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Supply Chain Planning 19 th  September 2004 Dusit Dubai SCLG - Dubai
Seminar Agenda ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Presented by Krishnan Sugavanam Mantis
Corporate Profile of Mantis ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Corporate Profile of Vedasys BPR, BE, STRATEGY, ISO
 
Supply Chain Planning The Theory and Best Practice
Presentation Agenda ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
SYNCRON International Syncron Systems Syncron Integration Syncron Management England Sweden Finland France Greece Singapore Benelux Hungary USA Italy India UAE Malaysia
Syncron Customers
Define Supply Chain Planning Production Planning Replenishment Planning Demand Planning ERP Systems OEM Manufacturer Distributor Dealer Retail Consumer
Supply Chain Planning Art and a Science Demand Driven & Service Driven SCP OEM Manufacturer Distributor Dealer Retail Consumer
Supply Chain Planning Challenges Interactive
Some of the Challenges ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Theory of  Demand Planning
Demand Patterns Lumpy Slow Erratic Fast Positive Trend Negative Trend Obsolete New Dying
FORECAST COMPONENTS   Forecast Components Cyclical variation External factors Trend Base level
Seasonality Profiles Year Two Year One
Manual Intervention ,[object Object],[object Object]
Forecasting Demand
Some Additional Considerations
Automatic Demand Filtering Flier? 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 Period Demand
Volume Density 1998 1999 2000 2002 2003
Theory of  Replenishment Planning
How do you classify an Item from an Inventory angle? Interactive
Multi Dimensional Pareto Analysis ABC based on Volume ABC based on Frequency ABC based on Turnover
The Role of Buffer Stocks in the Supply Chain The Cushion Typical Sources of Supply Stocks The Customer Demand
Buffer Stock ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],The amount of safety stock held to cover random variations in demand
What is the Relationship between Inventory and Service Level?
Service Driven Buffer  92% 94% 96% 98% 100%
[object Object],[object Object],Basic Systems For Stock Reviews
TIME THE FIXED ORDER QUANTITY SYSTEM              ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],** REORDER QUANTITY (Q) LEAD TIME (L) MAXIMUM RATE OF USAGE WITHOUT STOCK-OUT Q Q STOCK  LEVEL * REORDER LEVEL POINT (A) EXPECTED RATE OF USAGE (R) BUFFER STOCK LEVEL *ROL= Forecast over lead -time + buffer stock **ROQ can be determined by EOQ or Coverage Analysis
THE FIXED ORDER CYCLE SYSTEM         *ORDER UP TO LEVEL ** REORDER  QUANTITY Q1 STOCK  LEVEL BUFFER STOCK LEVEL TIME Q2 Q2 Q3 Q3 LEAD TIME (L)               LEAD TIME (L) REVIEW  PERIOD (T) REVIEW  PERIOD (T) Cover period ** REORDER  QUANTITY *OL=Forecast of Demand in cover period + Buffer Stock **ROQ=Order Level-Effective Stock + Back Orders
Coverage Analysis The objective of coverage analysis is to identify the optimum ordering frequency for each product within a group to minimise the overall turnover stock capital investment.
Coverage Analysis Example
DFRP Models ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Branch forecasts and order schedules based on local demand
Theory of  Production Planning
Throughput Operating Costs Inventory Realistic Order Release Shorter Lead Times Smaller Lot Sizes Outsourcing Accurate Delivery Dates Responsive to Market Competitive Pricing Product Development Optimised Sequencing Dynamic Buffers High Resource Utilisation THE RIGHT BALANCE THEORY OF CONSTRAINTS
Recent Supply Chain Planning Industry Trends
eCollaboration OEM Supplier Distributor Warehouse Retail Information Flow Product Flow C P F R Supplier Collaboration Internal Collaboration Customer Collaboration
VMI – Vendor Managed Inventory
Virtual Stock Management
Companies moving more and more towards centralized inventory planning and away from decentralization of planning activities
Syncron Supply Chain Planner OUR SUPPLY CHAIN  CONCEPT
Local Optimisation
ERP Myth JDE SAP R/3 SAP R/3 Movex Oracle Baan Inhouse IFS IFS IFS WEB Shop.com JDE Inhouse
Supply Chain Planning Global  Warehouse Divisional  Warehouse Shop Manufacturing  Supplier
Manufacturer Supplier Region Warehouse Central Warehouse Sub Supplier Store Syncron SCP and eCollaboration Forecasting Replenishment Production plan POS data Forecast Stock level (safety stock) Replenishment plan Forecast Stock level (safety stock) Replenishment plan Forecast Replenishment plan Production planning Capacity/material need Forecast Replenishment plan Production planning Capacity need Material need Forecast Replenishment plan Production planning Capacity need Material need Integration
Questions? Break
Some Quotes from the Boss!!! ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

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Supply Chain Planning