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New venture knowledge appropriation and
      sustainability of regional entrepreneurial activity




        Mike Provance, Ph.D.
        Old Dominion University

        Elias Carayannis, Ph.D.
        George Washington University


        9 August 2010 · AoM · Montreal


© Mike Provance and Elias Carayannis, 2010
New ventures and regional sustainability                           INTRODUCTION


                How does knowledge appropriation influence the
                level of sustained new venture formation in a
                region?

                Knowledge perspective on entrepreneurship
                  ·∙    Knowledge spillover : agglomeration economies
                               –  Klepper and Sleeper, 2005; Krugman, 1991; Ács and
                                  Varga, 2005
                  ·∙    Overcoming localized spillover : social capital
                               –  Almeida and Kogut, 1999; Rosenkopf and Almeida,
                                  2003, Saxenian, 1994
                  ·∙    Absorptive capacity in new venture formation
                               –  McKelvie, Wiklund, and Short, 2007; Todorova and
                                  Durisin, 2008
                  ·∙    Heterogeneous systems of knowledge flow
                               –  Carayannis and Campbell, 2007; Santarelli and
                                  Vivarelli, 2004
                  ·∙    Leads to regional sustainability of entrepreneurial activity
                               –  Carayannis, 2009                                   2
New ventures and regional sustainability                                      INTRODUCTION



  Focus on the sustainability of entrepreneurship in regions




                                            FORMATION
                                            THRESHOLD




                          A	
                                         B	
  
    ·∙  Entrepreneurship historically a vehicle for economic recovery in
        down markets
    ·∙  Permanent shift in labor base of many cities in U.S. and abroad
        (Canada, Europe, Japan)
            –  Santarelli and Vivarelli, 2004
    ·∙  Entrepreneurial system of activity
            –  Carayannis, 2009; Krueger, Reilly, and Carsrud, 2000
                                                                                       3
New ventures and regional sustainability       SIMULATION DESIGN




                                       (0) Founder commitment and
                                           new venture creation
                                       (1) Capability generation
                                       (2) New venture transition to
                                           incumbent firm
                                       (3) Incumbent firm product
                                            innovation
                                       (4) Product innovation adoption
                                       (5) Buyer resolution
                                       (6) Institutional knowledge
                                            mediation

                                                                     4
New ventures and regional sustainability                SIMULATION STAGE 1


  Design specification of Stage 1
   ·∙  Six configurations of 20x20 LP torus landscape
   ·∙  Four runs of each configuration – >1,000,000 observations
   ·∙  ANOVA with Bonferroni procedure identified two focal configurations
       for further analysis




                                                                        5
New ventures and regional sustainability    SIMULATION DESIGN



                    S TA G E 1 !




                                     S TA G E 2 !

                                                          6
New ventures and regional sustainability                                                             STAGE 1 RESULTS


           0   1   2   3   4   5   6   7   8   9   10   11   12   13   14   15   16   17   18   19
       0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   1    0    0    0    0    0    0    1    0    1    0
       1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0
       2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0    0    0    0    0    0    1    1    1    0    0
       3   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0    0    0    0    1    1    0    0    0    0    0
       4   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0    0    0    0    0    1    0    0    0    0    0
       5   1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0    0    0    1    0    0    0    0    0    0    0
       6   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0    0    0    1    0    0    0    1    0    1    0
       7   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0    1    0    0    0    0    0    1    0    0    0
       8   0   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0    0    0    1    0    0    0    0    0    0    1
       9   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0    0    0    0    1    0    0    0    0    1    0
      10   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0    1    0    0    0    1    0    0    0    0    0
      11   0   1   0   1   0   0   1   0   0   0    0    0    1    0    0    1    0    0    0    0
      12   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0    0    0    0    0    1    0    0    0    0    0
      13   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0    1    0    0    0    1    1    0    0    1    0
      14   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0    0    0    0    0    0    1    1    1    1    0
      15   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0    0    0    1    0    0    1    1    0    0    0
      16   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0    1    0    0    1    0    0    0    0    1    0
      17   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   1   0   1    0    0    1    0    1    0    1    1    0    0
      18   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0   0    0    0    1    0    0    0    1    1    0    0
      19   0   0   0   1   0   0   1   0   1   0    1    0    1    0    1    0    0    0    0    0


