  
substantially,	
  but	
  required	
  a	
  major	
  investment	
  in	
  terms	
  of	
  the	
  integration	
  of	
  the	
  GE	
  
Spacenet	
  equipment	
  to	
  ensure	
  continuous	
  service	
  coverage.	
  	
  Russian	
  Northern	
  
satellite	
  is	
  not	
  Geostationary.	
  	
  It	
  has	
  an	
  elliptical	
  orbit	
  over	
  the	
  Northern	
  
Hemisphere	
  that	
  requires	
  adjustment	
  to	
  the	
  ground	
  station	
  tracking	
  equipment.	
  	
  
The	
  Present	
  Value	
  of	
  this	
  investment,	
  when	
  compared	
  to	
  that	
  of	
  the	
  alternative	
  
Geostationary	
  equipment	
  justified	
  the	
  “Make”	
  decision.	
  	
  However	
  there	
  was	
  a	
  
substantial	
  risk	
  of	
  delivery,	
  as	
  this	
  was	
  a	
  “new”	
  technical	
  solution	
  and	
  one	
  that	
  had	
  
not	
  been	
  planned	
  for	
  in	
  the	
  original	
  project	
  plan.	
  	
  Nevertheless,	
  the	
  solution	
  	
  proved	
  	
  
be	
  effective	
  and	
  was	
  able	
  to	
  be	
  integrated	
  into	
  the	
  system	
  390	
  and	
  Sabre	
  proprietary	
  
airline	
  data	
  base.	
  	
  	
  This	
  is	
  a	
  classic	
  case	
  of	
  the	
  Project	
  Team	
  exercising	
  expert	
  
judgement	
  in	
  conjunction	
  with	
  technical	
  experts	
  who	
  were	
  able	
  to	
  certify	
  that	
  the	
  
system	
  would	
  be	
  able	
  to	
  integrated	
  into	
  the	
  GE	
  Spacenet	
  infrastructure,	
  even	
  though	
  
we	
  were	
  dealing	
  with	
  unknown	
  ex	
  military	
  Russian	
  suppliers	
  in	
  terms	
  past	
  
performance	
  and	
  reputation.	
  
	
  
       2. Procurement	
  Statement	
  of	
  Work:	
  
	
  
By	
  the	
  time	
  of	
  my	
  involvement	
  with	
  Sirena	
  3,	
  in	
  January	
  1st	
  2008,	
  the	
  Project	
  
company	
  had	
  at	
  least	
  had	
  two	
  or	
  three	
  statements	
  of	
  work,	
  which	
  had	
  evolved	
  from	
  
the	
  inception	
  of	
  the	
  Project	
  in	
  early	
  1991.	
  
	
  
The	
  initial	
  statement	
  of	
  work	
  had	
  been	
  based	
  on	
  the	
  assumption	
  of	
  a	
  
110million/passenger	
  year	
  volume.	
  	
  The	
  Russian	
  Federation	
  guarantee	
  for	
  the	
  
entire	
  foreign	
  procurement	
  of	
  the	
  Project	
  company	
  was	
  back-­‐stopped	
  by	
  US	
  EXIM	
  
bank,	
  so	
  the	
  statement	
  of	
  work	
  and	
  documentation	
  elements	
  of	
  this	
  Project	
  were	
  
extensive.	
  
	
  
As	
  discussed	
  in	
  the	
  section	
  on	
  the	
  change	
  in	
  economic	
  environment	
  of	
  the	
  FSU,	
  the	
  
economic	
  basis	
  of	
  the	
  Project	
  changed	
  substantially	
  from	
  1991	
  -­‐1998.	
  	
  When	
  I	
  was	
  
elected	
  to	
  become	
  the	
  Project	
  manager,	
  the	
  Project	
  was	
  severely	
  behind	
  in	
  its	
  
payments	
  to	
  the	
  three	
  main	
  suppliers,	
  IBM,	
  GE	
  Spacenet	
  and	
  Sabre.	
  	
