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US Leveraged Finance Market Update
March, 2014
Steve Miller - Managing Director
Text
96
97
98
99
12/12 1/13 2/13 3/13 4/13 5/13 6/13 7/13 8/13 9/13 10/31 11/13 1/14 2/14
Average Bid of S&P/LSTA Loan 100 Index
Source: LCD - Leveraged Commentary & Data
S&P/LSTA Index Loans Outstanding
Source: LCD - Leveraged Commentary & Data
$500B
$550B
$600B
$650B
$700B
9/12 10/12 11/12 12/12 1/13 2/13 3/13 4/13 5/13 6/13 7/13 8/13 9/13 10/13 11/13 12/13 1/14 2/14
Visible Inflows
Source: LCD - Leveraged Commentary & Data, Lipper
$0B
$5B
$10B
$15B
$20B
9/12 10/12 11/12 12/12 1/13 2/13 3/13 4/13 5/13 6/13 7/13 8/13 9/13 10/13 11/13 12/13 1/14 2/14
CLO Issuance
Mutual Funds In๏ฌ‚ows
3%
4%
5%
5%
6%
7%
9/12 10/12 11/12 12/12 1/13 2/13 3/13 4/13 5/13 6/13 7/13 8/13 9/13 10/13 11/13 12/13 1/14 2/14
Average New-Issue Clearing Yield of First Lien Loans
Source: LCD - Leveraged Commentary & Data
All-BB
All-B
0%
2%
5%
7%
10%
12%
1/07 11/07 9/08 7/09 5/10 3/11 1/12 11/12 9/13
Loan Default Rate
Source: LCD - Leveraged Commentary & Data
2/14
M&A Institutional Loan Forward Calendar
Source: LCD - Leveraged Commentary & Data
$0B
$7B
$14B
$21B
$28B
$35B
2/11 4/11 6/11 8/11 10/11 12/11 2/12 4/12 6/12 8/12 10/12 12/12 2/13 4/13 6/13 8/13 10/13 12/13 2/14
www.linkedin.com/groups/LCD-Leveraged-Loan-Group-2092432
LCD Leveraged Loan Group ... 11,000+ contacts
www.twitter.com/lcdnews
Headlines, market chatter
www.facebook.com/lcdcomps/
Daily Playbook, headlines, video analysis
Follow LCD
www.lcdcomps.com
News, analysis, research, archives
www.highyieldbond.com
Free website covering the HY market
www.leveragedloan.com
Free website covering the leveraged loan market
Copyright 2014 Standard & Poor's, a division of The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc.
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March 2014, US Leveraged Loan Market Analysis

  • 1. US Leveraged Finance Market Update March, 2014 Steve Miller - Managing Director Text
  • 2. 96 97 98 99 12/12 1/13 2/13 3/13 4/13 5/13 6/13 7/13 8/13 9/13 10/31 11/13 1/14 2/14 Average Bid of S&P/LSTA Loan 100 Index Source: LCD - Leveraged Commentary & Data
  • 3. S&P/LSTA Index Loans Outstanding Source: LCD - Leveraged Commentary & Data $500B $550B $600B $650B $700B 9/12 10/12 11/12 12/12 1/13 2/13 3/13 4/13 5/13 6/13 7/13 8/13 9/13 10/13 11/13 12/13 1/14 2/14
  • 4. Visible Inflows Source: LCD - Leveraged Commentary & Data, Lipper $0B $5B $10B $15B $20B 9/12 10/12 11/12 12/12 1/13 2/13 3/13 4/13 5/13 6/13 7/13 8/13 9/13 10/13 11/13 12/13 1/14 2/14 CLO Issuance Mutual Funds In๏ฌ‚ows
  • 5. 3% 4% 5% 5% 6% 7% 9/12 10/12 11/12 12/12 1/13 2/13 3/13 4/13 5/13 6/13 7/13 8/13 9/13 10/13 11/13 12/13 1/14 2/14 Average New-Issue Clearing Yield of First Lien Loans Source: LCD - Leveraged Commentary & Data All-BB All-B
  • 6. 0% 2% 5% 7% 10% 12% 1/07 11/07 9/08 7/09 5/10 3/11 1/12 11/12 9/13 Loan Default Rate Source: LCD - Leveraged Commentary & Data 2/14
  • 7. M&A Institutional Loan Forward Calendar Source: LCD - Leveraged Commentary & Data $0B $7B $14B $21B $28B $35B 2/11 4/11 6/11 8/11 10/11 12/11 2/12 4/12 6/12 8/12 10/12 12/12 2/13 4/13 6/13 8/13 10/13 12/13 2/14
  • 8. www.linkedin.com/groups/LCD-Leveraged-Loan-Group-2092432 LCD Leveraged Loan Group ... 11,000+ contacts www.twitter.com/lcdnews Headlines, market chatter www.facebook.com/lcdcomps/ Daily Playbook, headlines, video analysis Follow LCD www.lcdcomps.com News, analysis, research, archives www.highyieldbond.com Free website covering the HY market www.leveragedloan.com Free website covering the leveraged loan market