           Spatial distribution of new ventures in Configuration B
                                                                                                                 7
New ventures and regional sustainability   STAGE 1 RESULTS




                                                       8
New ventures and regional sustainability   STAGE 1 RESULTS




                                                       9
New ventures and regional sustainability   STAGE 1 RESULTS




                                                      10
New ventures and regional sustainability                                                                    STAGE 1 RESULTS

                        Results of Tobit Regression Analysis for Conditional Probability of New Venture Formation

                                                               CONFIGURATION A                              CONFIGURATION B

                       Variable                           1               2           3                4               5           6

  P [serendipity for knowledge transformation]      0.018**       0.013**     0.010            0.010           0.011*      0.008

  Network size                                      -0.127***     -0.265***                    -0.125***       -0.268***

  Network density                                   0.081***      -0.288*                      0.051**         -0.107

  Network size2                                                   0.023***                                     0.023***

  Network density2                                                0.311**                                      0.128

  Netw. size of new ventures normalized for age                               -0.207***                                    -0.235***

  Netw. size of new ventures, normalized for age2                             0.024***                                     0.031***


  Number of left-censored observations              664           664         664              667             667         667

  Number of uncensored observation                  936           936         936              933             933         933

  Number of right-censored observations             0             0           0                0               0           0

  Pseudo R2                                         19.970       26.308       14.760               17.445      23.748      13.527

  LR Chi2                                           1,488.19     1,960.36     1,100.19             1,460.36    1,987.96    1,132.35



  * p < 0.10, ** p<0.05, *** p < 0.005

                                                                                                                                 11
New ventures and regional sustainability                 SIMULATION STAGE 2


  Design specification of Stage 2
   ·∙    Introduces institutional knowledge mediation
   ·∙    Three configurations of 20x20 LP torus landscape
   ·∙    Three runs of each configuration – >150,000 observations
   ·∙    Stability of results across location and configuration




                                                                       12
New ventures and regional sustainability   STAGE 2 RESULTS




Cumulative # of!
New Ventures!




                                           Prob [New!
                                           Venture !
                                           Formation]!
                                                      13
New ventures and regional sustainability   STAGE 2 RESULTS




                                                      14
New ventures and regional sustainability                           WHAT DID WE LEARN?


  Initial conclusions
    ·∙  Formal knowledge acquisition more influential (in unexpected ways)
            –  Smaller, denser networks
            –  Network building is a cost before it generates returns

    ·∙  Knowledge diversity leads to localization

    ·∙  Regional entrepreneurial support can’t build networks for
        entrepreneurs – other way around

    ·∙  Institutions may aid or constrain regional sustainability – depending
        on mission
            –  Knowledge variation inducing  increases probability of formation
            –  Know. standardizing and producing  decreases probability


                                                                                   15
THANK YOU.




             16

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New venture knowledge and regional entrepreneurship sustainability

