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RESEARCH


      This M h i R l E
      Thi Month in Real Estate
       Released: April 9, 2009
                       9


                                 Commentary…………………………….                 2

                                 The Numbers that Drive Real Estate…    3

                                 Recent Government Action…………….         9

                                 Research for Buyers and Sellers……….    14




                                       -      Courtesy of Mike Walker
                                                                        1
                                       www.ShowMeTheKeys.com
Commentary
Affordability, low rates, desire to buy provide hope for the U.S. housing market
Housing affordability now stands at its best level since 1971. This greater affordability helped boost home sales
in February. Especially strong was the activity attributed to first time home buyers, who represented half of new
   February                                                   first-time
home purchasers this month. The $8,000 tax credit helped move many of these first-time buyers out of their
rentals and into their own homes.

In light of weakening global economic indicators and a poorly functional financial system, the U.S. government
and Federal Reserve remain proactive, with the Federal Reserve alone purchasing and holding up to an
additional $750 billion of agency mortgage-backed securities and $100 billion more in housing agency debt.
The Fed moves are designed to provide greater support to mortgage lending and housing markets.

While
Whil economists expect continued softness i the overall housing market, encouraging buyer signs abound
                i              idf             in h        ll h i         k             ib         i     b    d
given the historically low mortgage rates and the availability of distressed properties. There are localized
opportunities for savvy investors and for those buyers who are qualified, willing, and ready to buy on the cheap.
And with rates at historic lows, the question for many borrowers becomes, how long will the good times last?
The Fed's actions and mounting federal deficits could weaken the dollar and spur the aforementioned
     Fed s
inflationary trend, which could send interest rates back up. In addition, the first-time home buyer tax credit
expires at the end of November. Prominent economists maintain that low rates should be available for quot;at least
the next several months.quot; But if fears of inflation cause investors to shun Treasurys, the Fed's impact on long-
term interest rates could be short-lived.



                                                                                                                    2
The Numbers That Drive Real Estate




                       -    Courtesy of Mike Walker
                                                      3
                       www.ShowMeTheKeys.com
Home Sales - In Millions
 The annual rate for a particular month represents what the total number of actual sales for a year
 would be if the relative pace for that month were maintained for 12 consecutive months.
           f              p    f                              f

  Existing home sales rose 5.1% in February, reversing losses in January. Favorable market
  conditions and government-granting incentives are gaining traction in attracting a larger
  wave of first-time home buyers, who accounted for half of all home sales last month.
  More robust activity is expected in the next few months. A recent House Hunt survey
  revealed that the U.S housing market appears to be showing early signs of emerging from
  the worst real estate market in three years.

                                                                5.10
                                                  4.99
                                  4.95     4.90                        4.94
                                                         4.93
                4.92     4.85
                                                                              4.54
         4.95
         4 95
                                                                                     4.74          4.72
                                                                                            4.49


                                            Annual Rate of Sales


         Feb Mar Apr May Jun
                  p    y                          Jul    Aug Sept Oct
                                                           g   p              Nov    Dec    Jan Feb


Data released on March 23, 2009
                                                                                                          4
Source: National Association of Realtors
Median Home Price
 In Thousands
  The national median home price continues to overcorrect. Home prices stood at 2003
  levels in February at $165,400, which translates to a 16% decline from a year ago.
  “Given the downward distortion in price comparisons due to distressed sales, it’s
  important for owners to keep in mind that this doesn’t equate to a similar loss of value
  for traditional homes in good condition,” said Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist.
  Regionally, the West is showing signs of recovery with stronger-than-expected sales
  gains.
  gains California is in the lead with median listing prices starting to rise for the first
  time in three years.




             $137     $143      $156       $166    $181     $198      $218      $214   $196   $165

            2000      2001      2002       2003   2004      2005     2006       2007   2008   2009
Median home price as of February every year (Data released on March 23, 2009)
                                                                                                     5
Source: National Association of Realtors
Inventory - Months Supply
 Number of months it would take to sell all the homes on the market at the current rate of sales

  Continuingly improved affordability conditions and lower interest rates are expected to
  attract more potential home buyers and help reduce inventory. According to Move Inc.,
  approximately 1 in 4 (23%) Americans expect to buy a home in the next five years.