  Many	
  of	
  the	
  
statements	
  of	
  work	
  had	
  to	
  be	
  completely	
  revisited	
  to	
  be	
  made	
  congruent	
  with	
  the	
  
new	
  economic	
  reality	
  the	
  Project	
  company	
  operated	
  in.	
  	
  In	
  the	
  first	
  three	
  weeks	
  of	
  
my	
  assignment,	
  I	
  had	
  to	
  read	
  all	
  the	
  agreements	
  between	
  the	
  parties,	
  and	
  it	
  became	
  
clear	
  that	
  the	
  main	
  statement	
  of	
  work	
  that	
  needed	
  extensive	
  revision	
  was	
  the	
  Sabre	
  
component.	
  	
  This	
  was	
  in	
  part	
  because	
  the	
  IBM	
  System	
  390	
  had	
  been	
  delivered	
  and	
  
installed	
  as	
  per	
  contract,	
  as	
  was	
  for	
  the	
  main	
  part	
  the	
  GE	
  Spacenet	
  equipment,	
  save	
  
for	
  the	
  modifications	
  on	
  the	
  Satellite	
  tracking	
  system	
  as	
  described	
  above.	
  
	
  
With	
  Sabre	
  the	
  problem	
  was	
  complex.	
  	
  Without	
  the	
  Sabre	
  software	
  engine,	
  [a	
  
proprietary	
  development	
  of	
  American	
  Airlines],	
  the	
  system	
  was	
  dead.	
  	
  Yet	
  the	
  very	
  
premises	
  upon	
  which	
  the	
  software	
  architecture	
  was	
  based	
  appeared	
  to	
  be	
  obsolete.	
  	
  
There	
  was	
  no	
  monolithic	
  purchaser	
  in	
  Aeroflot.	
  	
  There	
  was	
  Aeroflot	
  international,	
  
and	
  at	
  least	
  40	
  baby	
  Flots,	
  which	
  included	
  several	
  sovereign	
  airlines,	
  like	
  those	
  of	
  
Kyrgyzstan,	
  Uzebekistan,	
  as	
  well	
  as	
  Sibir	
  Air,	
  Bashir	
  Avio	
  and	
  many	
  such	
  smaller	
  
airlines	
  which	
  had	
  begun	
  to	
  operate	
  in	
  a	
  newly	
  unregulated	
  competitive	
  
environment.	
  	
  	
  
	
  
The	
  Sabre	
  architecture	
  and	
  software	
  solution	
  did	
  not	
  have	
  multiple	
  buyers.	
  	
  Hence	
  I	
  
had	
  to	
  request	
  Sabre	
  to	
  completely	
  rewrite	
  whole	
  sections	
  of	
  the	
  software.	
  	
  The	
  new	
  
solution	
  would	
  be	
  targeted	
  to	
  the	
  requirements	
  of	
  the	
  independent	
  and	
  competitive	
  
airlines.	
  	
  This	
  was	
  a	
  complex	
  matter	
  both	
  from	
  an	
  economic	
  and	
  negotiation	
  
standpoint,	
  [Sibir	
  Air	
  competed	
  directly	
  with	
  some	
  airlines	
  on	
  routes	
  to	
  say	
  Khanty	
  
Mansysk	
  in	
  Siberia]	
  as	
  well	
  as	
  from	
  a	
  contracting	
  and	
  procurement	
  standpoint.	
  	
  The	
  
Project	
  was	
  substantially	
  behind	
  schedule,	
  and	
  Sabre	
  had	
  not	
  been	
  paid	
  for	
  its	
  last	
  
delivery	
  of	
  work,	
  because	
  the	
  Project	
  had	
  no	
  more	
  funds.	
  	
  The	
  contracting	
  also	
  
included	
  a	
  clear	
  “Project	
  Completion”2	
  clause,	
  and	
  Sabre	
  had	
  not	
  completed	
  its	
  part	
  
of	
  the	
  work.	
  	
  This	
  was	
  not	
  entirely	
  attributable	
  to	
  a	
  Sabre	
  failure	
  as	
  has	
  been	
  
discussed.	
  
