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U.S. VIRTUAL SCHOOL TRIAL
PERIOD AND COURSE COMPLETION
          POLICY STUDY
ABIGAIL GONZALES, BRIGHAM YOUNG UNIVERSITY & UNIVERSITY OF NEVADA,
                            LAS VEGAS
          DR. MICHAEL K. BARBOUR, WAYNE STATE UNIVERSITY



                 E Learn Conference 2008
Agenda
   Describe study
   Share findings
   Discuss collectively implications & future
    directions
State of Virtual Schools in U.S.
   Explosive growth
   Student population primarily supplementary
   Variety of types of virtual schools
       Statewide, virtual charter, Multi-district/consortia,
        single-district, private, for profit, & university
   Geographic location
       High concentration Western & Southeastern
        states
       Northeastern states slow adopters
Challenges of virtual schooling
   Attrition is a significant problem    (Carr, 2000; Lary, 2002; Rice,
    2005)

   Multiple factors contribute to differences
   Non-learning related factors – Policy adoption
       When we start counting students
       How we count them
Purpose of Study
1.   Examine variation in trial period policies in
     US
       Variability   across types schools & geographic regions


1.   Examine variation in how US virtual schools
     define course completions
       Variability   across types schools & geographic regions
Significance of Study
   Is there a need to standardize?
   Cannot standardize metric without knowing
    current landscape
   Are policies adopted context specific?
Review of Literature
   Researchers call for standardizing
    performance measures (Smith et al., 2005; Pape et al., 2006;
    Watson et al., 2006)
   Limited research examining two policies
   Pape et al., (2006) compared 3 v. schools
       2 trial periods: 3 and 5 weeks
       2 defined completion as 60%, 1 used “qualitative
        tag”
   Evidence trial periods can sift out weaker
    students (Ballas & Belyk, 2000; Cavanuagh, Gillan, Bosnick, Hess, & Scott,
    2005; McLeod, Hughes, Brown, Choi, & Maeda, 2005)
       When to count
   Course completion definitions affect retention
Methods
   Sampling Procedures
       159 US schools
       Schools listed in
         NACOL’s   Online Learning Clearinghouse List ‘07
         State-led schools in Keeping Pace w/ K12 Online
          Learning (Watson, 2007)
   Survey Study
     3-question email survey w/ introduction,
      purpose
         Presence  of trial period
         Length of trial period in days
Survey email
 4 contact attempts (2 emails, fax, phone)

 Addressed to school principal, director, or

  registrar
 Addressed by name when possible
Methods
   Virtual school: state approved / regionally
    accredited school offering credit through DL
    methods including the internet (Clark, 2001)
   School type taxonomy from Cavanaugh,
    Barbour, and Clark 2008
   Regional Divisions
       US Watson & Ryan 2007
US Geographical Regions
                                   Northeastern States



                   Central Sates
  Western States


                               Southeastern States
Sample by Region

Region            US Sample   US % of
                              Sample
 Central States      41        25.5
 Northeastern        18        11.2
 States
 Southeastern        33        20.5
 States
 Western States      67        41.6
Total                159       100
Sample by School Type
School type          US    US %
Cyber Charter        34    21.1
For Profit           9     5.6
Multi-district       11    6.8
Private              21    13
Single – district    49    30.4
State – led          24    14.9
University – led     11    6.8
Other (Aboriginal,   0      0
Unknown, etc)

Total                159   100%
Responses & Response Rates
   88 schools of 159 contacted
   55.3% response rate
Responses by School Type

School type        US   US %
Cyber Charter      16   18.2
For Profit         1    1.1
Multi-district     7    8.0
Private            13   14.8
Single-district    26   29.5
State – led        17   19.3
University – led   8    9.1

Totals             88   100%
Representativeness by School
Type
                               US
                      US    Response
School type        Sample %    %     % Difference