  The months supply of homes has fallen to less than 10 months this year in comparison
  to double-digit levels for most of last year. In February, 3.8 million existing homes were
  available for sale, representing 9.7 months of supply at the current pace of sales.
                sale               97                                           sales



                          11.3 10 9        11    11                          11
                               10.9                    10.6          10
                                                              10
                10

          9.7                                                                                      9.7
                                                                                    9.4    9.7
                                                Monthly Inventory


         Feb Mar Apr May Jun
                  p    y                         Jul   Aug Sept Oct
                                                         g   p              Nov    Dec     Jan Feb


Latest data release: March 23, 2009
                                                                                                         6
Source: National Association of Realtors
Mortgage Rates
 30-Year Fixed
  After the Fed announced that it would expand purchases of mortgage-backed securities and
  Treasury securities, applications for both purchase and refinance loans jumped 32%.
  Last month, mortgage rates averaged around 5%, down from 5.1% in February and 6 % a
  year ago. Buyers continue to enjoy lower mortgage rates as weekly rates fell to 4.78 percent
                          i        jl                              kl       f ll 4 8
  in the first week of April.
  With rates at historic lows, uncertainty remains as to how long these low rates will last.
  Increasing federal deficits due to massive government spending could weaken the dollar and
  prod inflation, which could send interest rates back up.
                                                           5.25%
                                                                        5.16%                               5.15%
                               5.12% 5.10%
                                                                                               5.07%                   5.03%
        5.01%
                                                                                   5.04%
                   4.96%                                                                                                           4.98%
                                                                                                                                                 4.85%
                                                                                                                                                              4.78%
                                                         Average W kl Mortgage Rates
                                                         A       Weekly M t    Rt
        1/8/2

                   1/15/

                                 1/22/

                                             1/29/

                                                            2/5/2

                                                                       2/12/

                                                                                   2/19/

                                                                                                2/26/

                                                                                                            3/5/2

                                                                                                                       3/12/

                                                                                                                                     3/19/

                                                                                                                                                  3/26/

                                                                                                                                                               4/2/2
            2009




                                                                2009




                                                                                                                2009




                                                                                                                                                                   2009
                       /2009

                                     /2009

                                                 /2009




                                                                           /2009

                                                                                       /2009

                                                                                                    /2009




                                                                                                                           /2009

                                                                                                                                         /2009

                                                                                                                                                      /2009
                                                                                                                                                                          7
Source: Freddie Mac
Affordability - % of Income
 The percentage of a median family’s income required to make mortgage payments on a median priced home

   Quality buyers are continuing to take advantage of stimulus incentives and favorable
   affordability conditions as evidenced by increasing sales last month. Exceptionally low
   home prices and mortgage rates continue to give them more buying power. According
   to NAR President Charles McMillan, “With the drop in interest rates, a median-income
   family can afford a home costing $20,000 more than a year ago for the same monthly
   mortgage payment.”




                                                                                                 14%
            20%       19%       19%        18%     19%      20%       23%          22%    18%

            2000      2001      2002       2003   2004      2005      2006         2007   2008   2009
Affordability as of February every year. Calculations assume a 20% down payment.
                                                                                                         8
Source: National Association of Realtors
Recent Government Action




                     -     Courtesy of Mike Walker
                                                     9
                     www.ShowMeTheKeys.com
Government Teams Up with Investors to Purchase Toxic
Assets
           The Treasury Department recently released the Public-Private Investment
  Program to ensure that lending continues to flow to households and businesses.
  This program is intended to mend the balance sheets of banks which are filled
  with toxic assets due to losses incurred during the housing market implosion.
           The government will come together with private investors to purchase
  the loans from the banks at discounted prices. The government and investors will
  only have to put up a fraction of what the assets sell for and the FDIC will insure
     lh       t     t      f ti     f h t th       t ll f       d th           ill i
  the remainder. Investors and the government will own the assets as an investment
  in hopes of making money because they believe fear has driven prices below their
  actually worth.
         y
           If this initiative works, banks will have a greater ability to extend more
  new loans. Banks could have more flexibility in originating loans that the
  government typically does not guarantee, including loans greater than $729,000,
  also referred to as jumbo loans. Banks creating more new loans in the higher
   l     f      dt     j bl          Bk         ti              l     i th hi h
  price points could ultimately translate into upper price home sales regaining
  momentum and the eventual return of a healthy housing market.



                                                                                    10
Source: Washington Post, ustreasury.gov
The Federal Reserve Pulls Out the Stops to Get the
Housing Market Back on Track
           The Fed illustrated that, even with the federal funds rate nearly at zero, it
still has more tricks to pull out of its hat by taking unprecedented steps toward
supporting mortgage lending and the housing market. Along with purchasing $300
   pp      g      gg          g                  g             g     p          g
billion in Treasury securities, the Fed promised an additional $750 billion on top of
the $500 billion it has already committed to purchasing mortgage-backed securities.
           When the Fed first announced that they would purchase these securities a
few months ago, interest rates fell by 1%. After the most recent announcement, rates
fell b
f ll by nearly a quarter of a percent from 5.03% on March 12 to 4.78% on April 2.
             l        t   f           tf      5 03%     Mh       t 4 78%      A il 2
Some banks are extending loans at around 4.5%.
                     Estimated Payment on a $200,000 Mortgage

                             Interest                  Monthly
                               Rate                    Payment
                                 8.5%                      $,
                                                           $1,538
                                 6.5%                      $1,264
                                4.5%                      $1,013
                         Monthly Payment = Principal and Interest Portion Only