	
  
Hence	
  I	
  had	
  to	
  call	
  a	
  Sponsor	
  meeting	
  in	
  which	
  we	
  agreed	
  the	
  following:	
  
	
  
        That	
  Sabre	
  would	
  run	
  a	
  pilot	
  for	
  one	
  of	
  the	
  domestic	
  Baby	
  Flot	
  airlines,	
  
               [Bashkir	
  Avio],	
  with	
  the	
  objective	
  of	
  proving	
  the	
  system’s	
  effectiveness;	
  
        That	
  the	
  debts	
  that	
  had	
  been	
  incurred	
  with	
  all	
  suppliers	
  would	
  be	
  pro-­‐rated	
  
               and	
  extended,	
  such	
  that	
  each	
  of	
  the	
  three	
  suppliers	
  would	
  share	
  in	
  the	
  
               economic	
  pain	
  resulting	
  from	
  extending	
  the	
  time	
  horizon	
  of	
  their	
  payments.	
  
	
  
The	
  meeting	
  was	
  highly	
  contentious	
  as	
  can	
  be	
  imagined.	
  	
  The	
  two	
  suppliers	
  who	
  had	
  
completed	
  their	
  project	
  requirements	
  were	
  understandably	
  reluctant	
  to	
  take	
  any	
  
further	
  risk	
  and	
  delay.	
  	
  Especially	
  because	
  Sabre	
  was	
  the	
  only	
  supplier	
  to	
  be	
  in	
  
substantial	
  delay	
  relative	
  to	
  the	
  Project	
  schedule.	
  	
  However,	
  given	
  the	
  Project	
  
Completion	
  clause,	
  all	
  suppliers	
  were	
  jointly	
  and	
  severally	
  liable	
  for	
  non	
  completion.	
  	
  
Hence	
  the	
  alternative	
  was	
  either	
  walk	
  away,	
  litigate	
  and	
  bankrupt	
  the	
  Project,	
  or	
  
accept	
  the	
  extension	
  of	
  payment	
  terms,	
  until	
  the	
  Sabre	
  delivery	
  of	
  the	
  Bashkir	
  Avio	
  
pilot.	
  	
  In	
  the	
  end	
  we	
  reached	
  agreement,	
  and	
  I	
  was	
  not	
  the	
  most	
  popular	
  person	
  for	
  a	
  
while.	
  	
  The	
  project	
  was	
  safe	
  for	
  a	
  few	
  more	
  months	
  and	
  extensive	
  and	
  expensive	
  
litigation	
  was	
  averted.	
  
	
  
	
  
       3. Procurement	
  Documents:	
  
               	
  
These	
  included	
  amongst	
  others	
  anti-­‐bribery	
  clauses	
  in	
  compliance	
  with	
  the	
  WTO	
  
directives	
  on	
  anti	
  corruption	
  in	
  public	
  procurement,	
  as	
  well	
  as	
  the	
  usual	
  technical	
  
statements	
  of	
  need,	
  in	
  Russian	
  and	
  English.	
  	
  There	
  was	
  a	
  substantial	
  intellectual	
  
property	
  element	
  in	
  all	
  the	
  procurement	
  documents	
  which	
  covered	
  among	
  other	
  
things,	
  the	
  Sabre	
  software	
  license,	
  the	
  IBM	
  System	
  390	
  operating	
  system	
  license,	
  the	
  
GE	
  Spacenet	
  proprietary	
  technology	
  for	
  the	
  Satellite	
  uplink,	
  as	
  well	
  as	
  the	
  Russian	
  
satellite	
  procurement	
  contracts	
  with	
  the	
  Russian	
  military	
  regarding	
  use	
  of	
  bandwith	
  
in	
  the	
  FSU.	
  	
  All	
  these	
  documents	
  required	
  substantial	
  updating	
  and	
  revisions	
  as	
  a	
  
result	
  of	
  what	
  is	
  described	
  in	
  2	
  above.	
  
	
  



	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  
2	
  Project	
  completion	
  is	
  a	
  legal	
  term	
  in	
  Project	
  Finance	
  Management.	
  	
