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Het potentieel van
zorgrobotica
Prof dr ir Bram Vanderborght
!
Robotics Research Group
Vrije Universiteit Brussel

2/5/14

!1
pag.
Ageing population

Change 1990 to 2009
1990

(1) Excluding French overseas departments.
(2) Data may be affected by the change of population definition in 2008.
(3) 2008 instead of 2009.

Source: Eurostat (demo_pjanind)

In 1990
In 2060
Persons 65+ à
13,7 %
Persons
Figure 2.8: Population structure by major age groups, EU-27 (1) 65+ à
Persons 85+ à
Persons 85+ à
(% of total population)
3,1 %
3.1

3.3

4.5

12.3

12.7

14.4

increase with 250% k
increase with 400% k

6.9

8.9

11.0

12.1

16.6

18.0

17.8

17.8

75

50

à
à

5.7

10.6

100

30%
12%

66.8

67.2

67.2

64.6

61.9

59.2

57.1

56.0

25
19.5

17.2

15.6

15.4

14.5

14.0

14.1

14.0

1990

2000

2009

2020

2030

2040

2050

2060

0

In 1990
67% of population
support population

80+ years
65-79 years
15-64 years
0-14 years

In 2060
Only 56% of population
support population

Working
(1) Excluding French overseas departments; 2020 to 2060 data are EUROPOP2008 convergence scenario.
Source: Eurostat (demo_pjanind and proj_08c2150p)

population shall
- Work harder
- Work more
To realize the same
Today 40 hout/week 

!2
à In 2060:2/5/14
50 hour/week pag.
Increasing life expectancy

In 1960
Life expectancy
Belgium
69,66 years
Av. EU
67,72 years

In 2008 (50 years later)
Life expectancy
Belgium
80,10 years
Av. EU
78,66 years

At age of 65
Belgium
13,52 years
Av. EU
13,99 years

At age of 65
Belgium
19,50 years
Av. EU
18,46 years

!

Source:	
  HEIDI	
  data	
  tool	
  EU-­‐Commission

!

For Belgium this is an increase of 18,2% over 50 years !
1/5 longer life!!!
2/5/14

!3
pag.
Increased need for assistance
The need for Personal Assistance
with everyday activities increases with age.

!

% of persons needing assistance with
everyday activities by age

Not only functional weakness, but mobility also affected by lower motor
skills due to stroke or neurological misfunction

2/5/14

!4
pag.
Increased health cost
For EU by 2050:

!

healthcare spending increase
with 25%

For Flanders by 2050 :

• will be confronted much
stronger
• its demographic pattern counts
more elderly people
• And Healthcare costs are
higher in comparison with
other EU countries

!

• Today = 11,1% of GDP
= 36,8 billion EUR
Source: EU White Paper “Together for Health: A Strategic Approach for the EU 2008-2013”.

Health is the
greatest
wealth!

!

• Increase of 25%
= 9,2 billion EUR/year

2/5/14

!5
pag.
?

2/5/14

!6
pag.
Robots are about to enter our daily life

Aibo
Justin

Claudia Mitchell
Roomba
2/5/14

!7
pag.
Disruptive technologies: Advances that will transform life,
business, and the global economy

Policy makers and societies need to prepare for
future technology. To do this well, they will need a
clear understanding of how technology might shape
the global economy and society over the coming
decades.

!

Since the Industrial Revolution, technology has had
a unique role in powering growth and transforming
economies.

!

The McKinsey Global Institute set out to identify
which of these technologies could have a massive
economically disruptive impact between now and
2025.

2/5/14

!8
pag.
Study Gartner
• 2013	
  Hype	
  Cycle	
  on	
  evolving	
  relationship	
   Combine	
  the	
  best	
  of	
  the	
  two	
  worlds	
  
Machines	
  
between	
  human	
  and	
  machine.	
  
• precision	
  
• repeatability	
  
• 3	
  trends:	
  
– Augmenting	
  humans	
  with	
  technology	
  
– Machines	
  replacing	
  humans	
  
– Humans	
  and	
  machines	
  working	
  alongside	
  each	
  
other

• 3D	
  jobs	
  
• …	
  	
  
Humans	
  
• creativity	
  
• problem	
  solving	
  	
  
• dexterity	
  	
  
• …	
  

!

