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Belarus Environmental Centre:
Legal and Financial Framework
Lessons from International Experience
Amit Bando
Minsk, Belarus
November 30, 2009
ambando@gmail.com
Agenda
What is the role of the Environmental Centre?
The international experience
Convention-specific requirements: UNFCC
The way forward

2
Potential Role of a National Environmental Centre

Belarus signs
international
agreements/treaties
and pledges to
adhere to the
protocols of
environmental
conventions

Centre is focus of
national and
regional/oblast
capacity building:
legal, financial,
technical,
infrastructure and
human resources

Environmental Benefits:
compliance with
international conventions,
politically acceptable;
environmental protection

Economic Benefits:
inward investment, job
creation & technology
benefits

3
The Environment Centre Needs a Legal Basis







National law(s) provide an overall framework
Specific legislation and implementing guidelines are needed to
establish the Centre
National Legislation should
 Tie the Centre to national obligations
 Define the overarching goals of the Centre
 Establish a Designated National Authority (DNA) as the Centre’s
“home”
 Create provisions for modifications of roles and responsibilities
 Establish a timeline for implementation
Supporting rules, regulations and guidelines should be established

4
The Environmental Centre Needs Financial Support






Initially, public funds will likely be required
Using a “phased-in” approach priority activities should be conducted
on a fee-for-service basis
Private sector participation should be encouraged
Within a specified time-period, most services should be fee-based





A portion of the fees should be allocated to cover administrative costs
Additional funds should be directed to capacity building and workforce
development to support the Centre’s activities

Private sector could be active partner




Provide selected services -- certified by Centre
Provide relevant data and technical advice
Sponsor certain activities
Agenda
What is the role of the Environmental Centre?
The international experience
Convention-specific requirements: UNFCC
The way forward

6
The US experience


The US Environmental Protection Agency (USEPA) was established
by an Executive Order of the President in late 1970





Based on an in-depth institutional analysis - primarily the Ash Council
Focus on executive reorganization of diverse agencies that impacted each
other but were moving in different directions
Big issue was what to do with natural resource management -- ultimately
USEPA was separated from Department of the Interior



US Federal model is decentralized and there is considerable
“devolution” of authority from the national to the sub-national level



Legal support developed to support the institutional structure
The US experience -- continued


USEPA coordinates with other agencies to ensure compliance with
international convention requirements, including










Montreal Protocol on ozone depletion
Basel Convention on chemical contamination
United Nations Convention on climate change
Convention on international trade in endangered species
?????Convention on trans-boundary pollution
Stockholm Convention -----??? Convention on land degradation

Programs were established to cover, among others





Solid waste management
Chemical and hazardous waste
Air quality from stationary and mobile sources
Water quality
The US experience -- continued


Initially relied on command-and-control regime (CAC)



Over time, reliance on CAC and market-based-incentives (MBIs)



Active participation from private sector including






Toxic Release Inventory (TRI)
Certified laboratories for analysis
Voluntary disclosures
Superfund clean-up
Cap-and-trade regime



Relatively transparent data collection and dissemination process



Strong emphasis on public participation -- especially in EIA process
The China experience


At first, environmental units and analytical centers within each Ministry



Eventually, separate Ministry of Environment with central and provincial
analytical laboratories



Relies on command-and-control regime (CAC) with few market-basedincentives (MBIs)



Close links with academic institutions for sampling analysis and monitoring



Success with promoting environmental investments -- CDM; based on good
project development data



Successful at monitoring large scale industry; EIAs required for large facilities
The India experience


Ministry of Environment and Forestry has national and provincial analytical laboratories



Relies on combination of CAC and MBIs



Success in developing National Pollution Control Centers that collect data and conduct analysis -sell services for fee and train internationally



Strong network of state facilities for testing and monitoring; enhanced technical capabilities in
modeling and testing



Success with promoting environmental investments -- CDM



Developed reliable baseline data for medium size facilities and industrial zones



Active public participation, especially through NGOs
The Philippines experience


Department of Environment and Natural Resources (DENR) relies on combination of
CAC and MBIs



Success in developing reliable databases for certain sectors: e.g., forestry, sugar
energy production



Good central facilities for testing and monitoring, but weak provincial units -- difficulty
with monitoring



Success at involving private sector in certain locations to help defray costs of
monitoring and enforcement through corporate governance approach




