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By-
                                                                                  Maneesh Garg
                                                                                 November 2011
                                                                           11jgbs-mgarg@jgu.edu.in




Industry and Company
Analysis- Bhushan Steel Ltd.
Analysis with the help of Beta Value, Min. Variance point, and other Financial indicators
Industry and Company Analysis- Bhushan Steel Ltd.                                                                                                                                               2007-2011

Table of Contents
Introduction - Steel Industry: .............................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................2
Company overview – Bhushan Steel Ltd........................................................................................................................................................................................................................................3
Financial Analysis (5 years Sales and Profit) ...............................................................................................................................................................................................................................5
Rate of Return ............................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................6
5 years Performance chart of Bhushan Steel stock (Source : moneycontrol.com) .....................................................................................................................................................7
Quarterly and Yearly Rate of Return Analysis.............................................................................................................................................................................................................................8
     Yearly Rate of Return ........................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................8
Quarterly Sales and Profit analysis ............................................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 10
     Sales Turnover .................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................. 10
     Net Profit ............................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................. 11
Monthly Rate of Return Analysis .................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 12
Volatility .................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 14
Choice of Efficient Portfolio through Correlation:- ................................................................................................................................................................................................................ 15
Minimum Variance Point ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 15
BETA ESTIMATION FOR BHUSHAN STEEL LTD. - 2007 to 2011 .................................................................................................................................................................................... 21
Conclusion ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................ 24




Submitted by- Maneesh Garg …. 11jgbs-mgarg@jgu.edu.in ….Jindal global Business School                                                                                                                                                                                                                         1
Industry and Company Analysis- Bhushan Steel Ltd.                                          2007-2011

Introduction - Steel Industry:
The Indian iron and steel industry is nearly a century old, with Tata Iron & Steel Co (Tata Steel) as the first integrated steel plant to be set
up in 1907. The steel industry is expanding worldwide. For a number of years it has been benefiting from the exceptionally buoyant Asian
economies (mainly India and China). The economic modernization processes in these countries are driving the sharp rise in demand for
steel.
The New Industrial policy adopted by the Government of India has opened up the iron and steel sector for private investment by
removing it from the list of industries reserved for public sector and exempting it from compulsory licensing. Imports of foreign
technology as well as foreign direct investment are freely permitted up to certain limits under an automatic route. While the existing
units are being modernized/expanded, a large number of new/greenfield steel plants have also come up in different parts of the country
based on modern, cost effective, state of-the-art technologies.
Soaring demand by sectors like infrastructure, real estate and automobiles, at home and abroad, has put India's steel industry on the
world map. India's steel production during 2009-10 was 64.88 million tons (MT), up 11% from a year ago. India has emerged as the fifth
largest producer of steel in the world and is likely to become the second largest producer of crude steel by 2015-16.



LIST OF COUNTRIES IN STEEL PRODUCTION (in Million MT) - 2009

                                                                           Dominating the Indian horizon is steel giant Tata Steel, whose
                                                                           takeover of the UK-Dutch steel company Corus is the
                                                                           country's biggest buyout. Meanwhile, the LN Mittal-owned
                                                                           Mittal Steel acquired French steel company Arcelor to create
                                                                           the world’s number one steel company, Arcelor Mittal; and
                                                                           Korean steel giant POSCO is pumping money into mines and
                                                                           steel plants in Orissa to emerge as one of the biggest steel
                                                                           plants in the state.




Submitted by- Maneesh Garg …. 11jgbs-mgarg@jgu.edu.in ….Jindal global Business School                                                         2
Industry and Company Analysis- Bhushan Steel Ltd.                                  2007-2011

                                                       World's 10 Largest Steel Companies
                      No                 Company Name                   Country             Crude Steel Output per year
                       1    ArcelorMittal                             Luxembourg                    103,300,000            (
                                                                                                                           M
                       2    Nippon Steel                              Japan                         37,500,000             T
                                                                                                                           )
                       3    Baosteel                                  China                         35,400,000
                       4    Posco                                     South Korea                   34,700,000
                       5    Hebei Iron & Steel Group                  China                         33,300,000
                       6    JFE Holdings                              Japan                         33,000,000
                       7    Wuhan Iron & Steel Group (Wisco)          China                         27,700,000
                       8    Tata Steel                                India                         24,400,000
                       9    Jiangsu Shagang Group                     China                         23,300,000
                      10    U.S. Steel                                USA                           23,200,000



Company overview – Bhushan Steel Ltd.
Bhushan Steel Ltd formerly known as Bhushan Steel & Strips Ltd. is a globally renowned one of the leading prominent player in Steel
Industry. Backed by more than two decades, of experience in Steel making, Bhushan Steel is now India’s 3rd largest Secondary Steel
Producer after SAIL and TISCO with an existing steel production capacity of 1.25MTPA (approx.).
The company is a source for vivid variety of products such as Cold Rolled Closed Annealed, Galvanized Coil and Sheet, High Tensile Steel
Strapping, Colour Coated Coils, Galume Sheets and Coils, Hardened & Tempered Steel Strips, Billets, Sponge Iron, Precision Tubes and
Wire Rod.
Major raw materials for company are CR/HR Coils/Strips/Skelp, Coal, Iron Ore, Zinc & Alloy Zinc, Paints and Dolomite.
As one of the prime movers of the technological revolutions in Indian Cold Rolled Steel Industry, BSL has emerged as the country’s largest
and the only Cold Rolled Steel Plant with an independent line for manufacturing Cold Rolled Coil and Sheet up to a width of 1700mm, as
well as Galvanized Coil and Sheet up to a width of 1350 mm.
Bhushan Steel Limited, is an ISO 9002, QS 9000 certified and a company of Rs. 2868 crores ($650 million approx.).
Given a vibrant Steel industry dynamics in India, BSL is on a course to become fully Integrated Steel & Power Company with market
leading offerings in value added Steel in Automotive and White Good Segment
Submitted by- Maneesh Garg …. 11jgbs-mgarg@jgu.edu.in ….Jindal global Business School                                                   3
Industry and Company Analysis- Bhushan Steel Ltd.                                       2007-2011

The company has three manufacturing units in India.
   (i)     In Maharashtra (Khopoli Unit) established in 2004 with capacity of 425000 MT per annum
   (ii)    In U.P. (Sahibabad Unit) established in 1987 with capacity of 475,000 MT per annum.
   (iii)   In Orissa (Meramandali Unit) Company has partially installed the Phase II of the integrated steel plant at Orissa with the
           production facility of Hot Roll Coil Mill (1.90 Mtpa.


Expansion Projects:
The company started its backward integration with capacity of 1.9 MTP EXPANSION PROJECT A of hot rolled steel at its integrated steel
plant at Orissa coupled with another capacity expansion (a brownfield one) which shall enhance the HR capacity to 4.40 MTPA by Oct.
201 2. Another expansion plans in future are as follows:
(ii)In West Bengal a 2 million tons per annum steel & 1000 MW thermal power plant by its subsidiary Bhushan Energy.
(iii)Chhattisgarh Govt. has signed MOU with Bhushan Energy Ltd. for setting up 1000MW Power Plant with an investment of INR
40Billion.


Customers:
BSL to be a favourite with all quality conscious users of Automobiles & White Goods/Domestic Appliances & General Engineering
Industries, Maruti Udyog, Honda Siel Cars, Telco, Hindustan Motors , General Motor, Hyundai Motors, Ford Motors, Mahindra & Mahindra,
Eicher Tractors, Ashok Leyland, LG Electronics, Whirlpool, Videocon, Daikin Shriram, National Matsushita, Samsung Electronics, Godrej,
Voltas, IFB, Fedders Lloyd, Carrier Refrigeration, Electrolux Group, Hitachi Air conditioners, SKF Bearing, Crompton Greaves, Philips India,
BHEL, Alstom Limited, L&T,BPL,GE Motors, Johnson Lift, Kone Elevator, Lucas TVS,NRB Bearing, Harsha Engineers Limited, Bundy India
Limited, Tecumesh, Bajaj Auto, Honda Motorcycle, Yamaha, Bajaj Tempo.




Submitted by- Maneesh Garg …. 11jgbs-mgarg@jgu.edu.in ….Jindal global Business School                                                     4
Industry and Company Analysis- Bhushan Steel Ltd.                                                               2007-2011

Financial Analysis (5 years Sales and Profit)

                                                                                    Financial Analysis
                                 8000                                                                                                               7576

                                 7000
                                                                                                                             6003          6349
                                 6000                                                                 5410
                                                                                                                      5135
                  Value in Rs.

                                                                          4673
                                 5000            4202
                                                                                             4293
                                 4000                             3917
                                          3547
                                 3000
                                 2000                                                        1117                                         1227
                                        655                      756                                                 868                                   1005
                                 1000                                                                                               846
                                                        313                       424                        421
                                   0
                                              2007                     2008                         2009                   2010                   2011

                                                              Export Sales        Domestic Sales       Gross Sales    Net Profit


From the last five year trend of sales and profit, we see the following percentage growth of the company from year 2007 to 2011:- The
export sales of the company grown by 87% and domestic sales grown by 79%. Hence the gross sales of the company increased by 80%.
Along with all these interpretations we can easily deduce from the data that net profits of the company more than tripled during this term
2007 to 2011.

Key Financial Indicators
                                         Mar '11 Mar '10 Mar '09 Mar '08 Mar '07
Face Value                                 2      10       10      10      10
Dividend Per Share                        0.5     2.5     2.5     2.5     2.5

Operating Profit Per Share (Rs)           95.61      342.05   257.44     196.68     147.89

Debt Equity Ratio                          2.86       2.89     3.98      3.52       2.67
Earnings Per Share                        47.16      199.09    99.2      99.77      73.76
Dividend Payout Ratio                      1.29       1.46     2.94      2.93       3.96

Source : Dion Global Solutions Limited

Company split the shares in September 2010 from the face value of 10 to 2 Rs. That is the reason dividend per share and EPS has fall
down.