  It	
  states	
  that	
  

the	
  risk	
  of	
  the	
  project,	
  if	
  not	
  complete	
  and	
  tested	
  in	
  accordance	
  with	
  requirements	
  
of	
  the	
  Project	
  Manager,	
  rests	
  with	
  the	
  suppliers.	
  	
  This	
  is	
  a	
  very	
  effective	
  discipline	
  
for	
  managing	
  complex	
  procurement	
  processes	
  in	
  large	
  projects	
  like	
  Sirena	
  3.	
  
PROJECT	
  PROCUREMENT	
  DIAGRAM	
  FOR	
  SIRENA	
  3.	
  
 	
  
 	
  
                           	
  
      Project	
  Scope	
     	
                                                                           Satcom	
  
                                       Integration	
  
      Definitions	
          	
                                                                           Communic
                                       Russian	
  	
  
      1998	
  Revised	
     	
                                                                            ations	
  
                                       Suppliers	
  
      	
                    	
  
                                  	
  
 	
  
                                                           	
  
        IBM	
  Quality	
        	
                    Sirena	
  3	
                                    Human	
  
        Control	
                                                                                      Resouces	
  

 	
  
 	
  
              	
  
              	
  
                                       	
  
Schedule	
                             	
      Project	
                                          Risk	
  
                                       	
      Cost	
                                             Management	
  
                                                	
  
                                               Management	
  
                               	
  
            	
  
            	
  
            	
  
         4. Source	
  Selection	
  Criteria:	
  
 	
  
 The	
  source	
  selection	
  for	
  the	
  Sirena	
  3	
  Project	
  was	
  determined	
  for	
  the	
  main	
  part	
  when	
  
 the	
  three	
  main	
  suppliers	
  and	
  Sponsors	
  of	
  the	
  Project,	
  [IBM.	
  GE	
  Spacenet,	
  and	
  Sabre]	
  
 underwrote	
  the	
  project	
  and	
  the	
  assumption	
  behind	
  the	
  Project,	
  which	
  at	
  the	
  time	
  
 [1991]	
  	
  was	
  the	
  largest	
  single	
  direct	
  investment	
  in	
  the	
  infrastructure	
  of	
  the	
  FSU.	
  	
  
 There	
  was	
  substantial	
  work	
  though	
  in	
  the	
  selection	
  and	
  sourcing	
  of	
  Russian	
  
 suppliers.	
  	
  We	
  had	
  to	
  establish	
  a	
  system	
  for	
  performance	
  reporting	
  for	
  these	
  
 suppliers,	
  together	
  with	
  inspections	
  and	
  audits	
  of	
  the	
  work	
  performed,	
  and	
  
 compliance	
  with	
  IATA	
  standards.	
  	
  There	
  was	
  also	
  a	
  procurement	
  closure	
  process	
  
 which	
  was	
  common	
  to	
  all	
  suppliers.	
  
 	
  
 One	
  of	
  the	
  main	
  problems	
  we	
  had	
  was	
  the	
  anti-­‐bribery	
  clauses	
  in	
  our	
  contracts	
  
 which	
  were	
  required	
  under	
  US	
  Statute,	
  because	
  of	
  US	
  Exim	
  bank	
  involvement.	
  	
  We	
  
 had	
  to	
  obtain	
  special	
  VAT	
  exemptions	
  for	
  the	
  equipment	
  imported,	
  given	
  the	
  that	
  
 Russian	
  Federation	
  was	
  ultimate	
  guarantor.	
  
