5. Mark Burlingame, CPASenior Director, UtiliPoint Analytics, UtiliPoint International, Inc. Mr. Burlingame is an international utility expert with 19 years in the utility industry including research and development, business case modeling, financial resource budgeting, business planning, system development, pricing administration, market forecasting and marketing. Prior to entering the utility industry, he was a Senior Management Consultant with Coopers & Lybrand. Mr. Burlingame's hands-on experience in several jurisdictions and markets includes the UK, Massachusetts, Pennsylvania, California, Washington, Florida, Texas and Oklahoma. 3
15. 828 entities generate, move, buy, or sell electricity6
16. Some Texas Terms There are 4 Transmission and Distribution Service Providers (TDSPs) There are over 40 Retail Electric Providers (REPs) QSE is a Qualified Scheduling Entity responsible for submitting REPs’ next day’s schedule of expected power requirements. 7 Load Serving Entity (LSE) is an organization serving end-use customers. For our purposes today, this is usually a REP.
17. Texas Meter Conversion Source: http://www.puc.state.tx.us/electric/projects/34610/AMITMtg0909/AMITBoardMtg0909.pdf 8
18. 9 Almost 3 Petabytes of Storage Needed by 2014 Source: UtiliPoint proprietary database
24. 71 HAN devices successfully provisioned Source: http://www.puc.state.tx.us/electric/projects/34610/AMITMtg022410/SMT-AMIT-Status-FTPS-Integration_022410.pdf 10
25. Texas Meter Data Flow TDSP Meter Read Enrollment Historical Consumption Meter Reads Customer Wire Charges / Payments Enrollment Invoicing Settlement Transactions Remittance Retailer QSE 11
26. Texas Smart Meter Data Flow TDSP Load Control 15 min Interval Meter Reads HAN Events HAN Texas Portal & Data Repository Account Data Enrollment Fuel Cells Customer Historical Consumption Enrollment Meter Reads PHEV Invoicing Wire Charges / Payments HAN Services Retailer QSE Remittance Settlement Transactions Customer Account Data Pricing Solar / Dist. Gen 12
34. Pricing Product Differentiation Current Retail Market After Smart Meters Month to month Term –plus 6, 12, 18, 24 month Signing Incentives Single price ($/kWh) with or without monthly base charge Seasonal Price guarantee Limited Prepay and TOU Plans MCPE plus mark up Heat Rate plus NYMEX gas Indexed plans All Current Products and: More robust Prepay and TOU plans Contract-for-differences (RTP using MCPE and prearranged block or load shape Creative “Fixed Bill” plans Interruptible/curtailable plans 16
35. Pricing Plan Value Positioning Value of Branding Fixed Bill -simple and secure - a fixed monthly bill Fixed price– secure and simple TOU- secure, some choice and control, and customized bundled service options CFD - control and access to wholesale prices Point of Sale Support # Subscribers Size of Subscriber Load Simple Choice (Value Added) Price Security Price Risk CFD TOU Fixed & Indexed Fixed Bill 17
36. Match Product to Value Sales volume certainty Lower risks on high volumes, hedging value High CFD TOU Season Blocks Price Variability High margin potential Fixed Plans Low Access to a big, but reluctant to change, market share Low High Degree of Involvement 18
37. Customer Portfolio of Choices High CFD Some years are easier to predict than others I don’t like the current market price outlook TOU Season Blocks Fixed Plans Low Low High I’d like to give load management a try 19
39. TOU Benefits Why Offer TOU? Commodity costs vary with time of day and season Consumers will change behavior if properly incented Consumer response to prices offers an offset to expanded usage by other customers on other programs Improve earnings by better managing risk 21
40. TOU Failures Selling program based on peak load reduction or bill savings alone Many programs aren’t “marketed” to customers Poor design (ratio of on/off-peak price, length of on-peak window) Solutions: Achieve success by selling TOU to customers premised on access to lower prices during low cost times. Design product with customer behavior in mind 22
41. A Better TOU Product Features that Improve Customer Acceptance Shorter Peak Period Limited Peak Season Better Prices High Peak to Off-Peak Price Ratio (Shifters) Lower relative Off-Peak Prices (Growers) Demonstrable Savings Term Flexibility Choice and Control 23
42. Type of TOU Plans Fixed TOU Plan – prices and time periods fixed for term Flex TOU plan – a platform of plans with varying price levels and peak period duration Variable Peak Period Price – would use Nodal Day ahead market MCPE to establish next day peak price level TOU combined with price overcall plan – TOU and Critical Peak Price 24
43. Flex Choice TOU Service Plans Plan 1 Plan 2 Peak 3:00 - 7:00 Peak 3:00 - 7:00 Prices Peak $.36 Off $. 10 Prices Peak $.34 Off $.11 Choices Plan 4 Plan 3 Peak 1:00 - 9:00 Peak 1:00 - 9:00 Prices Peak $.36 Off $.09 Prices Peak $.34 Off $.095 25
44.