Laguna Lake Development Authority (LLDA)

Regional leader in technical capabilities
Agenda
What is the role of the Environmental Centre?
The international experience
Convention specific requirements: UNFCC
The way forward

13
Every international convention has specific requirements








Belarus is a signatory to 21 international conventions and protocols -and is an Annex-1 country under the UNFCC
To promote economic development goals, the nation may need to
adhere to EU and WTO norms
To attract foreign direct investment (FDI), authorities need to create
an investment friendly environment -- an “enabling environment”
An example: the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate
Change (UNFCC) is an important international convention





Promotes national action plan on climate change
Involves mitigation and adaptation options
Involves public-private-partnerships
Promotes international investments through CDM and related investments
via the verifiable emissions reductions (VERs)
Investments through VERs are viable options for Annex-1
countries under the UNFCC


Belarus is an Annex-1 country under the UNFCC



To promote economic development goals, the nation will need to attract
foreign direct investment (FDI)



Projects developed under UNFCC norms to generate VERs are a viable
option



The VER market is growing rapidly with active VER registries in Europe,
Australia and the US -- market expected to grow post 2009



The CDM process fro generating CERs is a sound prototype for VER
generation
Example: UNFCC provides the basis to evaluate climate change
projects
Kyoto Protocol (1997)
The Protocol creates legally binding obligations for 38
industrialized countries to return their emissions of
greenhouse gases to an average of 5% below their 1990 levels
by 2012

Marrakech Accords (2001)
Define the principles of the Kyoto Protocol’s flexible
mechanisms: the Clean Development Mechanism (CDM),
Joint Implementation (JI) and Emissions Trading (ET)

16
In 3 years, the CDM has sparked a $5 billion/year
market
Number of Projects in the CDM Pipeline,
January 2005 – February 2008

3,035
2,838
2,593

Compound Monthly
Compound Monthly
Growth Rate = 13%
Growth Rate = 13%

2,285
1,759

Approximately 3 billion
Approximately 3 billion
CERs by 2012
CERs by 2012
1,141

67
Jan
05

83

118

171

Mar May Jul
05
05
05

275

440

554

Sep Nov Jan
05
05
06

647

749

1,311

1,885

1,495

883

Mar May Jul
06
06
06

Sep Nov Jan Mar
06
06
07
07

May July Sep Nov Jan
07
07
07
07
08
17
UNFCC Guidelines: how a CDM project generates carbon
credits
Greenhouse gas emissions

Carbon credits (CERs)
Carbon credits (CERs)
represent the difference
represent the difference
between the baseline and
between the baseline and
actual emissions
actual emissions

Project start
Project start

Historical Trend

Time
18
UNFCC guidelines: ‘Kyoto gases’ that can earn credits
There are over 30 atmospheric greenhouse gases…But only 6
attract carbon credits:
•

Carbon dioxide (CO2)

•

Methane (CH4)

•

Nitrous oxide (N2O)

•

Perfluorocarbons (CxFx)

•

Hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs)

•

Relevant to biocarbon & industrial
projects

Sulfur hexaflouride (SF6)

Relevant to
industrial projects

19
UNFCC methodology: each of these gases has a different
warming potential
Each of these gases has a different ‘radiative forcing’
capability and a different atmospheric residence time

Need for a ‘common currency’, so that all carbon credits are
denominated in the same way

Solution: develop a relative scale, using CO2 as a reference gas
20
UNFCC methodology: global warming potential

Greenhouse Gas
Greenhouse Gas
(GHG)
(GHG)

Global Warming
Global Warming
Potential (GWP)
Potential (GWP)

Carbon dioxide
Carbon dioxide

11

Methane
Methane

21
21

Nitrous oxide
Nitrous oxide

310
310

Perfluorocarbons
Perfluorocarbons

6,500 ––9,200
6,500 9,200

Hydrofluorocarbons
Hydrofluorocarbons

140 ––11,700
140 11,700

Sulfur hexafluoride
Sulfur hexafluoride

23,900
23,900

Relative scale – everything is
measured relative to CO2
e.g. methane is 21 times more
potent as a greenhouse gas
than CO2
e.g. sulfur hexafluoride is
24,000 more potent!

