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Mobile VAS Summit
         23-24th Sept 2009, New Delhi




VAS: Redefining Mobile Phone Services
               in India



              Deepak Halan
            IMRB International
Who Are We?
About IMRB International

  • We are a part of Kantar Group, the insight &
    consulting division of WPP Group Plc.,

  • 37 years of expertise with 28 offices in 11
    countries

  • Within IMRB, we have several sector specialist
    groups
     – Retail
     – Automobile
     – eTech (Telecom, Internet, etc) …………………….
Some VAS Studies Successfully Completed by us..…



                                                                      Mobile Banking
                                                            Mapping of mobile banking technologies


                                                   Mobile VAS report
                                        with IAMAI- 2007 edition and 2008 edition
                                            A supply side report on Mobile VAS in India


                                       Mobile Advertising
                                 Concept test of various options of
                              Mobile Advertising among end consumers



                              Mobile VAS
                         Usage behavior of Mobile
                        VAS among end consumers


              Mobile Remittance
     Concept test of remittance through mobile-
         both Domestic and International
…for a Number of Clients…
Mobile VAS: A Global Perspective
ARPU & Share of Data: Cross Country Analysis




                                         •   India and brazil
                                             are low ARPU
                                             countries and
                                             share of data
                                             is small

                                         •   In        most
                                             countries
                                             share of data
                                             increases with
                                             ARPU
Comparison of Most Popular Mobile Phone Activities in
GCC and Europe
         Percentages indicate penetration i.e. proportion of respondents who use the service at least once per month

                GCC                                                            Europe

                1. Voice (99%)                                                 1. SMS (90%)
                2. SMS (98%)                                                   2. Voice (84%)
                3. Take photos (87%)                                           3. Take photos (59%)
                4. Record videos (78%)                                         4. Collect voicemail (36%)
                5. Listen to music (77%)                                       5. MMS (35%)
                6. Play games (59%)                                            6. Play games (31%)
                7. MMS (56%)                                                   7. Listen to music* (23%)
                8. Ring-tone download (55%)                                    8. Listen to streamed music (14%)
                9. Music download (51%)                                        9. Mobile web browsing (14%)
                10. Phone balance transfer (50%)                               10. Email (12%)
                      Source: Yankee Group and AMRB, 2008                          *Downloaded or side-loaded

  •   It is evident that proportion of data service users is higher in Europe vis-à-vis GCC.

  •   Voice calling and SMS dominate in both regions, though the order is reversed. As we
      look down the top-ten list we see broad similarities. e.g., music, games and multimedia
      services like MMS feature strongly on both
The Indian VAS Mobile Market
Rising Mobile Subscriber base but… Decreasing ARPU


   • We have crossed 450 million wireless subscriber mark now
     and have the second largest subscriber base in the world

   • Over 100 mn new subscribers added in 08.

   • The growth of mobile market can be clearly attributed to the
     favorable and improved regulatory structure, declining
     handset prices and innovative pre paid tariff structure.

   • With increasing competition and need for increasing the
     subscriber base in rural markets, the call rates and hence
     the ARPU are declining.
Rising Mobile Subscriber base but… Decreasing ARPU
Defining the Scope of VAS
Defining the Scope of VAS…




    “Mobile Value Added Services are those
       services that are not part of the basic
     voice offer and are availed separately by
     the end user. They are used as a tool for
     differentiation and allow mobile operators
      to develop another stream of revenue”
We see VAS standing on 4 pillars


                                                                                  Access
                Technology
                                                                                  Devices



  Technology platform such as                                            The use of VAS is largely
  SMS, GPRS, IVR & USSD are                                              dependent on the features available
                                                    Infrastructure
  used to deliver VAS services to                                        in the mobile handset.
  the consumer




                                                       Content


                                   Growth of VAS market is dependent on
                                   relevant content available to the consumers.


                USSD=Unstructured Supplementary Service Data
Revenue distribution in VAS market


                                                                                              Content owner
                                                                                                    -
                                                                                              gets 5 - 10%
                                                                                              revenue


                                                                              Content Aggregator
                                                                              gets 10 - 15% of the
                                                                              revenue




                                                       Technology enabler
                                                       gets 10 - 20% of the
                                                              -

                                                       revenue


                                   Mobile operator
                                   keeps 60 - 80% of
                                           -

                                   the revenue



          End user pays for
          content/service/voting
Media & Telecom: Towards Win-Win

  •   Markets such as China, Japan and Europe have an organized business
      model where the telecom operator keeps 20-30% of the revenue

  •   In these countries the VAS market is much more evolved than India and
      the content market is not over-supplied and fragmented – so carriage
      does not rule over content.