Submitted by- Maneesh Garg …. 11jgbs-mgarg@jgu.edu.in ….Jindal global Business School                                                                                     5
Industry and Company Analysis- Bhushan Steel Ltd.                                                         2007-2011

Rate of Return
                              BHUSHAN STEEL AND LTD. RATE OF RETURN ANALYSIS Jan'2007 to Oct'2011
                       2007                            2008                            2009                            2010                            2011
                               Rate of                         Rate of                         Rate of                         Rate of                         Rate of
           Openning Closing                Openning Closing                Openning Closing                Openning Closing                Openning Closing
                              Return (%)                      Return (%)                      Return (%)                      Return (%)                      Return (%)

   Jan       375.1    427.3      13.9       1554.3   1089.0      -29.9       315.5    287.6      -8.9       1453.2   1438.3      -1.0        473.9    396.9      -16.3
   Feb       427.3    399.3      -6.6       1089.0   1028.6       -5.5       287.6    300.3      4.4        1438.3   1601.3      11.3        396.9    376.2       -5.2
   Mar       399.3    513.5      28.6       1028.6    666.1      -35.2       300.3    395.7      31.8       1601.3   1679.8      4.9         376.2    436.7       16.1
 1st Qtr                         36.9                           -57.1                            25.4                            15.6                            -7.9
  Apr        513.5    537.5      4.7         666.1    804.4       20.8       395.7    417.3      5.5        1679.8   1786.9       6.4        436.7    498.7      14.2
  May        537.5    660.5      22.9        804.4    909.7       13.1       417.3    639.1      53.1       1786.9   1398.9      -21.7       498.7    454.9      -8.8
  Jun        660.5    695.9      5.4         909.7    811.3      -10.8       639.1    656.9      2.8        1398.9   1415.2       1.2        454.9    438.4      -3.6
 2nd Qtr                         35.5                            21.8                            66.0                           -15.7                            0.4
1st Half                        85.5                            -47.8                           108.2                           -2.6                            -7.5
    Jul      695.9    704.5      1.2         811.3    927.2       14.3      656.9     781.6      19.0       1415.2   1555.1       9.9        438.4    391.5      -10.7
   Aug       704.5    763.0      8.3         927.2    844.2       -8.9      781.6    1076.6      37.7       1555.1   1817.5       16.9       391.5    343.9      -12.2
   Sep       763.0    931.7      22.1        844.2    672.4      -20.4      1076.6   1404.2      30.4       1817.5    415.5      -77.1       343.9    333.9       -2.9
 3rd Qtr                         33.9                           -17.1                           113.8                           -70.6                           -23.8
   Oct      931.7    1065.7      14.4        672.4    642.9       -4.4      1404.2   1153.7      -17.8       415.5    495.8       19.3       333.9    342.5      2.6
   Nov      1065.7   1349.8      26.7        642.9    395.2      -38.5      1153.7   1337.9       16.0       495.8    433.1      -12.7
   Dec      1349.8   1554.3      15.2        395.2    315.5      -20.2      1337.9   1453.2       8.6        433.1    473.9       9.4
 4th Qtr                         66.8                           -53.1                            3.5                             14.1                           -100.0
2nd Half                        123.3                           -61.1                           121.2                           -66.5                          -100.0
 Yearly                         314.4                           -79.7                           360.6                           -67.4                           -27.7




Submitted by- Maneesh Garg …. 11jgbs-mgarg@jgu.edu.in ….Jindal global Business School                                                                                    6
Industry and Company Analysis- Bhushan Steel Ltd.   2007-2011

5 years Performance chart of Bhushan Steel stock (Source : moneycontrol.com)
As we can see from the graph that there is
4 times that the price of the stock went up
sharply. The potential reasons for these
sharp increases can be as follows:-
    1. January 2008- Bhushan Steel
        planned for new steel plant in
        Orissa.
    2. April 2010- The Company
        expanded its production capacity
        from 1.2 Mt to 2.3 Mt.
    3. October 2010- The steel industry
        was booming at this time. And the
        steel prices headed up.
    4. April 2011- The board of the
        company approved for raising
        USD 1 bn through issue of
        securities.




Submitted by- Maneesh Garg …. 11jgbs-mgarg@jgu.edu.in ….Jindal global Business School              7
Industry and Company Analysis- Bhushan Steel Ltd.                                       2007-2011

Quarterly and Yearly Rate of Return Analysis
                                         QUATERLY & YEARLY RATE OF RETURN ANALYSIS Jan'2007 to Oct'2011
             2007 - Rate of                 2008 - Rate of              2009 - Rate of              2010 - Rate of              2011 - Rate of
  Month                       Month                          Month                       Month                       Month
              Return (%)                     Return (%)                  Return (%)                  Return (%)                  Return (%)
  1st Qtr        36.9         1st Qtr           -57.1        1st Qtr        25.4         1st Qtr        15.6         1st Qtr         -7.9
  2nd Qtr        35.5         2nd Qtr           21.8         2nd Qtr        66.0         2nd Qtr        -15.7        2nd Qtr         0.4
  1st Half       85.5         1st Half          -47.8        1st Half       108.2        1st Half        -2.6        1st Half        -7.5
  3rd Qtr        33.9         3rd Qtr           -17.1        3rd Qtr        113.8        3rd Qtr        -70.6        3rd Qtr        -23.8
 4th Qtr         66.8         4th Qtr           -53.1        4th Qtr         3.5         4th Qtr        14.1         4th Qtr
 2nd Half        123.3        2nd Half          -61.1        2nd Half       121.2        2nd Half       -66.5        2nd Half
  Yearly         314.4         Yearly           -79.7         Yearly        360.6         Yearly        -67.4         Yearly        -27.7

Yearly Rate of Return




Submitted by- Maneesh Garg …. 11jgbs-mgarg@jgu.edu.in ….Jindal global Business School                                                            8
Industry and Company Analysis- Bhushan Steel Ltd.       2007-2011




Submitted by- Maneesh Garg …. 11jgbs-mgarg@jgu.edu.in ….Jindal global Business School           9
Industry and Company Analysis- Bhushan Steel Ltd.                  2007-2011

Quarterly Sales and Profit analysis
Sales Turnover
Sum of Sales Turnover Column Labels
Row Labels                       2006    2007      2008    2009    2010        2011 Grand Total
Mar                                   1054.66   1215.07 1119.95 1608.74     1966.16     6964.58
Jun                                    938.03   1319.79 1304.7 1372.65      2231.78     7166.95
Sep                            994.71 1068.12   1516.96 1298.48 1718.91                 6597.18
Dec                           1000.81 982.73    1003.69    1429 1942.74                 6358.97
Grand Total                   1995.52 4043.54   5055.51 5152.13 6643.04     4197.94    27087.68



 350

 300

 250
                                                                                            2006
                                                                                            2007
 200
                                                                                            2008
 150                                                                                        2009
                                                                                            2010
 100
                                                                                            2011

  50

   0
              Mar                 Jun                 Sep                 Dec



Submitted by- Maneesh Garg …. 11jgbs-mgarg@jgu.edu.in ….Jindal global Business School                     10
Industry and Company Analysis- Bhushan Steel Ltd.              2007-2011

Net Profit

Sum of Net Profit Column Labels
Row Labels                   2006 2007 2008            2009     2010 2011 Grand Total
Mar                                109.7    135       116.4   240.93 287.96    889.99
Jun                                98.14 132.68      171.87   205.74 209.96    818.39
Sep                         69.59 103.41 142.97      189.16   259.02           764.15
Dec                         71.72 74.57 20.74        227.43   280.35           674.81
Grand Total                141.31 385.82 431.39      704.86   986.04 497.92   3147.34



 350

 300

 250                                                                                    2006
                                                                                        2007
 200
                                                                                        2008
 150                                                                                    2009
                                                                                        2010
 100
                                                                                        2011
  50

   0
              Mar                 Jun                 Sep                Dec




Submitted by- Maneesh Garg …. 11jgbs-mgarg@jgu.edu.in ….Jindal global Business School                 11
Industry and Company Analysis- Bhushan Steel Ltd.                            2007-2011

Monthly Rate of Return Analysis
                             MONTHLY RATE OF RETURN ANALYSIS Jan'2007 to Oct'2011
            2007 - Rate of             2008 - Rate of           2009 - Rate of           2010 - Rate of           2011 - Rate of
  Month                      Month                      Month                    Month                    Month
             Return (%)                 Return (%)               Return (%)               Return (%)               Return (%)
   Jan           13.9         Jan          -29.9         Jan         -8.9         Jan         -1.0         Jan        -16.3
   Feb           -6.6         Feb           -5.5         Feb         4.4          Feb         11.3         Feb         -5.2
   Mar           28.6         Mar          -35.2         Mar         31.8         Mar         4.9          Mar         16.1
   Apr            4.7         Apr           20.8         Apr         5.5          Apr         6.4          Apr         14.2
   May           22.9         May           13.1         May         53.1         May        -21.7         May         -8.8
   Jun            5.4         Jun          -10.8         Jun         2.8          Jun         1.2          Jun         -3.6
    Jul           1.2          Jul          14.3          Jul        19.0          Jul        9.9           Jul       -10.7
   Aug            8.3         Aug           -8.9         Aug         37.7         Aug         16.9         Aug        -12.2
   Sep           22.1         Sep          -20.4         Sep         30.4         Sep        -77.1         Sep         -2.9
   Oct           14.4         Oct           -4.4         Oct        -17.8         Oct         19.3         Oct         2.6
   Nov           26.7         Nov          -38.5         Nov         16.0         Nov        -12.7         Nov       #DIV/0!
   Dec           15.2         Dec          -20.2         Dec         8.6          Dec         9.4          Dec       #DIV/0!




