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ALGORITHMIC TRADING &
  MANAGED ACCOUNTS

       Core Offerings




          CONFIDENTIAL
Executive Summary

 • About Us
 Prophecis is a Specialist Company which provides algorithmic trading services to over 20 hedge
 funds, proprietary trading houses and advanced traders in US and European markets. We are
 experts in data mining, machine learning and quantitative analytics.

 • What We Do
 We provide our clients with means to generate profits from financial markets by
 mechanical/systematic trading.

 • How Do We Do It
 A.) We provide you with a managed account service where we utilize completely automated
     trading strategies and systematic portfolio management.
 B.) We provide tools and research to augment your existing trading operations & research


                                            CONFIDENTIAL
Algorithmic Trading & Systematic Trading Portfolio


 A Trading System refers to a single or a set of algorithms combined together to analyse market data and
 thereby generate a trading decision. Throughout the document, the term trading system could mean
 either a single logic model/algorithm or a combination of such being applied on to a certain exchange
 traded instrument/underlying.

 Risk Management in the current context refers to the aspect of trading systems when they are making
 losses. The objective is to quantify how much could be lost and control the losses. Thus, risk
 management outlines the rules of conduct for the portfolio manager and the trading system during an
 unfavorable time in the market.

 Money Management refers to the rules of investment allocation to various different trading systems.
 Money management is essentially the strategy of controlling and timing the exposure

 Systematic Portfolio Management refers to the task of allocation of investment across trading systems
 and also to efficiently choose the best performers via predefined rules and metrics.



                                                CONFIDENTIAL
Our Approach

 • Trade Systematically
 We use automatic trading systems which have proven statistical significance on markets. This method of trading
 ensures maximum discipline and control. The algorithms are the essence of experienced traders by converting their
 edges to rule based trading.

 • Diversify the Trading Strategies
 Diversifying in terms of assets is losing its sheen as globalization takes over. A better option now is to diversify in terms
 of trading strategies. We mix different strategies and instruments to generate a resilient portfolio.

 • Be Opportunistic and Predictive
 We identify “cause” and “effect” patterns from data and use them extensively to get a head start in any trend. The
 approach is to mix data mining with trader experience for predicting moves in next few days.

 • Manage Risks
 We believe in transitory nature of everything, thus there is always a strategy to handle unexpected events. Our risk
 management methods are adaptive and highly pro-active. We have a unique methodology called algoCheck which
 allows us to avoid curve fitting and constructing an over fitted system by means of 100s of stress tests.

                                                          CONFIDENTIAL
Concept Illustration : Diversification
                                                                                                                Frequency

                                                                                                                        Long Term

                                                                                                                       Medium Term

      Stocks        Exchange Traded Funds              Futures                                                          Short Term

      Sector                   Sector            Underlying Asset Class                                             Very High Frequency
 Basic Materials        Financial Services
                                                  Soft Commodities
   Technology         Health / Biotechnology
                                                        Metals
     Utilities         Natural Resources               Energies
    Financial              Real Estate              Fixed Income
                                                                                         Technical Analysis
                      Science / Technology              Forex                                                                             Advanced Methods
   Healthcare                                                                                                   Fundamental Analysis
                                                        Stock                                  Trend Follower
 Conglomerates          Specialty / Miscell
                                                                                                                   Fundamental Models         Cycle Detection
                                                       Indices                                   Oscillator
Consumer Goods         Telecommunication                                                                                                      Pattern Matching
                                                                                                 Contrarian         Probability Models
 Industrial Goods             Utility                                                                                                         Adaptive Hybrids
                                                                                                  Scalper           Stochastic Models

                                                                                                 Breakouts         Misc Pricing Models        Self Learning - AI

                            Asset Class                                                           Waves
                                                        Forex
                            US Equity

                          Non US Equity

                          Fixed Income

                           Commodity                                                                            Risk Management

                                                                                                                   Money Management
                                               Tradable Instrument                                                     Risk Profile       Trading Strategies
                                                                                                                      Risk Strategy




            Combining diversification effects of uncorrelated markets and strategies
                                                                          CONFIDENTIAL
Systematic Managed Accounts

 A Systematic Managed Account is a multi-strategy and multi-asset trading account funded by the investor,
 and traded by our trading algorithms. This allows the investor a reasonable and controlled rate of return on an
 account he/she does not necessarily have to trade himself. In contrast to mutual funds (which are
 professionally managed on behalf of many mutual-fund holders),our systematic managed accounts are
 mechanical, fully automated, with no personal bias involved and adjustable to risk profiles.

 We offer managed accounts over US ETFs, US Stock Index Futures, US Commodity Futures, Indian Stocks and
 Indian Stock Futures. There are some pre packaged programs which clients can use rightaway (see Appendices)


 Benefits
 •   Expert management: Quantitative Algorithms run and trade your portfolio
 •   Tax management: Direct ownership of your holdings lets you address specific tax situations, such as
     harvesting capital gains or losses.
 •   Scalability of Operation
 •   Ongoing relationship: Work with us to develop your investment plan and periodically     review your
     account and performance reports.

                                                   CONFIDENTIAL
About the company

 Prophecis is an outsourcing company providing customized development of algorithmic trading
 solutions, trading strategy research, expert consulting, and technical support services for all commercial trading
 platforms like Quant house, Tradestation etc to hedge funds, proprietary traders, and advanced individual
 traders.

 We specialize in the objective design and implementation of fully automated trading systems and advanced
 technical algorithms which helps you to make trading profits systematically.