  •   Low revenue packages for VAS providers stunts innovation and quality
      control of content.

  •   The operators could help VAS providers by providing them venture
      capital, promoting their services and providing intellectual property
      safeguard.

  •   An ideal revenue sharing arrangement - operators charge for access to
      their pipes and a fee for billing and collection and pass the rest to VAS
      providers and content owners.
Importance of VAS
VAS : Growing Market Size (Million USD)

                                                                3442




                                                    2033

                                        1565

                            1204
                950




              Dec 2007    Jun 2008    Dec 2008   Jun 2009E   Jun 2010E

  •   The VAS market is expected to grow steadily at a rate of almost 70% for the
      next one year.

  •   VAS currently contributes around 10% to the operator’s revenue. It is
      expected to increase to 12% by June 2010.
Other Reasons for increasing importance of VAS


   • Decrease in ARPU despite increase in MOU:
     With declining ARPU, the challenge is to develop alternative revenue
     streams and retain customers by creating a basis for differentiation.

   • Greater need for differentiation among the service
     providers
      – Greater competition
      – Saturation in Metros and Urban cities
      – Number Portability expected shortly in India.

   • 3G VAS:
     With added utility to mobile phone through 3G, both subscriber base
     and ARPU are expected to observe phenomenal increase in the
     coming years
Drivers and barriers to growth of VAS
in India
Key drivers for growth of VAS



  Supply side drivers
  Marketing Efforts by Operators

  Price Decline of VAS services                 Demand side drivers
  New Technology Adoption by Operators
                                                 Low priced feature rich handsets
  Impact of 3G
                                                       Need for Entertainment &
                                         mCommerce & Transaction based Services

                                                          Need for Local Content
Challenges to growth of Mobile VAS

                                  VAS Challenges
                                  VAS Challenges




             Supply Perspective
             Supply Perspective                       Demand Perspective
                                                      Demand Perspective




        Lack of transparency in                   Limited awareness of
        Revenue sharing                            VAS
        arrangements & in billing
        system                                     High cost of content

        Limited availability of                   Exit barriers for VAS
        local content                              consumers are high
VAS - Access Modes
Comparative evaluation of Mobile VAS access modes

      Parameter             SMS               Voice            GPRS              USSD


                                                            Costly as user
    Cost to end         Cheaper than                        is required to    Cheaper than
                                              Costly
    consumer            voice                               invest at each    SMS
                                                            stage


                                           IVR              Need to
                                           infrastructure   invest in
                       Infrastructure in   costly           technology        Infrastructure
    Cost to provider
                       place               especially       infrastructure.   in place
                                           speech           E.g. from
                                           recognition      2.5G to 3G


                                                             Low
                                                             penetration
                           Handset           Handset                            Handset
    Reach                                                    of GPRS
                           agnostic          agnostic                           agnostic
                                                             enabled
                                                             handsets
Comparative evaluation of Mobile VAS access modes


      Parameter           SMS              Voice            GPRS            USSD
                    - Limited by                                          - More
                    literacy and                                          Convenient
                    language factor                                       than SMS
                                                         Steep learning
    Ease of usage                       Easiest to use
                                                         curve
                    - Difficult to
                    remember short
                    code and keywords
                                        With
                                                                          Enjoys low
                                        expansion to
                    The biggest                                           cost and
                                        rural and        Depends on
                    contributor and                                       convenience
    Potential       likely to remain
                                        semi- rural      uptake of 3G
                                                                          of usage
                                        areas, has       services
                    so in near future
                                        huge
                                        potential
Share of VAS Revenue by Access Modes


                                USSD
                    GPRS
                                3%
                     8%

                                       SMS
                       Voice           49%
                          40%




   • SMS contributes around 49% to the overall VAS
     revenues. This consists of P2P, A2P and P2A services.
VAS Categories
Need based categorization of Mobile VAS


                         VAS categories
                         VAS categories



      Entertainment
      Entertainment        Information
                            Information             mCommerce
                                                    mCommerce


