Loan issuance was down at €3B in February, while high yield issuance was steady at €7.4B. Secondary markets are up. Repricings are back on table, February’s tally was the highest number of purely European repricings in any month on record. Europe had its first new arbitrage CLO pricing since the crisis in 2007.
Check out LCD's new, free web sites, LeveragedLoan.com and HighYieldBond.com
http://www.leveragedloan.com
http://www.highyieldbond.com/
* Job postings
* Online Loan Market and High Yield Primer
* News and analysis
* Market Stats
See our video presentation:
http://youtu.be/RLoaN0plmOM
Connect with LCD
Facebook: http://www.lcdcomps.com/facebook
Like LCD on Facebook for monthly analysis on LBO/Private equity stats, as well as Default/Restructuring analysis.
LinkedIn: http://www.lcdcomps.com/linkedin
There are over 10,000 market contacts in LCD's Leveraged Loan Group
Twitter: http://www.twitter.com/lcdnews
News, commentary, other leveraged finance info
Web: http://www.lcdcomps.com
Contact: anna_cini@sandp.com
2. European Market Trends
Text
• Loan issuance was €3.03B in February 2013;
high yield issuance was €7.4B .
• Estimated outflows out of European HY funds was €220M for
the four weeks ending February 28th.
• Secondary markets were up:
loan markets went up 5 bps to finish the month at 99.47;
high yield markets were up 19 bps to finish the month at 102.3.
• The S&P European Leveraged Loan Index (ELLI) finished the month up 0.4%.
• Default rates were mixed -- default rates by principal amount rose;
default rate by issuer count fell.
3. European Loan Flow Name Prices
100
99
Text
97
96
94
93
91
2/11 4/11 6/11 8/11 10/11 12/11 2/12 4/12 6/12 8/12 10/12 12/12 2/13
. Source: LCD - Leveraged Commentary & Data
4. European HY Bond Flow Name Prices
106
102
Text
98
94
89
85
81
2/11 4/11 6/11 8/11 10/11 12/11 2/12 4/12 6/12 8/12 10/12 12/12 2/13
. Source: Bloomberg
5. ELLI Multi-Currency Loan Return
2.5%
February 2013: + 0.40%
Text January 2013: + 1.18%
Jan-Feb 2013: + 1.59%
Jan-Feb 2012: + 3.34%
1.9%
1.2%
0.6%
-0.1%
12/11 1/12 2/12 3/12 4/12 5/12 6/12 7/12 8/12 9/12 10/1211/1212/12 1/13 2/13
. Source: S&P European Leveraged Loan Index
6. Volume: New-issue Loans vs. HY Bonds
15
HY bonds
Text Loans
11
€billions
8
€7.4B
4
€3.03B
0
11/1112/11 1/12 2/12 3/12 4/12 5/12 6/12 7/12 8/12 9/12 10/1211/1212/12 1/13 2/13
. Source: LCD - Leveraged Commentary & Data
7. ELLI Default Rates – European Leveraged Loans
Default Rate by Principal Amount Default Rate by Issuer Count
16% 16%
13% 13%
10% 10%
6% Text
6%
3% 3%
0% 0%
2/09 2/10 2/11 12/11 2/13 2/09 2/10 12/11 2/12 2/13
. Source: LCD - Leveraged Commentary & Data
8. Themes to watch for
Text
• Repricings are back on table, as issuers take advantage of strong demand. February’s
tally was the highest number of purely European repricings in any month on record.
• Along with repricings, some sponsors are tabling dividend recap deals to take
advantage of investor demand.
• Still strong demand for high yield bonds.
• Bond for loan-take-outs will continue to keep pace as issuers address their maturity
concerns.
• Cairn priced its €300.5M CLO, the first new arbitrage CLO in Europe since
the crisis. There are signs about pricing new CLOs.
• There is renewed optimism about M&A.
9. Text
Copyright 2013 Standard & Poor's, a division of The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc.
No content (including ratings, credit-related analyses and data, model, software or other application or output therefrom) or any
Text
part thereof (Content) may be modified, reverse engineered, reproduced or distributed in any form by any means, or stored in a
database or retrieval system, without the prior written permission of S&P. The Content shall not be used for any unlawful or
unauthorized purposes. S&P, its affiliates, and any third party providers, as well as their directors, officers, shareholders, employees
or agents (collectively S&P Parties) do not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, timeliness or availability of the Content. S&P
Parties are not responsible for any errors or omissions, regardless of the cause, for the results obtained from the use of the
Content, or for the security or maintenance of any data input by the user. The Content is provided on an "as is" basis. S&P
PARTIES DISCLAIM ANY AND ALL EXPRESS OR IMPLIED WARRANTIES, INCLUDING, BUT NOT LIMITED TO, ANY
WARRANTIES OF MERCHANTABILITY OR FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE OR USE, FREEDOM FROM BUGS,
SOFTWARE ERRORS OR DEFECTS, THAT THE CONTENT’S FUNCTIONING WILL BE UNINTERRUPTED OR THAT THE
CONTENT WILL OPERATE WITH ANY SOFTWARE OR HARDWARE CONFIGURATION. In no event shall S&P Parties be
liable to any party for any direct, indirect, incidental, exemplary, compensatory, punitive, special or consequential damages, costs,
expenses, legal fees, or losses (including, without limitation, lost income or lost profits and opportunity costs) in connection with
any use of the Content even if advised of the possibility of such damages.
Credit-related analyses, including ratings, and statements in the Content are statements of opinion as of the date they are
expressed and not statements of fact or recommendations to purchase, hold, or sell any securities or to make any investment
decisions. S&P assumes no obligation to update the Content following publication in any form or format. The Content should not
be relied on and is not a substitute for the skill, judgment and experience of the user, its management, employees, advisors and/or
clients when making investment and other business decisions. S&P’s opinions and analyses do not address the suitability of any
security. S&P does not act as a fiduciary or an investment advisor. While S&P has obtained information from sources it believes to
be reliable, S&P does not perform an audit and undertakes no duty of due diligence or independent verification of any
information it receives.
S&P keeps certain activities of its business units separate from each other in order to preserve the independence and objectivity
of their respective activities. As a result, certain business units of S&P may have information that is not available to other S&P
business units. S&P has established policies and procedures to maintain the confidentiality of certain non-public information
received in connection with each analytical process.
S&P may receive compensation for its ratings and certain credit-related analyses, normally from issuers or underwriters of
pause
securities or from obligors. S&P reserves the right to disseminate its opinions and analyses. S&P's public ratings and analyses are
made available on its Web sites, www.standardandpoors.com (free of charge), and www.ratingsdirect.com and
www.globalcreditportal.com (subscription), and may be distributed through other means, including via S&P publications and third
party redistributors. Additional information about our ratings fees is available at www.standardandpoors.com/usratingsfees.