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MUSIC MARKET ANALYSIS




    LT2014N – Global Music & Media Distribution– London Metropolitan
                              University
By: Marian Zinn (09000016)
PRESENTATION AGENDA
       1. SOUTH AFRICA - BACKGROUND

 2. MUSIC SALES & DISTRIBUTION ENVIRONMENT

        3. MUSIC MARKET STRUCTURE

 4. INTERNATIONAL VS. DOMESTIC REPERTOIRE

           5. LOCAL MUSIC SCENE

                 6. PIRACY

           7. LIVE MUSIC SECTOR
SOUTH AFRICA - BACKGROUND

Population of 50 million people

 11 official languages (Rainbow
            Nation)


English → business language


  Apartheid policies:

         International
      isolation until 1994

                              Sources: CIA, 2011; Informa UK, 2010
RECORDED MUSIC SALES



                       Sources: IFPI, 2010; Informa UK, 2010
MUSIC RETAIL & DISTRIBUTION

                 94% of music sales → physical format


               Physical music retailers dominate legal sales


                         MUSICA = 157 stores

                      Physical sales remain strong:
                                 Low broadband penetration

                             Limits competition from digital music
                                           retailers




       Sources: Informa UK, 2010; Coetzer/Billboard, 2010
MOBILE & BROADBAND ACCESS
            Digital music
               market                Mobile driven

            South Africa, mobile penetration (%)
                                            2009
        Mobile subscriptions             49.576.240
        Mobile penetration                 101.5%


                Mobile Broadband Market:

                       By 2013 → 80% have access to 3G technology


                  Potential for music promotion & download/streaming
                                         services




       Sources: Informa UK, 2010; Coetzer/Billboard, 2010
MOBILE & BROADBAND ACCESS

    Only 9% of households have fixed broadband connection


            South Africa, broadband penetration (%)
                                               2009
          Fixed Broadband subscriptions       817.720
          Fixed Broadband penetration           9%


                 Fixed broadband market:

                              Limited bandwidth & high prices


                               Infrastructure is being upgraded


                          2010 MWeb → first unlimited DSL flatrate



         Sources: Informa UK, 2010; Coetzer/Billboard, 2010
MUSIC INDUSTRY STRUCTURE

      South Africa’s music industry → most developed in Africa


      Established supply chain → record companies, manufacturing and retailing


           4 Majors dominate the
               music market                      77% Market Share

                  South Africa, recorded music market shares
                                      (%)
                                         2009
                  EMI                     18.0
                  Sony                    23.8

                  Universa                20.0
                  l
                  Warner                  15.3
                  Others                  22.9

                  Sources: Informa UK, 2010; Pietilä, 2009
MUSIC INDUSTRY STRUCTURE
       Independents represented by Association of Independent Record
                                Companies


                South Africa, recorded music market
                             shares (%)
                                           2009
             Independents                  22.9
          Independent Recording Market:

                     Number of independent labels is growing


                     Entrepreneurs realize potential in local music


                     JUST MUSIC → biggest independent in SA




                Sources: Informa UK, 2010; Pietilä, 2009
INTERNATIONAL VS. DOMESTIC
• in 2000, international music still dominated the market with
74%
                       South Africa, trade value of recorded-music sales by
                                            repertoire

                                  International       Domestic
   Trade Value (%)




                               26%
                                                                47%


                               74%
                                                                53%


                               2000                             2009

• in 2009, domestic repertoire reached an all time high of 47%


                     Sources: Informa UK, 2010; Coetzer/Billboard, 2008; Clegg, 1995
LOCAL MUSIC SCENE

       Local music is divided between different ethnic
                           groups


        Music is released in various local languages & in English


      Black
      community: of hip-hop, R&B and reggae to gospel &
      • local versions
      traditional African music
      • new genres combining African sounds with western
      influences → afro-pop, afro-jazz and Kwaito

      White
      community: and rock music – very popular
      • Afrikaans folk
      • best selling local music product


                   Sources: Informa UK, 2010; Swink, 2003
SOUTH AFRICAN ARTISTS

        THE
        PARLOTONES

                        ZEBRA &
                        GIRAFFE


        FRESHLYGROU
        ND


                        FLASH
                        REPUBLIC
        GOLDFIS
        H




                        DJ BLACK
        DIE             COFFEE
        ANTWOORD
PIRACY

Piracy is a significant problem:

         40% of recorded music sales are illegal copies

Annual loss of around $70m

Organised crime syndicates

High demand for cheap pirate copies



        ANTI-PIRACY UNIT set up 2006 by
                    RISA


Problem → Piracy not priority of SA Government

→ Growth of illegal sales & P2P file sharing predicted



                   Sources: RISA, 2009; Sapa/Times, 2011; Mkhitze/Times, 2008
LIVE MUSIC SECTOR
                Live music is a vibrant industry in South Africa:

                                     Growing number of music festivals


                            Local acts touring throughout the year

                       Concert activities centered around major cities

                   Number of international acts very limited:

                                    Not financially feasible for most artists


                             Low ticket prices → less profit potential

                         Big brands often finance international concerts




  Sources: Informa UK, 2010; Music Week, 2010; Coetzer/Billboard, 2008
LIVE MUSIC SECTOR


                  Largest South African concert promoter → BIG CONCERTS

                                     Organises some of the biggest music festivals

                                   Coca-Cola Zero Festival,
                                   Woodstock Rock Festival
                             Cape Town International Jazz Festival

                                    2009 Strategic Partnership with LIVE NATION




  Sources: Informa UK, 2010; Music Week, 2010; Coetzer/Billboard, 2008
CONCLUSION
              • South African Music Market
               → still based on traditional music supply chain

              • Digital Communications are being upgraded
              → prices should fall – driving digital music consumption

              • Mobile platform
              → revenue opportunities need to be further exploited

                  • Domestic Repertoire
                  → emphasis on developing South African artists/music

                  • Piracy biggest threat
                  → impacts will get worse with digital revolution




 Sources: Informa UK, 2010; Music Week, 2010; Coetzer/Billboard, 2008
THE END

   THANK YOU FOR YOUR
       ATTENTION.




PLEASE FEEL FREE TO ASK
      QUESTIONS.
REFERENCES
•IFPI (2010), "IFPI – Recording Industry in Numbers 2010", London : International Federation of the Phonographic
Industry, 2010
•Informa UK (2010), “The international business newsletter of global music copyright”, Music & Copyright Issue 404
(online) Available at: http://shop.informatm.com/pdf/Nov-2006/10/m_c331_110806.pdf [Accessed on 25.03.11]
•DACST (1998), “THE SOUTH AFRICAN MUSIC INDUSTRY”, Department of Arts, Culture, Science and Technology
(online) Available at: http://www.info.gov.za/view/DownloadFileAction?id=70494 [Accessed on 25.03.11]

•Advantage Magazine (2010), "Media, Marketing and Advertising Directory 2010" (p.3-6), Primedia Publishing:
Randburg, South Africa
•Anon (2009), “The show ain't over 'til South Africa sings”, The Sunday Independent (online) Available at: http://0-
www.lexisnexis.com.emu.londonmet.ac.uk/uk/nexis/results/docview/docview.do?docLinkInd=true&risb=21_T1157379388
6&format=GNBFI&sort=RELEVANCE&startDocNo=1&resultsUrlKey=29_T11573793889&cisb=22_T11573793888&tree
Max=true&treeWidth=0&csi=312454&docNo=7 [Accessed on 25.03.11]
•Anon (2000), "SA music humming.", African Business; Dec2000, Issue 260, p23, 2p
•Clegg, J (1995), "S. African acts demand domestic radio play." Billboard; 1/7/95, Vol. 107 Issue 1, p8
•Coetzer, D (2010), "South Africa Set For Digital Music Expansion", Billboard (online) Available at:
http://www.billboard.biz/bbbiz/others/south-africa-set-for-digital-music-expansion-1004077331.story [Accessed on
25.03.11]
•Coetzer, D (2008), "BIGGER, BUT NOT BETTER?", Billboard; 4/19/2008, Vol. 120 Issue 16, p20-2
•Coetzer, D (2008), "South African Broadcaster Ups Domestic Music Quota", Billboard (online) Available at:
http://www.billboard.biz/bbbiz/others/south-african-broadcaster-ups-domestic-music-1003849252.story [Accessed on
25.03.11]
•MKHIZE, T (2008), “Piracy sinks local music sales”, The Times (online) Available at:
http://www.timeslive.co.za/thetimes/article13411.ece [Accessed on 25.03.11]
•Music Week (2010), “Music Week South African special” (online) Available at:
http://issuu.com/musicweek/docs/southafrica [Accessed on 25.03.11]
•Pietilä, T (2009), "WHOSE WORKS AND WHAT KINDS OF REWARDS.", Information, Communication & Society;
Apr2009, Vol. 12 Issue 2, p229-250
•Sapa (2011), “A hi-tech house of streams”, The Times (online) Available at:
http://www.timeslive.co.za/local/article934394.ece/Illicit-economy-threatens-regular-economy [Accessed on 25.03.11]