Cyber Charter        21.1     18.2        2.9
For Profit           5.6       1.1        4.5
Multi-district       6.8       8.0        -1.2
Private               13      14.8        -1.8
Single-district       30      29.5         .5
State – led          14.9     19.3        -4.4
University – led     6.8       9.1        -2.3
Representativeness by Region

                   US       US        %
                 Sample   Respons Differenc
Region             %        e%        e
Central States   25.5     26.1    -.6
Northeastern
                 11.2     9.1     2.1
States
Southeastern
                 20.5     22.7    -2.2
States
Western States   41.6     42      -.4
Trial Period Prevalence
   Trial: 61
   No trial: 27
   Total: 88
Trail Period Length in Days
   Range: 1-185
   Mean: 19.59*
   Instances where event marked end of trial
    period




*w/o extreme outliers
Trial period length in days
(n=61)


             v




             v
Trial period length variations
by…
School type:
 Sig. @ p=.05 df(5) f3.909

     Differences: Private school vs. state-led, cyber
      charters, and single-district
     Private schools had shorter trial periods
      compared to other schools

Geographical region:
 No significant difference
Course Completion Definitions

   Grade irrelevant
   Grade relevant
   Other
Course Completion Definitions where…
Grade is Irrelevant

Definitions                US   US %


                           16   18.6
Remain in course
Complete all/majority of
                           11   12.8
coursework
Totals                     27   31.4%
Course Completion Definitions where…
Grade is Relevant

Definitions             US        US %
Pass the course         38        44.2
(60%)
Pass course & final      2         2.3
Pass w/ ≥ D/64%          1         1.2
Pass w/ ≥ C-/70%         6             7
Pass w/ ≥ B-/80%         4         4.7
Pass w/ ≥ A-/90%         1         1.2
Totals                  52       60.6%
Course Completion Definitions where…
Other

Definitions                            US   US %

Mastery not defined by grade           1    1.2
Individual schools define completion   4     4.7
Totals                                 5    5.9%
Completion Definitions where…
Grade Relevant vs. Irrelevant vs. Other
Course completion variations
by…
School type:
 No significant difference




Geographical region:
 No significant difference
Findings Summary
Trial Period Presence
 Prevalent practice ~70%




Trial Period Length
 Average length ~ 20 days

 Most common lengths: 2 and 4 weeks

 Regional differences: Not sig.

 School type: Sig. - private schools
Findings Summary
Course completion definitions
 Wide variation between and within groups

     Remain in course


Future Research
 Student characteristics, experience, and

  reason for dropping out during trial period
  duration
 Comparison study with Canadian trial period