Submitted by- Maneesh Garg …. 11jgbs-mgarg@jgu.edu.in ….Jindal global Business School                                          12
Industry and Company Analysis- Bhushan Steel Ltd. 2007-2011

                                                                                                             Prices are
                                                                                                             likely to go up
                            2007 - Rate of Return (%)                                                        by by Rs 500 to
                                                                                                                                            K'taka plans
                                                                                                                                            permanent ban          2008 - Rate of Return (%)
 The government forced                                                                                       Rs 1,000, on
                                                                                                             the corrugated                 on iron ore
 all the manufacturers to          28.6   Increase in steel prices
                                                                                                             galvanized                     exports.
   30.0
 reduce prices                                                                                     26.7
                                                                                                             Sheets                  30.0                                   20.8
                                                 22.9     News for startup         22.1
                                                          of Orissa plant at                                                         20.0                                             13.1              14.3
   20.0                                                   year end
                                                                                           14.4           15.2                       10.0
                13.9
                                                                            8.3                                                       0.0
   10.0                                   4.7            5.4
                                                                                                                                    -10.0      Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun                                 Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
                                                                 1.2                                                                                                                               -10.8
                                                                                                                                                           -5.5                                                   -8.9           -4.4
     0.0                                                                                                                            -20.0                                                                                -20.4                     -20.2
                                                                                                                                    -30.0




                                                                                            Oct


                                                                                                          Dec
                           Feb


                                          Apr




                                                                            Aug
                Jan




                                                 May
                                                         Jun
                                                                 Jul
                                   Mar




                                                                                    Sep


                                                                                                   Nov
                                                                                                                                                -29.9                              Secondary steel cos to
  -10.0                    -6.6                                                                                                     -40.0                          -35.2           cut prices by Rs 4K/ts
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        -38.5

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Buy rating from            SAT clears
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 all the                    Bhushan's open
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 brockrage                  offer for Orissa
                            2009 - Rate of Return (%)                                                                                                               2010 - Rate of Return (%)                                    houses                     Sponge
              Bhushan gets                                                                    Bhushan Steel, plans
              SEBI nod for                                                                    $3.5bn steel plant                                                                                                                 19.3
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  16.9
   60.0       Orissa Sponge                      53.1                                                                                20.0                   11.3                                            9.9                                     9.4
              open offer                                                                                                                                                     6.4                1.2
                                                                                                                                                                      4.9
                                                                            37.7
   40.0                            31.8                                                                                               0.0
                                                                                    30.4
                                                                                                                                                Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
                                                                 19.0
                                                                                                   16.0                             -20.0           -1.0                                                                                 -12.7
   20.0                                                                                                   8.6
                                                                                                                                                                                      -21.7
                           4.4            5.5             2.8                                                                       -40.0                                                                                                        Stock split
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 from face
     0.0                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         value 10 to 2
                                                                                                                                    -60.0                                                        I-T Dept raids
                                                                                            Oct


                                                                                                          Dec
                                          Apr




                                                                            Aug
                           Feb
                Jan




                                                 May
                                                         Jun
                                                                 Jul
                                   Mar




                                                                                    Sep


                                                                                                   Nov

                                                                                                                                                                                                 Bhushan Steel,
                                                                                                                                                                                                 Bhushan Power
  -20.0          -8.9
                                                                                           -17.8                                    -80.0                                                                                -77.1


    The global steel                                                                                  mining
    demand has               2011 - Rate of Return (%)                                                industry is
                                                                                                                                                                                   Yearly Return (%)
    gone up by 13%                                                                                    likely to face a
    in the year 2010                                                                                  loss of nearly
                                                                                                      Rs 16000 crore
  20.0                                                                  board had
                                                                                                      from illegal
                                     16.1                               approved                      mining in                             400.0                                                      360.6
                                                                        raising up
                                                14.2                                                  Karnataka.                                              314.4
                                                                        to USD 1                                                            350.0
  15.0                                                                  billion
           All brockrage
                                                                        through                                  Rupee                      300.0
           houses were                                                  an issue of                              depreciation
  10.0     giving sell
                                                                        securities                               to cause hike              250.0
           rating in                                                    after                                    in steel prices:
           january 2011                                                                                                                     200.0
                                                                        October
    5.0                                                                                                                                     150.0
                                                                                                            2.6
                                                                                                                                            100.0                                                                            -67.4              -27.7
                                                                                                                                                                                     -79.7
    0.0                                                                                                                                      50.0
               Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun                                        Jul      Aug Sep Oct                                            0.0
  -5.0                                                                                                                                      -50.0           2007               2008                   2009               2010             2011
                            -5.2                                     -3.6                          -2.9
                                                                                                                                        -100.0
 -10.0                                                   -8.8
                                                                               -10.7                      Growth for India's steel industry has been
                                                                                          -12.2           hampered by regulatory and environmental
 -15.0                                                                                                    hurdles, land acquisition delays and social
                -16.3                                                                                     opposition .

 -20.0

Submitted by- Maneesh Garg …. 11jgbs-mgarg@jgu.edu.in ….Jindal global Business School                                                                                                                                                                                          13
Industry and Company Analysis- Bhushan Steel Ltd.                      2007-2011

Volatility

                                   Volatility of Stock (Jan'2007 to Oct'2011) - Bhushan Steel Ltd.
               36


               32


               28


               24


               20
  Volatility




               16


               12


                8


                4


                0
                      Year   Jan      Feb     Mar     Apr    May       Jun      Jul     Aug   Sep    Oct   Nov   Dec
               2007   2007   1.6      1.1     1.9     1.7     2.1      1.2      1.1     3.7   4.6    3.9   8.8   3.6
               2008   2008   5.3      3.8     3.5     2.5     2.8      2.0      2.0     1.5   1.7    4.8   4.5   3.3
               2009   2009   2.7      4.8     5.3     2.8     8.9      4.9      5.4     3.6   4.1    2.7   3.0   1.5
               2010   2010   3.1      2.7     1.7     1.7     2.5      2.3      1.0     1.8   34.9   3.9   3.0   3.0
               2011   2011   2.7      2.7     1.7     1.8     1.8      2.1      1.7     2.6   2.3    1.8



Submitted by- Maneesh Garg …. 11jgbs-mgarg@jgu.edu.in ….Jindal global Business School                                  14
Industry and Company Analysis- Bhushan Steel Ltd.                                     2007-2011

Choice of Efficient Portfolio through Correlation:-
To make the efficient portfolio we are taking Tata Motors as an additional company with Bhushan Steel. As finished product of Bhushan
Steel (Steel Industry) is raw material for Tata Motors (Automobile Industry) so we chose Tata Motors for comparison.

Minimum Variance Point
                                                            5 years from 2007-2011

  Bhushan Steel (A)       Tata Motors (B)
                                              Correlation                                                      E(P)
    E(A)      σA          E(B)        σB
                                                                          0
  -0.0093   5.8719       -0.1292    5.7884      0.1325
                                                                               3         3.5         4   4.5      5   5.5   6   6.5
                                                                       -0.02
     w1            w2              E(P)         σP                     -0.04
                                                                                   Min.Var.point-
                                                                                   By investing
      1             0              -0.01        5.87                               50% in
                                                                                   Bhushan Steel
     0.9           0.1             -0.02        5.39                   -0.06       & 50% in Tata




                                                                E(p)
     0.8           0.2             -0.03        4.98                               Motors we can                                      E(P)
                                                                       -0.08       minnimize the
     0.7           0.3             -0.05        4.67                               risk in 5 years
     0.6           0.4             -0.06        4.46                               time. return -
                                                                        -0.1       .07
     0.5           0.5             -0.07        4.39
     0.4           0.6             -0.08        4.44                   -0.12
     0.3           0.7             -0.09        4.63
     0.2           0.8             -0.11        4.93                   -0.14
     0.1           0.9             -0.12        5.32
      0             1              -0.13        5.79



Minimum Variance point is at 4.39. At this point the weights for Bhushan Steel & Tata Motors are .50 & .50 respectively. Which means by
investing 50% in Bhushan Steel & 50% in Tata Motors we can minimize the risk in 5 years’ time.



Submitted by- Maneesh Garg …. 11jgbs-mgarg@jgu.edu.in ….Jindal global Business School                                                   15
Industry and Company Analysis- Bhushan Steel Ltd.                                     2007-2011


                                                                 Year 2007
  BHUSHAN Steel         TATA MOTORS
                                              Correlation                                               E(P)
   E(A)       σA        E(B)       σB
                                                                         0.60
   0.5652     3.7110   -0.0909     2.1334             0.2362                           Min.Var.point-
                                                                                       By investing
                                                                         0.50          20% in Bhushan
                                            As we can see                              Steel & 80% in
                                            that Bhushan                               Tata Motors we
    w1         w2       E(P)       σP       Steel and Tata               0.40          can minnimize
                                            Motor have                                 the risk.
     1          0      0.57        3.71     correlation of                             return .040
                                                                         0.30
    0.9        0.1     0.50        3.40     0.2362 i.e.they
                                            are positively
    0.8        0.2     0.43        3.10




                                                                  E(p)
                                            correlated and               0.20                                                       E(P)
    0.7        0.3     0.37        2.82     thus it means
                                            that this is an
    0.6        0.4     0.30        2.57     average                      0.10
    0.5        0.5     0.24        2.35     portfolio to
                                            invest in. As this
    0.4        0.6     0.17        2.18     will not reduce              0.00
    0.3        0.7     0.11        2.06     the risk involved                    0.0        1.0         2.0    3.0        4.0
                                            in the portfolio
    0.2        0.8     0.04        2.02     to the great                 -0.10
    0.1        0.9     -0.03       2.04     extent.
     0          1      -0.09       2.13                                  -0.20




Minimum Variance point is at 2.02. At this point the weights for Bhushan Steel & Tata Motors are .20 & .80 respectively. This means by
investing 20% in Bhushan Steel & 80% in Tata Motors we can minimize the risk.
Correlation
As we can see that Bhushan Steel and Tata Motor have correlation of 0.2362 i.e. they are positively correlated and thus it means that this
is an average portfolio to invest in. As this will not reduce the risk involved in the portfolio to the great extent