                                                                                           11
Banks Permanently Banned from Practicing Real Estate


           In 2001, the Federal Reserve Board and the U.S. Treasury Department
 issued a proposed regulation to allow national bank holding companies and
 financial subsidiaries to engage in real estate brokerage and management. Since
 this presented a clear conflict of interest, annual bills were passed to prevent banks
 from doing so On March 11, President Obama signed into law the Omnibus
              so.            11
 Appropriations Act that permanently bars banks from entering the real estate
 brokerage business.
           This act is notable because banks in the real estate business could create
 an uncompetitive environment that is ultimately against consumer interests, since
 bank employees would not have the same fiduciary relationship with consumers
 that independent real estate professionals have.
          p                    p




                                                                                      12
Source: Realtor Magazine
New Website to Help Struggling Homeowners


 The U.S. government recently unveiled a consumer website to inform struggling
 homeowners of the types of government resources available to them. On this site,
                                                               them          site
 homeowners can find the answers to their questions about loan modification and
 refinancing programs such as:
     • Where do I go to get help?
     • Do I qualify?
     • What lenders are participating?
     • When can I apply?
     • Why does my loan servicer have to ask if they can modify my loan?
     • How do I know if refinancing will improve my ability to stay in my home?
                                   g        p        y      y       y     y

 Find all this information and more at www.MakingHomeAffordable.gov



                                                                               13
Source: MakingHomeAffordable.gov
Research for Buyers and Sellers




                        -    Courtesy of Mike Walker
                                                       14
                        www.ShowMeTheKeys.com
Low Down Payment Loans from FHA
Buyers:



           First-time home buyers can take advantage of FHA loans that require
 down payments as low as 3.5%. These loans can be a great way for first-time
                           3 5%                                       first time
 buyers with good, steady jobs but not a lot of cash on hand to take advantage of
 the numerous advantages of this buyer’s market including record-breaking
 affordability and an $8,000 tax credit.
                      $8 000     credit
          FHA loans can be a good option for buyers purchasing their first home,
 especially for those who have a small down payment or that have less-than-perfect
 credit.
 credit Lenders usually offer these loans at reasonably low interest rates because
 the U.S. government insures them against default. Most FHA borrowers opt for
 30-year fixed rate mortgages although adjustable rate can also be a possibility.
 FHA also offers 203(k) loans that can include the costs of repairs for “fixer-
                      ()                                      p
 uppers” with the mortgage.

 For more information, check out www.hud.gov/fha/loans.cfm

                                                                                 15
Source: HUD.gov
Claim Tax Credit on 2008 Tax Return
Buyers:




         Buyers who qualify f the fi
         B          h      lif for h first-time home buyer tax credit that have
                                              ih          b             di h h
  already filed their tax returns can still claim their tax credit this year. They will
  need to file a 1040x form to amend their 2008 tax return and form 5405 to claim
  the credit
      credit.

  For more information on your other filing options, visit
  http://www.irs.gov/newsroom/article/0,,id=205416,00.html
  htt //     i      /         / ti l /0 id 205416 00 ht l




                                                                                          16
Source: IRS
5 Common First-Time Home Buyer Mistakes
Buyers:



      1. They don’t ask enough questions of their lender and end up missing out
         on the best deal.
      2. They don’t act quickly enough to make a decision and someone else buys
         the house.
      3.
      3 They don’t find the right agent who’s willing to help them through the
               don t                      who s
         home-buying process.
      4. They don’t do enough to make their offer look appealing to a seller.
      5. They don’t think b t
      5 Th d ’t thi k about resale b fl before th b
                                               they buy. Th average first-time
                                                         The         fi t ti
         buyer only stays in a home for four years.




Reprinted from REALTOR® Magazine Online (http://www.realtor.org/realtormag) with permission
                                                                                              17
of the NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®. Copyright 2009. All rights reserved.
Buying Your First Home
Buyers:


 Your First Home: The Proven Path to Home Ownership is a great resource for
 first-time home buyers. This educational resource is a must-read for anyone aspiring
 to buy a home
           home.
 Drawn from the real-life experiences of hundreds of thousands of first-time home
 buyers, Your First Home provides proven, practical guidance on how to hire a great
 real estate agent, determine what you can afford to buy, secure the best financing,
             agent                                    buy                 financing
 recognize the right home for you, craft a winning offer and negotiate with sellers,
 spot serious issues at inspection, and close on your new home and maintain it.




                                    This easy-to-read book is available for purchase on Amazon.



                                                                                              18
Does Moving Up Make Sense?
Sellers:

  These questions will help you decide whether you’re ready for a home that’s larger or in a more desirable
  location. If you answer yes to most of the questions, it’s a sign that you may be ready to move.

