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Mindanao Microfinance Council 4th Microfinance Best Practices Forum     AGRI-BUSINESS VALUE CHAINS  AND MICROFINANCE CHALLENGES AND OPPORTUNITIES Rolando T. Dy, Ph. D. Executive Director,  Center for Food and Agri Business ( Former Dean,  School of Management) Fellow,  Filipino Integritas Development Institute UNIVERSITY OF ASIA AND THE PACIFIC June 9, 2011 Cebu City
OUTLINE ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
AGRI-FISHERY LANDSCAPE ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
WHY IS AGRICULTURE STRATEGIC FOR SOCIAL STABILITY AND BUSINESS? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
THE AGRICULTURE FISHERY CONSTITUENCY ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
THE AGRICULTURE FISHERY CONSTITUENCY Source: NSO 3.5 226,195 Aquaculture 25.1 1,614,368 TOTAL FISHERY 21.3 1,371,676 Small Fishers 0.3 16,497 Commercial fishers 20.6 2,160,875 1,323,994 Others 74.9 9,670,793 4,822,739 TOTAL AGRI 1.0 362,877 67,490 Sugarcane 10.6 1,364.438 679,183 Corn 21.0 2,467,164 1,351,678 Rice 21.7 3,325,449 1,400,394 Coconut Share to Total Farmers and Fishers, % Physical Area (ha) No of Farmers and Fishers Commodity
[object Object],SOURCE:  New Industrial Development Program (NIDP) – MADE IN AUSTRALIA, Number 1, Series 3, AFFA (2003).  PROCESSORS INPUT  SUPPLIERS GROWERS/ PRODUCERS CONSUMERS DISTRIBUTORS RETAILERS Seed supplier Breeder Researcher Propagator, etc . Abbatoir Cannery Mill, etc. Farmer Grower Grazier Pastoralist Wholesaler Importer Exporter Transport company, etc . You and me Restaurant Supermarket Hotel, etc.
COMPETITIVENESS ,[object Object],[object Object]
RICE
BENCHMARKING RICE, 2010 Phil has no competitive advantage * Figure in parenthesis are imports Source:  FAO Data 2009l  USDA Data 2010/11 Estimates Mekong 6.0 25.0 7.44 5.23 Vietnam 10.0 1.2 (1.0) (1.8) (1.9) Export*  M tons 2010/11 Chao Phraya 20.4 10.96 2.87 Thailand 5.02 1.6 37.5 10.4 Milled rice production M tons  2010/11 Mekong 2.68 2.84 Cambodia Various 0.67 3.73 Malaysia Various 12.88 5.00 Indonesia Various 4.53 3.59 Philippines Key Water  Source Harvest area (M ha)* Ave yield palay ton/ha* Country
PALAY CHAIN GAPS Low mill recovery (ave: 60%); old mills Cost-effective, farm-based dryers Water management Farm mechanization Quality seeds use Fertilizer use Inputs, Production, PH FMR quality Irrigation O&M FMR quality Irrigation maintenance Infra Others POST HARVEST LOGISTICS LOGISTICS Preference for well-milled rice vs. brown rice leads to low recovery (10%) and  poor nutrition MARKET MILLING Extension services PRODUCTION Credit INPUT GAPS CHAIN
CORN
BENCHMARKING CORN, 2009 Trailing badly… Source: FAO  *2008 670 12 4.4 4.0 Vietnam 4,231 252 163.1 5.4 China 673 nil 107 nil Export* (‘000 tons) 2,100 nil 5.6 Malaysia 434 286 100 Import* (‘000 tons) 4.6 4.2 Thailand 17.6 7.0 Production  ( M tons) 4.2 Indonesia 2.6 Philippines Ave Yield (ton/ha) Country
CORN CHAIN GAPS Others Infra Inputs/Production/PH Cost effective dryers Yield Mechanization Quality seed  adoption  Fertilizer use FMR quality FMR quality POST HARVEST MARKET LOGISTICS High share of low yield white corn, extension PRODUCTION LOGISTICS Credit INPUT GAPS CHAIN
COCONUT
OIL PALM:  OLD AND NEW PLANTINGS
BENCHMARKING COCONUT AND OIL PALM   Phil lags behind… CNO = crude coconut oil; CPO = crude palm oil Source:  FAO 2008  ** at  20% recovery from Fruit bunches nil nil 10.9 1.9 5.6 India nil 0.4 1.9 0.5 20.0 Thailand Nil 0.65 19.5 3.0 6.6 Indonesia nil nil 2.2 0.4 5.6 Sri Lanka (0.3) nil 0.06 0.022 13.0 Philippines Nil 14.3 17.0 5.0 17.0 Indonesia (0.7) 14.1 16.6 3.9 21.2 Malaysia Coconut: 0.84 Export (M tons)* CNO/CPO Oil Palm: Nil Import (M tons)* CNO/CPO 15.3 Production (M tons)**  CNO/CPO 3.4 4.5 Philippines Harvested Area (M ha) Average Yield (ton/ha) Country