Submitted by- Maneesh Garg …. 11jgbs-mgarg@jgu.edu.in ….Jindal global Business School                                                  16
Industry and Company Analysis- Bhushan Steel Ltd.                                                       2007-2011

                                                                    Year 2008
  BHUSHAN Steel          TATA MOTORS
                                                  Correlation                                                   E(P)
   E(A)       σA         E(B)        σB
                                                                                 -0.634
  -0.6478     3.5419   -0.6357       4.0329                0.3117                         3.00   3.20   3.40    3.60     3.80      4.00     4.20
                                                                                 -0.636
                                                 This portfolio is less
                                                                                 -0.638
   w1          w2        E(P)        σP          attractive then 2007
                                                 portfolio.
    1          0        -0.65        0.00        As we can see that              -0.640
   0.9        0.1       -0.55        0.00        Bhushan Steel and
                                                 Tata Motor have                                          Min.Var.point- By investing 40%




                                                                          E(p)
   0.8        0.2       -0.46        0.00        correlation of                  -0.642                   in Bhushan Steel & 60% in Tata
                                                                                                                                                   E(P)
   0.7        0.3       -0.36        0.00        0.3117 i.e.they are                                      Motors we can minnimize the
                                                 positively                      -0.644                   risk.        return -.641
   0.6        0.4       -0.26        0.00        correlated and thus
   0.5        0.5       -0.17        0.00        it means that it is
                                                 not a good portfolio            -0.646
   0.4        0.6       -0.07        0.00        to invest in. As this
   0.3        0.7        0.02        0.00        will not reduce the             -0.648
   0.2        0.8        0.12        0.00        risk involved in the
                                                 portfolio to the
   0.1        0.9        0.22        0.00        great extent.                   -0.650
    0          1         0.31        0.00

Minimum Variance point is at 3.16. At this point the weights for Bhushan Steel & Tata Motors are .40 & .60 respectively. This means by
investing 40% in Bhushan Steel & 60% in Tata Motors we can minimize the risk.
Correlation
This portfolio is less attractive then 2007 portfolio.
As we can see that Bhushan Steel and Tata Motor have correlation of 0.3117 i.e. they are positively correlated and thus it means that it is
not a good portfolio to invest in. As this will not reduce the risk involved in the portfolio to the great extent.




Submitted by- Maneesh Garg …. 11jgbs-mgarg@jgu.edu.in ….Jindal global Business School                                                                 17
Industry and Company Analysis- Bhushan Steel Ltd.                                         2007-2011

                                                                    Year 2009
  BHUSHAN Steel         TATA MOTORS
                                                Correlation                                     Min.Var.point-
                                                                                                                 E(P)
   E(A)       σA        E(B)        σB                                                          By investing
                                                                                                60% in
                                                                                  0.670         Bhushan Steel
  0.6255      4.6430   0.6676       4.2030                 0.4529
                                                                                                & 40% in Tata
                                                                                  0.665         Motors we can
                                                                                                minnimize the
                                                                                  0.660         risk. return
   w1          w2       E(P)        σP           This portfolio is less           0.655
                                                                                                .651

                                                 attractive then 2007 &
    1          0        0.63       4.64          2008 both.                       0.650
   0.9        0.1       0.63       4.39          As we can see that




                                                                           E(p)
                                                 Bhushan Steel and                0.645
   0.8        0.2       0.63       4.16          Tata Motor have                                                                    E(P)
   0.7        0.3       0.64       3.98          correlation of 0.4529            0.640
                                                 i.e.they are positively
   0.6        0.4       0.64       3.85          correlated and thus it           0.635
                                                 means that it is not a
   0.5        0.5       0.65       3.77          good portfolio to                0.630
   0.4        0.6       0.65       3.75          invest in. As this will
                                                 not reduce the risk
   0.3        0.7       0.65       3.78          involved in the
                                                                                  0.625
   0.2        0.8       0.66       3.87          portfolio to the great
                                                 extent.                          0.620
   0.1        0.9       0.66       4.01                                                   3.0              3.5   4.0    4.5   5.0
    0          1        0.67       4.20


Minimum Variance point is at 3.85. At this point the weights for Bhushan Steel & Tata Motors are .60 & .40 respectively. This means by
investing 60% in Bhushan Steel & 40% in Tata Motors we can minimize the risk.
Correlation
This portfolio is less attractive then 2007 & 2008 both.
As we can see that Bhushan Steel and Tata Motor have correlation of 0.4529 i.e.they are positively correlated and thus it means that it is
not a good portfolio to invest in. As this will not reduce the risk involved in the portfolio to the great extent.



Submitted by- Maneesh Garg …. 11jgbs-mgarg@jgu.edu.in ….Jindal global Business School                                                      18
Industry and Company Analysis- Bhushan Steel Ltd.                                                                2007-2011

                                                                         Year 2010
  BHUSHAN Steel        TATA MOTORS                                                               Min.Var.point- By investing

   E(A)       σA        E(B)       σB
                                               Correlation                                       0% in Bhushan Steel & 100%
                                                                                                 in Tata Motors we can
                                                                                                                                     E(P)
                                                                                                 minimize the risk. Return
                                                                                   0.30          .199
 -0.4447   10.5881     0.1994                             0.0648
                                 2.3500                                            0.20

                                                                                   0.10
   w1         w2        E(P)       σP          This portfolio is
    1          0       -0.44     10.59         attractive than
                                               previous years.                     0.00
   0.9        0.1      -0.38     9.55          As we can see that                          0.0        2.0         4.0          6.0   8.0    10.0   12.0
                                               Bhushan Steel and




                                                                            E(p)
   0.8        0.2      -0.32     8.51                                              -0.10                                                                  E(P)
                                               Tata Motor have
   0.7        0.3      -0.25     7.49          correlation of 0.068
   0.6        0.4      -0.19     6.48          i.e.they are less                   -0.20
                                               positively correlated
   0.5        0.5      -0.12     5.50          and thus it means
                                               that it is a good                   -0.30
   0.4        0.6      -0.06     4.55
                                               portfolio to invest in.
   0.3        0.7       0.01     3.67          As this will reduce
                                                                                   -0.40
   0.2        0.8       0.07     2.92          the risk involved in
                                               the portfolio.
   0.1        0.9       0.14     2.43                                              -0.50
    0          1        0.20     2.35


Minimum Variance point is at 10.59. At this point the weights for Bhushan Steel & Tata Motors are 0.00 & 1.00 respectively. This means by
investing 0% in Bhushan Steel & 100% in Tata Motors we can minimize the risk.
Correlation
This portfolio is attractive than previous years. As we can see that Bhushan Steel and Tata Motor have correlation of 0.068 i.e.they are less
positively correlated and thus it means that it is comparatively a good portfolio to invest in. As this will reduce the risk involved in the
portfolio.



Submitted by- Maneesh Garg …. 11jgbs-mgarg@jgu.edu.in ….Jindal global Business School                                                                        19
Industry and Company Analysis- Bhushan Steel Ltd.                                                              2007-2011

                                                                      Year 2011
  BHUSHAN Steel        TATA MOTORS
                                              Correlation                                                  E(P)
   E(A)       σA        E(B)       σB
                                                                                0.000
 -0.1577      2.2231   -0.9155                          0.2016                           1.0   3.0   5.0    7.0         9.0        11.0          13.0
                                 11.8753                                        -0.100

                                                                                -0.200
                                                                                                           Min.Var.point- By investing 100% in
   w1          w2       E(P)       σP       As we can see that                                             Bhushan Steel & 0% in Tata Motors
                                            Bhushan Steel and                   -0.300                     we can minimize the risk.
    1          0       -0.16      2.22      Tata Motor have                                                Return -.916

   0.9        0.1      -0.23      2.52      correlation of 0.2016               -0.400
                                            i.e.they are positively
   0.8        0.2      -0.31      3.24      correlated and thus it




                                                                         E(p)
                                                                                -0.500                                                                  E(P)
   0.7        0.3      -0.39      4.17      means that this is an
   0.6        0.4      -0.46      5.19      average portfolio to
                                            invest in. As this will
                                                                                -0.600
   0.5        0.5      -0.54      6.26      not reduce the risk
   0.4        0.6      -0.61      7.36      involved in the                     -0.700
                                            portfolio to the great
   0.3        0.7      -0.69      8.47      extent.                             -0.800
   0.2        0.8      -0.76      9.60
   0.1        0.9      -0.84      10.73                                         -0.900
    0          1       -0.92      11.88
                                                                                -1.000



Minimum Variance point is at 2.22. At this point the weights for Bhushan Steel & Tata Motors are 1.00 & 0.00 respectively. This means by
investing 100% in Bhushan Steel & 0% in Tata Motors we can minimize the risk.
Correlation
As we can see that Bhushan Steel and Tata Motor have correlation of 0.2016 i.e.they are positively correlated and thus it means that this is
an average portfolio to invest in. As this will not reduce the risk involved in the portfolio to the great extent.




Submitted by- Maneesh Garg …. 11jgbs-mgarg@jgu.edu.in ….Jindal global Business School                                                                      20
Industry and Company Analysis- Bhushan Steel Ltd.                                  2007-2011

BETA ESTIMATION FOR BHUSHAN STEEL LTD. - 2007 to 2011

                                                                   As we can see from the graph that beta value is 0.7581. This
                                                                   shows that Bhushan stock is less risky than Market. This is also
                                                                   evident from that the graph that returns from Bhushan Steel is
                                                                   less then market return.




                                                                   As we can see from the graph that beta value is 0.6038. This
                                                                   shows that Bhushan stock is less risky than Market. This is also
                                                                   evident from graph that the graph that returns from Bhushan
                                                                   Steel is less then market return.