 The firm is run by IIT, ISB and Imperial College alumnus with over 100 man years of experience working with
 algorithmic trading units of HSBC, IndiaBulls, Morgan Stanley and many more reputed firms in the space. Our
 solutions help increase trading profits to 15 specialized large/medium scale funds .




                                                     CONFIDENTIAL
Contact Us




             Prophecis Analytics and Consulting Private Limited
                910, 9th Floor, DMall, Netaji Subhash Place,
                       Pitampura, New Delhi 110034

                         Monica.s@prophecis.com




                                 CONFIDENTIAL

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Prophecis Analytics

  • 1. ALGORITHMIC TRADING & MANAGED ACCOUNTS Core Offerings CONFIDENTIAL
  • 2. Executive Summary • About Us Prophecis is a Specialist Company which provides algorithmic trading services to over 20 hedge funds, proprietary trading houses and advanced traders in US and European markets. We are experts in data mining, machine learning and quantitative analytics. • What We Do We provide our clients with means to generate profits from financial markets by mechanical/systematic trading. • How Do We Do It A.) We provide you with a managed account service where we utilize completely automated trading strategies and systematic portfolio management. B.) We provide tools and research to augment your existing trading operations & research CONFIDENTIAL
  • 3. Algorithmic Trading & Systematic Trading Portfolio A Trading System refers to a single or a set of algorithms combined together to analyse market data and thereby generate a trading decision. Throughout the document, the term trading system could mean either a single logic model/algorithm or a combination of such being applied on to a certain exchange traded instrument/underlying. Risk Management in the current context refers to the aspect of trading systems when they are making losses. The objective is to quantify how much could be lost and control the losses. Thus, risk management outlines the rules of conduct for the portfolio manager and the trading system during an unfavorable time in the market. Money Management refers to the rules of investment allocation to various different trading systems. Money management is essentially the strategy of controlling and timing the exposure Systematic Portfolio Management refers to the task of allocation of investment across trading systems and also to efficiently choose the best performers via predefined rules and metrics. CONFIDENTIAL
  • 4. Our Approach • Trade Systematically We use automatic trading systems which have proven statistical significance on markets. This method of trading ensures maximum discipline and control. The algorithms are the essence of experienced traders by converting their edges to rule based trading. • Diversify the Trading Strategies Diversifying in terms of assets is losing its sheen as globalization takes over. A better option now is to diversify in terms of trading strategies. We mix different strategies and instruments to generate a resilient portfolio. • Be Opportunistic and Predictive We identify “cause” and “effect” patterns from data and use them extensively to get a head start in any trend. The approach is to mix data mining with trader experience for predicting moves in next few days. • Manage Risks We believe in transitory nature of everything, thus there is always a strategy to handle unexpected events. Our risk management methods are adaptive and highly pro-active. We have a unique methodology called algoCheck which allows us to avoid curve fitting and constructing an over fitted system by means of 100s of stress tests. CONFIDENTIAL
  • 5. Concept Illustration : Diversification Frequency Long Term Medium Term Stocks Exchange Traded Funds Futures Short Term Sector Sector Underlying Asset Class Very High Frequency Basic Materials Financial Services Soft Commodities Technology Health / Biotechnology Metals Utilities Natural Resources Energies Financial Real Estate Fixed Income Technical Analysis Science / Technology Forex Advanced Methods Healthcare Fundamental Analysis Stock Trend Follower Conglomerates Specialty / Miscell Fundamental Models Cycle Detection Indices Oscillator Consumer Goods Telecommunication Pattern Matching Contrarian Probability Models Industrial Goods Utility Adaptive Hybrids Scalper Stochastic Models Breakouts Misc Pricing Models Self Learning - AI Asset Class Waves Forex US Equity Non US Equity Fixed Income Commodity Risk Management Money Management Tradable Instrument Risk Profile Trading Strategies Risk Strategy Combining diversification effects of uncorrelated markets and strategies CONFIDENTIAL
  • 6. Systematic Managed Accounts A Systematic Managed Account is a multi-strategy and multi-asset trading account funded by the investor, and traded by our trading algorithms. This allows the investor a reasonable and controlled rate of return on an account he/she does not necessarily have to trade himself. In contrast to mutual funds (which are professionally managed on behalf of many mutual-fund holders),our systematic managed accounts are mechanical, fully automated, with no personal bias involved and adjustable to risk profiles. We offer managed accounts over US ETFs, US Stock Index Futures, US Commodity Futures, Indian Stocks and Indian Stock Futures. There are some pre packaged programs which clients can use rightaway (see Appendices) Benefits • Expert management: Quantitative Algorithms run and trade your portfolio • Tax management: Direct ownership of your holdings lets you address specific tax situations, such as harvesting capital gains or losses. • Scalability of Operation • Ongoing relationship: Work with us to develop your investment plan and periodically review your account and performance reports. CONFIDENTIAL
  • 7. About the company Prophecis is an outsourcing company providing customized development of algorithmic trading solutions, trading strategy research, expert consulting, and technical support services for all commercial trading platforms like Quant house, Tradestation etc to hedge funds, proprietary traders, and advanced individual traders. We specialize in the objective design and implementation of fully automated trading systems and advanced technical algorithms which helps you to make trading profits systematically. The firm is run by IIT, ISB and Imperial College alumnus with over 100 man years of experience working with algorithmic trading units of HSBC, IndiaBulls, Morgan Stanley and many more reputed firms in the space. Our solutions help increase trading profits to 15 specialized large/medium scale funds . CONFIDENTIAL
  • 8. Contact Us Prophecis Analytics and Consulting Private Limited 910, 9th Floor, DMall, Netaji Subhash Place, Pitampura, New Delhi 110034 Monica.s@prophecis.com CONFIDENTIAL