COCONUT CHAIN GAPS Others Infra Inputs, Production, PH Low yield Limited replanting Fertilization,  seed nut supply MARKET MILLING LOGISTICS PRODUCTION LOGISTICS INPUT CHAIN FMR quality FMR quality Losing market share 60% capacity utilization due to low production Unorganized producers Senile trees Lack of strategic focus (coco levy recovery syndrome) Poor genetics in  95% of 300 million trees GAP
BANANA flbg.org
BENCHMARKING BANANA, 2009 Phil stands tall among peers! (e) Author’s estimate Source: FAO  Author’s estimate for Phl * export in 2008 1,696 2,020 74 27 Colombia 2,052 5,271 1,907 Export (‘000 tons) * 2,127 7,637 2,600 Production (‘000 tons) 43 50 Costa Rica 216 35 Ecuador 65 40 Philippines (e) Harvested Area (‘000 ha) Ave. Yield (ton/ha) Country
CAVENDISH BANANA (Globally Competitive) World class management Tissue-cultured clones Input, Prod, PH Built to specs Drip and micro-sprinkler irrigation Infra Others Refrigerated ships, or containers MARKET Cold chain; pier-side cold storage LOGISTICS PACKING HOUSE Cableways LOGISTICS PRODUCTION LOGISTICS INPUT STRENGTHS (NOT GAPS) CHAIN
RUBBER treepicturesonline.com
BENCHMARKING RUBBER Trailing…. e = Author’s estimate Notes: Concentrated latex export converted to drc at 60% recovery ** Large areas under senile trees  for future conversion into oil palm. Source: FAO * 2008  195 660 632 1,044 Vietnam* 898 2,292 2,498 34 Export 2008 drc ‘ 000 tons 857 2,922 3,090 70 Production (000 tons) 1,237 693 Malaysia** 2,898 1,008 Indonesia* 1,856 1,665 Thailand 100 700 Philippines (e) Harvested Area  (‘000 ha) Average Yield (kg drc/ha) Country
RUBBER CHAIN GAPS Low capacity utilization Low quality products Low yield  Limited replanting RRIM 600 (Good clone but “getting old”) Input, Prod,PH FMR quality Infra Others Large global market, low export MARKET LOGISTICS PROCESSING LOGISTICS Lack of long-term financing PRODUCTION LOGISTICS Supply of root stocks INPUT GAPS CHAIN
CROP HARVEST CYCLE *Plant crop  ** Ratoon Every 10-14 days 3 years Oil palm 18 months** 18 months * Pineapple 5-6 years 24 months 12 months 6 years –tall 3 years - dwarf 4 months 4 months FROM PLANTING TO FIRST HARVEST 12 months Coffee Every two days Rubber 12 months Sugarcane 2  to 3 months Coconut - Corn - Rice REGULAR HARVEST PRODUCT
CROP HARVEST CYCLE 2 to 3 days 70 day ,[object Object],65-70 days 90 days? 75 days 48 days 75 days FROM PLANTING TO FIRST HARVEST CHOPSUEY TYPE PINAKBET TYPE 45 days Tomato - ,[object Object],- ,[object Object],- ,[object Object],- ,[object Object],HARVEST PERIOD after PRODUCT
LIVESTOCK AND POULTRY HARVEST CYCLE Almost every day ~20 weeks Chicken eggs 120 days 120 days Hog fattening 32-35 days 32-35 days Chicken broiler REGULAR HARVEST  DAYS TO FIRST HARVEST PRODUCT
FISHERY HARVEST CYCLE 60 days Seaweeds 4 months Bangus cage culture 4 months Tilapia cage culture PERIOD TO HARVEST  PRODUCT
MICROFINANCE ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Difference of MICROFINANCE with MICROCREDIT ,[object Object],[object Object]
MICROFINANCE CLIENTS ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
CHALLENGES  OF SMALL FARM CREDIT ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],-  Jansen, Anicca (USAID)
AGRICULTURE  CREDIT  AND MICROCREDIT  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
CHALLENGES  FOR SMALL ORGS High rate of  non-performing loans? Risks Leader uses his own resources, or…. Leadership Difficulty in collecting dues Organization Small, fragmented, dispersed farms Scale Why? Challenge
[object Object],SOURCE:  New Industrial Development Program (NIDP) – MADE IN AUSTRALIA, Number 1, Series 3, AFFA (2003).  PROCESSORS INPUT  SUPPLIERS GROWERS/ PRODUCERS CONSUMERS DISTRIBUTORS RETAILERS Seed supplier Breeder Researcher Propagator, etc . Abbatoir Cannery Mill, etc. Farmer Grower Grazier Pastoralist Wholesaler Importer Exporter Transport company, etc . You and me Restaurant Supermarket Hotel, etc.