 	
  
 	
  
 	
  

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Procurement Management Process for IBM Sirena 3 Project

  • 1. Paper  on  Procurement  Management     Attention  Karl  Croswhite,  UW  Project  Management  Extension  Class     Date:    April  7th  2010     Author:    Philip  Corsano     Procurement  Management  Process  for  IBM  Project  Company  Sirena  3.           Background:     Sirena  3  a  special  purpose  Project    company  was  established  in  1991,  by  Aeroflot,   the  monopoly  Russian  Airline  system,  at  the  time  the  largest  airline  system  in  the   world.      My  role  was  to  substitute  the  Project  Manager  in  1998  as  the  project  had   run  into  substantial  difficulties  and  to  restructure  the  Project  so  as  to  be  able  to   deliver  the  required  service  within  budgetary  constraints.     The  objective  of  the  “Project”  company,  [Project]  was  to  provide  a  new  IATA   compatible  airline  reservation  system  to  cover  both,  domestic  [internal  to  the   Former  Soviet  Union]  and  international  flights.    The  total  project  costs  at  the  time   were  estimated  to  be  in  region  of  $450  million,  making  this  the  largest  single   investment  made  in  the  Former  Soviet  Union  in  1991.    The  Project  Sponsors  were:      IBM  for  the  System  390  backbone;    ATT  satellite  infrastructure  to  link  all  the  remote  areas  of  the  Soviet  Union  to   the  central  data  base  run  on  a  satellite  farm  outside  Moscow;1    Sabre  reservation  system  software,  an  American  Airlines  Company;    The  whole  operations  were  to  be  project  managed  by  IBM.     The  financing  for  the  procurement  of  the  equipment  and  man-­‐hours  necessary  for   the  $450  million  estimate  was  to  be  US  EXIM  bank  financed.    This  required  an   overall  project  procurement  guarantee  by  the  Government  of  the  Russian   Federation.    In  addition  the  Project  would  be  “Project  Financed”  by  means  of  a  $2.50                                                                                                                   1  The  ATT  international  operations  were  purchases  by  GE  Spacenet  in  1997,  GE   Spacenet  became  the  supplier  of  the  satellite  infrastructure,  still  based  on  the  AT&T   architecture.  
  • 2. per  ticket  reservations  charge  which  would  flow  directly  to  the  Sirena  3  Project   company.    The  estimated  transactions  volume  of  flights  internal  to  the  Former   Soviet  Union  [FSU]  and  internationally  in  1990  were  in  the  region  of  110  million,       Change  in  the  Economic  Environment  in  FSU  1991  -­1998     In  1998  was  asked  by  the  IBM  project  manager  at  the  time  to  turn  the  project   around.    The  business  environment  in  the  FSU  had  changed  substantially  since   1991,  as  the  FSU  had  experienced  a  very  severe  contraction  in  output  as  a  result  of   the  break-­‐down  of  the  FSU  and  amongst  other  issues,  the  establishment  of  the   Central  Asian  republics  of  Kazakstan,  Uzbekistan,  Tajikstan  and  Kyrgystan,  as  well   as  the  seccesion  of  the  Caucasus  republics  of  Georgia,  Azerbajan,  Armeian,  and   several  other  smaller  republics  including  Ossetia.     The  graph  below  show  the  impact  of  the  economic  crisis  on  GDP  experienced  by  the   FSU  from  1991  to  1995.    By  1998  the  Russian  Federation  had  also  experienced  a   default  and  massive  devaluation.    Hence  many  of  the  assumptions  underlying  the   economics  of  the  ticket  reservation  charge  were  found  to  be  severely  wanting.    Most   domestic  flights  were  run  by  regional  carriers,  following  a  “balkanization”  and   deregulation  of  the  domestic  airlines.    There  was  no  “Central”  Aeroflot  purchasing   decision  maker.    Rather  there  were  at  least  20  regional  airlines,  all  which  had  their   own  ticket  reservations  plans,  and  they  had  to  be  convinced  to  buy  into  the  Sirena  3   reservation  system.    Also  by  this  stage,  most  of  the  infrastructure  for  a  150   million/ticketing  reservation  system  for  the  airlines  in  FSU  had  been  committed  to.           GDP  in  USSR  &  Former  Soviet  Union.           GDP  went  from  $1,600  billion  in  1990  to  just  over  $300  billion  in  1999.  