21
UNFCC methodology: global warming potential

Greenhouse Gas
Greenhouse Gas
(GHG)
(GHG)

Global Warming
Global Warming
Potential (GWP)
Potential (GWP)

Carbon dioxide
Carbon dioxide

11

Methane
Methane

21
21

Nitrous oxide
Nitrous oxide

310
310

Perfluorocarbons
Perfluorocarbons

6,500 ––9,200
6,500 9,200

Hydrofluorocarbons
Hydrofluorocarbons

140 ––11,700
140 11,700

Sulphur hexafluoride
Sulphur hexafluoride

23,900
23,900

Carbon credits are always
expressed in terms of ‘carbon
dioxide equivalence’ (CO2e)
e.g. 1 tonne of CO2 = 1 tCO2e
(= 1 carbon credit = 1 CER)
e.g. 2 tonnes of CH4 = 42 tCO2e
(= 42 carbon credits = 42 CERs)
e.g. 2 tonnes of SF6 = 47,800 tCO2e
(= 47,800 carbon credits
= 47.8 kCERs)

22
UNFCC requirement: additionality
Environmental additionality – the project produces fewer
greenhouse gas emissions than the baseline scenario
It is essential that the project achieve environmental
additionality – otherwise, it will not generate any carbon
credits!
However, the project developer must also usually
demonstrate that, without carbon revenues, the project
would not be viable and/or commercially attractive – this
is known as financial additionality

23
UNFCC guideline: additionality – benchmark analysis

Revenue / NPV / IRR

Choose an appropriate financial indicator and compare it
with a relevant benchmark value: e.g. required return on
capital or internal company benchmark

Investment
threshold

Project without
carbon element

Project with
carbon element

Carbon revenue
Carbon revenue
makes the
makes the
project attractive
project attractive
relative to
relative to
investment
investment
alternatives
alternatives
Project without
Project without
carbon revenue
carbon revenue
is profitable –
is profitable –
but not
but not
sufficiently
sufficiently
profitable
profitable
compared with
compared with
alternatives
alternatives

24
UNFCC requirement: crediting period
CDM mitigation projects
• Project developers have two crediting period options:
– A maximum of 7 years, which can be renewed up to 2 times
(i.e. a potential total crediting period of 21 years)
– A maximum of 10 years, with no option for renewal

CDM sequestration projects (forestry)
• Project developers have two crediting period options:
– A maximum of 20 years, which can be renewed up to 2 times
(i.e. a potential total crediting period of 60 years)
– A maximum of 30 years, with no option for renewal
25
A maximum of 10
years with no
option of renewal

Greenhouse gas emissions

UNFCC requirement: crediting period

Starting date of
Starting date of
the crediting
the crediting
period
period

e scen
baselin
der the
ons un
i
Emiss

ari o

Emissions under the project scenario

10 years

No renewal
No renewal
26
6 to 12 months
CDM project
CDM project
development
development
// PDD
PDD
Host country
Host country
approval
approval

Project
Project
validation
validation

CDM
Executive
Board

DNA

Project
Project
feasibility
feasibility
assessment
assessment
// PIN
PIN

1.5 months Crediting period of the project

DOE

Project
Developer

UNFCC and the CDM project cycle

Project
Project
verification
verification

Project
Project
registration
registration

CER
CER
issuance
issuance

27
Costs of a typical CDM project
Pre-Registration
CDM Costs

Post-Registration
CDM Costs
53,000

US$ 164,500

Assumes a 10-year
Assumes a 10-year
project.
project.

34,000

111,500

10,000

77,500
67,500

16,500
38,000

51,000

13,000

Initial
Monitoring
Validation

Indicative CDM Cost Profile For
A ‘Typical’ CDM Project

Ongoing
Verification
By
DOE

Ongoing
Annual
Monitoring

Recurrent costs
Recurrent costs
discounted at 3%
discounted at 3%
annual rate to express
annual rate to express
in present-value
in present-value
terms.
terms.
Registration costs,
Registration costs,
Administration Fee
Administration Fee
and Adaptation Fund
and Adaptation Fund
Levy not included.
Levy not included.