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LT2014N - The South African Music Market 2010

  • 1. MUSIC MARKET ANALYSIS LT2014N – Global Music & Media Distribution– London Metropolitan University By: Marian Zinn (09000016)
  • 2. PRESENTATION AGENDA 1. SOUTH AFRICA - BACKGROUND 2. MUSIC SALES & DISTRIBUTION ENVIRONMENT 3. MUSIC MARKET STRUCTURE 4. INTERNATIONAL VS. DOMESTIC REPERTOIRE 5. LOCAL MUSIC SCENE 6. PIRACY 7. LIVE MUSIC SECTOR
  • 3. SOUTH AFRICA - BACKGROUND Population of 50 million people 11 official languages (Rainbow Nation) English → business language Apartheid policies: International isolation until 1994 Sources: CIA, 2011; Informa UK, 2010
  • 4. RECORDED MUSIC SALES Sources: IFPI, 2010; Informa UK, 2010
  • 5. MUSIC RETAIL & DISTRIBUTION 94% of music sales → physical format Physical music retailers dominate legal sales MUSICA = 157 stores Physical sales remain strong: Low broadband penetration Limits competition from digital music retailers Sources: Informa UK, 2010; Coetzer/Billboard, 2010
  • 6. MOBILE & BROADBAND ACCESS Digital music market Mobile driven South Africa, mobile penetration (%) 2009 Mobile subscriptions 49.576.240 Mobile penetration 101.5% Mobile Broadband Market: By 2013 → 80% have access to 3G technology Potential for music promotion & download/streaming services Sources: Informa UK, 2010; Coetzer/Billboard, 2010
  • 7. MOBILE & BROADBAND ACCESS Only 9% of households have fixed broadband connection South Africa, broadband penetration (%) 2009 Fixed Broadband subscriptions 817.720 Fixed Broadband penetration 9% Fixed broadband market: Limited bandwidth & high prices Infrastructure is being upgraded 2010 MWeb → first unlimited DSL flatrate Sources: Informa UK, 2010; Coetzer/Billboard, 2010
  • 8. MUSIC INDUSTRY STRUCTURE South Africa’s music industry → most developed in Africa Established supply chain → record companies, manufacturing and retailing 4 Majors dominate the music market 77% Market Share South Africa, recorded music market shares (%) 2009 EMI 18.0 Sony 23.8 Universa 20.0 l Warner 15.3 Others 22.9 Sources: Informa UK, 2010; Pietilä, 2009
  • 9. MUSIC INDUSTRY STRUCTURE Independents represented by Association of Independent Record Companies South Africa, recorded music market shares (%) 2009 Independents 22.9 Independent Recording Market: Number of independent labels is growing Entrepreneurs realize potential in local music JUST MUSIC → biggest independent in SA Sources: Informa UK, 2010; Pietilä, 2009
  • 10. INTERNATIONAL VS. DOMESTIC • in 2000, international music still dominated the market with 74% South Africa, trade value of recorded-music sales by repertoire International Domestic Trade Value (%) 26% 47% 74% 53% 2000 2009 • in 2009, domestic repertoire reached an all time high of 47% Sources: Informa UK, 2010; Coetzer/Billboard, 2008; Clegg, 1995
  • 11. LOCAL MUSIC SCENE Local music is divided between different ethnic groups Music is released in various local languages & in English Black community: of hip-hop, R&B and reggae to gospel & • local versions traditional African music • new genres combining African sounds with western influences → afro-pop, afro-jazz and Kwaito White community: and rock music – very popular • Afrikaans folk • best selling local music product Sources: Informa UK, 2010; Swink, 2003
  • 12. SOUTH AFRICAN ARTISTS THE PARLOTONES ZEBRA & GIRAFFE FRESHLYGROU ND FLASH REPUBLIC GOLDFIS H DJ BLACK DIE COFFEE ANTWOORD
  • 13. PIRACY Piracy is a significant problem: 40% of recorded music sales are illegal copies Annual loss of around $70m Organised crime syndicates High demand for cheap pirate copies ANTI-PIRACY UNIT set up 2006 by RISA Problem → Piracy not priority of SA Government → Growth of illegal sales & P2P file sharing predicted Sources: RISA, 2009; Sapa/Times, 2011; Mkhitze/Times, 2008