Human	
  robot	
  interaction

2/5/14

!9
pag.
New technology required

2/5/14

!10
pag.
Gait rehabilitation

GAIT IMPAIRMENT
❑ Neurological disorders:

Stroke , SCI , MS, …

❑

Impact on individual: Quality-Of-Life

❑

Impact on society: Health Care

MOTOR
COMMAND

GAIT RECOVERY
❑ “Relearning to walk by walking”
MOTOR RECOVERY
Sensory input
❑

Neural plasticity

Effort
Intensity

2/5/14

!11
pag.
Gait rehabilitation

treadmill training with
body-weight support
❑ resource intensive
❑

❑

labour intensive
LOW POTENTIAL

2/5/14

!12
pag.
Rehabilitation exoskeletons

Knexo VUB

ALTACRO VUB

2/5/14

!13
pag.
Mirad assistive exoskeleton

2/5/14

!14
pag.
Prostheses

2/5/14

!15
pag.
AMPfoot 2.0

AMPfoot 2 VUB

2/5/14

!16
pag.
Cyberlegs

Cyberlegs VUB-SSSA

2/5/14

!17
pag.
Social human-robot interaction

Human has

to be central

Machine is

central
screen

menus

keyboard

mouse
WALL-E

speech	
  –	
  emotions	
  -­‐	
  gestures
2/5/14

!18
pag.
The	
  social	
  huggable	
  robot

-­‐Human-­‐robot	
  interaction	
  focused	
  
children	
  
-­‐Robot-­‐Assisted	
  therapy	
  
!
Abilities:	
  
-­‐Able	
  of	
  verbal	
  communication	
  
-­‐Directs	
  its	
  gaze	
  
-­‐Express	
  emotions/animations	
  
	
   à social	
  interface	
  
!
!
2/5/14

!19
pag.
Robot Assisted Therapy:
Autism Spectrum Disorders
!

‘Don’t underestimate persons with autism, try to understand’
‘Someone with ASDs is really like you, just more extreme’
!
•
•
•
•
•
•

widespread	
  abnormalities	
  of	
  

social	
  interactions	
  and	
  communication
restricted	
  interests
highly	
  repetitive	
  behavior
pervasive, spectrum manifestation
may vary in level of severity
life-time condition

	
  

	
  

!

	
  

	
  
	
  
	
  

specific individualized treatment (recommended 25 hours/week)
early and adapted interventions

	
  

2/5/14

!20
pag.
Why social robots might be useful for ASD
treatments?
1)
2)
3)
4)
5)
!

Safety
Simplicityàcomplexity
Predictability
Controlability
Interactivity	
  

	
  

	
  

High level of motivation and involvement in tasks

The robot = social mediator: 	
  

2/5/14

!21
pag.
Aim of Probo
Aim is not to replace therapists with robots, but to use the
strengths of the robots to:
•
•
•

	
  

facilitate and improve the therapy process
mediate the human-child interaction
make the learning process more pleasant & motivating, by developing
attractive RAT games

	
  

2/5/14

!22
pag.
Also other social robots

2/5/14

!23
pag.
Conclusion
• Robots are about to enter our daily life
• Answer	
  to	
  societal	
  challenges	
  
• Create	
  new	
  economic	
  markets	
  

• Robots will be everywhere in different forms and
applications, impact bigger than the internet
• But still much research necessary
• Have to think about ethical problems as well
• Solve in a multidisciplinary research effort

2/5/14

!24
pag.
Research	
  team:	
  
Prof.	
  dr.	
  ir.	
  Dirk	
  Lefeber,	
  Prof.	
  dr.	
  ir.	
  Bram	
  Vanderborght	
  

!

Dr.	
  ir.	
  Ronald	
  Van	
  Ham,	
  Dr.	
  ir.	
  Michaël	
  Van	
  Damme,	
  Dr	
  ir	
  Heidi	
  Cuypers,	
  Dr.	
  
ir.	
  Bjorn	
  Verrelst,	
  Dr.	
  ir.	
  Rene	
  Enrique	
  Jimenez	
  Fabian,	
  Dr.	
  ir.	
  Mizanoor	
  
Rahman,	
  Dr.	
  ir.	
  Carlos	
  Rodriguez	
  Guerrero,	
  dr.	
  ir.	
  Pablo	
  Gómez	
  Esteban,	
  Dr.	
  
ir.	
  Ramazan	
  Unal	
  

!

lic.	
  Pierre	
  Cherelle,	
  ir.	
  Joseph	
  Jezic	
  von	
  Gesseneck,	
  ir.	
  Victor	
  Grosu,	
  ir.	
  
Branko	
  Brackx,	
  ir.	
  Svetlana	
  Grosu,	
  ir.	
  Louis	
  Flynn,	
  ir.	
  Greet	
  Van	
  de	
  Perre,	
  ir.	
  
Karen	
  Junius,	
  ir.	
  Glenn	
  Mathijssen,	
  ir.	
  Joost	
  Geeroms,	
  ing.	
  Tim	
  Schepers,	
  ir.	
  