PDD
PIN
28
Using the UNFCC as an example we recognize multiple
needs


The UNFCC itself requires signatories to adhere to requirements and
increase capabilities in several areas






Legal, regulatory and policy
Economic and financial
Technical analysis
Infrastructure
Human resources



Other Conventions have similar (and often different) requirements



The Environmental Center needs to meet the multiple requirements
Agenda
What is the role of the Environmental Centre?
The international experience
Convention specific requirements: UNFCC
The way forward

30
Establish an “enabling environment”


Conduct a needs assessment to identify priority sectors
and gaps in CAC regime



Develop and strengthen standards, permit process,
monitoring protocols and enforcement mechanisms



Develop laws, implementing regulations and institutional
support



Develop baseline data, starting with priority sectors



Determine evaluation methods and guidelines
Establish an “enabling environment” - continued


Initiate active participation with academia to develop baseline data as
well as sampling, monitoring and analytical capabilities



Promote training to develop a cadre of qualified professionals



Promote regional cooperation and awareness to create a “unifying
force” on environmental issues in international discussions



Actively seek out sources of international investment flows -- using
the CDM model to generate VERs



Create a more transparent busines investment climate



Address financial risk and repatriation issues to ease investment flows
Programmatic CDM offers new opportunities -- can be used
Regular CDM
Regular CDM
to generate VERs
Size-Distribution of Potential CDM Project Sites

•• Single site, stand-alone
Single site, stand-alone
projects
projects
•• ‘Carbon upgrades’
‘Carbon upgrades’
Bundled CDM
Bundled CDM

Number of installations / units

•• Bundling several
Bundling several
projects under a single
projects under a single
PDD
PDD
•• All projects must be
All projects must be
identified ex ante, and
identified ex ante, and
must start at the same
must start at the same
time
time
Programmatic CDM
Programmatic CDM

large

medium
Installation / unit size

small

•• Addresses the ‘long
Addresses the ‘long
tail’ of small units
tail’ of small units
•• Permits sector-wide
Permits sector-wide
transition to low-carbon
transition to low-carbon
economy
economy
•• Particular relevance to
Particular relevance to
non industrial sector
non industrial sector
33
An Example: Overall Methodology for Energy
Sector Analysis
Step 1

Step 2

Step 3

Demand Forecast

R eg ressi o n
M et h od

Least-cost Generation &
Transmission Expansion (Using
Horizon-year Plan)
Planning Study

S im u lat ion
M od els

Costs and
Benefits
Quantification

W illingness to-Pay
Energy Supply
Incremental

Step 4

Environmental
Impacts

Economic Analysis
Sensitivity and Risk Analysis

Bene fits
Trans fer
Method

Spreadsheet
Calculat ion

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Belarus: Capacity Building for SEA

