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BARCELONA                                                                                   REAL ESTATE MARKET
                                                                                             Q3 & Q4 2012




    Informed buyers                              • A perceived bottoming out of
                                                 residential property sales prices.
                                                                                                  snap up the best on offer. The second
                                                                                                  half of 2012 saw the development
of Barcelona residen-                                                                             of rental yields on Barcelona city

tial property consider                           “In 2012, we saw a number of our
                                                 investor clients who had been observing
                                                                                                  prime residential properties that are
                                                                                                  competitive internationally. Combined
that the market has                              the market for the last few years                with proposed changes to Spanish law
                                                 starting to buy up discounted properties         to provide residency permits to non-
bottomed out                                     in prime areas of Barcelona city. This           EU property owners, we expect these
                                                 demonstrates that informed buyers of             factors to generate much more foreign
Alex Vaughan
Director and Co-Founder                          Barcelona residential property consider          buyer interest in Barcelona in the
Lucas Fox                                        that the market has bottomed out,” said          coming year,” Vaughan said.
                                                 Alex Vaughan, Lucas Fox Director.

BARCELONA REAL ESTATE                            “We expect this trend to continue in             PROPERTY TRANSACTIONS
MARKET: SUMMARY                                  2013 and for property asking prices to fall
                                                 in line with actual sales prices. As more        A new wave of discounted properties
Price signals and levels of sales activity       properties come to market from local             coming onto the market helped
in the second half of 2012 suggest that          owners and banks, foreign buyers will            reactivate the Barcelona and Spanish
2013 will see continued busy trading in
the Barcelona real estate market.

2012 saw some big factors in the
Barcelona real estate market:

• A higher volume of property sales
transactions building from the summer
months as confidence returned to the
                                                                                                                                           * Source: Ine.es




market

• Ongoing increases in foreign
visitors looking for short term rental
accommodation throughout the year
                                                      Urban Property Transfers (Sales of Free Housing Stock) – Barcelona and Spain: 2012




                          BARCELONA REAL ESTATE MARKET Q3 & Q4 2012                                                        www.lucasfox.com
property markets in the second and                               BARCELONA PROPERTY                                   Barcelona 2011          Barcelona 2012

third quarters of 2012. Lucas Fox sold at                        SALES PRICES                                       4000

least three times as many properties in
                                                                                                                    3500
Q3 and Q4 of 2012 than in the previous                           2012 may be the year that Barcelona
twelve months.                                                   property made its final moves towards
                                                                                                                    3000
                                                                 a bottoming of market sales prices.
According to the official figures property                       While the first half of 2013 may see               2500
                                                                 some price adjustments, the increased
sales transactions were at the highest
                                                                 sales transactions in mid-2012 suggest
volume level in Q3 2012, peaking with                                                                               2000
                                                                 that foreign buyers looking for the best                   Jan         Mar         May         Jul         Sept         Nov




                                                                                                                     ‘000
2269 sales in July and staying above                             properties were not willing to wait
                                                                                                                                  Feb         Apr         Jun         Aug          Oct         Dec

2000 transactions each month of that                             any longer before taking advantage of
quarter. Despite some drop off in trading                        market opportunities.
at the start of the fourth quarter, sales                                                                                 Barcelona Airport Arrivals (‘000):
                                                                                                                          2011 – 2012
transactions began to climb again in                             Barcelona average property sales price                   Source: Aena.es
October and November 2012 (the latest                            at the end of 2012 came in at €3,217 per
month for which data is currently                                square metre.
available), with signs that the year was
ending with increased sales activity.                            Pedralbes / Les Corts, continued its                 Barcelona 2011          Barcelona 2012

This has been the experience at Lucas                            reign as the district with the highest
                                                                                                                    160
Fox, where buyers have been keen to                              property prices, reflecting its exclusive
complete sales transactions before the                           status as a high-end business, shopping            120
end of the 2012 tax year.                                        and leisure district, ending the year at
                                                                 €4,077 per square metre.                            80


                                                                                                                     40


                                                                                                                      0
                                                                                                                            Jan         Mar         May         Jul         Sept         Nov
                                                                                                                                  Feb         Apr         Jun         Aug          Oct         Dec