      1. Has your income or financial situation improved? If you’re making more money,
                                                                 you re                money
         you may be able to afford higher mortgage payments and cover the costs of moving.
      2. Are interest rates attractive? A low rate not only helps you buy a larger home, but
         also makes it easier to find a buyer.
      3. Are there reasons why you can’t remodel or add on? S
      3 A th                     h          ’t     dl      dd ? Sometimes you can create a
                                                                         i
         bigger home by adding a new room or building up. But if your property isn’t large
         enough, your municipality doesn’t allow it, or you’re simply not interested in
         remodeling, then moving to a bigger home may be your best option.
      4. Have you outgrown your neighborhood? The neighborhood you pick for your first
         home might not be the same neighborhood you want to settle down in for good. For
         example, you may have realized that you’d like to be closer to your job or live in a
         better school district.
      5. Have you built substantial equity in your current home? Look at your annual
         mortgage statement or call your lender to find out. Usually, you don’t build up much
         equity in the first few years of your mortgage, as monthly payments are mostly
         interest,
         interest but if you ve owned your home for five or more years, you may have
                         you’ve                                    years
         significant, unrealized gains.
Reprinted from REALTOR® Magazine Online (http://www.realtor.org/realtormag) with permission
                                                                                                         19
of the NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®. Copyright 2009. All rights reserved.
12 Tips for Hiring a Remodeling Contractor
Sellers:

      1.    Get at least three written estimates.
      2.    Check references. If possible, view earlier jobs the contractor completed.
      3.    Check with the local chamber of commerce or Better Business Bureau for complaints.
                                                                                             p
      4.    Be sure the contract states exactly what is to be done and how change orders will be handled.
      5.    Make as small of a down payment as possible so you won’t lose a lot if the contractor fails to
            complete the job.
      6.
      6     Be
            B sure th t the contractor has the necessary permits, li
                      that th     t t h th                      it licenses, and i
                                                                                d insurance.
      7.    Check that the contract states when the work will be completed and what recourse you have
            if it isn’t. Also, remember that in many instances you can cancel a contract within three
            business days of signing it.
      8.    Ask if the contractor’s workers will do the entire job or whether subcontractors will be
            involved too.
      9.    Get the contractor to indemnify you if work does not meet any local building codes or
            regulations.
               g
      10.   Be sure that the contract specifies the contractor will clean up after the job and be responsible
            for any damage.
      11.   Guarantee that the materials that will be used meet your specifications.
      12.   Don’t make the final payment until you’re satisfied with the work.
                        kh                       il                   ih h      k

Reprinted from REALTOR® Magazine Online (http://www.realtor.org/realtormag) with permission
                                                                                                            20
of the NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®. Copyright 2009. All rights reserved.
Five Cost-Effective Ways to Attract Buyers
Sellers:



  1. Think Green. Better insulation, replacing old windows, and caulking can
     increase the energy efficiency of the home and can be attractive to buyers.
                                                                          buyers
  2. Add Molding. Crown molding, wider baseboards, and framing doors and
     widows can be delightful in any home.
  3. Paint Finishes. Faux finishes and accented walls can help y p your home stand
     out. Don’t get carried away; pick the color and texture wisely, keeping in mind
     that you are trying to make your home universally appealing.
  4. Upgrade Floors. Dirty or old flooring can turn buyers away. Consider new
     carpet, tile, or wood. Refinishing existing flooring or professionally
              il         d     fi i hi    i i fl i              f i ll
     shampooing carpets can bring them back to life.
  5. Outdoor Upgrades. A deck, or even a summer kitchen at certain price points,
     can add value to your home The worth of different outdoor amenities varies
                             home.
     from place to place, so be sure to get a professional opinion from your local
     agent before taking on a big project.



                                                                                   21
Source: Realty Times
Tips to Prevent Common Seller Mistakes
Sellers:


  1. Price Your Home Right. If you either need to sell or would like to sell your home,
     pricing at current market value is key. Researching prices that comparable homes
     recently sold for is a crucial component to determining a p
              y                         p                     g price that will make the home
     sell. If you don’t need to move, consider waiting for the market to improve.
  2. Consider a Presale Inspection. This will accomplish two goals. First of all, it will let
     you know the potential problems that need to be fixed, and secondly, buyers can make
     offers that takes those items into consideration up front rather than renegotiating
     concessions later.
  3. Ensure Qualifications. Before entering into a contract, ask the buyer to disclose the
     name of the lender with the prequalification letter. Make sure underwriting approval
     happens shortly after accepting the offer by writing this into the contract.
     h          h tl ft           ti th ff b          iti thi i t th        tt
  4. Consider All Offers. Refusing to entertain an offer from a qualified buyer can be a big
     mistake for sellers in this market. Wait until the offer has been negotiated to refuse it.
  5. Accept Backup Offers. Consider a backup offer in case the primary one falls through.
           p         p                            p                  p      y               g
     Also take into consideration that a lower offer with a larger down payment can be a
     more solid deal than a higher price with less money down.
  6. Choose the Right Agent. Solid negotiation and communication skills combined with
     local area expertise can help sellers to get the most out of their experience.
                                                                        experience


                                                                                              22
Source: Inman News
Your Local Market

 Although it is important to stay informed about what is going on in the
 national economy and housing market, many different factors impact the real
 estate market in your area.