Submitted by- Maneesh Garg …. 11jgbs-mgarg@jgu.edu.in ….Jindal global Business School                                             21
Industry and Company Analysis- Bhushan Steel Ltd.                                 2007-2011



                                                                   As we can see from the graph that beta value is 1.0465. This
                                                                   shows that Bhushan stock is as much risky as Market. This is
                                                                   also evident from the graph that return from Bhushan Steel is
                                                                   almost equal to market return.




                                                                   As we can see from the graph that beta value is 1.2971. Which
                                                                   shows that Bhushan stock is more risky then Market. This is also
                                                                   evident from that the graph that returns from Bhushan Steel is
                                                                   more than market return. Because as the risk increases the
                                                                   return also increases.




Submitted by- Maneesh Garg …. 11jgbs-mgarg@jgu.edu.in ….Jindal global Business School                                            22
Industry and Company Analysis- Bhushan Steel Ltd.                                2007-2011



                                                                   As we can see from the graph that beta value is 1.0465. Which
                                                                   shows that Bhushan stock is slightly more risky as compared to
                                                                   Market. This is also evident from the graph that return from
                                                                   Bhushan Steel is slightly more than market return.




Submitted by- Maneesh Garg …. 11jgbs-mgarg@jgu.edu.in ….Jindal global Business School                                           23
Industry and Company Analysis- Bhushan Steel Ltd.                                                                    2007-2011

Conclusion
                                                                       Risk & Return Table 2007-2011
 Year              w1             w2            E(P)            σA                  σB                σP              Correlation             Expected Return             Beta Value
 2007              0.2            0.8          0.040          3.7110              2.133             2.015                0.24                        0.040                  0.758
 2008              0.4            0.6         -0.641          3.542               4.033             3.162                0.31                       -0.641                  0.604
 2009              0.6            0.4          0.642          4.643               4.203             3.851                0.45                        0.651                  1.047
 2010               0              1          -0.445          10.588              2.350            10.588                0.06                        0.199                  1.297
 2011               1              0          -0.158          2.223               11.875            2.223                0.20                       -0.916                  1.056

                    Market Return v/s Bhushan Yearly Return(%) Trend (2007 to 2011)                                                  Min. Varience Portfolio
                                                    345.7                                                                                                            1      1
       350.0       306.2                                                                                          1
       300.0                                                                                                    0.9            0.8
                                                                       Yearly Return-Bhushan                    0.8
       250.0                                                                                                    0.7                           0.6    0.6
       200.0                                                           Yearly Return-Nifty                      0.6




                                                                                                            W
                                                                                                                0.5                     0.4                0.4
Return %




       150.0                                                                                                    0.4
       100.0               53.2                             71.5                                                0.3      0.2
                                                                                                                0.2
           50.0                                                            17.2
                                                                                     -30.3 -13.5                0.1                                              0              0
            0.0                                                                                                   0
                    2007             2008            2009          2010              2011                                2007          2008         2009         2010      2011
           -50.0                            -51.8
                                                       Year        -67.9
     -100.0                       -79.8                                                                                              Bhushan Steel         Tata Motors


Above minimum variance portfolio chart is showing that in year 2007 risk optimum investment would be 20% in Bhushan and 80% in Tata
Motors. Similarly in 2008 40% investment in Bhushan Steel and 60% in Tata Motors would reduce the risk to minimum level. In year 2009 this
ratio would be 60% and 40%. In 2010 it would be 0% and 100% and in year 2011 investing 100% in Bhushan and 0% in Tata Motors will
minimize the risk.


Submitted by- Maneesh Garg …. 11jgbs-mgarg@jgu.edu.in ….Jindal global Business School                                                                                               24

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Bhushan Steel - A report and complete analysis of stock price