                                                                                                                          Foreign residents staying in holiday
                                                                                                                          apartments in Catalonia (‘000): 2011
                                                                                                                          and 2012 / Source: Ine.es




                                                                                                                    The biggest price adjustments between
                                                                                                                    the end of 2011 and the end of 2012
                                                                                                                    were in Eixample, Gracia and Sarria
                                                                                                                    Sant-Gervasi, with these districts
                                                                                                                    recording reductions on 2011 prices of
                                                                                                                    €382, €523 and €534 per square metre
           Barcelona Property Average Sales Prices (Average and by District): 2010 – 2012 / Source: idealista.com
                                                                                                                    respectively.

                                                                                                                    “In our opinion central Barcelona
                                                                                                                    property prices reflect excellent value
                                                                                                                    when compared with the prices of
€ per m2




                                                                                                                    other European capitals” commented
                                                                                                                    Lucas Fox Director and co-founder
                                                                                                                    Stijn Teeuwen. “The lifestyle factors
                                                                                                                    remain as compelling as ever and we
                                                                                                                    are gradually reaching a point where
                                                                                                                    Barcelona property can once again
                                                                                                                    be classified as a very good medium
                                                                                                                    term investment. It is clear that a
                                                                                                                    further adjustment is required in some
                                                                                                                    property asking prices to
                                                                                                                    bring them in line with real sales
                                                                                                                    prices but we expect this to happen
           Barcelona Rental Property Prices (Average and By District): 2010 - 2012 / Source: idealista.com
                                                                                                                    through 2013”.




                                     BARCELONA REAL ESTATE MARKET Q3 & Q4 2012                                                                                  www.lucasfox.com
Foreign readers visiting Lucas Fox website pages for Barcelona properties Q2 & Q3 2012
                        Source: Lucas Fox Google Analytics data




BARCELONA RENTAL MARKET                           indicators help investors determine                       FOREIGN INVESTMENT
                                                  the potential yield that can be
Barcelona average rental prices                   generated from purchasing Barcelona                       Foreign residents invested heavily in
dropped by a fifth of a Euro in most              apartments primarily for use as tourist                   Catalonian property (which includes
districts in the second half of 2012,             accommodation.                                            Barcelona) in the first three quarters of
falling from an average of €11.30 per                                                                       2012, accounting for 20.6% of all foreign
square metre at the end of Q2 to an               Catalonia (including Barcelona)                           real estate investment across Spain.
average of €10.90 per square metre                received the most foreign tourist visits                  In 2012, Lucas Fox facilitated foreign
at year’s end. The districts of Horta             in all of Spain, accounting for 25% of                    investment
Guinardó, Sant Andreu and Ciutat Vella            all foreign tourist arrivals in 2012, and                 sales transactions totalling around
held steadiest during the second half             increasing its international visitor                      €50 million.
off 2012. Ciutat Vella ended the year             numbers by 9.9% over 2011 figures,
maintaining its mid-year average rental           with close to 14.5 million foreign                        As in the first quarters of 2012, Q3
price of €12.40 per square metre.                 visitor arrivals.                                         and Q4 saw continuing high levels of
                                                                                                            demand from Swiss and Russian clients.
                                                  Between March and October, Barcelona                      The other most important group was
A study by real estate portal Idealista           continued to see monthly increases                        French clients, motivated by tax hikes
- released in November 2012 - showed              on airport arrivals compared with the                     in France. The remainder of the interest
gross rental yields in Barcelona                  months in 2011. Overall, to the end of                    was split between traditional Northern
(4.1%) are stronger than in the                   December 2012, airport arrivals were                      European client groups with increasing
property markets of London (3.4%)                 2.2% higher than in 2011.                                 demand from emerging markets such
and Paris (3%).                                                                                             as China, India and Latin America.
                                                  More foreign residents stayed in
SHORT-TERM RENTAL DEMAND                          holiday apartments every month of                         2012 visitor numbers to the Lucas
                                                  2012 than in comparative months                           Fox website increased significantly
Barcelona airport arrivals and the                in 2011. While figures are for all of                     compared to 2011, with 35% more
numbers of foreign travellers staying in          Catalonia, the majority of holiday                        visitors reviewing Barcelona properties
holiday apartments are good indicators            apartments are located in Barcelona                       on our webpages. The majority of our
of demand for short-term rental                   city. In Q3 2012, over 120,000 foreign                    international website visitors were
accommodation in Barcelona. These                 residents stayed in holiday apartments                    from the UK, United States, France,
                                                  each month.                                               Russia and Germany.