      Talk to your Keller Williams agent for assistance
      interpreting the conditions in y
           p     g                   your local market.


 Keller Williams agents are equipped with all the knowledge and information to
                  g          q pp                         g
 help navigate you though the process of buying or selling a home in this
 challenging market.



                                                                                 23
About Keller Williams Realty
  Founded in 1983, Keller Williams Realty, Inc., is an international real estate
  company with more than 74,175 associates and 693 offices located across the
  United St t
  U it d States and C d Th company began franchising in 1991, and
                    d Canada. The          b       f     hi i i 1991 d
  following years of phenomenal growth and success, became the third-largest U.S.
  residential real estate firm in 2009.
  The
  Th company has succeeded by treating its associates as partners and shares its
                 h           d d b t ti it           it          t       dh      it
  knowledge, policy control, and company profits on a system wide basis.
  Focusing on helping associates realize their fullest potential, Keller Williams
  Realty kno n
  Realt is known as an industry leader in its famil c lt re unmatched education,
                           ind str            family culture, nmatched ed cation
  profit sharing business model, phenomenal coaching program, and technology
  offerings. Keller Williams Realty provides associates with all the tools needed to
  grow and thrive in today s market
                       today’s market.

   -       Courtesy of Mike Walker

                       y
       -www.ShowMeTheKeys.com
              330-571-2020


                                                                                   24

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This Month In Real Estate April 2009