  • 1. Belarus Environmental Centre: Legal and Financial Framework Lessons from International Experience Amit Bando Minsk, Belarus November 30, 2009 ambando@gmail.com
  • 2. Agenda What is the role of the Environmental Centre? The international experience Convention-specific requirements: UNFCC The way forward 2
  • 3. Potential Role of a National Environmental Centre Belarus signs international agreements/treaties and pledges to adhere to the protocols of environmental conventions Centre is focus of national and regional/oblast capacity building: legal, financial, technical, infrastructure and human resources Environmental Benefits: compliance with international conventions, politically acceptable; environmental protection Economic Benefits: inward investment, job creation & technology benefits 3
  • 4. The Environment Centre Needs a Legal Basis     National law(s) provide an overall framework Specific legislation and implementing guidelines are needed to establish the Centre National Legislation should  Tie the Centre to national obligations  Define the overarching goals of the Centre  Establish a Designated National Authority (DNA) as the Centre’s “home”  Create provisions for modifications of roles and responsibilities  Establish a timeline for implementation Supporting rules, regulations and guidelines should be established 4
  • 5. The Environmental Centre Needs Financial Support     Initially, public funds will likely be required Using a “phased-in” approach priority activities should be conducted on a fee-for-service basis Private sector participation should be encouraged Within a specified time-period, most services should be fee-based    A portion of the fees should be allocated to cover administrative costs Additional funds should be directed to capacity building and workforce development to support the Centre’s activities Private sector could be active partner    Provide selected services -- certified by Centre Provide relevant data and technical advice Sponsor certain activities
  • 6. Agenda What is the role of the Environmental Centre? The international experience Convention-specific requirements: UNFCC The way forward 6
  • 7. The US experience  The US Environmental Protection Agency (USEPA) was established by an Executive Order of the President in late 1970    Based on an in-depth institutional analysis - primarily the Ash Council Focus on executive reorganization of diverse agencies that impacted each other but were moving in different directions Big issue was what to do with natural resource management -- ultimately USEPA was separated from Department of the Interior  US Federal model is decentralized and there is considerable “devolution” of authority from the national to the sub-national level  Legal support developed to support the institutional structure
  • 8. The US experience -- continued  USEPA coordinates with other agencies to ensure compliance with international convention requirements, including         Montreal Protocol on ozone depletion Basel Convention on chemical contamination United Nations Convention on climate change Convention on international trade in endangered species ?????Convention on trans-boundary pollution Stockholm Convention -----??? Convention on land degradation Programs were established to cover, among others     Solid waste management Chemical and hazardous waste Air quality from stationary and mobile sources Water quality
  • 9. The US experience -- continued  Initially relied on command-and-control regime (CAC)  Over time, reliance on CAC and market-based-incentives (MBIs)  Active participation from private sector including      Toxic Release Inventory (TRI) Certified laboratories for analysis Voluntary disclosures Superfund clean-up Cap-and-trade regime  Relatively transparent data collection and dissemination process  Strong emphasis on public participation -- especially in EIA process
  • 10. The China experience  At first, environmental units and analytical centers within each Ministry  Eventually, separate Ministry of Environment with central and provincial analytical laboratories  Relies on command-and-control regime (CAC) with few market-basedincentives (MBIs)  Close links with academic institutions for sampling analysis and monitoring  Success with promoting environmental investments -- CDM; based on good project development data  Successful at monitoring large scale industry; EIAs required for large facilities
  • 11. The India experience  Ministry of Environment and Forestry has national and provincial analytical laboratories  Relies on combination of CAC and MBIs  Success in developing National Pollution Control Centers that collect data and conduct analysis -sell services for fee and train internationally  Strong network of state facilities for testing and monitoring; enhanced technical capabilities in modeling and testing  Success with promoting environmental investments -- CDM  Developed reliable baseline data for medium size facilities and industrial zones  Active public participation, especially through NGOs
  • 12. The Philippines experience  Department of Environment and Natural Resources (DENR) relies on combination of CAC and MBIs  Success in developing reliable databases for certain sectors: e.g., forestry, sugar energy production  Good central facilities for testing and monitoring, but weak provincial units -- difficulty with monitoring  Success at involving private sector in certain locations to help defray costs of monitoring and enforcement through corporate governance approach   Laguna Lake Development Authority (LLDA) Regional leader in technical capabilities