                          User interest      Allow the user to conduct a
      Designed for       comes in from       transaction using the mobile
      mass appeal and     relevance of the    phone.
      extensive usage.    content
                                              Currently in a nascent
                          E.g. News          stage in India
      E.g. Jokes,        alerts, travel
      Bollywood           information,        E.g. payment platform from
      ringtones,          ticket              Paymate etc.
      games, etc.         information, etc.
Comparative Analysis of various categories of VAS

                 Entertainment VAS            Information VAS               mCommerce


                                                                       Identifying the best
                                                                       access mode to provide
                                          Marketing it since needs    mCommerce
                                          differ across different
                To drive the usage of     segments                     Handset penetration
   Challenges   content/services other                                 and usage of the key
                than music e.g. games.    Credibility of the source   access mode (GPRS) of
                                          since there are alternate    mCommerce is low in
                                          channels available           India

                                                                       Security concerns



                                                                       Has potential to emerge
                Expected to remain the    Is going to be key to
   Future                                                              as a key VAS component
                VAS driver for the next   address the needs of rural
   status                                                              once security concerns
                few years                 market
                                                                       are addressed
Rural VAS market
The Great Rural India opportunity

                                                                 Subscription
           Population
                                                                 Contribution
          Contribution




              30%                                                     70%
                                     Urban India



                                                                      30%
              70%
                                     Rural India




   •   Telecom operators are seeing an immense growth potential in the
       rural sector both in terms of new connections & VAS.

   •   As per market expectations, it is believed that of the next 250 million
       expected to go mobile; at least 100 million will come from rural areas.
Future of VAS
Innovative Uses of VAS

  • AdRBT (Ad Ring Backtone) wherein each time a person calls
    he/she hears an ad jingle instead of a ring tone.

  • Healthcare chains tying up with operators to alert patients via
    SMSs about their appointment date with a particular doctor or
    when their next dose of medicine is due.

  • GlucoPhone: A Cellphone for Diabetics that measures blood sugar
    levels, records and sends results to self and others and even
    manages meal plans

  • Speech recognition applications

  • LBS Apps: SMS sent by a tourist enables the taxi to locate him

  • Data: Traffic policeman can retrieve entire data about an offender
    by simply sending an SMS
Future of VAS
  •   Till now the emphasis has mostly been on Voice & SMS based VAS

  •   With the advent of 3G in India the VAS market is likely to grow to a
      larger extent in the near future both in terms of usage as well as new
      application development.

  •   Some new VAS likely to boom in the coming years are :
      – mCommerce (including travel, shopping, movie tickets etc.) & Mobile
        marketing (like Ads on mobile, including product videos)
      – Location Based Services
      – Multimedia Broadcast Services :Mobile TV
      – Video calls/ conferencing
      – VOD (Video on Demand) or Live streaming video content

  •   Some of these applications are available on the existing 2 or 2.5G
      network as well, but few suppliers and slow access speed has resulted
      in low usage

  •   Mobile VAS in India has a long way to go
Thank You!
    Deepak Halan
  deepak.halan@imrbint.com




    IMRB International
      8, Balaji Estate,
Guru Ravidass Marg, Kalkaji,
    New Delhi – 110019
   +91 11 42697800 (O)
   +91 11 42697906 (D)
 http://www.imrbint.com

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IMRB Represented at The Mobile VAS SUMMIT 2009