  • 3.       Procurement   Management  Plan  Issues.           Sirena  3     Project  Co           Russian     Govt     Guaranty         V       US  Exim     Bank             IBM     Sabre   GE   Services     Information   Spacenet   Services   Satellite  Services       The  above  chart  shows  how  the  various  suppliers  into  the  Sirena  3  project  company   sourced  the  procurement  process.     Up  to  1998  IBM  Services  [IBM]  was  in  charge  of  dealing  with  all  suppliers  of  the   Project  company,  at  least  all  suppliers  who  were  non  Russian.    IBM  then  had  to   ensure  the  delivery  of  the  procured  items,  [from  the  complete  installed  system  390,   to  the  equipment  for  the  point  to  point  satellite  network,  to  the  Sabre  data  base  that   was  the  engine  of  the  real  time  reservation  system].     The  funding  of  the  procurement  would  be  dealt  with  through  the  Sirena  3   management,  in  particular  the  funding  which  was  covered  by  US  Exim  Bank  and  the   Russian  Federation  Guarantee.        
  • 4.   How  we  dealt  with  Specific  Problems  of  the  Procurement  Process:     1. Make  or  Buy:   The  make  or  buy  decision  for  Sirena  3  was  a  dynamic  and  complex  process.    The   Project  was  established  in  1991  at  the  time  of  the  break  up  of  the  FSU.    The   technological  solution  at  that  time  was  to  deliver  a  real  time  central  data  base,  based   in  Moscow  at  the  Satellite  Farm  run  by  the  ex  military.    Hence  although  the  satellite   receivers  were  US  built,  much  of  the  infrastructure  used  was  domestic  Russian   manufacture.    This  required  a  substantial  amount  of  integration  effort  between  the   Russian  engineers  of  the  former  military  facility  and  engineers  from  GE  Spacenet.     As  the  Project  progressed,  we  witnessed  more  tension  in  terms  of  the  systems   integration  of  the  base  station  infrastructure  [in  Severni  Aziori]  and  the  regional   sites  for  linking  to  Moscow,  [Moscow  was  linked  in  real  time  to  89  regional  satellite   links  to  ensure  complete  coverage  of  all  the  main  flight  hubs  of  the  FSU].    We  also   witness  a  complete  change  in  terms  of  the  “cheapest  to  deliver  solution”.    The   internet  protocol  [IP]  revolution  in  the  travel  booking  system  was  a  very  real   alternative  to  the  central  data  base  system  envisaged  on  the  Sabre  system.     Hence  the  make  or  buy  decision  was  an  extremely  dynamic  process  that  required   substantial  intellectual  effort  to  ensure  that  the  product  lines  that  were  planned  to   be  delivered  were  in  fact  appropriate  for  the  Project.    In  particular,  once  the  IBM   system  390  was  installed  in  the  central  data  base  location  in  Severni  Aziori,  the   Project  Company  was  locked  into  the  central  data  base  mode.    There  was  no   alternative  then,  but  to  deliver  on  the  central  data-­‐base  architecture  run  on  Sabre.     The  procurement  make  or  buy  decisions  did  shift  in  terms  of  the  following  aspects,   the  choice  for  the  satellite  to  be  used:      Astra  Geostationary,  satellite,  which  reached  mainly  European  Russian;    Northern  Russian  Ex  military  satellite,  which  covered  most  of  Siberia,   Northern  regions  and  Russian  Far  East;         The  decision  was  made  to  use  the  Russian  Northern  satellite,  for  the  remainder  of  its   expected  useful  life,  [expected  5  years  but  these  satellites  have  shown  far  longer   expected  useful  lives].    The  decision  was  supported  both  by  the  reach  of  the  satellite   and  the  cost  of  the  satellite.    This  reduced  the  overall  Project  operating  costs   substantially,  but  required  a  major  investment  in  terms  of  the  integration  of  the  GE   Spacenet  equipment  to  ensure  continuous  service  coverage.    Russian  Northern   satellite  is  not  Geostationary.    It  has  an  elliptical  orbit  over  the  Northern   Hemisphere  that  requires  adjustment  to  the  ground  station  tracking  equipment.     The  Present  Value  of  this  investment,  when  compared  to  that  of  the  alternative   Geostationary  equipment  justified  the  “Make”  decision.    However  there  was  a   substantial  risk  of  delivery,  as  this  was  a  “new”  technical  solution  and  one  that  had   not  been  planned  for  in  the  original  project  plan.    Nevertheless,  the  solution    proved    