  and course completion policies
Implications
   Need common metrics for calculating attrition
       Best if same as bricks-and-mortar schools
   Gather data for internal and external reporting
       Internal = Institutional metrics
       External = Standardized metrics
   Determining metric easier since geography
    and school type factor little
Participant Discussion
   How do you determine or set your trial period
    policies and completion definitions?
       What influences you?
   Should a common metric be established?
       Who would determine the standardized metric?
       What would be the optimal trial period/ course
        completion policy?
   What other metrics / policies need
    standardization?
   Questions?
References
   Ballas, F. A., & Belyk, D. (2000). Student achievement and performance levels in online
    education research study. Red Deer, AB: Schollie Research & Consulting. Retrieved July
    31, 2005, from http://www.ataoc.ca/files/pdf/AOCresearch_full_report.pdf
   Carr, S. (2000). As distance education comes of age, the challenge is keeping the
    students. The Chronicle of Higher Education, 46(23), A39-41.
   Cavanaugh, C., Gillan, K. J., Bosnick, J., Hess, M., & Scott, H. (2005). Succeeding at
    the gateway: Secondary algebra learning in the virtual school. Jacksonville, FL: University of
    North Florida.
   Cavnaugh, C., Barbour, M., & Clark, T. (2008, March). Research and practice in k-12
    online learning: A review of literature. Paper presented at the annual meeting of the
    American Educational Research Association, New York.
   Clark, T. (2000). Virtual high schools: State of the states - A study of virtual high school
    planning and preparation in the United States: Center for the Application of Information
    Technologies, Western Illinois University. Retrieved July 4, 2005, from
    http://www.ctlt.iastate.edu/research/projects/tegivs/resources/stateofstates.pdf
   Lary, L. (2002). Online learning: Student and environmental factors and their
    relationship to secondary student school online learning success. Unpublished
    dissertation, University of Oregon.
References Continued
   McLeod, S., Hughes, J. E., Brown, R., Choi, J., & Maeda, Y. (2005). Algebra
    achievement in virtual and traditional schools. Naperville, IL: Learning Point Associates.
   Pape, L., Revenaugh, M., Watson, J., & Wicks, M. (2006). Measuring outcomes in K-
    12 online education programs: The need for common metrics. Distance Learning, 3(3),
    51-59.
   Rice, K. L. (2006). A comprehensive look at distance education in the K-12 context.
    Journal of Research on Technology in Education, 38(4), 425-448.
   Roblyer, M. D. (2006). Virtually successful: Defeating the dropout problem through
    online school programs. Phi Delta Kappan, 88(1), 31-36.
   Smith, R., Clark, T., & Blomeyer, R. L. (2005). A synthesis of new research on K-12 online
    learning. Naperville, IL: Learning Point Associates.
   Tucker, B. (2007). Laboratories of reform: Virtual high schools and innovation in public
    education. Retrieved April 20, 2008, from
    http://www.educationsector.org/usr_doc/Virtual_Schools.pdf
   Watson, J. F., & Ryan, J. (2007). Keeping pace with k-12 online learning: A review of state-
    level policy and practice. Vienna, VA: North American Council for Online Learning.
    Retrieved September 23, 2007, from http://www.nacol.org/docs/KeepingPace07-
    color.pdf

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E-Learn 2008 - U.S. Virtual School Trial Period and Course Completion Policy Study