  • 1. Mobile VAS Summit 23-24th Sept 2009, New Delhi VAS: Redefining Mobile Phone Services in India Deepak Halan IMRB International
  • 3. About IMRB International • We are a part of Kantar Group, the insight & consulting division of WPP Group Plc., • 37 years of expertise with 28 offices in 11 countries • Within IMRB, we have several sector specialist groups – Retail – Automobile – eTech (Telecom, Internet, etc) …………………….
  • 4. Some VAS Studies Successfully Completed by us..… Mobile Banking Mapping of mobile banking technologies Mobile VAS report with IAMAI- 2007 edition and 2008 edition A supply side report on Mobile VAS in India Mobile Advertising Concept test of various options of Mobile Advertising among end consumers Mobile VAS Usage behavior of Mobile VAS among end consumers Mobile Remittance Concept test of remittance through mobile- both Domestic and International
  • 5. …for a Number of Clients…
  • 6. Mobile VAS: A Global Perspective
  • 7. ARPU & Share of Data: Cross Country Analysis • India and brazil are low ARPU countries and share of data is small • In most countries share of data increases with ARPU
  • 8. Comparison of Most Popular Mobile Phone Activities in GCC and Europe Percentages indicate penetration i.e. proportion of respondents who use the service at least once per month GCC Europe 1. Voice (99%) 1. SMS (90%) 2. SMS (98%) 2. Voice (84%) 3. Take photos (87%) 3. Take photos (59%) 4. Record videos (78%) 4. Collect voicemail (36%) 5. Listen to music (77%) 5. MMS (35%) 6. Play games (59%) 6. Play games (31%) 7. MMS (56%) 7. Listen to music* (23%) 8. Ring-tone download (55%) 8. Listen to streamed music (14%) 9. Music download (51%) 9. Mobile web browsing (14%) 10. Phone balance transfer (50%) 10. Email (12%) Source: Yankee Group and AMRB, 2008 *Downloaded or side-loaded • It is evident that proportion of data service users is higher in Europe vis-à-vis GCC. • Voice calling and SMS dominate in both regions, though the order is reversed. As we look down the top-ten list we see broad similarities. e.g., music, games and multimedia services like MMS feature strongly on both
  • 9. The Indian VAS Mobile Market
  • 10. Rising Mobile Subscriber base but… Decreasing ARPU • We have crossed 450 million wireless subscriber mark now and have the second largest subscriber base in the world • Over 100 mn new subscribers added in 08. • The growth of mobile market can be clearly attributed to the favorable and improved regulatory structure, declining handset prices and innovative pre paid tariff structure. • With increasing competition and need for increasing the subscriber base in rural markets, the call rates and hence the ARPU are declining.
  • 11. Rising Mobile Subscriber base but… Decreasing ARPU
  • 13. Defining the Scope of VAS… “Mobile Value Added Services are those services that are not part of the basic voice offer and are availed separately by the end user. They are used as a tool for differentiation and allow mobile operators to develop another stream of revenue”
  • 14. We see VAS standing on 4 pillars Access Technology Devices Technology platform such as The use of VAS is largely SMS, GPRS, IVR & USSD are dependent on the features available Infrastructure used to deliver VAS services to in the mobile handset. the consumer Content Growth of VAS market is dependent on relevant content available to the consumers. USSD=Unstructured Supplementary Service Data
  • 15. Revenue distribution in VAS market Content owner - gets 5 - 10% revenue Content Aggregator gets 10 - 15% of the revenue Technology enabler gets 10 - 20% of the - revenue Mobile operator keeps 60 - 80% of - the revenue End user pays for content/service/voting
  • 16. Media & Telecom: Towards Win-Win • Markets such as China, Japan and Europe have an organized business model where the telecom operator keeps 20-30% of the revenue • In these countries the VAS market is much more evolved than India and the content market is not over-supplied and fragmented – so carriage does not rule over content. • Low revenue packages for VAS providers stunts innovation and quality control of content. • The operators could help VAS providers by providing them venture capital, promoting their services and providing intellectual property safeguard. • An ideal revenue sharing arrangement - operators charge for access to their pipes and a fee for billing and collection and pass the rest to VAS providers and content owners.
  • 18. VAS : Growing Market Size (Million USD) 3442 2033 1565 1204 950 Dec 2007 Jun 2008 Dec 2008 Jun 2009E Jun 2010E • The VAS market is expected to grow steadily at a rate of almost 70% for the next one year. • VAS currently contributes around 10% to the operator’s revenue. It is expected to increase to 12% by June 2010.
  • 19. Other Reasons for increasing importance of VAS • Decrease in ARPU despite increase in MOU: With declining ARPU, the challenge is to develop alternative revenue streams and retain customers by creating a basis for differentiation. • Greater need for differentiation among the service providers – Greater competition – Saturation in Metros and Urban cities – Number Portability expected shortly in India. • 3G VAS: With added utility to mobile phone through 3G, both subscriber base and ARPU are expected to observe phenomenal increase in the coming years
