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Ruth McGavin,Associate
European Leveraged Finance Market Update
July, 2014
open pause
.
€0B
€20B
€40B
€60B
€80B
€100B
€120B
€140B
€160B
€180B
102.48
113.68
51.12
4.94
17.62 24.10
15.22
27.61
12.58
25.08
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 1H2013 1H2014
European Leveraged LoanVolume
Text
M&A Refi/Recap Other
Source: S&P Capital IQ / LCD
€0B
€6B
€12B
€18B
2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14
.
Text
ELLI Repayments
Source: S&P European Leveraged Loan Index (ELLI)
€0B
€0.4B
€0.8B
€1.2B
€1.6B
€2.0B
€2.4B
€2.8B
Jun 2013 Jul 2013 Aug 2013 Sep 2013 Oct 2013 Nov 2013 Dec 2013 Jan 2014 Feb 2014 Mar 2014 Apr 2014 May 2014 Jun 2014
.
Text
European Arbitrage CLO IssuanceVolume
Source: S&P Capital IQ / LCD
.
0x
1x
2x
3x
4x
5x
6x
4.60
3.79
3.26 3.18
3.59 3.46
3.73 3.75
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 1H14
Pro Forma Debt/EBITDA RatioText
First lien debt/EBITDA Second lien debt/EBITDA Other debt/EBITDA
Source: S&P Capital IQ / LCD
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Cov-lite Share Of All Outstanding Loans
Jun 2008
Source: S&P European Leveraged Loan Index (ELLI); S&P/LSTA Leveraged Loan Index (LLI)
US (S&P/LSTA Loan Index) Europe (S&P European Loan Index)
Jun 2010Jun 2009 Jun 2011 Jun 2013Jun 2012 Jun 2014
.
Average TLB Primary Spread andYield to Maturity At Issue
300
350
400
450
500
550
600
3
4
5
6
7
8
9E+
E+
E+
E+
E+
E+
E+
%
%
%
%
%
%
%
Sep 2011 Mar 2013Mar 2011 Sep 2012 Mar 2014Sep 2013
Source: S&P Capital IQ / LCD
Average TLB Spread AverageYTM For TLB At Issue
European Leveraged Finance Market Update
July, 2014
Ruth McGavin,Associate
Text
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Copyright 2014 Standard & Poor's, a division of The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc.
No content (including ratings, credit-related analyses and data, model, software or other application or output therefrom) or any part thereof (Content) may be modified, reverse
engineered, reproduced or distributed in any form by any means, or stored in a database or retrieval system, without the prior written permission of S&P.The Content shall not be
used for any unlawful or unauthorized purposes. S&P, its affiliates, and any third party providers, as well as their directors, officers, shareholders, employees or agents (collectively S&P
Parties) do not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, timeliness or availability of the Content. S&P Parties are not responsible for any errors or omissions, regardless of the cause,
for the results obtained from the use of the Content, or for the security or maintenance of any data input by the user.The Content is provided on an "as is" basis. S&P PARTIES
DISCLAIM ANY AND ALL EXPRESS OR IMPLIED WARRANTIES, INCLUDING, BUT NOT LIMITED TO, ANY WARRANTIES OF MERCHANTABILITY OR FITNESS FOR A
PARTICULAR PURPOSE OR USE, FREEDOM FROM BUGS, SOFTWARE ERRORS OR DEFECTS,THAT THE CONTENT’S FUNCTIONING WILL BE UNINTERRUPTED OR THAT
THE CONTENT WILL OPERATE WITH ANY SOFTWARE OR HARDWARE CONFIGURATION. In no event shall S&P Parties be liable to any party for any direct, indirect,
incidental, exemplary, compensatory, punitive, special or consequential damages, costs, expenses, legal fees, or losses (including, without limitation, lost income or lost profits and
opportunity costs) in connection with any use of the Content even if advised of the possibility of such damages.
Credit-related analyses, including ratings, and statements in the Content are statements of opinion as of the date they are expressed and not statements of fact or recommendations
to purchase, hold, or sell any securities or to make any investment decisions. S&P assumes no obligation to update the Content following publication in any form or format.The
Content should not be relied on and is not a substitute for the skill, judgment and experience of the user, its management, employees, advisors and/or clients when making
investment and other business decisions. S&P’s opinions and analyses do not address the suitability of any security. S&P does not act as a fiduciary or an investment advisor.While S&P
has obtained information from sources it believes to be reliable, S&P does not perform an audit and undertakes no duty of due diligence or independent verification of any
information it receives.
S&P keeps certain activities of its business units separate from each other in order to preserve the independence and objectivity of their respective activities. As a result, certain
business units of S&P may have information that is not available to other S&P business units. S&P has established policies and procedures to maintain the confidentiality of certain
non-public information received in connection with each analytical process.