  • 1. U.S. VIRTUAL SCHOOL TRIAL PERIOD AND COURSE COMPLETION POLICY STUDY ABIGAIL GONZALES, BRIGHAM YOUNG UNIVERSITY & UNIVERSITY OF NEVADA, LAS VEGAS DR. MICHAEL K. BARBOUR, WAYNE STATE UNIVERSITY E Learn Conference 2008
  • 2. Agenda  Describe study  Share findings  Discuss collectively implications & future directions
  • 3. State of Virtual Schools in U.S.  Explosive growth  Student population primarily supplementary  Variety of types of virtual schools  Statewide, virtual charter, Multi-district/consortia, single-district, private, for profit, & university  Geographic location  High concentration Western & Southeastern states  Northeastern states slow adopters
  • 4. Challenges of virtual schooling  Attrition is a significant problem (Carr, 2000; Lary, 2002; Rice, 2005)  Multiple factors contribute to differences  Non-learning related factors – Policy adoption  When we start counting students  How we count them
  • 5. Purpose of Study 1. Examine variation in trial period policies in US  Variability across types schools & geographic regions 1. Examine variation in how US virtual schools define course completions  Variability across types schools & geographic regions
  • 6. Significance of Study  Is there a need to standardize?  Cannot standardize metric without knowing current landscape  Are policies adopted context specific?
  • 7. Review of Literature  Researchers call for standardizing performance measures (Smith et al., 2005; Pape et al., 2006; Watson et al., 2006)  Limited research examining two policies  Pape et al., (2006) compared 3 v. schools  2 trial periods: 3 and 5 weeks  2 defined completion as 60%, 1 used “qualitative tag”  Evidence trial periods can sift out weaker students (Ballas & Belyk, 2000; Cavanuagh, Gillan, Bosnick, Hess, & Scott, 2005; McLeod, Hughes, Brown, Choi, & Maeda, 2005)  When to count  Course completion definitions affect retention
  • 8. Methods  Sampling Procedures  159 US schools  Schools listed in  NACOL’s Online Learning Clearinghouse List ‘07  State-led schools in Keeping Pace w/ K12 Online Learning (Watson, 2007)  Survey Study  3-question email survey w/ introduction, purpose  Presence of trial period  Length of trial period in days
  • 9. Survey email  4 contact attempts (2 emails, fax, phone)  Addressed to school principal, director, or registrar  Addressed by name when possible
  • 10. Methods  Virtual school: state approved / regionally accredited school offering credit through DL methods including the internet (Clark, 2001)  School type taxonomy from Cavanaugh, Barbour, and Clark 2008  Regional Divisions  US Watson & Ryan 2007
  • 11. US Geographical Regions Northeastern States Central Sates Western States Southeastern States
  • 12. Sample by Region Region US Sample US % of Sample Central States 41 25.5 Northeastern 18 11.2 States Southeastern 33 20.5 States Western States 67 41.6 Total 159 100
  • 13. Sample by School Type School type US US % Cyber Charter 34 21.1 For Profit 9 5.6 Multi-district 11 6.8 Private 21 13 Single – district 49 30.4 State – led 24 14.9 University – led 11 6.8 Other (Aboriginal, 0 0 Unknown, etc) Total 159 100%
  • 14. Responses & Response Rates  88 schools of 159 contacted  55.3% response rate
  • 15. Responses by School Type School type US US % Cyber Charter 16 18.2 For Profit 1 1.1 Multi-district 7 8.0 Private 13 14.8 Single-district 26 29.5 State – led 17 19.3 University – led 8 9.1 Totals 88 100%
  • 16. Representativeness by School Type US US Response School type Sample % % % Difference Cyber Charter 21.1 18.2 2.9 For Profit 5.6 1.1 4.5 Multi-district 6.8 8.0 -1.2 Private 13 14.8 -1.8 Single-district 30 29.5 .5 State – led 14.9 19.3 -4.4 University – led 6.8 9.1 -2.3
  • 17. Representativeness by Region US US % Sample Respons Differenc Region % e% e Central States 25.5 26.1 -.6 Northeastern 11.2 9.1 2.1 States Southeastern 20.5 22.7 -2.2 States Western States 41.6 42 -.4
  • 18. Trial Period Prevalence  Trial: 61  No trial: 27  Total: 88
  • 19. Trail Period Length in Days  Range: 1-185  Mean: 19.59*  Instances where event marked end of trial period *w/o extreme outliers
  • 20. Trial period length in days (n=61) v v
  • 21. Trial period length variations by… School type:  Sig. @ p=.05 df(5) f3.909  Differences: Private school vs. state-led, cyber charters, and single-district  Private schools had shorter trial periods compared to other schools Geographical region:  No significant difference
  • 22. Course Completion Definitions  Grade irrelevant  Grade relevant  Other
