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US - China
Internet Advertising Brief 2016
Highlights
Internet Ad
Spending 2016e
$ 66.8 BN
(=1.65*China’s)
$ 40.4 BN
Market Leaders
Google (52.6%)
Facebook (15.0%)
Baidu (28.0%)
Alibaba (24.8%)
Key Ad Formats
Search (43.6%)
Display (45.4%)
Search (33.1%)
E-commerce (27.9%)
Programmatic
/Total Display
67% 51%
Pricing Models CPM, Performance CPT, GD, RTB
Ad spending of both markets keeps growing. In 2016 US ad
spending is expected to rise 70% higher than China’s, while
China’s mobile ad share continues to be larger than the US
20.0% 15.5%
12.4% 11.9%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
2014 2015 2016e 2017e 2018e
US Internet Ad Spending
Mobile Desktop/Laptop Y/Y Growth
Billions($)
Source: eMarketer, March 2016
Y/YGrowth(%)
49.7
59.6
68.8
77.4
86.6
63.4%
32.0%
30.0%
25.0%
23.0%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
0.00
10.00
20.00
30.00
40.00
50.00
60.00
70.00
80.00
90.00
100.00
2014 2015 2016e 2017e 2018e
China Internet Ad Spending
Mobile Desktop/Laptop Y/Y Growth
Y/YGrowth(%)
Billions($)
23.6
31.1
40.4
50.5
62.1
67.6%
Source: eMarketer, March 2016
Note: converted at the exchange rate of US $1 =RMB 6.23
68.2% 70.7%53.0%35.8%
34.9% 54.9% 74.5% 79.1%
Ad Spending
Both markets are dominated by key players. Google & Facebook in
the US and BAT in China, captured over 60% of national ad revenues
Baidu
28.0%
Alibaba
24.8%
Tencent
7.8%
Others
39.4%
China Internet Ad Revenue Share,
by Company, 2015
Google
52.6%
Facebook
15.0%
Other
32.4%
US Internet Ad Revenue Share,
by Company, 2015
Source: eMarketer, March 2016, Quarterly earnings of Facebook, Google
Note: Facebook revenue includes Canada. Google USA ad revenue
Source: eMarketer, Sept. 2016
Note: net ad revenues after companies pay traffic acquisition costs to partner sites
Market Players
The majority of ad spending comes from search. In the US, display ad
spending will account for the largest share in 2016, while in China, ads
that are directed to e-commerce sites are a strong #2
43.6%
11.1%
14.3%
20.0%
3.1%
8.0%
US Internet Ad Spending,
by Format ,2016e
Search
Rich Media
Video
Banners
Lead generation
Others
33.1%
3.5%
8.5%
14.5%
27.9%
12.5%
China Internet Ad Spending,
by Format, 2016e
Search
Rich Media
Video
Banners
E-commerce
Others
Ad Formats
Source: eMarketer, US digital display advertising trends, Jan.2016 Source: iResearch, 2016
Programmatic Ads captured over half of the display ad spending in
both US and China, and will continue to be important areas
10.32
15.83
22.1
27.4749%
59%
67%
72%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
2014 2015 2016e 2017e
US Programmatic Display Ad Spending
Programmatic digital display ads % of total digital display ad spending
4.21
6.26
9.29
12.72
38%
44%
51% 57%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
2014 2015 2016e 2017e
China Programmatic Display Ad Spending
Programmatic digital display ads % of total digital display ad spending
Programmatic Ad
Source: eMarketer, US digital display advertising trends, Jan.2016 Source: eMarketer, Sept. 2016
A performance-based pricing model is preferred in both markets.
China also has a time-based method for brand impressions
Performance
65%
Hybrid
2%
CPM
33%
US Internet Ad Spending,
by Pricing Model, 2015
China Internet Ad Pricing Model:
• CPD: Cost per Time
• GD: Guarantee Delivery
• RTB: (CPC, CPM, oCPC:
Optimization Cost per Click)
Pricing Models
Source: eMarketer, US digital display advertising trends, Jan.2016 Source: Tencent, TouTiao
Thank you!
