4gcounts Webinar Q3 2011

4GCounts Webinar
Q3 2011 4G Statistics, Key
Performance Indicators & Trends
Presenters:

Cintia Garza
4GCounts Team Lead &
Market Analyst, CALA
Maravedis

Basharat Ashai
Market Analyst, APAC &
MEA
Maravedis

Adlane Fellah
CEO
Maravedis

BROADBAND WIRELESS INTELLIGENCE
www.maravedis-bwa.com © Copyright All Rights Reserved 2011 Maravedis Inc.

Disclaimer
All data contained in this presentation is proprietary to Maravedis Inc. The findings of this
presentation are the result of interviews and surveys conducted to the Top 100 4G operators, as
well as an exhaustive analysis of the 4G industry, including regulators and equipment vendors.

Do not distribute Maravedis Confidential Information to 3rd parties
Do not distribute Maravedis Confidential Information outside of your licensed individual or
location
Do not publicly display Maravedis Confidential Information

Maravedis Inc makes no warranties express or implied as to the results to be obtained from use of
materials from this presentation and makes no warranties express or implied of merchantability or
fitness for a particular purpose. Maravedis Inc shall have no liability to the recipient of this
presentation to any third party for any indirect, incidental, special or consequential damages
arising out of use of this information.


Using the Webinar Interface
a) Attendee List (only your name)

b) Grab Tab – click arrow to open/close Control
Panel. Click square to toggle Viewer Window
between full screen/window mode.

c) Audio pane – select audio format. Click Audio
Setup to select Mic & Speakers.

d) You can submit questions and review answers.
Type your question and click Send to submit it to the
organizer.


Commonly Asked Questions
Can I obtain the slides?
Yes – Attendees will receive an email after the webinar
with a link to download a PDF version of the presentation
slides.
This event is also being recorded. You will be sent a link
to watch the recorded webcast within the next 2 business
days.

Where can I obtain more information about the research
discussed today?
For information, please visit the Maravedis website at
www.maravedis-bwa.com


Agenda
Key Events Q3 2011

4G Spectrum Update 2H 2011

LTE Trends and Highlights Q3 2011

WiMAX Trends and Highlights Q3 2011

Conclusions


4G Spectrum Update – 2H 2011
United Kingdom Sweden
800MHz , 2.6 GHz 1800 MHz

Mexico
700MHz

Venezuela France
1.7GHz, 2.1GHz, 3.5GHz 2.6 GHz South Korea
2.1 GHz, 1.8 GHz, 800 MHz

Colombia 1.9GHz , India
1.7-2.1 GHz, 2.6GHz Brazil - 3.5GHz, 2.1 160MHz to be auctioned
GHz

Australia
South Africa 700MHz and 2.5GHz
Chile
2.6 GHz 2.6 GHz and 800 MHz
Argentina – 800 and
1.9GHz
Allocation Concluded in 2H 2011 Allocation Planned for 2012

LTE Scenario Q3 2011
36 Commercial LTE Networks
206 November 2011
LTE Commitments 1. Telekom Austria 19. Mobile Telesystems –
Q3 2011 2. Omnitel – Lithuania Uzbekistan
3. NetCom – Norway 20. Ucel l – Uz bekistan
4. Smart – Philippines 21. TDC – Denmark
5. Mobyland – Poland 22. Australia – Telstra
6. TeliaSonera – Denmark 23. Etisalat – UAE
25 181 7. EMT – Estonia
8. Elisa – Finland
24. AT&T – United States
25. Zain – Saudi Arabia
TD-LTE FDD-LTE 9. Sonera – Finland 26. STC – Saudi Arabia
10. Telenor – Sweden 27. Mobily – Saudi Arabia
11. Tele2 – Sweden 28. Verizon Wireless – USA
12. TeliaSonera – Sweden 29. Bell Mobility – Canada
LTE Commercial Deployments 13. Deutsche Telekom – 30. Rogers Wireless – Canada.
Germany 31. O2 – Germany
164 14. Vodafone – Germany 32. LG U+ - South Korea
15. CSL (Telstra) – Hong Kong 33. SK Telecom – South Korea.
16. MetroPCS – USA 34. M1 – Singapore
61 17. Smart Communications – 35. LMT – Lithuania.
Philippines 36. NTT Docomo – Japan
2 16 18. Aero2 – Poland
35 commercial LTE network launches (12 Oct 2011)
2009 2010 2011 2012 Maravedis Research & Global mobile Suppliers Association (GSA)


FDD LTE Trends Q3 2011
• Leading regions in terms of
FDD LTE subscribers :
1st - North America (USA)
2nd - APAC (Japan and SK)

• Lower subscriber uptake than
expected in Europe despite large
number of deployments (16).

