The traditional expert organization is on a melting iceberg. There are 3 strategies to continue living on icebergs. The better option is to learn to swim. This presentations takes both a traditional look at expert organizational survival and a transformative look.
3. What is a Wicked Problem?
The term „wicked‟ is used, not in the
sense of evil, but rather its resistance to
resolution.
Moreover, because of complex
interdependences, the effort to solve one
aspect of a wicked problem may reveal or
create other problems.
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4. • Experts are not who we think they
are.
• Expertise is not where we think it is.
• The future of the expert organization
is radically changing.
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17. The Big Picture - STEEP
• Social
• Technological
• Economic
• Environmental
• Political
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18. Social
• Millennial shift
• Massive urbanization (27 mega cities)
• Traditional organizations rapidly
decline
• Cyber infrastructures the new battle
ground
• Traditional social nets become scarce
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19. Technological
• Most cancer, HIV strains and brain
disorders - CURED
• RFID and the Internet of Things
• Singularity – 2029
• Surveillance – Global Glass House
• Neuroscience and human performance
• Virtual Worlds (Augmented, Simulated)
• Security – the Petraeus Condition
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20. Economics
• Lingering effects of the Great Reset
• New hybrid capitalism
• European recession vicious cycle
• World divided into Microsoft, Apple &
Google (possibly Amazon)
• Rise of the BoP (1 billion)
• Limits to growth: China and India
• The wealth gap increases
• South America rises
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21. Environment
• Abundant clean energy
• Abundant healthy food
• Abundant clean water
• Agroecological science
• Climate instability – the need to go
from reactive to adaptive solutions
• Regional conflicts over water & food
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22. Political
• Democracy reinvented (Gutenberg)
• The nation state is obsolete
• First nation with open democracy
• Current hot spots remain hot
• Trans-national entities (governance)
• China‟s annexation of Africa
• Russian nationalism reassertion
• EU collapses
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28. What Do Standards People Contribute?
• Safe and reliable decisions
• Confidence
• Protection
• Raise public expectations
• Guide for companies
• Incentivize good behavior
• Accelerate the adoption of innovation
• Improve our quality of life
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34. New Questions vs. New Answers
Traditional Emerging
Create Curate
Stocks Flows
Self generate Crowd source
Mass audience Niche audiences
Own Open source
Protect Combine
Push Pull
Content Context (Platform)
Waterfall Agile
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Look for another melting icebergPush others off of yoursInvade other’s
Massive Priority and Power Shift and Dislocation
Life and performance breakthroughs – a race of super humansGlobal thermostat on behavior
Globally integrate economic system – no more islands of dictatorships or free markets
From a scarcity mindset to one of abundance
Open transparent – governance rises to overtake governmentThe idea of a nation state will become obsolete in a distributed economy and worldPower centers around common platforms
1889Digital camera in 1975January 19 – 2012 bankruptcy – 131 years
iPod – 2001iPhone - 2007
1993 from $50 million USD to over $10 billion2001 Goldcorp Challenge