  • 1. RESEARCH This M h i R l E Thi Month in Real Estate Released: April 9, 2009 9 Commentary……………………………. 2 The Numbers that Drive Real Estate… 3 Recent Government Action……………. 9 Research for Buyers and Sellers………. 14 - Courtesy of Mike Walker 1 www.ShowMeTheKeys.com
  • 2. Commentary Affordability, low rates, desire to buy provide hope for the U.S. housing market Housing affordability now stands at its best level since 1971. This greater affordability helped boost home sales in February. Especially strong was the activity attributed to first time home buyers, who represented half of new February first-time home purchasers this month. The $8,000 tax credit helped move many of these first-time buyers out of their rentals and into their own homes. In light of weakening global economic indicators and a poorly functional financial system, the U.S. government and Federal Reserve remain proactive, with the Federal Reserve alone purchasing and holding up to an additional $750 billion of agency mortgage-backed securities and $100 billion more in housing agency debt. The Fed moves are designed to provide greater support to mortgage lending and housing markets. While Whil economists expect continued softness i the overall housing market, encouraging buyer signs abound i idf in h ll h i k ib i b d given the historically low mortgage rates and the availability of distressed properties. There are localized opportunities for savvy investors and for those buyers who are qualified, willing, and ready to buy on the cheap. And with rates at historic lows, the question for many borrowers becomes, how long will the good times last? The Fed's actions and mounting federal deficits could weaken the dollar and spur the aforementioned Fed s inflationary trend, which could send interest rates back up. In addition, the first-time home buyer tax credit expires at the end of November. Prominent economists maintain that low rates should be available for quot;at least the next several months.quot; But if fears of inflation cause investors to shun Treasurys, the Fed's impact on long- term interest rates could be short-lived. 2
  • 3. The Numbers That Drive Real Estate - Courtesy of Mike Walker 3 www.ShowMeTheKeys.com
  • 4. Home Sales - In Millions The annual rate for a particular month represents what the total number of actual sales for a year would be if the relative pace for that month were maintained for 12 consecutive months. f p f f Existing home sales rose 5.1% in February, reversing losses in January. Favorable market conditions and government-granting incentives are gaining traction in attracting a larger wave of first-time home buyers, who accounted for half of all home sales last month. More robust activity is expected in the next few months. A recent House Hunt survey revealed that the U.S housing market appears to be showing early signs of emerging from the worst real estate market in three years. 5.10 4.99 4.95 4.90 4.94 4.93 4.92 4.85 4.54 4.95 4 95 4.74 4.72 4.49 Annual Rate of Sales Feb Mar Apr May Jun p y Jul Aug Sept Oct g p Nov Dec Jan Feb Data released on March 23, 2009 4 Source: National Association of Realtors
  • 5. Median Home Price In Thousands The national median home price continues to overcorrect. Home prices stood at 2003 levels in February at $165,400, which translates to a 16% decline from a year ago. “Given the downward distortion in price comparisons due to distressed sales, it’s important for owners to keep in mind that this doesn’t equate to a similar loss of value for traditional homes in good condition,” said Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist. Regionally, the West is showing signs of recovery with stronger-than-expected sales gains. gains California is in the lead with median listing prices starting to rise for the first time in three years. $137 $143 $156 $166 $181 $198 $218 $214 $196 $165 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Median home price as of February every year (Data released on March 23, 2009) 5 Source: National Association of Realtors
  • 6. Inventory - Months Supply Number of months it would take to sell all the homes on the market at the current rate of sales Continuingly improved affordability conditions and lower interest rates are expected to attract more potential home buyers and help reduce inventory. According to Move Inc., approximately 1 in 4 (23%) Americans expect to buy a home in the next five years. The months supply of homes has fallen to less than 10 months this year in comparison to double-digit levels for most of last year. In February, 3.8 million existing homes were available for sale, representing 9.7 months of supply at the current pace of sales. sale 97 sales 11.3 10 9 11 11 11 10.9 10.6 10 10 10 9.7 9.7 9.4 9.7 Monthly Inventory Feb Mar Apr May Jun p y Jul Aug Sept Oct g p Nov Dec Jan Feb Latest data release: March 23, 2009 6 Source: National Association of Realtors
  • 7. Mortgage Rates 30-Year Fixed After the Fed announced that it would expand purchases of mortgage-backed securities and Treasury securities, applications for both purchase and refinance loans jumped 32%. Last month, mortgage rates averaged around 5%, down from 5.1% in February and 6 % a year ago. Buyers continue to enjoy lower mortgage rates as weekly rates fell to 4.78 percent i jl kl f ll 4 8 in the first week of April. With rates at historic lows, uncertainty remains as to how long these low rates will last. Increasing federal deficits due to massive government spending could weaken the dollar and prod inflation, which could send interest rates back up. 5.25% 5.16% 5.15% 5.12% 5.10% 5.07% 5.03% 5.01% 5.04% 4.96% 4.98% 4.85% 4.78% Average W kl Mortgage Rates A Weekly M t Rt 1/8/2 1/15/ 1/22/ 1/29/ 2/5/2 2/12/ 2/19/ 2/26/ 3/5/2 3/12/ 3/19/ 3/26/ 4/2/2 2009 2009 2009 2009 /2009 /2009 /2009 /2009 /2009 /2009 /2009 /2009 /2009 7 Source: Freddie Mac
  • 8. Affordability - % of Income The percentage of a median family’s income required to make mortgage payments on a median priced home Quality buyers are continuing to take advantage of stimulus incentives and favorable affordability conditions as evidenced by increasing sales last month. Exceptionally low home prices and mortgage rates continue to give them more buying power. According to NAR President Charles McMillan, “With the drop in interest rates, a median-income family can afford a home costing $20,000 more than a year ago for the same monthly mortgage payment.” 14% 20% 19% 19% 18% 19% 20% 23% 22% 18% 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Affordability as of February every year. Calculations assume a 20% down payment. 8 Source: National Association of Realtors
  • 9. Recent Government Action - Courtesy of Mike Walker 9 www.ShowMeTheKeys.com