  • 13. Agenda What is the role of the Environmental Centre? The international experience Convention specific requirements: UNFCC The way forward 13
  • 14. Every international convention has specific requirements     Belarus is a signatory to 21 international conventions and protocols -and is an Annex-1 country under the UNFCC To promote economic development goals, the nation may need to adhere to EU and WTO norms To attract foreign direct investment (FDI), authorities need to create an investment friendly environment -- an “enabling environment” An example: the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCC) is an important international convention     Promotes national action plan on climate change Involves mitigation and adaptation options Involves public-private-partnerships Promotes international investments through CDM and related investments via the verifiable emissions reductions (VERs)
  • 15. Investments through VERs are viable options for Annex-1 countries under the UNFCC  Belarus is an Annex-1 country under the UNFCC  To promote economic development goals, the nation will need to attract foreign direct investment (FDI)  Projects developed under UNFCC norms to generate VERs are a viable option  The VER market is growing rapidly with active VER registries in Europe, Australia and the US -- market expected to grow post 2009  The CDM process fro generating CERs is a sound prototype for VER generation
  • 16. Example: UNFCC provides the basis to evaluate climate change projects Kyoto Protocol (1997) The Protocol creates legally binding obligations for 38 industrialized countries to return their emissions of greenhouse gases to an average of 5% below their 1990 levels by 2012 Marrakech Accords (2001) Define the principles of the Kyoto Protocol’s flexible mechanisms: the Clean Development Mechanism (CDM), Joint Implementation (JI) and Emissions Trading (ET) 16
  • 17. In 3 years, the CDM has sparked a $5 billion/year market Number of Projects in the CDM Pipeline, January 2005 – February 2008 3,035 2,838 2,593 Compound Monthly Compound Monthly Growth Rate = 13% Growth Rate = 13% 2,285 1,759 Approximately 3 billion Approximately 3 billion CERs by 2012 CERs by 2012 1,141 67 Jan 05 83 118 171 Mar May Jul 05 05 05 275 440 554 Sep Nov Jan 05 05 06 647 749 1,311 1,885 1,495 883 Mar May Jul 06 06 06 Sep Nov Jan Mar 06 06 07 07 May July Sep Nov Jan 07 07 07 07 08 17
  • 18. UNFCC Guidelines: how a CDM project generates carbon credits Greenhouse gas emissions Carbon credits (CERs) Carbon credits (CERs) represent the difference represent the difference between the baseline and between the baseline and actual emissions actual emissions Project start Project start Historical Trend Time 18
  • 19. UNFCC guidelines: ‘Kyoto gases’ that can earn credits There are over 30 atmospheric greenhouse gases…But only 6 attract carbon credits: • Carbon dioxide (CO2) • Methane (CH4) • Nitrous oxide (N2O) • Perfluorocarbons (CxFx) • Hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs) • Relevant to biocarbon & industrial projects Sulfur hexaflouride (SF6) Relevant to industrial projects 19
  • 20. UNFCC methodology: each of these gases has a different warming potential Each of these gases has a different ‘radiative forcing’ capability and a different atmospheric residence time Need for a ‘common currency’, so that all carbon credits are denominated in the same way Solution: develop a relative scale, using CO2 as a reference gas 20
  • 21. UNFCC methodology: global warming potential Greenhouse Gas Greenhouse Gas (GHG) (GHG) Global Warming Global Warming Potential (GWP) Potential (GWP) Carbon dioxide Carbon dioxide 11 Methane Methane 21 21 Nitrous oxide Nitrous oxide 310 310 Perfluorocarbons Perfluorocarbons 6,500 ––9,200 6,500 9,200 Hydrofluorocarbons Hydrofluorocarbons 140 ––11,700 140 11,700 Sulfur hexafluoride Sulfur hexafluoride 23,900 23,900 Relative scale – everything is measured relative to CO2 e.g. methane is 21 times more potent as a greenhouse gas than CO2 e.g. sulfur hexafluoride is 24,000 more potent! 21
  • 22. UNFCC methodology: global warming potential Greenhouse Gas Greenhouse Gas (GHG) (GHG) Global Warming Global Warming Potential (GWP) Potential (GWP) Carbon dioxide Carbon dioxide 11 Methane Methane 21 21 Nitrous oxide Nitrous oxide 310 310 Perfluorocarbons Perfluorocarbons 6,500 ––9,200 6,500 9,200 Hydrofluorocarbons Hydrofluorocarbons 140 ––11,700 140 11,700 Sulphur hexafluoride Sulphur hexafluoride 23,900 23,900 Carbon credits are always expressed in terms of ‘carbon dioxide equivalence’ (CO2e) e.g. 1 tonne of CO2 = 1 tCO2e (= 1 carbon credit = 1 CER) e.g. 2 tonnes of CH4 = 42 tCO2e (= 42 carbon credits = 42 CERs) e.g. 2 tonnes of SF6 = 47,800 tCO2e (= 47,800 carbon credits = 47.8 kCERs) 22
  • 23. UNFCC requirement: additionality Environmental additionality – the project produces fewer greenhouse gas emissions than the baseline scenario It is essential that the project achieve environmental additionality – otherwise, it will not generate any carbon credits! However, the project developer must also usually demonstrate that, without carbon revenues, the project would not be viable and/or commercially attractive – this is known as financial additionality 23