Maarten	
  Weckx,	
  ir.	
  Cao	
  Hoang	
  Long,	
  ir.	
  Laura	
  De	
  Rijcke,	
  ir	
  Tom	
  Verstraten,	
  
ir	
  Marta	
  Moltedo,	
  Ramona	
  Simut,	
  Kristel	
  Knaepen,	
  Eva	
  Swinnen,	
  ir.	
  
Hamed	
  Yaghini	
  

!

The	
  work	
  was	
  supported	
  by	
  several	
  EU	
  and	
  national	
  projects:	
  
FP7:	
  Viactors,	
  Corbys,	
  Cyberlegs,	
  H2R,	
  BIOMOT,	
  DREAM,	
  

IWT-­‐SBO:Mirad	
  	
  and	
  ERC	
  starting	
  grant	
  SPEAR	
  
	
  

	
  

	
  

	
  

	
  

	
  

Bram.vanderborght@vub.ac.be	
  

	
  

	
  

	
  

	
  

	
  

	
  

2/5/14

!25
pag.

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Zorgidee 2014: Het potentieel van zorgrobotica - Bram Vanderborght

  • 1. Het potentieel van zorgrobotica Prof dr ir Bram Vanderborght ! Robotics Research Group Vrije Universiteit Brussel 2/5/14 !1 pag.
  • 2. Ageing population Change 1990 to 2009 1990 (1) Excluding French overseas departments. (2) Data may be affected by the change of population definition in 2008. (3) 2008 instead of 2009. Source: Eurostat (demo_pjanind) In 1990 In 2060 Persons 65+ à 13,7 % Persons Figure 2.8: Population structure by major age groups, EU-27 (1) 65+ à Persons 85+ à Persons 85+ à (% of total population) 3,1 % 3.1 3.3 4.5 12.3 12.7 14.4 increase with 250% k increase with 400% k 6.9 8.9 11.0 12.1 16.6 18.0 17.8 17.8 75 50 à à 5.7 10.6 100 30% 12% 66.8 67.2 67.2 64.6 61.9 59.2 57.1 56.0 25 19.5 17.2 15.6 15.4 14.5 14.0 14.1 14.0 1990 2000 2009 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 0 In 1990 67% of population support population 80+ years 65-79 years 15-64 years 0-14 years In 2060 Only 56% of population support population Working (1) Excluding French overseas departments; 2020 to 2060 data are EUROPOP2008 convergence scenario. Source: Eurostat (demo_pjanind and proj_08c2150p) population shall - Work harder - Work more To realize the same Today 40 hout/week 
 !2 à In 2060:2/5/14 50 hour/week pag.
  • 3. Increasing life expectancy In 1960 Life expectancy Belgium 69,66 years Av. EU 67,72 years In 2008 (50 years later) Life expectancy Belgium 80,10 years Av. EU 78,66 years At age of 65 Belgium 13,52 years Av. EU 13,99 years At age of 65 Belgium 19,50 years Av. EU 18,46 years ! Source:  HEIDI  data  tool  EU-­‐Commission ! For Belgium this is an increase of 18,2% over 50 years ! 1/5 longer life!!! 2/5/14 !3 pag.
  • 4. Increased need for assistance The need for Personal Assistance with everyday activities increases with age. ! % of persons needing assistance with everyday activities by age Not only functional weakness, but mobility also affected by lower motor skills due to stroke or neurological misfunction 2/5/14 !4 pag.
  • 5. Increased health cost For EU by 2050: ! healthcare spending increase with 25% For Flanders by 2050 : • will be confronted much stronger • its demographic pattern counts more elderly people • And Healthcare costs are higher in comparison with other EU countries ! • Today = 11,1% of GDP = 36,8 billion EUR Source: EU White Paper “Together for Health: A Strategic Approach for the EU 2008-2013”. Health is the greatest wealth! ! • Increase of 25% = 9,2 billion EUR/year 2/5/14 !5 pag.
  • 7. Robots are about to enter our daily life Aibo Justin Claudia Mitchell Roomba 2/5/14 !7 pag.
  • 8. Disruptive technologies: Advances that will transform life, business, and the global economy Policy makers and societies need to prepare for future technology. To do this well, they will need a clear understanding of how technology might shape the global economy and society over the coming decades. ! Since the Industrial Revolution, technology has had a unique role in powering growth and transforming economies. ! The McKinsey Global Institute set out to identify which of these technologies could have a massive economically disruptive impact between now and 2025. 2/5/14 !8 pag.