  • 10. Government Teams Up with Investors to Purchase Toxic Assets The Treasury Department recently released the Public-Private Investment Program to ensure that lending continues to flow to households and businesses. This program is intended to mend the balance sheets of banks which are filled with toxic assets due to losses incurred during the housing market implosion. The government will come together with private investors to purchase the loans from the banks at discounted prices. The government and investors will only have to put up a fraction of what the assets sell for and the FDIC will insure lh t t f ti f h t th t ll f d th ill i the remainder. Investors and the government will own the assets as an investment in hopes of making money because they believe fear has driven prices below their actually worth. y If this initiative works, banks will have a greater ability to extend more new loans. Banks could have more flexibility in originating loans that the government typically does not guarantee, including loans greater than $729,000, also referred to as jumbo loans. Banks creating more new loans in the higher l f dt j bl Bk ti l i th hi h price points could ultimately translate into upper price home sales regaining momentum and the eventual return of a healthy housing market. 10 Source: Washington Post, ustreasury.gov
  • 11. The Federal Reserve Pulls Out the Stops to Get the Housing Market Back on Track The Fed illustrated that, even with the federal funds rate nearly at zero, it still has more tricks to pull out of its hat by taking unprecedented steps toward supporting mortgage lending and the housing market. Along with purchasing $300 pp g gg g g g p g billion in Treasury securities, the Fed promised an additional $750 billion on top of the $500 billion it has already committed to purchasing mortgage-backed securities. When the Fed first announced that they would purchase these securities a few months ago, interest rates fell by 1%. After the most recent announcement, rates fell b f ll by nearly a quarter of a percent from 5.03% on March 12 to 4.78% on April 2. l t f tf 5 03% Mh t 4 78% A il 2 Some banks are extending loans at around 4.5%. Estimated Payment on a $200,000 Mortgage Interest Monthly Rate Payment 8.5% $, $1,538 6.5% $1,264 4.5% $1,013 Monthly Payment = Principal and Interest Portion Only 11
  • 12. Banks Permanently Banned from Practicing Real Estate In 2001, the Federal Reserve Board and the U.S. Treasury Department issued a proposed regulation to allow national bank holding companies and financial subsidiaries to engage in real estate brokerage and management. Since this presented a clear conflict of interest, annual bills were passed to prevent banks from doing so On March 11, President Obama signed into law the Omnibus so. 11 Appropriations Act that permanently bars banks from entering the real estate brokerage business. This act is notable because banks in the real estate business could create an uncompetitive environment that is ultimately against consumer interests, since bank employees would not have the same fiduciary relationship with consumers that independent real estate professionals have. p p 12 Source: Realtor Magazine
  • 13. New Website to Help Struggling Homeowners The U.S. government recently unveiled a consumer website to inform struggling homeowners of the types of government resources available to them. On this site, them site homeowners can find the answers to their questions about loan modification and refinancing programs such as: • Where do I go to get help? • Do I qualify? • What lenders are participating? • When can I apply? • Why does my loan servicer have to ask if they can modify my loan? • How do I know if refinancing will improve my ability to stay in my home? g p y y y y Find all this information and more at www.MakingHomeAffordable.gov 13 Source: MakingHomeAffordable.gov
  • 14. Research for Buyers and Sellers - Courtesy of Mike Walker 14 www.ShowMeTheKeys.com
  • 15. Low Down Payment Loans from FHA Buyers: First-time home buyers can take advantage of FHA loans that require down payments as low as 3.5%. These loans can be a great way for first-time 3 5% first time buyers with good, steady jobs but not a lot of cash on hand to take advantage of the numerous advantages of this buyer’s market including record-breaking affordability and an $8,000 tax credit. $8 000 credit FHA loans can be a good option for buyers purchasing their first home, especially for those who have a small down payment or that have less-than-perfect credit. credit Lenders usually offer these loans at reasonably low interest rates because the U.S. government insures them against default. Most FHA borrowers opt for 30-year fixed rate mortgages although adjustable rate can also be a possibility. FHA also offers 203(k) loans that can include the costs of repairs for “fixer- () p uppers” with the mortgage. For more information, check out www.hud.gov/fha/loans.cfm 15 Source: HUD.gov
  • 16. Claim Tax Credit on 2008 Tax Return Buyers: Buyers who qualify f the fi B h lif for h first-time home buyer tax credit that have ih b di h h already filed their tax returns can still claim their tax credit this year. They will need to file a 1040x form to amend their 2008 tax return and form 5405 to claim the credit credit. For more information on your other filing options, visit http://www.irs.gov/newsroom/article/0,,id=205416,00.html htt // i / / ti l /0 id 205416 00 ht l 16 Source: IRS
  • 17. 5 Common First-Time Home Buyer Mistakes Buyers: 1. They don’t ask enough questions of their lender and end up missing out on the best deal. 2. They don’t act quickly enough to make a decision and someone else buys the house. 3. 3 They don’t find the right agent who’s willing to help them through the don t who s home-buying process. 4. They don’t do enough to make their offer look appealing to a seller. 5. They don’t think b t 5 Th d ’t thi k about resale b fl before th b they buy. Th average first-time The fi t ti buyer only stays in a home for four years. Reprinted from REALTOR® Magazine Online (http://www.realtor.org/realtormag) with permission 17 of the NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®. Copyright 2009. All rights reserved.
  • 18. Buying Your First Home Buyers: Your First Home: The Proven Path to Home Ownership is a great resource for first-time home buyers. This educational resource is a must-read for anyone aspiring to buy a home home. Drawn from the real-life experiences of hundreds of thousands of first-time home buyers, Your First Home provides proven, practical guidance on how to hire a great real estate agent, determine what you can afford to buy, secure the best financing, agent buy financing recognize the right home for you, craft a winning offer and negotiate with sellers, spot serious issues at inspection, and close on your new home and maintain it. This easy-to-read book is available for purchase on Amazon. 18
