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   Finding The Next Big Thing:
    An Inductive Analytical
    Framework


   Presented by: Mathew Mandeltort
    Company Name: Technomic, Inc.
    Date: 8/3/11
Introduction
Today’s Agenda
   Introduction
   A “Next Big Thing”
   An Inductive Analytic Framework
       Trend Markers
       Chef Influence
       Consumer Awareness
       Market Presence
       Sourcing & Development
   Suggested Methodology
   Conclusion
A “Next Big Thing”
Case Study: Greek Yogurt
   After the first imports hit the shelves in 1998,
    Greek Yogurt today accounts for 19% of all
    yogurt sales
   Independent brands currently have 70%
    market share
                                 Greek Yogurt Sales ($M)
Case Study: Hummus
   With barely $5M in sales in 1995, Hummus
    now dominates the ‘refrigerated spreads’
    category

                              Hummus Sales ($M)
Cautionary Tales
   Peruvian is the new Thai
   Ancient Grains
   Bacon Sweets
   Sous Vide
An Inductive
Analytic Framework
A Five Node Model
Trend Markers
   Health &
    Wellness
   Lifestyle
    Values
   Flavor Profiles
Pomegranate
   Multiple health benefits: Nutra-ceutical
   $10 million funding medical research that shows
    how pomegranate juice is good for the heart.
   Top selling super premium juice
Chef Influence
   Early
    Adopters
   Menu
    Applications
   Chain Appeal
Offal-ly Good
   Variety Meats
   Leading Chef:
    Chris
    Cosentino of
    Incanto
   Ethnic outlets
Consumer Awareness
   Mainstream Media
   Social Media
   Demographic & Ethnic Influences
What’s the Buzz?
Market Presence
   Ethnic &
    Specialty
    Markets
   Independent
    Grocery
    stores
   Mainstream
Sriracha on the Shelf
   Created 1980’s
    Los Angeles
   Huy Fong Foods: More
    than 10 million bottles
    produced annually.
   Sell 80% of product to
    Asian companies, for
    distribution through
    Asian channels
   Only 17 Top 500 Chains
    menu mentions
Sourcing & Development
   Ingredient
    Sourcing
   Breadth of
    Applications
   Regulatory
    Limitations
Got Goat?
   3.1 million goats: 820,000
    were for market (26%).
   The average farm herd size
    of meat goats in the U.S. is
    between 28 and 30 goats.
   U.S. is more than 750,000
    head deficient in meeting
    current demands for goat
    meat.
   No USDA quality or yield
    grades.
Suggested
Methodology
A Six Step Approach
   Menu Mining
   Field Research
   Raw Data & Text Mining
   Initial Screening
   Chain Evaluation Perspective
   Final Analysis
Outcome
Culinary                    Trend     Market      Chef      Consumer     Sourcing &
Component        Overall   Markers   Presence   Influence   Awareness   Development

Fregola Pasta                                                          

Pho                                                                    

Bhaji Flour                                                            

Chimichurri                                                            

Burrata Cheese                                                         
Conclusion
Conclusion
   Identifying opportunities within trends is
    much more than evaluating a single data
    point or marker
   A broad based inductive model helps increase
    chances of identifying opportunities within
    trends
   A successful inductive model will include both
    aesthetic and pragmatic criteria
Contact
   Mathew Mandeltort
       Sr. Consultant, Technomic, Inc.
       v. 312.506.3917
       c. 847.217.5660
       f. 312.876.1158
       Email: Mmandeltort@technomic.com
       Blog: http://epicureancandidate.wordpress.com/
   Leading strategic consulting
    and research firm dedicated
    to the food industry
   Over 40 years of food industry focus
   Experience in virtually every channel
    and product category
   Broad contact network
   Professional staff with direct
    industry experience
   Unparalleled resource center
Sample of Technomic Clients

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Finding The Next Big Thing Framework

  • 1. Finding The Next Big Thing: An Inductive Analytical Framework  Presented by: Mathew Mandeltort Company Name: Technomic, Inc. Date: 8/3/11
  • 3. Today’s Agenda  Introduction  A “Next Big Thing”  An Inductive Analytic Framework  Trend Markers  Chef Influence  Consumer Awareness  Market Presence  Sourcing & Development  Suggested Methodology  Conclusion
  • 4. A “Next Big Thing”
  • 5. Case Study: Greek Yogurt  After the first imports hit the shelves in 1998, Greek Yogurt today accounts for 19% of all yogurt sales  Independent brands currently have 70% market share Greek Yogurt Sales ($M)
  • 6. Case Study: Hummus  With barely $5M in sales in 1995, Hummus now dominates the ‘refrigerated spreads’ category Hummus Sales ($M)
  • 7. Cautionary Tales  Peruvian is the new Thai  Ancient Grains  Bacon Sweets  Sous Vide
  • 9. A Five Node Model
  • 10. Trend Markers  Health & Wellness  Lifestyle Values  Flavor Profiles
  • 11. Pomegranate  Multiple health benefits: Nutra-ceutical  $10 million funding medical research that shows how pomegranate juice is good for the heart.  Top selling super premium juice
  • 12. Chef Influence  Early Adopters  Menu Applications  Chain Appeal
  • 13. Offal-ly Good  Variety Meats  Leading Chef: Chris Cosentino of Incanto  Ethnic outlets
  • 14. Consumer Awareness  Mainstream Media  Social Media  Demographic & Ethnic Influences
  • 16. Market Presence  Ethnic & Specialty Markets  Independent Grocery stores  Mainstream
  • 17. Sriracha on the Shelf  Created 1980’s Los Angeles  Huy Fong Foods: More than 10 million bottles produced annually.  Sell 80% of product to Asian companies, for distribution through Asian channels  Only 17 Top 500 Chains menu mentions
  • 18. Sourcing & Development  Ingredient Sourcing  Breadth of Applications  Regulatory Limitations
  • 19. Got Goat?  3.1 million goats: 820,000 were for market (26%).  The average farm herd size of meat goats in the U.S. is between 28 and 30 goats.  U.S. is more than 750,000 head deficient in meeting current demands for goat meat.  No USDA quality or yield grades.
  • 21. A Six Step Approach  Menu Mining  Field Research  Raw Data & Text Mining  Initial Screening  Chain Evaluation Perspective  Final Analysis
  • 22. Outcome Culinary Trend Market Chef Consumer Sourcing & Component Overall Markers Presence Influence Awareness Development Fregola Pasta       Pho       Bhaji Flour       Chimichurri       Burrata Cheese      
  • 24. Conclusion  Identifying opportunities within trends is much more than evaluating a single data point or marker  A broad based inductive model helps increase chances of identifying opportunities within trends  A successful inductive model will include both aesthetic and pragmatic criteria
  • 25. Contact  Mathew Mandeltort  Sr. Consultant, Technomic, Inc.  v. 312.506.3917  c. 847.217.5660  f. 312.876.1158  Email: Mmandeltort@technomic.com  Blog: http://epicureancandidate.wordpress.com/
  • 26. Leading strategic consulting and research firm dedicated to the food industry  Over 40 years of food industry focus  Experience in virtually every channel and product category  Broad contact network  Professional staff with direct industry experience  Unparalleled resource center