  • 23. Course Completion Definitions where… Grade is Irrelevant Definitions US US % 16 18.6 Remain in course Complete all/majority of 11 12.8 coursework Totals 27 31.4%
  • 24. Course Completion Definitions where… Grade is Relevant Definitions US US % Pass the course 38 44.2 (60%) Pass course & final 2 2.3 Pass w/ ≥ D/64% 1 1.2 Pass w/ ≥ C-/70% 6 7 Pass w/ ≥ B-/80% 4 4.7 Pass w/ ≥ A-/90% 1 1.2 Totals 52 60.6%
  • 25. Course Completion Definitions where… Other Definitions US US % Mastery not defined by grade 1 1.2 Individual schools define completion 4 4.7 Totals 5 5.9%
  • 26. Completion Definitions where… Grade Relevant vs. Irrelevant vs. Other
  • 27. Course completion variations by… School type:  No significant difference Geographical region:  No significant difference
  • 28. Findings Summary Trial Period Presence  Prevalent practice ~70% Trial Period Length  Average length ~ 20 days  Most common lengths: 2 and 4 weeks  Regional differences: Not sig.  School type: Sig. - private schools
  • 29. Findings Summary Course completion definitions  Wide variation between and within groups  Remain in course Future Research  Student characteristics, experience, and reason for dropping out during trial period duration  Comparison study with Canadian trial period and course completion policies
  • 30. Implications  Need common metrics for calculating attrition  Best if same as bricks-and-mortar schools  Gather data for internal and external reporting  Internal = Institutional metrics  External = Standardized metrics  Determining metric easier since geography and school type factor little
  • 31. Participant Discussion  How do you determine or set your trial period policies and completion definitions?  What influences you?  Should a common metric be established?  Who would determine the standardized metric?  What would be the optimal trial period/ course completion policy?  What other metrics / policies need standardization?  Questions?
  • 32. References  Ballas, F. A., & Belyk, D. (2000). Student achievement and performance levels in online education research study. Red Deer, AB: Schollie Research & Consulting. Retrieved July 31, 2005, from http://www.ataoc.ca/files/pdf/AOCresearch_full_report.pdf  Carr, S. (2000). As distance education comes of age, the challenge is keeping the students. The Chronicle of Higher Education, 46(23), A39-41.  Cavanaugh, C., Gillan, K. J., Bosnick, J., Hess, M., & Scott, H. (2005). Succeeding at the gateway: Secondary algebra learning in the virtual school. Jacksonville, FL: University of North Florida.  Cavnaugh, C., Barbour, M., & Clark, T. (2008, March). Research and practice in k-12 online learning: A review of literature. Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Educational Research Association, New York.  Clark, T. (2000). Virtual high schools: State of the states - A study of virtual high school planning and preparation in the United States: Center for the Application of Information Technologies, Western Illinois University. Retrieved July 4, 2005, from http://www.ctlt.iastate.edu/research/projects/tegivs/resources/stateofstates.pdf  Lary, L. (2002). Online learning: Student and environmental factors and their relationship to secondary student school online learning success. Unpublished dissertation, University of Oregon.
  • 33. References Continued  McLeod, S., Hughes, J. E., Brown, R., Choi, J., & Maeda, Y. (2005). Algebra achievement in virtual and traditional schools. Naperville, IL: Learning Point Associates.  Pape, L., Revenaugh, M., Watson, J., & Wicks, M. (2006). Measuring outcomes in K- 12 online education programs: The need for common metrics. Distance Learning, 3(3), 51-59.  Rice, K. L. (2006). A comprehensive look at distance education in the K-12 context. Journal of Research on Technology in Education, 38(4), 425-448.  Roblyer, M. D. (2006). Virtually successful: Defeating the dropout problem through online school programs. Phi Delta Kappan, 88(1), 31-36.  Smith, R., Clark, T., & Blomeyer, R. L. (2005). A synthesis of new research on K-12 online learning. Naperville, IL: Learning Point Associates.  Tucker, B. (2007). Laboratories of reform: Virtual high schools and innovation in public education. Retrieved April 20, 2008, from http://www.educationsector.org/usr_doc/Virtual_Schools.pdf  Watson, J. F., & Ryan, J. (2007). Keeping pace with k-12 online learning: A review of state- level policy and practice. Vienna, VA: North American Council for Online Learning. Retrieved September 23, 2007, from http://www.nacol.org/docs/KeepingPace07- color.pdf