IS THERE A WINDOW  IN THE CHAIN? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
IS THERE A WINDOW  IN THE CHAIN? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
FOOD FOR THOUGHT ,[object Object],[object Object],- Paraphrasing The McKinsey Quarterly 2007
REFERENCES ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

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Supply Chain and Microfinance by Dr. Rolando Dy

  • 1. Mindanao Microfinance Council 4th Microfinance Best Practices Forum AGRI-BUSINESS VALUE CHAINS AND MICROFINANCE CHALLENGES AND OPPORTUNITIES Rolando T. Dy, Ph. D. Executive Director, Center for Food and Agri Business ( Former Dean, School of Management) Fellow, Filipino Integritas Development Institute UNIVERSITY OF ASIA AND THE PACIFIC June 9, 2011 Cebu City
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  • 6. THE AGRICULTURE FISHERY CONSTITUENCY Source: NSO 3.5 226,195 Aquaculture 25.1 1,614,368 TOTAL FISHERY 21.3 1,371,676 Small Fishers 0.3 16,497 Commercial fishers 20.6 2,160,875 1,323,994 Others 74.9 9,670,793 4,822,739 TOTAL AGRI 1.0 362,877 67,490 Sugarcane 10.6 1,364.438 679,183 Corn 21.0 2,467,164 1,351,678 Rice 21.7 3,325,449 1,400,394 Coconut Share to Total Farmers and Fishers, % Physical Area (ha) No of Farmers and Fishers Commodity
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  • 10. BENCHMARKING RICE, 2010 Phil has no competitive advantage * Figure in parenthesis are imports Source: FAO Data 2009l USDA Data 2010/11 Estimates Mekong 6.0 25.0 7.44 5.23 Vietnam 10.0 1.2 (1.0) (1.8) (1.9) Export* M tons 2010/11 Chao Phraya 20.4 10.96 2.87 Thailand 5.02 1.6 37.5 10.4 Milled rice production M tons 2010/11 Mekong 2.68 2.84 Cambodia Various 0.67 3.73 Malaysia Various 12.88 5.00 Indonesia Various 4.53 3.59 Philippines Key Water Source Harvest area (M ha)* Ave yield palay ton/ha* Country
  • 11. PALAY CHAIN GAPS Low mill recovery (ave: 60%); old mills Cost-effective, farm-based dryers Water management Farm mechanization Quality seeds use Fertilizer use Inputs, Production, PH FMR quality Irrigation O&M FMR quality Irrigation maintenance Infra Others POST HARVEST LOGISTICS LOGISTICS Preference for well-milled rice vs. brown rice leads to low recovery (10%) and poor nutrition MARKET MILLING Extension services PRODUCTION Credit INPUT GAPS CHAIN
  • 12. CORN
  • 13. BENCHMARKING CORN, 2009 Trailing badly… Source: FAO *2008 670 12 4.4 4.0 Vietnam 4,231 252 163.1 5.4 China 673 nil 107 nil Export* (‘000 tons) 2,100 nil 5.6 Malaysia 434 286 100 Import* (‘000 tons) 4.6 4.2 Thailand 17.6 7.0 Production ( M tons) 4.2 Indonesia 2.6 Philippines Ave Yield (ton/ha) Country
  • 14. CORN CHAIN GAPS Others Infra Inputs/Production/PH Cost effective dryers Yield Mechanization Quality seed adoption Fertilizer use FMR quality FMR quality POST HARVEST MARKET LOGISTICS High share of low yield white corn, extension PRODUCTION LOGISTICS Credit INPUT GAPS CHAIN
  • 16. OIL PALM: OLD AND NEW PLANTINGS
  • 17. BENCHMARKING COCONUT AND OIL PALM Phil lags behind… CNO = crude coconut oil; CPO = crude palm oil Source: FAO 2008 ** at 20% recovery from Fruit bunches nil nil 10.9 1.9 5.6 India nil 0.4 1.9 0.5 20.0 Thailand Nil 0.65 19.5 3.0 6.6 Indonesia nil nil 2.2 0.4 5.6 Sri Lanka (0.3) nil 0.06 0.022 13.0 Philippines Nil 14.3 17.0 5.0 17.0 Indonesia (0.7) 14.1 16.6 3.9 21.2 Malaysia Coconut: 0.84 Export (M tons)* CNO/CPO Oil Palm: Nil Import (M tons)* CNO/CPO 15.3 Production (M tons)** CNO/CPO 3.4 4.5 Philippines Harvested Area (M ha) Average Yield (ton/ha) Country