  • 9. Copyright 2014 Standard & Poor's, a division of The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. No content (including ratings, credit-related analyses and data, model, software or other application or output therefrom) or any part thereof (Content) may be modi๏ฌed, reverse engineered, reproduced or distributed in any form by any means, or stored in a database or retrieval system, without the prior written permission of S&P. The Content shall not be used for any unlawful or unauthorized purposes. S&P, its af๏ฌliates, and any third party providers, as well as their directors, of๏ฌcers, shareholders, employees or agents (collectively S&P Parties) do not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, timeliness or availability of the Content. S&P Parties are not responsible for any errors or omissions, regardless of the cause, for the results obtained from the use of the Content, or for the security or maintenance of any data input by the user.The Content is provided on an "as is" basis. S&P PARTIES DISCLAIM ANY AND ALL EXPRESS OR IMPLIED WARRANTIES, INCLUDING, BUT NOT LIMITED TO, ANY WARRANTIES OF MERCHANTABILITY OR FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE OR USE, FREEDOM FROM BUGS, SOFTWARE ERRORS OR DEFECTS, THAT THE CONTENTโ€™S FUNCTIONING WILL BE UNINTERRUPTED OR THAT THE CONTENT WILL OPERATE WITH ANY SOFTWARE OR HARDWARE CONFIGURATION. In no event shall S&P Parties be liable to any party for any direct, indirect, incidental, exemplary, compensatory, punitive, special or consequential damages, costs, expenses, legal fees, or losses (including, without limitation, lost income or lost pro๏ฌts and opportunity costs) in connection with any use of the Content even if advised of the possibility of such damages. Credit-related analyses, including ratings, and statements in the Content are statements of opinion as of the date they are expressed and not statements of fact or recommendations to purchase, hold, or sell any securities or to make any investment decisions. S&P assumes no obligation to update the Content following publication in any form or format. The Content should not be relied on and is not a substitute for the skill, judgment and experience of the user, its management, employees, advisors and/or clients when making investment and other business decisions. S&Pโ€™s opinions and analyses do not address the suitability of any security. S&P does not act as a ๏ฌduciary or an investment advisor.While S&P has obtained information from sources it believes to be reliable, S&P does not perform an audit and undertakes no duty of due diligence or independent veri๏ฌcation of any information it receives. S&P keeps certain activities of its business units separate from each other in order to preserve the independence and objectivity of their respective activities.As a result, certain business units of S&P may have information that is not available to other S&P business units. S&P has established policies and procedures to maintain the con๏ฌdentiality of certain non-public information received in connection with each analytical process. S&P may receive compensation for its ratings and certain credit-related analyses, normally from issuers or underwriters of securities or from obligors. S&P reserves the right to disseminate its opinions and analyses. S&P's public ratings and analyses are made available on its Web sites, www.standardandpoors.com (free of charge), and www.ratingsdirect.com and www.globalcreditportal.com (subscription), and may be distributed through other means, including via S&P publications and third party redistributors.Additional information about our ratings fees is available at www.standardandpoors.com/usratingsfees.