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Michell Zappa
A brief future of technological scenarios
GPS



GPS         GPS
GPS



      GPS



GPS         GPS
3 days of content
uploaded every minute.
TECHNOLOGICAL IMPERATIVES



Inherence   Efficiency   Complexity   Inevitability
INHERENCE
Technology wants to be part of us.
Anything useful that
“ we make is technology.


                                        — Kevin Kelly
        — Founding executive editor, WIRED Magazine
EFFICIENCY
Technology wants to be faster.
COST SPEED
2012




2008
       CPU × FSB   RAM   SSD   Mbps
Years




0
         5
                 10
                      15
                           20
                                25
Electricity                          30



Telephone



Radio



Television


Computer


Internet



Mobile phone



Smartphone


        Tablet
                               TIME
                           ADOPTION
COMPLEXITY
Technology creates itself out of itself.
Li-Pol             Multi-            Kernel            EDGE
                               media


NiMH                   File-              OS               Cloud           GPRS
                      system                               sync


            Li-Ion               App              Social           LTE              GSM
                                store            network

 Video                 Photo             TCP                IPS            Touch-
camera                camera                                               screen


           Internet             MMS               SIM              LCD              HSDPA


                      Email              SMS               TFT-            Multi-
XMPP                                                       LCD             touch


            GPS                Compass            LED              Wi-Fi            Key-
                                                                                    board

 Trian-               A-GPS              Blue-             USB              NFC
gulation                                 tooth
system
                                                                                                               GSM
 NiMH                                         OS                   Kernel
                                                         App                                     GPRS
                                                        store
                                              Multi-               Social
                                              media               network                 EDGE
                       Li-Ion
                                                        Cloud                HSDPA
                                                        sync
                                              Li-Pol               LTE

Compass      Trian-             GPS       A-GPS                       IPS           TFT-         LCD           CRT
            gulation                                                                LCD

                                               NFC                Multi-
                                                                  touch
                                                        XMPP
                                 Blue-
                                 tooth                                           Touch-
                                                                                 screen
                                               MMS
                 USB                                        SMS
                                                                           SIM
                                      Email         Photo                                              Key-
    Wi-Fi                                          camera                                              board
                                                             Video
                                                            camera           TCP
INEVITABILITY
If it’s possible, it’s necessary.
TECHNOLOGICAL IMPERATIVES



Inherence   Efficiency   Complexity   Inevitability
2. MAKING SENSE OF INNOVATION
2012


2020


2030


2040
AI INTERNET INTERFACES SENSORS UBICOMP ROBOTICS BIOTECH MATERIALS ENERGY SPACE GEOTECH
“SCI-FI SCAFFOLDING”
PHOTOGRAPHY
Faces & smiles
Ubiquity

Person recognition

Object recognition

Focus & cropping
“UBICAM”
Knows where you are
Knows who you are with
Knows what to focus on
Knows what matters to you

Records & publishes automatically.
“UBICAM”
“UBICAM”
“UBICAM”
SCREENS
BRING YOUR OWN DEVICE
Media          Contacts




        Apps




News           Software
feeds          updates
Friends     Data integrity      Payments               Driving             Smart grid           Device
nearby                                                  prefs                data              proofing




     Placemarks         Media                Apps                Contacts           Location
                                                                                     history




Weather       Interface             News            Software              Conversations         Tripit
 data        consistency            feeds           updates                                     data




      Foursquare       FaceTime             Software               NUI               Data
       checkins       integration            agents               prefs            tethering
SHARING
OWNERSHIP   ACCESS



              ?
U.S. car sharing: Members & Vehicles
1,000,000




 100,000




  10,000




    1,000




     100
        2000   2002   2004   2006   2008      2010
Ride sharing
Contextual computing
Multi-modal routing
Self-driving cars
“DON’T TELL ME WHAT TO DO”
“DON’T TELL ME WHAT TO DO”
Thank you.
  @envisioningtech
mz@envisioningtech.com
   envisioningtech.com
Jaguar Land Rover (UK)

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