                      BARCELONA REAL ESTATE MARKET Q3 & Q4 2012                                                                  www.lucasfox.com
LUCAS FOX ANALYSIS                              international buyer interest in Barcelona   The biggest potential game changer
                                                residential and commercial property.        could be the proposal to grant residency
AND PREDICTIONS
                                                                                            to non-EU buyers who invest in
                                                As in 2012, the main demand will be for     residential property in Spain. If this
All the evidence suggests that the              prime properties in the best locations,     expected law change is passed in early
positive market developments that               either in the city centre or along the      2013, we anticipate that it will generate
we saw in the last quarters of 2012 will        coastline to the north and south of the     huge demand from wealthy buyers
continue into 2013. The combination of          city. We expect there to be continuing      located in Russia, India, Africa and Asia.
increased confidence in the Eurozone            demand for properties to renovate:
and Spain, heavily discounted property          with interest in apartments, houses and
prices, improving rental yields, and the        entire buildings, as buyers recognise
proposed changes to Spanish residency           that very good opportunities exist to
laws look set to continue driving               which they can add value.




 DESIGNER PENTHOUSE                               LUXURY APARTMENT                            HOUSE / VILLA
 LOCATION: BARCELONA » BARCELONA CITY »           LOCATION:                                   LOCATION:
 ZONA ALTA » SANT GERVASI » LA BODANOVA           SPAIN » BARCELONA » EIXAMPLE » RIGHT        SPAIN, BARCELONA » MARESME COAST

    LFS4179               1,895,000€                 LFS4180                2,300,000€         LFS4182               2,325,000€




 APARTMENT                                        PENTHOUSE                                   LUXURY APARTMENT
 LOCATION:                                        LOCATION:                                   LOCATION:
 SPAIN » BARCELONA » EIXAMPLE » RIGHT             SPAIN » BARCELONA » EIXAMPLE » RIGHT        SPAIN » BARCELONA » EIXAMPLE » RIGHT

    LFS4196                895,000€                  LFS4190                525,000€             LFS3067             PRICE ON REQUEST




ABOUT THE LUCAS FOX
MARKET REPORTS

You can keep receiving up-to-date                                                                For more information
market reports from the Lucas                                                                    contact us
Fox International Properties team.
Subscribe to future updates at our
website or bookmark our blog for the             Alex Vaughan             Stijn Teeuwen
latest news on the Barcelona                       Director and              Director and
                                                   Co-Founder                Co-Founder
real estate market.                                  Lucas Fox                 Lucas Fox          www.lucasfox.com




                          BARCELONA REAL ESTATE MARKET Q3 & Q4 2012                                                  www.lucasfox.com

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Barcelona Real Estate Market Report Q3-Q4 2012