  • 9. Study Gartner • 2013  Hype  Cycle  on  evolving  relationship   Combine  the  best  of  the  two  worlds   Machines   between  human  and  machine.   • precision   • repeatability   • 3  trends:   – Augmenting  humans  with  technology   – Machines  replacing  humans   – Humans  and  machines  working  alongside  each   other • 3D  jobs   • …     Humans   • creativity   • problem  solving     • dexterity     • …   ! Human  robot  interaction 2/5/14 !9 pag.
  • 11. Gait rehabilitation GAIT IMPAIRMENT ❑ Neurological disorders: Stroke , SCI , MS, … ❑ Impact on individual: Quality-Of-Life ❑ Impact on society: Health Care MOTOR COMMAND GAIT RECOVERY ❑ “Relearning to walk by walking” MOTOR RECOVERY Sensory input ❑ Neural plasticity Effort Intensity 2/5/14 !11 pag.
  • 12. Gait rehabilitation treadmill training with body-weight support ❑ resource intensive ❑ ❑ labour intensive LOW POTENTIAL 2/5/14 !12 pag.
  • 16. AMPfoot 2.0 AMPfoot 2 VUB 2/5/14 !16 pag.
  • 18. Social human-robot interaction Human has
 to be central Machine is
 central screen menus keyboard mouse WALL-E speech  –  emotions  -­‐  gestures 2/5/14 !18 pag.
  • 19. The  social  huggable  robot -­‐Human-­‐robot  interaction  focused   children   -­‐Robot-­‐Assisted  therapy   ! Abilities:   -­‐Able  of  verbal  communication   -­‐Directs  its  gaze   -­‐Express  emotions/animations     à social  interface   ! ! 2/5/14 !19 pag.
  • 20. Robot Assisted Therapy: Autism Spectrum Disorders ! ‘Don’t underestimate persons with autism, try to understand’ ‘Someone with ASDs is really like you, just more extreme’ ! • • • • • • widespread  abnormalities  of  
 social  interactions  and  communication restricted  interests highly  repetitive  behavior pervasive, spectrum manifestation may vary in level of severity life-time condition     !         specific individualized treatment (recommended 25 hours/week) early and adapted interventions   2/5/14 !20 pag.
  • 21. Why social robots might be useful for ASD treatments? 1) 2) 3) 4) 5) ! Safety Simplicityàcomplexity Predictability Controlability Interactivity       High level of motivation and involvement in tasks The robot = social mediator:   2/5/14 !21 pag.
  • 22. Aim of Probo Aim is not to replace therapists with robots, but to use the strengths of the robots to: • • •   facilitate and improve the therapy process mediate the human-child interaction make the learning process more pleasant & motivating, by developing attractive RAT games   2/5/14 !22 pag.
  • 23. Also other social robots 2/5/14 !23 pag.
  • 24. Conclusion • Robots are about to enter our daily life • Answer  to  societal  challenges   • Create  new  economic  markets   • Robots will be everywhere in different forms and applications, impact bigger than the internet • But still much research necessary • Have to think about ethical problems as well • Solve in a multidisciplinary research effort 2/5/14 !24 pag.
  • 25. Research  team:   Prof.  dr.  ir.  Dirk  Lefeber,  Prof.  dr.  ir.  Bram  Vanderborght   ! Dr.  ir.  Ronald  Van  Ham,  Dr.  ir.  Michaël  Van  Damme,  Dr  ir  Heidi  Cuypers,  Dr.   ir.  Bjorn  Verrelst,  Dr.  ir.  Rene  Enrique  Jimenez  Fabian,  Dr.  ir.  Mizanoor   Rahman,  Dr.  ir.  Carlos  Rodriguez  Guerrero,  dr.  ir.  Pablo  Gómez  Esteban,  Dr.   ir.  Ramazan  Unal   ! lic.  Pierre  Cherelle,  ir.  Joseph  Jezic  von  Gesseneck,  ir.  Victor  Grosu,  ir.   Branko  Brackx,  ir.  Svetlana  Grosu,  ir.  Louis  Flynn,  ir.  Greet  Van  de  Perre,  ir.   Karen  Junius,  ir.  Glenn  Mathijssen,  ir.  Joost  Geeroms,  ing.  Tim  Schepers,  ir.   Maarten  Weckx,  ir.  Cao  Hoang  Long,  ir.  Laura  De  Rijcke,  ir  Tom  Verstraten,   ir  Marta  Moltedo,  Ramona  Simut,  Kristel  Knaepen,  Eva  Swinnen,  ir.   Hamed  Yaghini   ! The  work  was  supported  by  several  EU  and  national  projects:   FP7:  Viactors,  Corbys,  Cyberlegs,  H2R,  BIOMOT,  DREAM,  
 IWT-­‐SBO:Mirad    and  ERC  starting  grant  SPEAR               Bram.vanderborght@vub.ac.be               2/5/14 !25 pag.