45. On peak price based on Day Ahead Market MCPE averaged for the peak duration
54. Prepaid Plans Current Retail Market After Smart Meters Term – month to month and may include discount for staying longer than one month No deposit, credit check or I.D. Might include a monthly service charge and a fixed rate Smart Meter can provide daily usage, turnoff meter when prepaid limit reached Greater customer satisfaction as they have greater control over managing usage –daily info provided by email or phone An in-house monitor might be installed to provide near real time usage and bill amount to date Term – month to month but may require activation fee that requires 6 month service No credit check No deposit No I.D. check Monthly Service charge plus high fixed rate Problems determining when prepaid limit reached – turn off complaints 29
59. To increase Brand presence – even customers that do not sign up will talk to others about your offering
60. To increase profits from the residential and small commercial customer markets - Customers are willing to pay a premium for convenience and stability 33
61. Fixed Bill Process Weather Adjustment Historical kWh MAY BILL Target Market Adjust for Price Response ESTIMATED kWh JUN 1,007 JUL 1,234 AUG 1,333 SEP 999 OCT 888 NOV 650 DEC Fixed BILL “Make me an offer.” ADJUSTED kWh JUN 1,177 JUL 1,345 AUG 1,444 SEP 1,100 OCT 959 NOV 770 DEC Apply Forward Price Curve YES Calculate monthly FB amount Add Risk Premium Make Offer Add Base Charge $ % 34
62. Pricing Plans After Smart Meters Remember: Smart Meters should unlock access to niche markets that increase your bottom line! 35
Welcome to The Texas Smart Meter Revolution – a Joint Webinar of UtiliPoint International and Pariveda SolutionsMy name is Mark Burlingame and I’ll be the moderator for today’s webinar.We have almost 150 participants in several countries, so we have made arrangements to facilitate your participation:If you are having problems viewing the presentation or logging to the website, please send an email to jennifer@utilipoint.com and we’ll work with you to resolve any problems.
I am an international utility professional with experience in multiple jurisdictions in the US and the UK. I have been in the industry for almost 20 years. Before that I was with Coopers & Lybrand’s management consulting practice. I am an experienced project manager and analyst and I am a CPA.
Before we go any further, a large number of us are from outside Texas, so let’s take a quick look at the Texas marketplace.
ERCOT system operations area covers most of Texas as shown on this map. (Then go into the stats)
Qualified Scheduling Entity is responsible for matching generation resources and uses and REPs on a daily basis.
We want to set the overall stage so as not to assume others are intimately familiar with AMIT or SMTSome Interesting Things to Note About this Timeline:HAN midyear this year. Google and Microsoft among are marketing applications directly to customers who will be able to start using at this point in time!ERCOT’s new market trading rules will take effect at the end of 2011. At this point in time, 2.2 million smart meters will have been installed!Then go the last two dates and talk about the numbers…
Based Austin Energy’s Phase 1 estimates of data storage. 400 MB per meterTexas will require 2.5 petabytes of storage by the year 2014 Just For Reads. This doesn’t included processing! This is a 10-Fold Increase from This Year!
The Texas Public Utilities Commission set up “Smart Meter Texas”. This gives customers access to their interval data, so that they can better manage usage, react to prices, Home Depot will be begin offering Home Area Network devices this summer. These devices will access SMT files. ALSO Expect Google and Microsoft to compete using this portal’s data as well!WILL EVENTUALLY LEAD TO BETTER RETAIL PRICE ELASTICITY
Looking at the value chain of the utility industry … all parts interact with each other, BUTToday we will focus on the retail portion of the industry.
The Utility Industry Will HAVE To Move Away from our current ways of viewing the customer, the market, wholesale purchasing and much more!Please keep these Issue in Mind as we go forward in the presentation…Customer Adoption and EducationIt’s really all about cost, comfort and simplicity in order for mass adoptionConsumer BehaviorUnlocking a more advanced profile to a consumer such that it creates additional value (new product, service, etc.)Customer segmentation must be changed from residential, commercial, and industrial to something more like consumer segmentation in order to better understand what the customer wants.Disruptive TechnologyWest coast companies aiming to bring in disruptive technologies such as Bloom $3,000 fuel cellNew Competition – gaining an understanding that Retail is an information technology playWal-Mart, Google, MicrosoftSystems Portfolio and IntegrationWith the changing game, Retail needs to keep upNEXT WE WILL BEGIN INVESTIGATING IN MORE DETAIL HOW RETAIL ORGANIZATIONS CAN BENEFIT FROM THE COMING CHANGES