  • 1. By- Maneesh Garg November 2011 11jgbs-mgarg@jgu.edu.in Industry and Company Analysis- Bhushan Steel Ltd. Analysis with the help of Beta Value, Min. Variance point, and other Financial indicators
  • 2. Industry and Company Analysis- Bhushan Steel Ltd. 2007-2011 Table of Contents Introduction - Steel Industry: .............................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................2 Company overview – Bhushan Steel Ltd........................................................................................................................................................................................................................................3 Financial Analysis (5 years Sales and Profit) ...............................................................................................................................................................................................................................5 Rate of Return ............................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................6 5 years Performance chart of Bhushan Steel stock (Source : moneycontrol.com) .....................................................................................................................................................7 Quarterly and Yearly Rate of Return Analysis.............................................................................................................................................................................................................................8 Yearly Rate of Return ........................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................8 Quarterly Sales and Profit analysis ............................................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 10 Sales Turnover .................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................. 10 Net Profit ............................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................. 11 Monthly Rate of Return Analysis .................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 12 Volatility .................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 14 Choice of Efficient Portfolio through Correlation:- ................................................................................................................................................................................................................ 15 Minimum Variance Point ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 15 BETA ESTIMATION FOR BHUSHAN STEEL LTD. - 2007 to 2011 .................................................................................................................................................................................... 21 Conclusion ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................ 24 Submitted by- Maneesh Garg …. 11jgbs-mgarg@jgu.edu.in ….Jindal global Business School 1
  • 3. Industry and Company Analysis- Bhushan Steel Ltd. 2007-2011 Introduction - Steel Industry: The Indian iron and steel industry is nearly a century old, with Tata Iron & Steel Co (Tata Steel) as the first integrated steel plant to be set up in 1907. The steel industry is expanding worldwide. For a number of years it has been benefiting from the exceptionally buoyant Asian economies (mainly India and China). The economic modernization processes in these countries are driving the sharp rise in demand for steel. The New Industrial policy adopted by the Government of India has opened up the iron and steel sector for private investment by removing it from the list of industries reserved for public sector and exempting it from compulsory licensing. Imports of foreign technology as well as foreign direct investment are freely permitted up to certain limits under an automatic route. While the existing units are being modernized/expanded, a large number of new/greenfield steel plants have also come up in different parts of the country based on modern, cost effective, state of-the-art technologies. Soaring demand by sectors like infrastructure, real estate and automobiles, at home and abroad, has put India's steel industry on the world map. India's steel production during 2009-10 was 64.88 million tons (MT), up 11% from a year ago. India has emerged as the fifth largest producer of steel in the world and is likely to become the second largest producer of crude steel by 2015-16. LIST OF COUNTRIES IN STEEL PRODUCTION (in Million MT) - 2009 Dominating the Indian horizon is steel giant Tata Steel, whose takeover of the UK-Dutch steel company Corus is the country's biggest buyout. Meanwhile, the LN Mittal-owned Mittal Steel acquired French steel company Arcelor to create the world’s number one steel company, Arcelor Mittal; and Korean steel giant POSCO is pumping money into mines and steel plants in Orissa to emerge as one of the biggest steel plants in the state. Submitted by- Maneesh Garg …. 11jgbs-mgarg@jgu.edu.in ….Jindal global Business School 2
  • 4. Industry and Company Analysis- Bhushan Steel Ltd. 2007-2011 World's 10 Largest Steel Companies No Company Name Country Crude Steel Output per year 1 ArcelorMittal Luxembourg 103,300,000 ( M 2 Nippon Steel Japan 37,500,000 T ) 3 Baosteel China 35,400,000 4 Posco South Korea 34,700,000 5 Hebei Iron & Steel Group China 33,300,000 6 JFE Holdings Japan 33,000,000 7 Wuhan Iron & Steel Group (Wisco) China 27,700,000 8 Tata Steel India 24,400,000 9 Jiangsu Shagang Group China 23,300,000 10 U.S. Steel USA 23,200,000 Company overview – Bhushan Steel Ltd. Bhushan Steel Ltd formerly known as Bhushan Steel & Strips Ltd. is a globally renowned one of the leading prominent player in Steel Industry. Backed by more than two decades, of experience in Steel making, Bhushan Steel is now India’s 3rd largest Secondary Steel Producer after SAIL and TISCO with an existing steel production capacity of 1.25MTPA (approx.). The company is a source for vivid variety of products such as Cold Rolled Closed Annealed, Galvanized Coil and Sheet, High Tensile Steel Strapping, Colour Coated Coils, Galume Sheets and Coils, Hardened & Tempered Steel Strips, Billets, Sponge Iron, Precision Tubes and Wire Rod. Major raw materials for company are CR/HR Coils/Strips/Skelp, Coal, Iron Ore, Zinc & Alloy Zinc, Paints and Dolomite. As one of the prime movers of the technological revolutions in Indian Cold Rolled Steel Industry, BSL has emerged as the country’s largest and the only Cold Rolled Steel Plant with an independent line for manufacturing Cold Rolled Coil and Sheet up to a width of 1700mm, as well as Galvanized Coil and Sheet up to a width of 1350 mm. Bhushan Steel Limited, is an ISO 9002, QS 9000 certified and a company of Rs. 2868 crores ($650 million approx.). Given a vibrant Steel industry dynamics in India, BSL is on a course to become fully Integrated Steel & Power Company with market leading offerings in value added Steel in Automotive and White Good Segment Submitted by- Maneesh Garg …. 11jgbs-mgarg@jgu.edu.in ….Jindal global Business School 3
  • 5. Industry and Company Analysis- Bhushan Steel Ltd. 2007-2011 The company has three manufacturing units in India. (i) In Maharashtra (Khopoli Unit) established in 2004 with capacity of 425000 MT per annum (ii) In U.P. (Sahibabad Unit) established in 1987 with capacity of 475,000 MT per annum. (iii) In Orissa (Meramandali Unit) Company has partially installed the Phase II of the integrated steel plant at Orissa with the production facility of Hot Roll Coil Mill (1.90 Mtpa. Expansion Projects: The company started its backward integration with capacity of 1.9 MTP EXPANSION PROJECT A of hot rolled steel at its integrated steel plant at Orissa coupled with another capacity expansion (a brownfield one) which shall enhance the HR capacity to 4.40 MTPA by Oct. 201 2. Another expansion plans in future are as follows: (ii)In West Bengal a 2 million tons per annum steel & 1000 MW thermal power plant by its subsidiary Bhushan Energy. (iii)Chhattisgarh Govt. has signed MOU with Bhushan Energy Ltd. for setting up 1000MW Power Plant with an investment of INR 40Billion. Customers: BSL to be a favourite with all quality conscious users of Automobiles & White Goods/Domestic Appliances & General Engineering Industries, Maruti Udyog, Honda Siel Cars, Telco, Hindustan Motors , General Motor, Hyundai Motors, Ford Motors, Mahindra & Mahindra, Eicher Tractors, Ashok Leyland, LG Electronics, Whirlpool, Videocon, Daikin Shriram, National Matsushita, Samsung Electronics, Godrej, Voltas, IFB, Fedders Lloyd, Carrier Refrigeration, Electrolux Group, Hitachi Air conditioners, SKF Bearing, Crompton Greaves, Philips India, BHEL, Alstom Limited, L&T,BPL,GE Motors, Johnson Lift, Kone Elevator, Lucas TVS,NRB Bearing, Harsha Engineers Limited, Bundy India Limited, Tecumesh, Bajaj Auto, Honda Motorcycle, Yamaha, Bajaj Tempo. Submitted by- Maneesh Garg …. 11jgbs-mgarg@jgu.edu.in ….Jindal global Business School 4
  • 6. Industry and Company Analysis- Bhushan Steel Ltd. 2007-2011 Financial Analysis (5 years Sales and Profit) Financial Analysis 8000 7576 7000 6003 6349 6000 5410 5135 Value in Rs. 4673 5000 4202 4293 4000 3917 3547 3000 2000 1117 1227 655 756 868 1005 1000 846 313 424 421 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Export Sales Domestic Sales Gross Sales Net Profit From the last five year trend of sales and profit, we see the following percentage growth of the company from year 2007 to 2011:- The export sales of the company grown by 87% and domestic sales grown by 79%. Hence the gross sales of the company increased by 80%. Along with all these interpretations we can easily deduce from the data that net profits of the company more than tripled during this term 2007 to 2011. Key Financial Indicators Mar '11 Mar '10 Mar '09 Mar '08 Mar '07 Face Value 2 10 10 10 10 Dividend Per Share 0.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 Operating Profit Per Share (Rs) 95.61 342.05 257.44 196.68 147.89 Debt Equity Ratio 2.86 2.89 3.98 3.52 2.67 Earnings Per Share 47.16 199.09 99.2 99.77 73.76 Dividend Payout Ratio 1.29 1.46 2.94 2.93 3.96 Source : Dion Global Solutions Limited Company split the shares in September 2010 from the face value of 10 to 2 Rs. That is the reason dividend per share and EPS has fall down. Submitted by- Maneesh Garg …. 11jgbs-mgarg@jgu.edu.in ….Jindal global Business School 5