  • 20. Drivers and barriers to growth of VAS in India
  • 21. Key drivers for growth of VAS Supply side drivers Marketing Efforts by Operators Price Decline of VAS services Demand side drivers New Technology Adoption by Operators Low priced feature rich handsets Impact of 3G Need for Entertainment & mCommerce & Transaction based Services Need for Local Content
  • 22. Challenges to growth of Mobile VAS VAS Challenges VAS Challenges Supply Perspective Supply Perspective Demand Perspective Demand Perspective Lack of transparency in Limited awareness of Revenue sharing VAS arrangements & in billing system High cost of content Limited availability of Exit barriers for VAS local content consumers are high
  • 23. VAS - Access Modes
  • 24. Comparative evaluation of Mobile VAS access modes Parameter SMS Voice GPRS USSD Costly as user Cost to end Cheaper than is required to Cheaper than Costly consumer voice invest at each SMS stage IVR Need to infrastructure invest in Infrastructure in costly technology Infrastructure Cost to provider place especially infrastructure. in place speech E.g. from recognition 2.5G to 3G Low penetration Handset Handset Handset Reach of GPRS agnostic agnostic agnostic enabled handsets
  • 25. Comparative evaluation of Mobile VAS access modes Parameter SMS Voice GPRS USSD - Limited by - More literacy and Convenient language factor than SMS Steep learning Ease of usage Easiest to use curve - Difficult to remember short code and keywords With Enjoys low expansion to The biggest cost and rural and Depends on contributor and convenience Potential likely to remain semi- rural uptake of 3G of usage areas, has services so in near future huge potential
  • 26. Share of VAS Revenue by Access Modes USSD GPRS 3% 8% SMS Voice 49% 40% • SMS contributes around 49% to the overall VAS revenues. This consists of P2P, A2P and P2A services.
  • 28. Need based categorization of Mobile VAS VAS categories VAS categories Entertainment Entertainment Information Information mCommerce mCommerce User interest Allow the user to conduct a Designed for comes in from transaction using the mobile mass appeal and relevance of the phone. extensive usage. content Currently in a nascent E.g. News stage in India E.g. Jokes, alerts, travel Bollywood information, E.g. payment platform from ringtones, ticket Paymate etc. games, etc. information, etc.
  • 29. Comparative Analysis of various categories of VAS Entertainment VAS Information VAS mCommerce Identifying the best access mode to provide Marketing it since needs mCommerce differ across different To drive the usage of segments Handset penetration Challenges content/services other and usage of the key than music e.g. games. Credibility of the source access mode (GPRS) of since there are alternate mCommerce is low in channels available India Security concerns Has potential to emerge Expected to remain the Is going to be key to Future as a key VAS component VAS driver for the next address the needs of rural status once security concerns few years market are addressed
  • 31. The Great Rural India opportunity Subscription Population Contribution Contribution 30% 70% Urban India 30% 70% Rural India • Telecom operators are seeing an immense growth potential in the rural sector both in terms of new connections & VAS. • As per market expectations, it is believed that of the next 250 million expected to go mobile; at least 100 million will come from rural areas.
  • 33. Innovative Uses of VAS • AdRBT (Ad Ring Backtone) wherein each time a person calls he/she hears an ad jingle instead of a ring tone. • Healthcare chains tying up with operators to alert patients via SMSs about their appointment date with a particular doctor or when their next dose of medicine is due. • GlucoPhone: A Cellphone for Diabetics that measures blood sugar levels, records and sends results to self and others and even manages meal plans • Speech recognition applications • LBS Apps: SMS sent by a tourist enables the taxi to locate him • Data: Traffic policeman can retrieve entire data about an offender by simply sending an SMS
  • 34. Future of VAS • Till now the emphasis has mostly been on Voice & SMS based VAS • With the advent of 3G in India the VAS market is likely to grow to a larger extent in the near future both in terms of usage as well as new application development. • Some new VAS likely to boom in the coming years are : – mCommerce (including travel, shopping, movie tickets etc.) & Mobile marketing (like Ads on mobile, including product videos) – Location Based Services – Multimedia Broadcast Services :Mobile TV – Video calls/ conferencing – VOD (Video on Demand) or Live streaming video content • Some of these applications are available on the existing 2 or 2.5G network as well, but few suppliers and slow access speed has resulted in low usage • Mobile VAS in India has a long way to go
  • 35. Thank You! Deepak Halan deepak.halan@imrbint.com IMRB International 8, Balaji Estate, Guru Ravidass Marg, Kalkaji, New Delhi – 110019 +91 11 42697800 (O) +91 11 42697906 (D) http://www.imrbint.com