  • 18. COCONUT CHAIN GAPS Others Infra Inputs, Production, PH Low yield Limited replanting Fertilization, seed nut supply MARKET MILLING LOGISTICS PRODUCTION LOGISTICS INPUT CHAIN FMR quality FMR quality Losing market share 60% capacity utilization due to low production Unorganized producers Senile trees Lack of strategic focus (coco levy recovery syndrome) Poor genetics in 95% of 300 million trees GAP
  • 20. BENCHMARKING BANANA, 2009 Phil stands tall among peers! (e) Author’s estimate Source: FAO Author’s estimate for Phl * export in 2008 1,696 2,020 74 27 Colombia 2,052 5,271 1,907 Export (‘000 tons) * 2,127 7,637 2,600 Production (‘000 tons) 43 50 Costa Rica 216 35 Ecuador 65 40 Philippines (e) Harvested Area (‘000 ha) Ave. Yield (ton/ha) Country
  • 21. CAVENDISH BANANA (Globally Competitive) World class management Tissue-cultured clones Input, Prod, PH Built to specs Drip and micro-sprinkler irrigation Infra Others Refrigerated ships, or containers MARKET Cold chain; pier-side cold storage LOGISTICS PACKING HOUSE Cableways LOGISTICS PRODUCTION LOGISTICS INPUT STRENGTHS (NOT GAPS) CHAIN
  • 23. BENCHMARKING RUBBER Trailing…. e = Author’s estimate Notes: Concentrated latex export converted to drc at 60% recovery ** Large areas under senile trees for future conversion into oil palm. Source: FAO * 2008 195 660 632 1,044 Vietnam* 898 2,292 2,498 34 Export 2008 drc ‘ 000 tons 857 2,922 3,090 70 Production (000 tons) 1,237 693 Malaysia** 2,898 1,008 Indonesia* 1,856 1,665 Thailand 100 700 Philippines (e) Harvested Area (‘000 ha) Average Yield (kg drc/ha) Country
  • 24. RUBBER CHAIN GAPS Low capacity utilization Low quality products Low yield Limited replanting RRIM 600 (Good clone but “getting old”) Input, Prod,PH FMR quality Infra Others Large global market, low export MARKET LOGISTICS PROCESSING LOGISTICS Lack of long-term financing PRODUCTION LOGISTICS Supply of root stocks INPUT GAPS CHAIN
  • 25. CROP HARVEST CYCLE *Plant crop ** Ratoon Every 10-14 days 3 years Oil palm 18 months** 18 months * Pineapple 5-6 years 24 months 12 months 6 years –tall 3 years - dwarf 4 months 4 months FROM PLANTING TO FIRST HARVEST 12 months Coffee Every two days Rubber 12 months Sugarcane 2 to 3 months Coconut - Corn - Rice REGULAR HARVEST PRODUCT
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  • 27. LIVESTOCK AND POULTRY HARVEST CYCLE Almost every day ~20 weeks Chicken eggs 120 days 120 days Hog fattening 32-35 days 32-35 days Chicken broiler REGULAR HARVEST DAYS TO FIRST HARVEST PRODUCT
  • 28. FISHERY HARVEST CYCLE 60 days Seaweeds 4 months Bangus cage culture 4 months Tilapia cage culture PERIOD TO HARVEST PRODUCT
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  • 34. CHALLENGES FOR SMALL ORGS High rate of non-performing loans? Risks Leader uses his own resources, or…. Leadership Difficulty in collecting dues Organization Small, fragmented, dispersed farms Scale Why? Challenge
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