  • 1. New venture knowledge appropriation and sustainability of regional entrepreneurial activity Mike Provance, Ph.D. Old Dominion University Elias Carayannis, Ph.D. George Washington University 9 August 2010 · AoM · Montreal © Mike Provance and Elias Carayannis, 2010
  • 2. New ventures and regional sustainability INTRODUCTION How does knowledge appropriation influence the level of sustained new venture formation in a region? Knowledge perspective on entrepreneurship ·∙  Knowledge spillover : agglomeration economies –  Klepper and Sleeper, 2005; Krugman, 1991; Ács and Varga, 2005 ·∙  Overcoming localized spillover : social capital –  Almeida and Kogut, 1999; Rosenkopf and Almeida, 2003, Saxenian, 1994 ·∙  Absorptive capacity in new venture formation –  McKelvie, Wiklund, and Short, 2007; Todorova and Durisin, 2008 ·∙  Heterogeneous systems of knowledge flow –  Carayannis and Campbell, 2007; Santarelli and Vivarelli, 2004 ·∙  Leads to regional sustainability of entrepreneurial activity –  Carayannis, 2009 2
  • 3. New ventures and regional sustainability INTRODUCTION Focus on the sustainability of entrepreneurship in regions FORMATION THRESHOLD A   B   ·∙  Entrepreneurship historically a vehicle for economic recovery in down markets ·∙  Permanent shift in labor base of many cities in U.S. and abroad (Canada, Europe, Japan) –  Santarelli and Vivarelli, 2004 ·∙  Entrepreneurial system of activity –  Carayannis, 2009; Krueger, Reilly, and Carsrud, 2000 3
  • 4. New ventures and regional sustainability SIMULATION DESIGN (0) Founder commitment and new venture creation (1) Capability generation (2) New venture transition to incumbent firm (3) Incumbent firm product innovation (4) Product innovation adoption (5) Buyer resolution (6) Institutional knowledge mediation 4
  • 5. New ventures and regional sustainability SIMULATION STAGE 1 Design specification of Stage 1 ·∙  Six configurations of 20x20 LP torus landscape ·∙  Four runs of each configuration – >1,000,000 observations ·∙  ANOVA with Bonferroni procedure identified two focal configurations for further analysis 5
  • 6. New ventures and regional sustainability SIMULATION DESIGN S TA G E 1 ! S TA G E 2 ! 6
  • 7. New ventures and regional sustainability STAGE 1 RESULTS 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 3 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 5 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 7 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 8 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 10 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 11 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 12 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 13 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 14 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 0 15 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 16 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 17 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 0 18 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 19 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 Spatial distribution of new ventures in Configuration B 7
  • 8. New ventures and regional sustainability STAGE 1 RESULTS 8
  • 9. New ventures and regional sustainability STAGE 1 RESULTS 9
  • 10. New ventures and regional sustainability STAGE 1 RESULTS 10
  • 11. New ventures and regional sustainability STAGE 1 RESULTS Results of Tobit Regression Analysis for Conditional Probability of New Venture Formation CONFIGURATION A CONFIGURATION B Variable 1 2 3 4 5 6 P [serendipity for knowledge transformation] 0.018** 0.013** 0.010 0.010 0.011* 0.008 Network size -0.127*** -0.265*** -0.125*** -0.268*** Network density 0.081*** -0.288* 0.051** -0.107 Network size2 0.023*** 0.023*** Network density2 0.311** 0.128 Netw. size of new ventures normalized for age -0.207*** -0.235*** Netw. size of new ventures, normalized for age2 0.024*** 0.031*** Number of left-censored observations 664 664 664 667 667 667 Number of uncensored observation 936 936 936 933 933 933 Number of right-censored observations 0 0 0 0 0 0 Pseudo R2 19.970 26.308 14.760 17.445 23.748 13.527 LR Chi2 1,488.19 1,960.36 1,100.19 1,460.36 1,987.96 1,132.35 * p < 0.10, ** p<0.05, *** p < 0.005 11
  • 12. New ventures and regional sustainability SIMULATION STAGE 2 Design specification of Stage 2 ·∙  Introduces institutional knowledge mediation ·∙  Three configurations of 20x20 LP torus landscape ·∙  Three runs of each configuration – >150,000 observations ·∙  Stability of results across location and configuration 12
  • 13. New ventures and regional sustainability STAGE 2 RESULTS Cumulative # of! New Ventures! Prob [New! Venture ! Formation]! 13
  • 14. New ventures and regional sustainability STAGE 2 RESULTS 14
  • 15. New ventures and regional sustainability WHAT DID WE LEARN? Initial conclusions ·∙  Formal knowledge acquisition more influential (in unexpected ways) –  Smaller, denser networks –  Network building is a cost before it generates returns ·∙  Knowledge diversity leads to localization ·∙  Regional entrepreneurial support can’t build networks for entrepreneurs – other way around ·∙  Institutions may aid or constrain regional sustainability – depending on mission –  Knowledge variation inducing  increases probability of formation –  Know. standardizing and producing  decreases probability 15