S&P may receive compensation for its ratings and certain credit-related analyses, normally from issuers or underwriters of securities or from obligors. S&P reserves the right to
disseminate its opinions and analyses. S&P's public ratings and analyses are made available on its Web sites, www.standardandpoors.com (free of charge), and www.ratingsdirect.com
and www.globalcreditportal.com (subscription), and may be distributed through other means, including via S&P publications and third party redistributors. Additional information
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July 2014, European Leveraged Loan Market Analysis

  • 1. outText Text Ruth McGavin,Associate European Leveraged Finance Market Update July, 2014 open pause
  • 2. . €0B €20B €40B €60B €80B €100B €120B €140B €160B €180B 102.48 113.68 51.12 4.94 17.62 24.10 15.22 27.61 12.58 25.08 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 1H2013 1H2014 European Leveraged LoanVolume Text M&A Refi/Recap Other Source: S&P Capital IQ / LCD
  • 3. €0B €6B €12B €18B 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 . Text ELLI Repayments Source: S&P European Leveraged Loan Index (ELLI)
  • 4. €0B €0.4B €0.8B €1.2B €1.6B €2.0B €2.4B €2.8B Jun 2013 Jul 2013 Aug 2013 Sep 2013 Oct 2013 Nov 2013 Dec 2013 Jan 2014 Feb 2014 Mar 2014 Apr 2014 May 2014 Jun 2014 . Text European Arbitrage CLO IssuanceVolume Source: S&P Capital IQ / LCD
  • 5. . 0x 1x 2x 3x 4x 5x 6x 4.60 3.79 3.26 3.18 3.59 3.46 3.73 3.75 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 1H14 Pro Forma Debt/EBITDA RatioText First lien debt/EBITDA Second lien debt/EBITDA Other debt/EBITDA Source: S&P Capital IQ / LCD
  • 6. 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% Cov-lite Share Of All Outstanding Loans Jun 2008 Source: S&P European Leveraged Loan Index (ELLI); S&P/LSTA Leveraged Loan Index (LLI) US (S&P/LSTA Loan Index) Europe (S&P European Loan Index) Jun 2010Jun 2009 Jun 2011 Jun 2013Jun 2012 Jun 2014
  • 7. . Average TLB Primary Spread andYield to Maturity At Issue 300 350 400 450 500 550 600 3 4 5 6 7 8 9E+ E+ E+ E+ E+ E+ E+ % % % % % % % Sep 2011 Mar 2013Mar 2011 Sep 2012 Mar 2014Sep 2013 Source: S&P Capital IQ / LCD Average TLB Spread AverageYTM For TLB At Issue
  • 8. European Leveraged Finance Market Update July, 2014 Ruth McGavin,Associate Text
  • 9. pause Text Copyright 2014 Standard & Poor's, a division of The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. No content (including ratings, credit-related analyses and data, model, software or other application or output therefrom) or any part thereof (Content) may be modified, reverse engineered, reproduced or distributed in any form by any means, or stored in a database or retrieval system, without the prior written permission of S&P.The Content shall not be used for any unlawful or unauthorized purposes. S&P, its affiliates, and any third party providers, as well as their directors, officers, shareholders, employees or agents (collectively S&P Parties) do not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, timeliness or availability of the Content. S&P Parties are not responsible for any errors or omissions, regardless of the cause, for the results obtained from the use of the Content, or for the security or maintenance of any data input by the user.The Content is provided on an "as is" basis. S&P PARTIES DISCLAIM ANY AND ALL EXPRESS OR IMPLIED WARRANTIES, INCLUDING, BUT NOT LIMITED TO, ANY WARRANTIES OF MERCHANTABILITY OR FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE OR USE, FREEDOM FROM BUGS, SOFTWARE ERRORS OR DEFECTS,THAT THE CONTENT’S FUNCTIONING WILL BE UNINTERRUPTED OR THAT THE CONTENT WILL OPERATE WITH ANY SOFTWARE OR HARDWARE CONFIGURATION. In no event shall S&P Parties be liable to any party for any direct, indirect, incidental, exemplary, compensatory, punitive, special or consequential damages, costs, expenses, legal fees, or losses (including, without limitation, lost income or lost profits and opportunity costs) in connection with any use of the Content even if advised of the possibility of such damages. Credit-related analyses, including ratings, and statements in the Content are statements of opinion as of the date they are expressed and not statements of fact or recommendations to purchase, hold, or sell any securities or to make any investment decisions. S&P assumes no obligation to update the Content following publication in any form or format.The Content should not be relied on and is not a substitute for the skill, judgment and experience of the user, its management, employees, advisors and/or clients when making investment and other business decisions. S&P’s opinions and analyses do not address the suitability of any security. S&P does not act as a fiduciary or an investment advisor.While S&P has obtained information from sources it believes to be reliable, S&P does not perform an audit and undertakes no duty of due diligence or independent verification of any information it receives. S&P keeps certain activities of its business units separate from each other in order to preserve the independence and objectivity of their respective activities. As a result, certain business units of S&P may have information that is not available to other S&P business units. S&P has established policies and procedures to maintain the confidentiality of certain non-public information received in connection with each analytical process. S&P may receive compensation for its ratings and certain credit-related analyses, normally from issuers or underwriters of securities or from obligors. S&P reserves the right to disseminate its opinions and analyses. S&P's public ratings and analyses are made available on its Web sites, www.standardandpoors.com (free of charge), and www.ratingsdirect.com and www.globalcreditportal.com (subscription), and may be distributed through other means, including via S&P publications and third party redistributors. Additional information about our ratings fees is available at www.standardandpoors.com/usratingsfees. Text