Editor's Notes

  1. Ask audience introduce self & what do. What interested them in attending? If their institution has a trial period? - length How they define course completions? Illustrate wide variability even within the room.
  2. 1. 2005-2007 State led schools went from 21 to 42 according to Watson and Ryan’s Keeping pace wit hK-12 online learning 2. Estimated 700,000 (Tucker 2005) to 1 million (Christensen & Horn, 2008) students participating in K-12 online learning 3. Michigan requires e-learning component for graduate requirement from high school. Other states may soon follow. 4. The student population is primarily using online learning to supplement their brick and mortar courses but there is a growing trend toward more full-time programs. 5. Variety in providers 6. Variety in geographic distribution
  3. Retention rates are a key indicator of the health of a school However in VS, attrition tends to be a significant problem Attrition rates range significantly 12-40% (Lary, 2002) 50% (Rice, 2006) Low as 3 % as high as 70% (Robyler, 2007) Wide range in what is reported for different reasons – Some learning related. Other policy factors and lack of agreement on how to calculate metric.
  4. Is there a need to standardize? Or have we already done this organically? There has been a call to standardize but before you can do this it is important to know the current landscape. Are there policies institutions have gravitated to en mass, determining a standard metric becomes easier. Are these policies context specific?
  5. In Pape’s et al. 2006 article Measuring outcomes in K-12 online education programs: The need for common metrics she examined 3 virtual high schools--Virtual High School Global Consortium (VHS), Illinois Virtual High School (IVHS), and Connections Academy (CA). Qualitative tag which included “intertwining metrics: attendance, participation, and performance” (p. 55). This data was combined to calculate a “qualitative tag” depicting performance ranging from “Satisfactory to Alarm” Long trial periods can act as a sifting mechanism during which weaker students to drop out, masking attrition rates for lower performing students. FLVS 1999 -2000 evaluation report—reported a 71% retention rate. If included dropout students from trial period – 54%In turn, virtual schools with generous trial periods would be able to report high retention rates because students who were having trouble and would have likely struggled to complete the course would have dropped out by the time the virtual school began counting then as students.
  6. 159 US schools located:: NACOL Clearinghouse list, State-led schools from Keeping Pace with K-12 Education 2007 Canadian schools selected based on Email survey : 3 questions; 2 open-ended,
  7. Used Clark’s 2001 definition of a virtual school as “a state approved and/or regionally accredited school that offers secondary credit courses through distance learning methods that include Internet-based delivery” Limitations: Definition of VS not accepted by some people in our study – they dropped ou.
  8. Almost 50% of schools in sample were western. Not suprising given history of distance education in the west. Then Central Then Southeastern
  9. US: Single district, state led, and cyber charter schools accounted for 66.4% of virtual schools in our sample.
  10. Canada: 29.9% Response breakdown by country – majority were US schools responding.
  11. Single district, Cyber charter, and State –led: 67% Fairly representative set of responses compared to the sample set.
  12. Single district, Cyber charter, and State –led: 67% Fairly representative set of responses compared to the sample set.
  13. Single district, Cyber charter, and State –led: 67%
  14. US: Of the 88 schools surveyed, 27 schools had no trial period compared to 61 schools had a trial period Trial periods were a common practice in the US. Several instances where a trial period was marked by an event such as submitting your first assignment, taking your first quiz, paying your tuition; in contrast to a time period that was common in the US.
  15. US most common: 28-30 days about 4 weeks accounted for 28.3% of the sample Most common (14 days) 14-15 days: 2 weeks accounted for 26.7% of the sample
  16. Ran One way ANOVAs to see if there were any significant differences in trial length based on school type or region. For School types found that US significant with an f value of 3.909 Did a Post HokTukey test to see which variables were significant and found that
  17. Wide range in completion definitions.
  18. Wide range from passing the course w/ 60% to a mastery level with 90% or better US had significant variation within this category.
  19. Not define by grade: elementary school
  20. This study gives us evidence beyond anecdote or guess, that variations are significant and there is a need to standardize trial period policies and course completion definitions. We need to count students in the same time and same manner. Ideally, best if we could align this with how brick and mortar schools are calculating attrition/retention to allow for comparisons
  21. How do you determine…. Drivers-Colorado Online Learning changed their trial period from 2 weeks to 5 weeks because a competitor school had this length and wanted their attrition rates to be comparable. If a standardized metric were to be established, who should determine it?