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Itd nares on megatrands
1. “The future is already
here – it's just not
evenly distributed.”
—William Gibson, quoted in
The Economist, December 4, 2003
2. 7 new
Mega Trends in Asia-Pacific
“Implications for Future Nanotechnology Innovation and Market”
Nares Damrongchai, APEC Center for Technology Foresight
3. Cities, and not Countries, will drive
wealth creation in the future.
• Cities as island of excellence and
competitiveness.
– Attracts young and vibrant talent
– Compactness energy efficiency
• Emerging countries survive only when they
can manage how to merge these “island of
competitiveness” into the rest of the country.
– China vs. Mexico in early 2000s
Source: NASA image of Canary Islands
4. Mega Cities
Since 2008 more than ½
of the world population
live in cities.
• Bangkok accounts for
25% of Thailand’s GDP
• Seoul accounts for
50% of Korea’s GDP
IMPLICATIONS
• High economic power
• Hub and spoke business
model
• Transit-oriented
development
• New mobility solutions
10. ZERO achievement
from innovation
Zero waste
emissions
Zero crime rates
Zero defects
Zero accidents
Zero breaches of
security Zero emissions
from cars
Complete recyclability
from households
Carbon neutral
cities
Source: CISASIA
12. • Young people, the digital
generation, are equipped
with the capability to create
their own jobs.
– People with new ideas will
explore the new wave of ICT
14. AEC by 2015
ASEAN Community
ASEAN ASEAN ASEAN
Political-Security Economic Socio-Cultural
Community Community Community
(APSC) (AEC) (ASCC)
Narrowing the Development GAP (NDG)
17. Mega Impact on
Trend Impact product/
technology
to
Industry
Sub Analysis of
Trend opportunity
and unmet
needs
18. Some Key Goals of Nanotechnology
for the Next 5-10 Years
• Electrical storage for electrified
transportation and grid-
connected renewables
• Nanostructured material for
improved lighting efficiency
• Terawatt-scale solar energy at
fossil energy costs
• Nanostructured thermoelectric
materials for economical energy
conversion
Source: Nanotechnology Research Directions for Societal Needs in 2020, published by Springer, Berlin and Boston
Hinweis der Redaktion
"probably the most important novelist of the past two decades".Before Amazon and eBay, certainly before web 2.0, he identified the advent, evolution and growth of the Internet as "one of the most fascinating and unprecedented human achievements of the century", a new kind of civilization that is – in terms of significance — on a par with the birth of cities,[80] and in 2000 predicted it would lead to the death of the nation state.[26]
New members of APEC (if it enlarges) could well become cities (we already have Singapore and HK China). There could even be the APEC of Cities in the future.In 2000 William Gibson predicted that the internet together with the rise of cities would lead to the death of the nation state.
All uses nanotechAll enhance energy efficiencySmart TV
HG Wells, the author of many important science fiction books, imagine in his book When the Sleeper Wakes (1899) and came up with a device that sounds almost exactly like a modern day media player like the iPod Touch. His version was a flat square with a little picture that was ‘very vividly colored – not only were the people on the screen moving, but they were conversing with clear small voices’. He didn’t know that such device, when became available to us, would also have the capability to do HD video recording and sent over the air to anywhere in the world instantly. Most definitely he would not have imaged those devices to be important in terms of energy efficiency.
Why is this related to energy efficiency?Because it helps us to optimize our travel path. For example, if I want to have a good dinner,..
Even a one-star restaurant can have one amazing dish.
This will require fundamental changes in educational systems, instillation of a societal spirit of entrepreneurial risk-taking, and gender equality. Making innovation and supporting innovation becomes a key imperative in public and private life. Business model for competitiveness and collaboration in the future will be less based on capital and much more based on talent. Professor Schwab define this transition as moving from capitalism to “talentism”.
This will require fundamental changes in educational systems, instillation of a societal spirit of entrepreneurial risk-taking, and gender equality. Making innovation and supporting innovation becomes a key imperative in public and private life. Business model for competitiveness and collaboration in the future will be less based on capital and much more based on talent. Professor Schwab define this transition as moving from capitalism to “talentism”.
In economics, the bottom of the pyramid is the largest, but poorest socio-economic group. In global terms, this is the 2.5 billion people who live on less than $2.50 per day.The phrase “bottom of the pyramid” is used in particular by people developing new models of doing business that deliberately target that demographic, often using new technology. This field is also often referred to as the "Base of the Pyramid" or just the "BoP"
water
Controversial.Future applications will be different.