  • 5. be  effective  and  was  able  to  be  integrated  into  the  system  390  and  Sabre  proprietary   airline  data  base.      This  is  a  classic  case  of  the  Project  Team  exercising  expert   judgement  in  conjunction  with  technical  experts  who  were  able  to  certify  that  the   system  would  be  able  to  integrated  into  the  GE  Spacenet  infrastructure,  even  though   we  were  dealing  with  unknown  ex  military  Russian  suppliers  in  terms  past   performance  and  reputation.     2. Procurement  Statement  of  Work:     By  the  time  of  my  involvement  with  Sirena  3,  in  January  1st  2008,  the  Project   company  had  at  least  had  two  or  three  statements  of  work,  which  had  evolved  from   the  inception  of  the  Project  in  early  1991.     The  initial  statement  of  work  had  been  based  on  the  assumption  of  a   110million/passenger  year  volume.    The  Russian  Federation  guarantee  for  the   entire  foreign  procurement  of  the  Project  company  was  back-­‐stopped  by  US  EXIM   bank,  so  the  statement  of  work  and  documentation  elements  of  this  Project  were   extensive.     As  discussed  in  the  section  on  the  change  in  economic  environment  of  the  FSU,  the   economic  basis  of  the  Project  changed  substantially  from  1991  -­‐1998.    When  I  was   elected  to  become  the  Project  manager,  the  Project  was  severely  behind  in  its   payments  to  the  three  main  suppliers,  IBM,  GE  Spacenet  and  Sabre.    Many  of  the   statements  of  work  had  to  be  completely  revisited  to  be  made  congruent  with  the   new  economic  reality  the  Project  company  operated  in.    In  the  first  three  weeks  of   my  assignment,  I  had  to  read  all  the  agreements  between  the  parties,  and  it  became   clear  that  the  main  statement  of  work  that  needed  extensive  revision  was  the  Sabre   component.    This  was  in  part  because  the  IBM  System  390  had  been  delivered  and   installed  as  per  contract,  as  was  for  the  main  part  the  GE  Spacenet  equipment,  save   for  the  modifications  on  the  Satellite  tracking  system  as  described  above.     With  Sabre  the  problem  was  complex.    Without  the  Sabre  software  engine,  [a   proprietary  development  of  American  Airlines],  the  system  was  dead.    Yet  the  very   premises  upon  which  the  software  architecture  was  based  appeared  to  be  obsolete.     There  was  no  monolithic  purchaser  in  Aeroflot.    There  was  Aeroflot  international,   and  at  least  40  baby  Flots,  which  included  several  sovereign  airlines,  like  those  of   Kyrgyzstan,  Uzebekistan,  as  well  as  Sibir  Air,  Bashir  Avio  and  many  such  smaller   airlines  which  had  begun  to  operate  in  a  newly  unregulated  competitive   environment.         The  Sabre  architecture  and  software  solution  did  not  have  multiple  buyers.    Hence  I   had  to  request  Sabre  to  completely  rewrite  whole  sections  of  the  software.    The  new   solution  would  be  targeted  to  the  requirements  of  the  independent  and  competitive   airlines.    This  was  a  complex  matter  both  from  an  economic  and  negotiation   standpoint,  [Sibir  Air  competed  directly  with  some  airlines  on  routes  to  say  Khanty   Mansysk  in  Siberia]  as  well  as  from  a  contracting  and  procurement  standpoint.    The  
