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Bermuda’s Economy
Backdrop to the 2013 Budget
Chamber of Commerce
February 2013
Chamber
The Bermuda
Of Commerce
Bermuda Economy
Realities behind the budget
– Shrinking tax base
– Tight bank lending
– Growing public service costs
– Increasing deficit and other liabilities
2011 Highlights
Gross Domestic Product
• Third consecutive year of
decline
• Economic growth stifled
by job losses and
business closures
• Ten of fifteen industries
shrank
• Strongest impact felt in
Construction and
International Business
sectors
2009 2010 2011
$5,806
million
$5,757
million
$5,557
million
Data Source: Bermuda Department of Statistics
Bermuda Economy
Unbalanced employment : wealth-consuming activities are
growing…
Data Source: Bermuda Department of Statistics
Bermuda Economy
…while wealth creating activities shrink
Data Source: Bermuda Department of Statistics
Bermuda Economy
Banks are squeezed by higher non-
performing loans and lower profits.
Note: all data in percentage terms, Data Source: The Bermuda Monetary Authority; Quarterly Banking Digest
Bermuda Economy
The cost of Government employees is
rising…
Full cost includes
retirement benefits and
special compensated
absences.
Data Source:
Consolidated Financial
Statements and Budget
Books
Bermuda Economy
…and the price of their future pensions and
health benefits is growing
Figures in Millions
Data Source:
Consolidated Financial
Statements and Budget
Books
Bermuda Economy
Bermudian population is ageing …
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
Number of Bermudians
aged 65 or older
Number of Bermudians
aged 15 or under
Data source: Bermuda population projections 2000 - 2030
9
Bermuda Economy
...resulting in fewer working taxpayers
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
Total dependent Bermudians
Bermudian Working population
Data source: Bermuda population projections 2000 - 2030 10
Bermuda Economy
Solutions:
• Private industry growth
• Smaller public sector
• Influx of new workers
• Influx of foreign capital to alleviate
debt stress
• Privatizations

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Tmp 1030 2-25-2013_14854_

  • 1. Bermuda’s Economy Backdrop to the 2013 Budget Chamber of Commerce February 2013 Chamber The Bermuda Of Commerce
  • 2. Bermuda Economy Realities behind the budget – Shrinking tax base – Tight bank lending – Growing public service costs – Increasing deficit and other liabilities
  • 3. 2011 Highlights Gross Domestic Product • Third consecutive year of decline • Economic growth stifled by job losses and business closures • Ten of fifteen industries shrank • Strongest impact felt in Construction and International Business sectors 2009 2010 2011 $5,806 million $5,757 million $5,557 million Data Source: Bermuda Department of Statistics
  • 4. Bermuda Economy Unbalanced employment : wealth-consuming activities are growing… Data Source: Bermuda Department of Statistics
  • 5. Bermuda Economy …while wealth creating activities shrink Data Source: Bermuda Department of Statistics
  • 6. Bermuda Economy Banks are squeezed by higher non- performing loans and lower profits. Note: all data in percentage terms, Data Source: The Bermuda Monetary Authority; Quarterly Banking Digest
  • 7. Bermuda Economy The cost of Government employees is rising… Full cost includes retirement benefits and special compensated absences. Data Source: Consolidated Financial Statements and Budget Books
  • 8. Bermuda Economy …and the price of their future pensions and health benefits is growing Figures in Millions Data Source: Consolidated Financial Statements and Budget Books
  • 9. Bermuda Economy Bermudian population is ageing … 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 Number of Bermudians aged 65 or older Number of Bermudians aged 15 or under Data source: Bermuda population projections 2000 - 2030 9
  • 10. Bermuda Economy ...resulting in fewer working taxpayers 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 40,000 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 Total dependent Bermudians Bermudian Working population Data source: Bermuda population projections 2000 - 2030 10
  • 11. Bermuda Economy Solutions: • Private industry growth • Smaller public sector • Influx of new workers • Influx of foreign capital to alleviate debt stress • Privatizations