Meng Xie
(530)-760-8744
mmxie@ucdavis.edu
https://www.linkedin.com/in/megxie

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US China Internet Advertising Brief 2016

  • 1. US - China Internet Advertising Brief 2016
  • 2. Highlights Internet Ad Spending 2016e $ 66.8 BN (=1.65*China’s) $ 40.4 BN Market Leaders Google (52.6%) Facebook (15.0%) Baidu (28.0%) Alibaba (24.8%) Key Ad Formats Search (43.6%) Display (45.4%) Search (33.1%) E-commerce (27.9%) Programmatic /Total Display 67% 51% Pricing Models CPM, Performance CPT, GD, RTB
  • 3. Ad spending of both markets keeps growing. In 2016 US ad spending is expected to rise 70% higher than China’s, while China’s mobile ad share continues to be larger than the US 20.0% 15.5% 12.4% 11.9% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 2014 2015 2016e 2017e 2018e US Internet Ad Spending Mobile Desktop/Laptop Y/Y Growth Billions($) Source: eMarketer, March 2016 Y/YGrowth(%) 49.7 59.6 68.8 77.4 86.6 63.4% 32.0% 30.0% 25.0% 23.0% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 0.00 10.00 20.00 30.00 40.00 50.00 60.00 70.00 80.00 90.00 100.00 2014 2015 2016e 2017e 2018e China Internet Ad Spending Mobile Desktop/Laptop Y/Y Growth Y/YGrowth(%) Billions($) 23.6 31.1 40.4 50.5 62.1 67.6% Source: eMarketer, March 2016 Note: converted at the exchange rate of US $1 =RMB 6.23 68.2% 70.7%53.0%35.8% 34.9% 54.9% 74.5% 79.1% Ad Spending
  • 4. Both markets are dominated by key players. Google & Facebook in the US and BAT in China, captured over 60% of national ad revenues Baidu 28.0% Alibaba 24.8% Tencent 7.8% Others 39.4% China Internet Ad Revenue Share, by Company, 2015 Google 52.6% Facebook 15.0% Other 32.4% US Internet Ad Revenue Share, by Company, 2015 Source: eMarketer, March 2016, Quarterly earnings of Facebook, Google Note: Facebook revenue includes Canada. Google USA ad revenue Source: eMarketer, Sept. 2016 Note: net ad revenues after companies pay traffic acquisition costs to partner sites Market Players
  • 5. The majority of ad spending comes from search. In the US, display ad spending will account for the largest share in 2016, while in China, ads that are directed to e-commerce sites are a strong #2 43.6% 11.1% 14.3% 20.0% 3.1% 8.0% US Internet Ad Spending, by Format ,2016e Search Rich Media Video Banners Lead generation Others 33.1% 3.5% 8.5% 14.5% 27.9% 12.5% China Internet Ad Spending, by Format, 2016e Search Rich Media Video Banners E-commerce Others Ad Formats Source: eMarketer, US digital display advertising trends, Jan.2016 Source: iResearch, 2016
  • 6. Programmatic Ads captured over half of the display ad spending in both US and China, and will continue to be important areas 10.32 15.83 22.1 27.4749% 59% 67% 72% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 2014 2015 2016e 2017e US Programmatic Display Ad Spending Programmatic digital display ads % of total digital display ad spending 4.21 6.26 9.29 12.72 38% 44% 51% 57% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 2014 2015 2016e 2017e China Programmatic Display Ad Spending Programmatic digital display ads % of total digital display ad spending Programmatic Ad Source: eMarketer, US digital display advertising trends, Jan.2016 Source: eMarketer, Sept. 2016
  • 7. A performance-based pricing model is preferred in both markets. China also has a time-based method for brand impressions Performance 65% Hybrid 2% CPM 33% US Internet Ad Spending, by Pricing Model, 2015 China Internet Ad Pricing Model: • CPD: Cost per Time • GD: Guarantee Delivery • RTB: (CPC, CPM, oCPC: Optimization Cost per Click) Pricing Models Source: eMarketer, US digital display advertising trends, Jan.2016 Source: Tencent, TouTiao