  • 6. Project  was  substantially  behind  schedule,  and  Sabre  had  not  been  paid  for  its  last   delivery  of  work,  because  the  Project  had  no  more  funds.    The  contracting  also   included  a  clear  “Project  Completion”2  clause,  and  Sabre  had  not  completed  its  part   of  the  work.    This  was  not  entirely  attributable  to  a  Sabre  failure  as  has  been   discussed.     Hence  I  had  to  call  a  Sponsor  meeting  in  which  we  agreed  the  following:      That  Sabre  would  run  a  pilot  for  one  of  the  domestic  Baby  Flot  airlines,   [Bashkir  Avio],  with  the  objective  of  proving  the  system’s  effectiveness;    That  the  debts  that  had  been  incurred  with  all  suppliers  would  be  pro-­‐rated   and  extended,  such  that  each  of  the  three  suppliers  would  share  in  the   economic  pain  resulting  from  extending  the  time  horizon  of  their  payments.     The  meeting  was  highly  contentious  as  can  be  imagined.    The  two  suppliers  who  had   completed  their  project  requirements  were  understandably  reluctant  to  take  any   further  risk  and  delay.    Especially  because  Sabre  was  the  only  supplier  to  be  in   substantial  delay  relative  to  the  Project  schedule.    However,  given  the  Project   Completion  clause,  all  suppliers  were  jointly  and  severally  liable  for  non  completion.     Hence  the  alternative  was  either  walk  away,  litigate  and  bankrupt  the  Project,  or   accept  the  extension  of  payment  terms,  until  the  Sabre  delivery  of  the  Bashkir  Avio   pilot.    In  the  end  we  reached  agreement,  and  I  was  not  the  most  popular  person  for  a   while.    The  project  was  safe  for  a  few  more  months  and  extensive  and  expensive   litigation  was  averted.       3. Procurement  Documents:     These  included  amongst  others  anti-­‐bribery  clauses  in  compliance  with  the  WTO   directives  on  anti  corruption  in  public  procurement,  as  well  as  the  usual  technical   statements  of  need,  in  Russian  and  English.    There  was  a  substantial  intellectual   property  element  in  all  the  procurement  documents  which  covered  among  other   things,  the  Sabre  software  license,  the  IBM  System  390  operating  system  license,  the   GE  Spacenet  proprietary  technology  for  the  Satellite  uplink,  as  well  as  the  Russian   satellite  procurement  contracts  with  the  Russian  military  regarding  use  of  bandwith   in  the  FSU.    All  these  documents  required  substantial  updating  and  revisions  as  a   result  of  what  is  described  in  2  above.                                                                                                                     2  Project  completion  is  a  legal  term  in  Project  Finance  Management.    It  states  that   the  risk  of  the  project,  if  not  complete  and  tested  in  accordance  with  requirements   of  the  Project  Manager,  rests  with  the  suppliers.    This  is  a  very  effective  discipline   for  managing  complex  procurement  processes  in  large  projects  like  Sirena  3.  
  • 7. PROJECT  PROCUREMENT  DIAGRAM  FOR  SIRENA  3.         Project  Scope     Satcom   Integration   Definitions     Communic Russian     1998  Revised     ations   Suppliers             IBM  Quality     Sirena  3   Human   Control   Resouces             Schedule     Project   Risk     Cost   Management     Management           4. Source  Selection  Criteria:     The  source  selection  for  the  Sirena  3  Project  was  determined  for  the  main  part  when   the  three  main  suppliers  and  Sponsors  of  the  Project,  [IBM.  GE  Spacenet,  and  Sabre]   underwrote  the  project  and  the  assumption  behind  the  Project,  which  at  the  time   [1991]    was  the  largest  single  direct  investment  in  the  infrastructure  of  the  FSU.     There  was  substantial  work  though  in  the  selection  and  sourcing  of  Russian   suppliers.    We  had  to  establish  a  system  for  performance  reporting  for  these   suppliers,  together  with  inspections  and  audits  of  the  work  performed,  and   compliance  with  IATA  standards.    There  was  also  a  procurement  closure  process   which  was  common  to  all  suppliers.     One  of  the  main  problems  we  had  was  the  anti-­‐bribery  clauses  in  our  contracts   which  were  required  under  US  Statute,  because  of  US  Exim  bank  involvement.    We   had  to  obtain  special  VAT  exemptions  for  the  equipment  imported,  given  the  that   Russian  Federation  was  ultimate  guarantor.