  • 1. BARCELONA REAL ESTATE MARKET Q3 & Q4 2012 Informed buyers • A perceived bottoming out of residential property sales prices. snap up the best on offer. The second half of 2012 saw the development of Barcelona residen- of rental yields on Barcelona city tial property consider “In 2012, we saw a number of our investor clients who had been observing prime residential properties that are competitive internationally. Combined that the market has the market for the last few years with proposed changes to Spanish law starting to buy up discounted properties to provide residency permits to non- bottomed out in prime areas of Barcelona city. This EU property owners, we expect these demonstrates that informed buyers of factors to generate much more foreign Alex Vaughan Director and Co-Founder Barcelona residential property consider buyer interest in Barcelona in the Lucas Fox that the market has bottomed out,” said coming year,” Vaughan said. Alex Vaughan, Lucas Fox Director. BARCELONA REAL ESTATE “We expect this trend to continue in PROPERTY TRANSACTIONS MARKET: SUMMARY 2013 and for property asking prices to fall in line with actual sales prices. As more A new wave of discounted properties Price signals and levels of sales activity properties come to market from local coming onto the market helped in the second half of 2012 suggest that owners and banks, foreign buyers will reactivate the Barcelona and Spanish 2013 will see continued busy trading in the Barcelona real estate market. 2012 saw some big factors in the Barcelona real estate market: • A higher volume of property sales transactions building from the summer months as confidence returned to the * Source: Ine.es market • Ongoing increases in foreign visitors looking for short term rental accommodation throughout the year Urban Property Transfers (Sales of Free Housing Stock) – Barcelona and Spain: 2012 BARCELONA REAL ESTATE MARKET Q3 & Q4 2012 www.lucasfox.com
  • 2. property markets in the second and BARCELONA PROPERTY Barcelona 2011 Barcelona 2012 third quarters of 2012. Lucas Fox sold at SALES PRICES 4000 least three times as many properties in 3500 Q3 and Q4 of 2012 than in the previous 2012 may be the year that Barcelona twelve months. property made its final moves towards 3000 a bottoming of market sales prices. According to the official figures property While the first half of 2013 may see 2500 some price adjustments, the increased sales transactions were at the highest sales transactions in mid-2012 suggest volume level in Q3 2012, peaking with 2000 that foreign buyers looking for the best Jan Mar May Jul Sept Nov ‘000 2269 sales in July and staying above properties were not willing to wait Feb Apr Jun Aug Oct Dec 2000 transactions each month of that any longer before taking advantage of quarter. Despite some drop off in trading market opportunities. at the start of the fourth quarter, sales Barcelona Airport Arrivals (‘000): 2011 – 2012 transactions began to climb again in Barcelona average property sales price Source: Aena.es October and November 2012 (the latest at the end of 2012 came in at €3,217 per month for which data is currently square metre. available), with signs that the year was ending with increased sales activity. Pedralbes / Les Corts, continued its Barcelona 2011 Barcelona 2012 This has been the experience at Lucas reign as the district with the highest 160 Fox, where buyers have been keen to property prices, reflecting its exclusive complete sales transactions before the status as a high-end business, shopping 120 end of the 2012 tax year. and leisure district, ending the year at €4,077 per square metre. 80 40 0 Jan Mar May Jul Sept Nov Feb Apr Jun Aug Oct Dec Foreign residents staying in holiday apartments in Catalonia (‘000): 2011 and 2012 / Source: Ine.es The biggest price adjustments between the end of 2011 and the end of 2012 were in Eixample, Gracia and Sarria Sant-Gervasi, with these districts recording reductions on 2011 prices of €382, €523 and €534 per square metre Barcelona Property Average Sales Prices (Average and by District): 2010 – 2012 / Source: idealista.com respectively. “In our opinion central Barcelona property prices reflect excellent value when compared with the prices of € per m2 other European capitals” commented Lucas Fox Director and co-founder Stijn Teeuwen. “The lifestyle factors remain as compelling as ever and we are gradually reaching a point where Barcelona property can once again be classified as a very good medium term investment. It is clear that a further adjustment is required in some property asking prices to bring them in line with real sales prices but we expect this to happen Barcelona Rental Property Prices (Average and By District): 2010 - 2012 / Source: idealista.com through 2013”. BARCELONA REAL ESTATE MARKET Q3 & Q4 2012 www.lucasfox.com