  • 14. LIVE MUSIC SECTOR Live music is a vibrant industry in South Africa: Growing number of music festivals Local acts touring throughout the year Concert activities centered around major cities Number of international acts very limited: Not financially feasible for most artists Low ticket prices → less profit potential Big brands often finance international concerts Sources: Informa UK, 2010; Music Week, 2010; Coetzer/Billboard, 2008
  • 15. LIVE MUSIC SECTOR Largest South African concert promoter → BIG CONCERTS Organises some of the biggest music festivals Coca-Cola Zero Festival, Woodstock Rock Festival Cape Town International Jazz Festival 2009 Strategic Partnership with LIVE NATION Sources: Informa UK, 2010; Music Week, 2010; Coetzer/Billboard, 2008
  • 16. CONCLUSION • South African Music Market → still based on traditional music supply chain • Digital Communications are being upgraded → prices should fall – driving digital music consumption • Mobile platform → revenue opportunities need to be further exploited • Domestic Repertoire → emphasis on developing South African artists/music • Piracy biggest threat → impacts will get worse with digital revolution Sources: Informa UK, 2010; Music Week, 2010; Coetzer/Billboard, 2008
  • 17. THE END THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION. PLEASE FEEL FREE TO ASK QUESTIONS.
  • 18. REFERENCES •IFPI (2010), "IFPI – Recording Industry in Numbers 2010", London : International Federation of the Phonographic Industry, 2010 •Informa UK (2010), “The international business newsletter of global music copyright”, Music & Copyright Issue 404 (online) Available at: http://shop.informatm.com/pdf/Nov-2006/10/m_c331_110806.pdf [Accessed on 25.03.11] •DACST (1998), “THE SOUTH AFRICAN MUSIC INDUSTRY”, Department of Arts, Culture, Science and Technology (online) Available at: http://www.info.gov.za/view/DownloadFileAction?id=70494 [Accessed on 25.03.11] •Advantage Magazine (2010), "Media, Marketing and Advertising Directory 2010" (p.3-6), Primedia Publishing: Randburg, South Africa •Anon (2009), “The show ain't over 'til South Africa sings”, The Sunday Independent (online) Available at: http://0- www.lexisnexis.com.emu.londonmet.ac.uk/uk/nexis/results/docview/docview.do?docLinkInd=true&risb=21_T1157379388 6&format=GNBFI&sort=RELEVANCE&startDocNo=1&resultsUrlKey=29_T11573793889&cisb=22_T11573793888&tree Max=true&treeWidth=0&csi=312454&docNo=7 [Accessed on 25.03.11] •Anon (2000), "SA music humming.", African Business; Dec2000, Issue 260, p23, 2p •Clegg, J (1995), "S. African acts demand domestic radio play." Billboard; 1/7/95, Vol. 107 Issue 1, p8 •Coetzer, D (2010), "South Africa Set For Digital Music Expansion", Billboard (online) Available at: http://www.billboard.biz/bbbiz/others/south-africa-set-for-digital-music-expansion-1004077331.story [Accessed on 25.03.11] •Coetzer, D (2008), "BIGGER, BUT NOT BETTER?", Billboard; 4/19/2008, Vol. 120 Issue 16, p20-2 •Coetzer, D (2008), "South African Broadcaster Ups Domestic Music Quota", Billboard (online) Available at: http://www.billboard.biz/bbbiz/others/south-african-broadcaster-ups-domestic-music-1003849252.story [Accessed on 25.03.11] •MKHIZE, T (2008), “Piracy sinks local music sales”, The Times (online) Available at: http://www.timeslive.co.za/thetimes/article13411.ece [Accessed on 25.03.11] •Music Week (2010), “Music Week South African special” (online) Available at: http://issuu.com/musicweek/docs/southafrica [Accessed on 25.03.11] •Pietilä, T (2009), "WHOSE WORKS AND WHAT KINDS OF REWARDS.", Information, Communication & Society; Apr2009, Vol. 12 Issue 2, p229-250 •Sapa (2011), “A hi-tech house of streams”, The Times (online) Available at: http://www.timeslive.co.za/local/article934394.ece/Illicit-economy-threatens-regular-economy [Accessed on 25.03.11]