  • 7. Industry and Company Analysis- Bhushan Steel Ltd. 2007-2011 Rate of Return BHUSHAN STEEL AND LTD. RATE OF RETURN ANALYSIS Jan'2007 to Oct'2011 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Rate of Rate of Rate of Rate of Rate of Openning Closing Openning Closing Openning Closing Openning Closing Openning Closing Return (%) Return (%) Return (%) Return (%) Return (%) Jan 375.1 427.3 13.9 1554.3 1089.0 -29.9 315.5 287.6 -8.9 1453.2 1438.3 -1.0 473.9 396.9 -16.3 Feb 427.3 399.3 -6.6 1089.0 1028.6 -5.5 287.6 300.3 4.4 1438.3 1601.3 11.3 396.9 376.2 -5.2 Mar 399.3 513.5 28.6 1028.6 666.1 -35.2 300.3 395.7 31.8 1601.3 1679.8 4.9 376.2 436.7 16.1 1st Qtr 36.9 -57.1 25.4 15.6 -7.9 Apr 513.5 537.5 4.7 666.1 804.4 20.8 395.7 417.3 5.5 1679.8 1786.9 6.4 436.7 498.7 14.2 May 537.5 660.5 22.9 804.4 909.7 13.1 417.3 639.1 53.1 1786.9 1398.9 -21.7 498.7 454.9 -8.8 Jun 660.5 695.9 5.4 909.7 811.3 -10.8 639.1 656.9 2.8 1398.9 1415.2 1.2 454.9 438.4 -3.6 2nd Qtr 35.5 21.8 66.0 -15.7 0.4 1st Half 85.5 -47.8 108.2 -2.6 -7.5 Jul 695.9 704.5 1.2 811.3 927.2 14.3 656.9 781.6 19.0 1415.2 1555.1 9.9 438.4 391.5 -10.7 Aug 704.5 763.0 8.3 927.2 844.2 -8.9 781.6 1076.6 37.7 1555.1 1817.5 16.9 391.5 343.9 -12.2 Sep 763.0 931.7 22.1 844.2 672.4 -20.4 1076.6 1404.2 30.4 1817.5 415.5 -77.1 343.9 333.9 -2.9 3rd Qtr 33.9 -17.1 113.8 -70.6 -23.8 Oct 931.7 1065.7 14.4 672.4 642.9 -4.4 1404.2 1153.7 -17.8 415.5 495.8 19.3 333.9 342.5 2.6 Nov 1065.7 1349.8 26.7 642.9 395.2 -38.5 1153.7 1337.9 16.0 495.8 433.1 -12.7 Dec 1349.8 1554.3 15.2 395.2 315.5 -20.2 1337.9 1453.2 8.6 433.1 473.9 9.4 4th Qtr 66.8 -53.1 3.5 14.1 -100.0 2nd Half 123.3 -61.1 121.2 -66.5 -100.0 Yearly 314.4 -79.7 360.6 -67.4 -27.7 Submitted by- Maneesh Garg …. 11jgbs-mgarg@jgu.edu.in ….Jindal global Business School 6
  • 8. Industry and Company Analysis- Bhushan Steel Ltd. 2007-2011 5 years Performance chart of Bhushan Steel stock (Source : moneycontrol.com) As we can see from the graph that there is 4 times that the price of the stock went up sharply. The potential reasons for these sharp increases can be as follows:- 1. January 2008- Bhushan Steel planned for new steel plant in Orissa. 2. April 2010- The Company expanded its production capacity from 1.2 Mt to 2.3 Mt. 3. October 2010- The steel industry was booming at this time. And the steel prices headed up. 4. April 2011- The board of the company approved for raising USD 1 bn through issue of securities. Submitted by- Maneesh Garg …. 11jgbs-mgarg@jgu.edu.in ….Jindal global Business School 7
  • 9. Industry and Company Analysis- Bhushan Steel Ltd. 2007-2011 Quarterly and Yearly Rate of Return Analysis QUATERLY & YEARLY RATE OF RETURN ANALYSIS Jan'2007 to Oct'2011 2007 - Rate of 2008 - Rate of 2009 - Rate of 2010 - Rate of 2011 - Rate of Month Month Month Month Month Return (%) Return (%) Return (%) Return (%) Return (%) 1st Qtr 36.9 1st Qtr -57.1 1st Qtr 25.4 1st Qtr 15.6 1st Qtr -7.9 2nd Qtr 35.5 2nd Qtr 21.8 2nd Qtr 66.0 2nd Qtr -15.7 2nd Qtr 0.4 1st Half 85.5 1st Half -47.8 1st Half 108.2 1st Half -2.6 1st Half -7.5 3rd Qtr 33.9 3rd Qtr -17.1 3rd Qtr 113.8 3rd Qtr -70.6 3rd Qtr -23.8 4th Qtr 66.8 4th Qtr -53.1 4th Qtr 3.5 4th Qtr 14.1 4th Qtr 2nd Half 123.3 2nd Half -61.1 2nd Half 121.2 2nd Half -66.5 2nd Half Yearly 314.4 Yearly -79.7 Yearly 360.6 Yearly -67.4 Yearly -27.7 Yearly Rate of Return Submitted by- Maneesh Garg …. 11jgbs-mgarg@jgu.edu.in ….Jindal global Business School 8
  • 10. Industry and Company Analysis- Bhushan Steel Ltd. 2007-2011 Submitted by- Maneesh Garg …. 11jgbs-mgarg@jgu.edu.in ….Jindal global Business School 9
  • 11. Industry and Company Analysis- Bhushan Steel Ltd. 2007-2011 Quarterly Sales and Profit analysis Sales Turnover Sum of Sales Turnover Column Labels Row Labels 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Grand Total Mar 1054.66 1215.07 1119.95 1608.74 1966.16 6964.58 Jun 938.03 1319.79 1304.7 1372.65 2231.78 7166.95 Sep 994.71 1068.12 1516.96 1298.48 1718.91 6597.18 Dec 1000.81 982.73 1003.69 1429 1942.74 6358.97 Grand Total 1995.52 4043.54 5055.51 5152.13 6643.04 4197.94 27087.68 350 300 250 2006 2007 200 2008 150 2009 2010 100 2011 50 0 Mar Jun Sep Dec Submitted by- Maneesh Garg …. 11jgbs-mgarg@jgu.edu.in ….Jindal global Business School 10
  • 12. Industry and Company Analysis- Bhushan Steel Ltd. 2007-2011 Net Profit Sum of Net Profit Column Labels Row Labels 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Grand Total Mar 109.7 135 116.4 240.93 287.96 889.99 Jun 98.14 132.68 171.87 205.74 209.96 818.39 Sep 69.59 103.41 142.97 189.16 259.02 764.15 Dec 71.72 74.57 20.74 227.43 280.35 674.81 Grand Total 141.31 385.82 431.39 704.86 986.04 497.92 3147.34 350 300 250 2006 2007 200 2008 150 2009 2010 100 2011 50 0 Mar Jun Sep Dec Submitted by- Maneesh Garg …. 11jgbs-mgarg@jgu.edu.in ….Jindal global Business School 11
  • 13. Industry and Company Analysis- Bhushan Steel Ltd. 2007-2011 Monthly Rate of Return Analysis MONTHLY RATE OF RETURN ANALYSIS Jan'2007 to Oct'2011 2007 - Rate of 2008 - Rate of 2009 - Rate of 2010 - Rate of 2011 - Rate of Month Month Month Month Month Return (%) Return (%) Return (%) Return (%) Return (%) Jan 13.9 Jan -29.9 Jan -8.9 Jan -1.0 Jan -16.3 Feb -6.6 Feb -5.5 Feb 4.4 Feb 11.3 Feb -5.2 Mar 28.6 Mar -35.2 Mar 31.8 Mar 4.9 Mar 16.1 Apr 4.7 Apr 20.8 Apr 5.5 Apr 6.4 Apr 14.2 May 22.9 May 13.1 May 53.1 May -21.7 May -8.8 Jun 5.4 Jun -10.8 Jun 2.8 Jun 1.2 Jun -3.6 Jul 1.2 Jul 14.3 Jul 19.0 Jul 9.9 Jul -10.7 Aug 8.3 Aug -8.9 Aug 37.7 Aug 16.9 Aug -12.2 Sep 22.1 Sep -20.4 Sep 30.4 Sep -77.1 Sep -2.9 Oct 14.4 Oct -4.4 Oct -17.8 Oct 19.3 Oct 2.6 Nov 26.7 Nov -38.5 Nov 16.0 Nov -12.7 Nov #DIV/0! Dec 15.2 Dec -20.2 Dec 8.6 Dec 9.4 Dec #DIV/0! Submitted by- Maneesh Garg …. 11jgbs-mgarg@jgu.edu.in ….Jindal global Business School 12
  • 14. Industry and Company Analysis- Bhushan Steel Ltd. 2007-2011 Prices are likely to go up 2007 - Rate of Return (%) by by Rs 500 to K'taka plans permanent ban 2008 - Rate of Return (%) The government forced Rs 1,000, on the corrugated on iron ore all the manufacturers to 28.6 Increase in steel prices galvanized exports. 30.0 reduce prices 26.7 Sheets 30.0 20.8 22.9 News for startup 22.1 of Orissa plant at 20.0 13.1 14.3 20.0 year end 14.4 15.2 10.0 13.9 8.3 0.0 10.0 4.7 5.4 -10.0 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 1.2 -10.8 -5.5 -8.9 -4.4 0.0 -20.0 -20.4 -20.2 -30.0 Oct Dec Feb Apr Aug Jan May Jun Jul Mar Sep Nov -29.9 Secondary steel cos to -10.0 -6.6 -40.0 -35.2 cut prices by Rs 4K/ts -38.5 Buy rating from SAT clears all the Bhushan's open brockrage offer for Orissa 2009 - Rate of Return (%) 2010 - Rate of Return (%) houses Sponge Bhushan gets Bhushan Steel, plans SEBI nod for $3.5bn steel plant 19.3 16.9 60.0 Orissa Sponge 53.1 20.0 11.3 9.9 9.4 open offer 6.4 1.2 4.9 37.7 40.0 31.8 0.0 30.4 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 19.0 16.0 -20.0 -1.0 -12.7 20.0 8.6 -21.7 4.4 5.5 2.8 -40.0 Stock split from face 0.0 value 10 to 2 -60.0 I-T Dept raids Oct Dec Apr Aug Feb Jan May Jun Jul Mar Sep Nov Bhushan Steel, Bhushan Power -20.0 -8.9 -17.8 -80.0 -77.1 The global steel mining demand has 2011 - Rate of Return (%) industry is Yearly Return (%) gone up by 13% likely to face a in the year 2010 loss of nearly Rs 16000 crore 20.0 board had from illegal 16.1 approved mining in 400.0 360.6 raising up 14.2 Karnataka. 314.4 to USD 1 350.0 15.0 billion All brockrage through Rupee 300.0 houses were an issue of depreciation 10.0 giving sell securities to cause hike 250.0 rating in after in steel prices: january 2011 200.0 October 5.0 150.0 2.6 100.0 -67.4 -27.7 -79.7 0.0 50.0 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct 0.0 -5.0 -50.0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 -5.2 -3.6 -2.9 -100.0 -10.0 -8.8 -10.7 Growth for India's steel industry has been -12.2 hampered by regulatory and environmental -15.0 hurdles, land acquisition delays and social -16.3 opposition . -20.0 Submitted by- Maneesh Garg …. 11jgbs-mgarg@jgu.edu.in ….Jindal global Business School 13
  • 15. Industry and Company Analysis- Bhushan Steel Ltd. 2007-2011 Volatility Volatility of Stock (Jan'2007 to Oct'2011) - Bhushan Steel Ltd. 36 32 28 24 20 Volatility 16 12 8 4 0 Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 2007 2007 1.6 1.1 1.9 1.7 2.1 1.2 1.1 3.7 4.6 3.9 8.8 3.6 2008 2008 5.3 3.8 3.5 2.5 2.8 2.0 2.0 1.5 1.7 4.8 4.5 3.3 2009 2009 2.7 4.8 5.3 2.8 8.9 4.9 5.4 3.6 4.1 2.7 3.0 1.5 2010 2010 3.1 2.7 1.7 1.7 2.5 2.3 1.0 1.8 34.9 3.9 3.0 3.0 2011 2011 2.7 2.7 1.7 1.8 1.8 2.1 1.7 2.6 2.3 1.8 Submitted by- Maneesh Garg …. 11jgbs-mgarg@jgu.edu.in ….Jindal global Business School 14
  • 16. Industry and Company Analysis- Bhushan Steel Ltd. 2007-2011 Choice of Efficient Portfolio through Correlation:- To make the efficient portfolio we are taking Tata Motors as an additional company with Bhushan Steel. As finished product of Bhushan Steel (Steel Industry) is raw material for Tata Motors (Automobile Industry) so we chose Tata Motors for comparison. Minimum Variance Point 5 years from 2007-2011 Bhushan Steel (A) Tata Motors (B) Correlation E(P) E(A) σA E(B) σB 0 -0.0093 5.8719 -0.1292 5.7884 0.1325 3 3.5 4 4.5 5 5.5 6 6.5 -0.02 w1 w2 E(P) σP -0.04 Min.Var.point- By investing 1 0 -0.01 5.87 50% in Bhushan Steel 0.9 0.1 -0.02 5.39 -0.06 & 50% in Tata E(p) 0.8 0.2 -0.03 4.98 Motors we can E(P) -0.08 minnimize the 0.7 0.3 -0.05 4.67 risk in 5 years 0.6 0.4 -0.06 4.46 time. return - -0.1 .07 0.5 0.5 -0.07 4.39 0.4 0.6 -0.08 4.44 -0.12 0.3 0.7 -0.09 4.63 0.2 0.8 -0.11 4.93 -0.14 0.1 0.9 -0.12 5.32 0 1 -0.13 5.79 Minimum Variance point is at 4.39. At this point the weights for Bhushan Steel & Tata Motors are .50 & .50 respectively. Which means by investing 50% in Bhushan Steel & 50% in Tata Motors we can minimize the risk in 5 years’ time. Submitted by- Maneesh Garg …. 11jgbs-mgarg@jgu.edu.in ….Jindal global Business School 15