  • 3. Foreign readers visiting Lucas Fox website pages for Barcelona properties Q2 & Q3 2012 Source: Lucas Fox Google Analytics data BARCELONA RENTAL MARKET indicators help investors determine FOREIGN INVESTMENT the potential yield that can be Barcelona average rental prices generated from purchasing Barcelona Foreign residents invested heavily in dropped by a fifth of a Euro in most apartments primarily for use as tourist Catalonian property (which includes districts in the second half of 2012, accommodation. Barcelona) in the first three quarters of falling from an average of €11.30 per 2012, accounting for 20.6% of all foreign square metre at the end of Q2 to an Catalonia (including Barcelona) real estate investment across Spain. average of €10.90 per square metre received the most foreign tourist visits In 2012, Lucas Fox facilitated foreign at year’s end. The districts of Horta in all of Spain, accounting for 25% of investment Guinardó, Sant Andreu and Ciutat Vella all foreign tourist arrivals in 2012, and sales transactions totalling around held steadiest during the second half increasing its international visitor €50 million. off 2012. Ciutat Vella ended the year numbers by 9.9% over 2011 figures, maintaining its mid-year average rental with close to 14.5 million foreign As in the first quarters of 2012, Q3 price of €12.40 per square metre. visitor arrivals. and Q4 saw continuing high levels of demand from Swiss and Russian clients. Between March and October, Barcelona The other most important group was A study by real estate portal Idealista continued to see monthly increases French clients, motivated by tax hikes - released in November 2012 - showed on airport arrivals compared with the in France. The remainder of the interest gross rental yields in Barcelona months in 2011. Overall, to the end of was split between traditional Northern (4.1%) are stronger than in the December 2012, airport arrivals were European client groups with increasing property markets of London (3.4%) 2.2% higher than in 2011. demand from emerging markets such and Paris (3%). as China, India and Latin America. More foreign residents stayed in SHORT-TERM RENTAL DEMAND holiday apartments every month of 2012 visitor numbers to the Lucas 2012 than in comparative months Fox website increased significantly Barcelona airport arrivals and the in 2011. While figures are for all of compared to 2011, with 35% more numbers of foreign travellers staying in Catalonia, the majority of holiday visitors reviewing Barcelona properties holiday apartments are good indicators apartments are located in Barcelona on our webpages. The majority of our of demand for short-term rental city. In Q3 2012, over 120,000 foreign international website visitors were accommodation in Barcelona. These residents stayed in holiday apartments from the UK, United States, France, each month. Russia and Germany. BARCELONA REAL ESTATE MARKET Q3 & Q4 2012 www.lucasfox.com
  • 4. LUCAS FOX ANALYSIS international buyer interest in Barcelona The biggest potential game changer residential and commercial property. could be the proposal to grant residency AND PREDICTIONS to non-EU buyers who invest in As in 2012, the main demand will be for residential property in Spain. If this All the evidence suggests that the prime properties in the best locations, expected law change is passed in early positive market developments that either in the city centre or along the 2013, we anticipate that it will generate we saw in the last quarters of 2012 will coastline to the north and south of the huge demand from wealthy buyers continue into 2013. The combination of city. We expect there to be continuing located in Russia, India, Africa and Asia. increased confidence in the Eurozone demand for properties to renovate: and Spain, heavily discounted property with interest in apartments, houses and prices, improving rental yields, and the entire buildings, as buyers recognise proposed changes to Spanish residency that very good opportunities exist to laws look set to continue driving which they can add value. DESIGNER PENTHOUSE LUXURY APARTMENT HOUSE / VILLA LOCATION: BARCELONA » BARCELONA CITY » LOCATION: LOCATION: ZONA ALTA » SANT GERVASI » LA BODANOVA SPAIN » BARCELONA » EIXAMPLE » RIGHT SPAIN, BARCELONA » MARESME COAST LFS4179 1,895,000€ LFS4180 2,300,000€ LFS4182 2,325,000€ APARTMENT PENTHOUSE LUXURY APARTMENT LOCATION: LOCATION: LOCATION: SPAIN » BARCELONA » EIXAMPLE » RIGHT SPAIN » BARCELONA » EIXAMPLE » RIGHT SPAIN » BARCELONA » EIXAMPLE » RIGHT LFS4196 895,000€ LFS4190 525,000€ LFS3067 PRICE ON REQUEST ABOUT THE LUCAS FOX MARKET REPORTS You can keep receiving up-to-date For more information market reports from the Lucas contact us Fox International Properties team. Subscribe to future updates at our website or bookmark our blog for the Alex Vaughan Stijn Teeuwen latest news on the Barcelona Director and Director and Co-Founder Co-Founder real estate market. Lucas Fox Lucas Fox www.lucasfox.com BARCELONA REAL ESTATE MARKET Q3 & Q4 2012 www.lucasfox.com