• First commercial deployments in
MEA (Saudi Arabia & UAE).

• No commercial deployments in
CALA as of Q3 2011. Initial
deployments to take place during Source: 4GCounts Operator Interviews.
1H 2012 in Mexico, Colombia and
Puerto Rico.


TD-LTE Trends Q3 2011
APAC, leading region in terms APAC, leading region in terms
of TD-LTE commitments. of TD-LTE subscribers.

Some things you must know about TD-LTE:
3 commercial TD-LTE networks to date: Aero2 (Poland), Mobily (Saudi Arabia) and STC (Saudi Arabia).
Strong support of TD-LTE in APAC: Malaysia, Taiwan, Australia, South Korea, China and India.
Volume production of TD-LTE handsets starting to materialize by the end of 2012. Smartphones available by 2013.
Deployment timeline of TD-LTE by China Mobile is crucial for the success of TD-LTE globally.

LTE RAN Infrastructure and Devices Trends Q3 2011

 NSN-Motorola and Huawei had the lion’s share of awarded LTE contracts, with 29% and 26% respectively.
 Huawei and Ericsson won contracts from Colombian operator UNE EPM for the deployment of an LTE
network, expected to go live early next year.
 Ericsson also signed a TD-LTE deal in India with Augere Wireless Broadband, with services to start next
year.
 Slow down in WiMAX RAN, but faster growth in LTE RAN.


WiMAX Device Trends - Q3 2011

The top 50 WiMAX operators tracked in 4GCounts accounted for 73.4% of
the total BWA/WiMAX device activated base.
95% were mobile WiMAX devices, 3.5% were fixed WiMAX devices and
1.5% were proprietary devices.


WiMAX Device Trends - Q3 2011 (cont.)

•Top 3 vendors among top 50 WiMAX operators are: NSN-Motorola, Samsung and
HTC.
•Handsets/smartphones have become the dominant 4G devices today, surpassing
USB dongles and modems.
•Tablets are taking off rapidly, and the trend in 2012 will be towards these devices.


WiMAX Base Station Trends - Q3 2011

GLOBAL METRICS:
• At the end of Q3 2011, the industry reported a total of 800,000 base station sectors installed
• Among the Top 50 WiMAX operators, mobile WiMAX base stations sector installed base
accounted for 84%
• Among the top 50 WiMAX operators, Samsung has retained the leading position in terms of
WiMAX base stations installed


Conclusions
REGULATION
The major steps that all regulators should consider following: 1) Start refarming
analog to digital spectrum 2) Take back unused spectrum from carriers that are not
fully utilizing it 3) Do not allocate too much spectrum or an entire band in the hands
of only one player.

DEPLOYMENTS
The two largest markets in the world in terms of population, China and India, are
preparing for deploying TD-LTE

DEVICES
Carriers launching TD-LTE in 2011 and early 2012 will use devices such as USB
dongles, data cards and routers


About 4GCounts
The only web-based service providing unparalleled granularity on
global 4G deployments and business models

4GCounts is for...
• Service Providers
• Equipment Vendors
• Financiers
• Consultants and Others

Information covered...
• 4G Subscribers, ARPU and Revenues.
• Service offerings.
• Subscriber Forecasts.
• Information on devices, base stations and backhaul
• Breakdown of devices by vendor and standard.
• Spectrum information
• LTE & WiMAX Investment history.
• And much more!!!
Visit: www.4gcounts.com


Contact Information
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Montreal, QC,
H2Y 1W2
CANADA

(305) 992-3196

(514) 313-5465

info@maravedis-bwa.com

www.maravedis-bwa.com


4gcounts Webinar Q3 2011

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