  • 17. Industry and Company Analysis- Bhushan Steel Ltd. 2007-2011 Year 2007 BHUSHAN Steel TATA MOTORS Correlation E(P) E(A) σA E(B) σB 0.60 0.5652 3.7110 -0.0909 2.1334 0.2362 Min.Var.point- By investing 0.50 20% in Bhushan As we can see Steel & 80% in that Bhushan Tata Motors we w1 w2 E(P) σP Steel and Tata 0.40 can minnimize Motor have the risk. 1 0 0.57 3.71 correlation of return .040 0.30 0.9 0.1 0.50 3.40 0.2362 i.e.they are positively 0.8 0.2 0.43 3.10 E(p) correlated and 0.20 E(P) 0.7 0.3 0.37 2.82 thus it means that this is an 0.6 0.4 0.30 2.57 average 0.10 0.5 0.5 0.24 2.35 portfolio to invest in. As this 0.4 0.6 0.17 2.18 will not reduce 0.00 0.3 0.7 0.11 2.06 the risk involved 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 in the portfolio 0.2 0.8 0.04 2.02 to the great -0.10 0.1 0.9 -0.03 2.04 extent. 0 1 -0.09 2.13 -0.20 Minimum Variance point is at 2.02. At this point the weights for Bhushan Steel & Tata Motors are .20 & .80 respectively. This means by investing 20% in Bhushan Steel & 80% in Tata Motors we can minimize the risk. Correlation As we can see that Bhushan Steel and Tata Motor have correlation of 0.2362 i.e. they are positively correlated and thus it means that this is an average portfolio to invest in. As this will not reduce the risk involved in the portfolio to the great extent Submitted by- Maneesh Garg …. 11jgbs-mgarg@jgu.edu.in ….Jindal global Business School 16
  • 18. Industry and Company Analysis- Bhushan Steel Ltd. 2007-2011 Year 2008 BHUSHAN Steel TATA MOTORS Correlation E(P) E(A) σA E(B) σB -0.634 -0.6478 3.5419 -0.6357 4.0329 0.3117 3.00 3.20 3.40 3.60 3.80 4.00 4.20 -0.636 This portfolio is less -0.638 w1 w2 E(P) σP attractive then 2007 portfolio. 1 0 -0.65 0.00 As we can see that -0.640 0.9 0.1 -0.55 0.00 Bhushan Steel and Tata Motor have Min.Var.point- By investing 40% E(p) 0.8 0.2 -0.46 0.00 correlation of -0.642 in Bhushan Steel & 60% in Tata E(P) 0.7 0.3 -0.36 0.00 0.3117 i.e.they are Motors we can minnimize the positively -0.644 risk. return -.641 0.6 0.4 -0.26 0.00 correlated and thus 0.5 0.5 -0.17 0.00 it means that it is not a good portfolio -0.646 0.4 0.6 -0.07 0.00 to invest in. As this 0.3 0.7 0.02 0.00 will not reduce the -0.648 0.2 0.8 0.12 0.00 risk involved in the portfolio to the 0.1 0.9 0.22 0.00 great extent. -0.650 0 1 0.31 0.00 Minimum Variance point is at 3.16. At this point the weights for Bhushan Steel & Tata Motors are .40 & .60 respectively. This means by investing 40% in Bhushan Steel & 60% in Tata Motors we can minimize the risk. Correlation This portfolio is less attractive then 2007 portfolio. As we can see that Bhushan Steel and Tata Motor have correlation of 0.3117 i.e. they are positively correlated and thus it means that it is not a good portfolio to invest in. As this will not reduce the risk involved in the portfolio to the great extent. Submitted by- Maneesh Garg …. 11jgbs-mgarg@jgu.edu.in ….Jindal global Business School 17
  • 19. Industry and Company Analysis- Bhushan Steel Ltd. 2007-2011 Year 2009 BHUSHAN Steel TATA MOTORS Correlation Min.Var.point- E(P) E(A) σA E(B) σB By investing 60% in 0.670 Bhushan Steel 0.6255 4.6430 0.6676 4.2030 0.4529 & 40% in Tata 0.665 Motors we can minnimize the 0.660 risk. return w1 w2 E(P) σP This portfolio is less 0.655 .651 attractive then 2007 & 1 0 0.63 4.64 2008 both. 0.650 0.9 0.1 0.63 4.39 As we can see that E(p) Bhushan Steel and 0.645 0.8 0.2 0.63 4.16 Tata Motor have E(P) 0.7 0.3 0.64 3.98 correlation of 0.4529 0.640 i.e.they are positively 0.6 0.4 0.64 3.85 correlated and thus it 0.635 means that it is not a 0.5 0.5 0.65 3.77 good portfolio to 0.630 0.4 0.6 0.65 3.75 invest in. As this will not reduce the risk 0.3 0.7 0.65 3.78 involved in the 0.625 0.2 0.8 0.66 3.87 portfolio to the great extent. 0.620 0.1 0.9 0.66 4.01 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.0 0 1 0.67 4.20 Minimum Variance point is at 3.85. At this point the weights for Bhushan Steel & Tata Motors are .60 & .40 respectively. This means by investing 60% in Bhushan Steel & 40% in Tata Motors we can minimize the risk. Correlation This portfolio is less attractive then 2007 & 2008 both. As we can see that Bhushan Steel and Tata Motor have correlation of 0.4529 i.e.they are positively correlated and thus it means that it is not a good portfolio to invest in. As this will not reduce the risk involved in the portfolio to the great extent. Submitted by- Maneesh Garg …. 11jgbs-mgarg@jgu.edu.in ….Jindal global Business School 18
  • 20. Industry and Company Analysis- Bhushan Steel Ltd. 2007-2011 Year 2010 BHUSHAN Steel TATA MOTORS Min.Var.point- By investing E(A) σA E(B) σB Correlation 0% in Bhushan Steel & 100% in Tata Motors we can E(P) minimize the risk. Return 0.30 .199 -0.4447 10.5881 0.1994 0.0648 2.3500 0.20 0.10 w1 w2 E(P) σP This portfolio is 1 0 -0.44 10.59 attractive than previous years. 0.00 0.9 0.1 -0.38 9.55 As we can see that 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 Bhushan Steel and E(p) 0.8 0.2 -0.32 8.51 -0.10 E(P) Tata Motor have 0.7 0.3 -0.25 7.49 correlation of 0.068 0.6 0.4 -0.19 6.48 i.e.they are less -0.20 positively correlated 0.5 0.5 -0.12 5.50 and thus it means that it is a good -0.30 0.4 0.6 -0.06 4.55 portfolio to invest in. 0.3 0.7 0.01 3.67 As this will reduce -0.40 0.2 0.8 0.07 2.92 the risk involved in the portfolio. 0.1 0.9 0.14 2.43 -0.50 0 1 0.20 2.35 Minimum Variance point is at 10.59. At this point the weights for Bhushan Steel & Tata Motors are 0.00 & 1.00 respectively. This means by investing 0% in Bhushan Steel & 100% in Tata Motors we can minimize the risk. Correlation This portfolio is attractive than previous years. As we can see that Bhushan Steel and Tata Motor have correlation of 0.068 i.e.they are less positively correlated and thus it means that it is comparatively a good portfolio to invest in. As this will reduce the risk involved in the portfolio. Submitted by- Maneesh Garg …. 11jgbs-mgarg@jgu.edu.in ….Jindal global Business School 19
  • 21. Industry and Company Analysis- Bhushan Steel Ltd. 2007-2011 Year 2011 BHUSHAN Steel TATA MOTORS Correlation E(P) E(A) σA E(B) σB 0.000 -0.1577 2.2231 -0.9155 0.2016 1.0 3.0 5.0 7.0 9.0 11.0 13.0 11.8753 -0.100 -0.200 Min.Var.point- By investing 100% in w1 w2 E(P) σP As we can see that Bhushan Steel & 0% in Tata Motors Bhushan Steel and -0.300 we can minimize the risk. 1 0 -0.16 2.22 Tata Motor have Return -.916 0.9 0.1 -0.23 2.52 correlation of 0.2016 -0.400 i.e.they are positively 0.8 0.2 -0.31 3.24 correlated and thus it E(p) -0.500 E(P) 0.7 0.3 -0.39 4.17 means that this is an 0.6 0.4 -0.46 5.19 average portfolio to invest in. As this will -0.600 0.5 0.5 -0.54 6.26 not reduce the risk 0.4 0.6 -0.61 7.36 involved in the -0.700 portfolio to the great 0.3 0.7 -0.69 8.47 extent. -0.800 0.2 0.8 -0.76 9.60 0.1 0.9 -0.84 10.73 -0.900 0 1 -0.92 11.88 -1.000 Minimum Variance point is at 2.22. At this point the weights for Bhushan Steel & Tata Motors are 1.00 & 0.00 respectively. This means by investing 100% in Bhushan Steel & 0% in Tata Motors we can minimize the risk. Correlation As we can see that Bhushan Steel and Tata Motor have correlation of 0.2016 i.e.they are positively correlated and thus it means that this is an average portfolio to invest in. As this will not reduce the risk involved in the portfolio to the great extent. Submitted by- Maneesh Garg …. 11jgbs-mgarg@jgu.edu.in ….Jindal global Business School 20
  • 22. Industry and Company Analysis- Bhushan Steel Ltd. 2007-2011 BETA ESTIMATION FOR BHUSHAN STEEL LTD. - 2007 to 2011 As we can see from the graph that beta value is 0.7581. This shows that Bhushan stock is less risky than Market. This is also evident from that the graph that returns from Bhushan Steel is less then market return. As we can see from the graph that beta value is 0.6038. This shows that Bhushan stock is less risky than Market. This is also evident from graph that the graph that returns from Bhushan Steel is less then market return. Submitted by- Maneesh Garg …. 11jgbs-mgarg@jgu.edu.in ….Jindal global Business School 21
  • 23. Industry and Company Analysis- Bhushan Steel Ltd. 2007-2011 As we can see from the graph that beta value is 1.0465. This shows that Bhushan stock is as much risky as Market. This is also evident from the graph that return from Bhushan Steel is almost equal to market return. As we can see from the graph that beta value is 1.2971. Which shows that Bhushan stock is more risky then Market. This is also evident from that the graph that returns from Bhushan Steel is more than market return. Because as the risk increases the return also increases. Submitted by- Maneesh Garg …. 11jgbs-mgarg@jgu.edu.in ….Jindal global Business School 22
  • 24. Industry and Company Analysis- Bhushan Steel Ltd. 2007-2011 As we can see from the graph that beta value is 1.0465. Which shows that Bhushan stock is slightly more risky as compared to Market. This is also evident from the graph that return from Bhushan Steel is slightly more than market return. Submitted by- Maneesh Garg …. 11jgbs-mgarg@jgu.edu.in ….Jindal global Business School 23
  • 25. Industry and Company Analysis- Bhushan Steel Ltd. 2007-2011 Conclusion Risk & Return Table 2007-2011 Year w1 w2 E(P) σA σB σP Correlation Expected Return Beta Value 2007 0.2 0.8 0.040 3.7110 2.133 2.015 0.24 0.040 0.758 2008 0.4 0.6 -0.641 3.542 4.033 3.162 0.31 -0.641 0.604 2009 0.6 0.4 0.642 4.643 4.203 3.851 0.45 0.651 1.047 2010 0 1 -0.445 10.588 2.350 10.588 0.06 0.199 1.297 2011 1 0 -0.158 2.223 11.875 2.223 0.20 -0.916 1.056 Market Return v/s Bhushan Yearly Return(%) Trend (2007 to 2011) Min. Varience Portfolio 345.7 1 1 350.0 306.2 1 300.0 0.9 0.8 Yearly Return-Bhushan 0.8 250.0 0.7 0.6 0.6 200.0 Yearly Return-Nifty 0.6 W 0.5 0.4 0.4 Return % 150.0 0.4 100.0 53.2 71.5 0.3 0.2 0.2 50.0 17.2 -30.3 -13.5 0.1 0 0 0.0 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 -50.0 -51.8 Year -67.9 -100.0 -79.8 Bhushan Steel Tata Motors Above minimum variance portfolio chart is showing that in year 2007 risk optimum investment would be 20% in Bhushan and 80% in Tata Motors. Similarly in 2008 40% investment in Bhushan Steel and 60% in Tata Motors would reduce the risk to minimum level. In year 2009 this ratio would be 60% and 40%. In 2010 it would be 0% and 100% and in year 2011 investing 100% in Bhushan and 0% in Tata Motors will minimize the risk. Submitted by- Maneesh Garg …. 11jgbs-mgarg@jgu.edu.in ….Jindal global Business School 24