  • 19. Does Moving Up Make Sense? Sellers: These questions will help you decide whether you’re ready for a home that’s larger or in a more desirable location. If you answer yes to most of the questions, it’s a sign that you may be ready to move. 1. Has your income or financial situation improved? If you’re making more money, you re money you may be able to afford higher mortgage payments and cover the costs of moving. 2. Are interest rates attractive? A low rate not only helps you buy a larger home, but also makes it easier to find a buyer. 3. Are there reasons why you can’t remodel or add on? S 3 A th h ’t dl dd ? Sometimes you can create a i bigger home by adding a new room or building up. But if your property isn’t large enough, your municipality doesn’t allow it, or you’re simply not interested in remodeling, then moving to a bigger home may be your best option. 4. Have you outgrown your neighborhood? The neighborhood you pick for your first home might not be the same neighborhood you want to settle down in for good. For example, you may have realized that you’d like to be closer to your job or live in a better school district. 5. Have you built substantial equity in your current home? Look at your annual mortgage statement or call your lender to find out. Usually, you don’t build up much equity in the first few years of your mortgage, as monthly payments are mostly interest, interest but if you ve owned your home for five or more years, you may have you’ve years significant, unrealized gains. Reprinted from REALTOR® Magazine Online (http://www.realtor.org/realtormag) with permission 19 of the NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®. Copyright 2009. All rights reserved.
  • 20. 12 Tips for Hiring a Remodeling Contractor Sellers: 1. Get at least three written estimates. 2. Check references. If possible, view earlier jobs the contractor completed. 3. Check with the local chamber of commerce or Better Business Bureau for complaints. p 4. Be sure the contract states exactly what is to be done and how change orders will be handled. 5. Make as small of a down payment as possible so you won’t lose a lot if the contractor fails to complete the job. 6. 6 Be B sure th t the contractor has the necessary permits, li that th t t h th it licenses, and i d insurance. 7. Check that the contract states when the work will be completed and what recourse you have if it isn’t. Also, remember that in many instances you can cancel a contract within three business days of signing it. 8. Ask if the contractor’s workers will do the entire job or whether subcontractors will be involved too. 9. Get the contractor to indemnify you if work does not meet any local building codes or regulations. g 10. Be sure that the contract specifies the contractor will clean up after the job and be responsible for any damage. 11. Guarantee that the materials that will be used meet your specifications. 12. Don’t make the final payment until you’re satisfied with the work. kh il ih h k Reprinted from REALTOR® Magazine Online (http://www.realtor.org/realtormag) with permission 20 of the NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®. Copyright 2009. All rights reserved.
  • 21. Five Cost-Effective Ways to Attract Buyers Sellers: 1. Think Green. Better insulation, replacing old windows, and caulking can increase the energy efficiency of the home and can be attractive to buyers. buyers 2. Add Molding. Crown molding, wider baseboards, and framing doors and widows can be delightful in any home. 3. Paint Finishes. Faux finishes and accented walls can help y p your home stand out. Don’t get carried away; pick the color and texture wisely, keeping in mind that you are trying to make your home universally appealing. 4. Upgrade Floors. Dirty or old flooring can turn buyers away. Consider new carpet, tile, or wood. Refinishing existing flooring or professionally il d fi i hi i i fl i f i ll shampooing carpets can bring them back to life. 5. Outdoor Upgrades. A deck, or even a summer kitchen at certain price points, can add value to your home The worth of different outdoor amenities varies home. from place to place, so be sure to get a professional opinion from your local agent before taking on a big project. 21 Source: Realty Times
  • 22. Tips to Prevent Common Seller Mistakes Sellers: 1. Price Your Home Right. If you either need to sell or would like to sell your home, pricing at current market value is key. Researching prices that comparable homes recently sold for is a crucial component to determining a p y p g price that will make the home sell. If you don’t need to move, consider waiting for the market to improve. 2. Consider a Presale Inspection. This will accomplish two goals. First of all, it will let you know the potential problems that need to be fixed, and secondly, buyers can make offers that takes those items into consideration up front rather than renegotiating concessions later. 3. Ensure Qualifications. Before entering into a contract, ask the buyer to disclose the name of the lender with the prequalification letter. Make sure underwriting approval happens shortly after accepting the offer by writing this into the contract. h h tl ft ti th ff b iti thi i t th tt 4. Consider All Offers. Refusing to entertain an offer from a qualified buyer can be a big mistake for sellers in this market. Wait until the offer has been negotiated to refuse it. 5. Accept Backup Offers. Consider a backup offer in case the primary one falls through. p p p p y g Also take into consideration that a lower offer with a larger down payment can be a more solid deal than a higher price with less money down. 6. Choose the Right Agent. Solid negotiation and communication skills combined with local area expertise can help sellers to get the most out of their experience. experience 22 Source: Inman News
  • 23. Your Local Market Although it is important to stay informed about what is going on in the national economy and housing market, many different factors impact the real estate market in your area. Talk to your Keller Williams agent for assistance interpreting the conditions in y p g your local market. Keller Williams agents are equipped with all the knowledge and information to g q pp g help navigate you though the process of buying or selling a home in this challenging market. 23
  • 24. About Keller Williams Realty Founded in 1983, Keller Williams Realty, Inc., is an international real estate company with more than 74,175 associates and 693 offices located across the United St t U it d States and C d Th company began franchising in 1991, and d Canada. The b f hi i i 1991 d following years of phenomenal growth and success, became the third-largest U.S. residential real estate firm in 2009. The Th company has succeeded by treating its associates as partners and shares its h d d b t ti it it t dh it knowledge, policy control, and company profits on a system wide basis. Focusing on helping associates realize their fullest potential, Keller Williams Realty kno n Realt is known as an industry leader in its famil c lt re unmatched education, ind str family culture, nmatched ed cation profit sharing business model, phenomenal coaching program, and technology offerings. Keller Williams Realty provides associates with all the tools needed to grow and thrive in today s market today’s market. - Courtesy of Mike Walker y -www.ShowMeTheKeys.com 330-571-2020 24