  • 24. UNFCC guideline: additionality – benchmark analysis Revenue / NPV / IRR Choose an appropriate financial indicator and compare it with a relevant benchmark value: e.g. required return on capital or internal company benchmark Investment threshold Project without carbon element Project with carbon element Carbon revenue Carbon revenue makes the makes the project attractive project attractive relative to relative to investment investment alternatives alternatives Project without Project without carbon revenue carbon revenue is profitable – is profitable – but not but not sufficiently sufficiently profitable profitable compared with compared with alternatives alternatives 24
  • 25. UNFCC requirement: crediting period CDM mitigation projects • Project developers have two crediting period options: – A maximum of 7 years, which can be renewed up to 2 times (i.e. a potential total crediting period of 21 years) – A maximum of 10 years, with no option for renewal CDM sequestration projects (forestry) • Project developers have two crediting period options: – A maximum of 20 years, which can be renewed up to 2 times (i.e. a potential total crediting period of 60 years) – A maximum of 30 years, with no option for renewal 25
  • 26. A maximum of 10 years with no option of renewal Greenhouse gas emissions UNFCC requirement: crediting period Starting date of Starting date of the crediting the crediting period period e scen baselin der the ons un i Emiss ari o Emissions under the project scenario 10 years No renewal No renewal 26
  • 27. 6 to 12 months CDM project CDM project development development // PDD PDD Host country Host country approval approval Project Project validation validation CDM Executive Board DNA Project Project feasibility feasibility assessment assessment // PIN PIN 1.5 months Crediting period of the project DOE Project Developer UNFCC and the CDM project cycle Project Project verification verification Project Project registration registration CER CER issuance issuance 27
  • 28. Costs of a typical CDM project Pre-Registration CDM Costs Post-Registration CDM Costs 53,000 US$ 164,500 Assumes a 10-year Assumes a 10-year project. project. 34,000 111,500 10,000 77,500 67,500 16,500 38,000 51,000 13,000 Initial Monitoring Validation Indicative CDM Cost Profile For A ‘Typical’ CDM Project Ongoing Verification By DOE Ongoing Annual Monitoring Recurrent costs Recurrent costs discounted at 3% discounted at 3% annual rate to express annual rate to express in present-value in present-value terms. terms. Registration costs, Registration costs, Administration Fee Administration Fee and Adaptation Fund and Adaptation Fund Levy not included. Levy not included. PDD PIN 28
  • 29. Using the UNFCC as an example we recognize multiple needs  The UNFCC itself requires signatories to adhere to requirements and increase capabilities in several areas      Legal, regulatory and policy Economic and financial Technical analysis Infrastructure Human resources  Other Conventions have similar (and often different) requirements  The Environmental Center needs to meet the multiple requirements
  • 30. Agenda What is the role of the Environmental Centre? The international experience Convention specific requirements: UNFCC The way forward 30
  • 31. Establish an “enabling environment”  Conduct a needs assessment to identify priority sectors and gaps in CAC regime  Develop and strengthen standards, permit process, monitoring protocols and enforcement mechanisms  Develop laws, implementing regulations and institutional support  Develop baseline data, starting with priority sectors  Determine evaluation methods and guidelines
  • 32. Establish an “enabling environment” - continued  Initiate active participation with academia to develop baseline data as well as sampling, monitoring and analytical capabilities  Promote training to develop a cadre of qualified professionals  Promote regional cooperation and awareness to create a “unifying force” on environmental issues in international discussions  Actively seek out sources of international investment flows -- using the CDM model to generate VERs  Create a more transparent busines investment climate  Address financial risk and repatriation issues to ease investment flows
  • 33. Programmatic CDM offers new opportunities -- can be used Regular CDM Regular CDM to generate VERs Size-Distribution of Potential CDM Project Sites •• Single site, stand-alone Single site, stand-alone projects projects •• ‘Carbon upgrades’ ‘Carbon upgrades’ Bundled CDM Bundled CDM Number of installations / units •• Bundling several Bundling several projects under a single projects under a single PDD PDD •• All projects must be All projects must be identified ex ante, and identified ex ante, and must start at the same must start at the same time time Programmatic CDM Programmatic CDM large medium Installation / unit size small •• Addresses the ‘long Addresses the ‘long tail’ of small units tail’ of small units •• Permits sector-wide Permits sector-wide transition to low-carbon transition to low-carbon economy economy •• Particular relevance to Particular relevance to non industrial sector non industrial sector 33
  • 34. An Example: Overall Methodology for Energy Sector Analysis Step 1 Step 2 Step 3 Demand Forecast R eg ressi o n M et h od Least-cost Generation & Transmission Expansion (Using Horizon-year Plan) Planning Study S im u lat ion M od els Costs and Benefits Quantification W illingness to-Pay Energy Supply Incremental Step 4 Environmental Impacts Economic Analysis Sensitivity and Risk Analysis Bene fits Trans fer Method Spreadsheet Calculat ion